Hyundai Motor India Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Hyundai Motor India Ltd trades at ₹2,181, in a downtrend and 20 weeks into that stage. That is +7.6% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 39% of a 52-week range of ₹1,784 to ₹2,809. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 8 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 20 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹2,181 it trades +7.6% versus its 200-day average and sits at 39% of its 52-week range (₹1,784–₹2,809).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.8 years the stock moved +18% while the NIFTY 500 moved +3% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 8 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Hyundai Motor India Ltd trades at 35.8× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (91st percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 30.3×, measured across 1.2 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 35.8× is at the pricey end of its own range (91st percentile), against a long-run median of 30.3× measured over 1.2 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −3.7% against a +0.0% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Hyundai Motor India Ltd reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — no clean majority across the growth curves, ROCE slipping at 32.4% — the per-curve reads carry the story. The read is built from 10 quarters across 3 curves, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

4-Factor Sector Score

34.9/100 — rank 3 of 4 in Auto - 4 Wheelers · 84% evidence confidence

Hyundai Motor India Ltd scores 34.9 out of 100 against the 4 companies it is compared with in Auto - 4 Wheelers, ranking 3. Strong business, demanding price: keep it on the quality list, but require either earnings upgrades or valuation compression.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 4.2 + 18.1 + 5 + 7.6 = 34.9. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Hyundai Motor India Ltd reported ₹16,335 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, −0.5% year on year. Over 5 years it has compounded at 11.5% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹70,763 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹70,685 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹70,763 Cr (+2.3% on the year), capping 5 years at 11.5% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹16,335 Cr, −0.5% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +3.5% growth against the decade's 11.5% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +3.6% over the last 4 quarters against +0.1%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit −10.3% vs −10.8%/yr — stabilising.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Hyundai Motor India Ltd's operating margin is 9.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, −4.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 6 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 10.0% to 13.0%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 9.0%, −4.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 6 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 10.0%–13.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −4.1 pp year on year while gross margin went −1.9 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Hyundai Motor India Ltd earned ₹889 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, −35.1% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹5,432 Cr. The 5-year compound rate is 23.6%. That is 5.4% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹1,369 Cr.

Jun 26 profit was ₹889 Cr, −35.1% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹5,432 Cr (−3.7%), and the 5-year compound rate is 23.6%.

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed −0.5% and the margin −4.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −9.2% vs revenue +3.5%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 122% of Hyundai Motor India Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹7,321 Cr of operating cash against ₹5,432 Cr of profit. After ₹4,170 Cr of capital spending, ₹3,151 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹7,321 Cr against reported profit of ₹5,432 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹3,151 Cr after ₹4,170 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 122% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 122%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY21 and FY26 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.0× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Hyundai Motor India Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs −15 days in FY26, up from −19 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹12,819 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹70,763 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹194 Cr, so roughly ₹−2,908 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 11 days, inventory at 26 days — roughly 0.9 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of −15 days, looser than FY21's −19.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 26 days to sell; customers pay about 11 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 52 days — netting out to the −15-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹70,763 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹194 Cr — so the −15-day loop keeps roughly ₹−2,908 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹12,819 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹6,511 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹725 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Hyundai Motor India Ltd earns a ROCE of 38% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 23% in FY22. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +28.5 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 7.7% net margin on 2.06× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 38%, recovered from a FY22 trough of 23% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 7.7% net margin × 2.06× asset turns × 1.72× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 27.3% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 40.5% − 12.0% = a +28.5 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Hyundai Motor India Ltd carries total debt of ₹1,098 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹20,015 Cr as of Jun 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.05 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.08 in FY24 to 0.05 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Jun 26: total debt of ₹1,098 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹20,015 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.05. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.08 (FY24) to 0.05 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Domestic institutions added 4.5 points of Hyundai Motor India Ltd over 6 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes domestic institutions to 11.7% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −3.4 points over the same window, to 3.3%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: +4.5 points over 6 quarters to 11.7%; Foreign institutions: −3.4 points over 6 quarters to 3.3%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 6 quarters to 82.5%.

Why the register moved: rotation — foreign institutions −3.4 points against domestic institutions +4.5 points over 6 quarters, with promoters holding steady — one class of institutions handing the register to the other, not a verdict change by the people closest to the numbers.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Hyundai Motor India Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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