Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Rent the Runway, Inc.

RENT
Consumer Discretionary · Apparel Retail

Rent the Runway, Inc.'s balance sheet is under water — net worth is negative, so it owes more than it owns. This is a distressed, high-risk situation — the equity can be wiped by dilution or restructuring before operations recover. Not a value setup.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is between stages. But the balance sheet is under water: net worth is negative, so shareholders sit behind everyone the company owes. What settles it: whether the business can earn its way back to positive equity before dilution or restructuring gets there first.

Price
$3.6
−20.3% 1Y
P/E
2.4×
vs its own history
Revenue (Apr 26)
$0.1 B
+28.6% YoY
Profit (Apr 26)
$−0.0 B
Operating margin
−22.2%
+6.4 pp YoY
ROIC
−35.7%
vs WACC 7.7% → −43.4 pp
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Rent the Runway, Inc. trades at $3.6, between stages. That is −28.4% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 11% of a 52-week range of $3 to $9. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (23 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is between stages. At $3.6 it trades −28.4% versus its 200-day average and sits at 11% of its 52-week range ($3–$9).

Aug 26: $3.6 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
−28.4% versus the 200-day line, week — of stage —
Price50-day avg200-day avg
$9.5$7.8$6.0$4.3$2.5$$4$5Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
$9.5$7.8$6.0$4.3$2.5$$4$5Jul 25Jan 26Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (57 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 25Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −27% while the S&P 500 moved +24% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (23 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-02-27) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Rent the Runway, Inc. trades at 2.4× P/E, against too little history to rank. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 2.4× is against too little history to rank. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E
2.4×
too little history to rank
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Rent the Runway, Inc. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 12 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +6.5% in FY26 Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoY
54%40%25%11%−4.0%%6.5%FY22FY24FY26
54%40%25%11%−4.0%%6.5%FY22FY24FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue accelerating
Revenue
16%11%5.8%0.6%−4.6%%12.9%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
16%11%5.8%0.6%−4.6%%12.9%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
Revenue growth
Rising
latest +12.9% · span −3.2% to +14.8%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

The return-on-capital curve is not shown — net worth is negative, so a return on capital is not a meaningful number in any basis. This is a distressed balance sheet, and the stage is read from the growth curves alone.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+6.5%+3.2%
Stock price−20.3%
Revenue YoY (Apr 26)
+28.6%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
13.3%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

36.2/100 — rank 21 of 25 in Apparel Retail · 58% evidence confidence

Rent the Runway, Inc. scores 36.2 out of 100 against the 25 companies it is compared with in Apparel Retail, ranking 21. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 18.6 + 3.1 + 11.5 + 3 = 36.2. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Rent the Runway, Inc. reported $0.1 B of revenue in the Apr 26 quarter, +28.6% year on year. That is the 3rd straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 13.3% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at $0.3 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.3 B.

FY26 revenue came in at $0.3 B (+6.5% on the year), capping 4 years at 13.3% compound. The latest quarter (Apr 26) printed $0.1 B, +28.6% year on year — the 3rd consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue $0.3 B (+6.5% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
13.3% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
0.454%0.340%0.225%0.111%0.0−4.0%$ B%$0B6.5%FY22FY24FY26
0.454%0.340%0.225%0.111%0.0−4.0%$ B%$0B6.5%FY22FY24FY26
Apr 26: $0.1 B (+28.6% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
3rd straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
0.1032%0.0720%0.058.1%0.02−3.9%0.00−16%$ B%$0B28.6%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
0.1032%0.0720%0.058.1%0.02−3.9%0.00−16%$ B%$0B28.6%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +13.4% growth against the decade's 13.3% — the current year is running in line with its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +12.9% over the last 4 quarters against +8.0%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Rent the Runway, Inc.'s operating margin is −22.2% in the Apr 26 quarter, +6.4 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −65.0% to −16.1%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −22.2%, +6.4 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −65.0%–−16.1%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +6.4 pp year on year while gross margin went +6.4 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

FY26: −18.2% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a −65.0–−16.1% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
−12%34%−26%25%−41%15%−55%5.0%−69%−4.8%%%−18.2%−2.1%FY22FY24FY26
−12%34%−26%25%−41%15%−55%5.0%−69%−4.8%%%−18.2%−2.1%FY22FY24FY26
Apr 26: −22.2% operating margin (+6.4 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
2.3%18%−6.0%10%−14%1.8%−23%−6.5%−31%−15%%%−22.2%6.4%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
2.3%18%−6.0%10%−14%1.8%−23%−6.5%−31%−15%%%−22.2%6.4%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Rent the Runway, Inc. posted a net loss of $0.02 B in the Apr 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.0 B. That loss is 22.2% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.03 B. 10 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Apr 26 profit was $−0.0 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed $0.0 B (null).

FY26 profit $0.0 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profit
0.04−0.03−0.09−0.16−0.23$ B$0BFY22FY24FY26
0.04−0.03−0.09−0.16−0.23$ B$0BFY22FY24FY26
Apr 26: $−0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)
0.090.060.03−0.01−0.04$ B$0BJul 23Oct 24Apr 26
0.090.060.03−0.01−0.04$ B$0BJul 23Oct 24Apr 26
08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Rent the Runway, Inc.'s cash-flow history is too thin to judge how much reported profit converts into cash. In FY26 that was $0.0 B of operating cash against $0.0 B of profit. After $0.1 B of capital spending, $−0.1 B was left as free cash. Cash resolution here is annual, because quarterly cash statements are not published.

FY26: operating cash of $0.0 B against reported profit of $0.0 B, leaving free cash of $−0.1 B after $0.1 B of capital spending.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO $0.0 B vs profit $0.0 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution. FY26 reflects an acquisition year — point shown clipped.
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.04−0.03−0.09−0.16−0.23$ B$0B$0B$0BFY22FY24FY26
0.04−0.03−0.09−0.16−0.23$ B$0B$0B$0BFY22FY24FY26
Apr 26: operating cash $0.0 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.012108%0.00679%0.00050%−0.00621%−0.012−8.0%$ B%$0B0%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
0.012108%0.00679%0.00050%−0.00621%−0.012−8.0%$ B%$0B0%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Rent the Runway, Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY26 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY26: capex $0.1 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.090.060.040.020.00$ B$0BFY22FY24FY26
0.090.060.040.020.00$ B$0BFY22FY24FY26
Apr 26: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.022−0.0080.016−0.0140.011−0.0200.005−0.0260.000−0.032$ B$ B$0B$0BJul 23Oct 24Apr 26
0.022−0.0080.016−0.0140.011−0.0200.005−0.0260.000−0.032$ B$ B$0B$0BJul 23Oct 24Apr 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Rent the Runway, Inc. earns a ROE of −50% in FY26. That is up from a trough of −300% in FY22. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −43.4 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 6.1% net margin on 1.50× asset turns.

FY26 ROE is −50%, recovered from a FY22 trough of −300% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 6.1% net margin × 1.50× asset turns × −5.50× balance-sheet leverage ≈ −50.3% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: −35.7% − 7.7% = a −43.4 pp spread. The 7.7% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY26: ROE −50% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 7.7% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY22's −300%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
402%214%25%−164%−352%%−50%−32.7%FY22FY24FY26
402%214%25%−164%−352%%−50%−32.7%FY22FY24FY26
Apr 26: ROIC −36.8% (TTM) vs WACC 7.7% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
465%328%191%54%−82%%−36.8%−44.7%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
465%328%191%54%−82%%−36.8%−44.7%Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
11 · Dividend

Dividend

Rent the Runway, Inc. pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Rent the Runway, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Rent the Runway, Inc.'s net worth is negative — it owes more than it owns — so a debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful here. On the annual view that ratio went from 4.43 in FY22 to −5.00 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Apr 26: total debt of $0.2 B against shareholder equity of $−0.1 B — a debt-to-equity of −4.00. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 4.43 (FY22) to −5.00 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

FY26: debt $0.2 B at −5.00× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
0.45.4×0.31.8×0.2−1.8×0.1−5.4×0.0−9.0×$ B×$0B−5.00×FY22FY24FY26
0.45.4×0.31.8×0.2−1.8×0.1−5.4×0.0−9.0×$ B×$0B−5.00×FY22FY24FY26
Apr 26: debt $0.2 B, debt-to-equity −4.00 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
0.4−1.4×0.3−2.4×0.2−3.4×0.1−4.3×0.0−5.3×$ B×$0B−4.00×Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
0.4−1.4×0.3−2.4×0.2−3.4×0.1−4.3×0.0−5.3×$ B×$0B−4.00×Jul 23Oct 24Apr 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

5.6% of Rent the Runway, Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 11.6 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 5.6% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 11.6 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
5.6%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
11.6
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Rent the Runway, Inc.: the Z-score reads −6.40. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of −6.40 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads −6.40.

15 · Related companies · Apparel Retail
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Victoria's Secret & Co.VSXY 65.8/100Favorable setup81% evidence BREAKING OUT 25.3/35 Revenue 8.7% · PAT 39.7% · OPM change 3.4 pp 83% evidence 9.3/25 ROCE 2.2% · OPM 4.9% 76% evidence 11.2/20 P/E 28.3× · PEG 1.29 65% evidence 20.0/20 RS sector 48.2% · RS bench 56.9% · 1Y 322.4%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 25.3 + 9.3 + 11.2 + 20 = 65.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
2Ross Stores, Inc.ROST 58.0/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence TURNING 22.4/35 Revenue 11.8% · PAT 11.2% · OPM change 1.2 pp 83% evidence 17.0/25 ROCE 7.8% · OPM 13.4% 76% evidence 5.7/20 P/E 32× · PEG 2.44 65% evidence 12.9/20 RS sector 8.9% · RS bench 16.2% · 1Y 72.9%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 22.4 + 17 + 5.7 + 12.9 = 58 · Decision use: Strong business, demanding price: keep it on the quality list, but require either earnings upgrades or valuation compression.
3Citi Trends, Inc.CTRN 56.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence BREAKING OUT 22.4/35 Revenue 10.4% · PAT — · OPM change 3 pp 62% evidence 8.9/25 ROCE 2.5% · OPM 3.2% 76% evidence 8.9/20 P/E 34× · PEG — 15% evidence 16.2/20 RS sector 37% · RS bench 46% · 1Y 130.2%9 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 22.4 + 8.9 + 8.9 + 16.2 = 56.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
4Burlington Stores, Inc.BURL 55.5/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence TURNING 20.1/35 Revenue 10.6% · PAT 18.4% · OPM change 0.3 pp 83% evidence 11.8/25 ROCE 2.3% · OPM 5.8% 76% evidence 8.3/20 P/E 32.7× · PEG 1.69 65% evidence 15.3/20 RS sector 2.3% · RS bench 9.3% · 1Y 35.6%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.1 + 11.8 + 8.3 + 15.3 = 55.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
5The Buckle, Inc.BKE 55.2/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence BASING 23.4/35 Revenue 7.2% · PAT 13.8% · OPM change 4.6 pp 83% evidence 17.1/25 ROCE 7.5% · OPM 20.6% 76% evidence 13.2/20 P/E 12.7× · PEG 1.05 65% evidence 1.5/20 RS sector -27.1% · RS bench -21.8% · 1Y -13.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.4 + 17.1 + 13.2 + 1.5 = 55.2 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -27.1% and the one-year return is -13.3%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
6Abercrombie & Fitch Co.ANF 55.2/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence TURNING 12.2/35 Revenue 5.2% · PAT -7.4% · OPM change -1.3 pp 83% evidence 11.9/25 ROCE 3.9% · OPM 8% 76% evidence 16.0/20 P/E 8.1× · PEG 0.78 65% evidence 15.1/20 RS sector 1.7% · RS bench 8.4% · 1Y 6.9%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 12.2 + 11.9 + 16 + 15.1 = 55.2 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 8.4%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
7The TJX Companies, Inc.TJX 54.6/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence ASLEEP 22.8/35 Revenue 8.1% · PAT 19.9% · OPM change 1.8 pp 83% evidence 16.4/25 ROCE 7.6% · OPM 11.8% 76% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 30.5× · PEG 1.44 65% evidence 5.3/20 RS sector -13% · RS bench -6.9% · 1Y 19.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 22.8 + 16.4 + 10.1 + 5.3 = 54.6 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -13% and the one-year return is 19.9%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
8Tilly's, Inc.TLYS 51.4/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence ASLEEP 21.3/35 Revenue 1.8% · PAT — · OPM change 14.6 pp 62% evidence 4.5/25 ROCE -3.8% · OPM -6.5% 76% evidence 9.7/20 P/E 27.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 15.9/20 RS sector 32.8% · RS bench 40.9% · 1Y 208%4 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 21.3 + 4.5 + 9.7 + 15.9 = 51.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
9Urban Outfitters, Inc.URBN 50.7/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence TURNING 17.2/35 Revenue 11.2% · PAT 5.4% · OPM change -0.2 pp 83% evidence 13.5/25 ROCE 3.9% · OPM 9.4% 76% evidence 10.5/20 P/E 13.5× · PEG 1.5 65% evidence 9.5/20 RS sector -6.8% · RS bench -0.1% · 1Y 3.2%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.2 + 13.5 + 10.5 + 9.5 = 50.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
10Genesco Inc.GCO 49.9/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence TURNING 18.6/35 Revenue 4.6% · PAT — · OPM change 2.7 pp 62% evidence 6.7/25 ROCE -1.4% · OPM -3.2% 76% evidence 9.9/20 P/E 20.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 14.7/20 RS sector 5.4% · RS bench 12.8% · 1Y 65.2%8 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 18.6 + 6.7 + 9.9 + 14.7 = 49.9 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
11The Gap, Inc.GAP 49.3/100Mixed-negative evidence81% evidence BASING 19.9/35 Revenue 1.6% · PAT 9.4% · OPM change 5.2 pp 83% evidence 13.7/25 ROCE 5% · OPM 12.7% 76% evidence 14.2/20 P/E 9.7× · PEG 0.98 65% evidence 1.5/20 RS sector -27.3% · RS bench -22.3% · 1Y 4.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.9 + 13.7 + 14.2 + 1.5 = 49.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
12Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.BOOT 45.9/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence BASING 16.7/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.4 pp 39% evidence 14.7/25 ROCE 4.7% · OPM 10.6% 76% evidence 9.8/20 P/E 22.5× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.7/20 RS sector -21.7% · RS bench -16.1% · 1Y -1.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.7 + 14.7 + 9.8 + 4.7 = 45.9 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
13Caleres, Inc.CAL 44.4/100Mixed-negative evidence65% evidence TURNING 15.3/35 Revenue 5% · PAT -102.5% · OPM change 1.7 pp 83% evidence 10.1/25 ROCE 2.1% · OPM 3.6% 76% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 17.5× · PEG — 15% evidence 8.9/20 RS sector -6.4% · RS bench 0.3% · 1Y 4.9%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 15.3 + 10.1 + 10.1 + 8.9 = 44.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
14American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.AEO 44.2/100Mixed-negative evidence74% evidence TURNING 24.4/35 Revenue 7.2% · PAT 8.8% · OPM change 10.2 pp 62% evidence 9.5/25 ROCE 0.9% · OPM 2.4% 76% evidence 5.7/20 P/E 10.5× · PEG 3.07 65% evidence 4.6/20 RS sector -20.1% · RS bench -14.9% · 1Y 45.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 24.4 + 9.5 + 5.7 + 4.6 = 44.2 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -20.1% and the one-year return is 45.3%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
15Duluth Holdings Inc.DLTH 43.7/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence LEADER 14.7/35 Revenue -8.3% · PAT — · OPM change 2.6 pp 62% evidence 4.9/25 ROCE -3.1% · OPM -9.4% 76% evidence 8.6/20 P/E 95.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 15.5/20 RS sector 12.7% · RS bench 20.6% · 1Y 83.3%12 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14.7 + 4.9 + 8.6 + 15.5 = 43.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
16lululemon athletica inc.LULU 43.0/100Mixed-negative evidence81% evidence BASING 9.2/35 Revenue 4.2% · PAT -19.3% · OPM change -7.3 pp 83% evidence 14.3/25 ROCE 4.4% · OPM 11.2% 76% evidence 14.5/20 P/E 10.8× · PEG 0.95 65% evidence 5.0/20 RS sector -37% · RS bench -32.4% · 1Y -35.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 9.2 + 14.3 + 14.5 + 5 = 43 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
17J.Jill, Inc.JILL 42.0/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence BREAKING OUT 7.2/35 Revenue -2.6% · PAT -38.2% · OPM change -6.3 pp 83% evidence 11.8/25 ROCE 2.8% · OPM 6.1% 76% evidence 8.8/20 P/E 9.1× · PEG 2.02 65% evidence 14.2/20 RS sector 4.6% · RS bench 12.1% · 1Y 25.9%6 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 7.2 + 11.8 + 8.8 + 14.2 = 42 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 12.1%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
18Torrid Holdings Inc.CURV 41.0/100Mixed-negative evidence65% evidence TURNING 5.1/35 Revenue -10.2% · PAT -220% · OPM change -2.5 pp 83% evidence 10.5/25 ROCE 4.7% · OPM 3.5% 76% evidence 8.8/20 P/E 62.5× · PEG — 15% evidence 16.6/20 RS sector 39.2% · RS bench 49% · 1Y 25.6%8 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 5.1 + 10.5 + 8.8 + 16.6 = 41 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 49%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
19Stitch Fix, Inc.SFIX 39.7/100Thin evidence · provisional55% evidence TURNING 17.9/35 Revenue 4.5% · PAT — · OPM change 1.8 pp 62% evidence 5.4/25 ROCE -1.5% · OPM -1.2% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 6.4/20 RS sector -16% · RS bench -9.9% · 1Y -4.9%4 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.9 + 5.4 + 10 + 6.4 = 39.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
20Zumiez Inc.ZUMZ 37.1/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence ASLEEP 17.9/35 Revenue 4.7% · PAT 100% · OPM change 2.9 pp 62% evidence 4.9/25 ROCE -3.3% · OPM -7.9% 76% evidence 9.4/20 P/E 29.4× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.9/20 RS sector -25% · RS bench -19.9% · 1Y 36.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.9 + 4.9 + 9.4 + 4.9 = 37.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
21Rent the Runway, Inc.this pageRENT 36.2/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence BASING 18.6/35 Revenue 16.6% · PAT — · OPM change 6.4 pp 62% evidence 3.1/25 ROCE -12.6% · OPM -21.9% 76% evidence 11.5/20 P/E 0.7× · PEG — 15% evidence 3.0/20 RS sector -40.3% · RS bench -36.4% · 1Y -15.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 18.6 + 3.1 + 11.5 + 3 = 36.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
22Shoe Station Group Inc.SHOE 30.7/100Adverse evidence65% evidence BASING 7.7/35 Revenue -4.5% · PAT -43.9% · OPM change -6.5 pp 83% evidence 9.0/25 ROCE -0.6% · OPM -2.2% 76% evidence 10.2/20 P/E 13.7× · PEG — 15% evidence 3.8/20 RS sector -29.6% · RS bench -24.4% · 1Y -20.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 7.7 + 9 + 10.2 + 3.8 = 30.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
23Lands' End, Inc.LE 28.0/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence TURNING 7.6/35 Revenue -2% · PAT 100% · OPM change -17.6 pp 62% evidence 3.7/25 ROCE -7.2% · OPM -18.5% 76% evidence 11.4/20 P/E 1× · PEG — 15% evidence 5.3/20 RS sector -23.5% · RS bench -17.9% · 1Y -0.8%1 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 7.6 + 3.7 + 11.4 + 5.3 = 28 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
24Carter's, Inc.CRI 57.8/100Thin evidence · provisional50% evidence TURNING 22.9/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 3.5 pp 39% evidence 13.3/25 ROCE 6.9% · OPM 4.2% 76% evidence 11.2/20 P/E 7.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 10.4/20 RS sector -3% · RS bench 3.5% · 1Y 56.9%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 22.9 + 13.3 + 11.2 + 10.4 = 57.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
25a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.AKA 38.3/100Thin evidence · provisional45% evidence ASLEEP 15.5/35 Revenue 2.9% · PAT — · OPM change 1.1 pp 40% evidence 7.5/25 ROCE -1.4% · OPM -3.1% 57% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 856× · PEG — 15% evidence 6.8/20 RS sector -15.8% · RS bench -9.5% · 1Y -8.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 15.5 + 7.5 + 8.5 + 6.8 = 38.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Rent the Runway, Inc.'s stock price today?

Rent the Runway, Inc. trades at $3.6, −20.3% over the past year. The company is valued at $0.0 B. The stock sits at 11% of its 52-week range of $3–$9, −28.4% versus its 200-day average. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 23 weeks. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Rent the Runway, Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Rent the Runway, Inc. reported revenue of $0.1 B and a net loss of $0.0 B for the Apr 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $−0.57. The operating margin was −22.2%, 6.4 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Rent the Runway, Inc.'s revenue?

Rent the Runway, Inc. reported revenue of $0.1 B in the Apr 26 quarter, +28.6% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was $0.3 B (+6.5%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 13.3% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Rent the Runway, Inc.'s profit?

Rent the Runway, Inc. earned $−0.0 B of net profit in the Apr 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.0 B. The operating margin ran −22.2% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Rent the Runway, Inc.'s market cap?

Rent the Runway, Inc.'s market capitalisation is $0.0 B at a stock price of $3.6. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Rent the Runway, Inc. pay a dividend?

No — Rent the Runway, Inc. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Rent the Runway, Inc. performing?

Rent the Runway, Inc.'s latest readings are below. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 23 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Rent the Runway, Inc. beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Rent the Runway, Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (23 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-02-27), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −27% against the S&P 500's +24% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Rent the Runway, Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Rent the Runway, Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $3.6. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Rent the Runway, Inc.?

Somewhat — short interest is 5.6% of Rent the Runway, Inc.'s tradable float, about 11.6 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Rent the Runway, Inc.'s capex?

Rent the Runway, Inc. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was $0.1 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Rent the Runway, Inc.'s cash flow?

Rent the Runway, Inc. generated $0.0 B of operating cash flow in FY26 and $−0.1 B of free cash flow after $0.1 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.0 B, so operating cash ran behind profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Rent the Runway, Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads −6.40 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Rent the Runway, Inc. in its business cycle?

Rent the Runway, Inc.'s FY26 operating margin was −18.2%, against a 5-year band of −65.0%–−16.1%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran −22.2%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Rent the Runway, Inc. story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Rent the Runway, Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Rent the Runway, Inc.'s balance sheet is under water — net worth is negative, so it owes more than it owns. This is a distressed, high-risk situation — the equity can be wiped by dilution or restructuring before operations recover. Not a value setup. The sharpest open question: whether the business can earn its way back to positive equity before dilution or restructuring gets there first. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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