Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.

DJT
Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is in a downtrend (77 weeks in). Underneath, the last four quarters read mixed. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$10.3
−38.9% 1Y
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.0 B
Profit (Mar 26)
$−0.4 B
ROE
−101%
FY25
ROIC
−32.1%
vs WACC 20.9% → −53.0 pp
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. trades at $10.3, in a downtrend and 77 weeks into that stage. That is −4.1% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 26% of a 52-week range of $7 to $19. On relative strength it has been ahead of the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 2 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 77 of stage 4. At $10.3 it trades −4.1% versus its 200-day average and sits at 26% of its 52-week range ($7–$19).

Aug 26: $10.3 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−4.1% versus the 200-day line, week 77 of stage 4
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S3S2S1S4$66.3$50.5$34.7$18.9$3.1$$10$11Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Aug 26
S3S2S1S4$66.3$50.5$34.7$18.9$3.1$$10$11Jul 23Jan 25Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2021 Each cell is one week from 2021 to now (254 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Oct 21Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 4.8 years the stock moved +4% while the S&P 500 moved +78% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 2 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

P/E does not price Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. — earnings are negative, so there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where a turn, when it comes, would show first. A P/E returns here the first period the bottom line turns positive.

With earnings negative, P/E does not price — there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where the turn, when it comes, will show first.

P/E
earnings negative
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 7 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
−4.9%−18%−30%−43%−56%%−9.4%Jun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
−4.9%−18%−30%−43%−56%%−9.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE
Rising
latest −9.4% · span −52.4%–−8.4%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

The latest quarter’s profit carries a one-off item larger than the operating base, so the profit curve is shown but does not vote in the stage call.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

30.7/100 — rank 23 of 24 in Internet Content & Information · 57% evidence confidence

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. scores 30.7 out of 100 against the 24 companies it is compared with in Internet Content & Information, ranking 23. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 7.2 + 5.2 + 10 + 8.3 = 30.7. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. reported $0.0 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.0 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.0 B. A multi-year compound rate is not shown because the annual history behind it is too short to compute one honestly.

FY25 revenue came in at $0.0 B (null on the year). The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.0 B, null year on year.

FY25 revenue $0.0 B (null YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 4-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Revenue
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY22FY23FY25
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

A clean operating margin is not in our numbers for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. — its accounts do not report the operating-profit line this section reads, which is common for lenders and holding companies. The sections above and below carry the readings this company's filings do support.

This company's accounts do not report the operating-profit line this section reads — common for lenders and holding companies classified outside the financial bucket. The revenue and net-profit sections are the cleaner reads for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp..

Why: the numbers show the operating margin move clearly, but the cost lines behind it sit below what we hold — so we state the move without inventing its driver.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. posted a net loss of $0.4 B in the Mar 26 quarter. The full FY25 year was a loss of $0.7 B. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.03 B. 12 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was $−0.4 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $−0.7 B (null).

FY25 profit $−0.7 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 4-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profitYoY growth
0.1−218.8%−0.1−219.4%−0.3−220.0%−0.6−220.6%−0.8−221.2%$ B%$−1B−220%FY22FY23FY25
0.1−218.8%−0.1−219.4%−0.3−220.0%−0.6−220.6%−0.8−221.2%$ B%$−1B−220%FY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: $−0.4 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)
0.0−0.1−0.2−0.3−0.5$ B$−0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.0−0.1−0.2−0.3−0.5$ B$−0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s cash-flow history is too thin to judge how much reported profit converts into cash. In FY25 that was $0.0 B of operating cash against $−0.7 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $0.0 B was left as free cash. Cash resolution here is annual, because quarterly cash statements are not published.

FY25: operating cash of $0.0 B against reported profit of $−0.7 B, leaving free cash of $0.0 B after $0.0 B of capital spending.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $0.0 B vs profit $−0.7 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 4-year window, annual resolution.
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.1−0.1−0.3−0.6−0.8$ B$0B$−1B$0BFY22FY23FY25
0.1−0.1−0.3−0.6−0.8$ B$0B$−1B$0BFY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: operating cash $0.0 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)100%
0.02101.2%0.01100.6%0.00100.0%−0.0199.4%−0.0298.8%$ B%$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.02101.2%0.01100.6%0.00100.0%−0.0199.4%−0.0298.8%$ B%$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Nothing is estimated in place of the missing day-counts, so no cash-cycle chart is drawn.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.0110.0080.0050.0030.000$ B$0BFY22FY23FY25
0.0110.0080.0050.0030.000$ B$0BFY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 11 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
1.20.020.60.010.00.00−0.6−0.01−1.2−0.02$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Dec 24Mar 26
1.20.020.60.010.00.00−0.6−0.01−1.2−0.02$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Dec 24Mar 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. earns a ROE of −43% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −44% in FY24. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −53.0 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses.

FY25 ROE is −43%, recovered from a FY24 trough of −44% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: −32.1% − 20.9% = a −53.0 pp spread. The 20.9% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY25: ROE −43% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 4-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 20.9% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY24's −44%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
126%−21%−168%−315%−463%%−43%−73.8%FY22FY23FY25
126%−21%−168%−315%−463%%−43%−73.8%FY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: ROIC −87.9% (TTM) vs WACC 20.9% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
34%−12%−58%−104%−150%%−87.9%−37.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
34%−12%−58%−104%−150%%−87.9%−37.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
11 · Dividend

Dividend

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. carries total debt of $1.0 B against shareholder equity of $1.3 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.77. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.00 in FY21 to 0.58 in FY25. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of $1.0 B against shareholder equity of $1.3 B — a debt-to-equity of 0.77. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.00 (FY21) to 0.58 (FY25). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY25: debt $0.9 B at 0.58× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
1.00.7×0.80.3×0.5−0.1×0.3−0.4×0.0−0.8×$ B×$1B0.58×FY21FY23FY25
1.00.7×0.80.3×0.5−0.1×0.3−0.4×0.0−0.8×$ B×$1B0.58×FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: debt $1.0 B, debt-to-equity 0.77 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
1.00.9×0.80.5×0.50.0×0.3−0.4×0.0−0.8×$ B×$1B0.77×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.00.9×0.80.5×0.50.0×0.3−0.4×0.0−0.8×$ B×$1B0.77×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

10.4% of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s tradable float is currently sold short — a large bloc is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 3.2 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 10.4% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 3.2 days to buy those positions back. A large bloc is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
10.4%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
3.2
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.: the Z-score reads −0.52. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of −0.52 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads −0.52.

15 · Related companies · Internet Content & Information
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1EverQuote, Inc.EVER 69.6/100Favorable setup71% evidence BREAKING OUT 28.7/35 Revenue 24.5% · PAT 100% · OPM change 7.5 pp 83% evidence 14.9/25 ROCE 11.9% · OPM 12.3% 76% evidence 11.5/20 P/E 5.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 14.5/20 RS sector 5.9% · RS bench -0.4% · 1Y 0.5%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 28.7 + 14.9 + 11.5 + 14.5 = 69.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
2Opera LimitedOPRA 67.7/100Favorable setup81% evidence FADING 24.2/35 Revenue 23.7% · PAT 38.1% · OPM change 2.1 pp 83% evidence 13.3/25 ROCE 3.1% · OPM 16.9% 76% evidence 14.5/20 P/E 11.3× · PEG 0.33 65% evidence 15.7/20 RS sector 19.8% · RS bench 14.5% · 1Y 28.8%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 24.2 + 13.3 + 14.5 + 15.7 = 67.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3Match Group, Inc.MTCH 66.1/100Favorable setup81% evidence TURNING 22.4/35 Revenue 2% · PAT 21.6% · OPM change 6.6 pp 83% evidence 16.1/25 ROCE 6.9% · OPM 27.4% 76% evidence 13.6/20 P/E 11.7× · PEG 0.4 65% evidence 14.0/20 RS sector 12.9% · RS bench 7.6% · 1Y 14.3%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 22.4 + 16.1 + 13.6 + 14 = 66.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
4Taboola.com Ltd.TBLA 63.7/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence FADING 23.8/35 Revenue 9.6% · PAT 100% · OPM change 16.4 pp 62% evidence 12.6/25 ROCE 6% · OPM 14.9% 76% evidence 11.1/20 P/E 8.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 16.2/20 RS sector 24.8% · RS bench 19.8% · 1Y 61.3%11 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 23.8 + 12.6 + 11.1 + 16.2 = 63.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
5Alphabet Inc.GOOGL 56.6/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence ASLEEP 17.3/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 2.2 pp 45% evidence 16.6/25 ROCE 6.7% · OPM 36.1% 76% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 17.9× · PEG — 15% evidence 12.6/20 RS sector 13.4% · RS bench 9.7% · 1Y 87.5%7 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.3 + 16.6 + 10.1 + 12.6 = 56.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
6Spotify Technology S.A.SPOT 56.5/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence TURNING 23.0/35 Revenue 8% · PAT 100% · OPM change 3.7 pp 83% evidence 14.8/25 ROCE 9.4% · OPM 15.8% 76% evidence 11.0/20 P/E 39× · PEG 0.91 65% evidence 7.7/20 RS sector -17.8% · RS bench -22.9% · 1Y -32.3%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23 + 14.8 + 11 + 7.7 = 56.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
7JOYY Inc.JOYY 51.3/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence BREAKING OUT 10.4/35 Revenue 0.9% · PAT -86.8% · OPM change -1.2 pp 83% evidence 10.0/25 ROCE 0.1% · OPM 1.1% 76% evidence 14.6/20 P/E 13.5× · PEG 0.3 65% evidence 16.3/20 RS sector 12.8% · RS bench 7.9% · 1Y 47.8%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 10.4 + 10 + 14.6 + 16.3 = 51.3 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 7.9%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
8Nebius Group N.V.NBIS 50.2/100Mixed-positive evidence74% evidence LEADER 24.6/35 Revenue 100% · PAT — · OPM change 204.2 pp 62% evidence 6.3/25 ROCE -1.1% · OPM -32.1% 76% evidence 5.3/20 P/E 32.4× · PEG 2.66 65% evidence 14.0/20 RS sector 57.1% · RS bench 54.1% · 1Y 228.1%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 24.6 + 6.3 + 5.3 + 14 = 50.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
9Reddit, Inc.RDDT 49.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence ASLEEP 23.2/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 26.6 pp 45% evidence 14.7/25 ROCE 8.1% · OPM 27.6% 76% evidence 9.0/20 P/E 40.4× · PEG — 15% evidence 2.5/20 RS sector -18.4% · RS bench -23.8% · 1Y -25.7%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.2 + 14.7 + 9 + 2.5 = 49.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
10Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.NXDR 49.2/100Thin evidence · provisional55% evidence BREAKING OUT 20.4/35 Revenue 6.8% · PAT — · OPM change 25 pp 62% evidence 4.3/25 ROCE -3.4% · OPM -24.9% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 14.5/20 RS sector 12.9% · RS bench 7.1% · 1Y 11.1%12 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 20.4 + 4.3 + 10 + 14.5 = 49.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
11Weibo CorporationWB 46.0/100Mixed-negative evidence81% evidence BASING 13.4/35 Revenue 1.4% · PAT 5.7% · OPM change -1.5 pp 83% evidence 13.7/25 ROCE 1.9% · OPM 26.3% 76% evidence 16.3/20 P/E 6.1× · PEG 0.13 65% evidence 2.6/20 RS sector -20.9% · RS bench -25.7% · 1Y -18.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.4 + 13.7 + 16.3 + 2.6 = 46 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
12Snap Inc.SNAP 44.7/100Mixed-negative evidence61% evidence BASING 21.8/35 Revenue 10.3% · PAT — · OPM change 9.3 pp 62% evidence 6.1/25 ROCE -1.2% · OPM -4.9% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 6.8/20 RS sector -13.1% · RS bench -18.9% · 1Y -21.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 21.8 + 6.1 + 10 + 6.8 = 44.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
13Groupon, Inc.GRPN 43.9/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence BREAKING OUT 11.0/35 Revenue 2.7% · PAT — · OPM change -4.4 pp 62% evidence 6.4/25 ROCE -1.4% · OPM -2.8% 76% evidence 9.9/20 P/E 19.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 16.6/20 RS sector 41.7% · RS bench 33.1% · 1Y -16.6%12 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 11 + 6.4 + 9.9 + 16.6 = 43.9 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
14Meta Platforms, Inc.META 43.8/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence ASLEEP 14.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.9 pp 45% evidence 16.0/25 ROCE 5.8% · OPM 40.6% 76% evidence 9.7/20 P/E 21.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.0/20 RS sector -14.5% · RS bench -19.1% · 1Y -23.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.1 + 16 + 9.7 + 4 = 43.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
15Zillow Group, Inc.ZG 41.0/100Mixed-negative evidence64% evidence BASING 21.5/35 Revenue 16.8% · PAT — · OPM change 6.6 pp 62% evidence 9.0/25 ROCE 0.8% · OPM 5.1% 76% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 165.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 2.0/20 RS sector -35.9% · RS bench -40.9% · 1Y -52.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 21.5 + 9 + 8.5 + 2 = 41 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
16Yelp Inc.YELP 40.9/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence BASING 13.0/35 Revenue 2% · PAT -2.1% · OPM change -0.6 pp 83% evidence 12.6/25 ROCE 3.3% · OPM 7.6% 76% evidence 8.4/20 P/E 11.3× · PEG 2.14 65% evidence 6.9/20 RS sector -8.1% · RS bench -13.4% · 1Y -14.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 13 + 12.6 + 8.4 + 6.9 = 40.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
17Pinterest, Inc.PINS 40.1/100Mixed-negative evidence71% evidence BREAKING OUT 12.0/35 Revenue 16.3% · PAT -82.4% · OPM change -3.9 pp 83% evidence 6.8/25 ROCE -1.8% · OPM -8% 76% evidence 9.4/20 P/E 38.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 11.9/20 RS sector -1.2% · RS bench -8.2% · 1Y -27.2%7 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 12 + 6.8 + 9.4 + 11.9 = 40.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
18WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.WBTN 39.0/100Thin evidence · provisional55% evidence ASLEEP 18.1/35 Revenue 2.2% · PAT — · OPM change 5.7 pp 62% evidence 7.1/25 ROCE -0.6% · OPM -2.5% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 3.8/20 RS sector -29.9% · RS bench -34.5% · 1Y 6.5%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 18.1 + 7.1 + 10 + 3.8 = 39 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
19Upwork Inc.UPWK 37.6/100Mixed-negative evidence65% evidence TURNING 10.8/35 Revenue 2.5% · PAT -53.6% · OPM change -3.4 pp 83% evidence 13.0/25 ROCE 4.2% · OPM 16.7% 76% evidence 10.4/20 P/E 13.5× · PEG — 15% evidence 3.4/20 RS sector -34.7% · RS bench -39.5% · 1Y -26.5%1 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 10.8 + 13 + 10.4 + 3.4 = 37.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
20People IncorporatedPPLI 36.1/100Mixed-negative evidence64% evidence TURNING 9.2/35 Revenue -9.4% · PAT — · OPM change -14.5 pp 62% evidence 6.8/25 ROCE -0.6% · OPM -9.5% 76% evidence 8.7/20 P/E 108.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 11.4/20 RS sector 11.5% · RS bench 7.2% · 1Y 35.6%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 9.2 + 6.8 + 8.7 + 11.4 = 36.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
21Genius Sports LimitedGENI 35.0/100Thin evidence · provisional55% evidence BREAKING OUT 13.4/35 Revenue 33.3% · PAT — · OPM change -8.8 pp 62% evidence 4.3/25 ROCE -5.8% · OPM -23% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 7.3/20 RS sector -5.6% · RS bench -13.7% · 1Y -34.8%9 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 13.4 + 4.3 + 10 + 7.3 = 35 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
22RUM Group Inc.RUM 32.7/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence ASLEEP 13.1/35 Revenue 1% · PAT — · OPM change -0.1 pp 62% evidence 3.4/25 ROCE -12.6% · OPM -153.6% 76% evidence 8.9/20 P/E 47.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 7.3/20 RS sector -7.5% · RS bench -12.4% · 1Y -18.4%8 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 13.1 + 3.4 + 8.9 + 7.3 = 32.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
23Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.this pageDJT 30.7/100Thin evidence · provisional57% evidence TURNING 7.2/35 Revenue 0% · PAT — · OPM change -28873.5 pp 62% evidence 5.2/25 ROCE -27.2% · OPM — 61% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 8.3/20 RS sector -16.8% · RS bench -22.9% · 1Y -39.1%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 7.2 + 5.2 + 10 + 8.3 = 30.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
24StubHub Holdings, Inc.STUB 41.3/100Thin evidence · provisional41% evidence BREAKING OUT 12.7/35 Revenue -0.8% · PAT — · OPM change -0.9 pp 62% evidence 8.6/25 ROCE 0.6% · OPM 5.8% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 10.0/20 RS sector — · RS bench — · 1Y —9 of 12 weeks ahead 0% evidence
Exact sum: 12.7 + 8.6 + 10 + 10 = 41.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s stock price today?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. trades at $10.3, −38.9% over the past year. The company is valued at $3.0 B. The stock sits at 26% of its 52-week range of $7–$19, −4.1% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 77 weeks in. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s latest quarterly results?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. reported revenue of $0.0 B and a net loss of $0.4 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $−1.47. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s revenue?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. reported revenue of $0.0 B in the Mar 26 quarter. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s profit?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. earned $−0.4 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $−0.7 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s market cap?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s market capitalisation is $3.0 B at a stock price of $10.3. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. pay a dividend?

No — Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. performing?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is in a downtrend, 77 weeks in. Against the S&P 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 2 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. in an uptrend?

No — the price is in a downtrend (week 77 of stage 4), trading −4.1% versus its 200-day average and at 26% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. beating the market?

On recent form, yes — Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. has been ahead of the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 2 straight weeks, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 4.8 years the stock moved +4% against the S&P 500's +78% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. What it measures instead: the stock price is $10.3, the price is in a downtrend 77 weeks in. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.?

Yes — short interest is 10.4% of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s tradable float, about 3.2 days to cover at typical volumes. A crowded short: a large bloc is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. have too much debt?

It is moderate — Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s debt-to-equity is 0.77. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s capex?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s cash flow?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. generated $0.0 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $0.0 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $−0.7 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads −0.52 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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