Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-31
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-31

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd

HGINFRA
Infra - Construction & Contracting

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the P/E sits at the 79th percentile of its own range — the multiple has already done part of the work.

The price is in a downtrend (76 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 79th percentile of its own 8-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read deteriorating — profit −42.2% year on year, and −68% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Stage
Deteriorating
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
₹539
−47.6% 1Y
P/E
13.3×
79th pctile
of its own 8-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
₹1,427 Cr
+4.8% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
₹85.0 Cr
−42.2% YoY
Operating margin
17.0%
−1.0 pp YoY
ROCE
11%
FY26
ROIC
7.4%
vs WACC 12.0% → −4.6 pp
Cash conversion
−68%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd trades at ₹539, in a downtrend and 76 weeks into that stage. That is −20.3% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 14% of a 52-week range of ₹461 to ₹1,005. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (8 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 76 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹539 it trades −20.3% versus its 200-day average and sits at 14% of its 52-week range (₹461–₹1,005).

Jul 26: ₹539 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−20.3% versus the 200-day line, week 76 of stage 4
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S2S2S4₹1,868₹1,490₹1,112₹735₹357₹539₹675Jul 23May 24Feb 25Nov 25Jul 26
S2S2S4₹1,868₹1,490₹1,112₹735₹357₹539₹675Jul 23Feb 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2018 Each cell is one week from 2018 to now (442 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Mar 18Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 8.4 years the stock moved +101% while the NIFTY 500 moved +156% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (8 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-19) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd trades at 13.3× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (79th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 11.2×, measured across 8.4 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 13.3× is at the pricey end of its own range (79th percentile), against a long-run median of 11.2× measured over 8.4 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 13.3× vs a 11.2× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 8.4-year window; loss-period spikes above 20× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
at the pricey end of its own range (79th percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
20.5×₹90.616.9×₹68.013.2×₹45.39.5×₹22.75.9×₹0.0×13.30×₹41Mar 18Apr 20Jun 22Jul 24Jul 26
20.5×₹90.616.9×₹68.013.2×₹45.39.5×₹22.75.9×₹0.0×13.30×₹41Mar 18Jun 22Jul 26
PEG 1.25 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 20 quarters.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
1.3×1.0×0.7×0.5×0.2××1.25×Q1 FY22Q1 FY23Q2 FY24Q3 FY25Q4 FY26
1.3×1.0×0.7×0.5×0.2××1.25×Q1 FY22Q2 FY24Q4 FY26
P/E
13.3×
79th percentile of 8y
PEG
1.01
derived from 3-year earnings growth

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −34.6% against a −47.6% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +0.4%/yr price move, ~+2.1%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−1.7 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: Deteriorating

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −34.8% latest against +38.4% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE slipping at 14.4%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +3.5% in FY26, profit −34.7% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
112%256%80%172%49%88%17%4.4%−15%−80%%%3.5%−34.7%FY16FY21FY26
112%256%80%172%49%88%17%4.4%−15%−80%%%3.5%−34.7%FY16FY21FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue accelerating, profit rolling over
RevenueProfitEPS
31%44%20%23%9.1%1.9%−1.9%−19%−13%−41%%%3.5%−34.8%−34.6%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
31%44%20%23%9.1%1.9%−1.9%−19%−13%−41%%%3.5%−34.8%−34.6%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
33%28%23%18%13%%14.4%Jun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
33%28%23%18%13%%14.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Rising
latest +3.5% · span −9.8% to +27.9%
Profit growth
Falling
latest −34.8% · span −34.8% to +38.4%
EPS growth
Falling
latest −34.6% · span −34.6% to +38.5%
ROCE
Falling
latest 14.4% · span 14.4%–31.3%

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+3.5%+4.2%+14.9%+21.6%
Profit−34.7%−12.5%+6.8%+27.1%
EPS−34.6%−12.5%+6.9%+11.7%
Share price−47.6%−16.9%+0.4%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+4.8%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Mar 26)
−42.2%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
21.6%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

38.1/100 — rank 14 of 17 in Infra - Construction & Contracting · 90% evidence confidence

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd scores 38.1 out of 100 against the 17 companies it is compared with in Infra - Construction & Contracting, ranking 14. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 14.7 + 12.2 + 6.7 + 4.5 = 38.1. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd reported ₹1,427 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +4.8% year on year. That is the 3rd straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 21.6% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹5,235 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹5,234 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹5,235 Cr (+3.5% on the year), capping 10 years at 21.6% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹1,427 Cr, +4.8% year on year — the 3rd consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹5,235 Cr (+3.5% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
21.6% a year over 10 years
RevenueYoY growth
5.8k112%4.4k80%2.9k49%1.5k17%0−15%₹ Cr%₹5,2353.5%FY16FY21FY26
5.8k112%4.4k80%2.9k49%1.5k17%0−15%₹ Cr%₹5,2353.5%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹1,427 Cr (+4.8% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
3rd straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.8k26%1.4k13%9220.9%461−11%0−24%₹ Cr%₹1,4274.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.8k26%1.4k13%9220.9%461−11%0−24%₹ Cr%₹1,4274.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +3.6% growth against the decade's 21.6% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +3.5% over the last 4 quarters against −1.4%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit −34.8% vs −21.7%/yr — rolling over.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's operating margin is 17.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −1.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 11.0% to 21.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 17.0%, −1.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 11.0%–21.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −1.0 pp year on year while gross margin went −0.5 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY26: 19.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 13-year window.
within a 11.0–21.0% band over 13 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
22%3.4%19%1.9%16%0.5%13%−0.9%10%−2.4%%%19%−2%FY14FY20FY26
22%3.4%19%1.9%16%0.5%13%−0.9%10%−2.4%%%19%−2%FY14FY20FY26
Mar 26: 17.0% operating margin (−1.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
25%6.7%23%4.1%21%1.5%18%−1.1%16%−3.7%%%17%−1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
25%6.7%23%4.1%21%1.5%18%−1.1%16%−3.7%%%17%−1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd earned ₹85.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −42.2% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹330 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 27.1%. That is 6.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹147 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹85.0 Cr, −42.2% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹330 Cr (−34.7%), and the 10-year compound rate is 27.1%.

FY26 profit ₹330 Cr (−34.7% YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
27.1% a year over 10 years
Net profitYoY growth
582255%437177%29199%14622%0−56%₹ Cr%₹330−34.7%FY16FY21FY26
582255%437177%29199%14622%0−56%₹ Cr%₹330−34.7%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹85.0 Cr (−42.2% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
20544%15421%103−2.3%51−25%0−49%₹ Cr%₹85−42.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
20544%15421%103−2.3%51−25%0−49%₹ Cr%₹85−42.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed +4.8% and the margin −1.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −33.9% vs revenue +3.6%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years −68% of H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY26 that was ₹250 Cr of operating cash against ₹330 Cr of profit. After ₹971 Cr of capital spending, ₹−721 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹250 Cr against reported profit of ₹330 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−721 Cr after ₹971 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is −68% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹250 Cr vs profit ₹330 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 10-year window, annual resolution. FY18 reflects an acquisition year — point shown clipped.
−68% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
782−99−980−1.9k−2.7k₹ Cr₹250₹330₹−721FY17FY21FY26
782−99−980−1.9k−2.7k₹ Cr₹250₹330₹−721FY17FY21FY26
FY26: CFO = 76% of profit (three-year rate −68%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash.
Conversion100%
145%59%−27%−112%−198%%76%FY17FY21FY26
145%59%−27%−112%−198%%76%FY17FY21FY26

🚨 Why conversion sits at −68%: the cash cycle tightened 176 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 6.1× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs −171 days in FY26, down from 5 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹2,783 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹5,235 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹14.3 Cr, so roughly ₹−2,453 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 55 days, inventory at 73 days — roughly 2.4 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of −171 days, tighter than FY21's 5.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 73 days to sell; customers pay about 55 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 299 days — netting out to the −171-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹5,235 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹14.3 Cr — so the −171-day loop keeps roughly ₹−2,453 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a −171-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 11-year window.
−176 days vs FY21
Cash cycleInventory daysDebtor daysPayable days
33720064−72−209days−171d73d55d299dFY16FY18FY21FY23FY26
33720064−72−209days−171d73d55d299dFY16FY21FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹2,783 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹453 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹740 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹971 Cr, work-in-progress ₹740 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
a build-out
CapexWork-in-progress
1.8k1.3k8764380₹ Cr₹971₹740FY17FY19FY21FY23FY26
1.8k1.3k8764380₹ Cr₹971₹740FY17FY21FY26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd earns a ROCE of 11% in FY26. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −4.6 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 6.3% net margin on 0.48× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 11%.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 6.3% net margin × 0.48× asset turns × 3.32× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 10.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 7.4% − 12.0% = a −4.6 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY26: ROCE 11% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 10-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the full ladder
ROCEROIC (annual)WACC
35%28%21%13%6.2%%11%8.2%FY17FY21FY26
35%28%21%13%6.2%%11%8.2%FY17FY21FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 13.2% (TTM) vs WACC 12.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROCE and ROIC, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)ROIC (TTM)WACC
30%25%19%14%8.1%%13.2%9.6%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
30%25%19%14%8.1%%13.2%9.6%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
11 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd carries total debt of ₹5,029 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹3,281 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 1.53. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.82 in FY22 to 1.53 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹5,029 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹3,281 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 1.53. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.82 (FY22) to 1.53 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY26: debt ₹5,029 Cr at 1.53× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
5.4k1.6×4.1k1.3×2.7k1.1×1.4k0.8×00.5×₹ Cr×₹5,0291.53×FY22FY24FY26
5.4k1.6×4.1k1.3×2.7k1.1×1.4k0.8×00.5×₹ Cr×₹5,0291.53×FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: debt ₹5,029 Cr, debt-to-equity 1.53 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
6.1k1.9×4.6k1.6×3.1k1.2×1.5k0.9×00.5×₹ Cr×₹5,0291.53×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
6.1k1.9×4.6k1.6×3.1k1.2×1.5k0.9×00.5×₹ Cr×₹5,0291.53×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
12 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters cut 2.8 points of H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 71.8% of the company. Domestic institutions moved −2.0 points over the same window, to 10.1%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −2.8 points over 8 quarters to 71.8%; Domestic institutions: −2.0 points over 8 quarters to 10.1%; Foreign institutions: −0.7 points over 8 quarters to 1.4%.

🚨 Why the register moved: promoters drove it (−2.8 points), alongside domestic institutions (−2.0 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters −2.8 pts from Mar 24 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 3 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
80%59%38%17%−4.5%%71.8%1.4%10.7%16.2%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
80%59%38%17%−4.5%%71.8%1.4%10.7%16.2%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
Promoters cut 2.8 points over 8 quarters Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 13 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
80%59%38%17%−4.5%%71.8%1.4%10.1%16.7%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
80%59%38%17%−4.5%%71.8%1.4%10.1%16.7%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
13 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd: the Z-score reads 1.66. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of 1.66 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 1.66.

14 · Related companies · Infra - Construction & Contracting
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Cemindia Projects LtdCEMPRO 64.3/100Mixed-positive evidence100% evidence LEADER 25.5/35 Revenue 8.9% · PAT 47.2% · OPM change 1 pp 100% evidence 16.9/25 ROCE 32.8% · OPM 10% 100% evidence 1.9/20 P/E 39.1× · PEG 5.81 100% evidence 20.0/20 RS sector 73.3% · RS bench 60% · 1Y 77.4%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 25.5 + 16.9 + 1.9 + 20 = 64.3 · Decision use: Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence.
2NBCC (India) LtdNBCC 58.8/100Mixed-positive evidence72% evidence TURNING 19.7/35 Revenue 7% · PAT 33.4% · OPM change 0 pp 83% evidence 17.7/25 ROCE 31% · OPM 6% 76% evidence 9.6/20 P/E 38.7× · PEG — 50% evidence 11.8/20 RS sector 5% · RS bench -8.6% · 1Y -13.2%5 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 19.7 + 17.7 + 9.6 + 11.8 = 58.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3Patel Engineering LtdPATELENG 57.1/100Mixed-positive evidence90% evidence ASLEEP 17.6/35 Revenue 0.1% · PAT 8.9% · OPM change 1 pp 88% evidence 14.6/25 ROCE 13.5% · OPM 15% 100% evidence 17.8/20 P/E 6.8× · PEG 0.21 100% evidence 7.1/20 RS sector -5.5% · RS bench -12.6% · 1Y -27.8%2 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.6 + 14.6 + 17.8 + 7.1 = 57.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
4Larsen & Toubro LtdLT 54.5/100Mixed-positive evidence82% evidence FADING 19.3/35 Revenue 9.8% · PAT 5.8% · OPM change -1 pp 95% evidence 15.5/25 ROCE 14.6% · OPM 12% 76% evidence 8.2/20 P/E 30.8× · PEG — 50% evidence 11.5/20 RS sector 7% · RS bench -0.6% · 1Y 14.4%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.3 + 15.5 + 8.2 + 11.5 = 54.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
5SPML Infra LtdSPMLINFRA 52.4/100Mixed-positive evidence70% evidence ASLEEP 25.3/35 Revenue 12.2% · PAT 54.2% · OPM change 2 pp 83% evidence 5.4/25 ROCE 6.8% · OPM 7% 95% evidence 10.2/20 P/E 21.8× · PEG — 15% evidence 11.5/20 RS sector 4.6% · RS bench -8.6% · 1Y -29.5%7 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 25.3 + 5.4 + 10.2 + 11.5 = 52.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
6Hindustan Construction Company LtdHCC 50.5/100Mixed-positive evidence83% evidence ASLEEP 11.2/35 Revenue -29.2% · PAT 46.9% · OPM change -4 pp 88% evidence 18.9/25 ROCE 24.8% · OPM 17% 100% evidence 11.0/20 P/E 31.2× · PEG 1.3 65% evidence 9.4/20 RS sector -6.8% · RS bench 0.5% · 1Y -5%8 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 11.2 + 18.9 + 11 + 9.4 = 50.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
7Ramky Infrastructure LtdRAMKY 49.9/100Mixed-negative evidence65% evidence ASLEEP 12.1/35 Revenue -9.6% · PAT 40.1% · OPM change -1.2 pp 62% evidence 11.5/25 ROCE 13.7% · OPM -0.8% 76% evidence 14.3/20 P/E 11.6× · PEG — 50% evidence 12.0/20 RS sector 14.7% · RS bench -26.8% · 1Y -34.4%0 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 12.1 + 11.5 + 14.3 + 12 = 49.9 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
8PNC Infratech LtdPNCINFRA 46.2/100Mixed-negative evidence90% evidence TURNING 9.2/35 Revenue -20.7% · PAT 2.2% · OPM change -4 pp 88% evidence 11.7/25 ROCE 8.5% · OPM 17% 100% evidence 16.7/20 P/E 14.1× · PEG 0.17 100% evidence 8.6/20 RS sector -12% · RS bench -0.5% · 1Y -19%6 of 11 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 9.2 + 11.7 + 16.7 + 8.6 = 46.2 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
9IRB Infrastructure Developers LtdIRB 43.8/100Mixed-negative evidence82% evidence ASLEEP 16.5/35 Revenue -2.2% · PAT -80% · OPM change 9 pp 95% evidence 10.6/25 ROCE 7.5% · OPM 54% 76% evidence 9.7/20 P/E 24.6× · PEG — 50% evidence 7.0/20 RS sector 0.3% · RS bench -7.1% · 1Y -14%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.5 + 10.6 + 9.7 + 7 = 43.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
10Simplex Infrastructures LtdSIMPLEXINF 42.6/100Mixed-negative evidence77% evidence ASLEEP 23.8/35 Revenue -5% · PAT 100% · OPM change 3 pp 83% evidence 6.6/25 ROCE 2.4% · OPM 8% 95% evidence 5.5/20 P/E 47.4× · PEG — 50% evidence 6.7/20 RS sector -19.1% · RS bench -5.9% · 1Y -22.9%8 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 23.8 + 6.6 + 5.5 + 6.7 = 42.6 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -19.1% and the one-year return is -22.9%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
11Hazoor Multi Projects Ltd532467 42.2/100Mixed-negative evidence71% evidence ASLEEP 16.7/35 Revenue -9.1% · PAT 5% · OPM change 62 pp 83% evidence 13.5/25 ROCE 12% · OPM 80% 76% evidence 10.7/20 P/E 14.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 1.3/20 RS sector -25.8% · RS bench -32.1% · 1Y -44.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.7 + 13.5 + 10.7 + 1.3 = 42.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
12Likhitha Infrastructure LtdLIKHITHA 41.4/100Mixed-negative evidence77% evidence TURNING 7.7/35 Revenue -12% · PAT -44.3% · OPM change -11.7 pp 83% evidence 11.4/25 ROCE 13.7% · OPM 6% 95% evidence 7.2/20 P/E 22.2× · PEG — 50% evidence 15.1/20 RS sector 6.4% · RS bench 3.9% · 1Y -19%7 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 7.7 + 11.4 + 7.2 + 15.1 = 41.4 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 3.9%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
13KNR Constructions LtdKNRCON 41.1/100Mixed-negative evidence72% evidence ASLEEP 9.2/35 Revenue -43.2% · PAT -56.4% · OPM change 1 pp 83% evidence 12.1/25 ROCE 10.4% · OPM 24% 76% evidence 14.0/20 P/E 7.8× · PEG — 50% evidence 5.8/20 RS sector -16.5% · RS bench -20.8% · 1Y -43.8%2 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 9.2 + 12.1 + 14 + 5.8 = 41.1 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
14H.G. Infra Engineering Ltdthis pageHGINFRA 38.1/100Mixed-negative evidence90% evidence ASLEEP 14.7/35 Revenue 3.5% · PAT -34.8% · OPM change -1 pp 88% evidence 12.2/25 ROCE 11.3% · OPM 17% 100% evidence 6.7/20 P/E 13.3× · PEG 3.17 100% evidence 4.5/20 RS sector -27.1% · RS bench -25.6% · 1Y -49.3%4 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14.7 + 12.2 + 6.7 + 4.5 = 38.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
15Rail Vikas Nigam LtdRVNL 35.4/100Mixed-negative evidence83% evidence ASLEEP 11.8/35 Revenue 2.5% · PAT -31.9% · OPM change -3 pp 88% evidence 7.6/25 ROCE 10.8% · OPM 4% 100% evidence 4.5/20 P/E 53.8× · PEG 5.08 65% evidence 11.5/20 RS sector 6.9% · RS bench -26% · 1Y -38.3%0 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 11.8 + 7.6 + 4.5 + 11.5 = 35.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
16Vishnu Prakash R Punglia LtdVPRPL 29.4/100Thin evidence · provisional54% evidence 9.4/35 Revenue -22.6% · PAT -80% · OPM change -18 pp 53% evidence 8.5/25 ROCE 11.4% · OPM -7% 71% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 59.9× · PEG — 15% evidence 3.0/20 RS sector -56.5% · RS bench -67.1% · 1Y -79.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead to 2026-03-29 70% evidence
Exact sum: 9.4 + 8.5 + 8.5 + 3 = 29.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
17Giriraj Civil Developers LtdGIRIRAJ 51.3/100Thin evidence · provisional44% evidence 21.6/35 Revenue 100% · PAT 100% · OPM change 2 pp 27% evidence 14.5/25 ROCE 20.1% · OPM 8% 71% evidence 10.4/20 P/E 21.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.8/20 RS sector -32.2% · RS bench -12.3% · 1Y -39.4%4 of 11 weeks ahead to 2026-03-29 70% evidence
Exact sum: 21.6 + 14.5 + 10.4 + 4.8 = 51.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

15 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's share price today?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd trades at ₹539, −47.6% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹3,510 Cr. The stock sits at 14% of its 52-week range of ₹461–₹1,005, −20.3% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 76 weeks in. — as of 31 July 2026.

What were H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's latest quarterly results?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,427 Cr and net profit of ₹85.0 Cr for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 4.8% and profit fell 42.2% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹13.06. The operating margin was 17.0%, 1.0 pp lower than a year earlier. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's revenue?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,427 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter, +4.8% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹5,235 Cr (+3.5%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at 21.6% a year. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's profit?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd earned ₹85.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −42.2% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹330 Cr. The operating margin ran 17.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's market cap?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹3,510 Cr at a share price of ₹539. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's P/E ratio?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd trades at a P/E of 13.3×, at the 79th percentile of its own 8-year range, against a long-run median of 11.2×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 31 July 2026.

Does H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd pay a dividend?

Yes — H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's dividend payout was 4% of profit in FY26, and it recorded a payout in 8 of its last 13 reported fiscal years. This page holds the payout ratio, not a per-share amount. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd looks expensive against its own history: its P/E of 13.3× sits at the 79th percentile of its 8-year range (long-run median 11.2×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd growing?

Not right now — H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's latest numbers are shrinking: latest-quarter revenue +4.8% year on year, profit −42.2%, and the margin −1.0 pp at 17.0%. The 10-year compound rates are 21.6% (revenue) and 27.1% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: deteriorating — as of 31 July 2026.

How is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd performing?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd is in a downtrend, 76 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 4.8% and profit fell 42.2% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 8 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 31 July 2026.

What stage is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd in?

Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −34.8% latest against +38.4% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE slipping at 14.4%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +3.5% latest, profit growth −34.8% latest, eps growth −34.6% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 31 July 2026.

Is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd in an uptrend?

No — the price is in a downtrend (week 76 of stage 4), trading −20.3% versus its 200-day average and at 14% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 31 July 2026.

Is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd is currently behind the NIFTY 500 (8 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-19), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 8.4 years the stock moved +101% against the NIFTY 500's +156% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 31 July 2026.

Will H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹539, the price is in a downtrend 76 weeks in. Its P/E of 13.3× sits at the 79th percentile of its own 8-year range. — as of 31 July 2026.

Who owns H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd?

Promoters hold 71.8% of H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd, foreign institutions 1.4%, domestic institutions 10.1% and the public 16.7% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Promoters cut 2.8 points over 8 quarters. — as of 31 July 2026.

Does H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd have too much debt?

It carries real leverage — H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's debt-to-equity is 1.54, and operating profit covers the interest bill 2×. FY26 borrowings were ₹5,029 Cr against equity of ₹3,265 Cr. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 31 July 2026.

What is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's capex?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd spent ₹2,783 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹971 Cr, with ₹740 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's cash flow?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd generated ₹250 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹−721 Cr of free cash flow after ₹971 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹330 Cr, so operating cash ran behind profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's profit real cash?

Not fully — over the last 3 fiscal years, −68% of H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹250 Cr against reported profit of ₹330 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 31 July 2026.

How financially safe is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 1.66 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 31 July 2026.

Where is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd in its business cycle?

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 19.0%, against a 13-year band of 11.0%–21.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 17.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 31 July 2026.

What could break the H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd story?

Biggest watch item: the P/E sits at the 79th percentile of its own range — the multiple has already done part of the work. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 31 July 2026.

Is H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 31 July 2026.

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