Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-31
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-31

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd

COFFEEDAY
Quick Service Restaurant - QSR

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

The sharpest disagreement: profits are rising, but only 52% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as operating cash — the gap between the P&L and the bank account is the thing to watch.

The price is building a base (3 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 43rd percentile of its own 9-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving, and 52% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the cash starts following the profit.

Price
₹30.5
−13.6% 1Y
P/E
22.4×
43rd pctile
of its own 9-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
₹281 Cr
+4.9% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
₹132 Cr
Operating margin
18.0%
+8.0 pp YoY
ROCE
1%
FY26
ROIC
0.1%
vs WACC 12.0% → −11.9 pp
Cash conversion
52%
of profit, last 3 FY
Unverified figures: Some figures on this page come from a second financial-data feed that could not be cross-checked against the primary source — the two do not share enough overlapping reported history to compare. They are drawn, because they are the only evidence there is, and every section carrying one is marked unverified. PEG is the exception: the quarterly curve is not drawn at all. PEG asks what is being paid for growth — both sides of that division come from the source that could not be checked, so it is withheld instead of marked.
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd trades at ₹30.5, building a base and 3 weeks into that stage. That is −4.9% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 29% of a 52-week range of ₹23 to ₹50. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (2 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is building a base — week 3 of stage 1, confirmed. At ₹30.5 it trades −4.9% versus its 200-day average and sits at 29% of its 52-week range (₹23–₹50).

Jul 26: ₹30.5 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−4.9% versus the 200-day line, week 3 of stage 1
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S2S4S2S4₹72.1₹58.5₹44.8₹31.2₹17.5₹31₹32Jul 23May 24Feb 25Nov 25Jul 26
S2S4S2S4₹72.1₹58.5₹44.8₹31.2₹17.5₹31₹32Jul 23Feb 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (509 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Mar 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved −86% while the NIFTY 500 moved +276% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (2 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-17) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd trades at 22.4× P/E, mid-range by its own standards (43rd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 57.9×, measured across 8.9 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 22.4× is mid-range by its own standards (43rd percentile), against a long-run median of 57.9× measured over 8.9 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 22.4× vs a 57.9× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 8.9-year window; loss-period spikes above 174× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
mid-range by its own standards (43rd percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
187.4×₹12.1140.6×₹9.193.7×₹6.046.9×₹3.00.0×₹0.0×22.40×₹2Jul 16Oct 17Apr 19Feb 24May 25
187.4×₹12.1140.6×₹9.193.7×₹6.046.9×₹3.00.0×₹0.0×22.40×₹2Jul 16Apr 19May 25
P/E
22.4×
43rd percentile of 9y

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

A quarterly PEG curve, which only the second data source carries, is not drawn on this page: its two data sources do not share enough overlapping reported history to be compared. A figure nobody could check is not used to price growth — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 10 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue −3.7% in FY26 Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn. Turnaround-year spikes shown pinned (▲).
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
69%335%32%209%−4.7%82%−42%−44%−78%−170%%%−3.7%−135.3%FY16FY21FY26
69%335%32%209%−4.7%82%−42%−44%−78%−170%%%−3.7%−135.3%FY16FY21FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue stabilising
RevenueProfitEPS
9.4%−100%7.5%−153%5.5%−207%3.5%−261%1.6%−315%%%4.9%−114.5%−300%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
9.4%−100%7.5%−153%5.5%−207%3.5%−261%1.6%−315%%%4.9%−114.5%−300%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Annual readings — the quarterly balance-sheet pieces this curve needs are not held for this stock, so the returns read moves once a year and carries less weight in the call.
the return curve, annual readings
ROCE
1.6%−0.5%−2.5%−4.5%−6.6%%1%FY23FY24FY26
1.6%−0.5%−2.5%−4.5%−6.6%%1%FY23FY24FY26
Revenue growth
Steady high
latest +4.9% · span +2.1% to +8.9%
ROCE
Rising
latest 1.0% · span −6.0%–1.0%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

The latest quarter’s profit carries a one-off item larger than the operating base, so the profit curve is shown but does not vote in the stage call.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue−3.7%+3.9%+4.7%−9.5%
Share price−13.6%−2.8%−5.5%−18.8%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+4.9%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
−9.5%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

43.9/100 — rank 5 of 8 in Quick Service Restaurant - QSR · 62% evidence confidence

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd scores 43.9 out of 100 against the 8 companies it is compared with in Quick Service Restaurant - QSR, ranking 5. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 17.3 + 8.2 + 11.5 + 6.9 = 43.9. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd reported ₹281 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +4.9% year on year. That is the 10th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at −9.5% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹1,116 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹1,116 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹1,116 Cr (−3.7% on the year), capping 10 years at −9.5% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹281 Cr, +4.9% year on year — the 10th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹1,116 Cr (−3.7% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
−9.5% a year over 10 years
RevenueYoY growth
4.5k69%3.4k32%2.2k−4.7%1.1k−42%0−78%₹ Cr%₹1,116−3.7%FY16FY21FY26
4.5k69%3.4k32%2.2k−4.7%1.1k−42%0−78%₹ Cr%₹1,116−3.7%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹281 Cr (+4.9% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
10th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
3099.4%2327.5%1545.5%773.5%01.6%₹ Cr%₹2814.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
3099.4%2327.5%1545.5%773.5%01.6%₹ Cr%₹2814.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +3.6% growth against the decade's −9.5% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +3.6% over the last 4 quarters against +5.0%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's operating margin is 18.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +8.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −25.0% to 20.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 18.0%, +8.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −25.0%–20.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +7.6 pp year on year while gross margin went +3.1 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY26: 12.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 13-year window.
within a −25.0–20.0% band over 13 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
24%45%11%26%−2.5%7.5%−16%−11%−29%−30%%%12%1%FY14FY20FY26
24%45%11%26%−2.5%7.5%−16%−11%−29%−30%%%12%1%FY14FY20FY26
Mar 26: 18.0% operating margin (+8.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
20%175%17%125%14%76%11%27%8.2%−23%%%18%8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
20%175%17%125%14%76%11%27%8.2%−23%%%18%8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd earned ₹132 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹210 Cr. That is 47.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost ₹114 Cr. 7 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was ₹132 Cr, null year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹210 Cr (null).

FY26 profit ₹210 Cr (null YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profitYoY growth
2.0k1,261%1.3k886%599511%−127136%−852−239%₹ Cr%₹210−135.3%FY16FY21FY26
2.0k1,261%1.3k886%599511%−127136%−852−239%₹ Cr%₹210−135.3%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹132 Cr (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
166−48%42−289%−82−530%−206−771%−330−1,012%₹ Cr%₹132−114.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
166−48%42−289%−82−530%−206−771%−330−1,012%₹ Cr%₹132−114.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 52% of Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY26 that was ₹172 Cr of operating cash against ₹210 Cr of profit. After ₹−14.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹186 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹172 Cr against reported profit of ₹210 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹186 Cr after ₹−14.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 52% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹172 Cr vs profit ₹210 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 11-year window, annual resolution. FY21 reflects an acquisition year — point shown clipped.
52% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
2.1k1.3k445−370−1.2k₹ Cr₹172₹210₹186FY16FY21FY26
2.1k1.3k445−370−1.2k₹ Cr₹172₹210₹186FY16FY21FY26
FY26: CFO = 82% of profit (three-year rate 52%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash; outlier years shown pinned.
Conversion100%
321%244%167%89%12%%82%FY16FY21FY26
321%244%167%89%12%%82%FY16FY21FY26

🚨 Why conversion sits at 52%: the cash cycle stretched 288 days between FY21 and FY26 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: conversion is below par and the cash cycle has stretched 288 days — the next section's job is to find where the cash is stuck.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 13 days in FY26, up from −275 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹−274 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹1,116 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹3.1 Cr, so roughly ₹40.0 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 19 days, inventory at 24 days — roughly 0.8 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 13 days, looser than FY21's −275.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 24 days to sell; customers pay about 19 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 31 days — netting out to the 13-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹1,116 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹3.1 Cr — so the 13-day loop keeps roughly ₹40.0 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a 13-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 13-year window.
+288 days vs FY21
Cash cycleInventory daysDebtor daysPayable days
38120529−148−324days13d24d19d31dFY14FY17FY20FY23FY26
38120529−148−324days13d24d19d31dFY14FY20FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹−274 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹385 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹6.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹−14.0 Cr, work-in-progress ₹6.0 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
steady investment
CapexWork-in-progress
1.6k563−494−1.5k−2.6k₹ Cr₹−14₹6FY16FY18FY21FY23FY26
1.6k563−494−1.5k−2.6k₹ Cr₹−14₹6FY16FY21FY26

The synthesis: the working-capital loop is the cash sink the router flagged — watch the cycle, not the P&L.

10 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.⚠ unverified

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd earns a ROCE of 1% in FY26. That is up from a trough of −8% in FY20. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −11.9 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 18.8% net margin on 0.25× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 1%, recovered from a FY20 trough of −8% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 18.8% net margin × 0.25× asset turns × 1.62× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 7.6% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 0.1% − 12.0% = a −11.9 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY26: ROCE 1% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 13-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY20's −8%
ROCEROIC (annual)WACC
14%7.8%2.0%−3.8%−9.6%%1%0.2%FY14FY20FY26
14%7.8%2.0%−3.8%−9.6%%1%0.2%FY14FY20FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 0.9% (TTM) vs WACC 12.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROCE and ROIC, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)ROIC (TTM)WACC
14%7.4%1.1%−5.2%−12%%0.9%−0.2%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
14%7.4%1.1%−5.2%−12%%0.9%−0.2%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
11 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.⚠ unverified

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd carries total debt of ₹961 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹461 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 2.08. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.51 in FY22 to 2.08 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹961 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹461 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 2.08. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.51 (FY22) to 2.08 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY26: debt ₹961 Cr at 2.08× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
2.1k2.2×1.6k1.7×1.0k1.3×5180.8×00.3×₹ Cr×₹9612.08×FY22FY24FY26
2.1k2.2×1.6k1.7×1.0k1.3×5180.8×00.3×₹ Cr×₹9612.08×FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: debt ₹961 Cr, debt-to-equity 2.08 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
2.0k2.2×1.5k1.7×9951.2×4970.7×00.3×₹ Cr×₹9612.08×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
2.0k2.2×1.5k1.7×9951.2×4970.7×00.3×₹ Cr×₹9612.08×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
12 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Domestic institutions added 1.2 points of Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes domestic institutions to 1.2% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −0.8 points over the same window, to 0.2%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: +1.2 points over 8 quarters to 1.2%; Foreign institutions: −0.8 points over 8 quarters to 0.2%; Promoters: −0.5 points over 8 quarters to 7.7%. Note the structure: promoters hold under 20% — this is a widely-held company where institutions, not a family, set the direction.

Why the register moved: domestic institutions drove it (+1.2 points), absorbed on the other side by foreign institutions (−0.8 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters −0.4 pts from Mar 24 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 3 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
98%72%45%19%−7.3%%7.8%0.8%2.4%88.9%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
98%72%45%19%−7.3%%7.8%0.8%2.4%88.9%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
Domestic institutions added 1.2 points over 8 quarters Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 13 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
98%72%45%19%−7.3%%7.7%0.2%1.2%90.8%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
98%72%45%19%−7.3%%7.7%0.2%1.2%90.8%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
13 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

14 · Related companies · Quick Service Restaurant - QSR
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Jubilant Foodworks LtdJUBLFOOD 61.3/100Mixed-positive evidence96% evidence ASLEEP 27.9/35 Revenue 17.1% · PAT 100% · OPM change 0 pp 88% evidence 21.5/25 ROCE 14.6% · OPM 19% 100% evidence 11.4/20 P/E 69.6× · PEG 1.85 100% evidence 0.5/20 RS sector -24.7% · RS bench -17.6% · 1Y -32.5%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 27.9 + 21.5 + 11.4 + 0.5 = 61.3 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -24.7% and the one-year return is -32.5%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
2Speciality Restaurants LtdSPECIALITY 56.6/100Mixed-positive evidence77% evidence TURNING 15.4/35 Revenue 9.2% · PAT -5.6% · OPM change 0.3 pp 83% evidence 16.6/25 ROCE 9.1% · OPM 15.1% 95% evidence 11.5/20 P/E 26.4× · PEG — 50% evidence 13.1/20 RS sector -0.7% · RS bench 12.3% · 1Y 0.1%7 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 15.4 + 16.6 + 11.5 + 13.1 = 56.6 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 12.3%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
3Restaurant Brands Asia LtdRBA 48.5/100Thin evidence · provisional55% evidence TURNING 20.8/35 Revenue 10.7% · PAT 12.5% · OPM change 1 pp 62% evidence 4.1/25 ROCE -0.5% · OPM 13% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 13.6/20 RS sector 9.3% · RS bench -4.4% · 1Y -18.4%5 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 20.8 + 4.1 + 10 + 13.6 = 48.5 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
4United Foodbrands LtdUFBL 46.0/100Mixed-negative evidence61% evidence LEADER 8.9/35 Revenue 8.5% · PAT -80% · OPM change -3 pp 62% evidence 7.1/25 ROCE 1.5% · OPM 15% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 20.0/20 RS sector 100.3% · RS bench 115.1% · 1Y 129.4%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 8.9 + 7.1 + 10 + 20 = 46 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 115.1%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
5Coffee Day Enterprises Ltdthis pageCOFFEEDAY 43.9/100Mixed-negative evidence62% evidence TURNING 17.3/35 Revenue 3.6% · PAT 100% · OPM change 8 pp 62% evidence 8.2/25 ROCE 1.3% · OPM 18% 95% evidence 11.5/20 P/E 3.3× · PEG — 15% evidence 6.9/20 RS sector -12.2% · RS bench -11.5% · 1Y -15.4%8 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.3 + 8.2 + 11.5 + 6.9 = 43.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
6Westlife Foodworld LtdWESTLIFE 42.0/100Mixed-negative evidence83% evidence FADING 15.8/35 Revenue 6.8% · PAT 100% · OPM change -0.3 pp 100% evidence 10.4/25 ROCE 6.1% · OPM 12.6% 100% evidence 9.3/20 P/E 266.6× · PEG — 15% evidence 6.5/20 RS sector -14.9% · RS bench -7.4% · 1Y -34%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 15.8 + 10.4 + 9.3 + 6.5 = 42 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
7Sapphire Foods India LtdSAPPHIRE 39.2/100Mixed-negative evidence68% evidence ASLEEP 17.8/35 Revenue 10.1% · PAT -80% · OPM change 1 pp 74% evidence 9.1/25 ROCE 4% · OPM 16% 100% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 2417× · PEG — 15% evidence 3.8/20 RS sector -20.2% · RS bench -19.4% · 1Y -44.1%1 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.8 + 9.1 + 8.5 + 3.8 = 39.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
8Devyani International LtdDEVYANI 38.9/100Mixed-negative evidence74% evidence ASLEEP 13.0/35 Revenue 14.8% · PAT 0% · OPM change 1 pp 100% evidence 8.6/25 ROCE 4.8% · OPM 16% 100% evidence 10.0/20 P/E — · PEG — 0% evidence 7.3/20 RS sector -10.6% · RS bench -15.6% · 1Y -33.5%0 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 13 + 8.6 + 10 + 7.3 = 38.9 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

15 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's share price today?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd trades at ₹30.5, −13.6% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹645 Cr. The stock sits at 29% of its 52-week range of ₹23–₹50, −4.9% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is building a base, 3 weeks in. — as of 31 July 2026.

What were Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd reported revenue of ₹281 Cr and net profit of ₹132 Cr for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were ₹6.25. The operating margin was 18.0%, 8.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's revenue?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd reported revenue of ₹281 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter, +4.9% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹1,116 Cr (−3.7%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at −9.5% a year. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's profit?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd earned ₹132 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹210 Cr. The operating margin ran 18.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's market cap?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹645 Cr at a share price of ₹30.5. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's P/E ratio?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd trades at a P/E of 22.4×, at the 43rd percentile of its own 9-year range, against a long-run median of 57.9×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd pay a dividend?

No — Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd has recorded a dividend payout of 0% of profit in each of its last 13 reported fiscal years, so there is no payout history to quote. That is a reading of the filed annual statements, not an estimate. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd looks mid-range against its own history: its P/E of 22.4× sits at the 43rd percentile of its 9-year range (long-run median 57.9×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 31 July 2026.

How is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd performing?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd is building a base, 3 weeks in. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 2 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd in an uptrend?

No — the price is building a base (week 3 of stage 1), trading −4.9% versus its 200-day average and at 29% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd is currently behind the NIFTY 500 (2 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-17), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved −86% against the NIFTY 500's +276% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 31 July 2026.

Will Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹30.5, the price is building a base 3 weeks in. Its P/E of 22.4× sits at the 43rd percentile of its own 9-year range. — as of 31 July 2026.

Who owns Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd?

Promoters hold 7.7% of Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd, foreign institutions 0.2%, domestic institutions 1.2% and the public 90.8% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Domestic institutions added 1.2 points over 8 quarters. — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd have too much debt?

No — Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.30, and operating profit covers the interest bill 2×. FY26 borrowings were ₹827 Cr against equity of ₹2,794 Cr. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's capex?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd spent ₹−274 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹−14.0 Cr, with ₹6.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's cash flow?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd generated ₹172 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹186 Cr of free cash flow after ₹−14.0 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹210 Cr, so operating cash ran behind profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's profit real cash?

Not fully — over the last 3 fiscal years, 52% of Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹172 Cr against reported profit of ₹210 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into the working-capital cycle. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 31 July 2026.

Where is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd in its business cycle?

Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 12.0%, against a 13-year band of −25.0%–20.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 18.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 31 July 2026.

What could break the Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd story?

The sharpest disagreement: profits are rising, but only 52% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as operating cash — the gap between the P&L and the bank account is the thing to watch. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: whether the cash starts following the profit. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 31 July 2026.

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