Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.

BRCB
Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is between stages. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$8.1
−70.3% 1Y
P/E
1,357.1×
vs its own history
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.1 B
+50.0% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
$0.0 B
Operating margin
0.0%
flat YoY
ROE
−31%
FY25
ROIC
0.1%
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. trades at $8.1, between stages. That is −46.9% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 8% of a 52-week range of $6 to $27. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (34 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is between stages. At $8.1 it trades −46.9% versus its 200-day average and sits at 8% of its 52-week range ($6–$27).

Aug 26: $8.1 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
−46.9% versus the 200-day line, week — of stage —
Price50-day avg200-day avg
$28.8$22.7$16.7$10.7$4.6$$8$15Sep 25Dec 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26
$28.8$22.7$16.7$10.7$4.6$$8$15Sep 25Feb 26Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (47 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Sep 25Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 11 months the stock moved −70% while the S&P 500 moved +16% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (34 weeks and counting) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. trades at 1,357.1× P/E, against too little history to rank. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 1,357.1× is against too little history to rank. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E
1,357.1×
too little history to rank
PEG
n/m
3-year earnings growth is negative

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 5 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +25.0% in FY25 Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoY
25.2%24.6%24.1%23.5%22.9%%25%FY23FY24FY25
25.2%24.6%24.1%23.5%22.9%%25%FY23FY24FY25
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
Revenue
54%40%25%11%−4.0%%50%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
54%40%25%11%−4.0%%50%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
0.3%−0.9%−2.2%−3.4%−4.6%%−3.2%Mar 24Sep 24Mar 25Sep 25Mar 26
0.3%−0.9%−2.2%−3.4%−4.6%%−3.2%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
ROCE
Stuck low
latest −3.2% · span −4.3%–0.0%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+25.0%
Stock price−70.3%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+50.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
24.0%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

No sector-relative score — Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison for Restaurants.

The score is a rank WITHIN a peer set: every metric is scored by percentile against the other members. Without the peer set there is no score to state, so none is invented here.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. reported $0.1 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +50.0% year on year. That is the 4th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 2 years it has compounded at 24.0% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.2 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.2 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $0.2 B (+25.0% on the year), capping 2 years at 24.0% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.1 B, +50.0% year on year — the 4th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY25 revenue $0.2 B (+25.0% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 3-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
24.0% a year over 2 years
RevenueYoY growth
0.2225.2%0.1624.6%0.1124.1%0.0523.5%0.0022.9%$ B%$0B25%FY23FY24FY25
0.2225.2%0.1624.6%0.1124.1%0.0523.5%0.0022.9%$ B%$0B25%FY23FY24FY25
Mar 26: $0.1 B (+50.0% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
4th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
0.0654%0.0540%0.0325%0.0211%0.00−4.0%$ B%$0B50%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
0.0654%0.0540%0.0325%0.0211%0.00−4.0%$ B%$0B50%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +31.3% growth against the decade's 24.0% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s operating margin is 0.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 3 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 0.0% to 6.3%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 0.0%, +0.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 3 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 0.0%–6.3%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +0.0 pp year on year while gross margin went +8.3 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

FY25: 0.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 3-year window.
within a 0.0–6.3% band over 3 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
6.8%7.3%5.0%3.7%3.2%0.0%1.3%−3.7%−0.5%−7.3%%%0%−6.3%FY23FY24FY25
6.8%7.3%5.0%3.7%3.2%0.0%1.3%−3.7%−0.5%−7.3%%%0%−6.3%FY23FY24FY25
Mar 26: 0.0% operating margin (+0.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
1.6%1.6%−4.2%−4.2%−10%−10%−16%−16%−22%−22%%%0%0%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
1.6%1.6%−4.2%−4.2%−10%−10%−16%−16%−22%−22%%%0%0%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. The full FY25 year was a loss of $0.02 B. That is 0.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B. 1 of the last 9 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was $0.0 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $−0.0 B (null).

FY25 profit $−0.0 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 3-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profit
0.002−0.004−0.010−0.016−0.022$ B$0BFY23FY24FY25
0.002−0.004−0.010−0.016−0.022$ B$0BFY23FY24FY25
Mar 26: $0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)
0.002−0.004−0.010−0.016−0.022$ B$0BMar 24Mar 25Mar 26
0.002−0.004−0.010−0.016−0.022$ B$0BMar 24Mar 25Mar 26
08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s cash-flow history is too thin to judge how much reported profit converts into cash. In FY25 that was $0.0 B of operating cash against $−0.0 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $−0.0 B was left as free cash. Cash resolution here is annual, because quarterly cash statements are not published.

FY25: operating cash of $0.0 B against reported profit of $−0.0 B, leaving free cash of $−0.0 B after $0.0 B of capital spending.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $0.0 B vs profit $−0.0 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 3-year window, annual resolution.
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.010.00−0.01−0.02−0.03$ B$0B$0B$0BFY23FY24FY25
0.010.00−0.01−0.02−0.03$ B$0B$0B$0BFY23FY24FY25
Mar 26: operating cash $0.0 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 8 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)100%
0.011101.2%0.008100.6%0.005100.0%0.00399.4%0.00098.8%$ B%$0BMar 24Dec 24Mar 26
0.011101.2%0.008100.6%0.005100.0%0.00399.4%0.00098.8%$ B%$0BMar 24Dec 24Mar 26

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.0320.0240.0160.0080.000$ B$0BFY23FY24FY25
0.0320.0240.0160.0080.000$ B$0BFY23FY24FY25
Mar 26: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 8 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.0220.0010.016−0.0020.011−0.0050.005−0.0080.000−0.011$ B$ B$0B$0BMar 24Dec 24Mar 26
0.0220.0010.016−0.0020.011−0.0050.005−0.0080.000−0.011$ B$ B$0B$0BMar 24Dec 24Mar 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. earns a ROE of −20% in FY25. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is −10.0% net margin on 0.59× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is −20%.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): −10.0% net margin × 0.59× asset turns × 3.40× balance-sheet leverage ≈ −20.1% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

FY25: ROE −20% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 2-year window, dips included.
the full ladder
ROEROIC (annual)
56%35%15%−5.3%−26%%−20%0.4%FY24FY25
56%35%15%−5.3%−26%%−20%0.4%FY24FY25
Mar 26: ROIC 1.0% (TTM) Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %. Last 8 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)
210%153%97%41%−16%%1%3.3%Sep 23Dec 24Mar 26
210%153%97%41%−16%%1%3.3%Sep 23Dec 24Mar 26
11 · Dividend

Dividend

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. pays no dividend. Across the last 9 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 9 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. carries total debt of $0.2 B against shareholder equity of $0.1 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 1.55. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of $0.2 B against shareholder equity of $0.1 B — a debt-to-equity of 1.55. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY25: debt $0.2 B at 1.60× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 3-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
0.232.6×0.17−0.9×0.11−4.4×0.06−8.0×0.00−11.5×$ B×$0B1.60×FY23FY24FY25
0.232.6×0.17−0.9×0.11−4.4×0.06−8.0×0.00−11.5×$ B×$0B1.60×FY23FY24FY25
Mar 26: debt $0.2 B, debt-to-equity 1.55 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 8 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
0.262.7×0.19−1.3×0.13−5.2×0.06−9.1×0.00−13.1×$ B×$0B1.55×Sep 23Dec 24Mar 26
0.262.7×0.19−1.3×0.13−5.2×0.06−9.1×0.00−13.1×$ B×$0B1.55×Sep 23Dec 24Mar 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

7.0% of Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 2.9 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 7.0% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 2.9 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
7.0%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
2.9
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.: the Z-score reads 1.49. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of 1.49 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 1.49.

15 · Related companies

No sector comparison is shown here — not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s stock price today?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. trades at $8.1, −70.3% over the past year. The company is valued at $0.0 B. The stock sits at 8% of its 52-week range of $6–$27, −46.9% versus its 200-day average. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 34 weeks. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. reported revenue of $0.1 B and net profit of $0.0 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $0.02. The operating margin was 0.0%, 0.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s revenue?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. reported revenue of $0.1 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +50.0% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $0.2 B (+25.0%). Over the last 2 years revenue compounded at 24.0% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s profit?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $−0.0 B. The operating margin ran 0.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s market cap?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s market capitalisation is $0.0 B at a stock price of $8.1. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. pay a dividend?

No — Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 9 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. performing?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s latest readings are below. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 34 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (34 weeks and counting), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 11 months the stock moved −70% against the S&P 500's +16% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $8.1. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.?

Somewhat — short interest is 7.0% of Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s tradable float, about 2.9 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. have too much debt?

It carries real leverage — Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 1.60. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s capex?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s cash flow?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. generated $0.0 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $−0.0 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $−0.0 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 1.49 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. in its business cycle?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s FY25 operating margin was 0.0%, against a 3-year band of 0.0%–6.3%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran 0.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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