Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.

CD
Financials · Capital Markets

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is between stages. Underneath, the last four quarters read mixed. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$3.1
−24.9% 1Y
P/BV
5.2×
vs its own history
Revenue (Dec 25)
$0.0 B
Profit (Dec 25)
$0.0 B
ROE
−7%
FY25
ROA
−5.67%
latest
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. trades at $3.1, between stages. That is −49.3% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 1% of a 52-week range of $3 to $29. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (6 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is between stages. At $3.1 it trades −49.3% versus its 200-day average and sits at 1% of its 52-week range ($3–$29).

Aug 26: $3.1 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
−49.3% versus the 200-day line, week — of stage —
Price50-day avg200-day avg
$31.5$23.8$16.1$8.3$0.6$$3$6Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
$31.5$23.8$16.1$8.3$0.6$$3$6Jul 25Jan 26Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (57 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 25Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −30% while the S&P 500 moved +24% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (6 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-26) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation For a bank we price the book, not the earnings: P/BV is what the market pays for each $1 of the bank's net worth. A bank below 1× book is priced below the value of what it owns, net of what it owes.

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. trades at 5.2× P/BV, against too little history to rank. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/BV of 5.2× is against too little history to rank. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

The honest context for that discount: a bank earning about −7% on its equity is worth less per dollar of book, and the market has priced that in rather than overlooked it. The discount closes only if the returns themselves improve.

P/BV
5.2×
too little history to rank
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the book-value line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read.

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 11 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

ROE Trailing-twelve-month net profit as a share of quarter-end equity, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROE
40%−105%−250%−395%−540%%0%Jun 20Jun 21Dec 22Jun 24Dec 25
40%−105%−250%−395%−540%%0%Jun 20Dec 22Dec 25
ROE
Rising
latest 0.0% · span −500.0%–0.0%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

No sector-relative score — Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison for Capital Markets.

The score is a rank WITHIN a peer set: every metric is scored by percentile against the other members. Without the peer set there is no score to state, so none is invented here.

05 · Revenue

Revenue For a bank, revenue is everything the franchise earns — interest on the loan book plus fees from its businesses.

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. reported $0.0 B of income in the Dec 25 quarter. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.0 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.0 B. A multi-year compound rate is not shown because the annual history behind it is too short to compute one honestly.

FY25 revenue came in at $0.0 B (null on the year). The latest quarter (Dec 25) printed $0.0 B, null year on year.

FY25 revenue $0.0 B (null YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Revenue
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Dec 25: $0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BJun 20Dec 22Dec 25
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BJun 20Dec 22Dec 25
06 · Net margin

Net margin Net margin — what the bank keeps of every $100 of revenue after every cost, provision and tax. With big fee businesses in the mix, it is the cleanest margin we can read for this bank.

A clean net margin is not in our numbers for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. — its accounts do not report the operating-profit line this section reads, which is common for lenders and holding companies. The sections above and below carry the readings this company's filings do support.

This company's accounts do not report the operating-profit line this section reads — common for lenders and holding companies classified outside the financial bucket. The revenue and net-profit sections are the cleaner reads for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc..

Why: the numbers show the net margin move clearly, but the cost lines behind it sit below what we hold — so we state the move without inventing its driver.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Dec 25 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.0 B. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.01 B. 3 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Dec 25 profit was $0.0 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $0.0 B (null).

FY25 profit $0.0 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profit
0.001−0.002−0.005−0.008−0.011$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.001−0.002−0.005−0.008−0.011$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Dec 25: $0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)
0.001−0.002−0.005−0.008−0.011$ B$0BJun 20Dec 22Dec 25
0.001−0.002−0.005−0.008−0.011$ B$0BJun 20Dec 22Dec 25
08 · Asset quality — the ladder

Asset quality — the ladder Gross NPA is the slice of the loan book where repayments have stopped. Net NPA is what remains after the money already set aside against those loans. Falling is healing; rising is damage arriving.

Loan-book quality history is not available for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc., so this section names the gap rather than estimating a ratio. No gross or net non-performing-asset series is filed in a form this page can read, and none is inferred from the profit line. The income, margin and return sections above carry the evidence this business does report.

We do not hold quarterly loan-book quality numbers for this bank, so this section states that plainly rather than working around it.

Why: loan-book quality is the engine room of a bank, and its drivers — slippages, recoveries, provisioning — sit below what we hold for this name; the sections around it carry the reads we can stand behind.

09 · The loan book

The loan book We read the loan book through revenue — when the book and the businesses grow, revenue grows with them. It is a rough proxy, and we say so: rate moves and fee swings can shift it a few points in any one year.

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s revenue grew null in FY25 to $0.0 B, so the book is flat. Interest income is a proxy for the book; rate moves can shift it a few points in any one year.

FY25 revenue was $0.0 B, null on the year, and the latest quarter ran null year on year. The net margin on that revenue is null% this quarter (null pp YoY) — growth with a narrowing margin on it.

FY25: revenue $0.0 B (null YoY) with the net margin at null% Revenue by fiscal year, $ B (bars, left); net margin, % (line, right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Revenue
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25

The synthesis: a lender compounds when the book grows while the margin holds and the loan book stays clean — with quarterly loan-quality numbers missing here, revenue growth and margin are the two we watch.

10 · Returns on equity and assets

Returns on equity and assets Two numbers rate a bank: ROE — what it earns on shareholder money — and ROA — what it earns on everything it deploys. ROE above ~13–15% earns its keep; below that, growth builds book slowly.

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. earns a return on equity of 0% in FY25. Its trough over the ladder below was −100% in FY21. On the asset side every $100 of the balance sheet earned about $−5.67, which is the return before leverage is applied.

FY25 ROE came in at 0%, recovered from a FY21 trough of −100%. On assets, the latest reading is about −5.67% — every $100 the bank deploys earns roughly $−5.67 a year. That return is below the bar a bank must clear to compound book value quickly — which is also the honest reason the stock trades where it does.

FY25: ROE 0%, ROA −8.90% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line, left); return on assets, % (line, right). 5-year window. A lender is judged on ROE and ROA — return on invested capital does not apply to a bank.
up from a FY21 trough of −100%
ROEROA
8.0%2.8%−21%−34%−50%−70%−79%−107%−108%−143%%%0%−8.9%FY21FY23FY25
8.0%2.8%−21%−34%−50%−70%−79%−107%−108%−143%%%0%−8.9%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: ROE 0.0% (TTM), ROA −6.80% Trailing-twelve-month return on equity (left) and on assets (right), per quarter, %. Last 12 quarters, anchored to the annual figure.
ROE (TTM)ROA (TTM)
6.5%−4.0%−0.5%−14%−7.5%−24%−15%−34%−22%−44%%%0%−6.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
6.5%−4.0%−0.5%−14%−7.5%−24%−15%−34%−22%−44%%%0%−6.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why: the ROE ladder shows the move; the deposit-cost and provisioning drivers behind it sit below what we hold.

11 · Dividend

Dividend

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

12 · Debt

Debt

For a bank, borrowings are raw material, not a warning sign — solvency is read through the returns and the loan book. A manufacturer’s debt is a claim against its profits, so the debt-to-equity lens that works everywhere else misleads on a lender and is not applied here.

A manufacturer’s debt is a claim against its profits; a bank’s borrowings are its inventory — money taken in to be lent out. The debt lens that works everywhere else misleads here, so this page does not apply it. The solvency questions for a bank — is the loan book sound, is the equity earning — are read through the loan-book and returns sections above.

13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

8.2% of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 11.1 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 8.2% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 11.1 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
8.2%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
11.1
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.: the Z-score is omitted — it was built for manufacturers, not banks, and applying it here would be theatre. The Z-score was built for manufacturers and is not applied to banks and lenders, so solvency here is read from the capital and asset-quality lines instead.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is omitted — it was built for manufacturers, not banks, and applying it here would be theatre.

15 · Related companies

No sector comparison is shown here — not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s stock price today?

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. trades at $3.1, −24.9% over the past year. The company is valued at $0.0 B. The stock sits at 1% of its 52-week range of $3–$29, −49.3% versus its 200-day average. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 6 weeks. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. reported total income of $0.0 B and net profit of $0.0 B for the Dec 25 quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s revenue?

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $0.0 B in the Dec 25 quarter. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s profit?

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Dec 25 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s market cap?

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s market capitalisation is $0.0 B at a stock price of $3.1. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. pay a dividend?

No — Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. performing?

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s latest readings are below. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 6 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (6 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-26), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −30% against the S&P 500's +24% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $3.1. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.?

Somewhat — short interest is 8.2% of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s tradable float, about 11.1 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s loan book healthy?

We do not hold quarterly loan-book quality numbers for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc., so this page says that plainly. The cleanest available reads are revenue growth and the net margin on it — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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