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Banks - PSU →
Home›Stocks›Canara Bank
CANBKCanara BankBanks - PSU
₹126+10.4% 1y

Canara Bank (CANBK) — share price & stock analysis

Bad loans have fallen from 5.2% to 1.8%, profits are compounding — and the market still prices it below its own book value.

TURNAROUNDTrailing NIFTY 500 for 3 weeks
STAGE 4 DOWNTREND
TURNAROUNDGNPA HEALINGSALES MOMENTUM
DEEP CYCLICALEXPANSION
₹1,14,544 Cr
Market cap
0.97×
P/BV
16.1%
ROE
By Sector Alpha Research · machine-compiled from Screener.in data · Updated 1 July 2026 · Sources: Screener.in company page, NSE quote · Not investment advice
The 30-second answer

Canara Bank (CANBK) trades at ₹126 as of 1 July 2026, up 10% over the past year — trailing NIFTY 500 for 3 weeks. The machine reads this as turnaround: bad loans have fallen from 5.2% to 1.8%, profits are compounding — and the market still prices it below its own book value. the price is in Stage 4 — declining, 1 weeks in; the business cycle reads DEEP CYCLICAL / EXPANSION. Fundamentals-momentum score: 50/100 (mixed).

Data as of 1 July 2026 · every number traces to its Screener source column · not investment advice.

Key numbers
Market cap
₹1,14,544 Cr
P/BV
0.97×
ROE
16.1%
Book value / share
₹130
Revenue (FY26)
₹1,26,371 Cr
Profit after tax (FY26)
₹19,712 Cr
Weinstein stage
Stage 4 (1 weeks)
Data as of
1 July 2026
MOMENTUM OF THE FUNDAMENTALS
50/100
MIXED
Levels: ROE 16% — a genuinely good bank · GNPA 1.8% — workable, not pristine · the spread is mid-band vs its own history
Lending incomeUp 1% YoY — 10 straight growth quarters
The spreadKeeps 31% of interest income (a year ago: 32%)
Bad loansGNPA 2.94% → 1.84%
ProfitDown 11% YoY
Committed ownersPromoters + funds hold 88.1% (a year ago: 85.3%)
DEEP CYCLICAL
Trough
Recovery
Expansion
Peak

Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY16 and FY18 and FY20. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.net_profit

Where the clock stands now: earnings sit at 100% of their historical range, margins are mid-band, and valuation history is thin. That reads as EXPANSION — the comfortable middle — the easy money off the bottom is made; from here the story has to keep delivering.net_profit

2 of the 5 things we track are currently moving the right way — some things working, some not.

Where the levels actually stand: ROE 16% — a genuinely good bank; GNPA 1.8% — workable, not pristine; the spread is mid-band vs its own history. Momentum says which way things are moving; these say where they are.

Read this number for what it is: it measures the DIRECTION of change, not the quality of the business. A mediocre business getting better scores high here; a great one having a soft quarter scores low. Profit, lending and bad loans count double.

WHERE THE PRICE IS IN ITS CYCLE

The price is in a downtrend — fighting it is expensive

STAGE 4 · DECLINING · 1 WEEKS

Price trends have a life cycle: they base (1), advance (2), top out (3) and decline (4). This chart is in Stage 4: declining — 1 week so far, confirmed.stage

The price is below its falling 200-day average — history says most of the damage in stocks happens here. Cheap can get cheaper in Stage 4.dma_200

Trailing NIFTY 500 for 3 weeks — relative strength is the market’s live opinion, and right now it is against it.rs_mansfield

What would end it: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the house exit rule — mechanical, no debates.dma_200

Weekly price with its 200-day and 50-day averages — stages shaded₹weinstein_stages
S2S4S2S250.0100150Price200-DMAStage 4 began · Jul 26Feb 16Aug 19Mar 23Jul 26
Data: Weekly price, moving averages and stage (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodPrice (₹)200-DMA (₹)50-DMA (₹)Stage
Feb 1631.451.238.34
May 1635.745.337.24
Aug 1649.844.945.84
Nov 1656.450.858.32
Jan 1755.353.355.52
Apr 1764.656.059.92
Jul 1773.562.569.32
Oct 1763.064.766.72
Dec 1772.168.873.42
Mar 1849.065.759.64
Jun 1853.959.953.14
Sep 1854.157.054.34
Nov 1851.253.549.94
Feb 1944.452.148.94
May 1949.152.652.52
Aug 1945.752.551.23
Nov 1941.447.240.34
Jan 2043.845.643.44
Apr 2017.437.424.94
Jul 2020.929.320.34
Oct 2017.925.119.74
Dec 2024.123.121.44
Mar 2130.226.129.92
Jun 2131.227.630.22
Sep 2132.128.930.82
Nov 2140.533.340.02
Feb 2247.638.546.12
May 2238.741.344.92
Aug 2244.341.242.54
Oct 2257.644.148.22
Jan 2363.852.762.32
Apr 2358.354.857.92
Jul 2366.757.861.42
Sep 2375.362.569.22
Dec 2385.270.381.42
Mar 2411085.61072
Jun 2411999.01162
Aug 241121051132
Nov 2497.01051034
Feb 2585.610296.24
May 2597.697.093.04
Aug 251061041102
Oct 251261091192
Jan 261571261472
Apr 261411341412
Jun 261301341343
Jul 261261331334
THE LONG ARC

Losses, then a rebuild: profits are at an all-time high

Over 12 years, income went from ₹39,570 Cr to ₹1,26,371 Cr (about 10% a year), and profit from ₹2,672 Cr to ₹19,712 Cr.revenuenet_profit

The books show real losses in FY16 and FY18 and FY20 (worst: ₹−3,873 Cr). Everything about today’s cheap-looking numbers must be read against that history — the recovery is what you are buying.net_profit

Revenue by year₹ Crannual_results
050,0001,00,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Revenue by year
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)
FY1439,570
FY1543,813
FY1644,039
FY1741,457
FY1841,345
FY1947,951
FY2049,759
FY2170,253
FY2270,614
FY2385,885
FY241,10,519
FY251,21,601
FY261,26,371
Profit by year₹ Crannual_results
010,00020,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Profit by year
PeriodProfit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY142,672
FY152,931
FY16-2,535
FY171,411
FY18-3,873
FY19696
FY20-1,921
FY212,957
FY226,158
FY2311,345
FY2415,401
FY2517,692
FY2619,712
Spread % by year%annual_results
25.030.035.040.0FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Spread % by year
PeriodSpread % (%)
FY1422.7
FY1522.1
FY1622.2
FY1723.9
FY1829.6
FY1932.6
FY2028.0
FY2135.7
FY2239.1
FY2338.3
FY2434.7
FY2532.0
FY2629.5
CHAPTER 1 · THE LENDING ENGINE

Interest income has flattened

For a bank, “revenue” is the interest and fees it earns on loans and investments.

Mar 26 income was ₹31,839 Cr, up 1% on a year ago. A bank grows by lending more and charging well — this line is both together.revenue

Quarterly interest + fee income₹ Crquarterly_results
010,00020,00030,000YoY %Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly interest + fee income
PeriodIncome (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 2325,451–
Sep 2327,290–
Dec 2328,492–
Mar 2429,286–
Jun 2429,17314.6
Sep 2430,18210.6
Dec 2430,7517.9
Mar 2531,4967.5
Jun 2531,5238.1
Sep 2532,0726.3
Dec 2530,9380.6
Mar 2631,8391.1
CHAPTER 2 · THE SPREAD

The squeeze is easing — the spread bottomed at 27% and is mending

A bank borrows money (deposits) and lends it out. The spread — the share of interest income it keeps after paying depositors — is its gross margin. Derived: (income − interest paid) ÷ income.

Of every ₹100 of interest the bank earns, ₹69 goes straight out as interest on deposits and borrowings. It keeps ₹31 — down 1 point from a year ago.revenueinterest_expense

The visible arc: squeezed from 36% down to 27% (Dec 25) as deposits repriced faster than loans, and recovering since. The direction matters more than the level now.interest_expense

Share of interest income kept, quarterly%quarterly_results
27.530.032.535.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Share of interest income kept, quarterly
PeriodSpread kept (%)
Jun 2335.8
Sep 2334.3
Dec 2334.6
Mar 2434.4
Jun 2433.0
Sep 2432.3
Dec 2431.2
Mar 2531.6
Jun 2530.2
Sep 2530.1
Dec 2526.6
Mar 2630.8
CHAPTER 3 · BAD LOANS

Bad loans are healing — from a worst of 5.2% (Jun 23) to 1.8%

GNPA (gross non-performing assets) — the share of loans where the borrower has stopped paying. Net NPA is what remains after provisions already set aside. For banks, DOWN is good.

₹1.8 of every ₹100 lent is currently stuck with borrowers who’ve stopped paying — down from ₹5.2 at the Jun 23 worst. After the money already set aside, the true exposure is 0.4%.gross_npa_pctnet_npa_pct

Falling bad loans still help — less new money needs setting aside — but this year’s profit growth is coming from the lending engine itself (interest income), not from provision releases. The healing cleans the book; the growth is earned.gross_npa_pctrevenue

Bad loans as % of the book, quarterly%quarterly_results
2.04.0Gross NPANet NPA (after provisions)Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Bad loans as % of the book, quarterly
PeriodGross NPA (%)Net NPA (after provisions) (%)
Jun 235.21.6
Sep 234.81.4
Dec 234.41.3
Mar 244.21.3
Jun 244.11.2
Sep 243.71.0
Dec 243.30.9
Mar 252.90.7
Jun 252.70.6
Sep 252.40.5
Dec 252.10.5
Mar 261.80.4
WATCH →A single quarter of GNPA rising again would put this story on watch.
CHAPTER 4 · THE BOTTOM LINE

Profit declined 11%

PAT — what is left for shareholders after paying depositors, staff, and setting aside money for bad loans.

Mar 26 profit was ₹4,575 Cr, down 11% on last year — earnings per share of ₹5.04.net_profiteps

Quarterly profit after tax₹ Crquarterly_results
02,0004,000YoY %+28−21+22Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly profit after tax
PeriodPAT (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 233,755–
Sep 233,829–
Dec 233,827–
Mar 243,991–
Jun 244,0989.1
Sep 244,22710.4
Dec 244,25611.2
Mar 255,11128.1
Jun 253,233-21.1
Sep 254,89615.8
Dec 255,17421.6
Mar 264,575-10.5
Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)₹ Cr
5,111+343−468+3,254−4,061+3964,575PAT Mar 25More interestincomeCostlierdepositsRunning costs& provisionsFees & otherincomeTaxPAT Mar 26

The biggest force in the bridge: fees and other income.

Data: Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)
ComponentEffect (₹ Cr)
PAT Mar 255,111
More interest income+343
Costlier deposits−468
Running costs & provisions+3,254
Fees & other income−4,061
Tax+396
PAT Mar 264,575
CHAPTER 5 · WHAT YOU PAY

You are paying near the top of its own range

P/BV (price to book value) — the price of ₹1 of the bank’s net worth. The honest valuation lens for banks (P/E misleads on lenders).

Today you pay ₹0.97 for every ₹1 of book value, against a long-run median of ₹0.60. It has traded cheaper than this only 83% of the time since 2016.pb_ratio

Price-to-book over time (weekly)xvaluation_history
0.51Feb 16Dec 19May 23Jul 26
Data: Price-to-book over time (weekly) (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodP/BV (x)
Feb 160.2
May 160.3
Jul 160.5
Sept 160.5
Dec 160.6
Feb 170.6
Apr 170.6
Jun 170.6
Sept 170.6
Nov 170.7
Jan 180.6
Apr 180.5
Jun 180.5
Dec 180.5
Mar 190.5
May 190.5
Jul 190.5
Sept 190.4
Dec 190.3
Feb 200.4
Apr 200.2
Jul 200.2
Sept 200.2
Nov 200.2
Jan 210.4
Apr 210.4
Jun 210.4
Aug 210.4
Nov 210.6
Jan 220.6
Mar 220.6
Jun 220.6
Aug 220.6
Oct 220.7
Dec 220.8
Mar 230.7
May 230.8
Jul 230.8
Oct 230.8
Dec 230.9
Feb 241.2
May 241.4
Jul 241.0
Sept 241.0
Nov 240.9
Feb 250.8
Apr 250.9
Jun 250.9
Sept 250.9
Nov 251.1
Jan 261.2
Apr 261.1
Jun 261.1
Jul 261.0
CHAPTER 6 · WHO OWNS IT

The owners aren’t moving

Shareholding — who owns the company: founders (promoters), foreign funds (FII), domestic funds (DII).

Promoters hold 62.9%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 14.2%, domestic funds 10.9%.promoters_pctfiis_pctdiis_pct

Institutions buying while the story develops is the market’s quiet vote of confidence — they meet management, you don’t.

Meanwhile domestic funds have been the sellers — from 15.9% to 10.9% over the window. Someone on the other side of the table disagrees; both sides count.diis_pct

Who holds the shares, quarterly%shareholding
Promoters62.9% → 62.9% · flat
62.062.563.063.5Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Foreign funds8.9% → 14.2% · up 5.3 pts
10.012.014.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Domestic funds15.9% → 10.9% · down 5.0 pts
12.014.016.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Who holds the shares, quarterly
PeriodPromoters (%)Foreign funds (%)Domestic funds (%)
Jun 2362.98.915.9
Sep 2362.910.214.9
Dec 2362.911.214.3
Mar 2462.910.614.4
Jun 2462.911.911.2
Sep 2462.911.311.7
Dec 2462.911.111.7
Mar 2562.910.511.9
Jun 2562.911.411.4
Sep 2562.911.912.2
Dec 2562.914.610.5
Mar 2662.914.210.9
WHAT IS NOT HAPPENING
  • Promoters are not selling. Their stake has moved 0.1 points or less in 8 quarters — it sits at 62.9%.promoters_pct
  • There is no new bad-loan cycle forming — GNPA is at or near its 8-quarter low of 1.84%.gross_npa_pct
THE VERDICT

One to watch, not one to study deeper yet

The numbers say be careful, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far.

Best thing in the data: bad loans improving (2.9% → 1.8%).gross_npa_pct

Biggest worry: return on equity falling (18.0% → 16.0%).roe_pct

One dissent worth hearing: our quality & safety lens reads positive — “Quality & Safety: 20.0/30 (financial). Earnings stability: 8/8 quarters profitable → 5/5. Return durability: Avg ROE 15.2% over 5Y → 4/6. Margin quality: NIM -1”. When a lens disagrees with the committee, it is usually pointing at the thing that breaks first.

The machine committee — 7 independent readsLOW PRIORITY · 50%
Earnings patternNEUTRAL0% · w21
Valuation cycleNEGATIVE70% · w19
CatalystsNEGATIVE30% · w14
Quality & safetyPOSITIVE70% · w14
TechnicalsNEGATIVE29% · w12
ValuationPOSITIVE90% · w10
Growth at a pricePOSITIVE52% · w10
One model disagrees — the Quality & safety lens reads this stock as POSITIVE (70% confidence): “Quality & Safety: 20.0/30 (financial). Earnings stability: 8/8 quarters profitable → 5/5. Return durability: Avg ROE 15.2% over 5Y → 4/6. Margin quality: NIM -1”
7-model research readLOW PRIORITY · 50% confidence
WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEWTwo quarters of bad loans reversing would kill this story.

Machine-written research from Screener data — every number traces to its source column. Sector Alpha is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Not investment advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Straight answers from the data

What does Canara Bank do?

Canara Bank was merged with erstwhile Syndicate Bank in FY21. Canara was incorporated in 1906 and nationalised in 1969, along with 13 other major commercial banks of India, by the GoI. The bank is headquartered in Bangalore.Canara Bank was merged with erstwhile Syndicate Bank (e-SB) on April 1, 2020. It is listed in the Banks - PSU sector with a market capitalisation of ₹1,14,544 Cr.

What is Canara Bank's share price?

As of 1 July 2026, Canara Bank trades at ₹126, up 10% over the past year, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,14,544 Cr. Trailing NIFTY 500 for 3 weeks. Prices are weekly closes from Screener data; this page refreshes with each weekly update.

What is Canara Bank's share price target?

Sector Alpha does not publish broker-style price targets. Our discounted-cash-flow model estimates Canara Bank's intrinsic value at ₹297 per share under base assumptions (bear ₹165, bull ₹383), against the current price of ₹126 — a 123% margin of safety. The current price already implies roughly -1% annual earnings growth. These are model estimates, not forecasts — treat them as one input alongside the valuation history below, not as a target.

What did Canara Bank report in its latest quarterly results?

In its most recent reported quarter (Q4 FY26, quarter ended March 2026): Mar 26 income was ₹31,839 Cr, up 1% on a year ago. A bank grows by lending more and charging well — this line is both together. Mar 26 profit was ₹4,575 Cr, down 11% on last year — earnings per share of ₹5.04. Figures are from Screener-scraped quarterly filings; the page updates when the next quarter is filed.

Is Canara Bank growing?

Interest income has flattened. Mar 26 income was ₹31,839 Cr, up 1% on a year ago. A bank grows by lending more and charging well — this line is both together.

Are Canara Bank's profits growing?

Profit declined 11%. Mar 26 profit was ₹4,575 Cr, down 11% on last year — earnings per share of ₹5.04.

How much of its interest income does Canara Bank keep?

The squeeze is easing — the spread bottomed at 27% and is mending. Of every ₹100 of interest the bank earns, ₹69 goes straight out as interest on deposits and borrowings. It keeps ₹31 — down 1 point from a year ago.

What is Canara Bank's long-term growth record?

Revenue grew from ₹39,570 Cr in FY14 to ₹1,26,371 Cr in FY26 — a 10.2% compound annual growth rate over 12 years. Profit after tax compounded at 18.1% over the same period (₹2,672 Cr → ₹19,712 Cr).

Is Canara Bank stock in an uptrend?

The price is in a downtrend — fighting it is expensive. Canara Bank is in Stage 4 — declining, 1 weeks in (confirmed). Stages follow Stan Weinstein's four-phase read of weekly price against the 200-day average: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3), declining (4).

Is Canara Bank beating the NIFTY 500?

No — trailing NIFTY 500 for 3 weeks, as of 1 July 2026. Relative strength is measured weekly against the NIFTY 500 (Mansfield RS): a positive reading means the stock has outperformed the index over the trailing window, week after week.

Where is Canara Bank in its business cycle?

The data reads Canara Bank as a deep cyclical business currently in its expansion phase — earnings at an all-time high for this company. Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY16 and FY18 and FY20. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.

Who owns Canara Bank — what is the promoter holding?

Promoters hold 62.9%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 14.2%, domestic funds 10.9%. Institutions buying while the story develops is the market’s quiet vote of confidence — they meet management, you don’t. Shareholding is from Screener's quarterly filings data.

How is Canara Bank's asset quality?

Bad loans are healing — from a worst of 5.2% (Jun 23) to 1.8%. ₹1.8 of every ₹100 lent is currently stuck with borrowers who’ve stopped paying — down from ₹5.2 at the Jun 23 worst. After the money already set aside, the true exposure is 0.4%.

What is the bull case for Canara Bank?

Bad loans have fallen from 5.2% to 1.8%, profits are compounding — and the market still prices it below its own book value. Best thing in the data: bad loans improving (2.9% → 1.8%). Interest income has flattened.

What is the bear case for Canara Bank — what could break the story?

Biggest worry: return on equity falling (18.0% → 16.0%). Two quarters of bad loans reversing would kill this story. The nearest-term thing to watch: a single quarter of GNPA rising again would put this story on watch. This falsification condition is stated up front so the thesis can be checked against incoming quarters, not defended after the fact.

Is Canara Bank a stock worth studying right now?

Sector Alpha does not publish buy or sell recommendations — this is a research read, not advice. What the data says: one to watch, not one to study deeper yet. The numbers say be careful, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far. Across the 7-model scorecard the composite research signal is low priority at 50% confidence. This is machine-written research compiled from Screener data — every number traces to its source — and it is not investment advice. Do your own diligence.

Generated from Screener data · 7 sources · why_traces/1.0 + story/1.2
details
generated 2026-07-03 11:21 · 4 material moves detected
sources: screener_company_info, screener_quarterly_results, screener_annual_results, screener_valuation_history, screener_shareholding, weinstein_stages, agent_scores