ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
ARRARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.
The sharpest disagreement: profits are rising, but only 38% of the last 2 years' profit arrived as operating cash — the gap between the P&L and the bank account is the thing to watch.
The price is building a base (5 weeks in). Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit −266.7% year on year, and 38% of the last 2 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the cash starts following the profit.
Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. trades at $16.4, building a base and 5 weeks into that stage. That is −4.4% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 41% of a 52-week range of $15 to $19. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (21 weeks and counting).
Today the stock is building a base — week 5 of stage 1. At $16.4 it trades −4.4% versus its 200-day average and sits at 41% of its 52-week range ($15–$19).
Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved −84% while the S&P 500 moved +263% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (21 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-03-13) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.
What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.
Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. trades at 4.6× P/E, against too little history to rank. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.
Today's P/E of 4.6× is against too little history to rank. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.
Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.
Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 12 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.
Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.
One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.
Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.
Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.
| 1yr | 3yr | 5yr | 10yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +433.3% | +13.3% | — | — |
| Stock price | +0.3% | −13.7% | −20.7% | −17.7% |
4-Factor Sector Score
40.6/100 — rank 24 of 29 in REIT - Mortgage · 48% evidence confidence · provisional, ranked below fully-evidenced peers
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. scores 40.6 out of 100 against the 29 companies it is compared with in REIT - Mortgage, ranking 24. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
The four contributions add to the total exactly: 14 + 5.1 + 9.5 + 12 = 40.6. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.
What would change it: The read weakens if ROA rolls over or gross NPA rises while sector-relative strength deteriorates.
Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. reported $0.1 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +75.0% year on year. That is the 2nd straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 23.0% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.2 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.2 B.
FY25 revenue came in at $0.2 B (+433.3% on the year), capping 4 years at 23.0% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.1 B, +75.0% year on year — the 2nd consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.
Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +225.0% growth against the decade's 23.0% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.
Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +216.7% over the last 4 quarters against +151.7%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating.
Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s operating margin is 85.7% in the Mar 26 quarter, +35.7 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −100.0% to 62.5%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.
The latest quarter's operating margin is 85.7%, +35.7 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −100.0%–62.5%, and FY25's 62.5% is the top of that band — a record year.
Why the margin moved: operating margin went +35.7 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.
Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.
Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. posted a net loss of $0.1 B in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.3 B. The 4-year compound rate is 100.0%. That loss is 71.4% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B. 5 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.
Mar 26 profit was $−0.1 B, −266.7% year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $0.3 B (null), and the 4-year compound rate is 100.0%.
Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.
Over the last 2 fiscal years 38% of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY25 that was $0.1 B of operating cash against $0.3 B of profit. Cash resolution here is annual, because quarterly cash statements are not published.
FY25: operating cash of $0.1 B against reported profit of $0.3 B. Across the last 2 fiscal years the conversion rate is 38% of profit.
Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.
🚨 Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.
Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.
Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Nothing is estimated in place of the missing day-counts, so no cash-cycle chart is drawn.
Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.
The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.
Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. earns a ROE of 14% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −21% in FY22. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 200.0% net margin on 0.01× asset turns.
FY25 ROE is 14%, recovered from a FY22 trough of −21% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.
Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 200.0% net margin × 0.01× asset turns × 9.30× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 18.6% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.
Dividend
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.
Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.
Debt-to-equity is 7.57 at the latest reading — carrying real leverage; a full borrowings history is not in our numbers.
We hold only the latest reading here: a debt-to-equity of 7.57 — a level of leverage that amplifies both the returns above and the risk. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so we say that rather than draw a chart we cannot support.
Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.
0.0% of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — the crowd is not positioned against this stock. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead. It is a single point-in-time reading, and its history is not held.
The latest reading: 0.0% of the float is sold short. The crowd is not positioned against this stock. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.
Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.
Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.
The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.
| Company | Score | Price stage | Growth & earnings/35 | Capital efficiency/25 | Valuation/20 | Relative strength/20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.NREF | 62.5/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence | FADING | 24.1/35 Income 41.8% · PAT 57.9% 55% evidence | 13.1/25 ROA — · ROE 3.1% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 8.6/20 P/BV 0.65× · P/BV÷ROE 0.21 70% evidence | 16.7/20 RS sector 27.5% · RS bench 5% · 1Y 20.6%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 24.1 + 13.1 + 8.6 + 16.7 = 62.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 2Ellington Financial Inc.EFC | 60.6/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence | ASLEEP | 24.8/35 Income 39.9% · PAT 43.1% 55% evidence | 13.9/25 ROA — · ROE 6% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 8.6/20 P/BV 0.77× · P/BV÷ROE 0.13 70% evidence | 13.3/20 RS sector 9.6% · RS bench -10.1% · 1Y 2.5%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 24.8 + 13.9 + 8.6 + 13.3 = 60.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 3Starwood Property Trust, Inc.STWD | 45.6/100Mixed-negative evidence62% evidence | BASING | 20.2/35 Income 12.3% · PAT 13.9% 55% evidence | 12.8/25 ROA — · ROE 0.8% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 3.3/20 P/BV 0.96× · P/BV÷ROE 1.2 70% evidence | 9.3/20 RS sector -1.5% · RS bench -19.5% · 1Y -18.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 20.2 + 12.8 + 3.3 + 9.3 = 45.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 4Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.ARI | 43.1/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence | ASLEEP | 21.5/35 Income -8.3% · PAT 100% 55% evidence | 12.8/25 ROA — · ROE 1.4% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 5.0/20 P/BV 0.8× · P/BV÷ROE 0.57 70% evidence | 3.8/20 RS sector -26.8% · RS bench -40.1% · 1Y -32.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 21.5 + 12.8 + 5 + 3.8 = 43.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 5Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc.FBRT | 42.0/100Thin evidence · provisional54% evidence | ASLEEP | 20.4/35 Income — · PAT — 26% evidence | 11.0/25 ROA -0.6% · ROE 1.1% · GNPA — 68% evidence | 6.0/20 P/BV 0.55× · P/BV÷ROE 0.5 70% evidence | 4.6/20 RS sector -12.2% · RS bench -28.5% · 1Y -29.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 20.4 + 11 + 6 + 4.6 = 42 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 6Ready Capital CorporationRC | 39.2/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence | ASLEEP | 12.5/35 Income -25.8% · PAT -38.6% 55% evidence | 14.2/25 ROA — · ROE 5.9% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 8.6/20 P/BV 0.2× · P/BV÷ROE 0.03 70% evidence | 3.9/20 RS sector -25.8% · RS bench -40.5% · 1Y -60.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 12.5 + 14.2 + 8.6 + 3.9 = 39.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 7Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.REFI | 39.1/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence | ASLEEP | 13.8/35 Income -12.5% · PAT -18.4% 55% evidence | 13.6/25 ROA — · ROE 1.6% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 6.4/20 P/BV 0.79× · P/BV÷ROE 0.49 70% evidence | 5.3/20 RS sector -10.2% · RS bench -26.7% · 1Y -27.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 13.8 + 13.6 + 6.4 + 5.3 = 39.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 8Annaly Capital Management, Inc.NLY | 56.9/100Thin evidence · provisional46% evidence | BASING | 19.1/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 13.1/25 ROA — · ROE 5.4% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 8.0/20 P/BV 0.97× · P/BV÷ROE 0.18 70% evidence | 16.7/20 RS sector 12.1% · RS bench -7.9% · 1Y 10.4%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19.1 + 13.1 + 8 + 16.7 = 56.9 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 9Adamas Trust, Inc.ADAM | 56.7/100Thin evidence · provisional40% evidence | FADING | 18.8/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 12.3/25 ROA — · ROE 3.7% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 8.6/20 P/BV 0.57× · P/BV÷ROE 0.15 70% evidence | 17.0/20 RS sector 30.5% · RS bench 7.9% · 1Y 43.2%7 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 18.8 + 12.3 + 8.6 + 17 = 56.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 10Dynex Capital, Inc.DX | 50.7/100Thin evidence · provisional41% evidence | BASING | 19.7/35 Income 100% · PAT 100% 29% evidence | 9.6/25 ROA — · ROE -3.9% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.1/20 P/BV 0.97× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 12.3/20 RS sector 5% · RS bench -13.8% · 1Y 2.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19.7 + 9.6 + 9.1 + 12.3 = 50.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 11Two Harbors Investment Corp.TWO | 50.3/100Thin evidence · provisional28% evidence | ASLEEP | 16.0/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 9.3/25 ROA — · ROE -3.4% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.75× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 15.2/20 RS sector 19.1% · RS bench -1.6% · 1Y 22.5%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 16 + 9.3 + 9.8 + 15.2 = 50.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 12Rithm Capital Corp.RITM | 49.6/100Thin evidence · provisional46% evidence | BASING | 16.5/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 12.5/25 ROA — · ROE 0.8% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 4.7/20 P/BV 0.62× · P/BV÷ROE 0.77 70% evidence | 15.9/20 RS sector 6.9% · RS bench -12.9% · 1Y -16.5%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 16.5 + 12.5 + 4.7 + 15.9 = 49.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 13Ares Commercial Real Estate CorporationACRE | 47.6/100Thin evidence · provisional49% evidence | BASING | 15.1/35 Income -20.9% · PAT — 45% evidence | 11.3/25 ROA 0.1% · ROE -1.9% · GNPA — 68% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.54× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 11.4/20 RS sector 4% · RS bench -14.7% · 1Y 6.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 15.1 + 11.3 + 9.8 + 11.4 = 47.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 14MFA Financial, Inc.MFA | 47.2/100Thin evidence · provisional44% evidence | BASING | 15.3/35 Income -3% · PAT -2.2% 55% evidence | 11.4/25 ROA — · ROE -0.1% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.55× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 10.7/20 RS sector 3% · RS bench -15.5% · 1Y -2.4%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 15.3 + 11.4 + 9.8 + 10.7 = 47.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 15AGNC Investment Corp.AGNC | 46.8/100Thin evidence · provisional50% evidence | ASLEEP | 14.9/35 Income — · PAT — 30% evidence | 8.4/25 ROA -0.5% · ROE -4.8% · GNPA — 68% evidence | 9.0/20 P/BV 1× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 14.5/20 RS sector 10.1% · RS bench -9.5% · 1Y 12.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14.9 + 8.4 + 9 + 14.5 = 46.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 16TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc.TRTX | 45.6/100Thin evidence · provisional40% evidence | ASLEEP | 17.6/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 12.7/25 ROA — · ROE 1.2% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 5.5/20 P/BV 0.62× · P/BV÷ROE 0.51 70% evidence | 9.8/20 RS sector 1.1% · RS bench -17.2% · 1Y -10%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17.6 + 12.7 + 5.5 + 9.8 = 45.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 17Redwood Trust, Inc.RWT | 45.6/100Thin evidence · provisional28% evidence | BASING | 19.2/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 11.0/25 ROA — · ROE -0.1% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.73× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 5.6/20 RS sector -7.7% · RS bench -24.6% · 1Y -18.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19.2 + 11 + 9.8 + 5.6 = 45.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 18Ladder Capital CorpLADR | 43.5/100Thin evidence · provisional40% evidence | BASING | 17.9/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 13.0/25 ROA — · ROE 1% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 3.8/20 P/BV 0.88× · P/BV÷ROE 0.88 70% evidence | 8.8/20 RS sector -0.1% · RS bench -18.3% · 1Y -13.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17.9 + 13 + 3.8 + 8.8 = 43.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 19BrightSpire Capital, Inc.BRSP | 43.4/100Thin evidence · provisional48% evidence | ASLEEP | 19.6/35 Income — · PAT — 26% evidence | 10.2/25 ROA -0.4% · ROE -2.2% · GNPA — 68% evidence | 9.6/20 P/BV 0.8× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 4.0/20 RS sector -3.3% · RS bench -20.7% · 1Y -6.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19.6 + 10.2 + 9.6 + 4 = 43.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 20TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.MITT | 42.8/100Thin evidence · provisional44% evidence | ASLEEP | 13.3/35 Income -6.1% · PAT -23.4% 55% evidence | 11.4/25 ROA — · ROE -0.6% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.43× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 8.3/20 RS sector -0.6% · RS bench -18.5% · 1Y -3.5%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 13.3 + 11.4 + 9.8 + 8.3 = 42.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 21Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc.AOMR | 42.6/100Thin evidence · provisional44% evidence | BASING | 9.3/35 Income -36.8% · PAT -56.8% 55% evidence | 9.8/25 ROA — · ROE -2.9% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.6/20 P/BV 0.8× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 13.9/20 RS sector 11.9% · RS bench -8.3% · 1Y -0.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 9.3 + 9.8 + 9.6 + 13.9 = 42.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 22Chimera Investment CorporationCIM | 42.5/100Thin evidence · provisional44% evidence | BASING | 9.5/35 Income -35.7% · PAT -98.9% 55% evidence | 11.0/25 ROA — · ROE -0.8% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.43× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 12.2/20 RS sector 5% · RS bench -13.8% · 1Y -5.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 9.5 + 11 + 9.8 + 12.2 = 42.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 23Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.ABR | 42.0/100Thin evidence · provisional28% evidence | BASING | 17.0/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 11.9/25 ROA — · ROE -1% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.37× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 3.3/20 RS sector -29.9% · RS bench -43.6% · 1Y -55.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17 + 11.9 + 9.8 + 3.3 = 42 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 24ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.this pageARR | 40.6/100Thin evidence · provisional48% evidence | BASING | 14.0/35 Income — · PAT — 26% evidence | 5.1/25 ROA -1% · ROE -9.5% · GNPA — 68% evidence | 9.5/20 P/BV 0.84× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 12.0/20 RS sector 6.6% · RS bench -12.4% · 1Y 5.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14 + 5.1 + 9.5 + 12 = 40.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 25PennyMac Mortgage Investment TrustPMT | 40.4/100Thin evidence · provisional28% evidence | BASING | 16.3/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 9.4/25 ROA — · ROE -4.7% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.53× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 4.9/20 RS sector -11.2% · RS bench -27.6% · 1Y -20.4%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 16.3 + 9.4 + 9.8 + 4.9 = 40.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 26Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.BXMT | 37.7/100Thin evidence · provisional34% evidence | ASLEEP | 16.8/35 Income — · PAT — 10% evidence | 10.2/25 ROA — · ROE -2.4% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.4/20 P/BV 0.88× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 1.3/20 RS sector -15.6% · RS bench -31% · 1Y -23.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 16.8 + 10.2 + 9.4 + 1.3 = 37.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 27Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.CMTG | 37.1/100Thin evidence · provisional35% evidence | ASLEEP | 15.0/35 Income -677.5% · PAT — 29% evidence | 9.3/25 ROA — · ROE -3.2% · GNPA — 34% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.22× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 3.0/20 RS sector -32.4% · RS bench -45.2% · 1Y -48.4%1 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 15 + 9.3 + 9.8 + 3 = 37.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 28Orchid Island Capital, Inc.ORC | 36.7/100Thin evidence · provisional42% evidence | BASING | 14.1/35 Income — · PAT — 26% evidence | 6.4/25 ROA -0.7% · ROE -5.8% · GNPA — 68% evidence | 9.1/20 P/BV 0.97× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 7.1/20 RS sector -2.3% · RS bench -20% · 1Y -10.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14.1 + 6.4 + 9.1 + 7.1 = 36.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 29Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.IVR | 36.4/100Thin evidence · provisional42% evidence | BASING | 12.9/35 Income — · PAT — 26% evidence | 4.4/25 ROA -1.2% · ROE -9.5% · GNPA — 68% evidence | 9.8/20 P/BV 0.74× · P/BV÷ROE — 10% evidence | 9.3/20 RS sector 0.7% · RS bench -17.4% · 1Y -2.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 12.9 + 4.4 + 9.8 + 9.3 = 36.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. Financial companies use P/BV÷ROE and asset quality; PEG, industrial OPM and ROCE are excluded. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.
Frequently asked questions
What is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s stock price today?
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. trades at $16.4, +0.3% over the past year. The company is valued at $2.0 B. The stock sits at 41% of its 52-week range of $15–$19, −4.4% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is building a base, 5 weeks in. — as of 5 August 2026.
What were ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s latest quarterly results?
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. reported revenue of $0.1 B and a net loss of $0.1 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 75.0% and profit fell 266.7% year on year. Earnings per share were $−0.49. The operating margin was 85.7%, 35.7 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s revenue?
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. reported revenue of $0.1 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +75.0% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $0.2 B (+433.3%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 23.0% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s profit?
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. earned $−0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −266.7% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.3 B. The operating margin ran 85.7% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.
What is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s market cap?
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s market capitalisation is $2.0 B at a stock price of $16.4. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.
Does ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. pay a dividend?
No — ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.
Is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. growing?
Yes — ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is growing: latest-quarter revenue +75.0% year on year, profit −266.7%, and the margin +35.7 pp at 85.7%. The 4-year compound rates are 23.0% (revenue) and 100.0% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 5 August 2026.
How is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. performing?
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is building a base, 5 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 75.0% and profit fell 266.7% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 21 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.
Is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. in an uptrend?
No — the price is building a base (week 5 of stage 1), trading −4.4% versus its 200-day average and at 41% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 5 August 2026.
Is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. beating the market?
Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (21 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-03-13), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved −84% against the S&P 500's +263% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.
Will ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s stock price go up?
This page publishes no price forecast for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $16.4, the price is building a base 5 weeks in. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.
Is the market betting against ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.?
No — short interest is 0.0% of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s tradable float. That is a low reading: the crowd is not positioned against this stock. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.
Does ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. have too much debt?
It carries real leverage — ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 7.57. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 5 August 2026.
What is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s cash flow?
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. generated $0.1 B of operating cash flow in FY25. Reported profit that year was $0.3 B, so operating cash ran behind profit. — as of 5 August 2026.
Is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s profit real cash?
Not fully — over the last 2 fiscal years, 38% of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY25, operating cash was $0.1 B against reported profit of $0.3 B. The cash then goes into a mix of the working-capital cycle and capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 5 August 2026.
Where is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. in its business cycle?
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s FY25 operating margin was 62.5%, against a 5-year band of −100.0%–62.5%: the top of the band — a record year. Record profitability is late-cycle territory: every ratio flatters at the top, and the story leans on margins holding. The latest quarter ran 85.7%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.
What could break the ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. story?
The sharpest disagreement: profits are rising, but only 38% of the last 2 years' profit arrived as operating cash — the gap between the P&L and the bank account is the thing to watch. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.
Is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. a stock worth studying right now?
This is not investment advice. The machine read: ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: whether the cash starts following the profit. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.