Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd trades at ₹43.0, losing momentum at the top and 3 weeks into that stage. That is +0.7% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 69% of a 52-week range of ₹33 to ₹47. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (6 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is losing momentum at the top — week 3 of stage 3, confirmed. At ₹43.0 it trades +0.7% versus its 200-day average and sits at 69% of its 52-week range (₹33–₹47).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +147% while the NIFTY 500 moved +278% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (6 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-03) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd trades at 54.9× P/E, about the priciest it has ever traded. Its long-run median P/E is 10.7×, measured across 10.0 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 54.9× is about the priciest it has ever traded, against a long-run median of 10.7× measured over 10.0 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +31.7% against a +10.6% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the −8.8%/yr price move, ~−32.0%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+23.2 pp from the multiple (expanding); over 10y, of the +5.4%/yr price move, ~−20.2%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+25.6 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

A quarterly PEG curve, which only the second data source carries, is not drawn on this page: its two data sources do not share enough overlapping reported history to be compared. A figure nobody could check is not used to price growth — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −45.8% latest against +112.5% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE slipping at 5.0%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on partial evidence.

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

4-Factor Sector Score

31.5/100 — rank 17 of 20 in Sugar · 72% evidence confidence

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd scores 31.5 out of 100 against the 20 companies it is compared with in Sugar, ranking 17. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 10 + 2.5 + 8.7 + 10.3 = 31.5. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd reported ₹358 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, −11.6% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at 5.9% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹1,402 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹1,354 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹1,402 Cr (+3.2% on the year), capping 10 years at 5.9% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹358 Cr, −11.6% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged −3.8% growth against the decade's 5.9% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew −4.8% over the last 4 quarters against −4.4%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit −45.8% vs −37.2%/yr — rolling over.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd's operating margin is −7.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, −8.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 11 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 6.0% to 23.0%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −7.0%, −8.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 11 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 6.0%–23.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −8.2 pp year on year while gross margin went −8.2 pp — the loss came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd posted a net loss of ₹26.0 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹31.0 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is −2.3%. That loss is 7.3% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost ₹9.0 Cr. 5 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Jun 26 profit was ₹−26.0 Cr, null year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹31.0 Cr (+34.8%), and the 10-year compound rate is −2.3%.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 147% of Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹129 Cr of operating cash against ₹31.0 Cr of profit. After ₹18.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹111 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹129 Cr against reported profit of ₹31.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹111 Cr after ₹18.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 147% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 147%: the cash cycle stretched 53 days between FY21 and FY26 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 240 days in FY26, up from 187 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹84.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹1,402 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹3.8 Cr, so roughly ₹922 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 13 days, inventory at 231 days — roughly 7.6 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 240 days, looser than FY21's 187.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 231 days to sell; customers pay about 13 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 4 days — netting out to the 240-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹1,402 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹3.8 Cr — so the 240-day loop keeps roughly ₹922 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹84.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹138 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.⚠ unverified

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd earns a ROCE of 5% in FY26. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 2.2% net margin on 1.08× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 5%.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 2.2% net margin × 1.08× asset turns × 1.57× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 3.7% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.⚠ unverified

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd carries total debt of ₹336 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹829 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.41. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.78 in FY22 to 0.41 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹336 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹829 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.41. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.78 (FY22) to 0.41 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Foreign institutions cut 2.8 points of Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes foreign institutions to 1.0% of the company. Domestic institutions moved +0.8 points over the same window, to 0.8%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Foreign institutions: −2.8 points over 8 quarters to 1.0%; Domestic institutions: +0.8 points over 8 quarters to 0.8%; Promoters: +0.1 points over 8 quarters to 42.1%.

🚨 Why the register moved: foreign institutions drove it (−2.8 points), absorbed on the other side by domestic institutions (+0.8 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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