Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd trades at ₹544, in a confirmed uptrend and 3 weeks into that stage. That is +5.5% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 67% of a 52-week range of ₹427 to ₹601. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 10 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 3 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹544 it trades +5.5% versus its 200-day average and sits at 67% of its 52-week range (₹427–₹601).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 9.1 years the stock moved +167% while the NIFTY 500 moved +160% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 10 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd trades at 14.8× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (93rd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 7.6×, measured across 8.6 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 14.8× is at the pricey end of its own range (93rd percentile), against a long-run median of 7.6× measured over 8.6 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −42.0% against a −4.5% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +13.6%/yr price move, ~+17.6%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−4.0 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

A quarterly PEG curve, which only the second data source carries, is not drawn on this page: its two data sources do not share enough overlapping reported history to be compared. A figure nobody could check is not used to price growth — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

What the price assumes This reading works the multiple backwards. It asks one question: what yearly rate of profit growth is a buyer at the market price already paying for? The number is the growth rate that makes eleven years of profit — six years growing, then five fading — add up to that day's market price, once each year is discounted at 11% a year.

Solved at its 13 June 2026 price, Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd was paying for profit growth of about 2.7% a year. Today the market pays 14.8× P/E, the 93rd percentile of its own 9-year range.

What the two numbers say together. The multiple is full against its own past, and the growth the price is paying for is the whole of what a buyer is backing.

How to hold this number: it is a reading of one day's price, taken on 13 June 2026, not a running figure — every other number on this page, the multiple included, is read off the live quote as of 11 September 2026. A higher price is paying for more growth and a lower price for less, so it moves whenever the price does, and this page does not restate it between measurements.

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — revenue, profit and EPS growth are shrinking (revenue growth −5.7% latest against +20.5% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE holding at 8.0%. The read is built from 8 quarters across 4 curves, on partial evidence.

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

4-Factor Sector Score

38.8/100 — rank 14 of 21 in Sugar · 79% evidence confidence

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd scores 38.8 out of 100 against the 21 companies it is compared with in Sugar, ranking 14. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 8.2 + 8.5 + 9.4 + 12.7 = 38.8. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd reported ₹311 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, −6.6% year on year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹1,245 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹1,222 Cr. A multi-year compound rate is not shown because the annual history behind it is too short to compute one honestly.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹1,245 Cr (−5.8% on the year). The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹311 Cr, −6.6% year on year.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew −5.7% over the last 4 quarters against +2.9%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit −46.9% vs −31.9%/yr — rolling over.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd's operating margin is 0.2% in the Jun 26 quarter, −5.8 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 10 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 9.0% to 24.0%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 0.2%, −5.8 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 10 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 9.0%–24.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −5.5 pp year on year while gross margin went −4.9 pp — the loss came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd posted a net loss of ₹12.0 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹64.0 Cr. That loss is 3.9% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹0.0 Cr. 2 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Jun 26 profit was ₹−12.0 Cr, null year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹64.0 Cr (−41.3%).

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −104.3% vs revenue −5.1%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 110% of Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹148 Cr of operating cash against ₹64.0 Cr of profit. After ₹63.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹85.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹148 Cr against reported profit of ₹64.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹85.0 Cr after ₹63.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 110% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 110%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY21 and FY26 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 3.2× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 257 days in FY26, down from 258 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹259 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹1,245 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹3.4 Cr, so roughly ₹877 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 6 days, inventory at 260 days — roughly 8.6 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 257 days, tighter than FY21's 258.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 260 days to sell; customers pay about 6 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 9 days — netting out to the 257-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹1,245 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹3.4 Cr — so the 257-day loop keeps roughly ₹877 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹259 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹82.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹30.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.⚠ unverified

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd earns a ROCE of 8% in FY26. That is up from a trough of −25% in FY16. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −5.5 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 5.1% net margin on 0.74× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 8%, recovered from a FY16 trough of −25% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 5.1% net margin × 0.74× asset turns × 1.91× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 7.2% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 6.5% − 12.0% = a −5.5 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.⚠ unverified

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd carries total debt of ₹691 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹880 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.79. On the annual view that ratio went from 1.07 in FY22 to 0.79 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹691 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹880 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.79. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 1.07 (FY22) to 0.79 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Promoters moved +0.0 points over the same window, to 61.0%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Foreign institutions: −0.4 points over 8 quarters to 0.1%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 61.0%; Domestic institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.0%.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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