Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) — share price & stock analysis
From losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it.
Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) trades at ₹168 as of 1 July 2026, up 25% over the past year — beating NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks. The machine reads this as turnaround: from losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it. the price is in Stage 2 — advancing, 56 weeks in; the business cycle reads DEEP CYCLICAL / EARLY RECOVERY. Fundamentals-momentum score: 100/100 (all improving).
Data as of 1 July 2026 · every number traces to its Screener source column · not investment advice.
- Market cap
- ₹69,504 Cr
- P/E
- 18.1×
- ROE
- 6.4%
- Book value / share
- ₹146
- Revenue (FY26)
- ₹1,10,811 Cr
- Profit after tax (FY26)
- ₹3,373 Cr
- Weinstein stage
- Stage 2 (56 weeks)
- Data as of
- 1 July 2026
Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.net_profit
Where the clock stands now: earnings sit at 46% of their historical range, margins are mid-band, and valuation history is thin. That reads as EARLY RECOVERY — the sweet spot of the pendulum — the improvement is visible but not yet fully priced.net_profit
6 of the 6 things we track are currently moving the right way — nearly everything is pulling in the same direction.
Where the levels actually stand: ROCE 8% — weak; debt moderate (0.53× equity); margins mid-band. Momentum says which way things are moving; these say where they are.
Read this number for what it is: it measures the DIRECTION of change, not the quality of the business. A mediocre business getting better scores high here; a great one having a soft quarter scores low. Profit, sales and margins count double.
An uptrend that has held for 56 weeks
STAGE 2 · ADVANCING · 56 WEEKSEvery stock cycles through the same four seasons — a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Right now this one is in Stage 2: advancing, 56 weeks in, confirmed.stage
The price sits above its rising 200-day average (₹160 today) — trends like this persist more often than they reverse, which is why the system rides them instead of guessing the top.dma_200
Beating NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks — relative strength is the market’s live opinion, and right now it is on this stock’s side.rs_mansfield
What would end it: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the house exit rule — mechanical, no debates.dma_200
Data: Weekly price, moving averages and stage (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
| Period | Price (₹) | 200-DMA (₹) | 50-DMA (₹) | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16 | 34.8 | 51.5 | 41.0 | 4 |
| May 16 | 39.6 | 47.9 | 42.8 | 4 |
| Aug 16 | 45.9 | 46.9 | 46.1 | 4 |
| Nov 16 | 50.0 | 47.8 | 49.0 | 2 |
| Jan 17 | 63.7 | 50.2 | 54.2 | 2 |
| Apr 17 | 60.3 | 55.4 | 61.5 | 2 |
| Jul 17 | 61.7 | 57.0 | 59.4 | 2 |
| Oct 17 | 56.4 | 58.4 | 59.2 | 2 |
| Dec 17 | 92.2 | 66.9 | 78.8 | 2 |
| Mar 18 | 68.7 | 74.8 | 80.7 | 2 |
| Jun 18 | 85.5 | 75.6 | 78.2 | 3 |
| Sep 18 | 78.2 | 76.6 | 77.7 | 2 |
| Nov 18 | 55.3 | 72.2 | 65.6 | 4 |
| Feb 19 | 49.3 | 62.2 | 50.1 | 4 |
| May 19 | 47.6 | 58.7 | 53.2 | 4 |
| Aug 19 | 38.8 | 53.5 | 46.0 | 4 |
| Nov 19 | 39.0 | 45.4 | 35.6 | 4 |
| Jan 20 | 51.0 | 44.4 | 44.3 | 4 |
| Apr 20 | 28.3 | 39.7 | 31.2 | 4 |
| Jul 20 | 36.9 | 35.5 | 31.0 | 4 |
| Oct 20 | 34.1 | 36.4 | 36.9 | 2 |
| Dec 20 | 60.3 | 40.0 | 47.8 | 2 |
| Mar 21 | 73.5 | 53.1 | 68.4 | 2 |
| Jun 21 | 135 | 78.2 | 113 | 2 |
| Sep 21 | 123 | 100 | 126 | 2 |
| Nov 21 | 104 | 107 | 117 | 2 |
| Feb 22 | 96.8 | 106 | 105 | 4 |
| May 22 | 79.7 | 103 | 97.4 | 4 |
| Aug 22 | 77.6 | 89.5 | 75.8 | 4 |
| Oct 22 | 79.0 | 85.4 | 79.0 | 4 |
| Jan 23 | 91.5 | 85.0 | 85.0 | 1 |
| Apr 23 | 81.5 | 85.1 | 84.6 | 3 |
| Jul 23 | 86.8 | 84.7 | 84.8 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 93.8 | 88.2 | 92.5 | 2 |
| Dec 23 | 113 | 90.4 | 96.4 | 3 |
| Mar 24 | 122 | 106 | 124 | 2 |
| Jun 24 | 153 | 126 | 154 | 2 |
| Aug 24 | 134 | 134 | 141 | 2 |
| Nov 24 | 113 | 130 | 123 | 4 |
| Feb 25 | 106 | 122 | 111 | 4 |
| May 25 | 109 | 118 | 112 | 4 |
| Aug 25 | 120 | 123 | 129 | 2 |
| Oct 25 | 130 | 126 | 130 | 2 |
| Jan 26 | 149 | 131 | 139 | 2 |
| Apr 26 | 166 | 142 | 154 | 2 |
| Jun 26 | 184 | 158 | 184 | 2 |
| Jul 26 | 168 | 160 | 181 | 2 |
Out of the loss years — profitable again, still below its best
Over 12 years, sales went from ₹46,804 Cr to ₹1,10,811 Cr (about 7% a year), and profit from ₹2,652 Cr to ₹3,373 Cr.revenuenet_profit
The books show real losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18 (worst: ₹−4,176 Cr). Everything about today’s cheap-looking numbers must be read against that history — the recovery is what you are buying.net_profit
Data: Revenue by year
| Period | Revenue (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 46,804 |
| FY15 | 46,032 |
| FY16 | 38,793 |
| FY17 | 44,210 |
| FY18 | 57,496 |
| FY19 | 66,973 |
| FY20 | 61,664 |
| FY21 | 69,114 |
| FY22 | 1,03,477 |
| FY23 | 1,04,448 |
| FY24 | 1,05,378 |
| FY25 | 1,02,479 |
| FY26 | 1,10,811 |
Data: Profit by year
| Period | Profit after tax (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 2,652 |
| FY15 | 1,939 |
| FY16 | -4,176 |
| FY17 | -2,756 |
| FY18 | -281 |
| FY19 | 2,349 |
| FY20 | 2,121 |
| FY21 | 4,148 |
| FY22 | 12,243 |
| FY23 | 2,177 |
| FY24 | 3,067 |
| FY25 | 2,372 |
| FY26 | 3,373 |
Data: OPM % by year
| Period | OPM % (%) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 8.9 |
| FY15 | 10.5 |
| FY16 | -7.3 |
| FY17 | 0.3 |
| FY18 | 8.2 |
| FY19 | 14.6 |
| FY20 | 16.6 |
| FY21 | 18.5 |
| FY22 | 20.6 |
| FY23 | 7.7 |
| FY24 | 10.6 |
| FY25 | 10.4 |
| FY26 | 10.8 |
Sales have gone quiet — growth has stalled
Mar 26 sales were ₹30,813 Cr, up 5% on the same quarter last year.revenue
That makes 6 quarters of growth in a row — this is a trend, not a blip.revenue
Data: Quarterly sales
| Period | Revenue (₹ Cr) | YoY growth (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 24,359 | – |
| Sep 23 | 29,712 | – |
| Dec 23 | 23,349 | – |
| Mar 24 | 27,959 | – |
| Jun 24 | 23,998 | -1.5 |
| Sep 24 | 24,675 | -17.0 |
| Dec 24 | 24,490 | 4.9 |
| Mar 25 | 29,316 | 4.9 |
| Jun 25 | 25,922 | 8.0 |
| Sep 25 | 26,704 | 8.2 |
| Dec 25 | 27,371 | 11.8 |
| Mar 26 | 30,813 | 5.1 |
Margins are widening — 12% → 14% in a year
Of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹14.3 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹11.9).opm_pct
Zoom out and this is the page's quiet hero: annual operating margin bottomed at 7.7% in FY23 and has been rebuilt to 10.8% — that recovery, not sales alone, is what powers the profit growth elsewhere on this page.operating_profit
The gross margin moved the same way (50% → 51%), so this is about input costs and pricing power — the raw-material equation improved.gpm_pctopm_pct
Data: Three margins, quarterly
| Period | Gross (%) | Operating (%) | Net (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 46.3 | 6.8 | 0.9 |
| Sep 23 | 47.7 | 13.0 | 5.4 |
| Dec 23 | 52.0 | 9.2 | 1.6 |
| Mar 24 | 48.1 | 12.5 | 5.4 |
| Jun 24 | 49.7 | 9.3 | 1.6 |
| Sep 24 | 53.0 | 11.8 | 3.6 |
| Dec 24 | 48.3 | 8.3 | 0.5 |
| Mar 25 | 50.0 | 11.9 | 4.3 |
| Jun 25 | 52.3 | 10.7 | 2.9 |
| Sep 25 | 49.9 | 9.5 | 2.4 |
| Dec 25 | 47.5 | 8.4 | 1.4 |
| Mar 26 | 51.5 | 14.3 | 6.7 |
Profit exploded 47% — mostly from keeping more of each sale
Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹1,835 Cr, up 47% year on year.net_profit
Data: Quarterly profit after tax
| Period | PAT (₹ Cr) | YoY growth (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 212 | – |
| Sep 23 | 1,306 | – |
| Dec 23 | 423 | – |
| Mar 24 | 1,126 | – |
| Jun 24 | 82.0 | -61.3 |
| Sep 24 | 897 | -31.3 |
| Dec 24 | 142 | -66.4 |
| Mar 25 | 1,251 | 11.1 |
| Jun 25 | 745 | 808.5 |
| Sep 25 | 419 | -53.3 |
| Dec 25 | 374 | 163.4 |
| Mar 26 | 1,835 | 46.7 |
The single biggest driver was keeping more of each sale.
Data: Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)
| Component | Effect (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| PAT Mar 25 | 1,251 |
| More sales | +178 |
| Fatter margins | +747 |
| Other income | −160 |
| Depreciation | −53 |
| Interest | +132 |
| Tax | −261 |
| Everything else | +1 |
| PAT Mar 26 | 1,835 |
The profits are real — they turn into cash
Over the last 5 profitable years, the business reported ₹23,232 Cr of profit and collected ₹57,561 Cr of operating cash — about 248% conversion.operating_cash_flownet_profit
When cash tracks profit this closely, the earnings need no asterisk.
Data: Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)
| Period | Operating cash flow (₹ Cr) | Profit after tax (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|---|
| FY14 | 6,313 | 2,652 |
| FY15 | 2,579 | 1,939 |
| FY16 | 4,043 | -4,176 |
| FY17 | 2,160 | -2,756 |
| FY18 | 6,164 | -281 |
| FY19 | 7,215 | 2,349 |
| FY20 | -618 | 2,121 |
| FY21 | 23,430 | 4,148 |
| FY22 | 30,987 | 12,243 |
| FY23 | -5,290 | 2,177 |
| FY24 | 2,911 | 3,067 |
| FY25 | 9,914 | 2,372 |
| FY26 | 19,039 | 3,373 |
The cash cycle is tightening — money comes home faster
One rupee now takes about 105 days to go out the door as materials and come back as collected cash — down from 163 days the year before.cash_conversion_cycle
The biggest mover: inventory moving faster off the shelf (211 → 156 days).inventory_days
Data: Days of cash locked up (annual)
| Period | Customers owe (debtor days) (days) | Stock on shelf (inventory days) (days) | We owe suppliers (payable days) (days) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY14 | 43.0 | 272 | 56.0 |
| FY15 | 26.0 | 370 | 77.0 |
| FY16 | 30.0 | 308 | 82.0 |
| FY17 | 24.0 | 274 | 90.0 |
| FY18 | 25.0 | 199 | 87.0 |
| FY19 | 25.0 | 243 | 89.0 |
| FY20 | 52.0 | 370 | 97.0 |
| FY21 | 43.0 | 207 | 107 |
| FY22 | 17.0 | 170 | 143 |
| FY23 | 19.0 | 180 | 92.0 |
| FY24 | 29.0 | 222 | 103 |
| FY25 | 27.0 | 211 | 75.0 |
| FY26 | 21.0 | 156 | 72.0 |
The asset base keeps compounding — this company builds
The productive asset base has gone from ₹28,175 Cr (FY14) to ₹75,989 Cr, with another ₹10,552 Cr of capacity under construction right now.fixed_assetscwip
The build is self-funded: the last 3 years' investing outflow (₹17,428 Cr) fits inside the operating cash the business generated (₹31,864 Cr).investing_cash_flowoperating_cash_flow
Data: Assets in place vs under construction (annual)
| Period | Fixed assets (₹ Cr) | Under construction (CWIP) (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|---|
| FY14 | 28,175 | 33,958 |
| FY15 | 39,011 | 29,328 |
| FY16 | 45,942 | 24,927 |
| FY17 | 50,300 | 23,275 |
| FY18 | 58,625 | 18,395 |
| FY19 | 61,374 | 16,014 |
| FY20 | 69,034 | 8,753 |
| FY21 | 67,618 | 8,881 |
| FY22 | 73,677 | 4,710 |
| FY23 | 73,543 | 4,891 |
| FY24 | 72,426 | 6,141 |
| FY25 | 73,327 | 7,206 |
| FY26 | 75,989 | 10,552 |
Debt is present but comfortable
For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹53.borrowings
Data: Total borrowings (annual)
| Period | Borrowings (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 26,020 |
| FY15 | 32,146 |
| FY16 | 35,141 |
| FY17 | 41,396 |
| FY18 | 45,409 |
| FY19 | 45,170 |
| FY20 | 54,127 |
| FY21 | 37,677 |
| FY22 | 17,284 |
| FY23 | 30,773 |
| FY24 | 36,323 |
| FY25 | 36,934 |
| FY26 | 31,928 |
Data: Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)
| Period | Debt ÷ equity (x) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 0.6 |
| FY15 | 0.7 |
| FY16 | 0.9 |
| FY17 | 1.1 |
| FY18 | 1.2 |
| FY19 | 1.1 |
| FY20 | 1.3 |
| FY21 | 0.8 |
| FY22 | 0.3 |
| FY23 | 0.6 |
| FY24 | 0.6 |
| FY25 | 0.6 |
| FY26 | 0.5 |
Every ₹100 kept in the business earns just ₹8
Return on capital employed is 8.0% (a year ago: 7.0%). This is the single best test of business quality: what the company earns on the money it keeps.roce_pct
Data: Returns on capital (annual)
| Period | ROCE (%) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 5.0 |
| FY15 | 5.0 |
| FY16 | -6.0 |
| FY17 | -2.0 |
| FY18 | 3.0 |
| FY19 | 9.0 |
| FY20 | 8.0 |
| FY21 | 11.0 |
| FY22 | 24.0 |
| FY23 | 6.0 |
| FY24 | 8.0 |
| FY25 | 7.0 |
| FY26 | 8.0 |
Big money is quietly accumulating
Promoters hold 65.0%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 5.0%, domestic funds 18.4%.promoters_pctfiis_pctdiis_pct
Institutions buying while the story develops is the market’s quiet vote of confidence — they meet management, you don’t.
Data: Who holds the shares, quarterly
| Period | Promoters (%) | Foreign funds (%) | Domestic funds (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 65.0 | 3.8 | 13.6 |
| Sep 23 | 65.0 | 3.7 | 14.6 |
| Dec 23 | 65.0 | 4.3 | 15.5 |
| Mar 24 | 65.0 | 3.2 | 15.9 |
| Jun 24 | 65.0 | 3.0 | 15.7 |
| Sep 24 | 65.0 | 2.8 | 16.0 |
| Dec 24 | 65.0 | 2.6 | 15.9 |
| Mar 25 | 65.0 | 3.2 | 15.8 |
| Jun 25 | 65.0 | 3.7 | 17.3 |
| Sep 25 | 65.0 | 3.8 | 18.1 |
| Dec 25 | 65.0 | 4.5 | 17.8 |
| Mar 26 | 65.0 | 5.0 | 18.4 |
- Promoters are not selling. Their stake has moved 0.1 points or less in 8 quarters — it sits at 65.0%.promoters_pct
- Sales are NOT driving the profit move — revenue grew just 5.1% while profit moved much more. This is a margin-and-recovery story, which has a shorter runway than a volume story.revenuenet_profit
A turnaround that stuck — the question is what’s left to re-rate
The numbers are genuinely mixed, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far.
Best thing in the data: free cash flow rising (₹4,646 Cr → ₹11,140 Cr).operating_cash_flow
Machine-written research from Screener data — every number traces to its source column. Sector Alpha is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Not investment advice.
Straight answers from the data
What does Steel Authority of India Ltd do?
Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL) is one of the largest steel-making companies in India and one of the Maharatnas of the countrys Central Public Sector Enterprises. SAIL produces iron and steel at five integrated plants and three special steel plants, located principally in the eastern and central regions of India and situated close to domestic sources of raw materials. SAIL manufactures and sells a broad range of steel products.(Source : Company Web-Site). It is listed in the Steel sector with a market capitalisation of ₹69,504 Cr.
What is Steel Authority of India Ltd's share price?
As of 1 July 2026, Steel Authority of India Ltd trades at ₹168, up 25% over the past year, with a market capitalisation of ₹69,504 Cr. Beating NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks. Prices are weekly closes from Screener data; this page refreshes with each weekly update.
What is Steel Authority of India Ltd's share price target?
Sector Alpha does not publish broker-style price targets. Our discounted-cash-flow model estimates Steel Authority of India Ltd's intrinsic value at ₹185 per share under base assumptions (bear ₹76.0, bull ₹185), against the current price of ₹168 — a 2% margin of safety. The current price already implies roughly 16% annual earnings growth. These are model estimates, not forecasts — treat them as one input alongside the valuation history below, not as a target.
What did Steel Authority of India Ltd report in its latest quarterly results?
In its most recent reported quarter (Q4 FY26, quarter ended March 2026): Mar 26 sales were ₹30,813 Cr, up 5% on the same quarter last year. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹1,835 Cr, up 47% year on year. Figures are from Screener-scraped quarterly filings; the page updates when the next quarter is filed.
Is Steel Authority of India Ltd growing?
Sales have gone quiet — growth has stalled. Mar 26 sales were ₹30,813 Cr, up 5% on the same quarter last year.
Are Steel Authority of India Ltd's profits growing?
Profit exploded 47% — mostly from keeping more of each sale. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹1,835 Cr, up 47% year on year.
What are Steel Authority of India Ltd's operating margins?
Margins are widening — 12% → 14% in a year. In the most recent quarter, of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹14.3 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹11.9).
What is Steel Authority of India Ltd's long-term growth record?
Revenue grew from ₹46,804 Cr in FY14 to ₹1,10,811 Cr in FY26 — a 7.4% compound annual growth rate over 12 years. Profit after tax compounded at 2.0% over the same period (₹2,652 Cr → ₹3,373 Cr).
Is Steel Authority of India Ltd stock in an uptrend?
An uptrend that has held for 56 weeks. Steel Authority of India Ltd is in Stage 2 — advancing, 56 weeks in (confirmed). Stages follow Stan Weinstein's four-phase read of weekly price against the 200-day average: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3), declining (4).
Why is Steel Authority of India Ltd stock rising?
The price is up 25% over the past year, in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend (56 weeks), and has beaten NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks.
Is Steel Authority of India Ltd beating the NIFTY 500?
Yes — beating NIFTY 500 for 33 weeks, as of 1 July 2026. Relative strength is measured weekly against the NIFTY 500 (Mansfield RS): a positive reading means the stock has outperformed the index over the trailing window, week after week.
Where is Steel Authority of India Ltd in its business cycle?
The data reads Steel Authority of India Ltd as a deep cyclical business currently in its early recovery phase — earnings at 46% of their own historical range. Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.
Who owns Steel Authority of India Ltd — what is the promoter holding?
Promoters hold 65.0%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 5.0%, domestic funds 18.4%. Institutions buying while the story develops is the market’s quiet vote of confidence — they meet management, you don’t. Shareholding is from Screener's quarterly filings data.
Does Steel Authority of India Ltd have too much debt?
Debt is present but comfortable. For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹53.
What is the bull case for Steel Authority of India Ltd?
From losses in FY16 and FY17 and FY18 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it. Best thing in the data: free cash flow rising (₹4,646 Cr → ₹11,140 Cr). Sales have gone quiet — growth has stalled.
What is the bear case for Steel Authority of India Ltd — what could break the story?
Two quarters of margins reversing would kill this story. The nearest-term thing to watch: two consecutive quarters of margin decline would break this trend. This falsification condition is stated up front so the thesis can be checked against incoming quarters, not defended after the fact.
Is Steel Authority of India Ltd a stock worth studying right now?
Sector Alpha does not publish buy or sell recommendations — this is a research read, not advice. What the data says: a turnaround that stuck — the question is what’s left to re-rate. The numbers are genuinely mixed, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far. Across the 7-model scorecard the composite research signal is on watch at 58% confidence. This is machine-written research compiled from Screener data — every number traces to its source — and it is not investment advice. Do your own diligence.