Swan Corp Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Swan Corp Ltd trades at ₹296, in a downtrend and 81 weeks into that stage. That is −15.6% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 8% of a 52-week range of ₹282 to ₹470. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (37 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 81 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹296 it trades −15.6% versus its 200-day average and sits at 8% of its 52-week range (₹282–₹470).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.5 years the stock moved +369% while the NIFTY 500 moved +267% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (37 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-01-16) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Swan Corp Ltd trades at 41.6× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 32% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 62.9×, measured across 10.5 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 41.6× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 32% of the time, against a long-run median of 62.9× measured over 10.5 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −63.7% against a −36.5% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 10y, of the +16.8%/yr price move, ~+50.4%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−33.6 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

A quarterly PEG curve, which only the second data source carries, is not drawn on this page: its two data sources disagree by up to 837% on reported income across 14 comparable periods. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

What the price assumes This reading works the multiple backwards. It asks one question: what yearly rate of profit growth is a buyer at the market price already paying for? The number is the growth rate that makes eleven years of profit — six years growing, then five fading — add up to that day's market price, once each year is discounted at 11% a year.

Solved at its 13 June 2026 price, Swan Corp Ltd was paying for profit growth of about 24.1% a year. Today the market pays 41.6× P/E, the 32nd percentile of its own 11-year range.

What the two numbers say together. The multiple is low against its own past, and the growth the price is paying for is the whole of what a buyer is backing.

How to hold this number: it is a reading of one day's price, taken on 13 June 2026, not a running figure — every other number on this page, the multiple included, is read off the live quote as of 11 September 2026. A higher price is paying for more growth and a lower price for less, so it moves whenever the price does, and this page does not restate it between measurements.

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Swan Corp Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — revenue, profit and EPS growth are shrinking (revenue growth −16.7% latest against +68.7% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE slipping at -1.0%. The read is built from 8 quarters across 4 curves, on partial evidence.

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

4-Factor Sector Score

29.0/100 — rank 16 of 20 in Diversified · 69% evidence confidence

Swan Corp Ltd scores 29.0 out of 100 against the 20 companies it is compared with in Diversified, ranking 16. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 8.7 + 5.7 + 9.8 + 4.8 = 29. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Swan Corp Ltd reported ₹1,014 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, −16.4% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at 29.4% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹4,371 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹4,172 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹4,371 Cr (−11.5% on the year), capping 10 years at 29.4% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹1,014 Cr, −16.4% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged −11.1% growth against the decade's 29.4% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew −16.7% over the last 4 quarters against −11.7%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit −67.2% vs −45.9%/yr — rolling over.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Swan Corp Ltd's operating margin is −0.4% in the Jun 26 quarter, −2.6 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −4.7% to 21.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −0.4%, −2.6 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −4.7%–21.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −2.6 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.2 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Swan Corp Ltd posted a net loss of ₹36.0 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹271 Cr. That loss is 3.6% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹27.0 Cr. 4 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Jun 26 profit was ₹−36.0 Cr, −233.3% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹271 Cr (−69.0%).

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed −16.4% and the margin −2.6 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −147.5% vs revenue −11.1%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years −30% of Swan Corp Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY26 that was ₹−14.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹271 Cr of profit. After ₹323 Cr of capital spending, ₹−337 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹−14.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹271 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−337 Cr after ₹323 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is −30% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

🚨 Why conversion sits at −30%: the cash cycle tightened 74 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 1.8× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Swan Corp Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 185 days in FY26, down from 259 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹711 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹4,371 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹12.0 Cr, so roughly ₹2,215 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 188 days, inventory at 103 days — roughly 3.4 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 185 days, tighter than FY21's 259.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 103 days to sell; customers pay about 188 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 106 days — netting out to the 185-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹4,371 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹12.0 Cr — so the 185-day loop keeps roughly ₹2,215 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹711 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹386 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹3,997 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Swan Corp Ltd earns a ROCE of −1% in FY26. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 6.2% net margin on 0.32× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is −1%.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 6.2% net margin × 0.32× asset turns × 1.84× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 3.7% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The quarterly return curves and the return-on-invested-capital overlay, which only the second data source carries, are not drawn on this page: its two data sources disagree by up to 837% on reported income across 14 comparable periods. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Swan Corp Ltd carries ₹2,130 Cr of borrowings against ₹7,536 Cr of equity in FY26, a debt-to-equity of 0.28. Operating profit covers the interest bill −3×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹3,077 Cr to ₹2,130 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹711 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY26: borrowings of ₹2,130 Cr against equity of ₹7,536 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.28. Operating profit covers the interest bill −3×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹3,077 Cr to ₹2,130 Cr while capital spending ran ₹711 Cr in just the last 3 — the build-out is being paid for out of cash, not debt.

The total-debt and debt-to-equity series, which only the second data source carries, are not drawn on this page: its two data sources disagree by up to 837% on reported income across 14 comparable periods. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Domestic institutions cut 1.9 points of Swan Corp Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes domestic institutions to 12.9% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −1.5 points over the same window, to 10.3%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: −1.9 points over 8 quarters to 12.9%; Foreign institutions: −1.5 points over 8 quarters to 10.3%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 54.0%.

🚨 Why the register moved: domestic institutions drove it (−1.9 points), alongside foreign institutions (−1.5 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Swan Corp Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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