Vadilal Enterprises Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd trades at ₹9,860, losing momentum at the top and 8 weeks into that stage. That is −0.6% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 17% of a 52-week range of ₹9,013 to ₹13,870. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 4 straight weeks.

Today the stock is losing momentum at the top — week 8 of stage 3, confirmed. At ₹9,860 it trades −0.6% versus its 200-day average and sits at 17% of its 52-week range (₹9,013–₹13,870).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.0 years the stock moved +1,964% while the NIFTY 500 moved +260% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 4 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd trades at 143.0× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (70th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 54.5×, measured across 10.0 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 143.0× is at the pricey end of its own range (70th percentile), against a long-run median of 54.5× measured over 10.0 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −23.7% against a +23.1% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +40.4%/yr price move, ~+111.5%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−71.1 pp from the multiple (compressing); over 10y, of the +35.4%/yr price move, ~+55.9%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−20.5 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 9 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

4-Factor Sector Score

47.8/100 — rank 7 of 8 in FMCG - Dairy Products · 45% evidence confidence · provisional, ranked below fully-evidenced peers

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd scores 47.8 out of 100 against the 8 companies it is compared with in FMCG - Dairy Products, ranking 7. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 14.5 + 12.4 + 8.5 + 12.4 = 47.8. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd reported ₹145 Cr of revenue in the Dec 25 quarter, +6.6% year on year. That is the 7th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 10.3% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at ₹1,119 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹1,150 Cr.

FY25 revenue came in at ₹1,119 Cr (+12.0% on the year), capping 10 years at 10.3% compound. The latest quarter (Dec 25) printed ₹145 Cr, +6.6% year on year — the 7th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +8.5% growth against the decade's 10.3% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +6.2% over the last 4 quarters against +7.2%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit +0.0% vs −13.4%/yr — accelerating.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd's operating margin is −11.0% in the Dec 25 quarter, +3.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 1.0% to 5.0%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −11.0%, +3.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 1.0%–5.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +3.0 pp year on year while gross margin went +10.6 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd posted a net loss of ₹16.0 Cr in the Dec 25 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was ₹6.0 Cr. That loss is 11.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost ₹18.0 Cr. 5 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Dec 25 profit was ₹−16.0 Cr, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed ₹6.0 Cr (−25.0%).

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 280% of Vadilal Enterprises Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was ₹32.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹6.0 Cr of profit. After ₹44.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹−12.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of ₹32.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹6.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−12.0 Cr after ₹44.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 280% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 280%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY20 and FY25 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.7× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs −8 days in FY25, down from 0 days in FY20. Capital spending ran ₹107 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY25 sales of ₹1,119 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹3.1 Cr, so roughly ₹−25.0 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY25: debtors at 19 days, inventory at 18 days — roughly 0.6 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of −8 days, tighter than FY20's 0.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 18 days to sell; customers pay about 19 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 45 days — netting out to the −8-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY25 sales of ₹1,119 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹3.1 Cr — so the −8-day loop keeps roughly ₹−25.0 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹107 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹39.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹18.0 Cr (FY25) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd earns a ROCE of 20% in FY25. That is up from a trough of 4% in FY14. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 0.5% net margin on 3.98× asset turns.

FY25 ROCE is 20%, recovered from a FY14 trough of 4% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 0.5% net margin × 3.98× asset turns × 12.85× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 25.6% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd carries ₹47.0 Cr of borrowings against ₹21.9 Cr of equity in FY25, a debt-to-equity of 2.15. Operating profit covers the interest bill 4×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹25.0 Cr to ₹47.0 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹107 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY25: borrowings of ₹47.0 Cr against equity of ₹21.9 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 2.15. Operating profit covers the interest bill 4×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹25.0 Cr to ₹47.0 Cr while capital spending ran ₹107 Cr in just the last 3 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of Vadilal Enterprises Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Promoters moved +0.0 points over the same window, to 51.3%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Foreign institutions: +0.5 points over 8 quarters to 0.5%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 51.3%.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Vadilal Enterprises Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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