Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Winmark Corporation

WINA
Consumer Discretionary · Specialty Retail

Winmark Corporation's balance sheet is under water — net worth is negative, so it owes more than it owns. This is a distressed, high-risk situation — the equity can be wiped by dilution or restructuring before operations recover. Not a value setup.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is between stages while the P/E sits at the 7th percentile of its own 1-year range. But the balance sheet is under water: net worth is negative, so shareholders sit behind everyone the company owes. What settles it: whether the business can earn its way back to positive equity before dilution or restructuring gets there first.

Stage
Mixed
partial read
Price
$354
−4.4% 1Y
P/E
32.2×
7th pctile
of its own 1-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.0 B
+0.0% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
$0.0 B
+0.0% YoY
Operating margin
50.0%
flat YoY
ROIC
136.6%
vs WACC 6.8% → +129.8 pp
Cash conversion
100%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Winmark Corporation trades at $354, between stages. That is −13.8% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 12% of a 52-week range of $333 to $512. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (17 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is between stages. At $354 it trades −13.8% versus its 200-day average and sits at 12% of its 52-week range ($333–$512).

Aug 26: $354 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
−13.8% versus the 200-day line, week — of stage —
Price50-day avg200-day avg
$527$475$422$370$318$$354$411Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
$527$475$422$370$318$$354$411Jul 25Jan 26Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (57 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 25Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −4% while the S&P 500 moved +24% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (17 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-04-10) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Winmark Corporation trades at 32.2× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 7% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 37.1×, measured across 1.1 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 32.2× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 7% of the time, against a long-run median of 37.1× measured over 1.1 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 32.2× vs a 37.1× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 1.1-year window; loss-period spikes above 45× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 7% of the time
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
46.2×$12.241.8×$9.237.5×$6.133.1×$3.128.8×$0.0×$31.91×$11Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
46.2×$12.241.8×$9.237.5×$6.133.1×$3.128.8×$0.0×$31.91×$11Jul 25Jan 26Aug 26
PEG 9.31 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Computed here as quarter-end P/E ÷ trailing-twelve-month EPS growth (only quarters with positive growth), because a reported quarterly PEG is not held for this stock. Last 8 quarters; values above 6 pinned at the top.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
6.4×5.0×3.5×2.0×0.6××6.00×Jul 23Sep 23Mar 24Jun 25Dec 25
6.4×5.0×3.5×2.0×0.6××6.00×Jul 23Mar 24Dec 25
P/E
32.2×
7th percentile of 1y
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +3.8% against a −4.4% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: Mixed

Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Winmark Corporation reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — no clean majority across the growth curves — the per-curve reads carry the story. The read is built from 12 quarters across 3 curves, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +12.5% in FY25, profit +0.0% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
14%5.2%9.9%3.4%6.3%1.7%2.6%−0.1%−1.0%−1.9%%%12.5%0%FY21FY23FY25
14%5.2%9.9%3.4%6.3%1.7%2.6%−0.1%−1.0%−1.9%%%12.5%0%FY21FY23FY25
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue stabilising, profit stabilising
RevenueProfitEPS
1.2%4.4%0.6%2.5%0.0%0.5%−0.6%−1.4%−1.2%−3.3%%%0%0%−0.8%Jul 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.2%4.4%0.6%2.5%0.0%0.5%−0.6%−1.4%−1.2%−3.3%%%0%0%−0.8%Jul 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Stuck low
latest +0.0% · span +0.0% to +0.0%
Profit growth
Stuck low
latest +0.0% · span +0.0% to +0.0%
EPS growth
Flat
latest −0.8% · span −2.8% to +3.9%

Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.

The return-on-capital curve is not shown — net worth is negative, so a return on capital is not a meaningful number in any basis. This is a distressed balance sheet, and the stage is read from the growth curves alone.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+12.5%+4.0%
Profit+0.0%+0.0%
EPS+3.8%+1.0%
Stock price−4.4%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+0.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Mar 26)
+0.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
3.0%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

51.8/100 — rank 9 of 28 in Specialty Retail · 52% evidence confidence

Winmark Corporation scores 51.8 out of 100 against the 28 companies it is compared with in Specialty Retail, ranking 9. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 16.8 + 21.4 + 9.5 + 4.1 = 51.8. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Winmark Corporation reported $0.0 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.0% year on year. Over 4 years it has compounded at 3.0% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.1 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.1 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $0.1 B (+12.5% on the year), capping 4 years at 3.0% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.0 B, +0.0% year on year.

FY25 revenue $0.1 B (+12.5% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
3.0% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
0.1014%0.079.9%0.056.3%0.022.6%0.00−1.0%$ B%$0B12.5%FY21FY23FY25
0.1014%0.079.9%0.056.3%0.022.6%0.00−1.0%$ B%$0B12.5%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.0 B (+0.0% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
0.0221.2%0.0160.6%0.0110.0%0.005−0.6%0.000−1.2%$ B%$0B0%Jul 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.0221.2%0.0160.6%0.0110.0%0.005−0.6%0.000−1.2%$ B%$0B0%Jul 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +0.0% growth against the decade's 3.0% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +0.0% over the last 4 quarters against +0.0%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit +0.0% vs +0.0%/yr — stabilising.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Winmark Corporation's operating margin is 50.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 55.6% to 62.5%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 50.0%, +0.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 55.6%–62.5%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +0.0 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

FY25: 55.6% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a 55.6–62.5% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
63%0.6%61%−1.4%59%−3.4%57%−5.5%55%−7.5%%%55.6%−6.9%FY21FY23FY25
63%0.6%61%−1.4%59%−3.4%57%−5.5%55%−7.5%%%55.6%−6.9%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: 50.0% operating margin (+0.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
104%58%90%29%75%0.0%61%−29%46%−58%%%50%0%Jul 23Sep 24Mar 26
104%58%90%29%75%0.0%61%−29%46%−58%%%50%0%Jul 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Winmark Corporation earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.0% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.0 B. The 4-year compound rate is 0.0%. That is 50.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B.

Mar 26 profit was $0.0 B, +0.0% year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $0.0 B (+0.0%), and the 4-year compound rate is 0.0%.

FY25 profit $0.0 B (+0.0% YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
0.0% a year over 4 years
Net profitYoY growth
0.041.2%0.030.6%0.020.0%0.01−0.6%0.00−1.2%$ B%$0B0%FY21FY23FY25
0.041.2%0.030.6%0.020.0%0.01−0.6%0.00−1.2%$ B%$0B0%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.0 B (+0.0% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.0111.2%0.0080.6%0.0050.0%0.003−0.6%0.000−1.2%$ B%$0B0%Jul 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.0111.2%0.0080.6%0.0050.0%0.003−0.6%0.000−1.2%$ B%$0B0%Jul 23Sep 24Mar 26

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed +0.0% and the margin +0.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +0.0% vs revenue +0.0%. Profit and revenue are moving roughly in step.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 100% of Winmark Corporation's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was $0.0 B of operating cash against $0.0 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $0.0 B was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of $0.0 B against reported profit of $0.0 B, leaving free cash of $0.0 B after $0.0 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 100% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $0.0 B vs profit $0.0 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
100% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.050.040.030.010.00$ B$0B$0B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.050.040.030.010.00$ B$0B$0B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Jun 26: operating cash $0.0 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.022208%0.016179%0.011150%0.005121%0.00092%$ B%$0B100%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
0.022208%0.016179%0.011150%0.005121%0.00092%$ B%$0B100%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Winmark Corporation does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Jun 26: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
1.20.0210.60.0180.00.015−0.60.012−1.20.009$ B$ B$0B$0BSep 23Dec 24Jun 26
1.20.0210.60.0180.00.015−0.60.012−1.20.009$ B$ B$0B$0BSep 23Dec 24Jun 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Winmark Corporation earns a ROE of −80% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −100% in FY21. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +129.8 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 44.4% net margin on 4.50× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is −80%, recovered from a FY21 trough of −100% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 44.4% net margin × 4.50× asset turns × −0.40× balance-sheet leverage ≈ −79.9% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 136.6% − 6.8% = a +129.8 pp spread. The 6.8% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every dollar reinvested creates more than a dollar of value — the engine compounds.

FY25: ROE −80% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 6.8% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY21's −100%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
252%158%63%−31%−126%%−80%208.9%FY21FY23FY25
252%158%63%−31%−126%%−80%208.9%FY21FY23FY25
Jun 26: ROIC 135.8% (TTM) vs WACC 6.8% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
176%101%26%−50%−125%%135.8%−104.1%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
176%101%26%−50%−125%%135.8%−104.1%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
11 · Dividend

Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.

Winmark Corporation paid $3.84 per share over the last four reported quarters, up 6.7% on a year ago. The most recent declaration was $0.96 for Mar 26. Against the current price of $354 that is a trailing yield of 1.08%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.

Winmark Corporation paid $3.84 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.96 for Mar 26. That is up 6.7% against the same quarter a year earlier. Against the current price of $354 the trailing twelve months work out to 1.08% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.

Dividend per share by quarter Declared dividend per share, $ B, per reported quarter. 12 quarters on file.
latest $0.96 (Mar 26)
Dividend per share
1.00.80.50.30.0$ B$1BJul 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
1.00.80.50.30.0$ B$1BJul 23Sep 24Mar 26
12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Winmark Corporation's net worth is negative — it owes more than it owns — so a debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful here. On the annual view that ratio went from −1.25 in FY21 to −1.20 in FY25. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Jun 26: total debt of $0.1 B against shareholder equity of $−0.0 B — a debt-to-equity of −1.50. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from −1.25 (FY21) to −1.20 (FY25). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

FY25: debt $0.1 B at −1.20× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
0.09−1.16×0.06−1.20×0.04−1.25×0.02−1.30×0.00−1.34×$ B×$0B−1.20×FY21FY23FY25
0.09−1.16×0.06−1.20×0.04−1.25×0.02−1.30×0.00−1.34×$ B×$0B−1.20×FY21FY23FY25
Jun 26: debt $0.1 B, debt-to-equity −1.50 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
0.08−1.1×0.06−1.4×0.04−1.8×0.02−2.1×0.00−2.4×$ B×$0B−1.50×Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
0.08−1.1×0.06−1.4×0.04−1.8×0.02−2.1×0.00−2.4×$ B×$0B−1.50×Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

11.8% of Winmark Corporation's tradable float is currently sold short — a large bloc is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 7.0 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 11.8% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 7.0 days to buy those positions back. A large bloc is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
11.8%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
7.0
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Winmark Corporation: the Z-score reads 15.95. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 15.95 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 15.95.

15 · Related companies · Specialty Retail
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Five Below, Inc.FIVE 70.6/100Favorable setup85% evidence ASLEEP 31.0/35 Revenue 25.8% · PAT 67.7% · OPM change 6.8 pp 95% evidence 14.0/25 ROCE 4% · OPM 12% 76% evidence 13.8/20 P/E 29.1× · PEG 0.73 65% evidence 11.8/20 RS sector 8.7% · RS bench 5.6% · 1Y 66.5%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 31 + 14 + 13.8 + 11.8 = 70.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
2Best Buy Co., Inc.BBY 69.6/100Favorable setup85% evidence BREAKING OUT 23.6/35 Revenue 1% · PAT 29.4% · OPM change 1.6 pp 95% evidence 13.1/25 ROCE 5.4% · OPM 4.1% 76% evidence 15.6/20 P/E 11.1× · PEG 0.35 65% evidence 17.3/20 RS sector 11.4% · RS bench 7.6% · 1Y 25.2%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.6 + 13.1 + 15.6 + 17.3 = 69.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3Murphy USA Inc.MUSA 64.0/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence FADING 21.7/35 Revenue -1.2% · PAT 13.1% · OPM change 2.4 pp 83% evidence 13.5/25 ROCE 5.5% · OPM 4.3% 76% evidence 14.2/20 P/E 17.1× · PEG 0.78 65% evidence 14.6/20 RS sector 19% · RS bench 15.9% · 1Y 56%7 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 21.7 + 13.5 + 14.2 + 14.6 = 64 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
4Casey's General Stores, Inc.CASY 59.8/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence ASLEEP 24.8/35 Revenue 10.2% · PAT 30.8% · OPM change 1.2 pp 95% evidence 12.4/25 ROCE 3.2% · OPM 5.1% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E 42.9× · PEG 1.39 65% evidence 12.6/20 RS sector 18.1% · RS bench 15.1% · 1Y 63.9%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 24.8 + 12.4 + 10 + 12.6 = 59.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
5Williams-Sonoma, Inc.WSM 55.4/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence BREAKING OUT 13.7/35 Revenue 1.3% · PAT -0.6% · OPM change -0.6 pp 95% evidence 16.4/25 ROCE 8.7% · OPM 16.2% 76% evidence 8.0/20 P/E 20.2× · PEG 2.1 65% evidence 17.3/20 RS sector 16.1% · RS bench 12.2% · 1Y 24.8%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.7 + 16.4 + 8 + 17.3 = 55.4 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 12.2%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
6Bath & Body Works, Inc.BBWI 55.1/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence TURNING 14.7/35 Revenue -1.4% · PAT -10.9% · OPM change 2.1 pp 95% evidence 15.2/25 ROCE 6.4% · OPM 16.8% 76% evidence 16.5/20 P/E 5.4× · PEG 0.24 65% evidence 8.7/20 RS sector -10.3% · RS bench -14.1% · 1Y -26.1%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.7 + 15.2 + 16.5 + 8.7 = 55.1 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
7Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.BBW 53.3/100Mixed-positive evidence79% evidence BASING 17.8/35 Revenue 3.5% · PAT -3.6% · OPM change 3.9 pp 95% evidence 17.5/25 ROCE 9.9% · OPM 19% 76% evidence 14.6/20 P/E 8.4× · PEG 0.79 65% evidence 3.4/20 RS sector -34.1% · RS bench -37.1% · 1Y -30.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.8 + 17.5 + 14.6 + 3.4 = 53.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
8Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.SBH 51.8/100Mixed-positive evidence75% evidence TURNING 14.2/35 Revenue 0.8% · PAT -0.5% · OPM change 0.1 pp 83% evidence 12.9/25 ROCE 3.2% · OPM 8% 76% evidence 11.5/20 P/E 7.7× · PEG 1.5 65% evidence 13.2/20 RS sector 5% · RS bench 1.3% · 1Y 41.8%1 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14.2 + 12.9 + 11.5 + 13.2 = 51.8 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 1.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
9Winmark Corporationthis pageWINA 51.8/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence BASING 16.8/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -2.7 pp 45% evidence 21.4/25 ROCE 38.3% · OPM 59.3% 76% evidence 9.5/20 P/E 37.9× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.1/20 RS sector -21.8% · RS bench -24.8% · 1Y -8.4%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 16.8 + 21.4 + 9.5 + 4.1 = 51.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
10MarineMax, Inc.HZO 50.8/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence FADING 19.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -1.5 pp 45% evidence 9.3/25 ROCE 2.5% · OPM 2.1% 76% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 261.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 13.9/20 RS sector 16.6% · RS bench 13.2% · 1Y 60.1%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.1 + 9.3 + 8.5 + 13.9 = 50.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
11RHRH 50.3/100Mixed-positive evidence77% evidence BREAKING OUT 13.3/35 Revenue 4.8% · PAT 23.3% · OPM change -2.6 pp 71% evidence 9.1/25 ROCE 0.9% · OPM 4.3% 76% evidence 14.2/20 P/E 25.1× · PEG 0.53 65% evidence 13.7/20 RS sector 1.1% · RS bench -3.3% · 1Y -12.5%8 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.3 + 9.1 + 14.2 + 13.7 = 50.3 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is -3.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
12National Vision Holdings, Inc.EYE 48.1/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence BASING 21.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 4.9 pp 45% evidence 11.1/25 ROCE 2.9% · OPM 8.3% 76% evidence 9.3/20 P/E 41.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 6.2/20 RS sector -11.8% · RS bench -15.1% · 1Y 2.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 21.5 + 11.1 + 9.3 + 6.2 = 48.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
13GameStop Corp.GME 47.4/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence ASLEEP 25.3/35 Revenue 1.6% · PAT 100% · OPM change 18.7 pp 95% evidence 10.1/25 ROCE 1.7% · OPM 17.2% 76% evidence 10.3/20 P/E 20.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 1.7/20 RS sector -21.7% · RS bench -24.4% · 1Y -13.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 25.3 + 10.1 + 10.3 + 1.7 = 47.4 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -21.7% and the one-year return is -13.7%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
14Barnes & Noble Education, Inc.BNED 46.7/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence LEADER 14.7/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.8 pp 45% evidence 5.1/25 ROCE -3.6% · OPM 3.2% 76% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 21× · PEG — 15% evidence 16.8/20 RS sector 25% · RS bench 21.2% · 1Y 48.3%12 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14.7 + 5.1 + 10.1 + 16.8 = 46.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
15Tractor Supply CompanyTSCO 44.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence TURNING 13.9/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.7 pp 45% evidence 14.2/25 ROCE 5.6% · OPM 6.5% 76% evidence 10.7/20 P/E 16.3× · PEG — 15% evidence 5.6/20 RS sector -34% · RS bench -36.9% · 1Y -44.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.9 + 14.2 + 10.7 + 5.6 = 44.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
16Arko Corp.ARKO 43.3/100Mixed-negative evidence68% evidence FADING 15.9/35 Revenue -10.6% · PAT 100% · OPM change 1.2 pp 62% evidence 6.7/25 ROCE 0.3% · OPM 0.6% 76% evidence 4.6/20 P/E 29.3× · PEG 3.94 65% evidence 16.1/20 RS sector 18.9% · RS bench 15.9% · 1Y 53.8%11 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 15.9 + 6.7 + 4.6 + 16.1 = 43.3 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 15.9%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
17Arhaus, Inc.ARHS 42.7/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence TURNING 16.2/35 Revenue 7.4% · PAT 10.3% · OPM change -1 pp 83% evidence 8.3/25 ROCE 0.2% · OPM 0.7% 76% evidence 13.1/20 P/E 14.4× · PEG 0.99 65% evidence 5.1/20 RS sector -15.4% · RS bench -19% · 1Y -26.2%3 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 16.2 + 8.3 + 13.1 + 5.1 = 42.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
18Olaplex Holdings, Inc.OLPX 42.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence 10.7/35 Revenue 0.9% · PAT -225% · OPM change -13.8 pp 62% evidence 5.8/25 ROCE -0.3% · OPM -5.1% 76% evidence 9.0/20 P/E 63.5× · PEG — 15% evidence 16.9/20 RS sector 28.6% · RS bench 20.4% · 1Y 43.8%5 of 8 weeks ahead to 2026-07-10 70% evidence
Exact sum: 10.7 + 5.8 + 9 + 16.9 = 42.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
191-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.FLWS 40.0/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence ASLEEP 20.5/35 Revenue -9.5% · PAT — · OPM change 26.1 pp 62% evidence 3.3/25 ROCE -17.8% · OPM -32.3% 76% evidence 8.6/20 P/E 191.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 7.6/20 RS sector -5.6% · RS bench -9.2% · 1Y -25.5%6 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 20.5 + 3.3 + 8.6 + 7.6 = 40 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
20Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.ASO 39.9/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence BASING 14.7/35 Revenue 3.8% · PAT -1.3% · OPM change 0.1 pp 95% evidence 11.3/25 ROCE 1.8% · OPM 5.2% 76% evidence 10.3/20 P/E 9.5× · PEG 1.73 65% evidence 3.6/20 RS sector -13.5% · RS bench -16.5% · 1Y -1.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.7 + 11.3 + 10.3 + 3.6 = 39.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
21Savers Value Village, Inc.SVV 38.5/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence BREAKING OUT 11.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -5.1 pp 45% evidence 7.3/25 ROCE 0.7% · OPM 3.1% 76% evidence 9.1/20 P/E 53.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 10.6/20 RS sector 1.1% · RS bench -3.1% · 1Y -3.8%8 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 11.5 + 7.3 + 9.1 + 10.6 = 38.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
22Ulta Beauty, Inc.ULTA 38.2/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence BASING 13.9/35 Revenue 11.3% · PAT -0.1% · OPM change 0.1 pp 95% evidence 10.4/25 ROCE 0% · OPM 14.2% 76% evidence 7.5/20 P/E 19.9× · PEG 2.3 65% evidence 6.4/20 RS sector -8.3% · RS bench -11.6% · 1Y 9.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.9 + 10.4 + 7.5 + 6.4 = 38.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
23OneWater Marine Inc.ONEW 38.1/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence TURNING 12.0/35 Revenue 3.1% · PAT — · OPM change -1.7 pp 62% evidence 7.2/25 ROCE 0.9% · OPM 1.7% 76% evidence 11.0/20 P/E 10.4× · PEG — 15% evidence 7.9/20 RS sector -5.3% · RS bench -9.2% · 1Y -16%6 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 12 + 7.2 + 11 + 7.9 = 38.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
24EVgo, Inc.EVGO 37.5/100Mixed-negative evidence61% evidence BASING 21.0/35 Revenue 50.4% · PAT — · OPM change 11.2 pp 62% evidence 3.5/25 ROCE -4.7% · OPM -33.2% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 3.0/20 RS sector -42.9% · RS bench -45.7% · 1Y -50%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 21 + 3.5 + 10 + 3 = 37.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
25Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.WOOF 36.9/100Mixed-negative evidence67% evidence TURNING 13.8/35 Revenue -1.9% · PAT — · OPM change 0.5 pp 71% evidence 6.1/25 ROCE 0.6% · OPM 1.6% 76% evidence 8.7/20 P/E 144× · PEG — 15% evidence 8.3/20 RS sector -7.9% · RS bench -11.4% · 1Y -6.6%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.8 + 6.1 + 8.7 + 8.3 = 36.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
26DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.DKS 35.0/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence ASLEEP 12.0/35 Revenue 41.2% · PAT -21.7% · OPM change -2.8 pp 95% evidence 13.8/25 ROCE 4.4% · OPM 8.7% 76% evidence 5.6/20 P/E 21.4× · PEG 2.85 65% evidence 3.6/20 RS sector -13.4% · RS bench -16.2% · 1Y -5%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 12 + 13.8 + 5.6 + 3.6 = 35 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
27Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.BBBY 31.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence TURNING 14.2/35 Revenue -14.8% · PAT — · OPM change 2.7 pp 62% evidence 3.5/25 ROCE -9.8% · OPM -7.3% 76% evidence 8.9/20 P/E 121.8× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.8/20 RS sector -19.9% · RS bench -23.5% · 1Y -29.9%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14.2 + 3.5 + 8.9 + 4.8 = 31.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
28Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.BOBS 48.3/100Thin evidence · provisional28% evidence BREAKING OUT 17.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.3 pp 26% evidence 11.2/25 ROCE 2.7% · OPM 3% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 10.0/20 RS sector — · RS bench — · 1Y —7 of 12 weeks ahead 0% evidence
Exact sum: 17.1 + 11.2 + 10 + 10 = 48.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Winmark Corporation's stock price today?

Winmark Corporation trades at $354, −4.4% over the past year. The company is valued at $1.0 B. The stock sits at 12% of its 52-week range of $333–$512, −13.8% versus its 200-day average. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 17 weeks. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Winmark Corporation's latest quarterly results?

Winmark Corporation reported revenue of $0.0 B and net profit of $0.0 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 0.0% and profit rose 0.0% year on year. Earnings per share were $2.50. The operating margin was 50.0%, 0.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Winmark Corporation's revenue?

Winmark Corporation reported revenue of $0.0 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.0% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $0.1 B (+12.5%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 3.0% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Winmark Corporation's profit?

Winmark Corporation earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.0% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.0 B. The operating margin ran 50.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Winmark Corporation's market cap?

Winmark Corporation's market capitalisation is $1.0 B at a stock price of $354. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Winmark Corporation's P/E ratio?

Winmark Corporation trades at a P/E of 32.2×, at the 7th percentile of its own 1-year range, against a long-run median of 37.1×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Winmark Corporation pay a dividend?

Yes — Winmark Corporation declared $0.96 per share for Mar 26, and $3.84 per share across the last four reported quarters. The latest quarter is up 6.7% on the same quarter a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Winmark Corporation's dividend per share?

Winmark Corporation's most recently declared dividend is $0.96 per share for Mar 26, giving $3.84 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Winmark Corporation's dividend yield?

Winmark Corporation's trailing dividend yield is 1.08%: $3.84 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $354. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Winmark Corporation overvalued?

On its own history, Winmark Corporation looks cheap against its own history: its P/E of 32.2× has been cheaper only 7% of the time in 1 years (long-run median 37.1×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Winmark Corporation growing?

The picture is mixed for Winmark Corporation: latest-quarter revenue +0.0% year on year, profit +0.0%, and the margin +0.0 pp at 50.0%. The 4-year compound rates are 3.0% (revenue) and 0.0% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: mixed — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Winmark Corporation performing?

Winmark Corporation's latest readings are below. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 0.0% and profit rose 0.0% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 17 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

What stage is Winmark Corporation in?

Mixed — no clean majority across the growth curves — the per-curve reads carry the story. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +0.0% latest, profit growth +0.0% latest, eps growth −0.8% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Winmark Corporation beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Winmark Corporation is currently behind the S&P 500 (17 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-04-10), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −4% against the S&P 500's +24% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Winmark Corporation's stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Winmark Corporation. What it measures instead: the stock price is $354. Its P/E of 32.2× sits at the 7th percentile of its own 1-year range. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Winmark Corporation?

Yes — short interest is 11.8% of Winmark Corporation's tradable float, about 7.0 days to cover at typical volumes. A crowded short: a large bloc is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Winmark Corporation's capex?

Winmark Corporation spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Winmark Corporation's cash flow?

Winmark Corporation generated $0.0 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $0.0 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.0 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Winmark Corporation's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 100% of Winmark Corporation's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY25, operating cash was $0.0 B against reported profit of $0.0 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Winmark Corporation?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 15.95 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That sits well clear of trouble. — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Winmark Corporation in its business cycle?

Winmark Corporation's FY25 operating margin was 55.6%, against a 5-year band of 55.6%–62.5%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran 50.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Winmark Corporation story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Winmark Corporation a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Winmark Corporation's balance sheet is under water — net worth is negative, so it owes more than it owns. This is a distressed, high-risk situation — the equity can be wiped by dilution or restructuring before operations recover. Not a value setup. The sharpest open question: whether the business can earn its way back to positive equity before dilution or restructuring gets there first. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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