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Home›Stocks›Steel Authority of India Ltd
SAILSteel Authority of India LtdSteel
₹168+24.9% 1y

Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) — share price & stock analysis

From losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it.

TURNAROUNDBeating NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks
STAGE 2 UPTRENDBEATING NIFTY 33W
TURNAROUNDMARGINS EXPANDINGSALES MOMENTUM
DEEP CYCLICALEARLY RECOVERY
₹69,504 Cr
Market cap
18.1×
P/E
6.4%
ROE
By Sector Alpha Research · machine-compiled from Screener.in data · Updated 1 July 2026 · Sources: Screener.in company page, NSE quote · Not investment advice
The 30-second answer

Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) trades at ₹168 as of 1 July 2026, up 25% over the past year — beating NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks. The machine reads this as turnaround: from losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it. the price is in Stage 2 — advancing, 56 weeks in; the business cycle reads DEEP CYCLICAL / EARLY RECOVERY. Fundamentals-momentum score: 100/100 (all improving).

Data as of 1 July 2026 · every number traces to its Screener source column · not investment advice.

Key numbers
Market cap
₹69,504 Cr
P/E
18.1×
ROE
6.4%
Book value / share
₹146
Revenue (FY26)
₹1,10,811 Cr
Profit after tax (FY26)
₹3,373 Cr
Weinstein stage
Stage 2 (56 weeks)
Data as of
1 July 2026
MOMENTUM OF THE FUNDAMENTALS
100/100
ALL IMPROVING
Levels: ROCE 8% — weak · debt moderate (0.53× equity) · margins mid-band
SalesUp 5% YoY — 6 straight growth quarters
MarginsOPM 11.9% → 14.3% in a year
ProfitUp 47% YoY
Cash generationOperating cash ₹9,914 Cr → ₹19,039 Cr
Balance sheetD/E 0.63× → 0.53×
Committed ownersPromoters + funds hold 88.4% (a year ago: 84.0%)
DEEP CYCLICAL
Trough
Recovery
Expansion
Peak

Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.net_profit

Where the clock stands now: earnings sit at 46% of their historical range, margins are mid-band, and valuation history is thin. That reads as EARLY RECOVERY — the sweet spot of the pendulum — the improvement is visible but not yet fully priced.net_profit

6 of the 6 things we track are currently moving the right way — nearly everything is pulling in the same direction.

Where the levels actually stand: ROCE 8% — weak; debt moderate (0.53× equity); margins mid-band. Momentum says which way things are moving; these say where they are.

Read this number for what it is: it measures the DIRECTION of change, not the quality of the business. A mediocre business getting better scores high here; a great one having a soft quarter scores low. Profit, sales and margins count double.

WHERE THE PRICE IS IN ITS CYCLE

An uptrend that has held for 56 weeks

STAGE 2 · ADVANCING · 56 WEEKS

Every stock cycles through the same four seasons — a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Right now this one is in Stage 2: advancing, 56 weeks in, confirmed.stage

The price sits above its rising 200-day average (₹160 today) — trends like this persist more often than they reverse, which is why the system rides them instead of guessing the top.dma_200

Beating NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks — relative strength is the market’s live opinion, and right now it is on this stock’s side.rs_mansfield

What would end it: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the house exit rule — mechanical, no debates.dma_200

Weekly price with its 200-day and 50-day averages — stages shaded₹weinstein_stages
S2S450.0100150200Price200-DMAStage 2 began · Jul 25Feb 16Aug 19Mar 23Jul 26
Data: Weekly price, moving averages and stage (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodPrice (₹)200-DMA (₹)50-DMA (₹)Stage
Feb 1634.851.541.04
May 1639.647.942.84
Aug 1645.946.946.14
Nov 1650.047.849.02
Jan 1763.750.254.22
Apr 1760.355.461.52
Jul 1761.757.059.42
Oct 1756.458.459.22
Dec 1792.266.978.82
Mar 1868.774.880.72
Jun 1885.575.678.23
Sep 1878.276.677.72
Nov 1855.372.265.64
Feb 1949.362.250.14
May 1947.658.753.24
Aug 1938.853.546.04
Nov 1939.045.435.64
Jan 2051.044.444.34
Apr 2028.339.731.24
Jul 2036.935.531.04
Oct 2034.136.436.92
Dec 2060.340.047.82
Mar 2173.553.168.42
Jun 2113578.21132
Sep 211231001262
Nov 211041071172
Feb 2296.81061054
May 2279.710397.44
Aug 2277.689.575.84
Oct 2279.085.479.04
Jan 2391.585.085.01
Apr 2381.585.184.63
Jul 2386.884.784.81
Sep 2393.888.292.52
Dec 2311390.496.43
Mar 241221061242
Jun 241531261542
Aug 241341341412
Nov 241131301234
Feb 251061221114
May 251091181124
Aug 251201231292
Oct 251301261302
Jan 261491311392
Apr 261661421542
Jun 261841581842
Jul 261681601812
THE LONG ARC

Out of the loss years — profitable again, still below its best

Over 12 years, sales went from ₹46,804 Cr to ₹1,10,811 Cr (about 7% a year), and profit from ₹2,652 Cr to ₹3,373 Cr.revenuenet_profit

The books show real losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18 (worst: ₹−4,176 Cr). Everything about today’s cheap-looking numbers must be read against that history — the recovery is what you are buying.net_profit

Revenue by year₹ Crannual_results
050,0001,00,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Revenue by year
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)
FY1446,804
FY1546,032
FY1638,793
FY1744,210
FY1857,496
FY1966,973
FY2061,664
FY2169,114
FY221,03,477
FY231,04,448
FY241,05,378
FY251,02,479
FY261,10,811
Profit by year₹ Crannual_results
010,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Profit by year
PeriodProfit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY142,652
FY151,939
FY16-4,176
FY17-2,756
FY18-281
FY192,349
FY202,121
FY214,148
FY2212,243
FY232,177
FY243,067
FY252,372
FY263,373
OPM % by year%annual_results
0.010.020.0FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: OPM % by year
PeriodOPM % (%)
FY148.9
FY1510.5
FY16-7.3
FY170.3
FY188.2
FY1914.6
FY2016.6
FY2118.5
FY2220.6
FY237.7
FY2410.6
FY2510.4
FY2610.8
CHAPTER 1 · THE ENGINE

Sales have gone quiet — growth has stalled

Revenue — the money that comes in from customers, before any costs.

Mar 26 sales were ₹30,813 Cr, up 5% on the same quarter last year.revenue

That makes 6 quarters of growth in a row — this is a trend, not a blip.revenue

Quarterly sales₹ Crquarterly_results
010,00020,00030,000YoY %Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly sales
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 2324,359–
Sep 2329,712–
Dec 2323,349–
Mar 2427,959–
Jun 2423,998-1.5
Sep 2424,675-17.0
Dec 2424,4904.9
Mar 2529,3164.9
Jun 2525,9228.0
Sep 2526,7048.2
Dec 2527,37111.8
Mar 2630,8135.1
CHAPTER 2 · THE TAKE

Margins are widening — 12% → 14% in a year

Margins — the share of every ₹100 of sales kept as profit. Gross (after raw materials), operating (after running costs), net (after everything).

Of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹14.3 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹11.9).opm_pct

Zoom out and this is the page's quiet hero: annual operating margin bottomed at 7.7% in FY23 and has been rebuilt to 10.8% — that recovery, not sales alone, is what powers the profit growth elsewhere on this page.operating_profit

The gross margin moved the same way (50% → 51%), so this is about input costs and pricing power — the raw-material equation improved.gpm_pctopm_pct

Three margins, quarterly%margin_trends
0.020.040.0GrossOperatingNetJun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Three margins, quarterly
PeriodGross (%)Operating (%)Net (%)
Jun 2346.36.80.9
Sep 2347.713.05.4
Dec 2352.09.21.6
Mar 2448.112.55.4
Jun 2449.79.31.6
Sep 2453.011.83.6
Dec 2448.38.30.5
Mar 2550.011.94.3
Jun 2552.310.72.9
Sep 2549.99.52.4
Dec 2547.58.41.4
Mar 2651.514.36.7
WATCH →Two consecutive quarters of margin decline would break this trend.
CHAPTER 3 · THE BOTTOM LINE

Profit exploded 47% — mostly from keeping more of each sale

PAT (profit after tax) — what is left for shareholders after every cost, interest and tax.

Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹1,835 Cr, up 47% year on year.net_profit

Quarterly profit after tax₹ Crquarterly_results
01,000YoY %−61−31−66+809−53+163+47Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly profit after tax
PeriodPAT (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 23212–
Sep 231,306–
Dec 23423–
Mar 241,126–
Jun 2482.0-61.3
Sep 24897-31.3
Dec 24142-66.4
Mar 251,25111.1
Jun 25745808.5
Sep 25419-53.3
Dec 25374163.4
Mar 261,83546.7
Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)₹ Cr
1,251+178+747−160−53+132−261+11,835PAT Mar 25More salesFattermarginsOther incomeDepreciationInterestTaxEverythingelsePAT Mar 26

The single biggest driver was keeping more of each sale.

Data: Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)
ComponentEffect (₹ Cr)
PAT Mar 251,251
More sales+178
Fatter margins+747
Other income−160
Depreciation−53
Interest+132
Tax−261
Everything else+1
PAT Mar 261,835
CHAPTER 4 · THE ACID TEST

The profits are real — they turn into cash

Operating cash flow (CFO) — the cash that actually arrived, vs PAT, the profit accounting reports. Annual figures.

Over the last 5 profitable years, the business reported ₹23,232 Cr of profit and collected ₹57,561 Cr of operating cash — about 248% conversion.operating_cash_flownet_profit

When cash tracks profit this closely, the earnings need no asterisk.

Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)₹ Crcash_flow
010,00020,00030,000Operating cash flowProfit after taxFY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)
PeriodOperating cash flow (₹ Cr)Profit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY146,3132,652
FY152,5791,939
FY164,043-4,176
FY172,160-2,756
FY186,164-281
FY197,2152,349
FY20-6182,121
FY2123,4304,148
FY2230,98712,243
FY23-5,2902,177
FY242,9113,067
FY259,9142,372
FY2619,0393,373
CHAPTER 5 · THE PIPELINE

The cash cycle is tightening — money comes home faster

Working capital — days of sales locked up in inventory and unpaid bills. Screener reports this yearly, so this chart is annual.

One rupee now takes about 105 days to go out the door as materials and come back as collected cash — down from 163 days the year before.cash_conversion_cycle

The biggest mover: inventory moving faster off the shelf (211 → 156 days).inventory_days

Days of cash locked up (annual)daysratios
0100200300Customers owe (debtor days)Stock on shelf (inventory days)We owe suppliers (payable days)FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Days of cash locked up (annual)
PeriodCustomers owe (debtor days) (days)Stock on shelf (inventory days) (days)We owe suppliers (payable days) (days)
FY1443.027256.0
FY1526.037077.0
FY1630.030882.0
FY1724.027490.0
FY1825.019987.0
FY1925.024389.0
FY2052.037097.0
FY2143.0207107
FY2217.0170143
FY2319.018092.0
FY2429.0222103
FY2527.021175.0
FY2621.015672.0
CHAPTER 6 · THE BUILD

The asset base keeps compounding — this company builds

Capex — money spent on plants, machines and buildings. Gross block is what exists; CWIP (capital work-in-progress) is what is being built. Annual.

The productive asset base has gone from ₹28,175 Cr (FY14) to ₹75,989 Cr, with another ₹10,552 Cr of capacity under construction right now.fixed_assetscwip

The build is self-funded: the last 3 years' investing outflow (₹17,428 Cr) fits inside the operating cash the business generated (₹31,864 Cr).investing_cash_flowoperating_cash_flow

Assets in place vs under construction (annual)₹ Crbalance_sheet
020,00040,00060,00080,000Fixed assetsUnder construction (CWIP)FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Assets in place vs under construction (annual)
PeriodFixed assets (₹ Cr)Under construction (CWIP) (₹ Cr)
FY1428,17533,958
FY1539,01129,328
FY1645,94224,927
FY1750,30023,275
FY1858,62518,395
FY1961,37416,014
FY2069,0348,753
FY2167,6188,881
FY2273,6774,710
FY2373,5434,891
FY2472,4266,141
FY2573,3277,206
FY2675,98910,552
CHAPTER 7 · SURVIVAL

Debt is present but comfortable

Debt-to-equity — borrowings against shareholders’ money. Computed from the balance sheet. Annual.

For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹53.borrowings

Total borrowings (annual)₹ Crbalance_sheet
020,00040,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Total borrowings (annual)
PeriodBorrowings (₹ Cr)
FY1426,020
FY1532,146
FY1635,141
FY1741,396
FY1845,409
FY1945,170
FY2054,127
FY2137,677
FY2217,284
FY2330,773
FY2436,323
FY2536,934
FY2631,928
Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)xbalance_sheet
00.51FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)
PeriodDebt ÷ equity (x)
FY140.6
FY150.7
FY160.9
FY171.1
FY181.2
FY191.1
FY201.3
FY210.8
FY220.3
FY230.6
FY240.6
FY250.6
FY260.5
CHAPTER 8 · THE ENGINE ROOM

Every ₹100 kept in the business earns just ₹8

ROCE — profit earned per ₹100 of capital used. ROE — the same, per ₹100 of shareholders’ money alone. Annual.

Return on capital employed is 8.0% (a year ago: 7.0%). This is the single best test of business quality: what the company earns on the money it keeps.roce_pct

Returns on capital (annual)%ratios
0.010.020.0ROCEFY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Returns on capital (annual)
PeriodROCE (%)
FY145.0
FY155.0
FY16-6.0
FY17-2.0
FY183.0
FY199.0
FY208.0
FY2111.0
FY2224.0
FY236.0
FY248.0
FY257.0
FY268.0
CHAPTER 9 · WHO OWNS IT

Big money is quietly accumulating

Shareholding — who owns the company: founders (promoters), foreign funds (FII), domestic funds (DII).

Promoters hold 65.0%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 5.0%, domestic funds 18.4%.promoters_pctfiis_pctdiis_pct

Institutions buying while the story develops is the market’s quiet vote of confidence — they meet management, you don’t.

Who holds the shares, quarterly%shareholding
Promoters65.0% → 65.0% · flat
64.064.565.065.566.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Foreign funds3.8% → 5.0% · up 1.2 pts
3.04.05.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Domestic funds13.6% → 18.4% · up 4.8 pts
14.016.018.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Who holds the shares, quarterly
PeriodPromoters (%)Foreign funds (%)Domestic funds (%)
Jun 2365.03.813.6
Sep 2365.03.714.6
Dec 2365.04.315.5
Mar 2465.03.215.9
Jun 2465.03.015.7
Sep 2465.02.816.0
Dec 2465.02.615.9
Mar 2565.03.215.8
Jun 2565.03.717.3
Sep 2565.03.818.1
Dec 2565.04.517.8
Mar 2665.05.018.4
WHAT IS NOT HAPPENING
  • Promoters are not selling. Their stake has moved 0.1 points or less in 8 quarters — it sits at 65.0%.promoters_pct
  • Sales are NOT driving the profit move — revenue grew just 5.1% while profit moved much more. This is a margin-and-recovery story, which has a shorter runway than a volume story.revenuenet_profit
THE VERDICT

A turnaround that stuck — the question is what’s left to re-rate

The numbers are genuinely mixed, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far.

Best thing in the data: free cash flow rising (₹4,646 Cr → ₹11,140 Cr).operating_cash_flow

The machine committee — 7 independent readsON WATCH · 58%
Earnings patternNEUTRAL30% · w21
Valuation cycleNEGATIVE70% · w19
CatalystsPOSITIVE50% · w14
Quality & safetyPOSITIVE58% · w14
TechnicalsPOSITIVE35% · w12
ValuationPOSITIVE60% · w10
Growth at a pricePOSITIVE62% · w10
7-model research readON WATCH · 58% confidence
WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEWTwo quarters of margins reversing would kill this story.

Machine-written research from Screener data — every number traces to its source column. Sector Alpha is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Not investment advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Straight answers from the data

What does Steel Authority of India Ltd do?

Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL) is one of the largest steel-making companies in India and one of the Maharatnas of the countrys Central Public Sector Enterprises. SAIL produces iron and steel at five integrated plants and three special steel plants, located principally in the eastern and central regions of India and situated close to domestic sources of raw materials. SAIL manufactures and sells a broad range of steel products.(Source : Company Web-Site). It is listed in the Steel sector with a market capitalisation of ₹69,504 Cr.

What is Steel Authority of India Ltd's share price?

As of 1 July 2026, Steel Authority of India Ltd trades at ₹168, up 25% over the past year, with a market capitalisation of ₹69,504 Cr. Beating NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks. Prices are weekly closes from Screener data; this page refreshes with each weekly update.

What is Steel Authority of India Ltd's share price target?

Sector Alpha does not publish broker-style price targets. Our discounted-cash-flow model estimates Steel Authority of India Ltd's intrinsic value at ₹185 per share under base assumptions (bear ₹76.0, bull ₹185), against the current price of ₹168 — a 2% margin of safety. The current price already implies roughly 16% annual earnings growth. These are model estimates, not forecasts — treat them as one input alongside the valuation history below, not as a target.

What did Steel Authority of India Ltd report in its latest quarterly results?

In its most recent reported quarter (Q4 FY26, quarter ended March 2026): Mar 26 sales were ₹30,813 Cr, up 5% on the same quarter last year. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹1,835 Cr, up 47% year on year. Figures are from Screener-scraped quarterly filings; the page updates when the next quarter is filed.

Is Steel Authority of India Ltd growing?

Sales have gone quiet — growth has stalled. Mar 26 sales were ₹30,813 Cr, up 5% on the same quarter last year.

Are Steel Authority of India Ltd's profits growing?

Profit exploded 47% — mostly from keeping more of each sale. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹1,835 Cr, up 47% year on year.

What are Steel Authority of India Ltd's operating margins?

Margins are widening — 12% → 14% in a year. In the most recent quarter, of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹14.3 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹11.9).

What is Steel Authority of India Ltd's long-term growth record?

Revenue grew from ₹46,804 Cr in FY14 to ₹1,10,811 Cr in FY26 — a 7.4% compound annual growth rate over 12 years. Profit after tax compounded at 2.0% over the same period (₹2,652 Cr → ₹3,373 Cr).

Is Steel Authority of India Ltd stock in an uptrend?

An uptrend that has held for 56 weeks. Steel Authority of India Ltd is in Stage 2 — advancing, 56 weeks in (confirmed). Stages follow Stan Weinstein's four-phase read of weekly price against the 200-day average: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3), declining (4).

Why is Steel Authority of India Ltd stock rising?

The price is up 25% over the past year, in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend (56 weeks), and has beaten NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks.

Is Steel Authority of India Ltd beating the NIFTY 500?

Yes — beating NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks, as of 1 July 2026. Relative strength is measured weekly against the NIFTY 500 (Mansfield RS): a positive reading means the stock has outperformed the index over the trailing window, week after week.

Where is Steel Authority of India Ltd in its business cycle?

The data reads Steel Authority of India Ltd as a deep cyclical business currently in its early recovery phase — earnings at 46% of their own historical range. Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.

Who owns Steel Authority of India Ltd — what is the promoter holding?

Promoters hold 65.0%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 5.0%, domestic funds 18.4%. Institutions buying while the story develops is the market’s quiet vote of confidence — they meet management, you don’t. Shareholding is from Screener's quarterly filings data.

Does Steel Authority of India Ltd have too much debt?

Debt is present but comfortable. For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹53.

What is the bull case for Steel Authority of India Ltd?

From losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it. Best thing in the data: free cash flow rising (₹4,646 Cr → ₹11,140 Cr). Sales have gone quiet — growth has stalled.

What is the bear case for Steel Authority of India Ltd — what could break the story?

Two quarters of margins reversing would kill this story. The nearest-term thing to watch: two consecutive quarters of margin decline would break this trend. This falsification condition is stated up front so the thesis can be checked against incoming quarters, not defended after the fact.

Is Steel Authority of India Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

Sector Alpha does not publish buy or sell recommendations — this is a research read, not advice. What the data says: a turnaround that stuck — the question is what’s left to re-rate. The numbers are genuinely mixed, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far. Across the 7-model scorecard the composite research signal is on watch at 58% confidence. This is machine-written research compiled from Screener data — every number traces to its source — and it is not investment advice. Do your own diligence.

Generated from Screener data · 11 sources · why_traces/1.0 + story/1.2
details
generated 2026-07-03 11:21 · 6 material moves detected
sources: screener_company_info, screener_quarterly_results, screener_annual_results, screener_valuation_history, screener_shareholding, screener_cash_flow, screener_ratios, screener_balance_sheet, screener_margin_trends, weinstein_stages, agent_scores