Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd (TMB) — share price & stock analysis
Bad loans have fallen from 1.7% to 0.7%, profits are compounding — and the price has started to notice.
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd (TMB) trades at ₹730 as of 1 July 2026, up 64% over the past year — beating NIFTY 500 for 41 weeks. The machine reads this as steady growth, fairly priced: bad loans have fallen from 1.7% to 0.7%, profits are compounding — and the price has started to notice. It trades at a P/BV of 1.1× (the 67th percentile of its own range); the price is in Stage 2 — advancing, 34 weeks in; the business cycle reads STEADY / EXPANSION. Fundamentals-momentum score: 92/100 (all improving).
Data as of 1 July 2026 · every number traces to its Screener source column · not investment advice.
- Market cap
- ₹11,564 Cr
- P/BV
- 1.14×
- ROE
- 14.0%
- vs own history (since 2022)
- 67th pctile
- Book value / share
- ₹638
- EPS (TTM)
- ₹83.9
- 10-yr median P/BV
- 1×
- Revenue (FY26)
- ₹5,819 Cr
- Profit after tax (FY26)
- ₹1,338 Cr
- Weinstein stage
- Stage 2 (34 weeks)
- Data as of
- 1 July 2026
This is a steady business by its own record — profit dips never exceeded 5% across 9 years. The cycle matters less than execution here.net_profit
Where the clock stands now: earnings sit at 100% of their historical range, margins are mid-band, and the market pays mid-range (67th percentile). That reads as EXPANSION — the comfortable middle — the easy money off the bottom is made; from here the story has to keep delivering.net_profit
4 of the 4 things we track are currently moving the right way — nearly everything is pulling in the same direction.
Where the levels actually stand: ROE 14% — respectable; GNPA 0.7% — clean book; the spread is mid-band vs its own history. Momentum says which way things are moving; these say where they are.
Read this number for what it is: it measures the DIRECTION of change, not the quality of the business. A mediocre business getting better scores high here; a great one having a soft quarter scores low. Profit, lending and bad loans count double, and a quarter of the score comes from our earnings-recovery lens (is the profit cycle turning up off its trough?).
The price is tracking the earnings — no froth, no gift
Since Oct 2022, the stock is up 44% and earnings per share are up 46% — the price has tracked the profits, not run ahead of them.pricettm_eps
The market is paying for delivery, not promises. What you see in earnings is what you get in the price.
Today’s P/BV of 1.1× is the middle of its own range against its own history since 2022 (67th percentile) — neither a bargain nor a stretch, by its own standards.pb_ratio
Data: Price, EPS and valuation (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
| Period | Price (₹) | EPS (TTM) (₹) | P/BV (×) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | 483 | – | – |
| Nov 22 | 511 | 58.0 | 1.2 |
| Dec 22 | 509 | 57.8 | 1.2 |
| Jan 23 | 481 | 57.9 | 1.1 |
| Feb 23 | 459 | 66.5 | 1.1 |
| Mar 23 | 453 | 66.7 | 1.1 |
| Apr 23 | 401 | 66.8 | – |
| May 23 | 425 | 66.5 | 1.0 |
| Jun 23 | 414 | 66.8 | 0.9 |
| Jun 23 | 438 | 66.3 | 1.0 |
| Jul 23 | 440 | 66.7 | 1.0 |
| Aug 23 | 526 | 66.5 | 1.2 |
| Sep 23 | 538 | 66.4 | 1.2 |
| Oct 23 | 583 | 66.3 | 1.2 |
| Nov 23 | 523 | 67.1 | 1.1 |
| Dec 23 | 527 | 67.5 | 1.1 |
| Jan 24 | 496 | 67.9 | 1.0 |
| Feb 24 | 494 | 67.6 | 1.0 |
| Mar 24 | 484 | 67.2 | 1.0 |
| Apr 24 | 495 | 67.9 | 1.1 |
| May 24 | 480 | 67.6 | 1.1 |
| May 24 | 456 | 68.1 | 1.0 |
| Jun 24 | 471 | 67.3 | 1.1 |
| Jul 24 | 459 | 67.6 | 0.9 |
| Aug 24 | 463 | 69.1 | 0.9 |
| Sep 24 | 481 | 69.7 | 0.9 |
| Oct 24 | 442 | 69.1 | 0.8 |
| Nov 24 | 439 | 70.9 | 0.8 |
| Dec 24 | 484 | 71.2 | 0.9 |
| Jan 25 | 441 | 71.2 | 0.8 |
| Feb 25 | 439 | 72.0 | 0.8 |
| Mar 25 | 418 | 72.0 | 0.8 |
| Apr 25 | 426 | 72.2 | 0.8 |
| May 25 | 456 | 74.8 | 0.9 |
| May 25 | 448 | 74.7 | 0.9 |
| Jun 25 | 443 | 75.0 | 0.9 |
| Jul 25 | 455 | 75.9 | 0.8 |
| Aug 25 | 427 | 76.3 | 0.7 |
| Sep 25 | 436 | 75.1 | 0.7 |
| Oct 25 | 439 | 75.7 | 0.7 |
| Nov 25 | 502 | 77.2 | 0.8 |
| Dec 25 | 507 | 76.8 | 0.8 |
| Jan 26 | 569 | 76.8 | 0.9 |
| Feb 26 | 633 | 79.3 | 1.0 |
| Feb 26 | 675 | 79.4 | 1.1 |
| Mar 26 | 601 | 79.0 | 1.0 |
| Apr 26 | 618 | 79.2 | 1.0 |
| Apr 26 | 740 | 84.1 | 1.3 |
| May 26 | 693 | 84.5 | 1.2 |
| Jun 26 | 775 | 84.2 | 1.2 |
| Jun 26 | 764 | 84.8 | 1.2 |
| Jul 26 | 730 | 83.9 | 1.1 |
Price is the weekly close (₹). EPS is trailing-twelve-month profit per share, anchored on Screener's own snapshots; between snapshots it is filled from price ÷ P/E (an exact identity), and any fill straying more than 18% from the neighbouring snapshots is dropped rather than shown. The lower panel is the P/BV — what the market pays per rupee of book value; the dotted line is its long-run median (1×).
An uptrend that has held for 34 weeks
STAGE 2 · ADVANCING · 34 WEEKSEvery stock cycles through the same four seasons — a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Right now this one is in Stage 2: advancing, 34 weeks in, confirmed.stage
The price sits above its rising 200-day average (₹616 today) — trends like this persist more often than they reverse, which is why the system rides them instead of guessing the top.dma_200
Beating NIFTY 500 for 41 weeks — relative strength is the market’s live opinion, and right now it is on this stock’s side.rs_mansfield
What would end it: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the house exit rule — mechanical, no debates.dma_200
Data: Weekly price, moving averages and stage (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
| Period | Price (₹) | 200-DMA (₹) | 50-DMA (₹) | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | 494 | 510 | 509 | 4 |
| Oct 22 | 466 | 504 | 492 | 4 |
| Nov 22 | 502 | 503 | 496 | 4 |
| Dec 22 | 513 | 505 | 505 | 4 |
| Jan 23 | 480 | 503 | 497 | 1 |
| Feb 23 | 470 | 498 | 486 | 4 |
| Mar 23 | 452 | 490 | 468 | 4 |
| Mar 23 | 408 | 479 | 445 | 4 |
| Apr 23 | 413 | 468 | 427 | 4 |
| May 23 | 412 | 459 | 422 | 4 |
| Jun 23 | 438 | 452 | 421 | 4 |
| Jul 23 | 429 | 449 | 426 | 4 |
| Aug 23 | 484 | 450 | 443 | 4 |
| Sep 23 | 546 | 469 | 507 | 2 |
| Oct 23 | 573 | 483 | 530 | 2 |
| Nov 23 | 532 | 495 | 541 | 2 |
| Dec 23 | 513 | 499 | 530 | 2 |
| Jan 24 | 500 | 501 | 517 | 2 |
| Feb 24 | 495 | 501 | 508 | 2 |
| Mar 24 | 488 | 498 | 497 | 3 |
| Mar 24 | 486 | 494 | 483 | 4 |
| Apr 24 | 488 | 494 | 487 | 4 |
| May 24 | 474 | 490 | 480 | 4 |
| Jun 24 | 484 | 487 | 475 | 4 |
| Jul 24 | 463 | 485 | 475 | 4 |
| Aug 24 | 451 | 479 | 464 | 4 |
| Sep 24 | 477 | 478 | 468 | 4 |
| Oct 24 | 452 | 476 | 467 | 4 |
| Nov 24 | 440 | 470 | 452 | 4 |
| Dec 24 | 489 | 468 | 458 | 4 |
| Jan 25 | 457 | 469 | 464 | 4 |
| Feb 25 | 438 | 464 | 451 | 4 |
| Feb 25 | 409 | 457 | 436 | 4 |
| Mar 25 | 411 | 450 | 425 | 4 |
| Apr 25 | 446 | 447 | 428 | 4 |
| May 25 | 451 | 447 | 439 | 4 |
| Jun 25 | 441 | 448 | 446 | 1 |
| Jul 25 | 456 | 447 | 446 | 1 |
| Aug 25 | 429 | 447 | 443 | 1 |
| Sep 25 | 432 | 443 | 434 | 4 |
| Oct 25 | 435 | 441 | 432 | 4 |
| Nov 25 | 510 | 445 | 451 | 4 |
| Dec 25 | 534 | 457 | 486 | 2 |
| Jan 26 | 528 | 466 | 499 | 2 |
| Feb 26 | 591 | 484 | 536 | 2 |
| Feb 26 | 669 | 517 | 609 | 2 |
| Mar 26 | 600 | 533 | 611 | 2 |
| Apr 26 | 640 | 551 | 630 | 2 |
| May 26 | 683 | 577 | 668 | 2 |
| Jun 26 | 781 | 593 | 689 | 2 |
| Jun 26 | 781 | 607 | 712 | 2 |
| Jul 26 | 730 | 616 | 720 | 2 |
8 of the last 8 years ended with profits higher — quiet, steady compounding
Over 8 years, income went from ₹3,250 Cr to ₹5,819 Cr (about 8% a year), and profit from ₹222 Cr to ₹1,338 Cr.revenuenet_profit
Margins widened 6.2 points along the way — growth with improving economics.revenue−interest_expense
Data: Revenue by year
| Period | Revenue (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| FY18 | 3,250 |
| FY19 | 3,224 |
| FY20 | 3,466 |
| FY21 | 3,609 |
| FY22 | 3,834 |
| FY23 | 4,081 |
| FY24 | 4,848 |
| FY25 | 5,291 |
| FY26 | 5,819 |
Data: Profit by year
| Period | Profit after tax (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| FY18 | 222 |
| FY19 | 259 |
| FY20 | 408 |
| FY21 | 603 |
| FY22 | 822 |
| FY23 | 1,029 |
| FY24 | 1,072 |
| FY25 | 1,183 |
| FY26 | 1,338 |
Data: Spread % by year
| Period | Spread % (%) |
|---|---|
| FY18 | 37.2 |
| FY19 | 38.2 |
| FY20 | 38.1 |
| FY21 | 42.6 |
| FY22 | 47.3 |
| FY23 | 51.3 |
| FY24 | 44.4 |
| FY25 | 43.5 |
| FY26 | 43.4 |
The loan book is working — interest income grew 16%
Mar 26 income was ₹1,550 Cr, up 16% on a year ago. A bank grows by lending more and charging well — this line is both together.revenue
Data: Quarterly interest + fee income
| Period | Income (₹ Cr) | YoY growth (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 1,156 | – |
| Sep 23 | 1,209 | – |
| Dec 23 | 1,229 | – |
| Mar 24 | 1,254 | – |
| Jun 24 | 1,281 | 10.8 |
| Sep 24 | 1,337 | 10.6 |
| Dec 24 | 1,331 | 8.3 |
| Mar 25 | 1,342 | 7.0 |
| Jun 25 | 1,386 | 8.2 |
| Sep 25 | 1,413 | 5.7 |
| Dec 25 | 1,469 | 10.4 |
| Mar 26 | 1,550 | 15.5 |
The squeeze is easing — the spread bottomed at 42% and is mending
Of every ₹100 of interest the bank earns, ₹55 goes straight out as interest on deposits and borrowings. It keeps ₹45 — up 3 points from a year ago.revenueinterest_expense
The visible arc: squeezed from 45% down to 42% (Jun 25) as deposits repriced faster than loans, and recovering since. The direction matters more than the level now.interest_expense
Data: Share of interest income kept, quarterly
| Period | Spread kept (%) |
|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 44.5 |
| Sep 23 | 44.1 |
| Dec 23 | 43.7 |
| Mar 24 | 45.2 |
| Jun 24 | 44.2 |
| Sep 24 | 44.6 |
| Dec 24 | 42.8 |
| Mar 25 | 42.3 |
| Jun 25 | 41.8 |
| Sep 25 | 42.3 |
| Dec 25 | 44.0 |
| Mar 26 | 45.4 |
Bad loans are healing — from a worst of 1.7% (Sep 23) to 0.7%
₹0.7 of every ₹100 lent is currently stuck with borrowers who’ve stopped paying — down from ₹1.7 at the Sep 23 worst. After the money already set aside, the true exposure is 0.2%.gross_npa_pctnet_npa_pct
Falling bad loans still help — less new money needs setting aside — but this year’s profit growth is coming from the lending engine itself (interest income), not from provision releases. The healing cleans the book; the growth is earned.gross_npa_pctrevenue
Data: Bad loans as % of the book, quarterly
| Period | Gross NPA (%) | Net NPA (after provisions) (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Sep 23 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Dec 23 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Mar 24 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Jun 24 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Sep 24 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Dec 24 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Mar 25 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Jun 25 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Sep 25 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Dec 25 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Mar 26 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
Profit jumped 28% year on year
Mar 26 profit was ₹374 Cr, up 28% on last year — earnings per share of ₹23.60.net_profiteps
Where the growth comes from matters: this year it is the lending engine — net interest income — doing the lifting, not one-off provision releases. That is the more durable kind.revenue
Data: Quarterly profit after tax
| Period | PAT (₹ Cr) | YoY growth (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 261 | – |
| Sep 23 | 274 | – |
| Dec 23 | 284 | – |
| Mar 24 | 253 | – |
| Jun 24 | 287 | 10.0 |
| Sep 24 | 303 | 10.6 |
| Dec 24 | 300 | 5.6 |
| Mar 25 | 292 | 15.4 |
| Jun 25 | 305 | 6.3 |
| Sep 25 | 318 | 5.0 |
| Dec 25 | 342 | 14.0 |
| Mar 26 | 374 | 28.1 |
The biggest force in the bridge: lending more.
Data: Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)
| Component | Effect (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| PAT Mar 25 | 292 |
| More interest income | +208 |
| Costlier deposits | −72 |
| Running costs & provisions | −61 |
| Fees & other income | +42 |
| Tax | −35 |
| PAT Mar 26 | 374 |
Priced mid-range against its own history
Today you pay ₹1.14 for every ₹1 of book value, against a long-run median of ₹1.00. It has traded cheaper than this only 67% of the time since 2022.pb_ratio
Data: Price-to-book over time (weekly) (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
| Period | P/BV (x) |
|---|---|
| Oct 22 | 1.2 |
| Nov 22 | 1.2 |
| Dec 22 | 1.2 |
| Jan 23 | 1.1 |
| Feb 23 | 1.0 |
| Mar 23 | 1.0 |
| May 23 | 1.0 |
| Jun 23 | 0.9 |
| Jul 23 | 1.0 |
| Aug 23 | 1.0 |
| Sept 23 | 1.2 |
| Sept 23 | 1.2 |
| Oct 23 | 1.2 |
| Nov 23 | 1.1 |
| Dec 23 | 1.1 |
| Jan 24 | 1.1 |
| Feb 24 | 1.0 |
| Mar 24 | 1.0 |
| Apr 24 | 1.1 |
| May 24 | 1.1 |
| Jun 24 | 1.1 |
| Jul 24 | 0.9 |
| Aug 24 | 0.9 |
| Aug 24 | 0.9 |
| Sept 24 | 0.9 |
| Oct 24 | 0.8 |
| Nov 24 | 0.8 |
| Dec 24 | 0.9 |
| Jan 25 | 0.8 |
| Feb 25 | 0.8 |
| Mar 25 | 0.7 |
| Apr 25 | 0.8 |
| May 25 | 0.9 |
| Jun 25 | 0.9 |
| Jul 25 | 0.8 |
| Aug 25 | 0.8 |
| Aug 25 | 0.7 |
| Sept 25 | 0.7 |
| Oct 25 | 0.8 |
| Nov 25 | 0.8 |
| Dec 25 | 0.8 |
| Jan 26 | 0.9 |
| Feb 26 | 1.1 |
| Feb 26 | 1.1 |
| Mar 26 | 1.0 |
| Apr 26 | 1.2 |
| May 26 | 1.2 |
| Jun 26 | 1.3 |
| Jun 26 | 1.2 |
| Jul 26 | 1.1 |
- There is no new bad-loan cycle forming — GNPA is at or near its 8-quarter low of 0.73%.gross_npa_pct
- Funding costs are not blowing up — interest paid has stayed near 55% of income all through.interest_expense
The numbers earn a deeper study — and watch the one thing that matters
The numbers lean positive, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far.
Best thing in the data: bad loans improving (1.3% → 0.7%).gross_npa_pct
Machine-written research from Screener data — every number traces to its source column. Sector Alpha is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Not investment advice.
Straight answers from the data
What does Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd do?
Incorporated in 1921, Tamilnad Mercantile Bank (TMB) is one of the oldest private sector banks in India. It offers an array of banking and financial services to retail customers, micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs).[1]. It is listed in the Banks - Private sector with a market capitalisation of ₹11,564 Cr.
What is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd's share price?
As of 1 July 2026, Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd trades at ₹730, up 64% over the past year, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,564 Cr. Beating NIFTY 500 for 41 weeks. Prices are weekly closes from Screener data; this page refreshes with each weekly update.
What is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd's share price target?
Sector Alpha does not publish broker-style price targets. Our discounted-cash-flow model estimates Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd's intrinsic value at ₹1,106 per share under base assumptions (bear ₹677, bull ₹1,531), against the current price of ₹730 — a 51% margin of safety. The current price already implies roughly 2% annual earnings growth. These are model estimates, not forecasts — treat them as one input alongside the valuation history below, not as a target.
Is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued?
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd trades at a P/BV of 1.1× — the 67th percentile of its own 3.7-year trading range (median 1×), which is above the middle of its own historical range. The price is tracking the earnings — no froth, no gift. Since Oct 2022, the stock is up 44% and earnings per share are up 46% — the price has tracked the profits, not run ahead of them. Note the short 3.7-year valuation record.
What did Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd report in its latest quarterly results?
In its most recent reported quarter (Q4 FY26, quarter ended March 2026): Mar 26 income was ₹1,550 Cr, up 16% on a year ago. A bank grows by lending more and charging well — this line is both together. Mar 26 profit was ₹374 Cr, up 28% on last year — earnings per share of ₹23.60. Figures are from Screener-scraped quarterly filings; the page updates when the next quarter is filed.
Is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd growing?
The loan book is working — interest income grew 16%. Mar 26 income was ₹1,550 Cr, up 16% on a year ago. A bank grows by lending more and charging well — this line is both together.
Are Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd's profits growing?
Profit jumped 28% year on year. Mar 26 profit was ₹374 Cr, up 28% on last year — earnings per share of ₹23.60.
How much of its interest income does Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd keep?
The squeeze is easing — the spread bottomed at 42% and is mending. Of every ₹100 of interest the bank earns, ₹55 goes straight out as interest on deposits and borrowings. It keeps ₹45 — up 3 points from a year ago.
What is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd's long-term growth record?
Revenue grew from ₹3,250 Cr in FY18 to ₹5,819 Cr in FY26 — a 7.6% compound annual growth rate over 8 years. Profit after tax compounded at 25.2% over the same period (₹222 Cr → ₹1,338 Cr).
Is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd stock in an uptrend?
An uptrend that has held for 34 weeks. Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd is in Stage 2 — advancing, 34 weeks in (confirmed). Stages follow Stan Weinstein's four-phase read of weekly price against the 200-day average: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3), declining (4).
Why is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd stock rising?
The price is up 64% over the past year, in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend (34 weeks), and has beaten NIFTY 500 for 41 weeks. Earnings are moving with the price — this is a profit-backed move, not a pure re-rating. Since 2022, the price is up 44% while earnings per share moved 46%.
Is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd beating the NIFTY 500?
Yes — beating NIFTY 500 for 41 weeks, as of 1 July 2026. Relative strength is measured weekly against the NIFTY 500 (Mansfield RS): a positive reading means the stock has outperformed the index over the trailing window, week after week.
Where is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd in its business cycle?
The data reads Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd as a steady business currently in its expansion phase — earnings at an all-time high for this company, valuation at the 67th percentile. This is a steady business by its own record — profit dips never exceeded 5% across 9 years. The cycle matters less than execution here.
How is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd's asset quality?
Bad loans are healing — from a worst of 1.7% (Sep 23) to 0.7%. ₹0.7 of every ₹100 lent is currently stuck with borrowers who’ve stopped paying — down from ₹1.7 at the Sep 23 worst. After the money already set aside, the true exposure is 0.2%.
What is the bull case for Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd?
Bad loans have fallen from 1.7% to 0.7%, profits are compounding — and the price has started to notice. Best thing in the data: bad loans improving (1.3% → 0.7%). The loan book is working — interest income grew 16%.
What is the bear case for Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd — what could break the story?
Two quarters of bad loans reversing would kill this story. The nearest-term thing to watch: a single quarter of GNPA rising again would put this story on watch. This falsification condition is stated up front so the thesis can be checked against incoming quarters, not defended after the fact.
Is Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd a stock worth studying right now?
Sector Alpha does not publish buy or sell recommendations — this is a research read, not advice. What the data says: the numbers earn a deeper study — and watch the one thing that matters. The numbers lean positive, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far. Across the 7-model scorecard the composite research signal is study deeper at 80% confidence. This is machine-written research compiled from Screener data — every number traces to its source — and it is not investment advice. Do your own diligence.