Casey's General Stores, Inc.
CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.'s price has outrun its earnings. +62.7% in a year against EPS +30.9% — the market is paying now for delivery later.
The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +62.7% in a year while annual EPS moved +30.9% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings.
The price is in a confirmed uptrend (164 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 96th percentile of its own 4-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +60.0% year on year, and 191% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved.
Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. trades at $851, in a confirmed uptrend and 164 weeks into that stage. That is +22.4% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 89% of a 52-week range of $495 to $895. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (1 week and counting).
Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 164 of stage 2. At $851 it trades +22.4% versus its 200-day average and sits at 89% of its 52-week range ($495–$895).
Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +534% while the S&P 500 moved +263% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (1 week and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-31) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.
What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.
Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. trades at 44.4× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (96th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 26.8×, measured across 4.2 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.
Today's P/E of 44.4× is at the pricey end of its own range (96th percentile), against a long-run median of 26.8× measured over 4.2 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.
🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +30.9% against a +62.7% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.
The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +51.7%/yr price move, ~+15.8%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+35.9 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.
Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.
Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).
Casey's General Stores, Inc. reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — the growth curves are steadily positive, but ROCE at 14.0% is below the 15% bar this page requires to call it Consistent. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.
Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.
| 1yr | 3yr | 5yr | 10yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +10.2% | +5.2% | — | — |
| Profit | +29.1% | +16.4% | — | — |
| EPS | +30.9% | +17.2% | — | — |
| Stock price | +62.7% | +51.7% | +34.2% | +20.3% |
4-Factor Sector Score
59.8/100 — rank 4 of 28 in Specialty Retail · 85% evidence confidence
Casey's General Stores, Inc. scores 59.8 out of 100 against the 28 companies it is compared with in Specialty Retail, ranking 4. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
The four contributions add to the total exactly: 24.8 + 12.4 + 10 + 12.6 = 59.8. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.
What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.
Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. reported $4.6 B of revenue in the Apr 26 quarter, +14.5% year on year. That is the 6th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 7.9% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at $17.6 B. The last four reported quarters add to $17.6 B.
FY26 revenue came in at $17.6 B (+10.2% on the year), capping 4 years at 7.9% compound. The latest quarter (Apr 26) printed $4.6 B, +14.5% year on year — the 6th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.
Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +10.2% growth against the decade's 7.9% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.
Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +10.2% over the last 4 quarters against +8.7%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit +30.9% vs +18.8%/yr — accelerating.
Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.
Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s operating margin is 5.0% in the Apr 26 quarter, +1.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 3.9% to 5.9%. The current quarter sits inside that band.
The latest quarter's operating margin is 5.0%, +1.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 3.9%–5.9%, and FY26's 5.9% is the top of that band — a record year.
Why the margin moved: operating margin went +1.0 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.3 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.
Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.
Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. earned $0.2 B of net profit in the Apr 26 quarter, +60.0% year on year. It is the 5th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.7 B. The 4-year compound rate is 20.2%. That is 3.5% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.1 B.
Apr 26 profit was $0.2 B, +60.0% year on year — the 5th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed $0.7 B (+29.1%), and the 4-year compound rate is 20.2%.
Why profit moved: revenue contributed +14.5% and the margin +1.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.
Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +35.8% vs revenue +10.2%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra dollar of revenue drops more to the bottom line.
Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.
Over the last 3 fiscal years 191% of Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was $1.4 B of operating cash against $0.7 B of profit. After $0.7 B of capital spending, $0.7 B was left as free cash.
FY26: operating cash of $1.4 B against reported profit of $0.7 B, leaving free cash of $0.7 B after $0.7 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 191% of profit.
Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.
Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.
Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.
Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).
Casey's General Stores, Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $2.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 3.8% of FY26 revenue a year.
Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.
On the investment side: capital spending of $2.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.
The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.
Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. earns a ROE of 18% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 15% in FY22. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +5.4 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 4.0% net margin on 1.96× asset turns.
FY26 ROE is 18%, recovered from a FY22 trough of 15% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.
Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 4.0% net margin × 1.96× asset turns × 2.26× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 17.7% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.
The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 12.6% − 7.2% = a +5.4 pp spread. The 7.2% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every dollar reinvested creates more than a dollar of value — the engine compounds.
Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. paid $2.28 per share over the last four reported quarters, up 14.0% on a year ago. The most recent declaration was $0.57 for Apr 26. Against the current price of $851 that is a trailing yield of 0.27%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. paid $2.28 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.57 for Apr 26. That is up 14.0% against the same quarter a year earlier. Against the current price of $851 the trailing twelve months work out to 0.27% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.
Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. carries total debt of $2.9 B against shareholder equity of $4.0 B as of Apr 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.74. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.75 in FY22 to 0.74 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.
Apr 26: total debt of $2.9 B against shareholder equity of $4.0 B — a debt-to-equity of 0.74. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.75 (FY22) to 0.74 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.
Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.
3.6% of Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 2.3 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.
The latest reading: 3.6% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 2.3 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.
Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.
Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.
Casey's General Stores, Inc.: the Z-score reads 5.53. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.
Why it matters: a Z-score of 5.53 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.
The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 5.53.
| Company | Score | Price stage | Growth & earnings/35 | Capital efficiency/25 | Valuation/20 | Relative strength/20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Five Below, Inc.FIVE | 70.6/100Favorable setup85% evidence | ASLEEP | 31.0/35 Revenue 25.8% · PAT 67.7% · OPM change 6.8 pp 95% evidence | 14.0/25 ROCE 4% · OPM 12% 76% evidence | 13.8/20 P/E 29.1× · PEG 0.73 65% evidence | 11.8/20 RS sector 8.7% · RS bench 5.6% · 1Y 66.5%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 31 + 14 + 13.8 + 11.8 = 70.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 2Best Buy Co., Inc.BBY | 69.6/100Favorable setup85% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 23.6/35 Revenue 1% · PAT 29.4% · OPM change 1.6 pp 95% evidence | 13.1/25 ROCE 5.4% · OPM 4.1% 76% evidence | 15.6/20 P/E 11.1× · PEG 0.35 65% evidence | 17.3/20 RS sector 11.4% · RS bench 7.6% · 1Y 25.2%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 23.6 + 13.1 + 15.6 + 17.3 = 69.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 3Murphy USA Inc.MUSA | 64.0/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence | FADING | 21.7/35 Revenue -1.2% · PAT 13.1% · OPM change 2.4 pp 83% evidence | 13.5/25 ROCE 5.5% · OPM 4.3% 76% evidence | 14.2/20 P/E 17.1× · PEG 0.78 65% evidence | 14.6/20 RS sector 19% · RS bench 15.9% · 1Y 56%7 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 21.7 + 13.5 + 14.2 + 14.6 = 64 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 4Casey's General Stores, Inc.this pageCASY | 59.8/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence | ASLEEP | 24.8/35 Revenue 10.2% · PAT 30.8% · OPM change 1.2 pp 95% evidence | 12.4/25 ROCE 3.2% · OPM 5.1% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E 42.9× · PEG 1.39 65% evidence | 12.6/20 RS sector 18.1% · RS bench 15.1% · 1Y 63.9%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 24.8 + 12.4 + 10 + 12.6 = 59.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 5Williams-Sonoma, Inc.WSM | 55.4/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 13.7/35 Revenue 1.3% · PAT -0.6% · OPM change -0.6 pp 95% evidence | 16.4/25 ROCE 8.7% · OPM 16.2% 76% evidence | 8.0/20 P/E 20.2× · PEG 2.1 65% evidence | 17.3/20 RS sector 16.1% · RS bench 12.2% · 1Y 24.8%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 13.7 + 16.4 + 8 + 17.3 = 55.4 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 12.2%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation. | ||||||
| 6Bath & Body Works, Inc.BBWI | 55.1/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence | TURNING | 14.7/35 Revenue -1.4% · PAT -10.9% · OPM change 2.1 pp 95% evidence | 15.2/25 ROCE 6.4% · OPM 16.8% 76% evidence | 16.5/20 P/E 5.4× · PEG 0.24 65% evidence | 8.7/20 RS sector -10.3% · RS bench -14.1% · 1Y -26.1%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14.7 + 15.2 + 16.5 + 8.7 = 55.1 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity. | ||||||
| 7Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.BBW | 53.3/100Mixed-positive evidence79% evidence | BASING | 17.8/35 Revenue 3.5% · PAT -3.6% · OPM change 3.9 pp 95% evidence | 17.5/25 ROCE 9.9% · OPM 19% 76% evidence | 14.6/20 P/E 8.4× · PEG 0.79 65% evidence | 3.4/20 RS sector -34.1% · RS bench -37.1% · 1Y -30.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17.8 + 17.5 + 14.6 + 3.4 = 53.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 8Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.SBH | 51.8/100Mixed-positive evidence75% evidence | TURNING | 14.2/35 Revenue 0.8% · PAT -0.5% · OPM change 0.1 pp 83% evidence | 12.9/25 ROCE 3.2% · OPM 8% 76% evidence | 11.5/20 P/E 7.7× · PEG 1.5 65% evidence | 13.2/20 RS sector 5% · RS bench 1.3% · 1Y 41.8%1 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14.2 + 12.9 + 11.5 + 13.2 = 51.8 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 1.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation. | ||||||
| 9Winmark CorporationWINA | 51.8/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence | BASING | 16.8/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -2.7 pp 45% evidence | 21.4/25 ROCE 38.3% · OPM 59.3% 76% evidence | 9.5/20 P/E 37.9× · PEG — 15% evidence | 4.1/20 RS sector -21.8% · RS bench -24.8% · 1Y -8.4%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 16.8 + 21.4 + 9.5 + 4.1 = 51.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 10MarineMax, Inc.HZO | 50.8/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | FADING | 19.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -1.5 pp 45% evidence | 9.3/25 ROCE 2.5% · OPM 2.1% 76% evidence | 8.5/20 P/E 261.6× · PEG — 15% evidence | 13.9/20 RS sector 16.6% · RS bench 13.2% · 1Y 60.1%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19.1 + 9.3 + 8.5 + 13.9 = 50.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 11RHRH | 50.3/100Mixed-positive evidence77% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 13.3/35 Revenue 4.8% · PAT 23.3% · OPM change -2.6 pp 71% evidence | 9.1/25 ROCE 0.9% · OPM 4.3% 76% evidence | 14.2/20 P/E 25.1× · PEG 0.53 65% evidence | 13.7/20 RS sector 1.1% · RS bench -3.3% · 1Y -12.5%8 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 13.3 + 9.1 + 14.2 + 13.7 = 50.3 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is -3.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation. | ||||||
| 12National Vision Holdings, Inc.EYE | 48.1/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence | BASING | 21.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 4.9 pp 45% evidence | 11.1/25 ROCE 2.9% · OPM 8.3% 76% evidence | 9.3/20 P/E 41.6× · PEG — 15% evidence | 6.2/20 RS sector -11.8% · RS bench -15.1% · 1Y 2.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 21.5 + 11.1 + 9.3 + 6.2 = 48.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 13GameStop Corp.GME | 47.4/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence | ASLEEP | 25.3/35 Revenue 1.6% · PAT 100% · OPM change 18.7 pp 95% evidence | 10.1/25 ROCE 1.7% · OPM 17.2% 76% evidence | 10.3/20 P/E 20.1× · PEG — 15% evidence | 1.7/20 RS sector -21.7% · RS bench -24.4% · 1Y -13.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 25.3 + 10.1 + 10.3 + 1.7 = 47.4 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -21.7% and the one-year return is -13.7%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth. | ||||||
| 14Barnes & Noble Education, Inc.BNED | 46.7/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence | LEADER | 14.7/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.8 pp 45% evidence | 5.1/25 ROCE -3.6% · OPM 3.2% 76% evidence | 10.1/20 P/E 21× · PEG — 15% evidence | 16.8/20 RS sector 25% · RS bench 21.2% · 1Y 48.3%12 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14.7 + 5.1 + 10.1 + 16.8 = 46.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 15Tractor Supply CompanyTSCO | 44.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | TURNING | 13.9/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.7 pp 45% evidence | 14.2/25 ROCE 5.6% · OPM 6.5% 76% evidence | 10.7/20 P/E 16.3× · PEG — 15% evidence | 5.6/20 RS sector -34% · RS bench -36.9% · 1Y -44.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 13.9 + 14.2 + 10.7 + 5.6 = 44.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 16Arko Corp.ARKO | 43.3/100Mixed-negative evidence68% evidence | FADING | 15.9/35 Revenue -10.6% · PAT 100% · OPM change 1.2 pp 62% evidence | 6.7/25 ROCE 0.3% · OPM 0.6% 76% evidence | 4.6/20 P/E 29.3× · PEG 3.94 65% evidence | 16.1/20 RS sector 18.9% · RS bench 15.9% · 1Y 53.8%11 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 15.9 + 6.7 + 4.6 + 16.1 = 43.3 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 15.9%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation. | ||||||
| 17Arhaus, Inc.ARHS | 42.7/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence | TURNING | 16.2/35 Revenue 7.4% · PAT 10.3% · OPM change -1 pp 83% evidence | 8.3/25 ROCE 0.2% · OPM 0.7% 76% evidence | 13.1/20 P/E 14.4× · PEG 0.99 65% evidence | 5.1/20 RS sector -15.4% · RS bench -19% · 1Y -26.2%3 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 16.2 + 8.3 + 13.1 + 5.1 = 42.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 18Olaplex Holdings, Inc.OLPX | 42.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | 10.7/35 Revenue 0.9% · PAT -225% · OPM change -13.8 pp 62% evidence | 5.8/25 ROCE -0.3% · OPM -5.1% 76% evidence | 9.0/20 P/E 63.5× · PEG — 15% evidence | 16.9/20 RS sector 28.6% · RS bench 20.4% · 1Y 43.8%5 of 8 weeks ahead to 2026-07-10 70% evidence | |
| Exact sum: 10.7 + 5.8 + 9 + 16.9 = 42.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 191-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.FLWS | 40.0/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | ASLEEP | 20.5/35 Revenue -9.5% · PAT — · OPM change 26.1 pp 62% evidence | 3.3/25 ROCE -17.8% · OPM -32.3% 76% evidence | 8.6/20 P/E 191.2× · PEG — 15% evidence | 7.6/20 RS sector -5.6% · RS bench -9.2% · 1Y -25.5%6 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 20.5 + 3.3 + 8.6 + 7.6 = 40 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 20Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.ASO | 39.9/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence | BASING | 14.7/35 Revenue 3.8% · PAT -1.3% · OPM change 0.1 pp 95% evidence | 11.3/25 ROCE 1.8% · OPM 5.2% 76% evidence | 10.3/20 P/E 9.5× · PEG 1.73 65% evidence | 3.6/20 RS sector -13.5% · RS bench -16.5% · 1Y -1.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14.7 + 11.3 + 10.3 + 3.6 = 39.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 21Savers Value Village, Inc.SVV | 38.5/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 11.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -5.1 pp 45% evidence | 7.3/25 ROCE 0.7% · OPM 3.1% 76% evidence | 9.1/20 P/E 53.6× · PEG — 15% evidence | 10.6/20 RS sector 1.1% · RS bench -3.1% · 1Y -3.8%8 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 11.5 + 7.3 + 9.1 + 10.6 = 38.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 22Ulta Beauty, Inc.ULTA | 38.2/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence | BASING | 13.9/35 Revenue 11.3% · PAT -0.1% · OPM change 0.1 pp 95% evidence | 10.4/25 ROCE 0% · OPM 14.2% 76% evidence | 7.5/20 P/E 19.9× · PEG 2.3 65% evidence | 6.4/20 RS sector -8.3% · RS bench -11.6% · 1Y 9.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 13.9 + 10.4 + 7.5 + 6.4 = 38.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 23OneWater Marine Inc.ONEW | 38.1/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | TURNING | 12.0/35 Revenue 3.1% · PAT — · OPM change -1.7 pp 62% evidence | 7.2/25 ROCE 0.9% · OPM 1.7% 76% evidence | 11.0/20 P/E 10.4× · PEG — 15% evidence | 7.9/20 RS sector -5.3% · RS bench -9.2% · 1Y -16%6 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 12 + 7.2 + 11 + 7.9 = 38.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 24EVgo, Inc.EVGO | 37.5/100Mixed-negative evidence61% evidence | BASING | 21.0/35 Revenue 50.4% · PAT — · OPM change 11.2 pp 62% evidence | 3.5/25 ROCE -4.7% · OPM -33.2% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence | 3.0/20 RS sector -42.9% · RS bench -45.7% · 1Y -50%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 21 + 3.5 + 10 + 3 = 37.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 25Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.WOOF | 36.9/100Mixed-negative evidence67% evidence | TURNING | 13.8/35 Revenue -1.9% · PAT — · OPM change 0.5 pp 71% evidence | 6.1/25 ROCE 0.6% · OPM 1.6% 76% evidence | 8.7/20 P/E 144× · PEG — 15% evidence | 8.3/20 RS sector -7.9% · RS bench -11.4% · 1Y -6.6%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 13.8 + 6.1 + 8.7 + 8.3 = 36.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 26DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.DKS | 35.0/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence | ASLEEP | 12.0/35 Revenue 41.2% · PAT -21.7% · OPM change -2.8 pp 95% evidence | 13.8/25 ROCE 4.4% · OPM 8.7% 76% evidence | 5.6/20 P/E 21.4× · PEG 2.85 65% evidence | 3.6/20 RS sector -13.4% · RS bench -16.2% · 1Y -5%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 12 + 13.8 + 5.6 + 3.6 = 35 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 27Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.BBBY | 31.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | TURNING | 14.2/35 Revenue -14.8% · PAT — · OPM change 2.7 pp 62% evidence | 3.5/25 ROCE -9.8% · OPM -7.3% 76% evidence | 8.9/20 P/E 121.8× · PEG — 15% evidence | 4.8/20 RS sector -19.9% · RS bench -23.5% · 1Y -29.9%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14.2 + 3.5 + 8.9 + 4.8 = 31.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 28Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.BOBS | 48.3/100Thin evidence · provisional28% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 17.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.3 pp 26% evidence | 11.2/25 ROCE 2.7% · OPM 3% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence | 10.0/20 RS sector — · RS bench — · 1Y —7 of 12 weeks ahead 0% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17.1 + 11.2 + 10 + 10 = 48.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.
Frequently asked questions
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s stock price today?
Casey's General Stores, Inc. trades at $851, +62.7% over the past year. The company is valued at $31.0 B. The stock sits at 89% of its 52-week range of $495–$895, +22.4% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 164 weeks in. — as of 5 August 2026.
What were Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s latest quarterly results?
Casey's General Stores, Inc. reported revenue of $4.6 B and net profit of $0.2 B for the Apr 26 quarter. Revenue rose 14.5% and profit rose 60.0% year on year. Earnings per share were $4.37. The operating margin was 5.0%, 1.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s revenue?
Casey's General Stores, Inc. reported revenue of $4.6 B in the Apr 26 quarter, +14.5% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was $17.6 B (+10.2%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 7.9% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s profit?
Casey's General Stores, Inc. earned $0.2 B of net profit in the Apr 26 quarter, +60.0% year on year — the 5th straight quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.7 B. The operating margin ran 5.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s market cap?
Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s market capitalisation is $31.0 B at a stock price of $851. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s P/E ratio?
Casey's General Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.4×, at the 96th percentile of its own 4-year range, against a long-run median of 26.8×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 5 August 2026.
Does Casey's General Stores, Inc. pay a dividend?
Yes — Casey's General Stores, Inc. declared $0.57 per share for Apr 26, and $2.28 per share across the last four reported quarters. The latest quarter is up 14.0% on the same quarter a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s dividend per share?
Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s most recently declared dividend is $0.57 per share for Apr 26, giving $2.28 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s dividend yield?
Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s trailing dividend yield is 0.27%: $2.28 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $851. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 5 August 2026.
Is Casey's General Stores, Inc. overvalued?
On its own history, Casey's General Stores, Inc. looks expensive against its own history: its P/E of 44.4× sits at the 96th percentile of its 4-year range (long-run median 26.8×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. One caveat: margins are the best this company has ever printed — cheap on record margins is not the same thing as cheap. — as of 5 August 2026.
Is Casey's General Stores, Inc. growing?
Yes — Casey's General Stores, Inc. is growing: latest-quarter revenue +14.5% year on year, profit +60.0%, and the margin +1.0 pp at 5.0%. The 4-year compound rates are 7.9% (revenue) and 20.2% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 5 August 2026.
How is Casey's General Stores, Inc. performing?
Casey's General Stores, Inc. is in a confirmed uptrend, 164 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 14.5% and profit rose 60.0% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 1 week. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.
What stage is Casey's General Stores, Inc. in?
Mixed — the growth curves are steadily positive, but ROCE at 14.0% is below the 15% bar this page requires to call it Consistent. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +10.2% latest, profit growth +30.9% latest, eps growth +30.9% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 5 August 2026.
Is Casey's General Stores, Inc. in an uptrend?
Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 164 of stage 2), trading +22.4% versus its 200-day average and at 89% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 5 August 2026.
Is Casey's General Stores, Inc. beating the market?
Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Casey's General Stores, Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (1 week and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-31), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +534% against the S&P 500's +263% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.
Will Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s stock price go up?
This page publishes no price forecast for Casey's General Stores, Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $851, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 164 weeks in. Its P/E of 44.4× sits at the 96th percentile of its own 4-year range. — as of 5 August 2026.
Is the market betting against Casey's General Stores, Inc.?
Somewhat — short interest is 3.6% of Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s tradable float, about 2.3 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.
Does Casey's General Stores, Inc. have too much debt?
It is moderate — Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 0.74. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 5 August 2026.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s capex?
Casey's General Stores, Inc. spent $2.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was $0.7 B. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s cash flow?
Casey's General Stores, Inc. generated $1.4 B of operating cash flow in FY26 and $0.7 B of free cash flow after $0.7 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.7 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.
Is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s profit real cash?
Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 191% of Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was $1.4 B against reported profit of $0.7 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 5 August 2026.
How financially safe is Casey's General Stores, Inc.?
On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 5.53 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That sits well clear of trouble. — as of 5 August 2026.
Where is Casey's General Stores, Inc. in its business cycle?
Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s FY26 operating margin was 5.9%, against a 5-year band of 3.9%–5.9%: the top of the band — a record year. Record profitability is late-cycle territory: every ratio flatters at the top, and the story leans on margins holding. The latest quarter ran 5.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.
What could break the Casey's General Stores, Inc. story?
The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +62.7% in a year while annual EPS moved +30.9% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.
Is Casey's General Stores, Inc. a stock worth studying right now?
This is not investment advice. The machine read: Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s price has outrun its earnings. +62.7% in a year against EPS +30.9% — the market is paying now for delivery later. The sharpest open question: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.