Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd trades at ₹280, in a confirmed uptrend and 4 weeks into that stage. That is +11.2% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 67% of a 52-week range of ₹191 to ₹323. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 5 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 4 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹280 it trades +11.2% versus its 200-day average and sits at 67% of its 52-week range (₹191–₹323).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.5 years the stock moved +958% while the NIFTY 500 moved +267% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 5 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd trades at 12.1× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (83rd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 9.3×, measured across 2.3 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 12.1× is at the pricey end of its own range (83rd percentile), against a long-run median of 9.3× measured over 2.3 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +13.6% against a +6.2% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

A quarterly PEG curve, which only the second data source carries, is not drawn on this page: its two data sources do not share enough overlapping reported history to be compared. A figure nobody could check is not used to price growth — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

What the price assumes This reading works the multiple backwards. It asks one question: what yearly rate of profit growth is a buyer at the market price already paying for? The number is the growth rate that makes eleven years of profit — six years growing, then five fading — add up to that day's market price, once each year is discounted at 11% a year.

Solved at its 13 June 2026 price, Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd was paying for profit growth of about 1.7% a year. Profit itself has compounded −12.5% a year over the past 2 years. Today the market pays 12.1× P/E, the 83rd percentile of its own 2-year range.

What the two numbers say together. The multiple is full against its own past, and the growth the price is paying for is above what this company has actually delivered.

How to hold this number: it is a reading of one day's price, taken on 13 June 2026, not a running figure — every other number on this page, the multiple included, is read off the live quote as of 11 September 2026. A higher price is paying for more growth and a lower price for less, so it moves whenever the price does, and this page does not restate it between measurements.

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — revenue and profit growth are shrinking (revenue growth −3.6% latest (single-quarter readings) against +38.6% at its 12-quarter best). The read is built from 9 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

4-Factor Sector Score

52.1/100 — rank 5 of 21 in Sugar · 74% evidence confidence

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd scores 52.1 out of 100 against the 21 companies it is compared with in Sugar, ranking 5. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 16.5 + 15.2 + 10.9 + 9.5 = 52.1. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd reported ₹606 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, −3.6% year on year. Over 2 years it has compounded at 3.7% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹2,202 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹2,179 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹2,202 Cr (+19.3% on the year), capping 2 years at 3.7% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹606 Cr, −3.6% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +11.8% growth against the decade's 3.7% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +7.8% over the last 4 quarters against +3.3%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit −7.6% vs −9.7%/yr — stabilising.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd's operating margin is 4.3% in the Jun 26 quarter, −3.7 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 3 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 10.0% to 13.0%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 4.3%, −3.7 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 3 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 10.0%–13.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −3.7 pp year on year while gross margin went −5.2 pp — the loss came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd earned ₹1.3 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, −91.1% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹101 Cr. The 2-year compound rate is −12.5%. That is 0.2% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹14.5 Cr. 1 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Jun 26 profit was ₹1.3 Cr, −91.1% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹101 Cr (+17.4%), and the 2-year compound rate is −12.5%.

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed −3.6% and the margin −3.7 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −34.9% vs revenue +11.8%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 127% of Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹270 Cr of operating cash against ₹101 Cr of profit. After ₹53.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹217 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹270 Cr against reported profit of ₹101 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹217 Cr after ₹53.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 127% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 127%: the cash cycle tightened 15 days between FY24 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.1× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 180 days in FY26, down from 195 days in FY24. Capital spending ran ₹206 Cr over the last 2 years. At FY26 sales of ₹2,202 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹6.0 Cr, so roughly ₹1,086 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 8 days, inventory at 209 days — roughly 6.9 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 180 days, tighter than FY24's 195.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 209 days to sell; customers pay about 8 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 36 days — netting out to the 180-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹2,202 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹6.0 Cr — so the 180-day loop keeps roughly ₹1,086 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹206 Cr over the last 2 fiscal years against ₹96.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹8.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.⚠ unverified

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd earns a ROCE of 11% in FY26. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −1.9 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 4.6% net margin on 1.14× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 11%.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 4.6% net margin × 1.14× asset turns × 2.21× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 11.6% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 10.1% − 12.0% = a −1.9 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.⚠ unverified

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd carries total debt of ₹722 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹890 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.81. On the annual view that ratio went from 1.43 in FY22 to 0.81 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹722 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹890 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.81. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 1.43 (FY22) to 0.81 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Foreign institutions moved +0.0 points over the same window, to 0.0%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: +0.3 points over 8 quarters to 74.7%; Foreign institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.0%; Domestic institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.0%.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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