Restaurant Brands International Inc.
QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. is coiled. The quarters are improving, yet the P/E sits at the 33rd percentile of its own 5-year range — the business is moving before the market.
The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +17.6% in a year while annual EPS moved −26.1% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings.
The price is in a confirmed uptrend (31 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 33rd percentile of its own 5-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +157.7% year on year, and 104% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved.
Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. trades at $75.0, in a confirmed uptrend and 31 weeks into that stage. That is +1.8% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 63% of a 52-week range of $65 to $81. On relative strength it has been ahead of the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 1 straight week.
Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 31 of stage 2. At $75.0 it trades +1.8% versus its 200-day average and sits at 63% of its 52-week range ($65–$81).
Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.2 years the stock moved +81% while the S&P 500 moved +255% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 1 straight week — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.
What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.
Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. trades at 20.2× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 33% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 21.1×, measured across 4.5 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.
Today's P/E of 20.2× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 33% of the time, against a long-run median of 21.1× measured over 4.5 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.
🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −26.1% against a +17.6% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.
The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +3.0%/yr price move, ~+4.2%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−1.2 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.
Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.
Stage: Improving Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).
Restaurant Brands International Inc. reads as improving on its fundamental arc. Improving — profit growth bottomed 3 quarters ago at −29.7% and has held its recovery at +52.5%, ROCE holding at 11.4%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.
Why it matters: a sustained climb off the trough is the setup this page is built to catch — the question moves to what you pay for it.
| 1yr | 3yr | 5yr | 10yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +12.1% | +13.2% | — | — |
| Profit | −17.2% | −6.8% | — | — |
| EPS | −26.1% | −10.2% | — | — |
| Stock price | +17.6% | +3.0% | +3.6% | +5.3% |
4-Factor Sector Score
69.3/100 — rank 3 of 29 in Restaurants · 85% evidence confidence
Restaurant Brands International Inc. scores 69.3 out of 100 against the 29 companies it is compared with in Restaurants, ranking 3. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
The four contributions add to the total exactly: 26.1 + 13.8 + 14.5 + 14.9 = 69.3. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.
What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.
Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. reported $2.5 B of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +4.6% year on year. That is the 12th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 13.2% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $9.4 B. The last four reported quarters add to $9.7 B.
FY25 revenue came in at $9.4 B (+12.1% on the year), capping 4 years at 13.2% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed $2.5 B, +4.6% year on year — the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.
Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +6.5% growth against the decade's 13.2% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.
Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +6.5% over the last 4 quarters against +13.9%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit +52.5% vs +0.3%/yr — accelerating.
Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s operating margin is 28.6% in the Jun 26 quarter, +8.7 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 23.3% to 32.8%. The current quarter sits inside that band.
The latest quarter's operating margin is 28.6%, +8.7 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 23.3%–32.8%.
Why the margin moved: operating margin went +8.7 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.2 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.
Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. earned $0.7 B of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +157.7% year on year. It is the 2nd consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY25 profit was $1.2 B. The 4-year compound rate is −1.0%. That is 26.6% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.3 B.
Jun 26 profit was $0.7 B, +157.7% year on year — the 2nd consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY25 printed $1.2 B (−17.2%), and the 4-year compound rate is −1.0%.
Why profit moved: revenue contributed +4.6% and the margin +8.7 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.
Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +64.8% vs revenue +6.5%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra dollar of revenue drops more to the bottom line.
Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.
Over the last 3 fiscal years 104% of Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was $1.7 B of operating cash against $1.2 B of profit. After $0.3 B of capital spending, $1.4 B was left as free cash.
FY25: operating cash of $1.7 B against reported profit of $1.2 B, leaving free cash of $1.4 B after $0.3 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 104% of profit.
Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.
Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.
Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.
Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).
Restaurant Brands International Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $1.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 3.5% of FY25 revenue a year.
Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.
On the investment side: capital spending of $1.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.
The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.
Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. earns a ROE of 23% in FY25. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +5.6 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 12.7% net margin on 0.37× asset turns.
FY25 ROE is 23%.
Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 12.7% net margin × 0.37× asset turns × 4.96× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 23.3% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.
The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 11.4% − 5.8% = a +5.6 pp spread. The 5.8% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every dollar reinvested creates more than a dollar of value — the engine compounds.
Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. paid $2.54 per share over the last four reported quarters. The most recent declaration was $0.65 for Jun 26. Against the current price of $75.0 that is a trailing yield of 3.39%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. paid $2.54 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.65 for Jun 26. Against the current price of $75.0 the trailing twelve months work out to 3.39% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.
Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. carries total debt of $15.4 B against shareholder equity of $5.4 B as of Jun 26, a debt-to-equity of 2.86. On the annual view that ratio went from 3.74 in FY21 to 3.00 in FY25. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.
Jun 26: total debt of $15.4 B against shareholder equity of $5.4 B — a debt-to-equity of 2.86. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 3.74 (FY21) to 3.00 (FY25). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.
Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.
6.0% of Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 7.9 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.
The latest reading: 6.0% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 7.9 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.
Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.
Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.
Restaurant Brands International Inc.: the Z-score reads 1.58. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.
🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of 1.58 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.
The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 1.58.
| Company | Score | Price stage | Growth & earnings/35 | Capital efficiency/25 | Valuation/20 | Relative strength/20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brinker International, Inc.EAT | 70.3/100Favorable setup81% evidence | LEADER | 21.6/35 Revenue 11.8% · PAT 38.9% · OPM change 0.3 pp 83% evidence | 13.4/25 ROCE 8.3% · OPM 11.3% 76% evidence | 15.6/20 P/E 14.4× · PEG 0.35 65% evidence | 19.7/20 RS sector 38.4% · RS bench 24.6% · 1Y 54.5%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 21.6 + 13.4 + 15.6 + 19.7 = 70.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 2Darden Restaurants, Inc.DRI | 69.9/100Favorable setup85% evidence | ASLEEP | 24.2/35 Revenue 9.4% · PAT 15.1% · OPM change 0.9 pp 95% evidence | 18.0/25 ROCE 16.1% · OPM 14.1% 76% evidence | 12.7/20 P/E 19.4× · PEG 1.14 65% evidence | 15.0/20 RS sector 8.7% · RS bench -2.3% · 1Y 12.6%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 24.2 + 18 + 12.7 + 15 = 69.9 · Decision use: Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence. | ||||||
| 3Restaurant Brands International Inc.this pageQSR | 69.3/100Favorable setup85% evidence | TURNING | 26.1/35 Revenue 6.5% · PAT 51.4% · OPM change 8.4 pp 95% evidence | 13.8/25 ROCE 3.1% · OPM 28.4% 76% evidence | 14.5/20 P/E 19.5× · PEG 0.48 65% evidence | 14.9/20 RS sector 7.2% · RS bench -3.5% · 1Y 17.6%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 26.1 + 13.8 + 14.5 + 14.9 = 69.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 4Domino's Pizza, Inc.DPZ | 62.6/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | ASLEEP | 23.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.1 pp 45% evidence | 21.1/25 ROCE 35.8% · OPM 20% 76% evidence | 10.9/20 P/E 18.4× · PEG — 15% evidence | 7.1/20 RS sector -15.6% · RS bench -24.4% · 1Y -29.7%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 23.5 + 21.1 + 10.9 + 7.1 = 62.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 5Yum! Brands, Inc.YUM | 62.0/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence | ASLEEP | 23.6/35 Revenue 10.3% · PAT 54.8% · OPM change -2 pp 95% evidence | 18.1/25 ROCE 14.4% · OPM 30.2% 76% evidence | 15.1/20 P/E 20.1× · PEG 0.35 65% evidence | 5.2/20 RS sector -6.4% · RS bench -15.9% · 1Y -5.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 23.6 + 18.1 + 15.1 + 5.2 = 62 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -6.4% and the one-year return is -5.3%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth. | ||||||
| 6The Cheesecake Factory IncorporatedCAKE | 61.0/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence | LEADER | 19.9/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.4 pp 39% evidence | 11.3/25 ROCE 6.5% · OPM 5.6% 76% evidence | 10.3/20 P/E 21.6× · PEG — 15% evidence | 19.5/20 RS sector 50.9% · RS bench 36.1% · 1Y 77.8%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19.9 + 11.3 + 10.3 + 19.5 = 61 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 7Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.ARCO | 59.7/100Mixed-positive evidence75% evidence | ASLEEP | 23.3/35 Revenue 7.9% · PAT 74.1% · OPM change 1 pp 83% evidence | 9.9/25 ROCE 2.3% · OPM 5.2% 76% evidence | 16.5/20 P/E 7.4× · PEG 0.18 65% evidence | 10.0/20 RS sector 0.6% · RS bench -9.4% · 1Y 14.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 23.3 + 9.9 + 16.5 + 10 = 59.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 8El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.LOCO | 55.4/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence | FADING | 18.4/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 0.7 pp 45% evidence | 10.1/25 ROCE 2.3% · OPM 9.7% 76% evidence | 11.2/20 P/E 14.2× · PEG — 15% evidence | 15.7/20 RS sector 17.7% · RS bench 6.2% · 1Y 46.6%8 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 18.4 + 10.1 + 11.2 + 15.7 = 55.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 9Yum China Holdings, Inc.YUMC | 50.6/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | ASLEEP | 19.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 0.3 pp 45% evidence | 13.2/25 ROCE 4% · OPM 13.7% 76% evidence | 11.0/20 P/E 15× · PEG — 15% evidence | 6.9/20 RS sector -8.4% · RS bench -17.8% · 1Y -5.5%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19.5 + 13.2 + 11 + 6.9 = 50.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 10Texas Roadhouse, Inc.TXRH | 50.2/100Mixed-positive evidence71% evidence | ASLEEP | 14.8/35 Revenue 13.1% · PAT 2.5% · OPM change -3.1 pp 53% evidence | 12.9/25 ROCE 5.6% · OPM 9% 76% evidence | 13.5/20 P/E 26.4× · PEG 0.65 65% evidence | 9.0/20 RS sector -0.6% · RS bench -10.6% · 1Y 7.5%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14.8 + 12.9 + 13.5 + 9 = 50.2 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity. | ||||||
| 11McDonald's CorporationMCD | 48.5/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence | ASLEEP | 17.0/35 Revenue 6.3% · PAT 4.7% · OPM change -1.2 pp 95% evidence | 21.2/25 ROCE 22.7% · OPM 46.5% 76% evidence | 5.8/20 P/E 21.9× · PEG 3.99 65% evidence | 4.5/20 RS sector -12.7% · RS bench -21.6% · 1Y -17.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17 + 21.2 + 5.8 + 4.5 = 48.5 · Decision use: Strong business, demanding price: keep it on the quality list, but require either earnings upgrades or valuation compression. | ||||||
| 12Nathan's Famous, Inc.NATH | 47.5/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence | BASING | 10.0/35 Revenue 8.7% · PAT -12% · OPM change -7.6 pp 83% evidence | 17.5/25 ROCE 14.7% · OPM 15% 76% evidence | 9.1/20 P/E 20.8× · PEG 2.06 65% evidence | 10.9/20 RS sector 2.5% · RS bench -7.9% · 1Y -4.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 10 + 17.5 + 9.1 + 10.9 = 47.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 13Super Hi International Holding Ltd.HDL | 47.3/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence | ASLEEP | 18.8/35 Revenue 10.1% · PAT -26.3% · OPM change 2.9 pp 83% evidence | 8.3/25 ROCE 2.5% · OPM 6.5% 76% evidence | 14.1/20 P/E 24.3× · PEG 0.41 65% evidence | 6.1/20 RS sector -8% · RS bench -19.3% · 1Y -39.4%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 18.8 + 8.3 + 14.1 + 6.1 = 47.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 14Wingstop Inc.WING | 45.8/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | ASLEEP | 20.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 5 pp 45% evidence | 16.1/25 ROCE 8.9% · OPM 27.4% 76% evidence | 9.1/20 P/E 39.6× · PEG — 15% evidence | 0.5/20 RS sector -46.6% · RS bench -52.4% · 1Y -60.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 20.1 + 16.1 + 9.1 + 0.5 = 45.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 15Starbucks CorporationSBUX | 45.3/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence | ASLEEP | 16.0/35 Revenue 4.5% · PAT -24.8% · OPM change 0.6 pp 95% evidence | 13.0/25 ROCE 4.8% · OPM 10.5% 76% evidence | 4.3/20 P/E 60.1× · PEG 5.08 65% evidence | 12.0/20 RS sector 6.1% · RS bench -4.5% · 1Y 15.1%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 16 + 13 + 4.3 + 12 = 45.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 16Bloomin' Brands, Inc.BLMN | 45.2/100Mixed-negative evidence71% evidence | FADING | 11.2/35 Revenue 0.9% · PAT -193.9% · OPM change 0.1 pp 83% evidence | 8.7/25 ROCE 2.4% · OPM 5.6% 76% evidence | 10.1/20 P/E 21.9× · PEG — 15% evidence | 15.2/20 RS sector 12.5% · RS bench 1.3% · 1Y 17.7%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 11.2 + 8.7 + 10.1 + 15.2 = 45.2 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 1.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation. | ||||||
| 17Biglari Holdings Inc.BH | 45.1/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | LEADER | 20.4/35 Revenue 8.4% · PAT — · OPM change 4.9 pp 62% evidence | 4.0/25 ROCE -0.5% · OPM -4.2% 76% evidence | 8.7/20 P/E 138.1× · PEG — 15% evidence | 12.0/20 RS sector 5.8% · RS bench -5.1% · 1Y 13.9%11 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 20.4 + 4 + 8.7 + 12 = 45.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 18Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.CMG | 42.6/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence | FADING | 12.2/35 Revenue 7.3% · PAT -7.9% · OPM change -2.5 pp 95% evidence | 14.7/25 ROCE 6.7% · OPM 15.7% 76% evidence | 4.7/20 P/E 31.2× · PEG 6.18 65% evidence | 11.0/20 RS sector -0.9% · RS bench -11.1% · 1Y -14.3%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 12.2 + 14.7 + 4.7 + 11 = 42.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 19The Wendy's CompanyWEN | 40.9/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence | FADING | 10.6/35 Revenue -1.8% · PAT -11.8% · OPM change -3.3 pp 83% evidence | 12.4/25 ROCE 2.3% · OPM 19.2% 76% evidence | 11.3/20 P/E 8.7× · PEG 1.69 65% evidence | 6.6/20 RS sector -7.5% · RS bench -17% · 1Y -24.7%7 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 10.6 + 12.4 + 11.3 + 6.6 = 40.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 20Cannae Holdings, Inc.CNNE | 39.6/100Mixed-negative evidence64% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 9.4/35 Revenue -6.5% · PAT — · OPM change -2.3 pp 62% evidence | 3.4/25 ROCE -1.5% · OPM -23% 76% evidence | 11.4/20 P/E 8.1× · PEG — 15% evidence | 15.4/20 RS sector 6.3% · RS bench -4.5% · 1Y -20.5%8 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 9.4 + 3.4 + 11.4 + 15.4 = 39.6 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is -4.5%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation. | ||||||
| 21Dutch Bros Inc.BROS | 38.6/100Mixed-negative evidence71% evidence | ASLEEP | 20.6/35 Revenue 28.4% · PAT 63.9% · OPM change -1.3 pp 83% evidence | 7.2/25 ROCE 1.3% · OPM 7.4% 76% evidence | 8.9/20 P/E 79.2× · PEG — 15% evidence | 1.9/20 RS sector -23.4% · RS bench -31.2% · 1Y -29.4%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 20.6 + 7.2 + 8.9 + 1.9 = 38.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 22Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.CBRL | 38.5/100Mixed-negative evidence79% evidence | ASLEEP | 7.6/35 Revenue -4.9% · PAT -55.2% · OPM change -1 pp 95% evidence | 7.2/25 ROCE 0.4% · OPM 0.8% 76% evidence | 7.7/20 P/E 26.8× · PEG 2.29 65% evidence | 16.0/20 RS sector 20.6% · RS bench 8.4% · 1Y -0.6%10 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 7.6 + 7.2 + 7.7 + 16 = 38.5 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 8.4%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation. | ||||||
| 23CAVA Group, Inc.CAVA | 36.1/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence | ASLEEP | 19.0/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.1 pp 39% evidence | 7.2/25 ROCE 2.1% · OPM 5.8% 76% evidence | 8.6/20 P/E 182.3× · PEG — 15% evidence | 1.3/20 RS sector -25.3% · RS bench -32.8% · 1Y -21.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19 + 7.2 + 8.6 + 1.3 = 36.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 24First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.FWRG | 35.5/100Mixed-negative evidence68% evidence | ASLEEP | 19.0/35 Revenue 20.4% · PAT 54.5% · OPM change -0.1 pp 62% evidence | 6.3/25 ROCE 0.1% · OPM 0.3% 76% evidence | 5.3/20 P/E 36.8× · PEG 3.06 65% evidence | 4.9/20 RS sector -22.4% · RS bench -30.5% · 1Y -34.6%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19 + 6.3 + 5.3 + 4.9 = 35.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 25Kura Sushi USA, Inc.KRUS | 32.6/100Adverse evidence67% evidence | ASLEEP | 18.2/35 Revenue 18.2% · PAT — · OPM change 0.2 pp 71% evidence | 4.6/25 ROCE 0% · OPM 0% 76% evidence | 8.5/20 P/E 678.8× · PEG — 15% evidence | 1.3/20 RS sector -34.3% · RS bench -41.2% · 1Y -51.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 18.2 + 4.6 + 8.5 + 1.3 = 32.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 26Papa John's International, Inc.PZZA | 31.0/100Adverse evidence75% evidence | ASLEEP | 9.9/35 Revenue -2.4% · PAT -62% · OPM change -0.3 pp 83% evidence | 11.2/25 ROCE 3.6% · OPM 4.3% 76% evidence | 6.6/20 P/E 38.3× · PEG 2.49 65% evidence | 3.3/20 RS sector -41% · RS bench -47.2% · 1Y -57.5%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 9.9 + 11.2 + 6.6 + 3.3 = 31 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 27Shake Shack Inc.SHAK | 30.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | ASLEEP | 10.9/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -7 pp 45% evidence | 4.6/25 ROCE -0.2% · OPM -0.7% 76% evidence | 8.8/20 P/E 93.5× · PEG — 15% evidence | 6.1/20 RS sector -26.9% · RS bench -34.6% · 1Y -43.1%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 10.9 + 4.6 + 8.8 + 6.1 = 30.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 28Sweetgreen, Inc.SG | 30.1/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | BASING | 9.1/35 Revenue -1.5% · PAT — · OPM change -4.1 pp 62% evidence | 3.1/25 ROCE -4.5% · OPM -21.3% 76% evidence | 9.3/20 P/E 39.2× · PEG — 15% evidence | 8.6/20 RS sector -0.9% · RS bench -10.8% · 1Y -22.9%2 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 9.1 + 3.1 + 9.3 + 8.6 = 30.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 29BJ's Restaurants, Inc.BJRI | 52.7/100Thin evidence · provisional50% evidence | LEADER | 19.6/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 3.9 pp 39% evidence | 7.1/25 ROCE 2.2% · OPM 3% 76% evidence | 9.6/20 P/E 32.5× · PEG — 15% evidence | 16.4/20 RS sector 38% · RS bench 24.4% · 1Y 100.3%12 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19.6 + 7.1 + 9.6 + 16.4 = 52.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.
Frequently asked questions
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s stock price today?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. trades at $75.0, +17.6% over the past year. The company is valued at $34.0 B. The stock sits at 63% of its 52-week range of $65–$81, +1.8% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 31 weeks in. — as of 17 September 2026.
What were Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s latest quarterly results?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. reported revenue of $2.5 B and net profit of $0.7 B for the Jun 26 quarter. Revenue rose 4.6% and profit rose 157.7% year on year. Earnings per share were $1.45. The operating margin was 28.6%, 8.7 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s revenue?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. reported revenue of $2.5 B in the Jun 26 quarter, +4.6% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $9.4 B (+12.1%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 13.2% a year. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s profit?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. earned $0.7 B of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +157.7% year on year — the 2nd straight quarter of growth. Full-year FY25 profit was $1.2 B. The operating margin ran 28.6% in the latest quarter. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s market cap?
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s market capitalisation is $34.0 B at a stock price of $75.0. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s P/E ratio?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.2×, at the 33rd percentile of its own 5-year range, against a long-run median of 21.1×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 17 September 2026.
Does Restaurant Brands International Inc. pay a dividend?
Yes — Restaurant Brands International Inc. declared $0.65 per share for Jun 26, and $2.54 per share across the last four reported quarters. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s dividend per share?
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s most recently declared dividend is $0.65 per share for Jun 26, giving $2.54 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s dividend yield?
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s trailing dividend yield is 3.39%: $2.54 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $75.0. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc. overvalued?
On its own history, Restaurant Brands International Inc. looks cheap: its P/E of 20.2× has been cheaper only 33% of the time in 5 years (long-run median 21.1×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc. growing?
Yes — Restaurant Brands International Inc. is growing: latest-quarter revenue +4.6% year on year, profit +157.7%, and the margin +8.7 pp at 28.6%. The 4-year compound rates are 13.2% (revenue) and −1.0% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 17 September 2026.
How is Restaurant Brands International Inc. performing?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. is in a confirmed uptrend, 31 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 4.6% and profit rose 157.7% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 1 week. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 17 September 2026.
What stage is Restaurant Brands International Inc. in?
Improving — profit growth bottomed 3 quarters ago at −29.7% and has held its recovery at +52.5%, ROCE holding at 11.4%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +6.5% latest, profit growth +52.5% latest, eps growth +40.9% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc. in an uptrend?
Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 31 of stage 2), trading +1.8% versus its 200-day average and at 63% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc. beating the market?
On recent form, yes — Restaurant Brands International Inc. has been ahead of the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 1 straight week, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.2 years the stock moved +81% against the S&P 500's +255% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 17 September 2026.
Will Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s stock price go up?
This page publishes no price forecast for Restaurant Brands International Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $75.0, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 31 weeks in. Its P/E of 20.2× sits at the 33rd percentile of its own 5-year range. — as of 17 September 2026.
Is the market betting against Restaurant Brands International Inc.?
Somewhat — short interest is 6.0% of Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s tradable float, about 7.9 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 17 September 2026.
Does Restaurant Brands International Inc. have too much debt?
It carries real leverage — Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 2.90. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s capex?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. spent $1.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.3 B. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s cash flow?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. generated $1.7 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $1.4 B of free cash flow after $0.3 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $1.2 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s profit real cash?
Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 104% of Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY25, operating cash was $1.7 B against reported profit of $1.2 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 17 September 2026.
How financially safe is Restaurant Brands International Inc.?
On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 1.58 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 17 September 2026.
Where is Restaurant Brands International Inc. in its business cycle?
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s FY25 operating margin was 23.3%, against a 5-year band of 23.3%–32.8%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran 28.6%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 17 September 2026.
What could break the Restaurant Brands International Inc. story?
The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +17.6% in a year while annual EPS moved −26.1% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc. a stock worth studying right now?
This is not investment advice. The machine read: Restaurant Brands International Inc. is coiled. The quarters are improving, yet the P/E sits at the 33rd percentile of its own 5-year range — the business is moving before the market. The sharpest open question: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 17 September 2026.
Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!