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Banks - PSU →
Home›Stocks›Bank of Baroda
BANKBARODABank of BarodaBanks - PSU
₹272+12.8% 1y

Bank of Baroda (BANKBARODA) — share price & stock analysis

Bad loans have fallen from 3.8% to 2.0%, profits are compounding — and the market still prices it below its own book value.

TURNAROUNDTrailing NIFTY 500 for 1 week
STAGE 1 BASE
TURNAROUNDGNPA HEALINGSALES MOMENTUM
DEEP CYCLICALEXPANSION
₹1,40,480 Cr
Market cap
0.85×
P/BV
12.7%
ROE
By Sector Alpha Research · machine-compiled from Screener.in data · Updated 1 July 2026 · Sources: Screener.in company page, NSE quote · Not investment advice
The 30-second answer

Bank of Baroda (BANKBARODA) trades at ₹272 as of 1 July 2026, up 13% over the past year — trailing NIFTY 500 for 1 week. The machine reads this as turnaround: bad loans have fallen from 3.8% to 2.0%, profits are compounding — and the market still prices it below its own book value. the price is in Stage 1 — basing, 4 weeks in; the business cycle reads DEEP CYCLICAL / EXPANSION. Fundamentals-momentum score: 88/100 (mostly improving).

Data as of 1 July 2026 · every number traces to its Screener source column · not investment advice.

Key numbers
Market cap
₹1,40,480 Cr
P/BV
0.85×
ROE
12.7%
Book value / share
₹321
Revenue (FY26)
₹1,34,298 Cr
Profit after tax (FY26)
₹20,070 Cr
Weinstein stage
Stage 1 (4 weeks)
Data as of
1 July 2026
MOMENTUM OF THE FUNDAMENTALS
88/100
MOSTLY IMPROVING
Levels: ROE 13% — below what a bank must earn to create value · GNPA 2.0% — workable, not pristine · the spread is mid-band vs its own history
Lending incomeUp 5% YoY — 10 straight growth quarters
The spreadKeeps 40% of interest income (a year ago: 38%)
Bad loansGNPA 2.43% → 2.04%
ProfitUp 8% YoY
Committed ownersPromoters + funds hold 92.6% (a year ago: 90.9%)
DEEP CYCLICAL
Trough
Recovery
Expansion
Peak

Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY16 and FY18. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.net_profit

Where the clock stands now: earnings sit at 97% of their historical range, margins are mid-band, and valuation history is thin. That reads as EXPANSION — the comfortable middle — the easy money off the bottom is made; from here the story has to keep delivering.net_profit

4 of the 5 things we track are currently moving the right way — nearly everything is pulling in the same direction.

Where the levels actually stand: ROE 13% — below what a bank must earn to create value; GNPA 2.0% — workable, not pristine; the spread is mid-band vs its own history. Momentum says which way things are moving; these say where they are.

Read this number for what it is: it measures the DIRECTION of change, not the quality of the business. A mediocre business getting better scores high here; a great one having a soft quarter scores low. Profit, lending and bad loans count double.

WHERE THE PRICE IS IN ITS CYCLE

The price is building a base — waiting for its next move

STAGE 1 · BASING · 4 WEEKS

Stock prices move through four repeating stages: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3) and declining (4). This one is in Stage 1: basing, 4 weeks in, confirmed.stage

Long flat bases after a decline are where the next uptrend is born — but a base can last years. The signal to act is the breakout, not the base.stage

Trailing NIFTY 500 for 1 week — relative strength is the market’s live opinion, and right now it is against it.rs_mansfield

What would end it: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the house exit rule — mechanical, no debates.dma_200

Weekly price with its 200-day and 50-day averages — stages shaded₹weinstein_stages
S4S2100200300Price200-DMAStage 1 began · Jun 26Feb 16Aug 19Mar 23Jul 26
Data: Weekly price, moving averages and stage (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodPrice (₹)200-DMA (₹)50-DMA (₹)Stage
Feb 161331581384
May 161351541484
Aug 161501531534
Nov 161431561582
Jan 171681571573
Apr 171751631702
Jul 171651681692
Oct 171421591464
Dec 171611621652
Mar 181331571484
Jun 181311491394
Sep 181481441414
Nov 181051291124
Feb 191031211104
May 191121211181
Aug 1999.81201154
Nov 1910010995.94
Jan 2095.610598.04
Apr 2050.289.666.44
Jul 2051.670.449.34
Oct 2042.059.645.64
Dec 2060.956.054.24
Mar 2173.765.476.82
Jun 2184.569.377.02
Sep 2179.274.479.22
Nov 2188.881.492.12
Feb 2210587.799.32
May 2295.096.71082
Aug 221181011092
Oct 221471151332
Jan 231791421752
Apr 231711521672
Jul 232091671882
Sep 232141822012
Dec 232241922082
Mar 242542192552
Jun 242712382642
Aug 242502472542
Nov 242362462473
Feb 252052402284
May 252202342314
Aug 252352382412
Oct 252662432542
Jan 263082642912
Apr 262642742802
Jun 262792732741
Jul 262722732741
THE LONG ARC

From losing money in FY16 and FY18 to record profits

Over 12 years, income went from ₹40,463 Cr to ₹1,34,298 Cr (about 11% a year), and profit from ₹5,036 Cr to ₹20,070 Cr.revenuenet_profit

The books show real losses in FY16 and FY18 (worst: ₹−5,033 Cr). Everything about today’s cheap-looking numbers must be read against that history — the recovery is what you are buying.net_profit

Revenue by year₹ Crannual_results
050,0001,00,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Revenue by year
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)
FY1440,463
FY1544,915
FY1645,799
FY1744,473
FY1846,056
FY1952,906
FY2078,895
FY2174,314
FY2273,385
FY2394,139
FY241,18,379
FY251,27,945
FY261,34,298
Profit by year₹ Crannual_results
010,00020,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Profit by year
PeriodProfit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY145,036
FY153,950
FY16-5,033
FY171,855
FY18-1,836
FY191,166
FY20981
FY211,620
FY227,933
FY2315,005
FY2418,869
FY2520,865
FY2620,070
Spread % by year%annual_results
30.035.040.045.0FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Spread % by year
PeriodSpread % (%)
FY1431.8
FY1532.0
FY1629.9
FY1733.5
FY1836.7
FY1938.6
FY2036.6
FY2141.9
FY2247.1
FY2346.9
FY2441.0
FY2538.8
FY2639.0
CHAPTER 1 · THE LENDING ENGINE

Interest income grew 5% — steady, not spectacular

For a bank, “revenue” is the interest and fees it earns on loans and investments.

Mar 26 income was ₹34,514 Cr, up 5% on a year ago. A bank grows by lending more and charging well — this line is both together.revenue

Quarterly interest + fee income₹ Crquarterly_results
020,000YoY %Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly interest + fee income
PeriodIncome (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 2328,003–
Sep 2329,263–
Dec 2330,042–
Mar 2431,072–
Jun 2431,14311.2
Sep 2431,9029.0
Dec 2432,5708.4
Mar 2532,8205.6
Jun 2532,8665.5
Sep 2533,3184.4
Dec 2533,6003.2
Mar 2634,5145.2
CHAPTER 2 · THE SPREAD

The squeeze is easing — the spread bottomed at 38% and is mending

A bank borrows money (deposits) and lends it out. The spread — the share of interest income it keeps after paying depositors — is its gross margin. Derived: (income − interest paid) ÷ income.

Of every ₹100 of interest the bank earns, ₹60 goes straight out as interest on deposits and borrowings. It keeps ₹40 — up 2 points from a year ago.revenueinterest_expense

The visible arc: squeezed from 43% down to 38% (Dec 24) as deposits repriced faster than loans, and recovering since. The direction matters more than the level now.interest_expense

Share of interest income kept, quarterly%quarterly_results
38.040.042.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Share of interest income kept, quarterly
PeriodSpread kept (%)
Jun 2342.6
Sep 2340.1
Dec 2340.1
Mar 2441.1
Jun 2440.3
Sep 2439.6
Dec 2438.2
Mar 2538.2
Jun 2538.2
Sep 2539.4
Dec 2538.7
Mar 2639.8
CHAPTER 3 · BAD LOANS

Bad loans are healing — from a worst of 3.8% (Mar 23) to 2.0%

GNPA (gross non-performing assets) — the share of loans where the borrower has stopped paying. Net NPA is what remains after provisions already set aside. For banks, DOWN is good.

₹2.0 of every ₹100 lent is currently stuck with borrowers who’ve stopped paying — down from ₹3.8 at the Mar 23 worst. After the money already set aside, the true exposure is 0.6%.gross_npa_pctnet_npa_pct

Falling bad loans still help — less new money needs setting aside — but this year’s profit growth is coming from the lending engine itself (interest income), not from provision releases. The healing cleans the book; the growth is earned.gross_npa_pctrevenue

Bad loans as % of the book, quarterly%quarterly_results
1.02.03.04.0Gross NPANet NPA (after provisions)Mar 23Mar 24Mar 25Dec 25
Data: Bad loans as % of the book, quarterly
PeriodGross NPA (%)Net NPA (after provisions) (%)
Mar 233.80.9
Jun 233.50.8
Sep 233.30.8
Dec 233.10.7
Mar 242.90.7
Jun 242.90.7
Sep 242.50.6
Dec 242.40.6
Mar 252.30.6
Jun 252.30.6
Sep 252.20.6
Dec 252.00.6
WATCH →A single quarter of GNPA rising again would put this story on watch.
CHAPTER 4 · THE BOTTOM LINE

Profit is flat

PAT — what is left for shareholders after paying depositors, staff, and setting aside money for bad loans.

Mar 26 profit was ₹5,872 Cr, up 8% on last year — earnings per share of ₹11.22.net_profiteps

Where the growth comes from matters: this year it is the lending engine — net interest income — doing the lifting, not one-off provision releases. That is the more durable kind.revenue

Quarterly profit after tax₹ Crquarterly_results
02,0004,0006,000YoY %+22−26Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly profit after tax
PeriodPAT (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 234,468–
Sep 234,426–
Dec 234,815–
Mar 245,160–
Jun 244,7646.6
Sep 245,40522.1
Dec 245,2509.0
Mar 255,4475.6
Jun 253,517-26.2
Sep 255,181-4.1
Dec 255,5014.8
Mar 265,8727.8
Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)₹ Cr
5,447+1,694−503−443−1,602+1,2795,872PAT Mar 25More interestincomeCostlierdepositsRunning costs& provisionsFees & otherincomeTaxPAT Mar 26

The biggest force in the bridge: lending more.

Data: Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)
ComponentEffect (₹ Cr)
PAT Mar 255,447
More interest income+1,694
Costlier deposits−503
Running costs & provisions−443
Fees & other income−1,602
Tax+1,279
PAT Mar 265,872
CHAPTER 5 · WHAT YOU PAY

Priced mid-range against its own history

P/BV (price to book value) — the price of ₹1 of the bank’s net worth. The honest valuation lens for banks (P/E misleads on lenders).

Today you pay ₹0.85 for every ₹1 of book value, against a long-run median of ₹0.80. It has traded cheaper than this only 59% of the time since 2016.pb_ratio

Price-to-book over time (weekly)xvaluation_history
0.51Feb 16Jan 20May 23Jul 26
Data: Price-to-book over time (weekly) (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodP/BV (x)
Feb 160.7
May 160.8
Jul 160.9
Sept 160.9
Dec 160.9
Feb 171.0
Apr 170.9
Jun 170.9
Sept 170.7
Nov 171.0
Jan 180.9
Apr 180.8
Jun 180.7
Feb 190.6
May 190.7
Jul 190.5
Sept 190.6
Nov 190.5
Feb 200.6
Apr 200.2
Jun 200.2
Sept 200.3
Nov 200.3
Jan 210.4
Apr 210.5
Jun 210.5
Aug 210.5
Oct 210.6
Jan 220.5
Mar 220.6
May 220.6
Aug 220.7
Oct 220.7
Dec 220.9
Mar 230.9
May 231.0
Jul 230.9
Sept 231.0
Dec 231.0
Feb 241.2
Apr 241.3
Jul 241.1
Sept 241.0
Nov 240.9
Feb 250.8
Apr 251.0
Jun 250.8
Aug 250.8
Nov 250.9
Jan 261.0
Mar 260.8
Jun 260.8
Jul 260.8
CHAPTER 6 · WHO OWNS IT

Institutions sold for years — and have been buying back since

Shareholding — who owns the company: founders (promoters), foreign funds (FII), domestic funds (DII).

Promoters hold 64.0%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 9.7%, domestic funds 18.9%.promoters_pctfiis_pctdiis_pct

Foreign funds tell the real story: they sold from 12.3% down to 8.1% (Jun 25), and have been buying back since — now 9.7%. A completed round trip like that usually means the doubts got answered.fiis_pct

Who holds the shares, quarterly%shareholding
Promoters64.0% → 64.0% · flat
63.063.564.064.5Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Foreign funds12.3% → 9.7% · down 2.6 pts
8.010.012.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Domestic funds15.8% → 18.9% · up 3.2 pts
16.017.018.019.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Who holds the shares, quarterly
PeriodPromoters (%)Foreign funds (%)Domestic funds (%)
Jun 2364.012.315.8
Sep 2364.012.415.7
Dec 2364.012.315.8
Mar 2464.012.416.0
Jun 2464.011.515.8
Sep 2464.09.916.4
Dec 2464.08.917.9
Mar 2564.09.018.0
Jun 2564.08.118.8
Sep 2564.08.718.9
Dec 2564.09.818.7
Mar 2664.09.718.9
WHAT IS NOT HAPPENING
  • Promoters are not selling. Their stake has moved 0.1 points or less in 8 quarters — it sits at 64.0%.promoters_pct
  • There is no new bad-loan cycle forming — GNPA is at or near its 8-quarter low of 2.04%.gross_npa_pct
  • Funding costs are not blowing up — interest paid has stayed near 60% of income all through.interest_expense
THE VERDICT

Worth studying deeper — with eyes open

The numbers lean positive, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far.

Best thing in the data: bad loans improving (2.4% → 2.0%).gross_npa_pct

Biggest worry: return on equity falling (16.0% → 13.0%).roe_pct

One dissent worth hearing: our technicals lens reads negative — “recent golden detected”. When a lens disagrees with the committee, it is usually pointing at the thing that breaks first.

The machine committee — 7 independent readsSTUDY DEEPER · 76%
Earnings patternPOSITIVE80% · w21
Valuation cycleNEUTRAL50% · w19
CatalystsPOSITIVE30% · w14
Quality & safetyPOSITIVE85% · w14
TechnicalsNEGATIVE35% · w12
ValuationPOSITIVE41% · w10
Growth at a pricePOSITIVE52% · w10
One model disagrees — the Technicals lens reads this stock as NEGATIVE (35% confidence): “recent golden detected”
7-model research readSTUDY DEEPER · 76% confidence
WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEWTwo quarters of bad loans reversing would kill this story.

Machine-written research from Screener data — every number traces to its source column. Sector Alpha is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Not investment advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Straight answers from the data

What does Bank of Baroda do?

Bank of Baroda is engaged in providing various services, such as personal banking, corporate banking, international banking, small and medium enterprise (SME) banking, rural banking, non-resident Indian (NRI) services and treasury services.(Source : Company Web-site). It is listed in the Banks - PSU sector with a market capitalisation of ₹1,40,480 Cr.

What is Bank of Baroda's share price?

As of 1 July 2026, Bank of Baroda trades at ₹272, up 13% over the past year, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,40,480 Cr. Trailing NIFTY 500 for 1 week. Prices are weekly closes from Screener data; this page refreshes with each weekly update.

What is Bank of Baroda's share price target?

Sector Alpha does not publish broker-style price targets. Our discounted-cash-flow model estimates Bank of Baroda's intrinsic value at ₹392 per share under base assumptions (bear ₹291, bull ₹663), against the current price of ₹272 — a 46% margin of safety. The current price already implies roughly -1% annual earnings growth. These are model estimates, not forecasts — treat them as one input alongside the valuation history below, not as a target.

What did Bank of Baroda report in its latest quarterly results?

In its most recent reported quarter (Q4 FY26, quarter ended March 2026): Mar 26 income was ₹34,514 Cr, up 5% on a year ago. A bank grows by lending more and charging well — this line is both together. Mar 26 profit was ₹5,872 Cr, up 8% on last year — earnings per share of ₹11.22. Figures are from Screener-scraped quarterly filings; the page updates when the next quarter is filed.

Is Bank of Baroda growing?

Interest income grew 5% — steady, not spectacular. Mar 26 income was ₹34,514 Cr, up 5% on a year ago. A bank grows by lending more and charging well — this line is both together.

Are Bank of Baroda's profits growing?

Profit is flat. Mar 26 profit was ₹5,872 Cr, up 8% on last year — earnings per share of ₹11.22.

How much of its interest income does Bank of Baroda keep?

The squeeze is easing — the spread bottomed at 38% and is mending. Of every ₹100 of interest the bank earns, ₹60 goes straight out as interest on deposits and borrowings. It keeps ₹40 — up 2 points from a year ago.

What is Bank of Baroda's long-term growth record?

Revenue grew from ₹40,463 Cr in FY14 to ₹1,34,298 Cr in FY26 — a 10.5% compound annual growth rate over 12 years. Profit after tax compounded at 12.2% over the same period (₹5,036 Cr → ₹20,070 Cr).

Is Bank of Baroda stock in an uptrend?

The price is building a base — waiting for its next move. Bank of Baroda is in Stage 1 — basing, 4 weeks in (confirmed). Stages follow Stan Weinstein's four-phase read of weekly price against the 200-day average: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3), declining (4).

Is Bank of Baroda beating the NIFTY 500?

No — trailing NIFTY 500 for 1 week, as of 1 July 2026. Relative strength is measured weekly against the NIFTY 500 (Mansfield RS): a positive reading means the stock has outperformed the index over the trailing window, week after week.

Where is Bank of Baroda in its business cycle?

The data reads Bank of Baroda as a deep cyclical business currently in its expansion phase — earnings at 97% of their own historical range. Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY16 and FY18. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.

Who owns Bank of Baroda — what is the promoter holding?

Promoters hold 64.0%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 9.7%, domestic funds 18.9%. Foreign funds tell the real story: they sold from 12.3% down to 8.1% (Jun 25), and have been buying back since — now 9.7%. A completed round trip like that usually means the doubts got answered. Shareholding is from Screener's quarterly filings data.

How is Bank of Baroda's asset quality?

Bad loans are healing — from a worst of 3.8% (Mar 23) to 2.0%. ₹2.0 of every ₹100 lent is currently stuck with borrowers who’ve stopped paying — down from ₹3.8 at the Mar 23 worst. After the money already set aside, the true exposure is 0.6%.

What is the bull case for Bank of Baroda?

Bad loans have fallen from 3.8% to 2.0%, profits are compounding — and the market still prices it below its own book value. Best thing in the data: bad loans improving (2.4% → 2.0%). Interest income grew 5% — steady, not spectacular.

What is the bear case for Bank of Baroda — what could break the story?

Biggest worry: return on equity falling (16.0% → 13.0%). Two quarters of bad loans reversing would kill this story. The nearest-term thing to watch: a single quarter of GNPA rising again would put this story on watch. This falsification condition is stated up front so the thesis can be checked against incoming quarters, not defended after the fact.

Is Bank of Baroda a stock worth studying right now?

Sector Alpha does not publish buy or sell recommendations — this is a research read, not advice. What the data says: worth studying deeper — with eyes open. The numbers lean positive, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far. Across the 7-model scorecard the composite research signal is study deeper at 76% confidence. This is machine-written research compiled from Screener data — every number traces to its source — and it is not investment advice. Do your own diligence.

Generated from Screener data · 7 sources · why_traces/1.0 + story/1.2
details
generated 2026-07-03 11:21 · 2 material moves detected
sources: screener_company_info, screener_quarterly_results, screener_annual_results, screener_valuation_history, screener_shareholding, weinstein_stages, agent_scores