Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation

FUN
Consumer Discretionary · Leisure

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is in a downtrend (4 weeks in). Underneath, the last four quarters read improving, and 172% of the last 2 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$18.1
−38.9% 1Y
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.2 B
+15.0% YoY
Profit (Mar 26), incl. one-off
$−0.3 B
one-off item — see below
Operating margin
−134.8%
+25.2 pp YoY
ROE
−123%
FY25
ROIC
5.0%
vs WACC 5.5% → −0.5 pp
Cash conversion
172%
of profit, last 2 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation trades at $18.1, in a downtrend and 4 weeks into that stage. That is −0.8% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 37% of a 52-week range of $13 to $26. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (5 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 4 of stage 4. At $18.1 it trades −0.8% versus its 200-day average and sits at 37% of its 52-week range ($13–$26).

Aug 26: $18.1 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−0.8% versus the 200-day line, week 4 of stage 4
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4S3S2S4S3$61.2$48.4$35.5$22.7$9.9$$18$18Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Aug 26
S4S3S2S4S3$61.2$48.4$35.5$22.7$9.9$$18$18Jul 23Jan 25Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (527 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 16Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved −69% while the S&P 500 moved +263% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (5 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-02) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

P/E does not price Six Flags Entertainment Corporation — earnings are negative, so there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where a turn, when it comes, would show first. On sales the market values Six Flags Entertainment Corporation at 0.6× its FY25 revenue of $3.1 B.

With earnings negative, P/E does not price — there is no multiple to rank against its own history. The revenue and margin lines below are where the turn, when it comes, will show first.

PEG 0.72 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 13 quarters; values above 6 pinned at the top.
below 1.0, the growth looks cheap against the multiple
PEGPEG = 1.0
6.5×4.8×3.2×1.6×0.0××0.72×Mar 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
6.5×4.8×3.2×1.6×0.0××0.72×Mar 23Sep 24Mar 26
P/E
earnings negative
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 9 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +14.4% in FY25 Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
55%111%40%7.3%25%−96%9.8%−200%−5.2%−304%%%14.4%−275%FY22FY23FY25
55%111%40%7.3%25%−96%9.8%−200%−5.2%−304%%%14.4%−275%FY22FY23FY25
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue rolling over
RevenueProfitEPS
108%−210%78%−234%47%−258%16%−283%−14%−307%%%15%−300%−300%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
108%−210%78%−234%47%−258%16%−283%−14%−307%%%15%−300%−300%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROE Annual readings — the quarterly balance-sheet pieces this curve needs are not held for this stock, so the returns read moves once a year and carries less weight in the call.
the return curve, annual readings
ROE
6.0%−49%−104%−159%−214%%−198.7%FY23FY24FY25
6.0%−49%−104%−159%−214%%−198.7%FY23FY24FY25
Revenue growth
Rolling over
latest +15.0% · span −5.8% to +86.5%
ROE
Falling
latest −198.7% · span −198.7%–−9.2%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

The latest quarter’s profit carries a one-off item larger than the operating base, so the profit curve is shown but does not vote in the stage call.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+14.4%+27.4%
Stock price−38.9%−24.4%−16.7%−11.4%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+15.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
27.4%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

39.3/100 — rank 19 of 22 in Leisure · 64% evidence confidence

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation scores 39.3 out of 100 against the 22 companies it is compared with in Leisure, ranking 19. Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -14.2% and the one-year return is -23.7%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 23 + 3.7 + 8.5 + 4.1 = 39.3. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation reported $0.2 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +15.0% year on year. Over 3 years it has compounded at 27.4% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $3.1 B. The last four reported quarters add to $3.1 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $3.1 B (+14.4% on the year), capping 3 years at 27.4% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.2 B, +15.0% year on year.

FY25 revenue $3.1 B (+14.4% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
27.4% a year over 3 years
RevenueYoY growth
3.355%2.540%1.725%0.89.8%0.0−5.2%$ B%$3B14.4%FY22FY23FY25
3.355%2.540%1.725%0.89.8%0.0−5.2%$ B%$3B14.4%FY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.2 B (+15.0% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.5108%1.178%0.747%0.416%0.0−14%$ B%$0B15%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.5108%1.178%0.747%0.416%0.0−14%$ B%$0B15%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +17.6% growth against the decade's 27.4% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +11.4% over the last 4 quarters against +31.5%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's operating margin is −134.8% in the Mar 26 quarter, +25.2 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −44.5% to 34.7%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −134.8%, +25.2 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −44.5%–34.7%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +25.2 pp year on year while gross margin went +33.9 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

FY25: −44.5% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a −44.5–34.7% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
41%−1.8%18%−16%−4.9%−31%−28%−45%−51%−60%%%−44.5%−55.9%FY22FY23FY25
41%−1.8%18%−16%−4.9%−31%−28%−45%−51%−60%%%−44.5%−55.9%FY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: −134.8% operating margin (+25.2 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
53%35%−4.4%−1.6%−62%−39%−119%−76%−176%−113%%%−134.8%25.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
53%35%−4.4%−1.6%−62%−39%−119%−76%−176%−113%%%−134.8%25.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation posted a net loss of $0.3 B in the Mar 26 quarter. That quarter carries a one-off item larger than its own revenue, so the year-on-year figure is an artefact rather than a trading result. The full FY25 year was a loss of $1.6 B. That loss is 117.4% of the quarter's revenue.

Mar 26 profit was $−0.3 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $−1.6 B (null).

🚨 Read this profit with care: at $−0.3 B it is larger than the whole quarter's revenue of $0.2 B — no operating business earns more than it sells, so this is a one-off item (a debt-to-equity conversion, a tax write-back or an asset sale), not money the business earned. The underlying operations are running at −134.8% operating margin; the year-on-year jump and any P/E built on this number are artefacts of the one-off, not a real earnings turn.

FY25 profit $−1.6 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profitYoY growth
0.5111%−0.17.3%−0.6−96%−1.2−200%−1.7−304%$ B%$−2B−275%FY22FY23FY25
0.5111%−0.17.3%−0.6−96%−1.2−200%−1.7−304%$ B%$−2B−275%FY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: $−0.3 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.396%−0.1−179%−0.5−454%−0.9−729%−1.3−1,004%$ B%$−0B−928.6%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.396%−0.1−179%−0.5−454%−0.9−729%−1.3−1,004%$ B%$−0B−928.6%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 2 fiscal years 172% of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was $0.3 B of operating cash against $−1.6 B of profit. After $0.5 B of capital spending, $−0.1 B was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of $0.3 B against reported profit of $−1.6 B, leaving free cash of $−0.1 B after $0.5 B of capital spending. Across the last 2 fiscal years the conversion rate is 172% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $0.3 B vs profit $−1.6 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 4-year window, annual resolution.
172% of 2-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.60.0−0.6−1.1−1.7$ B$0B$−2B$−0BFY23FY23FY25
0.60.0−0.6−1.1−1.7$ B$0B$−2B$−0BFY23FY23FY25
Mar 26: operating cash $−0.1 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.4322%0.2241%0.1160%−0.179%−0.20.0%$ B%$−0B243%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.4322%0.2241%0.1160%−0.179%−0.20.0%$ B%$−0B243%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $1.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 10.8% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $1.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.5 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.50.40.30.10.0$ B$1BFY23FY23FY25
0.50.40.30.10.0$ B$1BFY23FY23FY25
Mar 26: capex $0.1 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.180.30.140.10.090.00.05−0.20.00−0.4$ B$ B$0B$−0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.180.30.140.10.090.00.05−0.20.00−0.4$ B$ B$0B$−0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation earns a ROE of −199% in FY25. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −0.5 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is −50.0% net margin on 0.40× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is −199%.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): −50.0% net margin × 0.40× asset turns × 10.00× balance-sheet leverage ≈ −200.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 5.0% − 5.5% = a −0.5 pp spread. The 5.5% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY25: ROE −199% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 3-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 5.5% cost of capital used on this page.
the full ladder
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
29%−32%−93%−154%−216%%−198.7%−18.5%FY23FY24FY25
29%−32%−93%−154%−216%%−198.7%−18.5%FY23FY24FY25
Mar 26: ROIC −3.3% (TTM) vs WACC 5.5% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
38%−8.8%−56%−103%−150%%−3.3%−99.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
38%−8.8%−56%−103%−150%%−3.3%−99.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
11 · Dividend

Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation paid $1.20 per share over the last four reported quarters. The most recent declaration was $0.30 for Mar 24. Against the current price of $18.1 that is a trailing yield of 6.62%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation paid $1.20 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.30 for Mar 24. Against the current price of $18.1 the trailing twelve months work out to 6.62% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.

Dividend per share by quarter Declared dividend per share, $ B, per reported quarter. 4 quarters on file.
latest $0.30 (Mar 24)
Dividend per share
0.320.240.160.080.00$ B$0BJun 23Sep 23Mar 24
0.320.240.160.080.00$ B$0BJun 23Sep 23Mar 24
12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation carries total debt of $5.5 B against shareholder equity of $0.5 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 10.84. On the annual view that ratio went from −4.05 in FY23 to 6.92 in FY25. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of $5.5 B against shareholder equity of $0.5 B — a debt-to-equity of 10.84. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from −4.05 (FY23) to 6.92 (FY25). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY25: debt $5.4 B at 6.92× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 3-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
5.87.8×4.44.6×2.91.4×1.5−1.7×0.0−4.9×$ B×$5B6.92×FY23FY24FY25
5.87.8×4.44.6×2.91.4×1.5−1.7×0.0−4.9×$ B×$5B6.92×FY23FY24FY25
Mar 26: debt $5.5 B, debt-to-equity 10.84 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
6.012.0×4.57.7×3.03.4×1.5−1.0×0.0−5.3×$ B×$6B10.84×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
6.012.0×4.57.7×3.03.4×1.5−1.0×0.0−5.3×$ B×$6B10.84×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

21.7% of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's tradable float is currently sold short — a large bloc is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 7.4 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 21.7% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 7.4 days to buy those positions back. A large bloc is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
21.7%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
7.4
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation: the Z-score reads 0.31. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of 0.31 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 0.31.

15 · Related companies · Leisure
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.LTH 60.8/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence LEADER 18.2/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.9 pp 45% evidence 12.4/25 ROCE 2% · OPM 17.1% 76% evidence 10.2/20 P/E 22.3× · PEG — 15% evidence 20.0/20 RS sector 35.3% · RS bench 34% · 1Y 65.8%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 18.2 + 12.4 + 10.2 + 20 = 60.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
2Escalade, IncorporatedESCA 60.1/100Mixed-positive evidence75% evidence TURNING 18.9/35 Revenue -3.6% · PAT 6.7% · OPM change 3.9 pp 83% evidence 13.4/25 ROCE 3.1% · OPM 10.5% 76% evidence 11.7/20 P/E 15.3× · PEG 1.07 65% evidence 16.1/20 RS sector 29.6% · RS bench 28.5% · 1Y 86.4%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
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3Planet Fitness, Inc.PLNT 55.7/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence TURNING 22.4/35 Revenue 14.4% · PAT 27.1% · OPM change 0.7 pp 83% evidence 15.8/25 ROCE 3.5% · OPM 29.3% 76% evidence 12.5/20 P/E 26.9× · PEG 0.88 65% evidence 5.0/20 RS sector -39.5% · RS bench -40.3% · 1Y -47.5%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 22.4 + 15.8 + 12.5 + 5 = 55.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
4Hasbro, Inc.HAS 55.2/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence ASLEEP 23.2/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 7.8 pp 45% evidence 15.9/25 ROCE 6.1% · OPM 27% 76% evidence 11.2/20 P/E 15.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.9/20 RS sector -3.2% · RS bench -4.2% · 1Y 18.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.2 + 15.9 + 11.2 + 4.9 = 55.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
5Acushnet Holdings Corp.GOLF 54.9/100Mixed-positive evidence81% evidence BREAKING OUT 14.0/35 Revenue 6.3% · PAT -21.8% · OPM change -0.3 pp 83% evidence 15.4/25 ROCE 6% · OPM 16% 76% evidence 12.2/20 P/E 32.9× · PEG 0.88 65% evidence 13.3/20 RS sector 2.2% · RS bench 1.2% · 1Y 36.1%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14 + 15.4 + 12.2 + 13.3 = 54.9 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 1.2%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
6Amer Sports, Inc.AS 54.4/100Mixed-positive evidence71% evidence BASING 25.3/35 Revenue 28.8% · PAT 100% · OPM change 2 pp 83% evidence 13.3/25 ROCE 4.3% · OPM 16.5% 76% evidence 9.3/20 P/E 41.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 6.5/20 RS sector -7.5% · RS bench -8.6% · 1Y -2.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 25.3 + 13.3 + 9.3 + 6.5 = 54.4 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -7.5% and the one-year return is -2.6%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
7OneSpaWorld Holdings LimitedOSW 52.6/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence TURNING 17.1/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.5 pp 45% evidence 12.1/25 ROCE 3.7% · OPM 9.2% 76% evidence 9.5/20 P/E 35.7× · PEG — 15% evidence 13.9/20 RS sector 6.1% · RS bench 5% · 1Y 24.6%6 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.1 + 12.1 + 9.5 + 13.9 = 52.6 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
8Callaway Golf CompanyCALY 52.4/100Mixed-positive evidence71% evidence BREAKING OUT 16.7/35 Revenue -2.2% · PAT -88.7% · OPM change 3.7 pp 83% evidence 13.4/25 ROCE 3% · OPM 20.1% 76% evidence 8.7/20 P/E 99.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 13.6/20 RS sector 31.9% · RS bench 30.9% · 1Y 127.6%9 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.7 + 13.4 + 8.7 + 13.6 = 52.4 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 30.9%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
9Peloton Interactive, Inc.PTON 51.4/100Mixed-positive evidence64% evidence BREAKING OUT 20.9/35 Revenue -3.2% · PAT — · OPM change 13.5 pp 62% evidence 10.8/25 ROCE 3.9% · OPM 8.3% 76% evidence 9.0/20 P/E 85.8× · PEG — 15% evidence 10.7/20 RS sector -2.6% · RS bench -3.8% · 1Y -15.7%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.9 + 10.8 + 9 + 10.7 = 51.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
10Funko, Inc.FNKO 50.8/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence FADING 19.3/35 Revenue -10.5% · PAT — · OPM change 7.4 pp 62% evidence 5.3/25 ROCE -2.5% · OPM -4.8% 76% evidence 10.5/20 P/E 20.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 15.7/20 RS sector 28.5% · RS bench 27.5% · 1Y 134.1%8 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 19.3 + 5.3 + 10.5 + 15.7 = 50.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
11YETI Holdings, Inc.YETI 49.8/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence BREAKING OUT 12.0/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change -10.6 pp 45% evidence 11.0/25 ROCE 1.3% · OPM 3.3% 76% evidence 10.7/20 P/E 18.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 16.1/20 RS sector 11.7% · RS bench 10.8% · 1Y 58.5%10 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 12 + 11 + 10.7 + 16.1 = 49.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
12Xponential Fitness, Inc.XPOF 47.8/100Thin evidence · provisional55% evidence TURNING 18.8/35 Revenue -6% · PAT — · OPM change 8.9 pp 62% evidence 13.4/25 ROCE 5.1% · OPM 21.5% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 5.6/20 RS sector -14% · RS bench -15.2% · 1Y -5.8%4 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 18.8 + 13.4 + 10 + 5.6 = 47.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
13Johnson Outdoors Inc.JOUT 45.8/100Thin evidence · provisional52% evidence ASLEEP 17.7/35 Revenue — · PAT — · OPM change 1.2 pp 45% evidence 10.0/25 ROCE 2% · OPM 5.3% 76% evidence 8.8/20 P/E 98.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 9.3/20 RS sector -1.5% · RS bench -2.5% · 1Y 29.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.7 + 10 + 8.8 + 9.3 = 45.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
14American Outdoor Brands, Inc.AOUT 45.0/100Mixed-negative evidence61% evidence BREAKING OUT 11.7/35 Revenue -14.3% · PAT — · OPM change 0.7 pp 71% evidence 7.2/25 ROCE -0.2% · OPM -0.8% 76% evidence 10.8/20 P/E 18.1× · PEG — 15% evidence 15.3/20 RS sector 23.8% · RS bench 22.4% · 1Y 36.7%9 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 11.7 + 7.2 + 10.8 + 15.3 = 45 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 22.4%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
15JAKKS Pacific, Inc.JAKK 44.9/100Mixed-negative evidence68% evidence TURNING 9.5/35 Revenue -21.1% · PAT -80.4% · OPM change -1.9 pp 62% evidence 5.8/25 ROCE -2% · OPM -5.2% 76% evidence 14.8/20 P/E 28.5× · PEG 0.21 65% evidence 14.8/20 RS sector 18.6% · RS bench 17.5% · 1Y 58.5%4 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 9.5 + 5.8 + 14.8 + 14.8 = 44.9 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 17.5%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
16Mattel, Inc.MAT 41.5/100Mixed-negative evidence74% evidence BASING 12.7/35 Revenue -0.3% · PAT -4.8% · OPM change -5.5 pp 62% evidence 7.5/25 ROCE -2% · OPM -11.9% 76% evidence 15.7/20 P/E 9.2× · PEG 0.36 65% evidence 5.6/20 RS sector -21.7% · RS bench -22.4% · 1Y -13.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 12.7 + 7.5 + 15.7 + 5.6 = 41.5 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
17United Parks & Resorts Inc.PRKS 41.2/100Mixed-negative evidence74% evidence BREAKING OUT 10.7/35 Revenue -3.6% · PAT -32.7% · OPM change -9 pp 62% evidence 8.6/25 ROCE -0.4% · OPM -3.1% 76% evidence 7.9/20 P/E 12.3× · PEG 2.24 65% evidence 14.0/20 RS sector 1.9% · RS bench 0.5% · 1Y -5.1%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 10.7 + 8.6 + 7.9 + 14 = 41.2 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 0.5%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
18Playboy, Inc.PLBY 40.2/100Thin evidence · provisional55% evidence BASING 21.0/35 Revenue 5.2% · PAT — · OPM change 16.3 pp 62% evidence 5.3/25 ROCE -0.7% · OPM -5.4% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 3.9/20 RS sector -31.1% · RS bench -31.8% · 1Y -29.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 21 + 5.3 + 10 + 3.9 = 40.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
19Six Flags Entertainment Corporationthis pageFUN 39.3/100Mixed-negative evidence64% evidence ASLEEP 23.0/35 Revenue 11.2% · PAT — · OPM change 20.5 pp 62% evidence 3.7/25 ROCE -4.3% · OPM -138.4% 76% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 112.2× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.1/20 RS sector -14.2% · RS bench -15.3% · 1Y -23.7%6 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23 + 3.7 + 8.5 + 4.1 = 39.3 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -14.2% and the one-year return is -23.7%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
20Lucky Strike Entertainment CorporationLUCK 37.2/100Mixed-negative evidence65% evidence BASING 11.9/35 Revenue 4.9% · PAT -4350% · OPM change 0.9 pp 83% evidence 11.8/25 ROCE 2.2% · OPM 19.2% 76% evidence 9.2/20 P/E 49.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 4.3/20 RS sector -27.1% · RS bench -28% · 1Y -28.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 11.9 + 11.8 + 9.2 + 4.3 = 37.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
21Tron Inc.TRON 36.4/100Mixed-negative evidence61% evidence BASING 19.7/35 Revenue -20% · PAT — · OPM change 9 pp 62% evidence 5.6/25 ROCE -0.5% · OPM -50.4% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 1.1/20 RS sector -37.8% · RS bench -39.1% · 1Y -78.8%3 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 19.7 + 5.6 + 10 + 1.1 = 36.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
22Clarus CorporationCLAR 35.2/100Thin evidence · provisional58% evidence BREAKING OUT 14.1/35 Revenue -1.2% · PAT — · OPM change 1.4 pp 62% evidence 4.3/25 ROCE -2.6% · OPM -9.8% 76% evidence 10.3/20 P/E 20.7× · PEG — 15% evidence 6.5/20 RS sector -7.4% · RS bench -8.4% · 1Y -2.9%5 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14.1 + 4.3 + 10.3 + 6.5 = 35.2 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's stock price today?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation trades at $18.1, −38.9% over the past year. The company is valued at $2.0 B. The stock sits at 37% of its 52-week range of $13–$26, −0.8% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 4 weeks in. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's latest quarterly results?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation reported revenue of $0.2 B and a net loss of $0.3 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $−2.65. The operating margin was −134.8%, 25.2 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's revenue?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation reported revenue of $0.2 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +15.0% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $3.1 B (+14.4%). Over the last 3 years revenue compounded at 27.4% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's profit?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation earned $−0.3 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $−1.6 B. The operating margin ran −134.8% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's market cap?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's market capitalisation is $2.0 B at a stock price of $18.1. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Six Flags Entertainment Corporation pay a dividend?

Yes — Six Flags Entertainment Corporation declared $0.30 per share for Mar 24, and $1.20 per share across the last four reported quarters. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's dividend per share?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's most recently declared dividend is $0.30 per share for Mar 24, giving $1.20 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's dividend yield?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's trailing dividend yield is 6.62%: $1.20 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $18.1. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation performing?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation is in a downtrend, 4 weeks in. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 5 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation in an uptrend?

No — the price is in a downtrend (week 4 of stage 4), trading −0.8% versus its 200-day average and at 37% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Six Flags Entertainment Corporation is currently behind the S&P 500 (5 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-02), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved −69% against the S&P 500's +263% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Six Flags Entertainment Corporation. What it measures instead: the stock price is $18.1, the price is in a downtrend 4 weeks in. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Six Flags Entertainment Corporation?

Yes — short interest is 21.7% of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's tradable float, about 7.4 days to cover at typical volumes. A crowded short: a large bloc is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Six Flags Entertainment Corporation have too much debt?

It carries real leverage — Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's debt-to-equity is 10.76. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's capex?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation spent $1.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.5 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's cash flow?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated $0.3 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $−0.1 B of free cash flow after $0.5 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $−1.6 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 2 fiscal years, 172% of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY25, operating cash was $0.3 B against reported profit of $−1.6 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 5 August 2026.

How financially safe is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 0.31 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation in its business cycle?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's FY25 operating margin was −44.5%, against a 5-year band of −44.5%–34.7%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran −134.8%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Six Flags Entertainment Corporation story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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