Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

AMTD Digital Inc.

HKD
Technology · Software - Application

AMTD Digital Inc.'s earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +54.4% in a year against a +1.2% price move.

The sharpest disagreement: profits are rising, but only 44% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as operating cash — the gap between the P&L and the bank account is the thing to watch.

The price is between stages. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +66.7% year on year, and 44% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the cash starts following the profit.

Price
$1.7
+1.2% 1Y
P/E
9.6×
of its own 0-year range
Revenue (Apr 25)
$0.1 B
+60.0% YoY
Profit (Apr 25)
$0.1 B
+66.7% YoY
ROE
25%
FY24
ROIC
10.5%
vs WACC 11.5% → −1.0 pp
Cash conversion
44%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

AMTD Digital Inc. trades at $1.7, between stages. That is +5.0% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 22% of a 52-week range of $1 to $3. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (13 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is between stages. At $1.7 it trades +5.0% versus its 200-day average and sits at 22% of its 52-week range ($1–$3).

Aug 26: $1.7 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
+5.0% versus the 200-day line, week — of stage —
Price50-day avg200-day avg
$3.1$2.6$2.1$1.7$1.2$$2$2Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
$3.1$2.6$2.1$1.7$1.2$$2$2Jul 25Jan 26Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (57 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 25Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −4% while the S&P 500 moved +24% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (13 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-05-08) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

AMTD Digital Inc. trades at 9.6× P/E, against too little history to rank. Its long-run median P/E is 2.8×, measured across 0.4 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 9.6× is against too little history to rank, against a long-run median of 2.8× measured over 0.4 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 9.6× vs a 2.8× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 0.4-year window; loss-period spikes above 4.8× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
against too little history to rank
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
5.0×$0.74.3×$0.53.6×$0.32.9×$0.22.2×$0.0×$2.55×$1Jul 25Aug 25Sep 25Oct 25Dec 25
5.0×$0.74.3×$0.53.6×$0.32.9×$0.22.2×$0.0×$2.55×$1Jul 25Sep 25Dec 25
P/E
9.6×
too little history to rank
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +54.4% against a +1.2% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

AMTD Digital Inc. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 5 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +50.0% in FY24, profit +75.0% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
54%82%40%57%25%33%11%8.2%−4.0%−16%%%50%75%FY20FY22FY24
54%82%40%57%25%33%11%8.2%−4.0%−16%%%50%75%FY20FY22FY24
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfit
162%216%119%158%75%100%32%42%−12%−16%%%60%66.7%Oct 21Apr 23Apr 25
162%216%119%158%75%100%32%42%−12%−16%%%60%66.7%Oct 21Apr 23Apr 25
ROE Annual readings — the quarterly balance-sheet pieces this curve needs are not held for this stock, so the returns read moves once a year and carries less weight in the call.
the return curve, annual readings
ROE
13%11%8.9%6.9%4.8%%11.8%FY20FY21FY23
13%11%8.9%6.9%4.8%%11.8%FY20FY21FY23
ROE
Stuck low
latest 11.8% · span 5.4%–12.5%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+50.0%+44.2%
Profit+75.0%+51.8%
EPS+54.4%+27.0%
Stock price+1.2%
Revenue YoY (Apr 25)
+60.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Apr 25)
+66.7%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
31.6%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

No sector-relative score — AMTD Digital Inc. is not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison for Software - Application.

The score is a rank WITHIN a peer set: every metric is scored by percentile against the other members. Without the peer set there is no score to state, so none is invented here.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

AMTD Digital Inc. reported $0.1 B of revenue in the Apr 25 quarter, +60.0% year on year. Over 4 years it has compounded at 31.6% a year. The last full year, FY24, came in at $0.1 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.2 B.

FY24 revenue came in at $0.1 B (+50.0% on the year), capping 4 years at 31.6% compound. The latest quarter (Apr 25) printed $0.1 B, +60.0% year on year.

FY24 revenue $0.1 B (+50.0% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
31.6% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
0.1054%0.0740%0.0525%0.0211%0.00−4.0%$ B%$0B50%FY20FY22FY24
0.1054%0.0740%0.0525%0.0211%0.00−4.0%$ B%$0B50%FY20FY22FY24
Apr 25: $0.1 B (+60.0% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
0.09162%0.06119%0.0475%0.0232%0.00−12%$ B%$0B60%Oct 21Apr 23Apr 25
0.09162%0.06119%0.0475%0.0232%0.00−12%$ B%$0B60%Oct 21Apr 23Apr 25

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +69.2% growth against the decade's 31.6% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

A clean operating margin is not in our numbers for AMTD Digital Inc. — its accounts do not report the operating-profit line this section reads, which is common for lenders and holding companies. The sections above and below carry the readings this company's filings do support.

This company's accounts do not report the operating-profit line this section reads — common for lenders and holding companies classified outside the financial bucket. The revenue and net-profit sections are the cleaner reads for AMTD Digital Inc..

Why: the numbers show the operating margin move clearly, but the cost lines behind it sit below what we hold — so we state the move without inventing its driver.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

AMTD Digital Inc. earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Apr 25 quarter, +66.7% year on year. Full-year FY24 profit was $0.1 B. The 4-year compound rate is 36.8%. That is 62.5% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B.

Apr 25 profit was $0.1 B, +66.7% year on year. On the full year, FY24 printed $0.1 B (+75.0%), and the 4-year compound rate is 36.8%.

FY24 profit $0.1 B (+75.0% YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
36.8% a year over 4 years
Net profitYoY growth
0.0881%0.0659%0.0438%0.0216%0.00−6.0%$ B%$0B75%FY20FY22FY24
0.0881%0.0659%0.0438%0.0216%0.00−6.0%$ B%$0B75%FY20FY22FY24
Apr 25: $0.1 B (+66.7% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.05216%0.04158%0.03100%0.0142%0.00−16%$ B%$0B66.7%Oct 21Apr 23Apr 25
0.05216%0.04158%0.03100%0.0142%0.00−16%$ B%$0B66.7%Oct 21Apr 23Apr 25

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +79.2% vs revenue +69.2%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra dollar of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 44% of AMTD Digital Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY23 that was $0.0 B of operating cash against $0.0 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $0.0 B was left as free cash.

FY23: operating cash of $0.0 B against reported profit of $0.0 B, leaving free cash of $0.0 B after $0.0 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 44% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY23: CFO $0.0 B vs profit $0.0 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 4-year window, annual resolution.
44% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.040.030.020.010.00$ B$0B$0B$0BFY20FY21FY23
0.040.030.020.010.00$ B$0B$0B$0BFY20FY21FY23
FY23: CFO = 50% of profit (three-year rate 44%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash.
Conversion100%
159%125%92%58%24%%50%FY20FY21FY23
159%125%92%58%24%%50%FY20FY21FY23

🚨 Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

AMTD Digital Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY24 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY23: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY22FY23
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY22FY23
Oct 23: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 1 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BOct 23
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BOct 23

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

AMTD Digital Inc. earns a ROE of 12% in FY23. That is up from a trough of 5% in FY21. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −1.0 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 66.7% net margin on 0.13× asset turns.

FY23 ROE is 12%, recovered from a FY21 trough of 5% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY23): 66.7% net margin × 0.13× asset turns × 1.41× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 12.2% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 10.5% − 11.5% = a −1.0 pp spread. The 11.5% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY23: ROE 12% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line). 4-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 11.5% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY21's 5%
ROEWACC
13%11%8.9%6.9%4.8%%11.8%FY20FY21FY23
13%11%8.9%6.9%4.8%%11.8%FY20FY21FY23
Oct 25: ROE 12.4% (TTM) Trailing-twelve-month ROE, per quarter, %. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROE (TTM)
13%10%6.9%3.6%0.4%%12.4%Oct 23Oct 24Oct 25
13%10%6.9%3.6%0.4%%12.4%Oct 23Oct 24Oct 25
11 · Dividend

Dividend

AMTD Digital Inc. pays no dividend. Across the last 7 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

AMTD Digital Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 7 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Debt-to-equity is 0.43 at the latest reading — modestly levered; a full borrowings history is not in our numbers.

We hold only the latest reading here: a debt-to-equity of 0.43 — a modest level of leverage behind the returns above. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so we say that rather than draw a chart we cannot support.

13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

No ownership or positioning reading is held for AMTD Digital Inc., so this section names the gap rather than filling it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 6.6 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

We hold no ownership or positioning reading for this stock, so this section says that plainly.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

AMTD Digital Inc.: the Z-score reads 2.00. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits in the grey band between the two. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 2.00 sits in the grey band — neither clearly safe nor clearly distressed.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 2.00.

15 · Related companies

No sector comparison is shown here — not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is AMTD Digital Inc.'s stock price today?

AMTD Digital Inc. trades at $1.7, +1.2% over the past year. The company is valued at $1.0 B. The stock sits at 22% of its 52-week range of $1–$3, +5.0% versus its 200-day average. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 13 weeks. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were AMTD Digital Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

AMTD Digital Inc. reported revenue of $0.1 B and net profit of $0.1 B for the Apr 25 quarter. Revenue rose 60.0% and profit rose 66.7% year on year. Earnings per share were $0.09. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is AMTD Digital Inc.'s revenue?

AMTD Digital Inc. reported revenue of $0.1 B in the Apr 25 quarter, +60.0% year on year. For the full FY24 fiscal year, revenue was $0.1 B (+50.0%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 31.6% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is AMTD Digital Inc.'s profit?

AMTD Digital Inc. earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Apr 25 quarter, +66.7% year on year. Full-year FY24 profit was $0.1 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is AMTD Digital Inc.'s market cap?

AMTD Digital Inc.'s market capitalisation is $1.0 B at a stock price of $1.7. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does AMTD Digital Inc. pay a dividend?

No — AMTD Digital Inc. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 7 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is AMTD Digital Inc. growing?

Yes — AMTD Digital Inc. is growing: latest-quarter revenue +60.0% year on year, profit +66.7%. The 4-year compound rates are 31.6% (revenue) and 36.8% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 5 August 2026.

How is AMTD Digital Inc. performing?

AMTD Digital Inc.'s latest readings are below. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 60.0% and profit rose 66.7% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 13 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is AMTD Digital Inc. beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view AMTD Digital Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (13 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-05-08), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −4% against the S&P 500's +24% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will AMTD Digital Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for AMTD Digital Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $1.7. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does AMTD Digital Inc. have too much debt?

It is moderate — AMTD Digital Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 0.43. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 5 August 2026.

What is AMTD Digital Inc.'s capex?

AMTD Digital Inc. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY23 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is AMTD Digital Inc.'s cash flow?

AMTD Digital Inc. generated $0.0 B of operating cash flow in FY23 and $0.0 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.0 B, so operating cash ran behind profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is AMTD Digital Inc.'s profit real cash?

Not fully — over the last 3 fiscal years, 44% of AMTD Digital Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY23, operating cash was $0.0 B against reported profit of $0.0 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is AMTD Digital Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 2.00 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is in the grey band — neither clearly safe nor clearly distressed. — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the AMTD Digital Inc. story?

The sharpest disagreement: profits are rising, but only 44% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as operating cash — the gap between the P&L and the bank account is the thing to watch. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is AMTD Digital Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: AMTD Digital Inc.'s earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +54.4% in a year against a +1.2% price move. The sharpest open question: whether the cash starts following the profit. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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