Orla Mining Ltd.

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Orla Mining Ltd. trades at $9.4, building a base and 12 weeks into that stage. That is −30.7% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 6% of a 52-week range of $9 to $22. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (15 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is building a base — week 12 of stage 1. At $9.4 it trades −30.7% versus its 200-day average and sits at 6% of its 52-week range ($9–$22).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 9.4 years the stock moved +873% while the S&P 500 moved +216% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (15 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-04-17) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Orla Mining Ltd. trades at 13.3× P/E, about the cheapest it has ever traded. Its long-run median P/E is 28.8×, measured across 3.8 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 13.3× is about the cheapest it has ever traded, against a long-run median of 28.8× measured over 3.8 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +11.1% against a −0.8% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +27.3%/yr price move, ~+61.8%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−34.5 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: Improving Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Orla Mining Ltd. reads as improving on its fundamental arc. Improving — profit growth bottomed 8 quarters ago at −125.0% and has held its recovery at +933.3%, ROCE lifting at 82.5%. The read is built from 11 quarters across 3 curves, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: a sustained climb off the trough is the setup this page is built to catch — the question moves to what you pay for it.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

4-Factor Sector Score

49.3/100 — rank 18 of 28 in Gold · 74% evidence confidence

Orla Mining Ltd. scores 49.3 out of 100 against the 28 companies it is compared with in Gold, ranking 18. Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -19% and the one-year return is -0.8%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 22.8 + 19.7 + 4.5 + 2.3 = 49.3. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Orla Mining Ltd. reported $0.4 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +171.4% year on year. That is the 9th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. The last full year, FY25, came in at $1.1 B. The last four reported quarters add to $1.3 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $1.1 B (+211.8% on the year). The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.4 B, +171.4% year on year — the 9th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +214.6% over the last 4 quarters against +127.2%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Orla Mining Ltd.'s operating margin is 136.8% in the Mar 26 quarter, +1.1 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 4 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 52.6% to 141.5%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 136.8%, +1.1 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 4 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 52.6%–141.5%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +1.1 pp year on year while gross margin went −10.5 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Orla Mining Ltd. earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.1 B. That is 21.1% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.1 B. 2 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was $0.1 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $0.1 B (+22.2%).

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +138.9% vs revenue +222.2%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 428% of Orla Mining Ltd.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was $0.8 B of operating cash against $0.1 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $0.8 B was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of $0.8 B against reported profit of $0.1 B, leaving free cash of $0.8 B after $0.0 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 428% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Orla Mining Ltd. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Orla Mining Ltd. earns a ROE of 17% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −17% in FY21. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +46.2 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 10.4% net margin on 0.51× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is 17%, recovered from a FY21 trough of −17% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 10.4% net margin × 0.51× asset turns × 3.15× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 16.7% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 56.4% − 10.2% = a +46.2 pp spread. The 10.2% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every dollar reinvested creates more than a dollar of value — the engine compounds.

Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.

Orla Mining Ltd. has 1 quarter of declared dividends on file — too few for a trailing-twelve-month figure. The most recent declaration was $0.01 for Dec 25.

Orla Mining Ltd. has declared a dividend in 1 of the last 12 reported quarters, most recently $0.01 for Dec 25. That is fewer than four quarters, so no trailing-twelve-month total is shown rather than one built from a partial year.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Orla Mining Ltd. carries total debt of $0.3 B against shareholder equity of $0.8 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.42. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.89 in FY21 to 0.55 in FY25. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of $0.3 B against shareholder equity of $0.8 B — a debt-to-equity of 0.42. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.89 (FY21) to 0.55 (FY25). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

0.9% of Orla Mining Ltd.'s tradable float is currently sold short — the crowd is not positioned against this stock. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 0.9 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 0.9% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 0.9 days to buy those positions back. The crowd is not positioned against this stock. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Orla Mining Ltd.: the Z-score reads 3.57. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 3.57 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 3.57.

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