Sector Alpha Week of 24 Sep 2026
Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!
United States / Deep Value Stocks · sub-page of the /markets/us market section

Deep value · profits marching up while the price sleeps

Undervalued US stocks

Profits rising while the price sleeps. Two layers: a quality ranking out of 100, re-read for any name whose price starts moving — 45 points from fundamentals, 20 from the earnings curve, 35 from a management promise-audit — sets the order. A weekly data refresh updates prices, the earnings picture and price alerts. The rank never moves on price alone.

US · vs S&P 500 (SPY) · quality ranking updated weekly for names whose price is moving; latest read 2026-09-15 · prices and alerts refreshed weekly · data as of 24 Sep 2026
31 names are marked provisional: we have graded the numbers but not yet read the management record, so the last part of the score is the typical read of the names we have read (15.5 out of 35) — the score moves either way once that name is read.
What the US data cannot show: we have no record of what the big funds own, the cash-flow figures in a US quarterly filing count from the start of the company's financial year rather than from that quarter alone, and the earnings feed is missing some fourth quarters.
Price alerts — bullish now · 2 weekly closes: price above both its 50- and 200-day averages + beating S&P 500 (SPY) over 13 weeks (S&P 500 (SPY) 13wk +5.24%)
fired DexCom, Inc. B·73.5 13wk +19.47pp· firing 8w fired Qorvo, Inc. B·67.8 13wk +18.69pp· firing 4w fired TAL Education Group B·67.8 13wk +23.66pp· firing 3w fired Integer Holdings Corporation B·63.6 13wk +29.14pp· firing 11w fired Salesforce, Inc. B·58.1 13wk +45.18pp· firing 1w
FIRED = both weeks confirmed. ARMED = one week in place — watch next Friday. Tier C names never appear here: momentum without a real earnings curve is ignored by rule.
Show
Rank by
93 names, one ranked list · 55 full cards, then the compact tail — the not-yet-judged rank last
01

Five Below, Inc.

75.2 /100
Consumer Discretionary · $12.2B
tier Bbasingqual 75.2
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 42.75/45 curve 10.4/20 why 22/35 Leverage: New store openings · Main risk: Tariff reversal assumption: the full-year outlook assumes tariff rates revert to start-of-fiscal-year levels after July 24, 2026; if higher rates persist, the cost base of an imported, mostly $1–5 assortment is directly hit. Promise audit: pending: Q2 FY2026 net sales of $1.18–1.20 billion, comparable sales up approximately 7–9%, approximately 50 new stores, net income of $64–71 million, diluted EPS of $1.15–1.27.
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +63%; price +57% over the same three years. Research kept: the price is not compressed against its own history today. Profit source: supported — other income 4.4% of pretax profit · May 2025 – May 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 173% of profit; latest quarter 184.7% · Aug 2024 – May 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 1.5% → 4%, definition unproven · May 2025 – May 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 2 May 2026 | Cash through 2 May 2026 | Ratios through 2 May 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 3 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +12.82pp 1yr +27.77pp 3yr -27.86pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real in the reported numbers — 22.7% comparable sales plus 7.9% more stores roughly tripled operating income to $154.2 million — but the supplied documents prove the result far better than they prove management's explanation of it, and the margin story rests on one extraordinary quarter that… The Q2 FY2026 report (quarter ending about August 1, 2026, expected around late August/early September 2026): if comparable sales come in below the guided 7% floor or net income below the guided $64 million, the Q1…

02

DLocal Limited

73.5 /100
Technology · $4.1B
tier Bbasingqual 73.5twin: ATUL 0.20
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +5
fund 33.75/45 curve 10.7/20 why 29/35 Leverage: Volume growth from existing merchants scaling across the 44-market footprint (2025 TPV retention 158%, net revenue retention 145%) · Main risk: Take-rate compression outrunning volume growth: gross profit over TPV fell from 1.07% (Q2-25) to 0.84% (Q1-26) to 0.72% (Q2-26), and gross margin from 39% to 32%, as large merchants hit volume pricing tiers and local-to-local mix rises. Promise audit: pending: 2026 TPV growth of 50-60% year-over-year · pending: 2026 gross profit growth of 22.5-27.5% year-over-year
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +50%; price −25% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income 2.8% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: mixed — operating cash 127.5% of profit; latest quarter 221.2% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 8.9% → 9.5%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 3 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +4.14pp 1yr -20.52pp 3yr -104.68pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real, broad-based and cash-backed — payment volume grew 92% year-on-year in the June 2026 quarter and the March free-cash-flow dip reverted exactly as management promised — but the take rate is compressing fast enough that first-half operating profit grew only 15% against full-year guidance of… This read is wrong if the Q3-2026 earnings release (expected ~November 2026 on EDGAR) shows the 2H26 operating leverage failing — specifically, full-year operating profit growth tracking below the 27.5% guidance floor…

03

DexCom, Inc.

73.5 /100
Healthcare · $33.0B
tier Balert livequal 73.5twin: ATUL 0.19alert firing 8w
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +2
fund 41.06/45 curve 12.4/20 why 20/35 Leverage: Stelo / type-2 non-insulin consumer CGM expansion · Main risk: Revenue growth deceleration: year-over-year reported growth fell from 22% in Q3-2025 to 13% in Q2-2026. Promise audit: done: FY2025 revenue of $4.630–4.650 billion (approximately 15% growth), non-GAAP gross margin ~61%, non-GAAP operating margin 20–21%, adjusted EBITDA margin 29–30% (guidance…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +194%; price +0% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income 11% of pretax profit · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 174.2% of profit; latest quarter 108.1% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 4.7% → 7.8%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
alert firing 8 wks
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +19.47pp 1yr +14.44pp 3yr -78.27pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real — 13% revenue growth and a 24.3% GAAP operating margin are confirmed in official results with $1.95B of cash and an undrawn revolver — but the press releases document the recovery better than they explain it (no sourced cause for the 590bps margin jump), and growth has decelerated from 22% to… Year-over-year revenue growth below roughly 8% for two consecutive quarters, or GAAP operating margin falling back below roughly 15%, in results reported through the Q3-2026 earnings release (expected late October 2026)…

Financials · $23.7B
tier Abasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 86/100
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 40.5/45 curve 14.6/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +163%; price +27% over the same three years. Research kept: recent profit is not near its best of the last twelve periods today. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 2.7% → 2.9%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +2.9pp 1yr -24.8pp 3yr -54.59pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

A genuine cash machine: 8Q OCF/PAT 135%, OPM 37→46.5% while revenue nearly doubled in 13 quarters (329→618, Q1-26 +21% YoY), net cash $1.9B, share count +1.5% with buybacks running. This A-grade is wrong if revenue growth decelerates below ~8% YoY for 2 straight quarters (volume cycle turning) or the Dec-25 +$236M non-op item turns out to be a recurring accounting re-measurement that has been…

05

Autodesk, Inc.

68.2 /100
Technology · $44.2B
tier Abasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 83/100twin: INSOLATION 0.63
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 39.94/45 curve 12.8/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +70%; price +6% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income 4.2% of pretax profit · May 2025 – Apr 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 180.1% of profit; latest quarter 181.9% · Jul 2024 – Apr 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 4.1% → 8.8%, definition unproven · Apr 2025 – Apr 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Apr 2026 | Cash through 30 Apr 2026 | Ratios through 30 Apr 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +2.45pp 1yr -50.46pp 3yr -74.66pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The cleanest funding profile in the batch: net cash +$200M, zero net debt issuance, $3.2B of 8Q buybacks shrinking diluted shares, and revenue ACCELERATING 12 straight quarters (+8.7% -> +18.4% YoY) with OPM up from 21.4% to 25.2% (first4 vs last4 avg) — the FY24-25 billing-model transition noise has fully washed… This read is wrong if revenue growth decelerates below ~12% (AI seat-erosion showing up in the numbers, making 36x expensive) or if the Apr-26 NI spike (+223% YoY, aided by lapping the Apr-25 restructuring-charge…

06

Qorvo, Inc.

67.8 /100
Technology · $10.3B
tier Balert livequal 67.8alert firing 4w
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +2
fund 30.38/45 curve 12.4/20 why 25/35 Leverage: Gross-margin expansion from revenue-mix optimization within and across segments plus cost and productivity initiatives · Main risk: Merger regulatory risk: the FTC issued a Second Request on February 5, 2026, extending the HSR waiting period for the Skyworks deal that now carries the forward story; failure would trigger a $298.7 million termination fee (or $100.0 million antitrust-failure fee from Skyworks to Qorvo). Promise audit: management says done — not proved by the numbers: December 2025 quarter: revenue approximately $985 million plus or minus $50 million, non-GAAP gross margin between 47% and 49%…
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +407%; price +28% over the same year. Research kept: recent profit is not near its best of the last twelve periods today. Profit source: supported — other income -2.3% of pretax profit · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 310.3% of profit; latest quarter 162.6% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 0.6% → 1.9%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 27 Jun 2026 | Cash through 27 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 27 Jun 2026 | Research dated 6 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
alert firing 4 wks
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +18.69pp 1yr +9.15pp 3yr -54.64pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings jump is real and management has proven why — gross margin expanded from 40.5% to 51.1% (GAAP, year-over-year in the June 2026 quarter) through revenue-mix optimization and cost/productivity execution, confirmed across two guidance cycles — but it happened on shrinking revenue, and the forward story is now… Two measurable conditions would break this read: (1) the Skyworks merger is blocked or terminated (watch the FTC Second Request process and the exchange offers open until September 1, 2026), which removes the forward…

07

TAL Education Group

67.8 /100
Consumer Staples · $6.8B
tier Balert livequal 67.8twin: INSOLATION 0.35alert firing 3w
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +2
fund 35.44/45 curve 13.4/20 why 19/35 Leverage: Deferred revenue (prepaid tuition) converting into recognized revenue · Main risk: Reported net income is dominated by reversible mark-to-market investment gains, not operations Promise audit: partly done: Share repurchase program of up to US$600 million of common shares over 12 months, authorized July 28, 2025 · done: "our net revenues continued their steady growth…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +1282%; price +47% over the same two years. Profit source: mixed — other income 66.6% of pretax profit · Jun 2025 – May 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 120.5% of profit; latest quarter 117% · Aug 2024 – May 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 0.4% → 3.2%, definition unproven · May 2025 – May 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 May 2026 | Cash through 31 May 2026 | Ratios through 31 May 2026 | Research dated 4 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 2 wks
alert firing 3 wks
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk +23.66pp 1yr -6.81pp 3yr -9.22pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The operating recovery is real — revenue up 31.9% with operating income up from US$14.3 million to US$137.2 million in the newest quarter — but roughly three-quarters of the headline profit is mark-to-market investment gains that management itself calls fluctuations, and the press releases name the businesses driving… If other income, net falls back under roughly US$50 million per quarter in the next two reported releases (Q2 FY27 expected late October 2026 and Q3 FY27 expected late January 2027, based on the company's release…

08

Avient Corporation

67.3 /100
Materials · $3.7B
tier Bbasingqual 67.3twin: INSOLATION 0.36
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +2
fund 31.5/45 curve 10.8/20 why 25/35 Leverage: Organic sales growth from share gains, pricing and new products in Packaging, Building & Construction and Electronics/High Performance Computing end markets · Main risk: High absolute leverage: net debt of roughly $1,450 million against guided 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $575–603 million, with net interest expense of about $22 million per quarter. Promise audit: management says done — not proved by the numbers: Q2 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $0.89 · pending: Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.93–$3.17, raised on August 6, 2026 to…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings −73%; price +13% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income -41.8% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 217.6% of profit; latest quarter -61.8% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 0% → 1.9%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 1 wk
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk +2.33pp 1yr +8.26pp 3yr -63.14pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real and explained: Q2 2026 GAAP EPS rose to $0.70 from $0.57 on 4.3% organic sales growth and a record 18.3% adjusted EBITDA margin, and management's stated drivers (share gains, pricing, mix, productivity) match the segment-level numbers — but GAAP profit remains far below the adjusted figures… This read is wrong if full-year 2026 adjusted EPS comes in below $3.10 (the bottom of the raised guidance) or if Q3 2026 organic sales growth turns negative — either would show that the record-margin, share-gains story…

Consumer Discretionary · $3.1B
tier Abasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 81/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.73negative book value — P/BV not meaningful
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 36/45 curve 15.8/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +88%; price +8% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income -28.7% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 199.4% of profit; latest quarter 284.8% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 2.9% → 3.5%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 2 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -28.03pp 1yr -76.64pp 3yr -88.49pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

Franchise-royalty staircase that never broke: NI up 8/8 YoY quarters, OPM 26.1%→30.0% (first4 vs last4 avg), revenue re-accelerating to +21.9% YoY (Mar-26) on the pricing reset, and cash conversion at 199% OCF/PAT with SBC a trivial 2.8% of OCF. This read is wrong if revenue growth falls back below ~8% for 2+ quarters (pricing-reset benefit exhausted, member growth stalling) or interest expense (already −$26.7M/q, 37% of pretax drag vs opinc) rises while OCF…

Financials · $2.5B
tier Bbasingqual 66.8
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 32.06/45 curve 12.7/20 why 22/35 Leverage: CrossFirst merger expense synergies · Main risk: Falling rates compress margin faster than loan repricing offsets Promise audit: pending: $25.0 million annual pre-tax CrossFirst expense synergies, 50% realized in 2025 and 100% in 2026 · pending: Balance sheet optimization largely complete, with relative…
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings −7%; price +58% over the same three years. Research kept: the price is not compressed against its own history today. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 2.5% → 2.6%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 6 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 2 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -4.57pp 1yr +9.08pp 3yr -21.58pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings step-up is real — the completed all-stock CrossFirst merger roughly doubled the bank, and the one readable document shows the margin and cost engines working (deliberate runoff of $794.6 million of 4.45%-cost deposits, synergies on track, charge-offs at 0.17%) — but with only one quarter of management… Net charge-offs above roughly 0.40% annualized (versus 0.17% in Q3 2025) or classified assets above roughly 8% of capital for two consecutive quarters through 2026 — driven by provision expense or charge-offs in the…

Technology · $25.8B
tier Abasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 84/100
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 38.81/45 curve 12.5/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +8%; price −14% over the same three years. Research kept: recent profit is not near its best of the last twelve periods today. Profit source: supported — other income 1.6% of pretax profit · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 94% of profit; latest quarter 86.7% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 5% → 5.1%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +37.58pp 1yr -30.57pp 3yr -96.11pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The dilution flag in the dispatch is DISPROVEN — CTSH is the opposite: diluted shares 513M -> 477M (-7.0% over 14Q), $2,294M repurchased over 8Q plus a $1,163M single-quarter buyback in Jun-26 (~4% of mcap in 90 days). The A-grade is wrong if revenue growth turns negative YoY or OPM drops below 14% for 2 consecutive quarters (AI deflation finally hitting seats/pricing), or if buybacks become majority debt-funded while OCF shrinks …

Financials · $6.7B
tier Cbasingqual 66.3twin: ATUL 0.35
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +2
fund 37.69/45 curve 14.6/20 why 14/35 Leverage: U.S. commercial title revenue growth · Main risk: Residential market weakness: direct title orders closed fell 1% YoY in Q2 2026 and mix shifted to lower-premium refinance transactions. Promise audit: pending: Commercial business on pace for a record year in 2026 · done: Continued success in capturing additional deposit sources at the bank, growing investment income despite a…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +213%; price +19% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 3% → 4.1%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 4 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -7.42pp 1yr -14.97pp 3yr -65.76pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real and cleanly explained — commercial title revenue (up 34–48% year over year) and deposit-driven investment income are lifting revenue and title margins even as the core residential order count shrinks — but only two quarters of sourced management commentary exist, so the qualitative record is… If U.S. commercial revenue posts a year-over-year decline (or average commercial revenue per order falls back toward $15,000) while residential direct order counts keep falling, the only proven growth engine is gone…

13

PTC Inc.

66.2 /100
Technology · $14.9B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 76/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.75
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 34.88/45 curve 15.8/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +302%; price −4% over the same three years. Profit source: mixed — other income 26.3% of pretax profit · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 104.6% of profit; latest quarter 219.4% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 4.4% → 3.1%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 2 wks
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk +13.5pp 1yr -48.22pp 3yr -80.54pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

Cash conversion is real (8Q OCF/PAT 105%, ~133% ex-one-off) and funding is shareholder-friendly (shares −0.3% over 13Q, $1.4B bought back in 4 quarters), but the earnings staircase is partly an accounting artifact: ASC-606 upfront license recognition makes quarters lumpy (Sep-25 OPM 48.5%), the Mar-26 EPS of 4.98 is… This B-grade is wrong (up) if deferred revenue returns to YoY growth and the Jun-26 income quarter (once loaded) shows operating NI ≥ prior year — then the deferred-rev dip was divestiture-perimeter noise and this is an…

Financials
tier Bbasingqual 66twin: ATUL 0.42stored mcap 2.7x overstated — $1.10B true
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +2
fund 29.81/45 curve 13.2/20 why 23/35 Leverage: Deposit and borrowing repricing after the 2025 rate cuts, extending the margin expansion begun by the 2024 repositioning · Main risk: New Jersey commercial real estate credit deterioration Promise audit: done: The Q4 2024 balance-sheet repositioning (sell low-yield securities, prepay high-cost borrowings, absorb a $37.9M pre-tax loss) would improve net interest margin · partly…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings −8%; price −26% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 0.8% → 1.2%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +13.51pp 1yr +45.98pp 3yr -105.59pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real and well-explained: a deliberately disclosed 2024 balance-sheet repositioning plus falling deposit costs lifted net interest margin from 1.88% to 2.42% over five quarters while credit costs fell, but only two usable documents cap confidence in the record. Net interest margin fails to rise for two consecutive quarters (flat or down QoQ) while non-performing loans climb past roughly 0.6% of gross loans — that would show the deposit-repricing tailwind is spent and NJ CRE…

Financials · $7.8B
tier Cbasingqual 66twin: ZAGGLE 0.68latest income statement not yet published — profit data ends Mar 2026
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +2
fund 38.25/45 curve 13.8/20 why 14/35 Leverage: Growth outside Commercial Property powered by submission flow · Main risk: Softening E&S pricing spreads from Commercial Property to the rest of the book as standard carriers compete on rate Promise audit: management says done — not proved by the numbers: Continued strong submission flow across most divisions would sustain growth outside Commercial Property (stated in Q3 2025…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +131%; price −13% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 9% → 9.4%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 15 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 5 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -1.56pp 1yr -34.72pp 3yr -98.33pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real and well-explained — underwriting income grew because net earned premiums rose on higher reinsurance retention while catastrophe losses fell and prior-year reserves developed favorably, and investment income compounded on cash-flow-driven portfolio growth — but the gross premium top line is… This read is wrong if the next quarterly release (Q2 2026, expected late July 2026 on the company's IR site) shows ex-Commercial-Property gross written premium growth turning negative year over year, or a combined ratio…

Healthcare · $64.8B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 77/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.76
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 37.13/45 curve 13.1/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +312%; price −20% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income -7.6% of pretax profit · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 143% of profit; latest quarter 162.9% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 2.4% → 3.1%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 2 wks
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk -4.22pp 1yr -70.41pp 3yr -94.88pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The graph is a genuine earnings staircase — revenue +17.4% TTM, PBT +51%, 146% cash conversion, negligible SBC, debt flat on growing equity — yet the price halved via two discrete crash days (Feb-4-26 −17.6%, May-27-26 −12.5%). this read (B, not A) is wrong if the Jun-26 quarter prints revenue growth still >=12% YoY with OPM >=18% and no charge — that would prove the crashes were multiple compression, upgrade to A; conversely wrong the other…

Industrials · $14.9B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 76/100twin: ATUL 0.33
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 36.56/45 curve 12.4/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +144%; price +95% over the same two years. Profit source: mixed — other income 50.4% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: mixed — operating cash 261.8% of profit; latest quarter 161.5% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 6.1% → 8%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 2 wks
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk -17.28pp 1yr +0.33pp 3yr -173.41pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The −94% 'price crush' is not pessimism — it is the Chapter 11 old-equity wipeout; post-reorg this is a rallying stock, so the screen's depressed-price premise is void. This B-grade is wrong (up to A) if op margin holds ≥16% through two more quarters WITH fuel/FX normalizing, buybacks continue, and the total non operating income lines resolve as recurring FX noise rather than one-off…

Financials · $1.8B
tier Bbasingqual 64.4twin: ZAGGLE 0.41
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 33.19/45 curve 11.2/20 why 20/35 Leverage: Title market-share growth through agent acquisitions in target MSAs · Main risk: Debt-funded acquisition drag: notes payable jumped about 200 million in the December 2025 quarter and six-month interest expense rose 52% to 15,067 thousand. If the acquired businesses do not add earnings, the interest cost eats the margin-expansion story. Promise audit: pending: Pursue share growth 15%+ by 2028 · pending: Target margin of 12% in 5.0 - million - unit existing home sales market
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +142%; price +42% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 2.5% → 2.7%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 4 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -18.27pp 1yr -35.55pp 3yr -42.64pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real in the filed numbers — revenue up roughly 25% and net income up in each of the last four quarters — and management says it comes from winning market share while home sales sit at 30-year lows, but with no earnings-call transcript and only one commentary document, that explanation rests on a… This read is wrong if the Q3 2026 10-Q (expected around early November 2026, based on the prior-year filing that showed an October 30, 2025 share-count date) shows revenue growth slowing below roughly 10% year over year…

Technology · $18.5B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 74/100twin: INSOLATION 0.76negative book value — P/BV not meaningful
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 34.88/45 curve 13.8/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +110%; price +7% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income -16.1% of pretax profit · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 123.2% of profit; latest quarter 160.4% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 21.3% → 30.4%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 2 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -32.83pp 1yr -59.53pp 3yr -81.95pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

What broke is SPECIFIC and regulatory: the mortgage-score franchise lost its guaranteed monopoly (FHFA opening conforming mortgages to a rival score) plus political pressure on FICO's aggressive royalty hikes — while the numbers show the pricing power still working (Mar-26 revenue +38.7% YoY at 58.2% OPM, 121% cash… this read is wrong if scores revenue growth stays >=20% YoY for 2 more quarters WITH no regulatory cap enacted and rival-score mortgage adoption staying negligible — then the pessimism was generic headline fear and this…

Healthcare · $4.3B
tier Balert livequal 63.6twin: INSOLATION 0.38alert firing 11w
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +2
fund 33.75/45 curve 11.9/20 why 18/35 Leverage: Cardio & Vascular growth from new Electrophysiology product ramps plus the Precision Coating and VSi Parylene acquisitions · Main risk: KKR deal completion risk — stockholder approval, regulatory approvals or buyer financing could fail, collapsing the price back toward standalone value Promise audit: management says done — not proved by the numbers: 2025 outlook: sales $1,840-$1,854M, adjusted operating income $319-$325M, adjusted EBITDA $398-$404M, adjusted EPS $6.29-$6.43 ·…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +93%; price +60% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income -28.2% of pretax profit · Mar 2025 – Apr 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 183.3% of profit; latest quarter 149.6% · Jun 2024 – Apr 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 1.7% → 1%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Apr 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 3 Apr 2026 | Cash through 3 Apr 2026 | Ratios through 3 Apr 2026 | Research dated 14 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
alert firing 11 wks
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +29.14pp 1yr +8.39pp 3yr -18.49pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The 2025 earnings rise was real and well-explained — new electrophysiology product ramps, two coatings acquisitions and neurovascular demand — but the question has changed: KKR signed a definitive agreement on August 3, 2026 to pay $127 a share in cash, so this stock is now a bet on deal completion, not on the… The deal-based read is wrong if the KKR transaction terminates — a failed stockholder vote, a regulatory block, or a financing collapse would return the stock to standalone fundamentals, where two straight quarters of…

Technology · $36.0B
tier Bbasingqual 63.5twin: ATUL 0.42
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 38.81/45 curve 13.7/20 why 11/35 Leverage: Acquisition-led growth in vertical software (CentralReach, Subsplash, and earlier Procare, Transact Campus, Syntellis) · Main risk: Rising cost of debt compressing the gap between operating growth and bottom-line growth: net interest expense was $111.4M in the June 2026 quarter versus $79.1M a year earlier, on total debt of about $11,319.4 million.
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +112%; price −25% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income 22.2% of pretax profit · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 125.6% of profit; latest quarter 40.2% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 1.9% → 1.9%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 4 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +2.36pp 1yr -43.02pp 3yr -104.7pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The operating improvement is real but modest — revenue rose 8.5% and operating income 6.6% in the latest quarter — while the headline profit tripling came mostly from a one-time $835.2 million equity investment gain, not from operations. If the 10-Q for the quarter ending September 30, 2026 (due around end of October 2026) shows pre-tax profit excluding equity investment gains declining year over year while quarterly net interest expense exceeds roughly…

22

VTEX

62.4 /100
Technology · $0.6B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 75/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.44
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 35.44/45 curve 11.5/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +429%; price −51% over the same two years. Profit source: supported — other income 3.9% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 181.7% of profit; latest quarter 329.9% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE -0.1% → 2.2%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -16.13pp 1yr -32.59pp 3yr -105.81pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

A real operating-leverage inflection dressed in SBC: gross margin 65.5%→79.8% and OPM -21.3%→+9.6/16.5% over 13 quarters while revenue compounds +8-12%, and the Dec-quarter PAT staircase (3.2→6.8→9.8) is a repeating seasonal shape, not one-offs. this read is wrong if revenue growth decays below ~5% YoY (operating leverage runs out of top-line to lever), if the Dec-26 holiday quarter fails to grow PAT YoY breaking the staircase, or if SBC stays at ~$16-17M/yr…

23

monday.com Ltd.

62.2 /100
Technology · $3.6B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 71/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.65
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 31.5/45 curve 15.2/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +188%; price −70% over the same two years. Profit source: mixed — other income 86.8% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 416.8% of profit; latest quarter 373.4% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: supported — ROCE 0.9% → 1.9% · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 1 wk
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk +12.54pp 1yr -74.29pp 3yr -123.46pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The graph is a real compounding machine at the CASH level and a treasury illusion at the GAAP level: 8Q OCF/PAT is 417% ($717.1M vs $172.1M), but cumulative 8Q OPERATING income is just $2.0M — treasury interest ($10-18M/q, >25% of pretax in 7 of the last 8 quarters, 118% in Sep-25) plus a one-off $60.8M Dec-25 tax… This B(+) is wrong if revenue growth decays below ~15% YoY, if operating margin slips back negative for 2+ quarters (proving the P&L never escapes treasury dependence), or if buybacks stop while SBC stays >$150M/yr so…

Financials · $9.9B
tier Bbasingqual 61.1
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 34.31/45 curve 12.8/20 why 14/35 Leverage: Post-merger share repurchases shrinking the share count · Main risk: Credit problems imported from the Independent merger book
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +35%; price +52% over the same three years. Research kept: the price is not compressed against its own history today. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 3% → 2.6%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 6 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 3 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -4.72pp 1yr -15.2pp 3yr -27.28pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings jump is real in the filings — a completed merger plus merger-charge roll-off — but the evidence window contains no management explanation of the quarterly drivers and no forward target to test, so the qualitative case rests on the reported numbers alone. If the Q2 2026 10-Q shows quarterly provision for credit losses above roughly $30 million for a second straight quarter, or OREO continuing to climb from its $26.1 million level, the merger imported credit problems and…

Financials · $5.1B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 76/100twin: ATUL 0.26
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 35.44/45 curve 10.1/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +82%; price −17% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 2.7% → 3.7%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 4 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -16.18pp 1yr -8.5pp 3yr -96.58pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

Classic combined-ratio-recovery shape: the single loss quarter (Q2-24, EPS -1.08) was the casualty reserve strengthening, and every quarter since is a clean staircase — annual netinc company 365.2 (2023) → 207.0 (charge year 2024) → 466.3 (2025, +28% above the pre-damage level), with premium revenue up every single… this read is wrong if fresh adverse casualty reserve development appears in any 2026-27 quarter, or renewal pure-price drops below loss-cost trend (combined ratio back toward 100 — Q2-24-style earnings air pocket…

Healthcare · $4.7B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 69/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.70
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 32.06/45 curve 13.3/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +46%; price −32% over the same year. Profit source: supported — other income -41.4% of pretax profit · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 270.7% of profit; latest quarter 145.4% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 1.5% → 1.5%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 16 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +18.58pp 1yr -50.32pp 3yr — vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The loss-to-profit staircase is real cash (8Q OCF/PAT 364%, OCF scaled 11→85/qtr) but roughly half the NI swing is interest-expense refi after the IPO repaid $909M of LBO debt, not operating improvement, and the last two quarters' step-up rides a ~$1.5B Dec-25 acquisition (goodwill +$997M, +$390M debt, +16M shares). This B-grade is wrong (up) if the next 2 quarters show organic revenue growth ≥12% ex-acquisition with OPM ≥24% and net debt falling — then the curve is a compounder mispriced by IPO overhang; wrong (down) if OCF/qtr…

27

Lyft, Inc.

60.8 /100
Technology · $5.6B
tier Bbasingqual 60.8twin: ZAGGLE 0.30
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 30.38/45 curve 13.4/20 why 17/35 Leverage: Freenow acquisition (European multimodal/taxi expansion) · Main risk: Cost re-acceleration erasing the operating turnaround: Q1 2026 marketing and administrative spending grew several times faster than revenue, returning the company to an operating loss Promise audit: partly done: Expectations regarding the Freenow acquisition and its anticipated benefits over time (referenced in the Q2 2025 10-Q forward-looking statements before the deal…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +2754%; price −33% over the same year. Profit source: unknown — Pretax profit over 2025-04-01 to 2026-03-31 is -39,396,000, which is not a positive number, so a percentage would be… · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 74.5% of profit; latest quarter 2159.2% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: supported — ROCE -1.8% → -0.2% · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 3 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 4 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -1.88pp 1yr -48.48pp 3yr -29.85pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is only partly real: revenue growth of roughly 14% year over year and strong operating cash flow are genuine, but headline profit is dominated by a one-time Q4 2025 gain — the accumulated deficit improved by about $2.76 billion in that single quarter — and GAAP operating profit slipped back to a… This read is wrong if GAAP operating margin, excluding one-time items, falls back below -3% of revenue for two consecutive quarters over the next two to three quarters, or if quarterly operating cash flow drops below…

28

Kanzhun Limited

60.7 /100
Communication Services · $6.4B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 71/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.51reports in local currency — PE not comparable
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 32.06/45 curve 13.1/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +648%; price +2% over the same three years. Profit source: mixed — other income 34.4% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 163% of profit; latest quarter 105.7% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 2.9% → 3.4%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps — feed under repair
reports in local currency — PE not comparable
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 4 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +1.76pp 1yr -54.09pp 3yr -84.56pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

A genuine cash machine wearing a China discount: 8Q OCF RMB 8,379.5M vs PAT 5,141.6M = 163% conversion, operating margin exploded 12.0% -> 31.5% (first-4 vs last-4), and net cash RMB 20.4B (~$2.85B) is 39% of the entire market cap. The B-grade (and the opportunity read) is wrong if revenue growth goes below ~+3% YoY or op margin rolls over below 25% for 2 straight quarters (the cycle risk realizing), or wrong upward if revenue re-accelerates past…

29

Inter & Co, Inc.

60.5 /100
Financials · $2.2B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 74/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.55reports in local currency — PE not comparable
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 32.63/45 curve 12.4/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +26%; price −39% over the same year. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 3.5% → 4.3%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps — feed under repair
reports in local currency — PE not comparable
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 2 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -12.22pp 1yr -60.56pp 3yr -55.42pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

In R$ the graph is a flawless staircase: revenue 1,400.5→2,441.0 (+74%) and PAT 194.9→417.5 (+114%) over 9 quarters, PAT up SEQUENTIALLY 8 of 8, ROE climbing 9.1%→16.0% annualized with pretax margin steady ~19.5% and book value +21% self-funded on only +4.6% share creep — while the ADR is −48.4% off its high and fell… this read is wrong if provisioning/credit cost is deteriorating beneath the aggregate cor line (a provisions check from the actual filings showing coverage falling while the loan book grows would break the staircase's…

Consumer Staples · $2.5B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 74/100twin: ATUL 0.10
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 34.88/45 curve 9.8/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · data incomplete confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +55%; price −15% over the same three years. Two listings of this company report materially different figures for a period this comparison uses. Profit source: unknown — Other income is missing for 2025-06-28, 2025-09-27, 2025-12-27, 2026-03-28, so the share cannot be worked out. · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 238.2% of profit; latest quarter -62.5% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: supported — ROCE 8% → 8.8% · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 28 Mar 2026 | Cash through 28 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 28 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 5 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -17.26pp 1yr +2.98pp 3yr -93.62pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The curve (corr 0.11 — shape weak, judged on numbers) is a cost-out margin staircase on a flat-to-declining top line: FY revenue 3,310→3,200→3,129 while peak-quarter OPM went 8.6%→11.0%→11.8%→12.6% (Mar quarters) and FY PAT 125.6→107.9→162.8. this read is wrong if the Mar/Jun-2027 seasonal peak quarters fail to grow PAT YoY, or revenue decline steepens past -5% (cost-out is the whole story and it exhausts), or buybacks stop while the Dec/Sep loss quarters…

Industrials · $3.0B
tier Calert livequal 60.1twin: ATUL 0.16alert firing 1w
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 34.88/45 curve 11.2/20 why 14/35 Leverage: Integration of completed acquisitions (Elgen Manufacturing and LSI Group) into the Building Products segment · Main risk: Earnings depend on joint-venture equity income (about two-thirds of Q4 pre-tax earnings), and the largest JV contributor after WAVE is already declining Promise audit: pending: Ongoing facility modernization projects remain on track and are expected to be completed during fiscal 2027 · pending: Fiscal 2027 focus on innovation, transformation and…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings −46%; price −15% over the same three years. Profit source: mixed — other income 62.2% of pretax profit · Jun 2025 – May 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 174.3% of profit; latest quarter 149% · Aug 2024 – May 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE -2.1% → 1.5%, definition unproven · May 2025 – May 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 May 2026 | Cash through 31 May 2026 | Ratios through 31 May 2026 | Research dated 3 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 2 wks
alert firing 1 wk
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk +1.82pp 1yr -5.02pp 3yr -90.37pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The fiscal 2026 earnings jump is only partly real operating improvement — acquisitions added $44.1 million of quarterly sales and Consumer Products margins genuinely rose — but most of the headline GAAP jump (diluted EPS $0.08 to $0.97) comes from lapping a $52.2 million prior-year write-down, adjusted EPS actually… Equity income from unconsolidated affiliates falls below roughly $25 million for two consecutive quarters (it was $38.1 million in Q4 FY26), or Building Products adjusted EBITDA declines again in FY27 despite…

Technology · $1.1B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 70/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.44
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 31.5/45 curve 13/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +33%; price −76% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income -17.2% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 497.7% of profit; latest quarter 391.5% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 0.9% → 1%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 2 wks
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk +30.4pp 1yr -82.01pp 3yr -153.52pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The graph shows a business whose revenue has gone nowhere in three years — 308.6M in Q2-2023 vs 310.2M in Q1-2026, with a dip to 291.5M mid-2024 — while operating margin held ~19% and GAAP PAT recovered from a -24.4M loss quarter (Q2-2024) to ~30M/quarter. This read is wrong if quarterly revenue breaks below the 2024-06-30 trough of 291.5M within the next two to three reported quarters — that would confirm the annuity is actually melting, and a 31% FCF yield on a…

33

Kenvue Inc.

59.1 /100
Consumer Staples · $33.8B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 70/100
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 31.5/45 curve 12.1/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings −17%; price −15% over the same three years. Research kept: profit growth is below the 25% discovery rule today. Profit source: supported — other income -18.3% of pretax profit · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 143.6% of profit; latest quarter 150.9% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 3.3% → 3.3%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 28 Jun 2026 | Cash through 28 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 28 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 15 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -13.18pp 1yr -8.67pp 3yr -92.55pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The Marks question was specific-vs-real damage, and the P&L answers it: through the autumn-2025 Tylenol political attack, revenue GREW +3.2% then +4.5% YoY and Mar-26 delivered the best quarter since the spin (netinc company 474, +47% YoY, OM 19.6% series high) — the damage was headline-specific, not demand-specific… this read is wrong if litigation converts from headline to material liability (a reserved settlement or adverse verdict — the discount was right), or if revenue growth slips back below zero for 2 consecutive quarters…

34

Wise Group plc

58.9 /100
Technology · $11.6B
tier Cbasingqual 58.9EPS series irregular at source — latest TTM unavailable
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +5
fund 33.75/45 curve 11.1/20 why 14/35 Leverage: Customer and cross-border volume growth converting to transaction revenue · Main risk: Structural take-rate compression: the price per unit of volume has declined in every disclosed quarter (0.64% to 0.50% over nine quarters), and management is deliberately reinvesting operating leverage into lower prices. Promise audit: done: FY26 net revenue growth within the 15-20% medium-term target range · done: FY26 income before tax margin within the 20-25% guided range
why it qualifies · data incomplete confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
The reporting rhythm could not be read, so the age of the newest result is unknown. Profit source: unknown — A comparable twelve months of profit could not be built from the reported periods, so the share of other income is not… · Sep 2025 · 4 periods Cash backing: mixed — operating cash 1292.1% of profit; latest half year 1434.4% · Mar 2023 – Sep 2025 · 4 half years Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 0% → 0%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Sep 2025 | Cash through 30 Sep 2025 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 8 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 6 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 5 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -12.54pp 1yr -37.69pp 3yr -44.99pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise looks real — revenue and profit growth is driven by measurable customer and volume growth plus a disclosed, deliberate take-rate trade-off — but the qualitative record here covers only two of the last four quarters, so conviction is capped. This read is wrong if the Q2 FY27 results (due around mid-November 2026 via the company's SEC 6-K and owners.wise.com) show constant-currency net revenue growth below 15% or an income before tax margin trending below…

Industrials · $4.7B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 64/100twin: ATUL 0.56
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 28.69/45 curve 14.7/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +54%; price −12% over the same year. Profit source: supported — other income -180.3% of pretax profit · Mar 2025 – Apr 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 488.4% of profit; latest quarter 416.7% · Jun 2024 – Apr 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 2.2% → 1.6%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Apr 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 3 Apr 2026 | Cash through 3 Apr 2026 | Ratios through 3 Apr 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 7 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -9.44pp 1yr -29.96pp 3yr — vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The graph the screen matched (PAT corr 0.91 to Atul) is real cash underneath - 488% OCF/PAT conversion, SBC negligible - but the staircase is manufactured by deleveraging (interest -111/q to -73/q on 752m of debt repaid from cash) plus ~0.8pp of merger-synergy margin, on a top line that is organically FLAT… this read is wrong toward A if organic revenue turns >=+3% YoY for 2 straight quarters with OPM >=5% (synergies + book-to-bill working) while debt keeps falling ~150m/q; wrong toward C if federal…

36

Salesforce, Inc.

58.1 /100
Technology · $196.1B
tier Balert livequal 58.1twin: ZAGGLE 0.68alert firing 1w
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 36.56/45 curve 15.5/20 why 6/35 Leverage: Share-count shrink from the debt-funded accelerated buyback (the only forward driver visible in the filings; no management-stated revenue or margin driver exists in the supplied extracts) · Main risk: Debt-funded buyback leverage: noncurrent debt jumped from $10,439m to $39,280m in a single quarter to fund buybacks, and quarterly interest expense rose from $68m to $317m, eating into the operating income that was $2,347m in the latest quarter.
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +591%; price +14% over the same three years. Profit source: unknown — Other income is missing for 2025-10-31, 2026-01-31, 2026-04-30, 2026-07-31, so the share cannot be worked out. · Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 177.2% of profit; latest quarter 36% · Oct 2024 – Jul 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: mixed — ROCE 11.2% → 11.4% · Jul 2025 – Jul 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Jul 2026 | Cash through 31 Jul 2026 | Ratios through 31 Jul 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 3 wks since beat
alert firing 1 wk
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +45.18pp 1yr -18.06pp 3yr -62.84pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real in the reported numbers — subscription revenue up double digits with operating income also up — but the evidence window contains only numeric 10-Q filings with no management commentary, so neither the cause of the growth nor management's track record on promises can be verified from these… This read is wrong if the FY27-Q2 10-Q (expected around August-September 2026) shows subscription and support revenue growth, excluding acquisitions, below roughly 6% year over year, or shows operating income declining…

37

TransUnion

58 /100
Financials · $12.9B
tier Cbasingqual 58twin: ZAGGLE 0.77latest income statement not yet published — profit data ends Mar 2026
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +5
fund 29.81/45 curve 14.2/20 why 14/35 Leverage: Trans Union de Mexico acquisition · Main risk: FICO's new Mortgage Direct License Program could divert the mortgage royalty and volumes that are currently inflating growth Promise audit: management says done — not proved by the numbers: Raised FY2025 guidance: 8 to 8.5 percent revenue growth, Adjusted Diluted EPS $4.19-$4.25, Adjusted EBITDA margin 35.9-36.0% ·…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +203%; price −2% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 2.5% → 3.1%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 6 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 4 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -9.23pp 1yr -36.64pp 3yr -86.25pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings recovery is real — revenue, operating income and operating cash flow all grew across the four quarters, and management's segment-level explanations match the filed numbers — but the headline Q1-2026 profit spike rests on a one-time $225.5M gain on acquiring control of its Mexico affiliate, and roughly 3… FY2026 organic constant-currency revenue excluding the FICO mortgage royalty comes in below the guided +5% to +6%, or the FICO Mortgage Direct License Program diverts mortgage volumes — either would show the growth…

Healthcare · $3.8B
tier Cbasingqual 57.7twin: ATUL 0.07
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility +5
fund 24.19/45 curve 10.5/20 why 23/35 Leverage: DAYBUE STIX (powder formulation) launch expanding the Rett syndrome patient pool · Main risk: SG&A escalation is outpacing revenue growth and has already pushed one quarter (Q1 2026) to an operating loss; the growth story requires this spend to convert into profit. Promise audit: done: FY2025 total revenues of $1.070 to $1.095 billion · done: Surpass $1 billion in 2025 sales
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +1122%; price +65% over the same two years. Profit source: mixed — other income 29.7% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: mixed — operating cash 45.1% of profit; latest quarter 934.3% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 2.9% → -0.4%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 2 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -17.64pp 1yr -10.55pp 3yr -84.1pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The double-digit revenue growth is real and product-level proven (DAYBUE +30% on the STIX launch, NUPLAZID growing on a bigger sales force), but the headline profit staircase is mostly tax accounting, and the operating engine is currently being squeezed by a 35%-type SG&A build whose payoff is still pending. This read is wrong if full-year 2026 revenue lands below the raised $1.24 billion guidance floor or the company posts a full-year operating loss - i.e., DAYBUE STIX uptake stalls below the $480M guide and the SG&A build…

39

StandardAero, Inc.

57.3 /100
Industrials · $7.2B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 60/100twin: ATUL 0.55
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 29.81/45 curve 12/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +115%; price −19% over the same year. Profit source: supported — other income -42.5% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: mixed — operating cash 97.8% of profit; latest quarter -149.6% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 2.6% → 2.8%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 10 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 8 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -26.42pp 1yr -32.94pp 3yr — vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The 4.2x PAT curve (TTM 294.3 vs prior-4Q 70.6, $m) is roughly HALF deleveraging math, half operations: of the +88.3 pretax swing Sep-24→Mar-26, +43.2 is interest expense falling (−81.4→−38.2/qtr after the IPO paid debt from 3,611 to 2,453) and +45.0 is operating income (98.1→143.1 on revenue +31% and OPM 7.6%→9.0%). this read is wrong if OPM breaks decisively above ~10% for 2+ quarters (engine-MRO supercycle pricing power exceeding the deleveraging framing) while sponsor sell-downs complete without price damage — then the growth is…

Financials · $5.7B
tier Cbasingqual 56.9twin: ATUL 0.15
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 33.19/45 curve 9.7/20 why 14/35 Leverage: Share repurchases shrinking the share count · Main risk: Credit deterioration in recent vintages: 2023 and 2024-assignment loans are forecast to collect 4.2% and 1.9% below their initial forecasts, and forecasted net cash flows have fallen every quarter for two years. Promise audit: pending: Expand the number of dealers using the new contract origination experience in the first quarter of 2026 · pending: Broader deployment of the AI-powered call-center agent…
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +59%; price +22% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 6.3% → 8.4%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 3 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 2 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -18.19pp 1yr +3.48pp 3yr -61.81pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings rise is real in the reported numbers — Q2 2026 net income of $135.9 million versus $87.4 million a year earlier, helped by lower credit provisions, lower operating expenses and a shrinking share count — but with only one management commentary document in the window, the causal story rests on a single… The read is wrong if the 2025 loan vintage's forecasted collection rate falls materially below its 67.0% initial forecast (variance worse than about minus 2%), or if any single quarter shows a decrease in forecasted net…

41

Aon plc

55.4 /100
Financials · $58.6B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 62/100
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 31.5/45 curve 8.4/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +41%; price −13% over the same three years. Research kept: recent profit is not near its best of the last twelve periods today. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 8.3% → 6.4%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 5 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -21.24pp 1yr -38.38pp 3yr -96.08pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

Everything about the business is real — 100.3% 8Q cash conversion, 12.9% SBC, disciplined post-NFP deleveraging (18.3B to 15.7B) with buybacks stepping 250 to 600m/q — but the Marks question is what is priced in, and the answer is: full value. this B-not-A is wrong if organic revenue growth re-accelerates above 9-10% for 2 straight quarters with OPM expanding (NFP synergies landing late) while the multiple stays ~23x — that would create genuine compounding…

Industrials · $39.3B
tier Cbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 57/100twin: INSOLATION 0.68
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 29.81/45 curve 8.4/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +28%; price +12% over the same three years. Profit source: supported — other income -20.2% of pretax profit · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 282.8% of profit; latest quarter 247.4% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 2.5% → 2.3%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 5 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -12.37pp 1yr -25.48pp 3yr -64.89pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

A genuinely good roll-up — 279% OCF/PAT, SBC 3.3% of OCF, dividends covered — but it is the WRONG SETUP for this exercise and the honest answer to the price-leg question is no: at −16.6% off its 3y high and +30.4% above its low, on ~40.7x TTM GAAP earnings, nothing is depressed. This C-for-setup read is wrong if price-cost spread re-accelerates (OPM back above 18% with revenue growth back above 8% for 2+ quarters) while the price stays under ~$150 — that would create the asymmetry that is…

Financials · $5.5B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 60/100twin: ATUL 0.46
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 27/45 curve 11.2/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings −15%; price +36% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 0.5% → 3.2%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 3 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -13.22pp 1yr -8.83pp 3yr -41.16pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The NI staircase the screen matched (netinc company 49.8→122.2 in 4 quarters, +145%) is mostly bought: shares went 74.7M→142.3M (+90%) across two stock acquisitions, and EPS 0.84 has only just cleared the Dec-22 pre-deal 0.90. this read is wrong if TBVPS growth stalls below ~8%/yr or provisions mean-revert sharply upward once loan-mark accretion fades (the 2.2-2.7/q provision era proves flattered, EPS run-rate breaks), or — on the upside — if…

Consumer Discretionary · $4.9B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 58/100
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 25.31/45 curve 12.7/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +29%; price −10% over the same three years. Research kept: recent profit is not near its best of the last twelve periods today. Profit source: supported — other income -26.6% of pretax profit · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 159.9% of profit; latest quarter 286.2% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 2.3% → 2.2%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 28 Jun 2026 | Cash through 28 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 28 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 2 wks
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk -14.58pp 1yr -2.14pp 3yr -85.76pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The headline curve is manufactured by deal accounting: FY25 netinc company 591.1 vs FY24 67.6 (~8.7x) but Dec-25 alone is 350.0 on a 29.4% operating margin against 7-9% in every normal quarter — a divestiture gain (ncfi +611.8 same quarter), and FY24's base was depressed by deal costs (Dec-24 loss -56.7). this read is wrong if ex-gain quarterly EPS (the 0.68-1.23 band) steps decisively above ~1.30 on organic revenue growth — that upgrades it toward A; the B-grade itself breaks DOWN if deleveraging stalls above ~4.5B debt…

45

Pegasystems Inc.

53.3 /100
Technology · $5.6B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 60/100
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 27/45 curve 10.8/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +142%; price +3% over the same two years. Research kept: recent profit is not near its best of the last twelve periods today. Profit source: supported — other income 7.8% of pretax profit · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 170.7% of profit; latest quarter 644.8% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 2.8% → 2.4%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 3 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +5.97pp 1yr -57.57pp 3yr -17.16pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The 2025 run-up was a cloud/GenAI re-rating on genuinely strong cash (FCF TTM 492m, 10.9x mcap/FCF, converts repaid, now net cash); the -51% crush that followed is anchored to something specific: Mar-26 revenue fell 9.6% YoY and the two latest seasonal OPM pairs contracted -8.4pp and -18.1pp, so the market is saying… this read is wrong toward A if Dec-26 and Mar-27 print YoY revenue growth >=10% with OPM back at or above the year-ago pair - that would prove Mar-26 was ASC-606 license timing, not demand; wrong toward C if revenue…

46

MediaAlpha, Inc.

52.1 /100
Communication Services · $0.6B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 56/100
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 25.31/45 curve 11.3/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · data incomplete confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
No true twelve-month comparison could be built from the reported periods. Profit source: unknown — Pretax profit over 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30 is -10,822,000, which is not a positive number, so a percentage would be… · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 127% of profit; latest quarter 101.9% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE -21.3% → 12.2% · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 7 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -25.69pp 1yr -37.43pp 3yr -61.86pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The staircase is a genuine recovery — revenue 126.6→310.0 ($M, Mar-24→Mar-26) as P&C carrier ad-spend came back, op margin −20%→+7%, and cash conversion is real (8Q OCF/PAT 168%). But the P&L is noisy: two loss quarters in the last 8 (Jun-25 −22.5 incl. This B is wrong (too harsh) if Q2-2026 income confirms ~$40M quarterly net income at positive equity and SBC/OCF falls below 30% — that would be an A-shaped inflection; wrong (too kind) if revenue growth decays below…

47

Eversource Energy

51.9 /100
Utilities · $24.0B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 58/100
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 25.31/45 curve 11.1/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · research kept — today’s conditions do not pass confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +15%; price +6% over the same three years. Research kept: the price is not compressed against its own history today. Profit source: unknown — Other income is missing for 2025-09-30, 2025-12-31, 2026-03-31, 2026-06-30, so the share cannot be worked out. · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 334.9% of profit; latest quarter 2031.4% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: supported — ROCE 4.9% → 5.9% · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 3 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -18.41pp 1yr -24.48pp 3yr -76.29pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The crash was specific damage - offshore-wind writedowns (Dec-23 -$1.29B, Sep-24 -$116M) - and the damage looks DONE: wind exited in 2024 and the last 5 quarters are clean regulated earnings growing ~10% YoY on 21-24% op margins. This read is wrong (up to A/B+) if two more clean quarters pass with FCF sustainably positive (Mar-26 +$315M repeated) and equity issuance stops - that would mean the Aquarion-funded capex plan self-finances; wrong…

Financials · $0.8B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 52/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.71
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 24.19/45 curve 12/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +83%; price −30% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a bank, lender or insurer. Capital returns: unknown — ROE 1.2% → 2.5%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 5 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -9.75pp 1yr -50.02pp 3yr -112.05pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The staircase is a margin-recovery story at a leveraged fee-services roll-up, not a growth story: 8Q OCF/PAT is 276% ($130.1M vs $47.1M) but SBC is 53.6% of that OCF and two of the last 5 quarters printed negative OCF (Mar-25 −$4.7M, Sep-25 −$8.6M). This B is wrong (up) if revenue re-accelerates >10% YoY for 2 straight quarters WHILE net debt falls both quarters and OCF stays positive; wrong (down to C) if Dec-quarter revenue decline extends to 2 consecutive YoY…

Real Estate · $17.6B
tier Bbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 55/100twin: ATUL 0.53negative book value — P/BV not meaningful
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 25.31/45 curve 10/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +104%; price −13% over the same three years. Profit source: not applicable — This is a property company. Cash backing: not applicable — This is a property company. Capital returns: unknown — ROE -4.3% → -3.9%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 4 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -14.84pp 1yr -30.39pp 3yr -95.64pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

REIT caveat first: GAAP NI understates tower economics (D&A-heavy) and our DB has no FFO/AFFO, so every sub-score here is conservative by construction. this read is wrong if OCF returns to growth for 2+ quarters (carrier capex/5G densification re-accelerating leasing revenue above the ~3%/yr escalator crawl) — then the stagnation assumption breaks and 15.7x OCF with a…

50

Phreesia, Inc.

49.8 /100
Healthcare · $0.6B
tier Cbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 47/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.65
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 19.69/45 curve 14.6/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Passes today's discovery rule on corrected, current data. Profit source: supported — other income -4.4% of pretax profit · May 2025 – Apr 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 84.2% of profit; latest quarter 807.4% · Jul 2024 – Apr 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE -1.2% → 1.7%, definition unproven · Apr 2025 – Apr 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Apr 2026 | Cash through 30 Apr 2026 | Ratios through 30 Apr 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 5 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -5.93pp 1yr -73.58pp 3yr -121.93pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The graph shows a real operating inflection — 13 straight quarters of sequential revenue growth, OPM from -43% to +5.2%, true PAT improving 8/8 YoY and crossing zero — but the profitability is economically hollow: 8Q SBC of 131.1m equals 96.5% of the 135.8m OCF, cumulative 8Q GAAP PAT is still -33.5m, and shareholders… this C is wrong if SBC/OCF falls below ~50% within 3 quarters while revenue growth holds >=12% and GAAP PAT keeps rising — that would mean true ops leverage is outrunning the comp bill and the 10x headline FCF becomes…

51

Appian Corporation

47.8 /100
Technology (Software - Infrastructure) · $2.7B
tier Calert livequal 47.8twin: ZAGGLE 0.16alert firing 4w
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 26.44/45 curve 9.4/20 why 12/35 Leverage: Subscription platform expansion (new customers plus deeper usage per customer) · Main risk: US federal government revenue concentration — 25.8% of Q1 FY26 total revenue came from federal agencies, exposing the company to government budget and spending decisions
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Passes today's discovery rule on corrected, current data. Profit source: unknown — Other income is missing for 2025-12-31, so the share cannot be worked out. · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: mixed — operating cash 45.4% of profit · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 43.4% → 61.2%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 4 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 1 wk since beat
alert firing 4 wks
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +65.95pp 1yr +5.48pp 3yr -90.63pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings improvement is real in the filed numbers — revenue up 21.5% year-over-year and operating income swinging positive — but the supplied filings contain no management explanation or guidance for it, so the qualitative 'why' rests almost entirely on the arithmetic of subscription revenue growing faster than… If cumulative operating cash flow over the next two reported quarters (through September 30, 2026, checkable in the Q3 FY26 10-Q expected on SEC EDGAR around November 2026) annualizes below roughly $60M, the…

52

Tetra Tech, Inc.

44.1 /100
Industrials · $8.6B
tier Cbasingqual 44.1twin: INSOLATION 0.57
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility 0
fund 33.75/45 curve 10.4/20 why 0/35 Leverage: — · Main risk: Federal government revenue exposure: the 10-Q XBRL structure tags federal, state/local, commercial and international revenue as separate disclosed categories, so a material share of revenue depends on US government spending, but no dollar amounts or trends are quantifiable from the supplied clips.
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +47%; price +16% over the same three years. Profit source: unknown — Other income is missing for 2025-09-28, so the share cannot be worked out. · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 153.1% of profit; latest quarter 208.5% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE 5.7% → 5.2%, definition unproven · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 28 Jun 2026 | Cash through 28 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 28 Jun 2026 | Research dated 2 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 2 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk +9.73pp 1yr -14.99pp 3yr -69.29pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The reported quarters show a genuine margin and cash-flow recovery, but every document supplied is a filing shell with no management explanation, no forward driver and no promise history, so the qualitative 'why' behind the earnings rise is unverified rather than proven. This thin-history read becomes wrong — and the recovery thesis with it — if the FY26-Q4 filings and call transcript show revenue still declining year over year with operating margin falling back below 10% and shrinking…

53

GameStop Corp.

44 /100
Consumer Discretionary · $12.6B
tier Cbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 39/100twin: INSOLATION 0.49
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 16.31/45 curve 12.2/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +915%; price +4% over the same two years. Profit source: mixed — other income 72.1% of pretax profit · May 2025 – May 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 122.1% of profit; latest quarter 86.6% · Aug 2024 – May 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE -0.3% → 1.7%, definition unproven · May 2025 – May 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 2 May 2026 | Cash through 2 May 2026 | Ratios through 2 May 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 4 wks
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk +9.74pp 1yr -21.22pp 3yr -32.61pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The staircase is three-quarters treasury: over 8Q, non-operating income ($814.5M — interest on the $8.4B meme-raised pile plus BTC/investment marks) is 76.6% of cumulative pretax, and the latest blowout quarter ($389.6M NI) contains $83.7M interest + $279.4M investment marks + a $116.8M tax BENEFIT — strip those and… This C is wrong if operating income stays >$100M/quarter for the next 2 quarters with gross margin >=38% AND revenue grows YoY in both — that would prove the collectibles mix is a durable business, not a card-mania…

Technology · $27.3B
tier Calert livequal 40.2twin: INSOLATION 0.51alert firing 3w
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility -7
fund 16.88/45 curve 12.3/20 why 11/35 Leverage: Margin recovery from richer enterprise customer mix and DCBBS adoption · Main risk: The Board's independent review of export-control transactions could force material revisions to the preliminary Q4 FY26 results and prior periods Promise audit: missed: Q3 FY26 net sales of at least $12.3 billion · done: Q3 FY26 GAAP diluted EPS of at least $0.52
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +181%; price +69% over the same three years. Profit source: unknown — Other income is missing for 2025-09-30, 2025-12-31, 2026-03-31, 2026-06-30, so the share cannot be worked out. · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: concern — operating cash -159.8% of profit; latest quarter 66.6% · Sep 2024 – Jun 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: supported — ROCE 10.7% → 12.2% · Jun 2025 – Jun 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 30 Jun 2026 | Cash through 30 Jun 2026 | Ratios through 30 Jun 2026 | Research dated 9 Sep 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 18 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 beating 1 wk
alert firing 3 wks
consecutive weeks ahead of the index · green = beat that week
13wk +30.28pp 1yr -25.33pp 3yr -2.16pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

The earnings jump is real as reported — a 17.5% gross-margin quarter with $1,178M net income — but it is one preliminary, unaudited quarter, explained only by management's enterprise-mix story, sitting on a full year of negative operating cash flow funded by debt and new equity, with two missed revenue guides behind… The Q1 FY27 report (quarter ending September 30, 2026, expected around November 2026 on the IR quarterly-results page): if net sales come in below the $14.5 billion low end of guidance, or gross margin falls back below…

Communication Services · $3.0B
tier Cbasingquality read pending — score provisionalfundamentals 30/100twin: ZAGGLE 0.58
quality read · fundamentals 45 + earnings curve 20 + management 35 · read when the price moves mgmt credibility —
fund 12.94/45 curve 11.3/20 why —/35
why it qualifies · qualifies now confirmations as of 21 Sep 2026
Earnings +400%; price −35% over the same two years. Profit source: mixed — other income 60.3% of pretax profit · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 4 quarters Cash backing: supported — operating cash 471.9% of profit; latest quarter 13.4% · Jun 2024 – Mar 2026 · 8 quarters Capital returns: unknown — ROCE -0.3% → 2.4%, definition unproven · Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · 5 quarterly readings Prices as of 18 Sep 2026 | Earnings through 31 Mar 2026 | Cash through 31 Mar 2026 | Ratios through 31 Mar 2026 | Research dated 9 Aug 2026
price · 200-dma · S&P 500 (SPY) (rebased)
price 200-dma S&P 500 (SPY)
ttm eps · 17 quarters (SA feed)
weeks vs S&P 500 (SPY) · last 20 3 wks since beat
weeks since it last beat the index · green = beat that week
13wk -12.2pp 1yr -44.02pp 3yr -93.46pp vs S&P 500 (SPY)

This is not a depressed earnings staircase - it is former US Cellular liquidating: wireless sold to T-Mobile (+2,596 ncfi Sep-25), spectrum to AT&T/Verizon (+1,004 Mar-26), an $885m / ~$10.24-per-share special dividend out, leaving a ~$210m-revenue tower stub whose 3 post-sale quarters show CUMULATIVE OCF of -260 and… the C is wrong if the tower stub prints 2 consecutive quarters of positive OCF and positive operating income EX-gains with tower revenue holding >=55m/q and growing - then a clean small tower-lessor at ~3.0B mcap merits…

The rest of the ranked list · 38 names down to the last screened · show / hide
56. CI The Cigna Group · Healthcare · $70.2B · 13wk -11.35pp qual read done — no score until the fundamentals grade landsqualifies now — Earnings +10%; price −5% over the same three years.
57. LIF Life360, Inc. · Technology · $3.3B · 13wk -27.51pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +441%; price −62% over the same year.
58. CTRI Centuri Holdings, Inc. · Utilities · $2.1B · 13wk -38.71pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Passes today's discovery rule on corrected, current data.
59. TMDX TransMedics Group, Inc. · Healthcare · $2.9B · 13wk +17.35pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +10900%; price −48% over the same two years.
60. SMG The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company · Materials · $3.0B · 13wk -32.1pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +136%; price −10% over the same year.
61. TDC Teradata Corporation · Technology · $2.7B · 13wk -15.56pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +665%; price −34% over the same three years.
62. VCEL Vericel Corporation · Healthcare · $2.0B · 13wk -20.23pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +250%; price +26% over the same year.
63. TPG TPG Inc. · Financials · $16.8B · 13wk +4.69pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +214%; price +54% over the same three years.
64. SEB Seaboard Corporation · Industrials · $3.8B · 13wk -21.98pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings −100%; price +13% over the same three years.
65. PHG Koninklijke Philips N.V. · Healthcare · $23.8B · 13wk -14.65pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +763%; price −12% over the same year.
66. QGEN Qiagen N.V. · Healthcare · $9.2B · 13wk +7.83pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +19%; price −2% over the same three years.
67. ALLY Ally Financial Inc. · Financials · $11.7B · 13wk -23.11pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +12%; price +48% over the same three years.
68. NLY Annaly Capital Management, Inc. · Real Estate · $15.5B · 13wk -15.48pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +193%; price −1% over the same year.
69. STNE StoneCo Ltd. · Technology · $2.1B · 13wk -21.89pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +464%; price −8% over the same three years.
70. FUL H.B. Fuller Company · Materials · $2.7B · 13wk -26.19pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +27%; price −26% over the same three years.
71. NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. · Healthcare · $14.1B · 13wk -22.79pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +275%; price +29% over the same three years.
72. INTU Intuit Inc. · Technology · $74.1B · 13wk -1.72pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +96%; price −40% over the same three years.
73. PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. · Real Estate · $5.2B · 13wk -17.57pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +145%; price +10% over the same three years.
74. RLX RLX Technology Inc. · Consumer Staples · $2.1B · 13wk -13.3pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +129%; price +18% over the same three years.
75. MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. · Financials · $5.8B · 13wk +40.28pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +26%; price −24% over the same three years.
76. TRNO Terreno Realty Corporation · Real Estate · $7.2B · 13wk -5.18pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +122%; price +13% over the same three years.
77. NFLX Netflix, Inc. · Communication Services · $298.6B · 13wk -8.1pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +238%; price +87% over the same three years.
78. KRG Kite Realty Group Trust · Real Estate · $5.1B · 13wk -20.7pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +1138%; price +17% over the same three years.
79. LCII LCI Industries · Consumer Discretionary · $2.0B · 13wk -18.09pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +30%; price −28% over the same three years.
80. IR Ingersoll Rand Inc. · Industrials · $29.0B · 13wk -13.34pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +45%; price +12% over the same three years.
81. PCG PG&E Corporation · Utilities · $27.1B · 13wk -34.35pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +52%; price −23% over the same three years.
82. AMX América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. · Communication Services · $66.4B · 13wk -21.75pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +8%; price +26% over the same three years.
83. VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. · Financials · $0.6B · 13wk -20.72pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +131%; price +43% over the same three years.
84. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. · Technology · $88.7B · 13wk -19.89pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +54%; price +24% over the same three years.
85. MNST Monster Beverage Corporation · Consumer Staples · $83.6B · 13wk -16.69pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +59%; price −18% over the same three years.
86. PGNY Progyny, Inc. · Healthcare · $2.0B · 13wk -14.15pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +57%; price −18% over the same three years.
87. HRB H&R Block, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary · $5.3B · 13wk +9.24pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +55%; price +7% over the same three years.
88. YUM Yum! Brands, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary · $37.5B · 13wk -17.43pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +61%; price +11% over the same three years.
89. SYK Stryker Corporation · Healthcare · $103.5B · 13wk -24.16pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +36%; price −3% over the same three years.
90. SNN Smith & Nephew plc · Healthcare · $11.2B · 13wk -16.42pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +194%; price +8% over the same three years.
91. DG Dollar General Corporation · Consumer Staples · $27.0B · 13wk -2.71pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings −28%; price +12% over the same three years.
92. O Realty Income Corporation · Real Estate · $52.4B · 13wk -17.45pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +1%; price +9% over the same three years.
93. STE STERIS plc · Healthcare · $20.4B · 13wk -8.44pp ungraded — screen stats onlyqualifies now — Earnings +550%; price −7% over the same three years.
Rows marked ungraded passed the arithmetic screen — profits up, price asleep — but nobody has read their books yet: no tier, no score, ranked last by rule until someone reads them.
A price alert on a judged Tier C name is ignored by rule.
Frequently asked questions

Questions about this list

What are the most undervalued US stocks right now?

The three highest-ranked US names are Five Below, Inc. (score 75.2/100), DLocal Limited (score 73.5/100), DexCom, Inc. (score 73.5/100) as of 24 Sep 2026. "Undervalued" here means each trades at a multiple below its own multi-year median while reporting rising earnings — a comparison with the stock's own past, not a forecast. This site is not registered as a SEBI investment adviser.

How is this list ranked and how often does it change?

The order is set by a quality ranking out of 100 that is re-read the week a name's price starts moving: 45 points from published fundamentals (profit growth, return on capital, cash conversion), 20 from the shape of the earnings curve over time, and 35 from a management promise-audit — whether promised targets were actually delivered. Every graded name sits on that one scale; a name whose management record has not been read yet is marked provisional and borrows the typical reading of the names that have been read, so waiting for a reading never pushes a company up or down. A name keeps the score it earned until it is read again, and it drops off the list altogether once its price has doubled from where it entered. Prices, the earnings picture and price-alert status update every week, but a price move alone never changes a stock's position.

Is an undervalued stock automatically worth buying?

No. The strongest read this page gives is "worth studying deeper" — not a recommendation to buy. A stock can stay cheap for years while earnings continue to improve, or re-rate before the fundamentals do. Use the rankings as a research queue, starting with the fundamentals and management track record, not the multiple alone. Sector Alpha is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.

How to read this page. TIER (A/B/C) is the quality of the earnings curve — judged from cash conversion, who funded the growth, and margin direction. TAGS are the momentum state from the weekly alert engine. The two never mix.

Charts. Left: price (weekly) with the 200-day average and S&P 500 (SPY), all rebased to the window start — switch 1y / 3y / 5y. Right: TTM EPS bars (SA feed) with the PE or P/BV line over them — flip with the toggle. Hover anywhere for exact values. The dot strip shows the last 20 weeks, green = beat the index that week; the small accent dots beneath it are the price-alert trigger — "alert firing N wks" counts how long it has stayed true.

Rank never moves on price. We read a company's books again in the week its price starts moving, and the score it earns then stays with it — the most recent reading was on 2026-09-15. A price alert is a reason to look at a name, never a reason to move it up or down the list; the weekly pass only refreshes charts, tags and alerts. One list, one scale: every name we have graded is ranked by its score out of 100, whether or not we have read its management record yet — a missing reading is not a demerit, and a name marked "provisional" borrows the typical reading of the names we have read for that last part of its score. Only "ungraded" names — through the arithmetic screen, books not opened — rank last, because they have no score at all. Names leave. Once a share price is double what it was when the name entered this list, it is no longer deep value and it drops off.

Sector Alpha describes what has happened in published market and filing data and explains the fundamentals behind it. It does not make recommendations, does not suggest buying or selling any security, and is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.

Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!

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