Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-31
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-31

Synergy Green Industries Ltd

SGIL
Castings, Forgings & Fastners

Synergy Green Industries Ltd's price has outrun its earnings. +13.9% in a year against EPS −72.4% — the market is paying now for delivery later.

The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +13.9% in a year while annual EPS moved −72.4% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings.

The price is in a confirmed uptrend (12 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 100th percentile of its own 1-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read deteriorating — profit −89.3% year on year, and 121% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved.

Stage
Mixed
partial read
Price
₹600
+13.9% 1Y
P/E
188.0×
100th pctile
of its own 1-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
₹119 Cr
+22.1% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
₹0.4 Cr
−89.3% YoY
Operating margin
8.8%
−6.5 pp YoY
ROCE
9%
FY26
ROIC
4.2%
vs WACC 12.0% → −7.8 pp
Cash conversion
121%
of profit, last 3 FY
Unverified figures: Some figures on this page come from a second financial-data feed that could not be cross-checked against the primary source — the two do not share enough overlapping reported history to compare. They are drawn, because they are the only evidence there is, and every section carrying one is marked unverified. PEG is the exception: the quarterly curve is not drawn at all. PEG asks what is being paid for growth — both sides of that division come from the source that could not be checked, so it is withheld instead of marked.
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Synergy Green Industries Ltd trades at ₹600, in a confirmed uptrend and 12 weeks into that stage. That is +11.0% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 93% of a 52-week range of ₹482 to ₹609. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 1 straight week.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 12 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹600 it trades +11.0% versus its 200-day average and sits at 93% of its 52-week range (₹482–₹609).

Jul 26: ₹600 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
+11.0% versus the 200-day line, week 12 of stage 2
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S2S2₹646₹513₹381₹249₹116₹600₹541Jul 23May 24Feb 25Nov 25Jul 26
S2S2₹646₹513₹381₹249₹116₹600₹541Jul 23Feb 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2018 Each cell is one week from 2018 to now (382 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Sep 18Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 7.9 years the stock moved +651% while the NIFTY 500 moved +152% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 1 straight week — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Synergy Green Industries Ltd trades at 188.0× P/E, about the priciest it has ever traded. Its long-run median P/E is 48.8×, measured across 1.0 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 188.0× is about the priciest it has ever traded, against a long-run median of 48.8× measured over 1.0 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 188.0× vs a 48.8× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 1.0-year window; loss-period spikes above 52× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
about the priciest it has ever traded
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
53.2×₹11.850.2×₹8.847.1×₹5.944.0×₹2.941.0×₹0.0×51.90×₹11May 25Aug 25Nov 25Feb 26May 26
53.2×₹11.850.2×₹8.847.1×₹5.944.0×₹2.941.0×₹0.0×51.90×₹11May 25Nov 25May 26
P/E
188.0×
100th percentile of 1y

🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −72.4% against a +13.9% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

A quarterly PEG curve, which only the second data source carries, is not drawn on this page: its two data sources do not share enough overlapping reported history to be compared. A figure nobody could check is not used to price growth — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

03 · Stage: Mixed

Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Synergy Green Industries Ltd reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — revenue growth is rising at +22.1% (single-quarter readings) while profit growth is falling at −89.3% (single-quarter readings) — the curves disagree, so the per-curve reads carry the story. The read is built from 10 quarters across 3 curves, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +1.1% in FY26, profit −70.6% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn. Turnaround-year spikes shown pinned (▲).
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
65%330%47%222%28%114%9.2%5.8%−9.5%−102%%%1.1%−70.6%FY11FY21FY26
65%330%47%222%28%114%9.2%5.8%−9.5%−102%%%1.1%−70.6%FY11FY21FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue rolling over, profit rolling over
RevenueProfitEPS
34%148%20%75%5.5%0.0%−8.7%−72%−23%−145%%%22.1%−89.3%−72.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
34%148%20%75%5.5%0.0%−8.7%−72%−23%−145%%%22.1%−89.3%−72.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Annual readings — the quarterly balance-sheet pieces this curve needs are not held for this stock, so the returns read moves once a year and carries less weight in the call.
the return curve, annual readings
ROCE
25%21%17%12%7.8%%9%FY23FY24FY26
25%21%17%12%7.8%%9%FY23FY24FY26
Revenue growth
Rising
latest +22.1% · span −19.0% to +30.0%
Profit growth
Falling
latest −89.3% · span −100.0% to +100.0%
ROCE
Falling
latest 9.0% · span 9.0%–24.0%

Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+1.1%+8.1%+13.0%
Profit−70.6%+71.0%+10.8%
EPS−72.4%+75.0%+7.9%
Share price+13.9%+45.3%+26.1%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+22.1%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Mar 26)
−89.3%
latest quarter vs a year ago
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

27.1/100 — rank 17 of 19 in Castings, Forgings & Fastners · 76% evidence confidence

Synergy Green Industries Ltd scores 27.1 out of 100 against the 19 companies it is compared with in Castings, Forgings & Fastners, ranking 17. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 4.2 + 7.4 + 8.5 + 7 = 27.1. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Synergy Green Industries Ltd reported ₹119 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +22.1% year on year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹366 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹366 Cr. A multi-year compound rate is not shown because the annual history behind it is too short to compute one honestly.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹366 Cr (+1.1% on the year). The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹119 Cr, +22.1% year on year.

FY26 revenue ₹366 Cr (+1.1% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
RevenueYoY growth
39565%29647%19828%999.2%0−9.5%₹ Cr%₹3661.1%FY11FY21FY26
39565%29647%19828%999.2%0−9.5%₹ Cr%₹3661.1%FY11FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹119 Cr (+22.1% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
12934%9620%645.5%32−8.7%0−23%₹ Cr%₹11922.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
12934%9620%645.5%32−8.7%0−23%₹ Cr%₹11922.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +1.1% over the last 4 quarters against +6.0%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit −72.4% vs −36.5%/yr — rolling over.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Synergy Green Industries Ltd's operating margin is 8.8% in the Mar 26 quarter, −6.5 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 9 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 8.0% to 16.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 8.8%, −6.5 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 9 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 8.0%–16.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −6.5 pp year on year while gross margin went −3.3 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY26: 11.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 9-year window.
within a 8.0–16.0% band over 9 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
17%3.6%14%1.5%12%−0.5%9.7%−2.5%7.4%−4.6%%%11%−3%FY18FY22FY26
17%3.6%14%1.5%12%−0.5%9.7%−2.5%7.4%−4.6%%%11%−3%FY18FY22FY26
Mar 26: 8.8% operating margin (−6.5 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
16%4.4%14%1.5%12%−1.5%10%−4.4%8.2%−7.3%%%8.8%−6.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
16%4.4%14%1.5%12%−1.5%10%−4.4%8.2%−7.3%%%8.8%−6.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Synergy Green Industries Ltd earned ₹0.4 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −89.3% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹5.0 Cr. That is 0.3% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹3.8 Cr. 1 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was ₹0.4 Cr, −89.3% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹5.0 Cr (−70.6%).

FY26 profit ₹5.0 Cr (−70.6% YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profitYoY growth
181,194%14854%9515%5175%0−164%₹ Cr%₹5−70.6%FY11FY21FY26
181,194%14854%9515%5175%0−164%₹ Cr%₹5−70.6%FY11FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹0.4 Cr (−89.3% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
7148%475%20.0%0−72%−2−145%₹ Cr%₹0−89.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
7148%475%20.0%0−72%−2−145%₹ Cr%₹0−89.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed +22.1% and the margin −6.5 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −60.8% vs revenue +0.9%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 121% of Synergy Green Industries Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹19.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹5.0 Cr of profit. After ₹183 Cr of capital spending, ₹−164 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹19.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹5.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−164 Cr after ₹183 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 121% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹19.0 Cr vs profit ₹5.0 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 11-year window, annual resolution. FY25/FY26 reflects an acquisition year — point shown clipped.
121% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
44220−23−45₹ Cr₹19₹5₹18FY11FY21FY26
44220−23−45₹ Cr₹19₹5₹18FY11FY21FY26
FY26: CFO = 380% of profit (three-year rate 121%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash; outlier years shown pinned.
Conversion100%
332%217%103%−11%−126%%300%FY11FY21FY26
332%217%103%−11%−126%%300%FY11FY21FY26

Why conversion sits at 121%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY21 and FY26 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 5.8× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Synergy Green Industries Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 43 days in FY26, up from 35 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹262 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹366 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹1.0 Cr, so roughly ₹43.0 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 65 days, inventory at 164 days — roughly 5.4 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 43 days, looser than FY21's 35.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 164 days to sell; customers pay about 65 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 186 days — netting out to the 43-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹366 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹1.0 Cr — so the 43-day loop keeps roughly ₹43.0 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a 43-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 9-year window.
+8 days vs FY21
Cash cycleInventory daysDebtor daysPayable days
80455731063−184days43d164d65d186dFY18FY20FY22FY24FY26
80455731063−184days43d164d65d186dFY18FY22FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹262 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹45.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹47.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹183 Cr, work-in-progress ₹47.0 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
a build-out
CapexWork-in-progress
19814899490₹ Cr₹183₹47FY12FY20FY22FY24FY26
19814899490₹ Cr₹183₹47FY12FY22FY26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.⚠ unverified

Synergy Green Industries Ltd earns a ROCE of 9% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 0% in FY12. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −7.8 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 1.4% net margin on 0.77× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 9%, recovered from a FY12 trough of 0% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 1.4% net margin × 0.77× asset turns × 4.22× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 4.5% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 4.2% − 12.0% = a −7.8 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY26: ROCE 9% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 9-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY12's 0%
ROCEROIC (annual)WACC
26%19%12%5.0%−1.9%%9%4.5%FY12FY22FY26
26%19%12%5.0%−1.9%%9%4.5%FY12FY22FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 7.6% (TTM) vs WACC 12.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROCE and ROIC, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)ROIC (TTM)WACC
37%28%18%8.2%−1.6%%7.6%1.1%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
37%28%18%8.2%−1.6%%7.6%1.1%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
11 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.⚠ unverified

Synergy Green Industries Ltd carries total debt of ₹250 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹111 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 2.25. On the annual view that ratio went from 2.41 in FY22 to 2.25 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹250 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹111 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 2.25. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 2.41 (FY22) to 2.25 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY26: debt ₹250 Cr at 2.25× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
2702.5×2032.2×1351.9×681.6×01.4×₹ Cr×₹2502.25×FY22FY24FY26
2702.5×2032.2×1351.9×681.6×01.4×₹ Cr×₹2502.25×FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: debt ₹250 Cr, debt-to-equity 2.25 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
2702.5×2032.2×1351.9×681.6×01.4×₹ Cr×₹2502.25×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
2702.5×2032.2×1351.9×681.6×01.4×₹ Cr×₹2502.25×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
12 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters cut 4.5 points of Synergy Green Industries Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 69.5% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −2.6 points over the same window, to 0.2%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −4.5 points over 8 quarters to 69.5%; Foreign institutions: −2.6 points over 8 quarters to 0.2%; Domestic institutions: +1.0 points over 8 quarters to 1.7%.

🚨 Why the register moved: promoters drove it (−4.5 points), alongside foreign institutions (−2.6 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters −4.5 pts from Mar 24 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 3 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
80%58%37%16%−5.9%%69.5%0.2%1.5%28.7%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
80%58%37%16%−5.9%%69.5%0.2%1.5%28.7%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
Promoters cut 4.5 points over 8 quarters Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 13 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
80%58%37%16%−5.9%%69.5%0.2%1.7%28.5%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
80%58%37%16%−5.9%%69.5%0.2%1.7%28.5%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
13 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Synergy Green Industries Ltd: the Z-score reads 2.27. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits in the grey band between the two. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 2.27 sits in the grey band — neither clearly safe nor clearly distressed.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 2.27.

14 · Related companies · Castings, Forgings & Fastners
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Uniparts India LtdUNIPARTS 80.2/100Sector-leading setup96% evidence LEADER 31.1/35 Revenue 21.6% · PAT 78.4% · OPM change 10 pp 88% evidence 17.5/25 ROCE 21.6% · OPM 24% 100% evidence 13.4/20 P/E 20.4× · PEG 0.38 100% evidence 18.2/20 RS sector 19.9% · RS bench 41.7% · 1Y 96.5%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 31.1 + 17.5 + 13.4 + 18.2 = 80.2 · Decision use: Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence.
2Uni Abex Alloy Products Ltd504605 67.3/100Favorable setup78% evidence LEADER 22.1/35 Revenue 13.5% · PAT 100% · OPM change 5 pp 83% evidence 18.0/25 ROCE 19.2% · OPM 31% 76% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 19.8× · PEG — 50% evidence 17.1/20 RS sector 13.8% · RS bench 34.4% · 1Y 36.9%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 22.1 + 18 + 10.1 + 17.1 = 67.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3Gala Precision Engineering LtdGALAPREC 67.3/100Favorable setup76% evidence LEADER 27.1/35 Revenue 32.5% · PAT 34.6% · OPM change 1 pp 83% evidence 14.2/25 ROCE 15.6% · OPM 18% 95% evidence 9.8/20 P/E 38.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 16.2/20 RS sector 9.3% · RS bench 29.4% · 1Y 27.8%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 27.1 + 14.2 + 9.8 + 16.2 = 67.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
4Sona BLW Precision Forgings LtdSONACOMS 60.4/100Mixed-positive evidence97% evidence LEADER 22.8/35 Revenue 39.6% · PAT 18.1% · OPM change -1 pp 95% evidence 12.3/25 ROCE 14.2% · OPM 23% 95% evidence 6.8/20 P/E 65.9× · PEG 3.04 100% evidence 18.5/20 RS sector 21.8% · RS bench 44.1% · 1Y 63.9%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 22.8 + 12.3 + 6.8 + 18.5 = 60.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
5Happy Forgings LtdHAPPYFORGE 58.4/100Mixed-positive evidence96% evidence LEADER 20.0/35 Revenue 9.8% · PAT 12.7% · OPM change 2 pp 88% evidence 16.6/25 ROCE 18% · OPM 31% 100% evidence 6.1/20 P/E 52.2× · PEG 1.69 100% evidence 15.7/20 RS sector 15.6% · RS bench 36.4% · 1Y 72%8 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20 + 16.6 + 6.1 + 15.7 = 58.4 · Decision use: Strong business, demanding price: keep it on the quality list, but require either earnings upgrades or valuation compression.
6Amic Forging Ltd544037 56.9/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence LEADER 17.8/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 5 pp 26% evidence 20.2/25 ROCE 23.5% · OPM 33% 76% evidence 7.6/20 P/E 72.9× · PEG — 50% evidence 11.3/20 RS sector -2.1% · RS bench 16.4% · 1Y 18.1%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.8 + 20.2 + 7.6 + 11.3 = 56.9 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
7Balu Forge Industries LtdBALUFORGE 56.6/100Mixed-positive evidence90% evidence ASLEEP 17.3/35 Revenue 19.9% · PAT 27% · OPM change -5 pp 88% evidence 20.6/25 ROCE 22.7% · OPM 23% 100% evidence 15.4/20 P/E 20.6× · PEG 1.46 100% evidence 3.3/20 RS sector -27.9% · RS bench -18.5% · 1Y -29.5%0 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.3 + 20.6 + 15.4 + 3.3 = 56.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
8Bharat Forge LtdBHARATFORG 56.1/100Mixed-positive evidence71% evidence BREAKING OUT 21.1/35 Revenue 11.2% · PAT 19.1% · OPM change -1 pp 83% evidence 12.6/25 ROCE 12.6% · OPM 17% 76% evidence 9.0/20 P/E 93.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 13.4/20 RS sector 13.8% · RS bench 34.1% · 1Y 82.7%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 21.1 + 12.6 + 9 + 13.4 = 56.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
9Steelcast LtdSTEELCAS 55.0/100Mixed-positive evidence100% evidence LEADER 16.8/35 Revenue 9.2% · PAT 15.2% · OPM change 0 pp 100% evidence 18.9/25 ROCE 32.3% · OPM 26% 100% evidence 8.6/20 P/E 34.6× · PEG 1.7 100% evidence 10.7/20 RS sector 6.5% · RS bench 25.9% · 1Y 32.7%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.8 + 18.9 + 8.6 + 10.7 = 55 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
10Kennametal India LtdKENNAMET 54.7/100Mixed-positive evidence96% evidence FADING 19.5/35 Revenue 10.2% · PAT -4.3% · OPM change 2.1 pp 88% evidence 16.9/25 ROCE 24.6% · OPM 16.1% 100% evidence 10.3/20 P/E 53× · PEG 1.53 100% evidence 8.0/20 RS sector -1.3% · RS bench 16.8% · 1Y 23%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.5 + 16.9 + 10.3 + 8 = 54.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
11Tirupati Forge LtdTIRUPATIFL 50.9/100Mixed-positive evidence76% evidence BREAKING OUT 14.0/35 Revenue 41.3% · PAT -19.9% · OPM change -2.1 pp 83% evidence 8.2/25 ROCE 7.5% · OPM 9.2% 95% evidence 8.7/20 P/E 144× · PEG — 15% evidence 20.0/20 RS sector 38.5% · RS bench 63% · 1Y 75.8%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14 + 8.2 + 8.7 + 20 = 50.9 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 63%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
12M M Forgings LtdMMFL 47.9/100Mixed-negative evidence96% evidence BREAKING OUT 12.1/35 Revenue 4.3% · PAT -18.9% · OPM change -1 pp 88% evidence 10.6/25 ROCE 9% · OPM 19% 100% evidence 12.9/20 P/E 26.9× · PEG 0.66 100% evidence 12.3/20 RS sector 13.1% · RS bench 33.7% · 1Y 51.7%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 12.1 + 10.6 + 12.9 + 12.3 = 47.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
13CIE Automotive India LtdCIEINDIA 45.4/100Mixed-negative evidence100% evidence ASLEEP 19.2/35 Revenue 12.5% · PAT 14.3% · OPM change 1 pp 100% evidence 14.3/25 ROCE 14.7% · OPM 15% 100% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 17.3× · PEG 2.4 100% evidence 1.8/20 RS sector -22.6% · RS bench -7.6% · 1Y -1.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.2 + 14.3 + 10.1 + 1.8 = 45.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
14Nelcast LtdNELCAST 41.7/100Mixed-negative evidence87% evidence ASLEEP 15.3/35 Revenue 4.2% · PAT -1.8% · OPM change -3.9 pp 95% evidence 12.3/25 ROCE 11.4% · OPM 4.6% 95% evidence 11.8/20 P/E 25.7× · PEG — 50% evidence 2.3/20 RS sector -20.7% · RS bench -5.6% · 1Y -23.2%7 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 15.3 + 12.3 + 11.8 + 2.3 = 41.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
15Ramkrishna Forgings LtdRKFORGE 40.7/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence BREAKING OUT 14.8/35 Revenue 8.6% · PAT -71.3% · OPM change 4 pp 95% evidence 7.3/25 ROCE 5.6% · OPM 18% 76% evidence 8.8/20 P/E 103× · PEG — 15% evidence 9.8/20 RS sector -2.6% · RS bench 16.3% · 1Y 4.2%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.8 + 7.3 + 8.8 + 9.8 = 40.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
16Alicon Castalloy LtdALICON 35.2/100Mixed-negative evidence77% evidence ASLEEP 9.7/35 Revenue 3% · PAT -25.2% · OPM change -1.8 pp 83% evidence 10.1/25 ROCE 10% · OPM 9.2% 95% evidence 10.9/20 P/E 28.1× · PEG — 50% evidence 4.5/20 RS sector -20.7% · RS bench -12.7% · 1Y -27%0 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 9.7 + 10.1 + 10.9 + 4.5 = 35.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
17Synergy Green Industries Ltdthis pageSGIL 27.1/100Adverse evidence76% evidence BREAKING OUT 4.2/35 Revenue 1.1% · PAT -72.4% · OPM change -6.5 pp 83% evidence 7.4/25 ROCE 9.2% · OPM 8.8% 95% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 188× · PEG — 15% evidence 7.0/20 RS sector -8.2% · RS bench 9.6% · 1Y 8.6%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 4.2 + 7.4 + 8.5 + 7 = 27.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
18Sterling Tools LtdSTERTOOLS 25.6/100Adverse evidence77% evidence TURNING 6.2/35 Revenue -19.3% · PAT -49.7% · OPM change -5.7 pp 83% evidence 8.0/25 ROCE 7.2% · OPM 3.6% 95% evidence 7.4/20 P/E 38.1× · PEG — 50% evidence 4.0/20 RS sector -42.6% · RS bench -4.5% · 1Y -29.5%5 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 6.2 + 8 + 7.4 + 4 = 25.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
19Sundaram Clayton LtdSUNCLAY 24.3/100Adverse evidence74% evidence ASLEEP 10.4/35 Revenue -3.9% · PAT 100% · OPM change -1.2 pp 74% evidence 0.3/25 ROCE -3.3% · OPM 2% 100% evidence 11.5/20 P/E 11× · PEG — 15% evidence 2.1/20 RS sector -26.6% · RS bench -12% · 1Y -35.8%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 10.4 + 0.3 + 11.5 + 2.1 = 24.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

15 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Synergy Green Industries Ltd's share price today?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd trades at ₹600, +13.9% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹936 Cr. The stock sits at 93% of its 52-week range of ₹482–₹609, +11.0% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 12 weeks in. — as of 31 July 2026.

What were Synergy Green Industries Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd reported revenue of ₹119 Cr and net profit of ₹0.4 Cr for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 22.1% and profit fell 89.3% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹0.26. The operating margin was 8.8%, 6.5 pp lower than a year earlier. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Synergy Green Industries Ltd's revenue?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd reported revenue of ₹119 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter, +22.1% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹366 Cr (+1.1%). — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Synergy Green Industries Ltd's profit?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd earned ₹0.4 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −89.3% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹5.0 Cr. The operating margin ran 8.8% in the latest quarter. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Synergy Green Industries Ltd's market cap?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹936 Cr at a share price of ₹600. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Synergy Green Industries Ltd's P/E ratio?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd trades at a P/E of 188.0×, at the 100th percentile of its own 1-year range, against a long-run median of 48.8×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Synergy Green Industries Ltd pay a dividend?

Yes — Synergy Green Industries Ltd's dividend payout was 33% of profit in FY26, and it recorded a payout in 2 of its last 9 reported fiscal years. This page holds the payout ratio, not a per-share amount. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Synergy Green Industries Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, Synergy Green Industries Ltd looks expensive against its own history: its P/E of 188.0× sits at the 100th percentile of its 1-year range (long-run median 48.8×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Synergy Green Industries Ltd growing?

Not right now — Synergy Green Industries Ltd's latest numbers are shrinking: latest-quarter revenue +22.1% year on year, profit −89.3%, and the margin −6.5 pp at 8.8%. The earnings engine currently reads: deteriorating — as of 31 July 2026.

How is Synergy Green Industries Ltd performing?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd is in a confirmed uptrend, 12 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 22.1% and profit fell 89.3% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 1 week. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 31 July 2026.

What stage is Synergy Green Industries Ltd in?

Mixed — revenue growth is rising at +22.1% (single-quarter readings) while profit growth is falling at −89.3% (single-quarter readings) — the curves disagree, so the per-curve reads carry the story. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +22.1% latest, profit growth −89.3% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Synergy Green Industries Ltd in an uptrend?

Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 12 of stage 2), trading +11.0% versus its 200-day average and at 93% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Synergy Green Industries Ltd beating the market?

On recent form, yes — Synergy Green Industries Ltd has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 1 straight week, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 7.9 years the stock moved +651% against the NIFTY 500's +152% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 31 July 2026.

Will Synergy Green Industries Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Synergy Green Industries Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹600, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 12 weeks in. Its P/E of 188.0× sits at the 100th percentile of its own 1-year range. — as of 31 July 2026.

Who owns Synergy Green Industries Ltd?

Promoters hold 69.5% of Synergy Green Industries Ltd, foreign institutions 0.2%, domestic institutions 1.7% and the public 28.5% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Promoters cut 4.5 points over 8 quarters. — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Synergy Green Industries Ltd have too much debt?

It carries real leverage — Synergy Green Industries Ltd's debt-to-equity is 2.23, and operating profit covers the interest bill 2×. FY26 borrowings were ₹250 Cr against equity of ₹112 Cr. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Synergy Green Industries Ltd's capex?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd spent ₹262 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹183 Cr, with ₹47.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Synergy Green Industries Ltd's cash flow?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd generated ₹19.0 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹−164 Cr of free cash flow after ₹183 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹5.0 Cr, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Synergy Green Industries Ltd's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 121% of Synergy Green Industries Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹19.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹5.0 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 31 July 2026.

How financially safe is Synergy Green Industries Ltd?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 2.27 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is in the grey band — neither clearly safe nor clearly distressed. — as of 31 July 2026.

Where is Synergy Green Industries Ltd in its business cycle?

Synergy Green Industries Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 11.0%, against a 9-year band of 8.0%–16.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 8.8%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 31 July 2026.

What could break the Synergy Green Industries Ltd story?

The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +13.9% in a year while annual EPS moved −72.4% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Synergy Green Industries Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Synergy Green Industries Ltd's price has outrun its earnings. +13.9% in a year against EPS −72.4% — the market is paying now for delivery later. The sharpest open question: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 31 July 2026.

Chat with this pageChat with pageChatChatGPTClaudePerplexityGoogle AI