Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Modine Manufacturing Company

MOD
Consumer Discretionary · Auto Parts

Modine Manufacturing Company's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +50.9% in a year while annual EPS moved −33.9% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings.

The price is building a base (2 weeks in). Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +50.0% year on year, and 80% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved.

Stage
Topping out
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
$202
+50.9% 1Y
P/E
75.2×
of its own 4-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.9 B
+46.2% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
$0.1 B
+50.0% YoY
Operating margin
10.5%
−0.3 pp YoY
ROE
13%
FY26
ROIC
16.2%
vs WACC 12.9% → +3.3 pp
Cash conversion
80%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Modine Manufacturing Company trades at $202, building a base and 2 weeks into that stage. That is −1.9% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 44% of a 52-week range of $125 to $297. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (6 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is building a base — week 2 of stage 1. At $202 it trades −1.9% versus its 200-day average and sits at 44% of its 52-week range ($125–$297).

Aug 26: $202 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−1.9% versus the 200-day line, week 2 of stage 1
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S2S1S3S2$319$240$161$81.2$0.0$$202$206Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Aug 26
S2S1S3S2$319$240$161$81.2$0.0$$202$206Jul 23Jan 25Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (527 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 16Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +2,097% while the S&P 500 moved +263% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (6 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-26) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Modine Manufacturing Company trades at 75.2× P/E, against too little history to rank. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 75.2× is against too little history to rank. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 75.2× vs a null× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 4.3-year window; loss-period spikes above 123× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
against too little history to rank
P/EEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
132.9×$4.699.7×$3.466.5×$2.333.2×$1.10.0×$0.0×$90.05×$2Apr 22Apr 23May 24Jul 25Aug 26
132.9×$4.699.7×$3.466.5×$2.333.2×$1.10.0×$0.0×$90.05×$2Apr 22May 24Aug 26
PEG 1.37 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 20 quarters.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
2.1×1.6×1.1×0.6×0.1××1.37×Sep 21Sep 22Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26
2.1×1.6×1.1×0.6×0.1××1.37×Sep 21Dec 23Jun 26
P/E
75.2×
too little history to rank
PEG
0.97
as reported

🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −33.9% against a +50.9% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +65.5%/yr price move, ~−13.5%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+79.0 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: Topping out

Stage: Topping out Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Modine Manufacturing Company reads as topping out on its fundamental arc. Topping out — profit and EPS growth have decelerated hard (profit growth +100.0% at its peak → −24.2% latest) while ROCE still reads 20.5%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +23.3% in FY26, profit −21.9% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
25%186%19%127%14%68%8.7%8.9%3.3%−50%%%23.3%−21.9%FY22FY24FY26
25%186%19%127%14%68%8.7%8.9%3.3%−50%%%23.3%−21.9%FY22FY24FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue accelerating, profit rolling over
RevenueProfitEPS
24%234%19%161%13%87%6.8%14%0.9%−60%%%22.8%−24.2%−34.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
24%234%19%161%13%87%6.8%14%0.9%−60%%%22.8%−24.2%−34.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
21.1%20.2%19.4%18.5%17.6%%20.5%Jun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
21.1%20.2%19.4%18.5%17.6%%20.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Rising
latest +22.8% · span +2.5% to +22.8%
Profit growth
Falling
latest −24.2% · span −30.0% to +188.9%
EPS growth
Falling
latest −34.5% · span −39.6% to +214.1%
ROCE
Steady high
latest 20.5% · span 17.8%–20.9%

Why it matters: decelerating from a peak is where good stories quietly end — the multiple usually notices late.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+23.3%+11.4%
Profit−21.9%+35.7%
EPS−33.9%−8.0%
Stock price+50.9%+65.5%+69.7%+35.1%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+46.2%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Mar 26)
+50.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
11.6%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

42.3/100 — rank 17 of 29 in Auto Parts · 56% evidence confidence

Modine Manufacturing Company scores 42.3 out of 100 against the 29 companies it is compared with in Auto Parts, ranking 17. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 15.7 + 12.6 + 8.6 + 5.4 = 42.3. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Modine Manufacturing Company reported $0.9 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +46.2% year on year. That is the 8th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 11.6% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at $3.2 B. The last four reported quarters add to $3.2 B.

FY26 revenue came in at $3.2 B (+23.3% on the year), capping 4 years at 11.6% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.9 B, +46.2% year on year — the 8th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue $3.2 B (+23.3% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
11.6% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
3.425%2.619%1.714%0.98.7%0.03.3%$ B%$3B23.3%FY22FY24FY26
3.425%2.619%1.714%0.98.7%0.03.3%$ B%$3B23.3%FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: $0.9 B (+46.2% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
8th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.050%0.836%0.522%0.37.2%0.0−7.2%$ B%$1B46.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.050%0.836%0.522%0.37.2%0.0−7.2%$ B%$1B46.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +23.0% growth against the decade's 11.6% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +22.8% over the last 4 quarters against +15.1%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit −24.2% vs −1.9%/yr — rolling over.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Modine Manufacturing Company's operating margin is 10.5% in the Mar 26 quarter, −0.3 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 5.9% to 10.9%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 10.5%, −0.3 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 5.9%–10.9%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −0.3 pp year on year while gross margin went −4.1 pp — the loss came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

FY26: 10.7% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a 5.9–10.9% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
11%3.8%9.9%2.7%8.4%1.6%7.0%0.6%5.5%−0.5%%%10.7%−0.2%FY22FY24FY26
11%3.8%9.9%2.7%8.4%1.6%7.0%0.6%5.5%−0.5%%%10.7%−0.2%FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: 10.5% operating margin (−0.3 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
12%6.4%11%4.0%10%1.5%9.1%−0.9%8.0%−3.3%%%10.5%−0.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
12%6.4%11%4.0%10%1.5%9.1%−0.9%8.0%−3.3%%%10.5%−0.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Modine Manufacturing Company earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +50.0% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.3 B. The 4-year compound rate is 20.1%. That is 12.6% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.1 B. 1 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was $0.1 B, +50.0% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed $0.3 B (−21.9%), and the 4-year compound rate is 20.1%.

FY26 profit $0.3 B (−21.9% YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
20.1% a year over 4 years
Net profitYoY growth
0.35185%0.26130%0.1774%0.0918%0.00−37%$ B%$0B−21.9%FY22FY24FY26
0.35185%0.26130%0.1774%0.0918%0.00−37%$ B%$0B−21.9%FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: $0.1 B (+50.0% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.13281%0.09167%0.0554%0.00−60%−0.04−174%$ B%$0B50%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.13281%0.09167%0.0554%0.00−60%−0.04−174%$ B%$0B50%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +46.2% and the margin −0.3 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −28.8% vs revenue +23.0%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 80% of Modine Manufacturing Company's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was $0.3 B of operating cash against $0.3 B of profit. After $0.1 B of capital spending, $0.1 B was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of $0.3 B against reported profit of $0.3 B, leaving free cash of $0.1 B after $0.1 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 80% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO $0.3 B vs profit $0.3 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
80% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.30.20.10.0−0.1$ B$0B$0B$0BFY22FY24FY26
0.30.20.10.0−0.1$ B$0B$0B$0BFY22FY24FY26
Jun 26: operating cash $0.0 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.21171%0.15125%0.1079%0.0533%0.00−13%$ B%$0B158%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
0.21171%0.15125%0.1079%0.0533%0.00−13%$ B%$0B158%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Modine Manufacturing Company does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY26 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY26: capex $0.1 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.150.110.080.040.00$ B$0BFY22FY24FY26
0.150.110.080.040.00$ B$0BFY22FY24FY26
Jun 26: capex $0.1 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.050.160.040.110.030.060.010.010.00−0.04$ B$ B$0B$0BSep 23Dec 24Jun 26
0.050.160.040.110.030.060.010.010.00−0.04$ B$ B$0B$0BSep 23Dec 24Jun 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Modine Manufacturing Company earns a ROE of 21% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 17% in FY23. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +3.3 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 7.9% net margin on 1.19× asset turns.

FY26 ROE is 21%, recovered from a FY23 trough of 17% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 7.9% net margin × 1.19× asset turns × 2.23× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 21.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 16.2% − 12.9% = a +3.3 pp spread. The 12.9% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Positive but thin — value creation with little room for error.

FY26: ROE 21% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.9% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY23's 17%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
38%28%18%7.5%−2.8%%20.8%14.5%FY22FY24FY26
38%28%18%7.5%−2.8%%20.8%14.5%FY22FY24FY26
Jun 26: ROIC 20.4% (TTM) vs WACC 12.9% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
48%38%29%20%10%%20.4%22.3%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
48%38%29%20%10%%20.4%22.3%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
11 · Dividend

Dividend

Modine Manufacturing Company pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Modine Manufacturing Company does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Modine Manufacturing Company carries total debt of $0.5 B against shareholder equity of $1.2 B as of Jun 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.44. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.83 in FY22 to 0.37 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Jun 26: total debt of $0.5 B against shareholder equity of $1.2 B — a debt-to-equity of 0.44. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.83 (FY22) to 0.37 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY26: debt $0.4 B at 0.37× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
0.50.9×0.40.7×0.20.6×0.10.5×0.00.3×$ B×$0B0.37×FY22FY24FY26
0.50.9×0.40.7×0.20.6×0.10.5×0.00.3×$ B×$0B0.37×FY22FY24FY26
Jun 26: debt $0.5 B, debt-to-equity 0.44 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
0.70.59×0.50.53×0.30.47×0.20.41×0.00.35×$ B×$1B0.44×Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
0.70.59×0.50.53×0.30.47×0.20.41×0.00.35×$ B×$1B0.44×Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

5.4% of Modine Manufacturing Company's tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 1.6 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 5.4% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 1.6 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
5.4%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
1.6
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Modine Manufacturing Company: the Z-score reads 6.11. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 6.11 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 6.11.

15 · Related companies · Auto Parts
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Garrett Motion Inc.GTX 64.4/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence FADING 21.7/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1 pp 39% evidence 18.3/25 ROCE 14.2% · OPM 13.9% 76% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 19.9× · PEG — 15% evidence 14.3/20 RS sector 39.8% · RS bench 35.8% · 1Y 148.3%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 21.7 + 18.3 + 10.1 + 14.3 = 64.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
2Douglas Dynamics, Inc.PLOW 58.4/100Thin evidence · provisional55% evidence ASLEEP 21.8/35 Revenue 15.5% · PAT -17.2% · OPM change 4.4 pp 40% evidence 9.3/25 ROCE 1.9% · OPM 7.2% 57% evidence 13.0/20 P/E 19× · PEG 1.04 65% evidence 14.3/20 RS sector 6.2% · RS bench 3% · 1Y 44.4%3 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 21.8 + 9.3 + 13 + 14.3 = 58.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
3Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.ALSN 57.4/100Mixed-positive evidence66% evidence ASLEEP 13.8/35 Revenue 14% · PAT -28% · OPM change -18.6 pp 53% evidence 13.7/25 ROCE 3.2% · OPM 13.9% 57% evidence 14.8/20 P/E 18.2× · PEG 0.71 65% evidence 15.1/20 RS sector 7.7% · RS bench 4.4% · 1Y 39.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.8 + 13.7 + 14.8 + 15.1 = 57.4 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 4.4%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
4BorgWarner Inc.BWA 57.2/100Mixed-positive evidence66% evidence FADING 20.7/35 Revenue 2.3% · PAT 20.1% · OPM change 2.8 pp 53% evidence 12.1/25 ROCE 3.2% · OPM 9.5% 57% evidence 10.9/20 P/E 32.1× · PEG 1.19 65% evidence 13.5/20 RS sector 10.8% · RS bench 7.4% · 1Y 63.6%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.7 + 12.1 + 10.9 + 13.5 = 57.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
5Magna International Inc.MGA 56.8/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence TURNING 19.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.2 pp 39% evidence 10.2/25 ROCE 3.1% · OPM 4.3% 76% evidence 9.5/20 P/E 24.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 17.6/20 RS sector 16.4% · RS bench 12.9% · 1Y 64.9%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.5 + 10.2 + 9.5 + 17.6 = 56.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
6Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.ATMU 53.0/100Mixed-positive evidence66% evidence ASLEEP 19.2/35 Revenue 10% · PAT 14.1% · OPM change 1 pp 53% evidence 14.9/25 ROCE 5.8% · OPM 14.4% 57% evidence 10.4/20 P/E 22.3× · PEG 1.45 65% evidence 8.5/20 RS sector -2.5% · RS bench -5.5% · 1Y 34.4%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.2 + 14.9 + 10.4 + 8.5 = 53 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
7O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.ORLY 53.0/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence BASING 18.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 0.6 pp 39% evidence 18.5/25 ROCE 13.2% · OPM 18.5% 76% evidence 9.2/20 P/E 29.3× · PEG — 15% evidence 6.8/20 RS sector -10.9% · RS bench -13.5% · 1Y -11.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 18.5 + 18.5 + 9.2 + 6.8 = 53 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
8Gentex CorporationGNTX 52.9/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence ASLEEP 18.3/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -1.3 pp 39% evidence 15.9/25 ROCE 5.6% · OPM 18.3% 76% evidence 10.9/20 P/E 13.4× · PEG — 15% evidence 7.8/20 RS sector -8.2% · RS bench -11% · 1Y -9.4%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 18.3 + 15.9 + 10.9 + 7.8 = 52.9 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
9Advance Auto Parts, Inc.AAP 51.4/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence TURNING 22.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 7.7 pp 39% evidence 6.4/25 ROCE 1% · OPM 2.6% 76% evidence 8.7/20 P/E 80.8× · PEG — 15% evidence 13.8/20 RS sector 1.4% · RS bench -1.7% · 1Y -0.4%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 22.5 + 6.4 + 8.7 + 13.8 = 51.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
10PHINIA Inc.PHIN 51.2/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence ASLEEP 17.9/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 0.1 pp 39% evidence 10.3/25 ROCE 2.8% · OPM 7.9% 76% evidence 9.7/20 P/E 23.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 13.3/20 RS sector 10.8% · RS bench 7.4% · 1Y 53.6%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.9 + 10.3 + 9.7 + 13.3 = 51.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
11XPEL, Inc.XPEL 50.7/100Thin evidence · provisional60% evidence TURNING 19.8/35 Revenue 12.4% · PAT 12.5% · OPM change 0.4 pp 53% evidence 14.0/25 ROCE 4.6% · OPM 11.1% 57% evidence 8.1/20 P/E 23.2× · PEG 1.98 65% evidence 8.8/20 RS sector -2.6% · RS bench -5.6% · 1Y 36.7%2 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 19.8 + 14 + 8.1 + 8.8 = 50.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
12Genuine Parts CompanyGPC 49.3/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence BREAKING OUT 17.3/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.3 pp 39% evidence 10.4/25 ROCE 3% · OPM 4.6% 76% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 471.9× · PEG — 15% evidence 13.1/20 RS sector -0.7% · RS bench -3.7% · 1Y -0.4%6 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.3 + 10.4 + 8.5 + 13.1 = 49.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
13Dorman Products, Inc.DORM 49.1/100Mixed-negative evidence66% evidence BREAKING OUT 13.3/35 Revenue 5% · PAT -11.2% · OPM change -4.7 pp 53% evidence 12.5/25 ROCE 3% · OPM 11.1% 57% evidence 7.5/20 P/E 16.9× · PEG 2.33 65% evidence 15.8/20 RS sector 4.1% · RS bench 1% · 1Y 5.9%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.3 + 12.5 + 7.5 + 15.8 = 49.1 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 1%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
14Autoliv, Inc.ALV 48.5/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence ASLEEP 14.9/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -1.3 pp 39% evidence 13.7/25 ROCE 4.3% · OPM 8.6% 76% evidence 10.8/20 P/E 13.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 9.1/20 RS sector -3.7% · RS bench -6.5% · 1Y 10.8%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.9 + 13.7 + 10.8 + 9.1 = 48.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
15Gentherm IncorporatedTHRM 47.5/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence BREAKING OUT 13.3/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -1.9 pp 39% evidence 6.2/25 ROCE 1% · OPM 2.9% 76% evidence 9.0/20 P/E 39.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 19.0/20 RS sector 15.3% · RS bench 12% · 1Y 31.5%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.3 + 6.2 + 9 + 19 = 47.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
16Lear CorporationLEA 45.6/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence ASLEEP 19.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 0.3 pp 39% evidence 9.7/25 ROCE 2.9% · OPM 4.4% 76% evidence 11.3/20 P/E 12.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 5.5/20 RS sector -3.5% · RS bench -6.4% · 1Y 31.3%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.1 + 9.7 + 11.3 + 5.5 = 45.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
17Modine Manufacturing Companythis pageMOD 42.3/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence ASLEEP 15.7/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.6 pp 39% evidence 12.6/25 ROCE 4% · OPM 10.9% 76% evidence 8.6/20 P/E 100.4× · PEG — 15% evidence 5.4/20 RS sector -2.9% · RS bench -5.9% · 1Y 48.1%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 15.7 + 12.6 + 8.6 + 5.4 = 42.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
18AutoZone, Inc.AZO 41.8/100Mixed-negative evidence81% evidence BASING 15.6/35 Revenue 5.8% · PAT -3.3% · OPM change -0.3 pp 83% evidence 17.0/25 ROCE 9.2% · OPM 19.1% 76% evidence 5.8/20 P/E 24× · PEG 2.4 65% evidence 3.4/20 RS sector -22.3% · RS bench -24.6% · 1Y -25%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 15.6 + 17 + 5.8 + 3.4 = 41.8 · Decision use: Strong business, demanding price: keep it on the quality list, but require either earnings upgrades or valuation compression.
19Visteon CorporationVC 41.5/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence ASLEEP 14.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -5.4 pp 39% evidence 11.4/25 ROCE 3.1% · OPM 4.3% 76% evidence 11.1/20 P/E 13× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.9/20 RS sector -8.1% · RS bench -10.8% · 1Y -7.7%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.1 + 11.4 + 11.1 + 4.9 = 41.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
20Dana IncorporatedDAN 41.3/100Thin evidence · provisional51% evidence ASLEEP 18.1/35 Revenue 1.2% · PAT — · OPM change 2.7 pp 40% evidence 7.8/25 ROCE 1.3% · OPM 3.2% 57% evidence 11.5/20 P/E 3.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 3.9/20 RS sector -5.9% · RS bench -8.9% · 1Y 57.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 18.1 + 7.8 + 11.5 + 3.9 = 41.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
21Aptiv PLCAPTV 40.7/100Mixed-negative evidence61% evidence ASLEEP 15.5/35 Revenue 5.2% · PAT -75.7% · OPM change -1.9 pp 40% evidence 9.8/25 ROCE 2% · OPM 7.4% 57% evidence 13.9/20 P/E 41.1× · PEG 0.67 65% evidence 1.5/20 RS sector -39% · RS bench -40.9% · 1Y -28.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 15.5 + 9.8 + 13.9 + 1.5 = 40.7 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
22LKQ CorporationLKQ 40.4/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence BASING 16.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -1.7 pp 39% evidence 9.7/25 ROCE 1.8% · OPM 6.3% 76% evidence 10.7/20 P/E 14.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 3.9/20 RS sector -24% · RS bench -26.3% · 1Y -16.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.1 + 9.7 + 10.7 + 3.9 = 40.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
23The Goodyear Tire & Rubber CompanyGT 35.4/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence TURNING 10.7/35 Revenue -3.7% · PAT -1025.6% · OPM change -1.9 pp 53% evidence 6.0/25 ROCE -0.7% · OPM -2.3% 57% evidence 11.4/20 P/E 7.5× · PEG — 15% evidence 7.3/20 RS sector -13.3% · RS bench -16% · 1Y -14%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 10.7 + 6 + 11.4 + 7.3 = 35.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
24Mobileye Global Inc.MBLY 34.7/100Thin evidence · provisional53% evidence ASLEEP 14.5/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -671.5 pp 39% evidence 4.2/25 ROCE -0.3% · OPM -698.2% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 6.0/20 RS sector -24.4% · RS bench -26.6% · 1Y -36.5%6 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.5 + 4.2 + 10 + 6 = 34.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
25Versigent PLCVGNT 53.4/100Thin evidence · provisional21% evidence FADING 18.0/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -0.8 pp 10% evidence 14.4/25 ROCE 10.6% · OPM 6.2% 57% evidence 11.0/20 P/E 13.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 10.0/20 RS sector — · RS bench — · 1Y —5 of 6 weeks ahead 0% evidence
Exact sum: 18 + 14.4 + 11 + 10 = 53.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
26Aurora Innovation, Inc.AUR 47.6/100Thin evidence · provisional44% evidence ASLEEP 14.0/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -14731.4 pp 26% evidence 5.0/25 ROCE -12.7% · OPM — 61% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 18.6/20 RS sector 27.1% · RS bench 23.3% · 1Y 17.4%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14 + 5 + 10 + 18.6 = 47.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
27Adient plcADNT 44.1/100Thin evidence · provisional45% evidence BASING 20.4/35 Revenue 3.8% · PAT — · OPM change 9.3 pp 40% evidence 8.7/25 ROCE 2.5% · OPM 3.3% 57% evidence 9.3/20 P/E 28.5× · PEG — 15% evidence 5.7/20 RS sector -10.1% · RS bench -13% · 1Y -3.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 20.4 + 8.7 + 9.3 + 5.7 = 44.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
28Dauch CorporationDCH 34.8/100Thin evidence · provisional50% evidence BASING 12.9/35 Revenue 14.8% · PAT -704.8% · OPM change -4.4 pp 53% evidence 6.6/25 ROCE -0.5% · OPM -1.4% 57% evidence 10.3/20 P/E 18.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 5.0/20 RS sector -11.3% · RS bench -14.1% · 1Y 13.4%1 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 12.9 + 6.6 + 10.3 + 5 = 34.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
29QuantumScape CorporationQS 33.1/100Thin evidence · provisional47% evidence ASLEEP 17.4/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change — 33% evidence 5.2/25 ROCE -9.5% · OPM — 61% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 0.5/20 RS sector -44.9% · RS bench -46.3% · 1Y -35%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.4 + 5.2 + 10 + 0.5 = 33.1 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Modine Manufacturing Company's stock price today?

Modine Manufacturing Company trades at $202, +50.9% over the past year. The company is valued at $11.0 B. The stock sits at 44% of its 52-week range of $125–$297, −1.9% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is building a base, 2 weeks in. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Modine Manufacturing Company's latest quarterly results?

Modine Manufacturing Company reported revenue of $0.9 B and net profit of $0.1 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 46.2% and profit rose 50.0% year on year. Earnings per share were $1.36. The operating margin was 10.5%, 0.3 pp lower than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Modine Manufacturing Company's revenue?

Modine Manufacturing Company reported revenue of $0.9 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +46.2% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was $3.2 B (+23.3%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 11.6% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Modine Manufacturing Company's profit?

Modine Manufacturing Company earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +50.0% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.3 B. The operating margin ran 10.5% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Modine Manufacturing Company's market cap?

Modine Manufacturing Company's market capitalisation is $11.0 B at a stock price of $202. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Modine Manufacturing Company pay a dividend?

No — Modine Manufacturing Company has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Modine Manufacturing Company growing?

Yes — Modine Manufacturing Company is growing: latest-quarter revenue +46.2% year on year, profit +50.0%, and the margin −0.3 pp at 10.5%. The 4-year compound rates are 11.6% (revenue) and 20.1% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Modine Manufacturing Company performing?

Modine Manufacturing Company is building a base, 2 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 46.2% and profit rose 50.0% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 6 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

What stage is Modine Manufacturing Company in?

Topping out — profit and EPS growth have decelerated hard (profit growth +100.0% at its peak → −24.2% latest) while ROCE still reads 20.5%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +22.8% latest, profit growth −24.2% latest, eps growth −34.5% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Modine Manufacturing Company in an uptrend?

No — the price is building a base (week 2 of stage 1), trading −1.9% versus its 200-day average and at 44% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Modine Manufacturing Company beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Modine Manufacturing Company is currently behind the S&P 500 (6 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-26), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +2,097% against the S&P 500's +263% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Modine Manufacturing Company's stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Modine Manufacturing Company. What it measures instead: the stock price is $202, the price is building a base 2 weeks in. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Modine Manufacturing Company?

Somewhat — short interest is 5.4% of Modine Manufacturing Company's tradable float, about 1.6 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Modine Manufacturing Company have too much debt?

It is moderate — Modine Manufacturing Company's debt-to-equity is 0.55. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Modine Manufacturing Company's capex?

Modine Manufacturing Company spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was $0.1 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Modine Manufacturing Company's cash flow?

Modine Manufacturing Company generated $0.3 B of operating cash flow in FY26 and $0.1 B of free cash flow after $0.1 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.3 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Modine Manufacturing Company's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 80% of Modine Manufacturing Company's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was $0.3 B against reported profit of $0.3 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Modine Manufacturing Company?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 6.11 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That sits well clear of trouble. — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Modine Manufacturing Company in its business cycle?

Modine Manufacturing Company's FY26 operating margin was 10.7%, against a 5-year band of 5.9%–10.9%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 10.5%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Modine Manufacturing Company story?

The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +50.9% in a year while annual EPS moved −33.9% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Modine Manufacturing Company a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Modine Manufacturing Company's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

Chat with this pageChat with pageChatChatGPTClaudePerplexityGoogle AI