Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd trades at ₹1,779, in a downtrend and 23 weeks into that stage. That is −8.1% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 18% of a 52-week range of ₹1,541 to ₹2,889. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (1 week and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 23 of stage 4. At ₹1,779 it trades −8.1% versus its 200-day average and sits at 18% of its 52-week range (₹1,541–₹2,889).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.5 years the stock moved +18% while the NIFTY 500 moved +13% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (1 week and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-24) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd trades at 20.7× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 9% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 27.5×, measured across 1.2 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 20.7× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 9% of the time, against a long-run median of 27.5× measured over 1.2 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +44.9% against a −16.2% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 6 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

4-Factor Sector Score

61.3/100 — rank 1 of 5 in Chemicals - Speciality · 80% evidence confidence

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd scores 61.3 out of 100 against the 5 companies it is compared with in Chemicals - Speciality, ranking 1. Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -29% and the one-year return is -19%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 26.6 + 16.9 + 14.8 + 3 = 61.3. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd reported ₹485 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +21.9% year on year. That is the 4th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 2 years it has compounded at 23.3% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹1,891 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹1,891 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹1,891 Cr (+22.7% on the year), capping 2 years at 23.3% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹485 Cr, +21.9% year on year — the 4th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +21.2% growth against the decade's 23.3% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd's operating margin is 7.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 3 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 9.0% to 10.0%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 7.0%, +0.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 3 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 9.0%–10.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −0.1 pp year on year while gross margin went −1.5 pp — the loss came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd earned ₹20.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +25.0% year on year. It is the 4th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹128 Cr. The 2-year compound rate is 106.6%. That is 4.1% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹16.0 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹20.0 Cr, +25.0% year on year — the 4th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹128 Cr (+45.5%), and the 2-year compound rate is 106.6%.

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +21.9% and the margin +0.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +41.8% vs revenue +21.2%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 114% of Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹75.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹128 Cr of profit. After ₹45.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹30.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹75.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹128 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹30.0 Cr after ₹45.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 114% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 114%: the cash cycle tightened 16 days between FY24 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.5× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 80 days in FY26, down from 96 days in FY24. Capital spending ran ₹86.0 Cr over the last 2 years. At FY26 sales of ₹1,891 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹5.2 Cr, so roughly ₹414 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 79 days, inventory at 76 days — roughly 2.5 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 80 days, tighter than FY24's 96.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 76 days to sell; customers pay about 79 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 75 days — netting out to the 80-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹1,891 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹5.2 Cr — so the 80-day loop keeps roughly ₹414 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹86.0 Cr over the last 2 fiscal years against ₹34.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹27.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd earns a ROCE of 40% in FY26. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +15.9 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 6.8% net margin on 2.02× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 40%.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 6.8% net margin × 2.02× asset turns × 2.03× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 27.9% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 27.9% − 12.0% = a +15.9 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd carries total debt of ₹51.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹460 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.11 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.69 in FY24 to 0.11 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹51.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹460 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.11. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.69 (FY24) to 0.11 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Domestic institutions moved +0.2 points over the same window, to 0.2%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −0.4 points over 5 quarters to 74.4%; Domestic institutions: +0.2 points over 5 quarters to 0.2%; Foreign institutions: +0.1 points over 5 quarters to 0.2%.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Jubilant Agri & Consumer Products Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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