Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Satellogic Inc.

SATL
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Satellogic Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is already 1 weeks into its uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is in a confirmed uptrend (1 weeks in). Underneath, the last four quarters read mixed. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$4.5
+37.7% 1Y
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.0 B
Profit (Mar 26), incl. one-off
$−0.1 B
one-off item — see below
Operating margin
−100.0%
ROIC
−24.1%
vs WACC 9.2% → −33.3 pp
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Satellogic Inc. trades at $4.5, in a confirmed uptrend and 1 weeks into that stage. That is +2.5% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 34% of a 52-week range of $1 to $11. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (7 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 1 of stage 2. At $4.5 it trades +2.5% versus its 200-day average and sits at 34% of its 52-week range ($1–$11).

Aug 26: $4.5 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
+2.5% versus the 200-day line, week 1 of stage 2
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4S4S2S1S2$11.4$8.5$5.7$2.8$0.0$$5$4Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Aug 26
S4S4S2S1S2$11.4$8.5$5.7$2.8$0.0$$5$4Jul 23Jan 25Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2021 Each cell is one week from 2021 to now (280 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Mar 21Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 5.3 years the stock moved −54% while the S&P 500 moved +93% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (7 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-18) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

P/E does not price Satellogic Inc. — earnings are negative, so there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where a turn, when it comes, would show first. On sales the market values Satellogic Inc. at 50.0× its FY25 revenue of $0.0 B.

With earnings negative, P/E does not price — there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where the turn, when it comes, will show first.

P/E
earnings negative
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Satellogic Inc. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 4 quarters across 0 curves, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +100.0% in FY25 Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoY
108%79%50%21%−8.0%%100%FY21FY23FY25
108%79%50%21%−8.0%%100%FY21FY23FY25
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
Revenue
−98.8%−99.4%−100.0%−100.6%−101.2%%−100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
−98.8%−99.4%−100.0%−100.6%−101.2%%−100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

The latest quarter’s profit carries a one-off item larger than the operating base, so the profit curve is shown but does not vote in the stage call.

The return-on-capital curve is not shown — net worth is negative, so a return on capital is not a meaningful number in any basis. This is a distressed balance sheet, and the stage is read from the growth curves alone.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+100.0%+26.0%
Stock price+37.7%+33.4%−14.5%
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

No sector-relative score — Satellogic Inc. is not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison for Aerospace & Defense.

The score is a rank WITHIN a peer set: every metric is scored by percentile against the other members. Without the peer set there is no score to state, so none is invented here.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Satellogic Inc. reported $0.0 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.0 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.0 B. A multi-year compound rate is not shown because the annual history behind it is too short to compute one honestly.

FY25 revenue came in at $0.0 B (+100.0% on the year). The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.0 B, null year on year.

FY25 revenue $0.0 B (+100.0% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
RevenueYoY growth
0.022108%0.01679%0.01150%0.00521%0.000−8.0%$ B%$0B100%FY21FY23FY25
0.022108%0.01679%0.01150%0.00521%0.000−8.0%$ B%$0B100%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
0.011−98.8%0.008−99.4%0.005−100.0%0.003−100.6%0.000−101.2%$ B%$0B−100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.011−98.8%0.008−99.4%0.005−100.0%0.003−100.6%0.000−101.2%$ B%$0B−100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Satellogic Inc.'s operating margin is −100.0% in the Mar 26 quarter. Across 4 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −900.0% to −150.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −100.0%, null pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 4 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −900.0%–−150.0%.

Why: the numbers show the operating margin move clearly, but the cost lines behind it sit below what we hold — so we state the move without inventing its driver.

FY25: −150.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 4-year window.
within a −900.0–−150.0% band over 4 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
−90%362%−308%319%−525%275%−743%232%−960%188%%%−150%350%FY22FY23FY25
−90%362%−308%319%−525%275%−743%232%−960%188%%%−150%350%FY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: −100.0% operating margin (null pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating margin
−98.8%−99.4%−100.0%−100.6%−101.2%%−100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
−98.8%−99.4%−100.0%−100.6%−101.2%%−100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Satellogic Inc. posted a net loss of $0.1 B in the Mar 26 quarter. That quarter carries a one-off item larger than its own revenue, so the year-on-year figure is an artefact rather than a trading result. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.0 B. That loss is 1,200.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.03 B.

Mar 26 profit was $−0.1 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $0.0 B (null).

🚨 Read this profit with care: at $−0.1 B it is larger than the whole quarter's revenue of $0.0 B — no operating business earns more than it sells, so this is a one-off item (a debt-to-equity conversion, a tax write-back or an asset sale), not money the business earned. The underlying operations are running at −100.0% operating margin; the year-on-year jump and any P/E built on this number are artefacts of the one-off, not a real earnings turn.

FY25 profit $0.0 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profit
0.01−0.03−0.06−0.09−0.13$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.01−0.03−0.06−0.09−0.13$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $−0.1 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)
0.040.00−0.04−0.09−0.13$ B$−0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.040.00−0.04−0.09−0.13$ B$−0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Satellogic Inc.'s cash-flow history is too thin to judge how much reported profit converts into cash. In FY25 that was $−0.0 B of operating cash against $0.0 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $−0.0 B was left as free cash. Cash resolution here is annual, because quarterly cash statements are not published.

FY25: operating cash of $−0.0 B against reported profit of $0.0 B, leaving free cash of $−0.0 B after $0.0 B of capital spending.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $−0.0 B vs profit $0.0 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.01−0.03−0.06−0.09−0.13$ B$0B$0B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.01−0.03−0.06−0.09−0.13$ B$0B$0B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: operating cash $0.0 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.001111%−0.00272%−0.00534%−0.008−5.1%−0.011−44%$ B%$0B−33%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.001111%−0.00272%−0.00534%−0.008−5.1%−0.011−44%$ B%$0B−33%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Satellogic Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.0320.0240.0160.0080.000$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.0320.0240.0160.0080.000$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.0110.0020.008−0.0040.005−0.0100.003−0.0160.000−0.022$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.0110.0020.008−0.0040.005−0.0100.003−0.0160.000−0.022$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Satellogic Inc. earns a ROE of 0% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −120% in FY23. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −33.3 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 0.0% net margin on 0.13× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is 0%, recovered from a FY23 trough of −120% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 0.0% net margin × 0.13× asset turns × 2.50× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 0.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: −24.1% − 9.2% = a −33.3 pp spread. The 9.2% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY25: ROE 0% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 9.2% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY23's −120%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
278%141%0.0%−134%−271%%0%−146.9%FY21FY23FY25
278%141%0.0%−134%−271%%0%−146.9%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: ROIC −76.1% (TTM) vs WACC 9.2% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
11,306%8,203%5,101%1,998%−1,105%%−76.1%217.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
11,306%8,203%5,101%1,998%−1,105%%−76.1%217.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
11 · Dividend

Dividend

Satellogic Inc. pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Satellogic Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Satellogic Inc.'s net worth is negative — it owes more than it owns — so a debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful here. On the annual view that ratio went from −0.46 in FY21 to 1.00 in FY25. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of $0.1 B against shareholder equity of $−0.0 B — a debt-to-equity of −5.00. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from −0.46 (FY21) to 1.00 (FY25). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

FY25: debt $0.1 B at 1.00× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
0.121.2×0.090.5×0.06−0.3×0.03−1.1×0.00−1.8×$ B×$0B1.00×FY21FY23FY25
0.121.2×0.090.5×0.06−0.3×0.03−1.1×0.00−1.8×$ B×$0B1.00×FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: debt $0.1 B, debt-to-equity −5.00 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
0.162.6×0.120.5×0.08−1.5×0.04−3.5×0.00−5.6×$ B×$0B−5.00×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.162.6×0.120.5×0.08−1.5×0.04−3.5×0.00−5.6×$ B×$0B−5.00×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

16.6% of Satellogic Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — a large bloc is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 2.7 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 16.6% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 2.7 days to buy those positions back. A large bloc is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
16.6%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
2.7
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Satellogic Inc.: the Z-score reads −2.65. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of −2.65 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads −2.65.

15 · Related companies

No sector comparison is shown here — not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Satellogic Inc.'s stock price today?

Satellogic Inc. trades at $4.5, +37.7% over the past year. The company is valued at $1.0 B. The stock sits at 34% of its 52-week range of $1–$11, +2.5% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 1 weeks in. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Satellogic Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Satellogic Inc. reported revenue of $0.0 B and a net loss of $0.1 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $−0.84. The operating margin was −100.0%. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Satellogic Inc.'s revenue?

Satellogic Inc. reported revenue of $0.0 B in the Mar 26 quarter. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $0.0 B (+100.0%). — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Satellogic Inc.'s profit?

Satellogic Inc. earned $−0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.0 B. The operating margin ran −100.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Satellogic Inc.'s market cap?

Satellogic Inc.'s market capitalisation is $1.0 B at a stock price of $4.5. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Satellogic Inc. pay a dividend?

No — Satellogic Inc. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Satellogic Inc. performing?

Satellogic Inc. is in a confirmed uptrend, 1 weeks in. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 7 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Satellogic Inc. in an uptrend?

Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 1 of stage 2), trading +2.5% versus its 200-day average and at 34% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Satellogic Inc. beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Satellogic Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (7 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-18), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 5.3 years the stock moved −54% against the S&P 500's +93% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Satellogic Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Satellogic Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $4.5, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 1 weeks in. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Satellogic Inc.?

Yes — short interest is 16.6% of Satellogic Inc.'s tradable float, about 2.7 days to cover at typical volumes. A crowded short: a large bloc is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Satellogic Inc.'s capex?

Satellogic Inc. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Satellogic Inc.'s cash flow?

Satellogic Inc. generated $−0.0 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $−0.0 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.0 B, so operating cash ran behind profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Satellogic Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads −2.65 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Satellogic Inc. in its business cycle?

Satellogic Inc.'s FY25 operating margin was −150.0%, against a 4-year band of −900.0%–−150.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran −100.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Satellogic Inc. story?

Biggest watch item: the price is already 1 weeks into its uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Satellogic Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Satellogic Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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