GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd trades at ₹94.1, in a downtrend and 33 weeks into that stage. That is −9.3% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 2% of a 52-week range of ₹93 to ₹127. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (15 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 33 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹94.1 it trades −9.3% versus its 200-day average and sits at 2% of its 52-week range (₹93–₹127).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 4.5 years the stock moved +128% while the NIFTY 500 moved +53% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (15 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-17) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd trades at 39.9× P/E, against too little history to rank. Its long-run median P/E is 6.5×, measured across 0.5 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 39.9× is against too little history to rank, against a long-run median of 6.5× measured over 0.5 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −61.2% against a −19.4% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

What the price assumes This reading works the multiple backwards. It asks one question: what yearly rate of profit growth is a buyer at the market price already paying for? The number is the growth rate that makes eleven years of profit — six years growing, then five fading — add up to that day's market price, once each year is discounted at 11% a year.

Solved at its 13 June 2026 price, GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd was paying for profit growth of about 5.9% a year.

How to hold this number: it is a reading of one day's price, taken on 13 June 2026, not a running figure — every other number on this page, the multiple included, is read off the live quote as of 11 September 2026. A higher price is paying for more growth and a lower price for less, so it moves whenever the price does, and this page does not restate it between measurements.

Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — no clean majority across the growth curves, ROCE holding at 17.0% — the per-curve reads carry the story. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.

4-Factor Sector Score

42.2/100 — rank 2 of 3 in Infra - Power - Generation/Distribution · 71% evidence confidence

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd scores 42.2 out of 100 against the 3 companies it is compared with in Infra - Power - Generation/Distribution, ranking 2. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 15.6 + 7.4 + 10 + 9.2 = 42.2. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd reported ₹1,705 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +3.5% year on year. That is the 10th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 5 years it has compounded at 21.8% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹7,332 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹7,388 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹7,332 Cr (+15.6% on the year), capping 5 years at 21.8% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹1,705 Cr, +3.5% year on year — the 10th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +16.4% growth against the decade's 21.8% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +15.8% over the last 4 quarters against +21.8%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit +218.5% vs −36.5%/yr — accelerating.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd's operating margin is 26.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +2.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 6 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 1.6% to 24.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 26.0%, +2.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 6 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 1.6%–24.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +1.8 pp year on year while gross margin went +1.3 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd posted a net loss of ₹35.0 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹614 Cr. That loss is 2.1% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost ₹7.0 Cr. 6 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Jun 26 profit was ₹−35.0 Cr, null year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹614 Cr (−60.4%).

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 161% of GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹1,260 Cr of operating cash against ₹614 Cr of profit. After ₹122 Cr of capital spending, ₹1,138 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹1,260 Cr against reported profit of ₹614 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹1,138 Cr after ₹122 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 161% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 161%: the cash cycle stretched 207 days between FY21 and FY26 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 4.4× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs −81 days in FY26, up from −288 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹6,768 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹7,332 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹20.1 Cr, so roughly ₹−1,627 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 59 days, inventory at 88 days — roughly 2.9 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of −81 days, looser than FY21's −288.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 88 days to sell; customers pay about 59 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 227 days — netting out to the −81-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹7,332 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹20.1 Cr — so the −81-day loop keeps roughly ₹−1,627 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹6,768 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹1,552 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹457 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd earns a ROCE of 12% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 8% in FY22. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −6.1 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses.

FY26 ROCE is 12%, recovered from a FY22 trough of 8% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 8.4% net margin × 0.43× asset turns × 8.95× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 32.3% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 5.9% − 12.0% = a −6.1 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd carries total debt of ₹11,594 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹2,109 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 5.50. On the annual view that ratio went from −4.66 in FY22 to 5.50 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹11,594 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹2,109 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 5.50. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from −4.66 (FY22) to 5.50 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Foreign institutions added 12.6 points of GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes foreign institutions to 16.0% of the company. Promoters moved −4.3 points over the same window, to 46.3%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Foreign institutions: +12.6 points over 8 quarters to 16.0%; Promoters: −4.3 points over 8 quarters to 46.3%; Domestic institutions: +3.1 points over 8 quarters to 5.5%.

Why the register moved: foreign institutions drove it (+12.6 points), absorbed on the other side by promoters (−4.3 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

GMR Power & Urban Infra Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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