Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-31
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-31

NTPC Green Energy Ltd

NTPCGREEN
Power - Generation/Distribution

NTPC Green Energy Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +10.7% in a year against a −13.9% price move.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is in a downtrend (2 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 2nd percentile of its own 2-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +38.6% year on year, and 449% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
₹90.0
−13.9% 1Y
P/E
125.0×
2nd pctile
of its own 2-year range
Revenue (Jun 26)
₹1,107 Cr
+62.8% YoY
Profit (Jun 26)
₹305 Cr
+38.6% YoY
Operating margin
89.0%
flat YoY
ROCE
4%
FY26
ROIC
2.3%
vs WACC 12.0% → −9.7 pp
Cash conversion
449%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

NTPC Green Energy Ltd trades at ₹90.0, in a downtrend and 2 weeks into that stage. That is −8.7% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 15% of a 52-week range of ₹86 to ₹112. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (13 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 2 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹90.0 it trades −8.7% versus its 200-day average and sits at 15% of its 52-week range (₹86–₹112).

Jul 26: ₹90.0 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 2-year window.
−8.7% versus the 200-day line, week 2 of stage 4
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S2S4S2₹149₹132₹115₹98.4₹81.7₹90₹99Nov 24May 25Oct 25Mar 26Jul 26
S2S4S2₹149₹132₹115₹98.4₹81.7₹90₹99Nov 24Oct 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2024 Each cell is one week from 2024 to now (94 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Nov 24Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.7 years the stock moved −28% while the NIFTY 500 moved +2% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (13 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-05) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

NTPC Green Energy Ltd trades at 125.0× P/E, about the cheapest it has ever traded. Its long-run median P/E is 156.4×, measured across 1.7 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 125.0× is about the cheapest it has ever traded, against a long-run median of 156.4× measured over 1.7 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 125.0× vs a 156.4× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 1.7-year window; loss-period spikes above 240× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
about the cheapest it has ever traded
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
249.2×₹0.8215.8×₹0.6182.4×₹0.4149.1×₹0.2115.7×₹0.0×125.00×₹1Nov 24May 25Oct 25Apr 26Jul 26
249.2×₹0.8215.8×₹0.6182.4×₹0.4149.1×₹0.2115.7×₹0.0×125.00×₹1Nov 24Oct 25Jul 26
PEG 1.00 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 5 quarters.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
1.5×1.4×1.3×1.1×1.0××1.00×Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26
1.5×1.4×1.3×1.1×1.0××1.00×Q4 FY25Q2 FY26Q4 FY26
P/E
125.0×
2nd percentile of 2y
PEG
0.52
as reported

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +10.7% against a −13.9% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

NTPC Green Energy Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 7 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +29.3% in FY26, profit +9.9% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
1,138%109%836%78%534%47%231%16%−71%−15%%%29.3%9.9%FY23FY24FY26
1,138%109%836%78%534%47%231%16%−71%−15%%%29.3%9.9%FY23FY24FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfitEPS
67%209%52%133%38%57%24%−19%9.2%−95%%%62.8%38.6%6%Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26
67%209%52%133%38%57%24%−19%9.2%−95%%%62.8%38.6%6%Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
4.4%4.1%3.8%3.5%3.2%%3.3%Dec 23Jun 24Mar 25Sep 25Jun 26
4.4%4.1%3.8%3.5%3.2%%3.3%Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26
ROCE
Stuck low
latest 3.3% · span 3.3%–4.3%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+29.3%+156.2%
Profit+9.9%+45.0%
EPS+10.7%+19.9%
Share price−13.9%
Revenue YoY (Jun 26)
+62.8%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Jun 26)
+38.6%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
156.2%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

36.2/100 — rank 18 of 20 in Power - Generation/Distribution · 93% evidence confidence

NTPC Green Energy Ltd scores 36.2 out of 100 against the 20 companies it is compared with in Power - Generation/Distribution, ranking 18. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 19.4 + 8.9 + 3.5 + 4.4 = 36.2. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

NTPC Green Energy Ltd reported ₹1,107 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +62.8% year on year. That is the 7th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 3 years it has compounded at 156.2% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹2,858 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹3,285 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹2,858 Cr (+29.3% on the year), capping 3 years at 156.2% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹1,107 Cr, +62.8% year on year — the 7th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹2,858 Cr (+29.3% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 4-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
156.2% a year over 3 years
RevenueYoY growth
3.1k1,138%2.3k836%1.5k534%772231%0−71%₹ Cr%₹2,85829.3%FY23FY24FY26
3.1k1,138%2.3k836%1.5k534%772231%0−71%₹ Cr%₹2,85829.3%FY23FY24FY26
Jun 26: ₹1,107 Cr (+62.8% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
7th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.2k67%89752%59838%29924%09.2%₹ Cr%₹1,10762.8%Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26
1.2k67%89752%59838%29924%09.2%₹ Cr%₹1,10762.8%Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +40.1% growth against the decade's 156.2% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

NTPC Green Energy Ltd's operating margin is 89.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +0.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 4 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 87.0% to 90.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 89.0%, +0.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 4 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 87.0%–90.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +0.6 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY26: 87.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 4-year window.
within a 87.0–90.0% band over 4 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
90.2%0.2%89.4%−0.4%88.5%−1.0%87.6%−1.6%86.8%−2.2%%%87%0%FY23FY24FY26
90.2%0.2%89.4%−0.4%88.5%−1.0%87.6%−1.6%86.8%−2.2%%%87%0%FY23FY24FY26
Jun 26: 89.0% operating margin (+0.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
91%4.7%88%2.1%86%−0.5%84%−3.1%81%−5.7%%%89%0%Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26
91%4.7%88%2.1%86%−0.5%84%−3.1%81%−5.7%%%89%0%Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

NTPC Green Energy Ltd earned ₹305 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +38.6% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹521 Cr. The 3-year compound rate is 45.0%. That is 27.6% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹220 Cr.

Jun 26 profit was ₹305 Cr, +38.6% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹521 Cr (+9.9%), and the 3-year compound rate is 45.0%.

FY26 profit ₹521 Cr (+9.9% YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 4-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
45.0% a year over 3 years
Net profitYoY growth
563108%42282%28155%14129%02.6%₹ Cr%₹5219.9%FY23FY24FY26
563108%42282%28155%14129%02.6%₹ Cr%₹5219.9%FY23FY24FY26
Jun 26: ₹305 Cr (+38.6% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
329209%247133%16557%82−19%0−95%₹ Cr%₹30538.6%Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26
329209%247133%16557%82−19%0−95%₹ Cr%₹30538.6%Dec 23Mar 25Jun 26

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +62.8% and the margin +0.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +20.3% vs revenue +40.1%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 449% of NTPC Green Energy Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹2,386 Cr of operating cash against ₹521 Cr of profit. After ₹18,698 Cr of capital spending, ₹−16,312 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹2,386 Cr against reported profit of ₹521 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−16,312 Cr after ₹18,698 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 449% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹2,386 Cr vs profit ₹521 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 4-year window, annual resolution. FY24/FY25/FY26 reflects an acquisition year — point shown clipped.
449% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profit
2.6k1.9k1.3k6440₹ Cr₹2,386₹521FY23FY24FY26
2.6k1.9k1.3k6440₹ Cr₹2,386₹521FY23FY24FY26
FY26: CFO = 458% of profit (three-year rate 449%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash; outlier years shown pinned.
Conversion100%
323%239%155%71%−13%%300%FY23FY24FY26
323%239%155%71%−13%%300%FY23FY24FY26

Why conversion sits at 449%: the cash cycle tightened 622 days between FY23 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 15.7× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

NTPC Green Energy Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 78 days in FY26, down from 700 days in FY23. Capital spending ran ₹39,391 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹2,858 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹7.8 Cr, so roughly ₹611 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 78 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 78 days, tighter than FY23's 700.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹2,858 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹7.8 Cr — so the 78-day loop keeps roughly ₹611 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a 78-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 4-year window.
−622 days vs FY23
Cash cycleDebtor days
75056938920928days78d78dFY23FY24FY26
75056938920928days78d78dFY23FY24FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹39,391 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹2,503 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹14,193 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹18,698 Cr, work-in-progress ₹14,193 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
a build-out
CapexWork-in-progress
20.2k15.1k10.1k5.0k0₹ Cr₹18,698₹14,193FY24FY25FY26
20.2k15.1k10.1k5.0k0₹ Cr₹18,698₹14,193FY24FY25FY26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

NTPC Green Energy Ltd earns a ROCE of 4% in FY26. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −9.7 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 18.2% net margin on 0.05× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 4%.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 18.2% net margin × 0.05× asset turns × 3.18× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 2.9% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 2.3% − 12.0% = a −9.7 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY26: ROCE 4% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line). 3-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the full ladder
ROCEWACC
13%10%8.0%5.7%3.4%%4%FY24FY25FY26
13%10%8.0%5.7%3.4%%4%FY24FY25FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 2.5% (TTM) Trailing-twelve-month ROCE, per quarter, %. Last 9 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)
5.1%4.4%3.7%3.0%2.3%%2.5%Q4 FY24Q4 FY25Q4 FY26
5.1%4.4%3.7%3.0%2.3%%2.5%Q4 FY24Q4 FY25Q4 FY26
11 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

NTPC Green Energy Ltd carries total debt of ₹31,716 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹19,189 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 1.65. On the annual view that ratio went from 2.22 in FY24 to 1.65 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹31,716 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹19,189 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 1.65. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 2.22 (FY24) to 1.65 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY26: debt ₹31,716 Cr at 1.65× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 3-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
34.3k2.3×25.7k2.0×17.1k1.6×8.6k1.3×01.0×₹ Cr×₹31,7161.65×FY24FY25FY26
34.3k2.3×25.7k2.0×17.1k1.6×8.6k1.3×01.0×₹ Cr×₹31,7161.65×FY24FY25FY26
Mar 26: debt ₹31,716 Cr, debt-to-equity 1.65 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 10 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
34.3k2.7×25.7k2.2×17.1k1.8×8.6k1.4×00.9×₹ Cr×₹31,7161.65×Jun 23Dec 24Mar 26
34.3k2.7×25.7k2.2×17.1k1.8×8.6k1.4×00.9×₹ Cr×₹31,7161.65×Jun 23Dec 24Mar 26
12 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of NTPC Green Energy Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Domestic institutions moved −0.1 points over the same window, to 5.2%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Foreign institutions: −0.5 points over 6 quarters to 1.7%; Domestic institutions: −0.1 points over 6 quarters to 5.2%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 6 quarters to 89.0%.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters +0.0 pts from Mar 25 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 2 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
96%71%45%20%−5.4%%89.0%1.6%5.1%4.3%Mar 25Mar 26
96%71%45%20%−5.4%%89.0%1.6%5.1%4.3%Mar 25Mar 26
A quiet register: no holder moved a full point in two years Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 7 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
96%71%45%20%−5.4%%89.0%1.7%5.2%4.1%Dec 24Sep 25Jun 26
96%71%45%20%−5.4%%89.0%1.7%5.2%4.1%Dec 24Sep 25Jun 26
13 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

NTPC Green Energy Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

14 · Related companies · Power - Generation/Distribution
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1NLC India LtdNLCINDIA 62.1/100Mixed-positive evidence78% evidence FADING 23.7/35 Revenue 14.5% · PAT 38.9% · OPM change 13 pp 83% evidence 13.1/25 ROCE 10.4% · OPM 35% 76% evidence 10.5/20 P/E 11.7× · PEG — 50% evidence 14.8/20 RS sector 12.4% · RS bench 6.5% · 1Y 24.5%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.7 + 13.1 + 10.5 + 14.8 = 62.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
2Mac Charles (India) Ltd507836 60.8/100Mixed-positive evidence61% evidence 25.8/35 Revenue 100% · PAT -8.4% · OPM change 547 pp 62% evidence 7.3/25 ROCE 5.4% · OPM 76% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 17.7/20 RS sector 7.4% · RS bench 4.9% · 1Y 16.5%6 of 8 weeks ahead to 2026-07-05 100% evidence
Exact sum: 25.8 + 7.3 + 10 + 17.7 = 60.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3JSW Energy LtdJSWENERGY 60.4/100Mixed-positive evidence82% evidence FADING 21.9/35 Revenue 35.4% · PAT 7.7% · OPM change 1 pp 95% evidence 13.6/25 ROCE 8.2% · OPM 55% 76% evidence 7.0/20 P/E 50.7× · PEG — 50% evidence 17.9/20 RS sector 11% · RS bench 5.1% · 1Y 7.1%7 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 21.9 + 13.6 + 7 + 17.9 = 60.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
4Adani Green Energy LtdADANIGREEN 58.5/100Mixed-positive evidence75% evidence LEADER 16.4/35 Revenue 11% · PAT -2.3% · OPM change 10 pp 95% evidence 13.9/25 ROCE 7.4% · OPM 90% 76% evidence 8.7/20 P/E 117× · PEG — 15% evidence 19.5/20 RS sector 29.8% · RS bench 22.8% · 1Y 41.7%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.4 + 13.9 + 8.7 + 19.5 = 58.5 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 22.8%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
5KPI Green Energy LtdKPIGREEN 58.4/100Mixed-positive evidence72% evidence ASLEEP 22.5/35 Revenue 55.4% · PAT 56.6% · OPM change 9 pp 83% evidence 17.0/25 ROCE 13.8% · OPM 37% 76% evidence 13.2/20 P/E 15.6× · PEG — 50% evidence 5.7/20 RS sector -5% · RS bench -15.3% · 1Y -28%4 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 22.5 + 17 + 13.2 + 5.7 = 58.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
6Adani Power LtdADANIPOWER 57.7/100Mixed-positive evidence100% evidence FADING 15.7/35 Revenue 6.6% · PAT 19.7% · OPM change 2 pp 100% evidence 16.7/25 ROCE 17.2% · OPM 42% 100% evidence 11.3/20 P/E 28.6× · PEG 0.65 100% evidence 14.0/20 RS sector 30.9% · RS bench 24% · 1Y 85.4%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 15.7 + 16.7 + 11.3 + 14 = 57.7 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 24%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
7BF Utilities LtdBFUTILITIE 56.5/100Thin evidence · provisional51% evidence TURNING 18.9/35 Revenue -0.6% · PAT 16.8% · OPM change 3 pp 36% evidence 18.9/25 ROCE 29.9% · OPM 76% 57% evidence 14.2/20 P/E 14.1× · PEG — 50% evidence 4.5/20 RS sector -34% · RS bench -9.4% · 1Y -25.6%8 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 18.9 + 18.9 + 14.2 + 4.5 = 56.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
8Gujarat Industries Power Co LtdGIPCL 55.0/100Mixed-positive evidence90% evidence TURNING 26.7/35 Revenue 18.7% · PAT 89.6% · OPM change 11 pp 88% evidence 9.6/25 ROCE 5.5% · OPM 46% 100% evidence 11.7/20 P/E 6.2× · PEG 2.48 100% evidence 7.0/20 RS sector -15.4% · RS bench -0.8% · 1Y -18.9%7 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 26.7 + 9.6 + 11.7 + 7 = 55 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
9CESC LtdCESC 52.7/100Mixed-positive evidence78% evidence ASLEEP 16.5/35 Revenue 9.2% · PAT 13.1% · OPM change -3 pp 83% evidence 14.3/25 ROCE 10.6% · OPM 18% 76% evidence 10.6/20 P/E 14.2× · PEG — 50% evidence 11.3/20 RS sector 3.5% · RS bench -1.9% · 1Y -4.4%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.5 + 14.3 + 10.6 + 11.3 = 52.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
10NTPC LtdNTPC 48.4/100Mixed-negative evidence82% evidence ASLEEP 15.1/35 Revenue 2.4% · PAT 15.4% · OPM change 5 pp 95% evidence 13.2/25 ROCE 8.3% · OPM 32% 76% evidence 11.7/20 P/E 12.1× · PEG — 50% evidence 8.4/20 RS sector 1.7% · RS bench -3.4% · 1Y 4.2%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 15.1 + 13.2 + 11.7 + 8.4 = 48.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
11SJVN LtdSJVN 45.4/100Mixed-negative evidence90% evidence ASLEEP 16.5/35 Revenue 60.5% · PAT -7.3% · OPM change -16 pp 95% evidence 8.3/25 ROCE 5.6% · OPM 61% 95% evidence 14.2/20 P/E 42.2× · PEG 0.29 65% evidence 6.4/20 RS sector -9.2% · RS bench -14.1% · 1Y -27.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.5 + 8.3 + 14.2 + 6.4 = 45.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
12NHPC LtdNHPC 42.7/100Mixed-negative evidence96% evidence ASLEEP 17.1/35 Revenue 11.9% · PAT 23.7% · OPM change -28 pp 88% evidence 7.5/25 ROCE 5.7% · OPM 23% 100% evidence 4.9/20 P/E 21× · PEG 3.32 100% evidence 13.2/20 RS sector 2.8% · RS bench -2.5% · 1Y -5.7%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.1 + 7.5 + 4.9 + 13.2 = 42.7 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is -2.5%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
13Torrent Power LtdTORNTPOWER 42.5/100Mixed-negative evidence78% evidence ASLEEP 9.5/35 Revenue -0.7% · PAT -19.2% · OPM change 0 pp 83% evidence 15.6/25 ROCE 13.7% · OPM 18% 76% evidence 6.4/20 P/E 31.1× · PEG — 50% evidence 11.0/20 RS sector 5.7% · RS bench 0.4% · 1Y 6.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 9.5 + 15.6 + 6.4 + 11 = 42.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
14Jaiprakash Power Ventures LtdJPPOWER 41.5/100Mixed-negative evidence77% evidence ASLEEP 11.2/35 Revenue 8.8% · PAT -13.7% · OPM change 5 pp 100% evidence 8.7/25 ROCE 7% · OPM 43% 100% evidence 10.6/20 P/E 15× · PEG — 15% evidence 11.0/20 RS sector -0.2% · RS bench 2.2% · 1Y -9.1%6 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 11.2 + 8.7 + 10.6 + 11 = 41.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
15Orient Green Power Company LtdGREENPOWER 38.7/100Mixed-negative evidence74% evidence ASLEEP 12.8/35 Revenue 0.7% · PAT 15.5% · OPM change -1 pp 95% evidence 11.5/25 ROCE 7.2% · OPM 68% 95% evidence 10.1/20 P/E 21.8× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.3/20 RS sector -18.5% · RS bench -15.5% · 1Y -29%6 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 12.8 + 11.5 + 10.1 + 4.3 = 38.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
16Tata Power Company LtdTATAPOWER 38.3/100Mixed-negative evidence100% evidence ASLEEP 12.0/35 Revenue -4.2% · PAT 8.4% · OPM change 0 pp 100% evidence 13.1/25 ROCE 10.5% · OPM 20% 100% evidence 5.2/20 P/E 31.1× · PEG 4.63 100% evidence 8.0/20 RS sector 1.3% · RS bench -4% · 1Y -3.7%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 12 + 13.1 + 5.2 + 8 = 38.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
17India Power Corporation LtdDPSCLTD 36.8/100Mixed-negative evidence69% evidence ASLEEP 17.9/35 Revenue 10.1% · PAT 82.4% · OPM change 65.3 pp 62% evidence 3.9/25 ROCE 3.5% · OPM -1.8% 95% evidence 11.2/20 P/E 55.9× · PEG — 50% evidence 3.8/20 RS sector -26.4% · RS bench -26% · 1Y -43.3%1 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.9 + 3.9 + 11.2 + 3.8 = 36.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
18NTPC Green Energy Ltdthis pageNTPCGREEN 36.2/100Mixed-negative evidence93% evidence ASLEEP 19.4/35 Revenue 42.1% · PAT 8.8% · OPM change 0 pp 100% evidence 8.9/25 ROCE 3.5% · OPM 89% 100% evidence 3.5/20 P/E 125× · PEG 4.9 65% evidence 4.4/20 RS sector -4.3% · RS bench -9.4% · 1Y -14.9%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.4 + 8.9 + 3.5 + 4.4 = 36.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
19Reliance Power LtdRPOWER 33.2/100Adverse evidence70% evidence ASLEEP 11.4/35 Revenue 0.5% · PAT -80% · OPM change 1 pp 88% evidence 8.8/25 ROCE 6.1% · OPM 31% 100% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 3.0/20 RS sector -40.9% · RS bench -30.4% · 1Y -58.8%6 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 11.4 + 8.8 + 10 + 3 = 33.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
20RattanIndia Power LtdRTNPOWER 31.0/100Adverse evidence75% evidence ASLEEP 12.0/35 Revenue -6.4% · PAT -4.3% · OPM change 4 pp 74% evidence 5.5/25 ROCE 6.2% · OPM 16% 100% evidence 8.1/20 P/E 42× · PEG — 50% evidence 5.4/20 RS sector -13.9% · RS bench -12.6% · 1Y -34.7%4 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 12 + 5.5 + 8.1 + 5.4 = 31 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

15 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is NTPC Green Energy Ltd's share price today?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd trades at ₹90.0, −13.9% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹75,862 Cr. The stock sits at 15% of its 52-week range of ₹86–₹112, −8.7% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 2 weeks in. — as of 31 July 2026.

What were NTPC Green Energy Ltd's latest quarterly results?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,107 Cr and net profit of ₹305 Cr for the Jun 26 quarter. Revenue rose 62.8% and profit rose 38.6% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹0.36. The operating margin was 89.0%, 0.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is NTPC Green Energy Ltd's revenue?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,107 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter, +62.8% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹2,858 Cr (+29.3%). Over the last 3 years revenue compounded at 156.2% a year. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is NTPC Green Energy Ltd's profit?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd earned ₹305 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +38.6% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹521 Cr. The operating margin ran 89.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is NTPC Green Energy Ltd's market cap?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹75,862 Cr at a share price of ₹90.0. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is NTPC Green Energy Ltd's P/E ratio?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd trades at a P/E of 125.0×, at the 2nd percentile of its own 2-year range, against a long-run median of 156.4×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 31 July 2026.

Does NTPC Green Energy Ltd pay a dividend?

No — NTPC Green Energy Ltd has recorded a dividend payout of 0% of profit in each of its last 4 reported fiscal years, so there is no payout history to quote. That is a reading of the filed annual statements, not an estimate. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is NTPC Green Energy Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, NTPC Green Energy Ltd looks cheap against its own history: its P/E of 125.0× has been cheaper only 2% of the time in 2 years (long-run median 156.4×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is NTPC Green Energy Ltd growing?

Yes — NTPC Green Energy Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +62.8% year on year, profit +38.6%, and the margin +0.0 pp at 89.0%. The 3-year compound rates are 156.2% (revenue) and 45.0% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 31 July 2026.

How is NTPC Green Energy Ltd performing?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd is in a downtrend, 2 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 62.8% and profit rose 38.6% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 13 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is NTPC Green Energy Ltd in an uptrend?

No — the price is in a downtrend (week 2 of stage 4), trading −8.7% versus its 200-day average and at 15% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 31 July 2026.

Is NTPC Green Energy Ltd beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view NTPC Green Energy Ltd is currently behind the NIFTY 500 (13 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-05), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.7 years the stock moved −28% against the NIFTY 500's +2% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 31 July 2026.

Will NTPC Green Energy Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for NTPC Green Energy Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹90.0, the price is in a downtrend 2 weeks in. Its P/E of 125.0× sits at the 2nd percentile of its own 2-year range. — as of 31 July 2026.

Who owns NTPC Green Energy Ltd?

Promoters hold 89.0% of NTPC Green Energy Ltd, foreign institutions 1.7%, domestic institutions 5.2% and the public 4.1% (latest quarter). No holder moved a full point over the last two years — the register is quiet. — as of 31 July 2026.

Does NTPC Green Energy Ltd have too much debt?

It carries real leverage — NTPC Green Energy Ltd's debt-to-equity is 1.67, and operating profit covers the interest bill 3×. FY26 borrowings were ₹31,716 Cr against equity of ₹18,965 Cr. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 31 July 2026.

What is NTPC Green Energy Ltd's capex?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd spent ₹39,391 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹18,698 Cr, with ₹14,193 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is NTPC Green Energy Ltd's cash flow?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd generated ₹2,386 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹−16,312 Cr of free cash flow after ₹18,698 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹521 Cr, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is NTPC Green Energy Ltd's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 449% of NTPC Green Energy Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹2,386 Cr against reported profit of ₹521 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 31 July 2026.

Where is NTPC Green Energy Ltd in its business cycle?

NTPC Green Energy Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 87.0%, against a 4-year band of 87.0%–90.0%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran 89.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 31 July 2026.

What could break the NTPC Green Energy Ltd story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 31 July 2026.

Is NTPC Green Energy Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: NTPC Green Energy Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +10.7% in a year against a −13.9% price move. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 31 July 2026.

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