Sector Alpha Week of 2026-09-11
Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-09-11

ITC Hotels Ltd

ITCHOTELS
Hotels

ITC Hotels Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +28.5% in a year against a −37.9% price move.

The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved +28.5% against a −37.9% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery.

The price is in a downtrend (39 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 0th percentile of its own 1-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +35.8% year on year, and 137% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved.

Price
₹154
−37.9% 1Y
P/E
34.7×
0th pctile
of its own 1-year range
Revenue (Jun 26)
₹936 Cr
+14.7% YoY
Profit (Jun 26)
₹182 Cr
+35.8% YoY
Operating margin
31.0%
+1.0 pp YoY
ROCE
11%
FY26
ROIC
7.7%
vs WACC 12.0% → −4.3 pp
Cash conversion
137%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

ITC Hotels Ltd trades at ₹154, in a downtrend and 39 weeks into that stage. That is −11.3% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 16% of a 52-week range of ₹142 to ₹217. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (2 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 39 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹154 it trades −11.3% versus its 200-day average and sits at 16% of its 52-week range (₹142–₹217).

Sep 26: ₹154 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 2-year window.
−11.3% versus the 200-day line, week 39 of stage 4
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S2S4₹264₹231₹198₹165₹133₹154₹173Feb 25Jul 25Dec 25May 26Sep 26
S2S4₹264₹231₹198₹165₹133₹154₹173Feb 25Dec 25Sep 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (91 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Feb 25Sep 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.6 years the stock moved −10% while the NIFTY 500 moved +5% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (2 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-08-28) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

ITC Hotels Ltd trades at 34.7× P/E, about the cheapest it has ever traded. Its long-run median P/E is 46.0×, measured across 1.3 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 34.7× is about the cheapest it has ever traded, against a long-run median of 46.0× measured over 1.3 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 34.7× vs a 46.0× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 1.3-year window; loss-period spikes above 75× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
about the cheapest it has ever traded
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
78.4×₹4.866.7×₹3.655.0×₹2.443.3×₹1.231.6×₹0.0×34.80×₹4May 25Jun 25Feb 26Mar 26Sep 26
78.4×₹4.866.7×₹3.655.0×₹2.443.3×₹1.231.6×₹0.0×34.80×₹4May 25Feb 26Sep 26
PEG 1.67 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 6 quarters.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
2.8×2.3×1.8×1.3×0.9××1.67×Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q1 FY27
2.8×2.3×1.8×1.3×0.9××1.67×Q4 FY25Q2 FY26Q1 FY27
P/E
34.7×
0th percentile of 1y
PEG
1.30
as reported

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +28.5% against a −37.9% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · What the price assumes

What the price assumes This reading works the multiple backwards. It asks one question: what yearly rate of profit growth is a buyer at the market price already paying for? The number is the growth rate that makes eleven years of profit — six years growing, then five fading — add up to that day's market price, once each year is discounted at 11% a year.

Solved at its 13 June 2026 price, ITC Hotels Ltd was paying for profit growth of about 23.3% a year. Profit itself has compounded 39.2% a year over the past 2 years. Today the market pays 34.7× P/E, the 0th percentile of its own 1-year range.

What the two numbers say together. The multiple is low against its own past, and the growth the price is paying for is below what this company has actually delivered.

How to hold this number: it is a reading of one day's price, taken on 13 June 2026, not a running figure — every other number on this page, the multiple included, is read off the live quote as of 11 September 2026. A higher price is paying for more growth and a lower price for less, so it moves whenever the price does, and this page does not restate it between measurements.

04 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

ITC Hotels Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 7 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +16.3% in FY26, profit +28.7% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
64%52%51%46%38%40%25%33%13%27%%%16.3%28.7%FY24FY25FY26
64%52%51%46%38%40%25%33%13%27%%%16.3%28.7%FY24FY25FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfit
28%83%2.5%45%−23%6.8%−49%−32%−75%−70%%%14.7%35.8%Mar 24Mar 25Jun 26
28%83%2.5%45%−23%6.8%−49%−32%−75%−70%%%14.7%35.8%Mar 24Mar 25Jun 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
1,729%1,267%805%343%−119%%10.1%Mar 24Sep 24Mar 25Sep 25Jun 26
1,729%1,267%805%343%−119%%10.1%Mar 24Mar 25Jun 26
ROCE
Falling
latest 10.1% · span 8.7%–1,601.2%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+16.3%
Profit+28.7%
EPS+28.5%
Share price−37.9%
Revenue YoY (Jun 26)
+14.7%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Jun 26)
+35.8%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
36.4%
long-run compound pace
05 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

50.8/100 — rank 11 of 24 in Hotels · 93% evidence confidence

ITC Hotels Ltd scores 50.8 out of 100 against the 24 companies it is compared with in Hotels, ranking 11. Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -13.7% and the one-year return is -37%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 23.4 + 10.7 + 11.2 + 5.5 = 50.8. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

06 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

ITC Hotels Ltd reported ₹936 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +14.7% year on year. That is the 5th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 2 years it has compounded at 36.4% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹4,139 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹4,260 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹4,139 Cr (+16.3% on the year), capping 2 years at 36.4% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹936 Cr, +14.7% year on year — the 5th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹4,139 Cr (+16.3% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 3-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
36.4% a year over 2 years
RevenueYoY growth
4.5k64%3.4k51%2.2k38%1.1k25%013%₹ Cr%₹4,13916.3%FY24FY25FY26
4.5k64%3.4k51%2.2k38%1.1k25%013%₹ Cr%₹4,13916.3%FY24FY25FY26
Jun 26: ₹936 Cr (+14.7% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
5th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
3.6k28%2.7k2.5%1.8k−23%901−49%0−75%₹ Cr%₹93614.7%Mar 24Mar 25Jun 26
3.6k28%2.7k2.5%1.8k−23%901−49%0−75%₹ Cr%₹93614.7%Mar 24Mar 25Jun 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +15.5% growth against the decade's 36.4% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

07 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

ITC Hotels Ltd's operating margin is 31.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +1.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 3 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 35.0% to 36.0%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 31.0%, +1.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 3 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 35.0%–36.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +1.2 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.5 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY26: 36.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 3-year window.
within a 35.0–36.0% band over 3 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
36.1%1.1%35.8%0.8%35.5%0.5%35.2%0.2%34.9%−0.1%%%36%1%FY24FY25FY26
36.1%1.1%35.8%0.8%35.5%0.5%35.2%0.2%34.9%−0.1%%%36%1%FY24FY25FY26
Jun 26: 31.0% operating margin (+1.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
40%2.3%36%1.2%33%0.0%30%−1.2%26%−2.3%%%31%1%Mar 24Mar 25Jun 26
40%2.3%36%1.2%33%0.0%30%−1.2%26%−2.3%%%31%1%Mar 24Mar 25Jun 26
08 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

ITC Hotels Ltd earned ₹182 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +35.8% year on year. It is the 5th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹821 Cr. The 2-year compound rate is 39.2%. That is 19.4% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹134 Cr.

Jun 26 profit was ₹182 Cr, +35.8% year on year — the 5th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹821 Cr (+28.7%), and the 2-year compound rate is 39.2%.

FY26 profit ₹821 Cr (+28.7% YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 3-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
39.2% a year over 2 years
Net profitYoY growth
88752%66546%44340%22233%027%₹ Cr%₹82128.7%FY24FY25FY26
88752%66546%44340%22233%027%₹ Cr%₹82128.7%FY24FY25FY26
Jun 26: ₹182 Cr (+35.8% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
5th straight quarter of growth
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
68383%51245%3416.8%171−32%0−70%₹ Cr%₹18235.8%Mar 24Mar 25Jun 26
68383%51245%3416.8%171−32%0−70%₹ Cr%₹18235.8%Mar 24Mar 25Jun 26

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +14.7% and the margin +1.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +35.3% vs revenue +15.5%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

09 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 137% of ITC Hotels Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹1,110 Cr of operating cash against ₹821 Cr of profit. After ₹366 Cr of capital spending, ₹744 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹1,110 Cr against reported profit of ₹821 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹744 Cr after ₹366 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 137% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹1,110 Cr vs profit ₹821 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 3-year window, annual resolution.
137% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
1.2k8995993000₹ Cr₹1,110₹821₹744FY24FY25FY26
1.2k8995993000₹ Cr₹1,110₹821₹744FY24FY25FY26
FY26: CFO = 135% of profit (three-year rate 137%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash.
Conversion100%
163%146%129%112%95%%135%FY24FY25FY26
163%146%129%112%95%%135%FY24FY25FY26

Why conversion sits at 137%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY24 and FY26 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

10 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

ITC Hotels Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 20 days in FY26, down from 24 days in FY24. Capital spending ran ₹911 Cr over the last 2 years. At FY26 sales of ₹4,139 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹11.3 Cr, so roughly ₹227 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 20 days, inventory at 1,209 days — roughly 39.8 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 20 days, tighter than FY24's 24.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 1,209 days to sell; customers pay about 20 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 415 days — netting out to the 20-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹4,139 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹11.3 Cr — so the 20-day loop keeps roughly ₹227 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a 20-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 3-year window.
−4 days vs FY24
Cash cycleInventory daysDebtor daysPayable days
1,304959615270−75days20d1,209d20d415dFY24FY25FY26
1,304959615270−75days20d1,209d20d415dFY24FY25FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹911 Cr over the last 2 fiscal years against ₹819 Cr of depreciation — building somewhat ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹207 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹366 Cr, work-in-progress ₹207 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
steady investment
CapexWork-in-progress
5894412941470₹ Cr₹366₹207FY25FY26
5894412941470₹ Cr₹366₹207FY25FY26

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

11 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

ITC Hotels Ltd earns a ROCE of 11% in FY26. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −4.3 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 19.8% net margin on 0.31× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 11%.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 19.8% net margin × 0.31× asset turns × 1.16× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 7.1% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 7.7% − 12.0% = a −4.3 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY26: ROCE 11% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 2-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the full ladder
ROCEROIC (annual)WACC
12%11%9.4%7.9%6.4%%11%7.8%FY25FY26
12%11%9.4%7.9%6.4%%11%7.8%FY25FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 8.3% (TTM) vs WACC 12.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROCE and ROIC, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 10 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)ROIC (TTM)WACC
1,328%970%613%256%−101%%8.3%7.9%Q3 FY24Q4 FY25Q1 FY27
1,328%970%613%256%−101%%8.3%7.9%Q3 FY24Q4 FY25Q1 FY27
12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

ITC Hotels Ltd carries total debt of ₹74.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹11,699 Cr as of Jun 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.01 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.01 in FY24 to 0.01 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Jun 26: total debt of ₹74.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹11,699 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.01. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.01 (FY24) to 0.01 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

FY26: debt ₹74.0 Cr at 0.01× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 3-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
801.2×600.6×400.0×20−0.6×0−1.1×₹ Cr×₹740.01×FY24FY25FY26
801.2×600.6×400.0×20−0.6×0−1.1×₹ Cr×₹740.01×FY24FY25FY26
Jun 26: debt ₹74.0 Cr, debt-to-equity 0.01 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 7 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
861.2×650.6×430.0×22−0.6×0−1.1×₹ Cr×₹740.01×Mar 24Sep 25Jun 26
861.2×650.6×430.0×22−0.6×0−1.1×₹ Cr×₹740.01×Mar 24Sep 25Jun 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Foreign institutions cut 13.8 points of ITC Hotels Ltd over 5 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes foreign institutions to 11.6% of the company. Domestic institutions moved +2.4 points over the same window, to 24.0%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Foreign institutions: −13.8 points over 5 quarters to 11.6%; Domestic institutions: +2.4 points over 5 quarters to 24.0%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 5 quarters to 39.9%.

Why the register moved: rotation — foreign institutions −13.8 points against domestic institutions +2.4 points over 5 quarters, with promoters holding steady — one class of institutions handing the register to the other, not a verdict change by the people closest to the numbers.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters +0.0 pts from Mar 25 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 2 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
42%34%26%19%11%%39.9%14.6%21.5%24.1%Mar 25Mar 26
42%34%26%19%11%%39.9%14.6%21.5%24.1%Mar 25Mar 26
Foreign institutions cut 13.8 points over 5 quarters Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 6 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
42%34%26%18%9.3%%39.9%11.6%24.0%24.5%Mar 25Sep 25Jun 26
42%34%26%18%9.3%%39.9%11.6%24.0%24.5%Mar 25Sep 25Jun 26
14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

ITC Hotels Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

15 · Related companies · Hotels
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Chalet Hotels LtdCHALET 71.3/100Favorable setup94% evidence BREAKING OUT 25.4/35 Revenue 6% · PAT 85.3% · OPM change 6 pp 100% evidence 15.9/25 ROCE 17% · OPM 46% 100% evidence 16.1/20 P/E 35.9× · PEG 0.83 100% evidence 13.9/20 RS sector 3.6% · RS bench 4.9% · 1Y -14.1%4 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 25.4 + 15.9 + 16.1 + 13.9 = 71.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
2Asian Hotels (West) LtdAHLWEST 66.2/100Favorable setup74% evidence ASLEEP 26.6/35 Revenue 8.5% · PAT 100% · OPM change 2 pp 95% evidence 19.9/25 ROCE 19.7% · OPM 40% 95% evidence 11.4/20 P/E 6.5× · PEG — 15% evidence 8.3/20 RS sector -25% · RS bench 35.5% · 1Y —5 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 26.6 + 19.9 + 11.4 + 8.3 = 66.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3Oriental Hotels LtdORIENTHOT 62.7/100Mixed-positive evidence93% evidence LEADER 17.4/35 Revenue 6.9% · PAT 41.1% · OPM change -2.8 pp 100% evidence 11.4/25 ROCE 12.1% · OPM 21% 100% evidence 14.0/20 P/E 37.6× · PEG 0.66 65% evidence 19.9/20 RS sector 24.4% · RS bench 25.2% · 1Y 0.8%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.4 + 11.4 + 14 + 19.9 = 62.7 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 25.2%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
4Indian Hotels Co LtdINDHOTEL 61.3/100Mixed-positive evidence82% evidence BREAKING OUT 20.2/35 Revenue 13.2% · PAT 9.5% · OPM change 1 pp 95% evidence 17.1/25 ROCE 17.1% · OPM 29% 76% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 52.6× · PEG — 50% evidence 13.9/20 RS sector 3.7% · RS bench 4.7% · 1Y -7.3%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.2 + 17.1 + 10.1 + 13.9 = 61.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
5Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts LtdTHELEELA 59.9/100Mixed-positive evidence93% evidence LEADER 24.6/35 Revenue 19.1% · PAT 100% · OPM change -1 pp 100% evidence 9.3/25 ROCE 8.7% · OPM 36% 100% evidence 7.6/20 P/E 40.4× · PEG 1.65 65% evidence 18.4/20 RS sector 21.4% · RS bench 22.8% · 1Y 32%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 24.6 + 9.3 + 7.6 + 18.4 = 59.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
6Travel Food Services LtdTRAVELFOOD 58.1/100Mixed-positive evidence69% evidence FADING 16.2/35 Revenue 4.4% · PAT 17.4% · OPM change -3 pp 95% evidence 21.2/25 ROCE 42.4% · OPM 36% 76% evidence 9.5/20 P/E 34.7× · PEG — 15% evidence 11.2/20 RS sector -0.2% · RS bench 0.8% · 1Y -4.2%3 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 16.2 + 21.2 + 9.5 + 11.2 = 58.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
7TajGVK Hotels & Resorts LtdTAJGVK 56.4/100Mixed-positive evidence87% evidence FADING 21.3/35 Revenue 22.5% · PAT 100% · OPM change 0 pp 100% evidence 12.9/25 ROCE 13.3% · OPM 30% 100% evidence 14.3/20 P/E 14.6× · PEG 0.85 65% evidence 7.9/20 RS sector -3.6% · RS bench -6.5% · 1Y -24.2%6 of 11 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 21.3 + 12.9 + 14.3 + 7.9 = 56.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
8Benares Hotels LtdBENARAS 52.8/100Mixed-positive evidence76% evidence 9.1/35 Revenue 7.7% · PAT -1.1% · OPM change -3.3 pp 95% evidence 21.0/25 ROCE 29.8% · OPM 36.9% 76% evidence 6.8/20 P/E 32.7× · PEG — 50% evidence 15.9/20 RS sector 12.1% · RS bench 14.3% · 1Y 18.8%4 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 9.1 + 21 + 6.8 + 15.9 = 52.8 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 14.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
9Juniper Hotels LtdJUNIPER 52.4/100Mixed-positive evidence93% evidence TURNING 23.3/35 Revenue 11.4% · PAT 100% · OPM change -1 pp 100% evidence 6.4/25 ROCE 8% · OPM 35% 100% evidence 10.3/20 P/E 26.5× · PEG 1.48 65% evidence 12.4/20 RS sector -1.7% · RS bench -1.2% · 1Y -23.8%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.3 + 6.4 + 10.3 + 12.4 = 52.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
10Lemon Tree Hotels LtdLEMONTREE 51.0/100Mixed-positive evidence69% evidence BASING 18.9/35 Revenue 10.4% · PAT 9.6% · OPM change -1 pp 95% evidence 16.4/25 ROCE 14.1% · OPM 43% 76% evidence 9.9/20 P/E 32.4× · PEG — 15% evidence 5.8/20 RS sector -8.5% · RS bench -18.2% · 1Y -40.2%0 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 18.9 + 16.4 + 9.9 + 5.8 = 51 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
11ITC Hotels Ltdthis pageITCHOTELS 50.8/100Mixed-positive evidence93% evidence BREAKING OUT 23.4/35 Revenue 16.1% · PAT 26.9% · OPM change 1 pp 100% evidence 10.7/25 ROCE 11.2% · OPM 31% 100% evidence 11.2/20 P/E 34.7× · PEG 1.15 65% evidence 5.5/20 RS sector -13.7% · RS bench -13.3% · 1Y -37%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.4 + 10.7 + 11.2 + 5.5 = 50.8 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -13.7% and the one-year return is -37%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
12Kamat Hotels (India) LtdKAMATHOTEL 48.5/100Mixed-negative evidence81% evidence BREAKING OUT 13.4/35 Revenue 7.6% · PAT -11.5% · OPM change 5.3 pp 95% evidence 16.9/25 ROCE 15.8% · OPM 27.2% 95% evidence 10.6/20 P/E 15.8× · PEG — 50% evidence 7.6/20 RS sector -20.6% · RS bench 7.5% · 1Y -29.3%7 of 11 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 13.4 + 16.9 + 10.6 + 7.6 = 48.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
13Advent Hotels International LtdADVENTHTL 46.3/100Mixed-negative evidence60% evidence TURNING 16.7/35 Revenue 3.5% · PAT -29.3% · OPM change 6.1 pp 95% evidence 8.5/25 ROCE 6.8% · OPM 32.6% 95% evidence 11.1/20 P/E 14.3× · PEG — 15% evidence 10.0/20 RS sector — · RS bench — · 1Y —0 of 10 weeks ahead 0% evidence
Exact sum: 16.7 + 8.5 + 11.1 + 10 = 46.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
14EIH LtdEIHOTEL 46.2/100Mixed-negative evidence82% evidence BASING 12.1/35 Revenue 8.3% · PAT 4.2% · OPM change -3 pp 95% evidence 18.3/25 ROCE 20.7% · OPM 25% 76% evidence 13.3/20 P/E 24.7× · PEG — 50% evidence 2.5/20 RS sector -14.2% · RS bench -13.6% · 1Y -30.3%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 12.1 + 18.3 + 13.3 + 2.5 = 46.2 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
15U P Hotels LtdUPHOT 46.1/100Mixed-negative evidence76% evidence 7.1/35 Revenue 1.4% · PAT -6% · OPM change -6.5 pp 95% evidence 16.5/25 ROCE 21.7% · OPM 11.2% 76% evidence 10.9/20 P/E 25.6× · PEG — 50% evidence 11.6/20 RS sector 1.2% · RS bench -0.1% · 1Y -14.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 7.1 + 16.5 + 10.9 + 11.6 = 46.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
16Ventive Hospitality LtdVENTIVE 45.5/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence BASING 20.9/35 Revenue 25% · PAT 100% · OPM change -6 pp 95% evidence 12.3/25 ROCE 10.8% · OPM 35% 76% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 27.7× · PEG — 15% evidence 2.2/20 RS sector -14% · RS bench -13.3% · 1Y -20.7%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.9 + 12.3 + 10.1 + 2.2 = 45.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
17Asian Hotels (North) LtdASIANHOTNR 42.9/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence TURNING 14.0/35 Revenue 24.7% · PAT -80% · OPM change -3.6 pp 44% evidence 4.5/25 ROCE 3.5% · OPM 17.5% 95% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 120× · PEG — 15% evidence 15.9/20 RS sector 8.5% · RS bench 23.3% · 1Y 15%2 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14 + 4.5 + 8.5 + 15.9 = 42.9 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
18Samhi Hotels LtdSAMHI 42.7/100Mixed-negative evidence83% evidence ASLEEP 19.2/35 Revenue 11.9% · PAT 100% · OPM change -1 pp 100% evidence 6.5/25 ROCE 8.9% · OPM 32% 100% evidence 11.2/20 P/E 8.3× · PEG — 15% evidence 5.8/20 RS sector -8.1% · RS bench -7.5% · 1Y -27.6%7 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.2 + 6.5 + 11.2 + 5.8 = 42.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
19Sayaji Hotels LtdSAYAJIHOTL 42.2/100Mixed-negative evidence63% evidence BREAKING OUT 12.7/35 Revenue -8.6% · PAT 79.7% · OPM change 3.3 pp 71% evidence 4.3/25 ROCE -0.5% · OPM 13.3% 95% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 15.2/20 RS sector 8.5% · RS bench 11.3% · 1Y 8%8 of 11 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 12.7 + 4.3 + 10 + 15.2 = 42.2 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 11.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
20Viceroy Hotels LtdVHLTD 40.0/100Mixed-negative evidence79% evidence ASLEEP 20.7/35 Revenue 24.4% · PAT -69.2% · OPM change 10.8 pp 71% evidence 8.0/25 ROCE 7.1% · OPM 25.6% 95% evidence 7.8/20 P/E 40.1× · PEG — 50% evidence 3.5/20 RS sector -10.1% · RS bench -4% · 1Y 2.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.7 + 8 + 7.8 + 3.5 = 40 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
21EIH Associated Hotels LtdEIHAHOTELS 38.5/100Mixed-negative evidence87% evidence BASING 7.2/35 Revenue -7.6% · PAT -7% · OPM change -2.2 pp 95% evidence 14.6/25 ROCE 21.2% · OPM 10.8% 95% evidence 13.4/20 P/E 19.5× · PEG — 50% evidence 3.3/20 RS sector -13.4% · RS bench -12.7% · 1Y -29.7%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 7.2 + 14.6 + 13.4 + 3.3 = 38.5 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
22Royal Orchid Hotels LtdROHLTD 37.7/100Mixed-negative evidence81% evidence BASING 12.5/35 Revenue 26.9% · PAT -42.1% · OPM change -1.2 pp 95% evidence 11.9/25 ROCE 10.8% · OPM 23.7% 95% evidence 7.9/20 P/E 31.5× · PEG — 50% evidence 5.4/20 RS sector -9.8% · RS bench -16.4% · 1Y -43.6%0 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 12.5 + 11.9 + 7.9 + 5.4 = 37.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
23Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotels LtdPARKHOTELS 32.1/100Adverse evidence87% evidence BASING 12.3/35 Revenue 10.5% · PAT -36.4% · OPM change -1 pp 100% evidence 9.2/25 ROCE 9.4% · OPM 28% 100% evidence 4.2/20 P/E 36.7× · PEG 3.5 65% evidence 6.4/20 RS sector -9.8% · RS bench -11.5% · 1Y -28.1%1 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 12.3 + 9.2 + 4.2 + 6.4 = 32.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
24HLV LtdHLVLTD 41.2/100Thin evidence · provisional38% evidence 17.9/35 Revenue -26.1% · PAT 100% · OPM change — 16% evidence 8.8/25 ROCE 7.8% · OPM -39% 60% evidence 11.5/20 P/E 2.8× · PEG — 15% evidence 3.0/20 RS sector -29.5% · RS bench -24.8% · 1Y -39.4%1 of 2 weeks ahead to 2026-07-19 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.9 + 8.8 + 11.5 + 3 = 41.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is ITC Hotels Ltd's share price today?

ITC Hotels Ltd trades at ₹154, −37.9% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹32,014 Cr. The stock sits at 16% of its 52-week range of ₹142–₹217, −11.3% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 39 weeks in. — as of 11 September 2026.

What were ITC Hotels Ltd's latest quarterly results?

ITC Hotels Ltd reported revenue of ₹936 Cr and net profit of ₹182 Cr for the Jun 26 quarter. Revenue rose 14.7% and profit rose 35.8% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹0.87. The operating margin was 31.0%, 1.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is ITC Hotels Ltd's revenue?

ITC Hotels Ltd reported revenue of ₹936 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter, +14.7% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹4,139 Cr (+16.3%). Over the last 2 years revenue compounded at 36.4% a year. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is ITC Hotels Ltd's profit?

ITC Hotels Ltd earned ₹182 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +35.8% year on year — the 5th straight quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹821 Cr. The operating margin ran 31.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is ITC Hotels Ltd's market cap?

ITC Hotels Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹32,014 Cr at a share price of ₹154. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is ITC Hotels Ltd's P/E ratio?

ITC Hotels Ltd trades at a P/E of 34.7×, at the cheapest it has been in 1 years, against a long-run median of 46.0×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 11 September 2026.

Does ITC Hotels Ltd pay a dividend?

No — ITC Hotels Ltd has recorded a dividend payout of 0% of profit in each of its last 3 reported fiscal years, so there is no payout history to quote. That is a reading of the filed annual statements, not an estimate. — as of 11 September 2026.

Is ITC Hotels Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, ITC Hotels Ltd looks cheap: its P/E of 34.7× has been cheaper only 0% of the time in 1 years (long-run median 46.0×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 11 September 2026.

Is ITC Hotels Ltd growing?

Yes — ITC Hotels Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +14.7% year on year, profit +35.8%, and the margin +1.0 pp at 31.0%. The 2-year compound rates are 36.4% (revenue) and 39.2% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 11 September 2026.

How is ITC Hotels Ltd performing?

ITC Hotels Ltd is in a downtrend, 39 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 14.7% and profit rose 35.8% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 2 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 11 September 2026.

Is ITC Hotels Ltd in an uptrend?

No — the price is in a downtrend (week 39 of stage 4), trading −11.3% versus its 200-day average and at 16% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 11 September 2026.

Is ITC Hotels Ltd beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view ITC Hotels Ltd is currently behind the NIFTY 500 (2 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-08-28), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.6 years the stock moved −10% against the NIFTY 500's +5% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 11 September 2026.

Will ITC Hotels Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for ITC Hotels Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹154, the price is in a downtrend 39 weeks in. Its P/E of 34.7× sits at the 0th percentile of its own 1-year range. — as of 11 September 2026.

Who owns ITC Hotels Ltd?

Promoters hold 39.9% of ITC Hotels Ltd, foreign institutions 11.6%, domestic institutions 24.0% and the public 24.5% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Foreign institutions cut 13.8 points over 5 quarters. — as of 11 September 2026.

Does ITC Hotels Ltd have too much debt?

No — ITC Hotels Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.01, and operating profit covers the interest bill 27×. FY26 borrowings were ₹74.0 Cr against equity of ₹11,658 Cr. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 11 September 2026.

What is ITC Hotels Ltd's capex?

ITC Hotels Ltd spent ₹911 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 2 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹366 Cr, with ₹207 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is ITC Hotels Ltd's cash flow?

ITC Hotels Ltd generated ₹1,110 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹744 Cr of free cash flow after ₹366 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹821 Cr, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 11 September 2026.

Is ITC Hotels Ltd's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 137% of ITC Hotels Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹1,110 Cr against reported profit of ₹821 Cr. The cash then goes into a mix of the working-capital cycle and capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 11 September 2026.

Where is ITC Hotels Ltd in its business cycle?

ITC Hotels Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 36.0%, against a 3-year band of 35.0%–36.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 31.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 11 September 2026.

What growth does ITC Hotels Ltd's price assume?

At its price on 13 June 2026, ITC Hotels Ltd was priced for profit growth of about 23.3% a year. Profit itself has compounded 39.2% a year over the past 2 years. The figure reads the multiple backwards: the growth a buyer at that price was already paying for. — as of 11 September 2026.

What could break the ITC Hotels Ltd story?

The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved +28.5% against a −37.9% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 11 September 2026.

Is ITC Hotels Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: ITC Hotels Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +28.5% in a year against a −37.9% price move. The sharpest open question: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 11 September 2026.

Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-09-11. Every chart on this page is drawn by deterministic code from the raw series — no forecasts, no price opinions, and nothing here is investment advice.

Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!

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