Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Yatsen Holding Limited

YSG
Consumer Staples · Household & Personal Products

Yatsen Holding Limited's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is between stages. Underneath, the last four quarters read mixed. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$3.0
−65.7% 1Y
Revenue (Mar 26)
$1.0 B
+22.9% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
$−0.1 B
Operating margin
−9.8%
−6.2 pp YoY
ROE
−5%
FY25
ROIC
−9.7%
vs WACC −3.8% → −5.9 pp
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Yatsen Holding Limited trades at $3.0, between stages. That is −28.5% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 7% of a 52-week range of $2 to $10. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (1 week and counting).

Today the stock is between stages. At $3.0 it trades −28.5% versus its 200-day average and sits at 7% of its 52-week range ($2–$10).

Aug 26: $3.0 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
−28.5% versus the 200-day line, week — of stage —
Price50-day avg200-day avg
$10.9$8.6$6.4$4.1$1.8$$3$4Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
$10.9$8.6$6.4$4.1$1.8$$3$4Jul 25Jan 26Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (57 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 25Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −69% while the S&P 500 moved +24% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (1 week and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-31) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

P/E does not price Yatsen Holding Limited — earnings are negative, so there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where a turn, when it comes, would show first. A P/E returns here the first period the bottom line turns positive.

With earnings negative, P/E does not price — there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where the turn, when it comes, will show first.

P/E
earnings negative
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Yatsen Holding Limited reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 12 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +26.8% in FY25 Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoY
32%14%−4.8%−23%−42%%26.8%FY21FY23FY25
32%14%−4.8%−23%−42%%26.8%FY21FY23FY25
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue accelerating
RevenueProfit
35%−298.8%18%−299.4%2.2%−300.0%−14%−300.6%−30%−301.2%%%30.1%−300%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
35%−298.8%18%−299.4%2.2%−300.0%−14%−300.6%−30%−301.2%%%30.1%−300%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
−4.1%−9.1%−14%−19%−24%%−7.7%Jun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
−4.1%−9.1%−14%−19%−24%%−7.7%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Flat
latest +30.1% · span −25.7% to +30.1%
ROCE
Rising
latest −7.7% · span −22.8%–−5.5%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+26.8%+5.0%
Stock price−65.7%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+22.9%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
−7.4%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

No sector-relative score — Yatsen Holding Limited is not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison for Household & Personal Products.

The score is a rank WITHIN a peer set: every metric is scored by percentile against the other members. Without the peer set there is no score to state, so none is invented here.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Yatsen Holding Limited reported $1.0 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +22.9% year on year. That is the 6th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at −7.4% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $4.3 B. The last four reported quarters add to $4.5 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $4.3 B (+26.8% on the year), capping 4 years at −7.4% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $1.0 B, +22.9% year on year — the 6th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY25 revenue $4.3 B (+26.8% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
−7.4% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
6.332%4.714%3.2−4.8%1.6−23%0.0−42%$ B%$4B26.8%FY21FY23FY25
6.332%4.714%3.2−4.8%1.6−23%0.0−42%$ B%$4B26.8%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $1.0 B (+22.9% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
6th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.552%1.134%0.715%0.4−3.0%0.0−21%$ B%$1B22.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.552%1.134%0.715%0.4−3.0%0.0−21%$ B%$1B22.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +32.0% growth against the decade's −7.4% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +30.1% over the last 4 quarters against +14.6%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Yatsen Holding Limited's operating margin is −9.8% in the Mar 26 quarter, −6.2 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −27.7% to −4.4%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −9.8%, −6.2 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −27.7%–−4.4%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −6.2 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.9 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY25: −4.4% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a −27.7–−4.4% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
−2.5%22%−9.3%15%−16%9.1%−23%2.9%−30%−3.3%%%−4.4%19.8%FY21FY23FY25
−2.5%22%−9.3%15%−16%9.1%−23%2.9%−30%−3.3%%%−4.4%19.8%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: −9.8% operating margin (−6.2 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
3.3%39%−11%17%−26%−4.7%−40%−27%−54%−49%%%−9.8%−6.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
3.3%39%−11%17%−26%−4.7%−40%−27%−54%−49%%%−9.8%−6.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Yatsen Holding Limited posted a net loss of $0.1 B in the Mar 26 quarter. The full FY25 year was a loss of $0.1 B. That loss is 5.9% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.01 B. 11 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was $−0.1 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $−0.1 B (null).

FY25 profit $−0.1 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profit
0.1−0.3−0.8−1.2−1.7$ B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
0.1−0.3−0.8−1.2−1.7$ B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $−0.1 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.0−338.8%−0.1−339.4%−0.2−340.0%−0.4−340.6%−0.5−341.2%$ B%$−0B−340%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.0−338.8%−0.1−339.4%−0.2−340.0%−0.4−340.6%−0.5−341.2%$ B%$−0B−340%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Yatsen Holding Limited's cash-flow history is too thin to judge how much reported profit converts into cash. In FY25 that was $−0.1 B of operating cash against $−0.1 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $−0.1 B was left as free cash. Cash resolution here is annual, because quarterly cash statements are not published.

FY25: operating cash of $−0.1 B against reported profit of $−0.1 B, leaving free cash of $−0.1 B after $0.0 B of capital spending.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $−0.1 B vs profit $−0.1 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.3−0.2−0.7−1.2−1.7$ B$−0B$−0B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
0.3−0.2−0.7−1.2−1.7$ B$−0B$−0B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
Dec 20: operating cash $−0.4 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 8 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)100%
0.1101.2%0.0100.6%−0.1100.0%−0.399.4%−0.498.8%$ B%$−0BMar 19Dec 19Dec 20
0.1101.2%0.0100.6%−0.1100.0%−0.399.4%−0.498.8%$ B%$−0BMar 19Dec 19Dec 20

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Yatsen Holding Limited does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.150.110.080.040.00$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.150.110.080.040.00$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Dec 20: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 8 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.090.10.060.00.04−0.20.02−0.30.00−0.4$ B$ B$0B$−0BMar 19Dec 19Dec 20
0.090.10.060.00.04−0.20.02−0.30.00−0.4$ B$ B$0B$−0BMar 19Dec 19Dec 20

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Yatsen Holding Limited earns a ROE of −3% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −26% in FY21. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −5.9 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is −2.1% net margin on 1.12× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is −3%, recovered from a FY21 trough of −26% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): −2.1% net margin × 1.12× asset turns × 1.28× balance-sheet leverage ≈ −3.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: −9.7% − −3.8% = a −5.9 pp spread. The −3.8% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY25: ROE −3% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the −3.8% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY21's −26%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
2.0%−16%−34%−52%−71%%−3%−9.1%FY21FY23FY25
2.0%−16%−34%−52%−71%%−3%−9.1%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: ROIC −11.9% (TTM) vs WACC −3.8% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
3.5%−8.9%−21%−34%−46%%−11.9%−2.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
3.5%−8.9%−21%−34%−46%%−11.9%−2.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
11 · Dividend

Dividend

Yatsen Holding Limited pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Yatsen Holding Limited does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Yatsen Holding Limited carries total debt of $0.2 B against shareholder equity of $2.9 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.05 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.07 in FY21 to 0.06 in FY25. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of $0.2 B against shareholder equity of $2.9 B — a debt-to-equity of 0.05. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.07 (FY21) to 0.06 (FY25). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

FY25: debt $0.2 B at 0.06× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
0.50.07×0.30.06×0.20.05×0.10.04×0.00.03×$ B×$0B0.06×FY21FY23FY25
0.50.07×0.30.06×0.20.05×0.10.04×0.00.03×$ B×$0B0.06×FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: debt $0.2 B, debt-to-equity 0.05 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
0.190.06×0.150.05×0.100.04×0.050.03×0.000.02×$ B×$0B0.05×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.190.06×0.150.05×0.100.04×0.050.03×0.000.02×$ B×$0B0.05×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

No ownership or positioning reading is held for Yatsen Holding Limited, so this section names the gap rather than filling it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 1.2 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

We hold no ownership or positioning reading for this stock, so this section says that plainly.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Yatsen Holding Limited: the Z-score reads 1.61. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of 1.61 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 1.61.

15 · Related companies

No sector comparison is shown here — not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Yatsen Holding Limited's stock price today?

Yatsen Holding Limited trades at $3.0, −65.7% over the past year. The company is valued at $0.0 B. The stock sits at 7% of its 52-week range of $2–$10, −28.5% versus its 200-day average. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 1 week. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Yatsen Holding Limited's latest quarterly results?

Yatsen Holding Limited reported revenue of $1.0 B and a net loss of $0.1 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $−0.60. The operating margin was −9.8%, 6.2 pp lower than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Yatsen Holding Limited's revenue?

Yatsen Holding Limited reported revenue of $1.0 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +22.9% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $4.3 B (+26.8%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at −7.4% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Yatsen Holding Limited's profit?

Yatsen Holding Limited earned $−0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $−0.1 B. The operating margin ran −9.8% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Yatsen Holding Limited's market cap?

Yatsen Holding Limited's market capitalisation is $0.0 B at a stock price of $3.0. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Yatsen Holding Limited pay a dividend?

No — Yatsen Holding Limited has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Yatsen Holding Limited performing?

Yatsen Holding Limited's latest readings are below. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 1 week. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Yatsen Holding Limited beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Yatsen Holding Limited is currently behind the S&P 500 (1 week and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-31), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −69% against the S&P 500's +24% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Yatsen Holding Limited's stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Yatsen Holding Limited. What it measures instead: the stock price is $3.0. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Yatsen Holding Limited have too much debt?

No — Yatsen Holding Limited's debt-to-equity is 0.06. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Yatsen Holding Limited's capex?

Yatsen Holding Limited spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Yatsen Holding Limited's cash flow?

Yatsen Holding Limited generated $−0.1 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $−0.1 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $−0.1 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Yatsen Holding Limited?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 1.61 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Yatsen Holding Limited in its business cycle?

Yatsen Holding Limited's FY25 operating margin was −4.4%, against a 5-year band of −27.7%–−4.4%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran −9.8%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Yatsen Holding Limited story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Yatsen Holding Limited a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Yatsen Holding Limited's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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