Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Hub Group, Inc.

HUBG
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Hub Group, Inc.'s price has outrun its earnings. +42.1% in a year against EPS −35.1% — the market is paying now for delivery later.

The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +42.1% in a year while annual EPS moved −35.1% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings.

The price is in a confirmed uptrend (12 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 97th percentile of its own 5-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +50.0% year on year, and 170% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved.

Stage
Turning around
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
$47.7
+42.1% 1Y
P/E
27.4×
97th pctile
of its own 5-year range
Revenue (Sep 25)
$0.9 B
−6.1% YoY
Profit (Sep 25)
$0.0 B
+50.0% YoY
Operating margin
4.3%
+1.3 pp YoY
ROE
6%
FY24
ROIC
5.3%
vs WACC 9.7% → −4.4 pp
Cash conversion
170%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Hub Group, Inc. trades at $47.7, in a confirmed uptrend and 12 weeks into that stage. That is +13.9% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 81% of a 52-week range of $33 to $51. On relative strength it has been ahead of the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 10 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 12 of stage 2. At $47.7 it trades +13.9% versus its 200-day average and sits at 81% of its 52-week range ($33–$51).

Aug 26: $47.7 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
+13.9% versus the 200-day line, week 12 of stage 2
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S1S3S2S1S4S3S2$53.2$47.5$41.9$36.2$30.6$$48$42Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Aug 26
S1S3S2S1S4S3S2$53.2$47.5$41.9$36.2$30.6$$48$42Jul 23Jan 25Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (527 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 16Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +139% while the S&P 500 moved +263% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 10 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Hub Group, Inc. trades at 27.4× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (97th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 19.0×, measured across 4.6 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 27.4× is at the pricey end of its own range (97th percentile), against a long-run median of 19.0× measured over 4.6 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 27.4× vs a 19.0× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 4.6-year window; loss-period spikes above 28× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
at the pricey end of its own range (97th percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
29.6×$5.823.4×$4.317.2×$2.911.0×$1.44.7×$0.0×$24.96×$2Oct 21Nov 22Jan 24Mar 25May 26
29.6×$5.823.4×$4.317.2×$2.911.0×$1.44.7×$0.0×$24.96×$2Oct 21Jan 24May 26
PEG 1.08 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 19 quarters; values above 6 pinned at the top.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
6.5×4.8×3.2×1.6×0.0××1.08×Mar 21Mar 22Jun 23Jun 24Sep 25
6.5×4.8×3.2×1.6×0.0××1.08×Mar 21Jun 23Sep 25
P/E
27.4×
97th percentile of 5y
PEG
1.56
as reported

🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −35.1% against a +42.1% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +2.6%/yr price move, ~−29.7%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+32.3 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: Turning around

Stage: Turning around Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Hub Group, Inc. reads as turning around on its fundamental arc. Turning around — profit growth swung from −57.1% at the trough to +0.0%, a 5-quarter improving streak, ROCE holding at 6.1%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue −6.0% in FY24, profit −41.2% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
30%159%16%102%2.4%45%−11%−12%−25%−68%%%−6%−41.2%FY20FY22FY24
30%159%16%102%2.4%45%−11%−12%−25%−68%%%−6%−41.2%FY20FY22FY24
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue stabilising, profit accelerating
RevenueProfitEPS
30%125%16%76%2.0%27%−12%−22%−26%−71%%%−6%0%−1.7%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
30%125%16%76%2.0%27%−12%−22%−26%−71%%%−6%0%−1.7%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
26%21%15%9.8%4.3%%6.1%Dec 22Jun 23Mar 24Dec 24Sep 25
26%21%15%9.8%4.3%%6.1%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
Revenue growth
Stuck low
latest −6.0% · span −22.1% to +26.2%
Profit growth
Recovering
latest +0.0% · span −57.6% to +111.8%
EPS growth
Recovering
latest −1.7% · span −57.7% to +110.7%
ROCE
Stuck low
latest 6.1% · span 5.8%–24.8%

Why it matters: growth inflections are where re-ratings start — the curves say a turn is forming, so the question becomes whether the next quarters confirm it.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue−6.0%−2.3%
Profit−41.2%−16.2%
EPS−35.1%−12.4%
Stock price+42.1%+2.6%+8.3%+8.7%
Revenue YoY (Sep 25)
−6.1%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Sep 25)
+50.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
3.1%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

54.6/100 — rank 4 of 14 in Integrated Freight & Logistics · 63% evidence confidence

Hub Group, Inc. scores 54.6 out of 100 against the 14 companies it is compared with in Integrated Freight & Logistics, ranking 4. Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 5.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 14.1 + 10.6 + 15.7 + 14.2 = 54.6. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Hub Group, Inc. reported $0.9 B of revenue in the Sep 25 quarter, −6.1% year on year. Over 4 years it has compounded at 3.1% a year. The last full year, FY24, came in at $4.0 B. The last four reported quarters add to $3.7 B.

FY24 revenue came in at $4.0 B (−6.0% on the year), capping 4 years at 3.1% compound. The latest quarter (Sep 25) printed $0.9 B, −6.1% year on year.

FY24 revenue $4.0 B (−6.0% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
3.1% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
5.830%4.316%2.92.4%1.4−11%0.0−25%$ B%$4B−6%FY20FY22FY24
5.830%4.316%2.92.4%1.4−11%0.0−25%$ B%$4B−6%FY20FY22FY24
Sep 25: $0.9 B (−6.1% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.44.6%1.0−3.5%0.7−12%0.3−20%0.0−28%$ B%$1B−6.1%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
1.44.6%1.0−3.5%0.7−12%0.3−20%0.0−28%$ B%$1B−6.1%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged −6.1% growth against the decade's 3.1% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew −6.0% over the last 4 quarters against −9.0%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit +0.0% vs −29.3%/yr — accelerating.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Hub Group, Inc.'s operating margin is 4.3% in the Sep 25 quarter, +1.3 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 3.1% to 8.8%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 4.3%, +1.3 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 3.1%–8.8%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +1.3 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY24: 3.5% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a 3.1–8.8% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
9.3%3.7%7.6%1.7%6.0%−0.4%4.3%−2.4%2.6%−4.4%%%3.5%−1.5%FY20FY22FY24
9.3%3.7%7.6%1.7%6.0%−0.4%4.3%−2.4%2.6%−4.4%%%3.5%−1.5%FY20FY22FY24
Sep 25: 4.3% operating margin (+1.3 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
8.2%1.8%6.8%0.0%5.4%−1.8%4.0%−3.6%2.6%−5.4%%%4.3%1.3%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
8.2%1.8%6.8%0.0%5.4%−1.8%4.0%−3.6%2.6%−5.4%%%4.3%1.3%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Hub Group, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Sep 25 quarter, +50.0% year on year. Full-year FY24 profit was $0.1 B. The 4-year compound rate is 9.3%. That is 3.2% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B.

Sep 25 profit was $0.0 B, +50.0% year on year. On the full year, FY24 printed $0.1 B (−41.2%), and the 4-year compound rate is 9.3%.

FY24 profit $0.1 B (−41.2% YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
9.3% a year over 4 years
Net profitYoY growth
0.4159%0.3102%0.245%0.1−12%0.0−68%$ B%$0B−41.2%FY20FY22FY24
0.4159%0.3102%0.245%0.1−12%0.0−68%$ B%$0B−41.2%FY20FY22FY24
Sep 25: $0.0 B (+50.0% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.0959%0.0625%0.04−8.4%0.02−42%0.00−76%$ B%$0B50%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
0.0959%0.0625%0.04−8.4%0.02−42%0.00−76%$ B%$0B50%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25

Why profit moved: revenue contributed −6.1% and the margin +1.3 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +4.2% vs revenue −6.1%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra dollar of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 170% of Hub Group, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY24 that was $0.2 B of operating cash against $0.1 B of profit. After $0.1 B of capital spending, $0.1 B was left as free cash.

FY24: operating cash of $0.2 B against reported profit of $0.1 B, leaving free cash of $0.1 B after $0.1 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 170% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY24: CFO $0.2 B vs profit $0.1 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
170% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.50.40.20.10.0$ B$0B$0B$0BFY20FY22FY24
0.50.40.20.10.0$ B$0B$0B$0BFY20FY22FY24
Sep 25: operating cash $0.0 B = 100% of the quarter's profit Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.14360%0.11263%0.07167%0.0470%0.00−27%$ B%$0B100%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
0.14360%0.11263%0.07167%0.0470%0.00−27%$ B%$0B100%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Hub Group, Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY24 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY24: capex $0.1 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.240.180.120.060.00$ B$0BFY20FY22FY24
0.240.180.120.060.00$ B$0BFY20FY22FY24
Sep 25: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.060.100.050.070.030.040.020.010.00−0.02$ B$ B$0B$0BDec 22Mar 24Sep 25
0.060.100.050.070.030.040.020.010.00−0.02$ B$ B$0B$0BDec 22Mar 24Sep 25

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Hub Group, Inc. earns a ROE of 6% in FY24. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −4.4 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 2.5% net margin on 1.38× asset turns.

FY24 ROE is 6%.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY24): 2.5% net margin × 1.38× asset turns × 1.70× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 5.9% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 5.3% − 9.7% = a −4.4 pp spread. The 9.7% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY24: ROE 6% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 9.7% cost of capital used on this page.
the full ladder
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
24%19%14%9.0%4.0%%5.9%5.4%FY20FY22FY24
24%19%14%9.0%4.0%%5.9%5.4%FY20FY22FY24
Sep 25: ROIC 5.4% (TTM) vs WACC 9.7% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
28%22%16%9.6%3.7%%5.4%6.3%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
28%22%16%9.6%3.7%%5.4%6.3%Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
11 · Dividend

Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.

Hub Group, Inc. paid $0.50 per share over the last four reported quarters. The most recent declaration was $0.13 for Sep 25. Against the current price of $47.7 that is a trailing yield of 1.05%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.

Hub Group, Inc. paid $0.50 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.13 for Sep 25. Against the current price of $47.7 the trailing twelve months work out to 1.05% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.

Dividend per share by quarter Declared dividend per share, $ B, per reported quarter. 7 quarters on file.
latest $0.13 (Sep 25)
Dividend per share
0.140.100.070.030.00$ B$0BMar 24Jun 24Dec 24Mar 25Sep 25
0.140.100.070.030.00$ B$0BMar 24Dec 24Sep 25
12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Hub Group, Inc. carries total debt of $0.5 B against shareholder equity of $1.8 B as of Sep 25, a debt-to-equity of 0.28 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.31 in FY20 to 0.30 in FY24. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Sep 25: total debt of $0.5 B against shareholder equity of $1.8 B — a debt-to-equity of 0.28. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.31 (FY20) to 0.30 (FY24). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

FY24: debt $0.5 B at 0.30× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
0.60.37×0.50.34×0.30.30×0.20.27×0.00.24×$ B×$1B0.30×FY20FY22FY24
0.60.37×0.50.34×0.30.30×0.20.27×0.00.24×$ B×$1B0.30×FY20FY22FY24
Sep 25: debt $0.5 B, debt-to-equity 0.28 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
0.60.38×0.50.35×0.30.32×0.20.29×0.00.26×$ B×$1B0.28×Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
0.60.38×0.50.35×0.30.32×0.20.29×0.00.26×$ B×$1B0.28×Dec 22Mar 24Sep 25
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

6.6% of Hub Group, Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 5.0 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 6.6% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 5.0 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
6.6%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
5.0
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Hub Group, Inc.: the Z-score reads 3.83. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 3.83 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 3.83.

15 · Related companies · Integrated Freight & Logistics
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Pitney Bowes Inc.PBI 66.5/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence LEADER 23.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 7.9 pp 45% evidence 13.1/25 ROCE 5.6% · OPM 22.3% 76% evidence 11.3/20 P/E 14.4× · PEG — 15% evidence 19.0/20 RS sector 29.1% · RS bench 31.4% · 1Y 64.5%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.1 + 13.1 + 11.3 + 19 = 66.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
2Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.EXPD 59.9/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence BREAKING OUT 13.9/35 Revenue 1.1% · PAT -0.8% · OPM change 0.6 pp 83% evidence 16.5/25 ROCE 10.7% · OPM 10.6% 76% evidence 11.8/20 P/E 23.2× · PEG 1.03 65% evidence 17.7/20 RS sector 9.1% · RS bench 11.1% · 1Y 55%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.9 + 16.5 + 11.8 + 17.7 = 59.9 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 11.1%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
3J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.JBHT 56.2/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence LEADER 20.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 0.7 pp 45% evidence 12.9/25 ROCE 4.1% · OPM 6.8% 76% evidence 9.3/20 P/E 41× · PEG — 15% evidence 13.9/20 RS sector 16% · RS bench 17.4% · 1Y 96.8%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.1 + 12.9 + 9.3 + 13.9 = 56.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
4Hub Group, Inc.this pageHUBG 54.6/100Mixed-positive evidence63% evidence BREAKING OUT 14.1/35 Revenue -5.8% · PAT -3.7% · OPM change 0.9 pp 45% evidence 10.6/25 ROCE 1.7% · OPM 4.2% 57% evidence 15.7/20 P/E 19.9× · PEG 0.21 65% evidence 14.2/20 RS sector 3.4% · RS bench 5.3% · 1Y 38%8 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.1 + 10.6 + 15.7 + 14.2 = 54.6 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 5.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
5Landstar System, Inc.LSTR 52.3/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence FADING 21.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.1 pp 45% evidence 13.2/25 ROCE 6.3% · OPM 4.5% 76% evidence 8.7/20 P/E 54.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 8.9/20 RS sector 1.4% · RS bench 3% · 1Y 42.9%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 21.5 + 13.2 + 8.7 + 8.9 = 52.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
6Radiant Logistics, Inc.RLGT 51.4/100Mixed-positive evidence75% evidence FADING 14.0/35 Revenue 0.6% · PAT -11.1% · OPM change 1.5 pp 83% evidence 9.4/25 ROCE 2.1% · OPM 3.1% 76% evidence 14.3/20 P/E 20.7× · PEG 0.72 65% evidence 13.7/20 RS sector 4.1% · RS bench 5.9% · 1Y 43.9%7 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14 + 9.4 + 14.3 + 13.7 = 51.4 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 5.9%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
7Cryoport, Inc.CYRX 44.7/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence LEADER 14.0/35 Revenue 13.8% · PAT — · OPM change -2.6 pp 62% evidence 3.0/25 ROCE -1.7% · OPM -20.1% 76% evidence 11.5/20 P/E 6.9× · PEG — 15% evidence 16.2/20 RS sector 24.6% · RS bench 27% · 1Y 101.3%12 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14 + 3 + 11.5 + 16.2 = 44.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
8United Parcel Service, Inc.UPS 44.3/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence TURNING 13.8/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -1.7 pp 45% evidence 10.1/25 ROCE 1.6% · OPM 6% 76% evidence 10.5/20 P/E 20× · PEG — 15% evidence 9.9/20 RS sector -4.4% · RS bench -2.6% · 1Y 25.9%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.8 + 10.1 + 10.5 + 9.9 = 44.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
9C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.CHRW 41.9/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence FADING 17.6/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 0 pp 45% evidence 13.6/25 ROCE 7.7% · OPM 4.4% 76% evidence 9.5/20 P/E 35.9× · PEG — 15% evidence 1.2/20 RS sector -16.4% · RS bench -15% · 1Y 32.5%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.6 + 13.6 + 9.5 + 1.2 = 41.9 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
10GXO Logistics, Inc.GXO 40.4/100Mixed-negative evidence74% evidence BASING 23.4/35 Revenue 10.4% · PAT 72.2% · OPM change 3.1 pp 62% evidence 6.3/25 ROCE 0.5% · OPM 1.2% 76% evidence 5.4/20 P/E 45.5× · PEG 2.33 65% evidence 5.3/20 RS sector -14.2% · RS bench -12.2% · 1Y 4.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.4 + 6.3 + 5.4 + 5.3 = 40.4 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -14.2% and the one-year return is 4.1%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
11FedEx CorporationFDX 37.5/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence ASLEEP 15.2/35 Revenue 7.7% · PAT 8.4% · OPM change -1.9 pp 95% evidence 11.8/25 ROCE 2.1% · OPM 6.2% 76% evidence 7.5/20 P/E 22.2× · PEG 2.3 65% evidence 3.0/20 RS sector -10.7% · RS bench -9.3% · 1Y 37.4%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 15.2 + 11.8 + 7.5 + 3 = 37.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
12Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc.PAL 29.0/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence TURNING 12.0/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -4.9 pp 45% evidence 4.0/25 ROCE -1.6% · OPM -7.4% 76% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 157.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.5/20 RS sector -16.2% · RS bench -14.5% · 1Y 17.9%3 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 12 + 4 + 8.5 + 4.5 = 29 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
13FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc.FDXF 50.7/100Thin evidence · provisional33% evidence 12.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -5.6 pp 39% evidence 18.2/25 ROCE 18.3% · OPM 6% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 10.0/20 RS sector — · RS bench — · 1Y — 0% evidence
Exact sum: 12.5 + 18.2 + 10 + 10 = 50.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
14Forward Air CorporationFWRD 37.9/100Thin evidence · provisional50% evidence TURNING 18.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 2.7 pp 39% evidence 5.8/25 ROCE 0.9% · OPM 3.5% 76% evidence 11.0/20 P/E 14.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 3.0/20 RS sector -36.9% · RS bench -35.1% · 1Y -49.4%1 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 18.1 + 5.8 + 11 + 3 = 37.9 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Hub Group, Inc.'s stock price today?

Hub Group, Inc. trades at $47.7, +42.1% over the past year. The company is valued at $3.0 B. The stock sits at 81% of its 52-week range of $33–$51, +13.9% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 12 weeks in. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Hub Group, Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Hub Group, Inc. reported revenue of $0.9 B and net profit of $0.0 B for the Sep 25 quarter. Revenue fell 6.1% and profit rose 50.0% year on year. Earnings per share were $0.47. The operating margin was 4.3%, 1.3 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Hub Group, Inc.'s revenue?

Hub Group, Inc. reported revenue of $0.9 B in the Sep 25 quarter, −6.1% year on year. For the full FY24 fiscal year, revenue was $4.0 B (−6.0%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 3.1% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Hub Group, Inc.'s profit?

Hub Group, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Sep 25 quarter, +50.0% year on year. Full-year FY24 profit was $0.1 B. The operating margin ran 4.3% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Hub Group, Inc.'s market cap?

Hub Group, Inc.'s market capitalisation is $3.0 B at a stock price of $47.7. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Hub Group, Inc.'s P/E ratio?

Hub Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.4×, at the 97th percentile of its own 5-year range, against a long-run median of 19.0×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Hub Group, Inc. pay a dividend?

Yes — Hub Group, Inc. declared $0.13 per share for Sep 25, and $0.50 per share across the last four reported quarters. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Hub Group, Inc.'s dividend per share?

Hub Group, Inc.'s most recently declared dividend is $0.13 per share for Sep 25, giving $0.50 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Hub Group, Inc.'s dividend yield?

Hub Group, Inc.'s trailing dividend yield is 1.05%: $0.50 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $47.7. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Hub Group, Inc. overvalued?

On its own history, Hub Group, Inc. looks expensive against its own history: its P/E of 27.4× sits at the 97th percentile of its 5-year range (long-run median 19.0×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Hub Group, Inc. growing?

Yes — Hub Group, Inc. is growing: latest-quarter revenue −6.1% year on year, profit +50.0%, and the margin +1.3 pp at 4.3%. The 4-year compound rates are 3.1% (revenue) and 9.3% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Hub Group, Inc. performing?

Hub Group, Inc. is in a confirmed uptrend, 12 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue fell 6.1% and profit rose 50.0% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 10 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

What stage is Hub Group, Inc. in?

Turning around — profit growth swung from −57.1% at the trough to +0.0%, a 5-quarter improving streak, ROCE holding at 6.1%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth −6.0% latest, profit growth +0.0% latest, eps growth −1.7% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Hub Group, Inc. in an uptrend?

Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 12 of stage 2), trading +13.9% versus its 200-day average and at 81% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Hub Group, Inc. beating the market?

On recent form, yes — Hub Group, Inc. has been ahead of the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 10 straight weeks, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +139% against the S&P 500's +263% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Hub Group, Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Hub Group, Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $47.7, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 12 weeks in. Its P/E of 27.4× sits at the 97th percentile of its own 5-year range. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Hub Group, Inc.?

Somewhat — short interest is 6.6% of Hub Group, Inc.'s tradable float, about 5.0 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Hub Group, Inc. have too much debt?

No — Hub Group, Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 0.28. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Hub Group, Inc.'s capex?

Hub Group, Inc. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY24 alone that was $0.1 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Hub Group, Inc.'s cash flow?

Hub Group, Inc. generated $0.2 B of operating cash flow in FY24 and $0.1 B of free cash flow after $0.1 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.1 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Hub Group, Inc.'s profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 170% of Hub Group, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY24, operating cash was $0.2 B against reported profit of $0.1 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Hub Group, Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 3.83 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That sits well clear of trouble. — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Hub Group, Inc. in its business cycle?

Hub Group, Inc.'s FY24 operating margin was 3.5%, against a 5-year band of 3.1%–8.8%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran 4.3%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Hub Group, Inc. story?

The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +42.1% in a year while annual EPS moved −35.1% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Hub Group, Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Hub Group, Inc.'s price has outrun its earnings. +42.1% in a year against EPS −35.1% — the market is paying now for delivery later. The sharpest open question: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

Chat with this pageChat with pageChatChatGPTClaudePerplexityGoogle AI