Warner Music Group Corp.
WMGWarner Music Group Corp.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.
Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.
The price is in a downtrend (2 weeks in). Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +257.1% year on year, and 115% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.
Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.
Warner Music Group Corp. trades at $28.3, in a downtrend and 2 weeks into that stage. That is −1.1% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 41% of a 52-week range of $24 to $35. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (13 weeks and counting).
Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 2 of stage 4. At $28.3 it trades −1.1% versus its 200-day average and sits at 41% of its 52-week range ($24–$35).
Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 6.3 years the stock moved −5% while the S&P 500 moved +136% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (13 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-18) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.
What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.
Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.
Warner Music Group Corp. trades at 22.4× P/E, against too little history to rank. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.
Today's P/E of 22.4× is against too little history to rank. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.
Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −16.9% against a −15.6% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.
The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the −4.3%/yr price move, ~+2.0%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−6.3 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.
Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.
Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).
Warner Music Group Corp. reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — the growth curves are steadily positive, but ROCE at 14.5% is below the 15% bar this page requires to call it Consistent. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.
Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.
| 1yr | 3yr | 5yr | 10yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.4% | +4.3% | — | — |
| Profit | −19.7% | −10.5% | — | — |
| EPS | −16.9% | −13.3% | — | — |
| Stock price | −15.6% | −4.3% | −7.3% | — |
4-Factor Sector Score
51.7/100 — rank 9 of 28 in Entertainment · 81% evidence confidence
Warner Music Group Corp. scores 51.7 out of 100 against the 28 companies it is compared with in Entertainment, ranking 9. Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -17.4% and the one-year return is -15.6%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
The four contributions add to the total exactly: 24.1 + 14.8 + 7.4 + 5.4 = 51.7. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.
What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.
Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.
Warner Music Group Corp. reported $1.7 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +16.9% year on year. That is the 4th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 6.1% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $6.7 B. The last four reported quarters add to $7.1 B.
FY25 revenue came in at $6.7 B (+4.4% on the year), capping 4 years at 6.1% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $1.7 B, +16.9% year on year — the 4th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.
Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +12.7% growth against the decade's 6.1% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.
Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +12.6% over the last 4 quarters against +5.6%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit +7.5% vs +1.4%/yr — accelerating.
Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.
Warner Music Group Corp.'s operating margin is 15.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +3.5 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 10.3% to 13.1%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.
The latest quarter's operating margin is 15.0%, +3.5 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 10.3%–13.1%.
Why the margin moved: operating margin went +3.5 pp year on year while gross margin went −0.4 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.
Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.
Warner Music Group Corp. earned $0.3 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +257.1% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.5 B. The 4-year compound rate is 3.6%. That is 14.5% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.1 B.
Mar 26 profit was $0.3 B, +257.1% year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $0.5 B (−19.7%), and the 4-year compound rate is 3.6%.
Why profit moved: revenue contributed +16.9% and the margin +3.5 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.
Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +51.6% vs revenue +12.7%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra dollar of revenue drops more to the bottom line.
Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.
Over the last 3 fiscal years 115% of Warner Music Group Corp.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was $0.7 B of operating cash against $0.5 B of profit. After $0.1 B of capital spending, $0.5 B was left as free cash.
FY25: operating cash of $0.7 B against reported profit of $0.5 B, leaving free cash of $0.5 B after $0.1 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 115% of profit.
Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.
Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.
Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.
Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).
Warner Music Group Corp. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY25 revenue a year.
Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.
On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.
The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.
Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.
Warner Music Group Corp. earns a ROE of 70% in FY25. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +8.8 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 7.9% net margin on 0.68× asset turns.
FY25 ROE is 70%.
Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 7.9% net margin × 0.68× asset turns × 12.93× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 69.5% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.
The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 18.1% − 9.3% = a +8.8 pp spread. The 9.3% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every dollar reinvested creates more than a dollar of value — the engine compounds.
Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.
Warner Music Group Corp. paid $0.75 per share over the last four reported quarters, up 5.6% on a year ago. The most recent declaration was $0.19 for Mar 26. Against the current price of $28.3 that is a trailing yield of 2.65%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.
Warner Music Group Corp. paid $0.75 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.19 for Mar 26. That is up 5.6% against the same quarter a year earlier. Against the current price of $28.3 the trailing twelve months work out to 2.65% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.
Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.
Warner Music Group Corp. carries total debt of $4.9 B against shareholder equity of $0.8 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 5.88. On the annual view that ratio went from 130.20 in FY21 to 5.67 in FY25. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.
Mar 26: total debt of $4.9 B against shareholder equity of $0.8 B — a debt-to-equity of 5.88. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 130.20 (FY21) to 5.67 (FY25). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.
Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.
7.1% of Warner Music Group Corp.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 4.8 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.
The latest reading: 7.1% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 4.8 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.
Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.
Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.
Warner Music Group Corp.: the Z-score reads 1.77. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.
🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of 1.77 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.
The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 1.77.
| Company | Score | Price stage | Growth & earnings/35 | Capital efficiency/25 | Valuation/20 | Relative strength/20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Netflix, Inc.NFLX | 69.2/100Favorable setup85% evidence | BASING | 26.6/35 Revenue 16% · PAT 33.2% · OPM change -0.7 pp 95% evidence | 21.9/25 ROCE 31% · OPM 33.4% 76% evidence | 15.1/20 P/E 22× · PEG 0.61 65% evidence | 5.6/20 RS sector -28.6% · RS bench -21.8% · 1Y -37.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 26.6 + 21.9 + 15.1 + 5.6 = 69.2 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -28.6% and the one-year return is -37.7%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth. | ||||||
| 2Roku, Inc.ROKU | 64.7/100Mixed-positive evidence67% evidence | LEADER | 26.4/35 Revenue 18.5% · PAT — · OPM change 14.3 pp 71% evidence | 12.6/25 ROCE 8.9% · OPM 12.2% 76% evidence | 9.6/20 P/E 57.4× · PEG — 15% evidence | 16.1/20 RS sector 15.6% · RS bench 25.2% · 1Y 52.4%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 26.4 + 12.6 + 9.6 + 16.1 = 64.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 3Fox CorporationFOXA | 58.7/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence | TURNING | 18.3/35 Revenue 5.1% · PAT -25.5% · OPM change 0.7 pp 95% evidence | 19.1/25 ROCE 17.5% · OPM 25.2% 76% evidence | 12.7/20 P/E 12.3× · PEG 1.5 65% evidence | 8.6/20 RS sector -10.6% · RS bench -2.4% · 1Y 9.1%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 18.3 + 19.1 + 12.7 + 8.6 = 58.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 4The Walt Disney CompanyDIS | 56.3/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 17.4/35 Revenue 4.6% · PAT -26.4% · OPM change 3.6 pp 95% evidence | 16.4/25 ROCE 9.1% · OPM 19.3% 76% evidence | 15.7/20 P/E 19.9× · PEG 0.52 65% evidence | 6.8/20 RS sector -13.1% · RS bench -5.1% · 1Y -6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17.4 + 16.4 + 15.7 + 6.8 = 56.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 5The Marcus CorporationMCS | 55.2/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | LEADER | 18.6/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.2 pp 45% evidence | 8.5/25 ROCE 3.2% · OPM -12.5% 76% evidence | 10.2/20 P/E 33× · PEG — 15% evidence | 17.9/20 RS sector 26% · RS bench 36.1% · 1Y 76.1%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 18.6 + 8.5 + 10.2 + 17.9 = 55.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 6IMAX CorporationIMAX | 54.3/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 15.8/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -7.1 pp 45% evidence | 11.4/25 ROCE 3.1% · OPM 12.2% 76% evidence | 9.7/20 P/E 55.4× · PEG — 15% evidence | 17.4/20 RS sector 15.1% · RS bench 24.9% · 1Y 62.9%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 15.8 + 11.4 + 9.7 + 17.4 = 54.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 7Cinemark Holdings, Inc.CNK | 54.2/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | FADING | 20.7/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 7.3 pp 45% evidence | 11.0/25 ROCE 6.4% · OPM 3.7% 76% evidence | 10.9/20 P/E 18.8× · PEG — 15% evidence | 11.6/20 RS sector 2.4% · RS bench 11% · 1Y 23.3%7 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 20.7 + 11 + 10.9 + 11.6 = 54.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 8Sirius XM Holdings Inc.SIRI | 53.3/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | TURNING | 18.3/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 3 pp 45% evidence | 12.9/25 ROCE 1.9% · OPM 21.7% 76% evidence | 11.2/20 P/E 11.8× · PEG — 15% evidence | 10.9/20 RS sector 0.4% · RS bench 9% · 1Y 23.5%7 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 18.3 + 12.9 + 11.2 + 10.9 = 53.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 9Warner Music Group Corp.this pageWMG | 51.7/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence | BASING | 24.1/35 Revenue 12.6% · PAT 8.4% · OPM change 3.9 pp 83% evidence | 14.8/25 ROCE 4.5% · OPM 15.2% 76% evidence | 7.4/20 P/E 30× · PEG 2.79 65% evidence | 5.4/20 RS sector -17.4% · RS bench -9.8% · 1Y -15.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 24.1 + 14.8 + 7.4 + 5.4 = 51.7 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -17.4% and the one-year return is -15.6%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth. | ||||||
| 10Sphere Entertainment Co.SPHR | 48.6/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence | FADING | 22.3/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 29.9 pp 45% evidence | 5.2/25 ROCE -3.1% · OPM 1.9% 76% evidence | 9.3/20 P/E 66× · PEG — 15% evidence | 11.8/20 RS sector 9.2% · RS bench 18.1% · 1Y 141.9%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 22.3 + 5.2 + 9.3 + 11.8 = 48.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 11AMC Global Media Inc.AMCX | 48.2/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence | LEADER | 12.9/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -5.8 pp 45% evidence | 7.9/25 ROCE 0.5% · OPM 5.8% 76% evidence | 11.4/20 P/E 11.3× · PEG — 15% evidence | 16.0/20 RS sector 15.9% · RS bench 25.7% · 1Y 44.5%12 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 12.9 + 7.9 + 11.4 + 16 = 48.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 12Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.BATRA | 45.1/100Mixed-negative evidence61% evidence | TURNING | 20.0/35 Revenue 12.5% · PAT — · OPM change 36.9 pp 62% evidence | 4.1/25 ROCE -3.3% · OPM -57.3% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence | 11.0/20 RS sector -1.6% · RS bench 6.9% · 1Y 22.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 20 + 4.1 + 10 + 11 = 45.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 13News CorporationNWS | 42.8/100Mixed-negative evidence75% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 16.7/35 Revenue 4.3% · PAT -4.8% · OPM change 1.2 pp 83% evidence | 10.8/25 ROCE 1.6% · OPM 9.3% 76% evidence | 6.0/20 P/E 36.1× · PEG 3.87 65% evidence | 9.3/20 RS sector -4.4% · RS bench 4.1% · 1Y -1.4%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 16.7 + 10.8 + 6 + 9.3 = 42.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 14Manchester United plcMANU | 42.0/100Thin evidence · provisional55% evidence | FADING | 17.8/35 Revenue 5.9% · PAT — · OPM change 2.3 pp 62% evidence | 6.3/25 ROCE 0.6% · OPM 2.7% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence | 7.9/20 RS sector -7% · RS bench 1% · 1Y 31.4%8 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17.8 + 6.3 + 10 + 7.9 = 42 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 15Paramount Skydance CorporationPSKY | 40.6/100Mixed-negative evidence64% evidence | TURNING | 14.9/35 Revenue 1.1% · PAT — · OPM change 0.8 pp 62% evidence | 9.3/25 ROCE 1.8% · OPM 8.4% 76% evidence | 10.3/20 P/E 31.5× · PEG — 15% evidence | 6.1/20 RS sector -20.7% · RS bench -13.2% · 1Y -41.2%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 14.9 + 9.3 + 10.3 + 6.1 = 40.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 16TKO Group Holdings, Inc.TKO | 40.2/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence | ASLEEP | 19.9/35 Revenue 5.1% · PAT 76.5% · OPM change -0.3 pp 95% evidence | 12.9/25 ROCE 3.1% · OPM 27.8% 76% evidence | 4.6/20 P/E 70.6× · PEG 3.98 65% evidence | 2.8/20 RS sector -15.9% · RS bench -8.3% · 1Y -4.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 19.9 + 12.9 + 4.6 + 2.8 = 40.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 17Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.LYV | 39.7/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence | ASLEEP | 12.4/35 Revenue 10.8% · PAT -68.2% · OPM change -0.1 pp 95% evidence | 12.0/25 ROCE 5.1% · OPM 6.8% 76% evidence | 8.1/20 P/E 118.4× · PEG 2.08 65% evidence | 7.2/20 RS sector -7.2% · RS bench 0.9% · 1Y 4.5%8 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 12.4 + 12 + 8.1 + 7.2 = 39.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 18Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.MSGE | 37.1/100Mixed-negative evidence81% evidence | LEADER | 7.3/35 Revenue 4.5% · PAT -62.9% · OPM change -4.8 pp 83% evidence | 10.0/25 ROCE 3.8% · OPM 6.5% 76% evidence | 7.0/20 P/E 57.8× · PEG 2.7 65% evidence | 12.8/20 RS sector 10% · RS bench 19.2% · 1Y 75.7%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 7.3 + 10 + 7 + 12.8 = 37.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 19Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.MSGS | 35.0/100Mixed-negative evidence64% evidence | TURNING | 9.0/35 Revenue 1.5% · PAT -675% · OPM change -7.1 pp 62% evidence | 5.7/25 ROCE 0.2% · OPM 0.5% 76% evidence | 8.5/20 P/E 927.2× · PEG — 15% evidence | 11.8/20 RS sector 8.9% · RS bench 18% · 1Y 84.4%8 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 9 + 5.7 + 8.5 + 11.8 = 35 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 20Lionsgate Studios Corp.LION | 34.6/100Adverse evidence61% evidence | ASLEEP | 8.3/35 Revenue 1.8% · PAT — · OPM change -12.4 pp 62% evidence | 10.7/25 ROCE 4.2% · OPM 13% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence | 5.6/20 RS sector -5% · RS bench 2.8% · 1Y 64.9%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 8.3 + 10.7 + 10 + 5.6 = 34.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 21Reservoir Media, Inc.RSVR | 34.0/100Adverse evidence81% evidence | ASLEEP | 15.4/35 Revenue 10.8% · PAT -12.5% · OPM change -0.4 pp 83% evidence | 10.6/25 ROCE 1.4% · OPM 24.8% 76% evidence | 4.0/20 P/E 75.3× · PEG 8.29 65% evidence | 4.0/20 RS sector -8.5% · RS bench -0.6% · 1Y 19.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 15.4 + 10.6 + 4 + 4 = 34 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 22Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.WBD | 31.2/100Adverse evidence75% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 11.5/35 Revenue -6% · PAT -589.7% · OPM change 4.6 pp 95% evidence | 5.8/25 ROCE 0.3% · OPM 2.7% 76% evidence | 8.8/20 P/E 99.4× · PEG — 15% evidence | 5.1/20 RS sector -8.1% · RS bench 0.1% · 1Y 45.2%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 11.5 + 5.8 + 8.8 + 5.1 = 31.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
| 23AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.AMC | 55.2/100Thin evidence · provisional49% evidence | ASLEEP | 20.8/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 12.5 pp 45% evidence | 8.1/25 ROCE 3.8% · OPM -4.4% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence | 16.3/20 RS sector 16.8% · RS bench 26.7% · 1Y -11.6%9 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 20.8 + 8.1 + 10 + 16.3 = 55.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 24Angel Studios, Inc.ANGX | 49.7/100Thin evidence · provisional47% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 22.0/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 68.5 pp 39% evidence | 3.8/25 ROCE -14.5% · OPM -2.3% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence | 13.9/20 RS sector 6% · RS bench 15.9% · 1Y -11.7%11 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 22 + 3.8 + 10 + 13.9 = 49.7 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 25Liberty Live Holdings, Inc.LLYVK | 48.5/100Thin evidence · provisional36% evidence | ASLEEP | 17.6/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -4.7 pp 15% evidence | 13.3/25 ROCE 18.7% · OPM -27.2% 57% evidence | 11.5/20 P/E -70.3× · PEG — 15% evidence | 6.1/20 RS sector -9.2% · RS bench -1.2% · 1Y 1.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17.6 + 13.3 + 11.5 + 6.1 = 48.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 26Starz Entertainment Corp.STRZ | 48.4/100Thin evidence · provisional47% evidence | FADING | 17.9/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -5.2 pp 39% evidence | 3.5/25 ROCE -254.9% · OPM -49.8% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence | 17.0/20 RS sector 32.8% · RS bench 42.6% · 1Y 82.4%9 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17.9 + 3.5 + 10 + 17 = 48.4 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 27Versant Media Group, Inc.VSNT | 43.6/100Thin evidence · provisional48% evidence | ASLEEP | 8.3/35 Revenue -4% · PAT -34.7% · OPM change -3 pp 83% evidence | 15.3/25 ROCE 3.9% · OPM 26.2% 76% evidence | 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence | 10.0/20 RS sector — · RS bench — · 1Y —0 of 12 weeks ahead 0% evidence |
| Exact sum: 8.3 + 15.3 + 10 + 10 = 43.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
| 28Formula One GroupFWONK | 41.5/100Thin evidence · provisional47% evidence | FADING | 17.0/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 3.5 pp 32% evidence | 9.8/25 ROCE 0.5% · OPM 15.9% 76% evidence | 9.9/20 P/E 44.4× · PEG — 15% evidence | 4.8/20 RS sector -12.6% · RS bench -4.8% · 1Y -8%6 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence |
| Exact sum: 17 + 9.8 + 9.9 + 4.8 = 41.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral. | ||||||
Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.
Frequently asked questions
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s stock price today?
Warner Music Group Corp. trades at $28.3, −15.6% over the past year. The company is valued at $15.0 B. The stock sits at 41% of its 52-week range of $24–$35, −1.1% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 2 weeks in. — as of 17 September 2026.
What were Warner Music Group Corp.'s latest quarterly results?
Warner Music Group Corp. reported revenue of $1.7 B and net profit of $0.3 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 16.9% and profit rose 257.1% year on year. Earnings per share were $0.34. The operating margin was 15.0%, 3.5 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s revenue?
Warner Music Group Corp. reported revenue of $1.7 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +16.9% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $6.7 B (+4.4%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 6.1% a year. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s profit?
Warner Music Group Corp. earned $0.3 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +257.1% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.5 B. The operating margin ran 15.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s market cap?
Warner Music Group Corp.'s market capitalisation is $15.0 B at a stock price of $28.3. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 17 September 2026.
Does Warner Music Group Corp. pay a dividend?
Yes — Warner Music Group Corp. declared $0.19 per share for Mar 26, and $0.75 per share across the last four reported quarters. The latest quarter is up 5.6% on the same quarter a year earlier. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s dividend per share?
Warner Music Group Corp.'s most recently declared dividend is $0.19 per share for Mar 26, giving $0.75 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s dividend yield?
Warner Music Group Corp.'s trailing dividend yield is 2.65%: $0.75 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $28.3. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Warner Music Group Corp. growing?
Yes — Warner Music Group Corp. is growing: latest-quarter revenue +16.9% year on year, profit +257.1%, and the margin +3.5 pp at 15.0%. The 4-year compound rates are 6.1% (revenue) and 3.6% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 17 September 2026.
How is Warner Music Group Corp. performing?
Warner Music Group Corp. is in a downtrend, 2 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 16.9% and profit rose 257.1% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 13 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 17 September 2026.
What stage is Warner Music Group Corp. in?
Mixed — the growth curves are steadily positive, but ROCE at 14.5% is below the 15% bar this page requires to call it Consistent. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +12.6% latest, profit growth +7.5% latest, eps growth −2.3% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Warner Music Group Corp. in an uptrend?
No — the price is in a downtrend (week 2 of stage 4), trading −1.1% versus its 200-day average and at 41% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Warner Music Group Corp. beating the market?
Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Warner Music Group Corp. is currently behind the S&P 500 (13 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-18), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 6.3 years the stock moved −5% against the S&P 500's +136% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 17 September 2026.
Will Warner Music Group Corp.'s stock price go up?
This page publishes no price forecast for Warner Music Group Corp. What it measures instead: the stock price is $28.3, the price is in a downtrend 2 weeks in. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 17 September 2026.
Is the market betting against Warner Music Group Corp.?
Somewhat — short interest is 7.1% of Warner Music Group Corp.'s tradable float, about 4.8 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 17 September 2026.
Does Warner Music Group Corp. have too much debt?
It carries real leverage — Warner Music Group Corp.'s debt-to-equity is 4.53. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s capex?
Warner Music Group Corp. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.1 B. — as of 17 September 2026.
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s cash flow?
Warner Music Group Corp. generated $0.7 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $0.5 B of free cash flow after $0.1 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.5 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Warner Music Group Corp.'s profit real cash?
Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 115% of Warner Music Group Corp.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY25, operating cash was $0.7 B against reported profit of $0.5 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 17 September 2026.
How financially safe is Warner Music Group Corp.?
On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 1.77 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 17 September 2026.
Where is Warner Music Group Corp. in its business cycle?
Warner Music Group Corp.'s FY25 operating margin was 10.3%, against a 5-year band of 10.3%–13.1%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran 15.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 17 September 2026.
What could break the Warner Music Group Corp. story?
Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 17 September 2026.
Is Warner Music Group Corp. a stock worth studying right now?
This is not investment advice. The machine read: Warner Music Group Corp.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 17 September 2026.
Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!