Berger Paints India Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Berger Paints India Ltd trades at ₹520, in a confirmed uptrend and 5 weeks into that stage. That is +3.6% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 66% of a 52-week range of ₹408 to ₹580. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 1 straight week.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 5 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹520 it trades +3.6% versus its 200-day average and sits at 66% of its 52-week range (₹408–₹580).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +269% while the NIFTY 500 moved +276% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 1 straight week — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Berger Paints India Ltd trades at 53.6× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 23% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 61.4×, measured across 10.4 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 53.6× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 23% of the time, against a long-run median of 61.4× measured over 10.4 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −4.5% against a −8.2% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the −5.8%/yr price move, ~+9.5%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−15.3 pp from the multiple (compressing); over 10y, of the +10.1%/yr price move, ~+10.6%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−0.5 pp from the multiple (roughly flat). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Berger Paints India Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −4.7% latest against +36.2% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE slipping at 21.7%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

4-Factor Sector Score

46.7/100 — rank 3 of 6 in Building Materials - Paints · 96% evidence confidence

Berger Paints India Ltd scores 46.7 out of 100 against the 6 companies it is compared with in Building Materials - Paints, ranking 3. Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 0.9%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 10.8 + 17.5 + 4.4 + 14 = 46.7. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Berger Paints India Ltd reported ₹2,868 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +6.1% year on year. That is the 12th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 10.9% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹11,880 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹11,880 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹11,880 Cr (+2.9% on the year), capping 10 years at 10.9% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹2,868 Cr, +6.1% year on year — the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +3.0% growth against the decade's 10.9% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +2.9% over the last 4 quarters against +3.0%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit −4.7% vs −1.9%/yr — stabilising.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Berger Paints India Ltd's operating margin is 17.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +1.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 12.0% to 17.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 17.0%, +1.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 12.0%–17.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +1.0 pp year on year while gross margin went +1.5 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Berger Paints India Ltd earned ₹335 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +27.4% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹1,128 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 11.8%. That is 11.7% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹263 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹335 Cr, +27.4% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹1,128 Cr (−4.6%), and the 10-year compound rate is 11.8%.

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +6.1% and the margin +1.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −3.9% vs revenue +3.0%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 126% of Berger Paints India Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹1,540 Cr of operating cash against ₹1,128 Cr of profit. After ₹747 Cr of capital spending, ₹793 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹1,540 Cr against reported profit of ₹1,128 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹793 Cr after ₹747 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 126% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 126%: the cash cycle stretched 20 days between FY21 and FY26 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 1.7× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Berger Paints India Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 87 days in FY26, up from 67 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹1,791 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹11,880 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹32.5 Cr, so roughly ₹2,832 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 48 days, inventory at 144 days — roughly 4.7 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 87 days, looser than FY21's 67.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 144 days to sell; customers pay about 48 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 105 days — netting out to the 87-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹11,880 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹32.5 Cr — so the 87-day loop keeps roughly ₹2,832 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹1,791 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹1,077 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹316 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Berger Paints India Ltd earns a ROCE of 22% in FY26. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +5.8 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 9.5% net margin on 1.18× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 22%.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 9.5% net margin × 1.18× asset turns × 1.45× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 16.3% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 17.8% − 12.0% = a +5.8 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Berger Paints India Ltd carries total debt of ₹635 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹6,930 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.09 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.26 in FY22 to 0.09 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹635 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹6,930 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.09. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.26 (FY22) to 0.09 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Domestic institutions added 4.2 points of Berger Paints India Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes domestic institutions to 11.8% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −2.7 points over the same window, to 4.8%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: +4.2 points over 8 quarters to 11.8%; Foreign institutions: −2.7 points over 8 quarters to 4.8%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 75.0%.

Why the register moved: rotation — foreign institutions −2.7 points against domestic institutions +4.2 points over 8 quarters, with promoters holding steady — one class of institutions handing the register to the other, not a verdict change by the people closest to the numbers.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Berger Paints India Ltd: the Z-score reads 14.80. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 14.80 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 14.80.

Frequently asked questions