Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Ascentage Pharma Group International

AAPG
Healthcare · Biotechnology

Ascentage Pharma Group International's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is between stages. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$16.7
−55.1% 1Y
Revenue (Dec 25)
$0.3 B
+112.5% YoY
Profit (Dec 25), incl. one-off
$−0.7 B
one-off item — see below
Operating margin
−202.9%
+153.3 pp YoY
ROE
−155%
FY25
ROIC
−28.8%
vs WACC 7.0% → −35.8 pp
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Ascentage Pharma Group International trades at $16.7, between stages. That is −33.5% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 0% of a 52-week range of $17 to $48. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (18 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is between stages. At $16.7 it trades −33.5% versus its 200-day average and sits at 0% of its 52-week range ($17–$48).

Aug 26: $16.7 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
−33.5% versus the 200-day line, week — of stage —
Price50-day avg200-day avg
$50.4$41.3$32.3$23.2$14.2$$17$25Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
$50.4$41.3$32.3$23.2$14.2$$17$25Jul 25Jan 26Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (57 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 25Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −56% while the S&P 500 moved +24% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (18 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-04-02) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

P/E does not price Ascentage Pharma Group International — earnings are negative, so there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where a turn, when it comes, would show first. On sales the market values Ascentage Pharma Group International at 3.5× its FY25 revenue of $0.6 B.

With earnings negative, P/E does not price — there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where the turn, when it comes, will show first.

P/E
earnings negative
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Ascentage Pharma Group International reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 9 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue −41.8% in FY25 Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoY
651%465%279%93%−93%%−41.8%FY21FY23FY25
651%465%279%93%−93%%−41.8%FY21FY23FY25
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue rolling over
RevenueProfit
320%−298.8%248%−299.4%175%−300.0%103%−300.6%30%−301.2%%%260.5%−300%Jun 20Dec 22Dec 25
320%−298.8%248%−299.4%175%−300.0%103%−300.6%30%−301.2%%%260.5%−300%Jun 20Dec 22Dec 25
ROE Annual readings — the quarterly balance-sheet pieces this curve needs are not held for this stock, so the returns read moves once a year and carries less weight in the call.
the return curve, annual readings
ROE
0.0%−353%−711%−1,069%−1,427%%−93.2%FY22FY23FY25
0.0%−353%−711%−1,069%−1,427%%−93.2%FY22FY23FY25
Revenue growth
Rolling over
latest +260.5% · span +50.0% to +1,333.3%
ROE
Rising
latest −93.2% · span −1,328.6%–−93.2%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

The latest quarter’s profit carries a one-off item larger than the operating base, so the profit curve is shown but does not vote in the stage call.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue−41.8%+39.5%
Stock price−55.1%
Revenue YoY (Dec 25)
+112.5%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
108.8%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

No sector-relative score — Ascentage Pharma Group International is not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison for Biotechnology.

The score is a rank WITHIN a peer set: every metric is scored by percentile against the other members. Without the peer set there is no score to state, so none is invented here.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Ascentage Pharma Group International reported $0.3 B of revenue in the Dec 25 quarter, +112.5% year on year. Over 4 years it has compounded at 108.8% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.6 B. The last four reported quarters add to $1.6 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $0.6 B (−41.8% on the year), capping 4 years at 108.8% compound. The latest quarter (Dec 25) printed $0.3 B, +112.5% year on year.

FY25 revenue $0.6 B (−41.8% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
108.8% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
1.1651%0.8465%0.5279%0.393%0.0−93%$ B%$1B−41.8%FY21FY23FY25
1.1651%0.8465%0.5279%0.393%0.0−93%$ B%$1B−41.8%FY21FY23FY25
Dec 25: $0.3 B (+112.5% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
0.91,086%0.7775%0.4464%0.2153%0.0−158%$ B%$0B112.5%Jun 20Dec 22Dec 25
0.91,086%0.7775%0.4464%0.2153%0.0−158%$ B%$0B112.5%Jun 20Dec 22Dec 25

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +156.6% growth against the decade's 108.8% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +260.5% over the last 4 quarters against +618.8%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Ascentage Pharma Group International's operating margin is −202.9% in the Dec 25 quarter, +153.3 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across the last four quarters the operating margin has moved +459.6 percentage points. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −3,266.7% to −39.8%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −202.9%, +153.3 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −3,266.7%–−39.8%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +459.6 pp year on year while gross margin went +3.7 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY25: −226.3% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a −3,266.7–−39.8% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
218%3,080%−717%2,203%−1,653%1,326%−2,589%449%−3,525%−428%%%−226.3%−186.5%FY21FY23FY25
218%3,080%−717%2,203%−1,653%1,326%−2,589%449%−3,525%−428%%%−226.3%−186.5%FY21FY23FY25
Dec 25: −202.9% operating margin (+153.3 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
496%6,069%−1,222%3,875%−2,939%1,682%−4,656%−512%−6,374%−2,705%%%−202.9%153.3%Jun 20Dec 22Dec 25
496%6,069%−1,222%3,875%−2,939%1,682%−4,656%−512%−6,374%−2,705%%%−202.9%153.3%Jun 20Dec 22Dec 25
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Ascentage Pharma Group International posted a net loss of $0.7 B in the Dec 25 quarter. That quarter carries a one-off item larger than its own revenue, so the year-on-year figure is an artefact rather than a trading result. The full FY25 year was a loss of $1.2 B. That loss is 191.2% of the quarter's revenue.

Dec 25 profit was $−0.7 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $−1.2 B (null).

🚨 Read this profit with care: at $−0.7 B it is larger than the whole quarter's revenue of $0.3 B — no operating business earns more than it sells, so this is a one-off item (a debt-to-equity conversion, a tax write-back or an asset sale), not money the business earned. The underlying operations are running at −202.9% operating margin; the year-on-year jump and any P/E built on this number are artefacts of the one-off, not a real earnings turn.

FY25 profit $−1.2 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profit
0.1−0.3−0.6−1.0−1.3$ B$−1BFY21FY23FY25
0.1−0.3−0.6−1.0−1.3$ B$−1BFY21FY23FY25
Dec 25: $−0.7 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.2−467.6%0.0−468.2%−0.2−468.8%−0.5−469.4%−0.7−470.0%$ B%$−1B−468.8%Jun 20Dec 22Dec 25
0.2−467.6%0.0−468.2%−0.2−468.8%−0.5−469.4%−0.7−470.0%$ B%$−1B−468.8%Jun 20Dec 22Dec 25
08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Ascentage Pharma Group International's cash-flow history is too thin to judge how much reported profit converts into cash. In FY25 that was $−1.2 B of operating cash against $−1.2 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $−1.2 B was left as free cash. Cash resolution here is annual, because quarterly cash statements are not published.

FY25: operating cash of $−1.2 B against reported profit of $−1.2 B, leaving free cash of $−1.2 B after $0.0 B of capital spending.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $−1.2 B vs profit $−1.2 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.1−0.3−0.6−1.0−1.3$ B$−1B$−1B$−1BFY21FY23FY25
0.1−0.3−0.6−1.0−1.3$ B$−1B$−1B$−1BFY21FY23FY25
Dec 24: operating cash $0.2 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.3126%0.133%−0.1−60%−0.2−152%−0.4−245%$ B%$0B−219%Jun 19Dec 21Dec 24
0.3126%0.133%−0.1−60%−0.2−152%−0.4−245%$ B%$0B−219%Jun 19Dec 21Dec 24

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Ascentage Pharma Group International does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.50.40.20.10.0$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.50.40.20.10.0$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Dec 24: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)
0.240.180.120.060.00$ B$0BJun 19Dec 21Dec 24
0.240.180.120.060.00$ B$0BJun 19Dec 21Dec 24

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Ascentage Pharma Group International earns a ROE of −93% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −1,329% in FY23. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −35.8 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is −217.5% net margin on 0.14× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is −93%, recovered from a FY23 trough of −1,329% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): −217.5% net margin × 0.14× asset turns × 2.98× balance-sheet leverage ≈ −90.7% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: −28.8% − 7.0% = a −35.8 pp spread. The 7.0% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY25: ROE −93% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 7.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY23's −1,329%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
114%−273%−661%−1,048%−1,435%%−93.2%−169.5%FY21FY23FY25
114%−273%−661%−1,048%−1,435%%−93.2%−169.5%FY21FY23FY25
Dec 25: ROIC −64.2% (TTM) vs WACC 7.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
41%−81%−203%−325%−447%%−64.2%−162.4%Mar 23Jun 24Dec 25
41%−81%−203%−325%−447%%−64.2%−162.4%Mar 23Jun 24Dec 25
11 · Dividend

Dividend

Ascentage Pharma Group International pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Ascentage Pharma Group International does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Debt-to-equity is 1.48 at the latest reading — carrying real leverage; a full borrowings history is not in our numbers.

We hold only the latest reading here: a debt-to-equity of 1.48 — a level of leverage that amplifies both the returns above and the risk. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so we say that rather than draw a chart we cannot support.

13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

No ownership or positioning reading is held for Ascentage Pharma Group International, so this section names the gap rather than filling it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 1.0 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

We hold no ownership or positioning reading for this stock, so this section says that plainly.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Ascentage Pharma Group International: the Z-score reads 1.43. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of 1.43 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 1.43.

15 · Related companies

No sector comparison is shown here — not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Ascentage Pharma Group International's stock price today?

Ascentage Pharma Group International trades at $16.7, −55.1% over the past year. The company is valued at $2.0 B. The stock sits at 0% of its 52-week range of $17–$48, −33.5% versus its 200-day average. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 18 weeks. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Ascentage Pharma Group International's latest quarterly results?

Ascentage Pharma Group International reported revenue of $0.3 B and a net loss of $0.7 B for the Dec 25 quarter. Earnings per share were $−7.04. The operating margin was −202.9%, 153.3 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Ascentage Pharma Group International's revenue?

Ascentage Pharma Group International reported revenue of $0.3 B in the Dec 25 quarter, +112.5% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $0.6 B (−41.8%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 108.8% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Ascentage Pharma Group International's profit?

Ascentage Pharma Group International earned $−0.7 B of net profit in the Dec 25 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $−1.2 B. The operating margin ran −202.9% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Ascentage Pharma Group International's market cap?

Ascentage Pharma Group International's market capitalisation is $2.0 B at a stock price of $16.7. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Ascentage Pharma Group International pay a dividend?

No — Ascentage Pharma Group International has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Ascentage Pharma Group International performing?

Ascentage Pharma Group International's latest readings are below. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 18 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Ascentage Pharma Group International beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Ascentage Pharma Group International is currently behind the S&P 500 (18 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-04-02), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −56% against the S&P 500's +24% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Ascentage Pharma Group International's stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Ascentage Pharma Group International. What it measures instead: the stock price is $16.7. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Ascentage Pharma Group International have too much debt?

It carries real leverage — Ascentage Pharma Group International's debt-to-equity is 1.48. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Ascentage Pharma Group International's capex?

Ascentage Pharma Group International spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Ascentage Pharma Group International's cash flow?

Ascentage Pharma Group International generated $−1.2 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $−1.2 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $−1.2 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Ascentage Pharma Group International?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 1.43 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Ascentage Pharma Group International in its business cycle?

Ascentage Pharma Group International's FY25 operating margin was −226.3%, against a 5-year band of −3,266.7%–−39.8%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran −202.9%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Ascentage Pharma Group International story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Ascentage Pharma Group International a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Ascentage Pharma Group International's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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