Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-31
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-31

Timex Group India Ltd

TIMEX
Watches

Timex Group India Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +140.2% in a year against a +116.3% price move.

The sharpest disagreement: Promoters moved −23.9 points over 8 quarters while the operating story went the other way — someone close to the numbers is not convinced.

The price is in a confirmed uptrend (12 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 53rd percentile of its own 9-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +66.7% year on year, and 94% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the register turns back in the story’s favour.

Stage
Mixed
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
₹529
+116.3% 1Y
P/E
60.2×
53rd pctile
of its own 9-year range
Revenue (Jun 26)
₹219 Cr
+29.6% YoY
Profit (Jun 26)
₹25.0 Cr
+66.7% YoY
Operating margin
16.0%
+3.0 pp YoY
ROCE
83%
FY26
ROIC
80.2%
vs WACC 12.0% → +68.2 pp
Cash conversion
94%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Timex Group India Ltd trades at ₹529, in a confirmed uptrend and 12 weeks into that stage. That is +38.1% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 85% of a 52-week range of ₹258 to ₹579. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 21 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 12 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹529 it trades +38.1% versus its 200-day average and sits at 85% of its 52-week range (₹258–₹579).

Jul 26: ₹529 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
+38.1% versus the 200-day line, week 12 of stage 2
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S2S4S2S2S4S2₹615₹484₹353₹222₹90.7₹529₹383Jul 23May 24Feb 25Nov 25Jul 26
S2S4S2S2S4S2₹615₹484₹353₹222₹90.7₹529₹383Jul 23Feb 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (546 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Mar 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +1,701% while the NIFTY 500 moved +276% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 21 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Timex Group India Ltd trades at 60.2× P/E, mid-range by its own standards (53rd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 59.1×, measured across 8.8 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 60.2× is mid-range by its own standards (53rd percentile), against a long-run median of 59.1× measured over 8.8 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 60.2× vs a 59.1× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 8.8-year window; loss-period spikes above 177× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
mid-range by its own standards (53rd percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
190.0×₹9.5144.0×₹7.298.1×₹4.852.2×₹2.46.2×₹0.0×59.90×₹9Oct 17Sep 19Dec 22Oct 24Jul 26
190.0×₹9.5144.0×₹7.298.1×₹4.852.2×₹2.46.2×₹0.0×59.90×₹9Oct 17Dec 22Jul 26
PEG 0.23 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Computed here as quarter-end P/E ÷ trailing-twelve-month EPS growth (only quarters with positive growth), because a reported quarterly PEG is not held for this stock. Last 6 quarters.
below 1.0, the growth looks cheap against the multiple
PEGPEG = 1.0
1.2×1.0×0.7×0.4×0.2××0.23×Q2 FY24Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q4 FY26
1.2×1.0×0.7×0.4×0.2××0.23×Q2 FY24Q1 FY26Q4 FY26
P/E
60.2×
53rd percentile of 9y
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +140.2% against a +116.3% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +50.2%/yr price move, ~+24.2%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+26.0 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: Mixed

Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Timex Group India Ltd reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — growth is normalizing off a hyper-growth base: profit growth has eased from +115.4% at its peak to +93.2% but is still expanding, ROCE lifting at 72.1%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +48.5% in FY26, profit +141.9% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn. Turnaround-year spikes shown pinned (▲).
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
98%334%60%210%22%86%−16%−39%−54%−163%%%48.5%141.9%FY16FY21FY26
98%334%60%210%22%86%−16%−39%−54%−163%%%48.5%141.9%FY16FY21FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue stabilising, profit rolling over
RevenueProfitEPS
52%158%40%101%28%44%15%−13%3.4%−70%%%42%93.2%96.8%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
52%158%40%101%28%44%15%−13%3.4%−70%%%42%93.2%96.8%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
75%63%51%39%27%%72.1%Sep 23Mar 24Dec 24Sep 25Jun 26
75%63%51%39%27%%72.1%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
Revenue growth
Steady high
latest +42.0% · span +6.7% to +48.5%
Profit growth
Rolling over
latest +93.2% · span −54.7% to +141.9%
EPS growth
Rolling over
latest +96.8% · span −51.6% to +140.2%
ROCE
Rising
latest 72.1% · span 30.1%–72.1%

Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+48.5%+27.8%+41.5%+16.5%
Profit+141.9%+16.9%
EPS+140.2%+17.5%
Share price+116.3%+50.2%+61.0%+29.2%
Revenue YoY (Jun 26)
+29.6%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Jun 26)
+66.7%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
16.5%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

82.7/100 — rank 1 of 4 in Watches · 97% evidence confidence

Timex Group India Ltd scores 82.7 out of 100 against the 4 companies it is compared with in Watches, ranking 1. Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 33.8 + 18.3 + 10.6 + 20 = 82.7. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Timex Group India Ltd reported ₹219 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +29.6% year on year. That is the 12th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 16.5% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹799 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹849 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹799 Cr (+48.5% on the year), capping 10 years at 16.5% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹219 Cr, +29.6% year on year — the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹799 Cr (+48.5% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
16.5% a year over 10 years
RevenueYoY growth
86398%64760%43122%216−16%0−54%₹ Cr%₹79948.5%FY16FY21FY26
86398%64760%43122%216−16%0−54%₹ Cr%₹79948.5%FY16FY21FY26
Jun 26: ₹219 Cr (+29.6% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
12th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
26480%19859%13238%6618%0−2.9%₹ Cr%₹21929.6%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
26480%19859%13238%6618%0−2.9%₹ Cr%₹21929.6%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +42.4% growth against the decade's 16.5% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +42.0% over the last 4 quarters against +42.0%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit +93.2% vs +111.5%/yr — rolling over.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Timex Group India Ltd's operating margin is 16.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +3.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −24.0% to 14.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 16.0%, +3.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −24.0%–14.0%, and FY26's 14.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +3.3 pp year on year while gross margin went +1.4 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

FY26: 14.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 13-year window.
the widest a −24.0–14.0% band over 13 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
17%20%6.0%13%−5.0%7.0%−16%0.7%−27%−5.7%%%14%5%FY14FY20FY26
17%20%6.0%13%−5.0%7.0%−16%0.7%−27%−5.7%%%14%5%FY14FY20FY26
Jun 26: 16.0% operating margin (+3.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
18%10%13%6.5%8.1%3.0%2.9%−0.5%−2.2%−4.1%%%16%3%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
18%10%13%6.5%8.1%3.0%2.9%−0.5%−2.2%−4.1%%%16%3%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Timex Group India Ltd earned ₹25.0 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +66.7% year on year. It is the 6th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹75.0 Cr. That is 11.4% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹15.0 Cr. 1 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Jun 26 profit was ₹25.0 Cr, +66.7% year on year — the 6th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹75.0 Cr (+141.9%).

FY26 profit ₹75.0 Cr (+141.9% YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profitYoY growth
821,594%571,132%33669%9206%−16−256%₹ Cr%₹75141.9%FY16FY21FY26
821,594%571,132%33669%9206%−16−256%₹ Cr%₹75141.9%FY16FY21FY26
Jun 26: ₹25.0 Cr (+66.7% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
6th straight quarter of growth
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
32707%23499%15291%683%−3−126%₹ Cr%₹2566.7%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
32707%23499%15291%683%−3−126%₹ Cr%₹2566.7%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +29.6% and the margin +3.0 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +95.8% vs revenue +42.4%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 94% of Timex Group India Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹91.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹75.0 Cr of profit. After ₹2.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹89.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹91.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹75.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹89.0 Cr after ₹2.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 94% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹91.0 Cr vs profit ₹75.0 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 11-year window, annual resolution.
94% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
10067340−32₹ Cr₹91₹75₹89FY16FY21FY26
10067340−32₹ Cr₹91₹75₹89FY16FY21FY26
FY26: CFO = 121% of profit (three-year rate 94%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash.
Conversion100%
212%0.0%−224%−442%−660%%121%FY16FY21FY26
212%0.0%−224%−442%−660%%121%FY16FY21FY26

Why conversion sits at 94%: the cash cycle stretched 103 days between FY21 and FY26 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Timex Group India Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 88 days in FY26, up from −15 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹4.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹799 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹2.2 Cr, so roughly ₹193 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 27 days, inventory at 158 days — roughly 5.2 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 88 days, looser than FY21's −15.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 158 days to sell; customers pay about 27 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 97 days — netting out to the 88-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹799 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹2.2 Cr — so the 88-day loop keeps roughly ₹193 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a 88-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 13-year window.
+103 days vs FY21
Cash cycleInventory daysDebtor daysPayable days
39127115029−91days88d158d27d97dFY14FY17FY20FY23FY26
39127115029−91days88d158d27d97dFY14FY20FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹4.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹10.0 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹2.0 Cr, work-in-progress ₹0.0 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
steady investment
CapexWork-in-progress
201482−4₹ Cr₹2₹0FY16FY18FY21FY23FY26
201482−4₹ Cr₹2₹0FY16FY21FY26

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

10 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Timex Group India Ltd earns a ROCE of 83% in FY26. That is up from a trough of −115% in FY14. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +68.2 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 9.4% net margin on 2.36× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 83%, recovered from a FY14 trough of −115% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 9.4% net margin × 2.36× asset turns × 4.51× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 100.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 80.2% − 12.0% = a +68.2 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

FY26: ROCE 83% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 13-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY14's −115%
ROCEROIC (annual)WACC
99%41%−16%−73%−131%%83%68.7%FY14FY20FY26
99%41%−16%−73%−131%%83%68.7%FY14FY20FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 67.2% (TTM) vs WACC 12.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROCE and ROIC, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)ROIC (TTM)WACC
72%56%40%24%7.6%%67.2%53%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
72%56%40%24%7.6%%67.2%53%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
11 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Timex Group India Ltd carries total debt of ₹36.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹111 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.32. On the annual view that ratio went from 2.19 in FY22 to 0.32 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹36.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹111 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.32. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 2.19 (FY22) to 0.32 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY26: debt ₹36.0 Cr at 0.32× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
452.4×341.8×231.2×110.6×00.0×₹ Cr×₹360.32×FY22FY24FY26
452.4×341.8×231.2×110.6×00.0×₹ Cr×₹360.32×FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: debt ₹36.0 Cr, debt-to-equity 0.32 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
450.6×340.5×230.4×110.2×00.1×₹ Cr×₹360.32×Mar 23Sep 24Mar 26
450.6×340.5×230.4×110.2×00.1×₹ Cr×₹360.32×Mar 23Sep 24Mar 26
12 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters cut 23.9 points of Timex Group India Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 51.0% of the company. Foreign institutions moved +2.0 points over the same window, to 2.5%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −23.9 points over 8 quarters to 51.0%; Foreign institutions: +2.0 points over 8 quarters to 2.5%; Domestic institutions: +1.2 points over 8 quarters to 1.4%.

🚨 Why the register moved: promoters drove it (−23.9 points), absorbed on the other side by foreign institutions (+2.0 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters −23.9 pts from Mar 24 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 3 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
81%59%37%16%−6.0%%51%1.3%0.5%47.2%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
81%59%37%16%−6.0%%51%1.3%0.5%47.2%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
Promoters cut 23.9 points over 8 quarters Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 13 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
81%59%37%16%−6.0%%51%2.5%1.4%45.1%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
81%59%37%16%−6.0%%51%2.5%1.4%45.1%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
13 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Timex Group India Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

14 · Related companies · Watches
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Timex Group India Ltdthis pageTIMEX 82.7/100Sector-leading setup97% evidence LEADER 33.8/35 Revenue 42% · PAT 93.2% · OPM change 3 pp 100% evidence 18.3/25 ROCE 82.8% · OPM 16% 100% evidence 10.6/20 P/E 60.2× · PEG 1.43 85% evidence 20.0/20 RS sector 27.5% · RS bench 44.1% · 1Y 149.7%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 33.8 + 18.3 + 10.6 + 20 = 82.7 · Decision use: Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence.
2Foce India LtdFOCE 55.2/100Mixed-positive evidence61% evidence ASLEEP 18.8/35 Revenue 81.2% · PAT 25% · OPM change 0 pp 48% evidence 15.2/25 ROCE 16.1% · OPM 14% 95% evidence 9.2/20 P/E 40.3× · PEG — 35% evidence 12.0/20 RS sector 26.4% · RS bench -25.4% · 1Y -37.7%1 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 18.8 + 15.2 + 9.2 + 12 = 55.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3KDDL LtdKDDL 53.1/100Mixed-positive evidence75% evidence LEADER 13.6/35 Revenue 30.7% · PAT -4.9% · OPM change 0 pp 83% evidence 11.9/25 ROCE 11.2% · OPM 15% 76% evidence 7.6/20 P/E 45.5× · PEG — 35% evidence 20.0/20 RS sector 11.5% · RS bench 27.4% · 1Y 15%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 13.6 + 11.9 + 7.6 + 20 = 53.1 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 27.4%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
4Ethos LtdETHOSLTD 26.2/100Adverse evidence93% evidence TURNING 11.2/35 Revenue 28.9% · PAT 1% · OPM change -3 pp 88% evidence 7.4/25 ROCE 9.8% · OPM 12% 100% evidence 5.6/20 P/E 71.8× · PEG 5.5 85% evidence 2.0/20 RS sector -14.3% · RS bench -1.4% · 1Y -10%4 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 11.2 + 7.4 + 5.6 + 2 = 26.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

15 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Timex Group India Ltd's share price today?

Timex Group India Ltd trades at ₹529, +116.3% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹5,371 Cr. The stock sits at 85% of its 52-week range of ₹258–₹579, +38.1% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 12 weeks in. — as of 31 July 2026.

What were Timex Group India Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Timex Group India Ltd reported revenue of ₹219 Cr and net profit of ₹25.0 Cr for the Jun 26 quarter. Revenue rose 29.6% and profit rose 66.7% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹2.48. The operating margin was 16.0%, 3.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Timex Group India Ltd's revenue?

Timex Group India Ltd reported revenue of ₹219 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter, +29.6% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹799 Cr (+48.5%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at 16.5% a year. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Timex Group India Ltd's profit?

Timex Group India Ltd earned ₹25.0 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +66.7% year on year — the 6th straight quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹75.0 Cr. The operating margin ran 16.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Timex Group India Ltd's market cap?

Timex Group India Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹5,371 Cr at a share price of ₹529. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Timex Group India Ltd's P/E ratio?

Timex Group India Ltd trades at a P/E of 60.2×, at the 53rd percentile of its own 9-year range, against a long-run median of 59.1×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Timex Group India Ltd pay a dividend?

No — Timex Group India Ltd has recorded a dividend payout of 0% of profit in each of its last 13 reported fiscal years, so there is no payout history to quote. That is a reading of the filed annual statements, not an estimate. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Timex Group India Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, Timex Group India Ltd looks mid-range against its own history: its P/E of 60.2× sits at the 53rd percentile of its 9-year range (long-run median 59.1×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. One caveat: margins are the best this company has ever printed — cheap on record margins is not the same thing as cheap. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Timex Group India Ltd growing?

Yes — Timex Group India Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +29.6% year on year, profit +66.7%, and the margin +3.0 pp at 16.0%. The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 31 July 2026.

How is Timex Group India Ltd performing?

Timex Group India Ltd is in a confirmed uptrend, 12 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 29.6% and profit rose 66.7% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 21 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 31 July 2026.

What stage is Timex Group India Ltd in?

Mixed — growth is normalizing off a hyper-growth base: profit growth has eased from +115.4% at its peak to +93.2% but is still expanding, ROCE lifting at 72.1%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +42.0% latest, profit growth +93.2% latest, eps growth +96.8% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Timex Group India Ltd in an uptrend?

Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 12 of stage 2), trading +38.1% versus its 200-day average and at 85% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Timex Group India Ltd beating the market?

On recent form, yes — Timex Group India Ltd has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 21 straight weeks, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +1,701% against the NIFTY 500's +276% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 31 July 2026.

Will Timex Group India Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Timex Group India Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹529, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 12 weeks in. Its P/E of 60.2× sits at the 53rd percentile of its own 9-year range. — as of 31 July 2026.

Who owns Timex Group India Ltd?

Promoters hold 51.0% of Timex Group India Ltd, foreign institutions 2.5%, domestic institutions 1.4% and the public 45.1% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Promoters cut 23.9 points over 8 quarters. — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Timex Group India Ltd have too much debt?

It is moderate — Timex Group India Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.95, and operating profit covers the interest bill 19×. FY26 borrowings were ₹71.0 Cr against equity of ₹75.0 Cr. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Timex Group India Ltd's capex?

Timex Group India Ltd spent ₹4.0 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹2.0 Cr, with ₹0.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Timex Group India Ltd's cash flow?

Timex Group India Ltd generated ₹91.0 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹89.0 Cr of free cash flow after ₹2.0 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹75.0 Cr, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Timex Group India Ltd's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 94% of Timex Group India Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹91.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹75.0 Cr. The cash then goes into a mix of the working-capital cycle and capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 31 July 2026.

Where is Timex Group India Ltd in its business cycle?

Timex Group India Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 14.0%, against a 13-year band of −24.0%–14.0%: the top of the band — a record year. Record profitability is late-cycle territory: every ratio flatters at the top, and the story leans on margins holding. The latest quarter ran 16.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 31 July 2026.

What could break the Timex Group India Ltd story?

The sharpest disagreement: Promoters moved −23.9 points over 8 quarters while the operating story went the other way — someone close to the numbers is not convinced. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Timex Group India Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Timex Group India Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +140.2% in a year against a +116.3% price move. The sharpest open question: whether the register turns back in the story’s favour. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 31 July 2026.

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