Shiva Cement Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Shiva Cement Ltd trades at ₹17.5, in a downtrend and 27 weeks into that stage. That is −34.3% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 0% of a 52-week range of ₹18 to ₹41. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (26 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 27 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹17.5 it trades −34.3% versus its 200-day average and sits at 0% of its 52-week range (₹18–₹41).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.0 years the stock moved +256% while the NIFTY 500 moved +260% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (26 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2025-09-05) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Shiva Cement Ltd trades at 103.2× P/E, against too little history to rank. Its long-run median P/E is 98.4×, measured across 0.0 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 103.2× is against too little history to rank, against a long-run median of 98.4× measured over 0.0 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Shiva Cement Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 6 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

4-Factor Sector Score

36.5/100 — rank 26 of 26 in Cement · 42% evidence confidence · provisional, ranked below fully-evidenced peers

Shiva Cement Ltd scores 36.5 out of 100 against the 26 companies it is compared with in Cement, ranking 26. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 18.1 + 5.4 + 10 + 3 = 36.5. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Shiva Cement Ltd reported ₹126 Cr of revenue in the Dec 25 quarter, +117.2% year on year. That is the 3rd straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 11 years it has compounded at 15.6% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at ₹311 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹420 Cr.

FY25 revenue came in at ₹311 Cr (−10.4% on the year), capping 11 years at 15.6% compound. The latest quarter (Dec 25) printed ₹126 Cr, +117.2% year on year — the 3rd consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +40.1% growth against the decade's 15.6% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +19.7% over the last 4 quarters against +44.2%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Shiva Cement Ltd's operating margin is 1.0% in the Dec 25 quarter, +15.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 11 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −261.0% to 15.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 1.0%, +15.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 11 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −261.0%–15.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +15.0 pp year on year while gross margin went −4.2 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Shiva Cement Ltd posted a net loss of ₹34.0 Cr in the Dec 25 quarter. The full FY25 year was a loss of ₹142 Cr. That loss is 27.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost ₹34.0 Cr. 12 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Dec 25 profit was ₹−34.0 Cr, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed ₹−142 Cr (null).

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 2 fiscal years 375% of Shiva Cement Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was ₹−56.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹−142 Cr of profit. After ₹109 Cr of capital spending, ₹−165 Cr was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of ₹−56.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹−142 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−165 Cr after ₹109 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 2 fiscal years the conversion rate is 375% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 375%: the cash cycle tightened 153 days between FY19 and FY25 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 9.9× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Shiva Cement Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 7 days in FY25, down from 160 days in FY19. Capital spending ran ₹796 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY25 sales of ₹311 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹0.9 Cr, so roughly ₹6.0 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY25: debtors at 1 days, inventory at 288 days — roughly 9.5 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 7 days, tighter than FY19's 160.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 288 days to sell; customers pay about 1 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 282 days — netting out to the 7-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY25 sales of ₹311 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹0.9 Cr — so the 7-day loop keeps roughly ₹6.0 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹796 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹80.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹113 Cr (FY25) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Shiva Cement Ltd earns a ROCE of −3% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −9% in FY18. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is −45.7% net margin on 0.18× asset turns.

FY25 ROCE is −3%, recovered from a FY18 trough of −9% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): −45.7% net margin × 0.18× asset turns × 28.83× balance-sheet leverage ≈ −237.2% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Shiva Cement Ltd carries ₹1,460 Cr of borrowings against ₹59.0 Cr of equity in FY25, a debt-to-equity of 24.75. Operating profit covers the interest bill −0×. Over 6 years borrowings went from ₹138 Cr to ₹1,460 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹796 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY25: borrowings of ₹1,460 Cr against equity of ₹59.0 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 24.75. Operating profit covers the interest bill −0×. Over 6 years borrowings went from ₹138 Cr to ₹1,460 Cr while capital spending ran ₹796 Cr in just the last 3 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters added 6.8 points of Shiva Cement Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 66.4% of the company. Foreign institutions moved +0.0 points over the same window, to 0.1%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: +6.8 points over 8 quarters to 66.4%; Foreign institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.1%; Domestic institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.1%.

Why the register moved: promoters drove it (+6.8 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Shiva Cement Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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