Sector Alpha Week of 2026-09-11
Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-09-11

GEE Ltd

504028
Electrodes - Welding Equipment

GEE Ltd's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the P/E sits at the 77th percentile of its own range — the multiple has already done part of the work.

The price is in a confirmed uptrend (14 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 77th percentile of its own 10-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +599.0% year on year, and 109% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Stage
Turning around
partial read
Price
₹132
P/E
38.2×
77th pctile
of its own 10-year range
Revenue (Jun 26)
₹103 Cr
+29.9% YoY
Profit (Jun 26)
₹6.8 Cr
+599.0% YoY
Operating margin
7.8%
+2.1 pp YoY
ROCE
11%
FY26
Cash conversion
109%
of profit, last 3 FY
Unverified figures: Some figures on this page come from a second financial-data feed that could not be cross-checked against the primary source — the two do not share enough overlapping reported history to compare. They are drawn, because they are the only evidence there is, and every section carrying one is marked unverified.
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

GEE Ltd trades at ₹132, in a confirmed uptrend and 14 weeks into that stage. That is +37.1% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 92% of a 52-week range of ₹78 to ₹137. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 7 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 14 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹132 it trades +37.1% versus its 200-day average and sits at 92% of its 52-week range (₹78–₹137).

Sep 26: ₹132 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
+37.1% versus the 200-day line, week 14 of stage 2
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4S2₹142₹122₹103₹83.6₹64.2₹132₹96May 26Jun 26Jul 26Aug 26Sep 26
S4S2₹142₹122₹103₹83.6₹64.2₹132₹96May 26Jul 26Sep 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2026 Each cell is one week from 2026 to now (20 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
May 26Sep 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 4 months the stock moved +56% while the NIFTY 500 moved +1% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 7 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Story check

Story check

GEE Ltd's story is not scored yet against the markers our research file set on 19 July 2026. Where it sits in its own cycle: Not stated in the research file. Our fortnightly research layers last read it on 19 July 2026.

NOT YET CHECKED

Our read, 19 July 2026. GEE has recovered operationally after the prior impairment and has credible specialty-product catalysts, but margin normalization and recent cash conversion keep its valuation and execution risk high.

What is proven. GEE has recovered operationally after the prior impairment and has credible specialty-product catalysts, but margin normalization and recent cash conversion keep its valuation and execution risk high.

What is not proven yet. Confidence increases if flux-cored wire starts on schedule, specialty approvals convert to revenue, operating margin remains resilient and operating cash flow turns positive. The case fails if the new line is delayed, margin reverts as utilization rises, or inventory keeps absorbing cash without a disclosed order or commissioning bridge.

🚨 What would change our mind. Confidence increases if flux-cored wire starts on schedule, specialty approvals convert to revenue, operating margin remains resilient and operating cash flow turns positive. The case fails if the new line is delayed, margin reverts as utilization rises, or inventory keeps absorbing cash without a disclosed order or commissioning bridge.

🚨 Layer 1 read, 19 July 2026 — DROP. Real operating recovery but a re-rated, cash-negative, above-normal-margin name — not a compressed depressed-breakout. GEE has returned to its FY24 earnings after a one-quarter impairment (Mar-2025 EPS -2.9, OPM -18.4%), but its PE sits at the 81st percentile and OPM 9.9% is already above the normalized 7.5%, so trailing earnings flatter the valuation. FY26 operating cash flow was negative (-Rs 11cr vs Rs 13cr PAT) as working capital absorbed cash, and the specialty catalysts that would justify the multiple are still unconverted.

What would change Layer 1’s mind. Flux-cored wire commissioning on schedule with Rs 50cr+ run-rate revenue AND operating cash flow turning positive with OPM holding above 10% for two quarters [milestones M1/M4, C003] — that would convert the re-rating into an earnings-led thesis and lift it toward P1.

The test written in advance. Peak-margin valuation risk — Peak-margin valuation risk Operating margin falls below the stated management aspiration for two reporting periods. by the next result.

The test written in advance. Working-capital absorption — Working-capital absorption Operating cash remains negative while inventory expands and no order or commissioning explanation is provided. by the next result.

The dials — and the exact level that would change the read
DialNowWasWhy it mattersWatch line
Flux-cored wire localizationin playDomestic flux-cored wire production can replace import activity with a larger share of unit economics.Production is delayed, certification does not support saleable output, or customers do not adopt the domestic line.
Specialty approvalsin playDefense and nuclear approvals can shift revenue toward products with stronger pricing power.Approved programmes do not turn into purchase orders or specialty mix remains too small to affect company economics.
Existing-capacity operating leveragein playUtilization growth can improve fixed-cost absorption without a new plant build.Revenue stalls before utilization improves or added volume requires margin concessions.
Everything further down this page is evidence for or against these.
the numbers
Recovery, valuation constrained
the price
stage 2, above the 200-day line
the why
Recovery, valuation constrained
FY26-Q2FY27-Q1

🚨 What the surface reading misses. The surface reading is: The new line creates a material revenue opportunity. The research reads it further: Existing import activity is the commercial co-mover: domestic production can capture more unit economics only after machinery commissioning, certification and customer adoption.

🚨 What the surface reading misses. The surface reading is: Defense appears to be a specialty growth lane with high entry barriers. The research reads it further: Specialized approval and existing project relationships are the co-movers; realized purchase orders and defense revenue must validate the stated share.

1 · Operating leverageBUILDING
2 · Value-added mixQUIET
3 · Management changeQUIET
4 · Paying down debtQUIET
5 · Regulatory approvalQUIET
6 · Order-book winsQUIET
7 · ConsolidationQUIET
8 · Demerger or value unlockQUIET
9 · BuybackQUIET
10 · New geographiesQUIET
11 · Selling more to existing customersQUIET
12 · New product launchQUIET
13 · Mandatory normsQUIET
14 · A bigger market to sell intoQUIET
15 · Market-share gainsBUILDING
16 · Asset qualityQUIET

Lever 15 · Market-share gains — BUILDING. Domestic flux-cored wire production can replace import activity with a larger share of unit economics. What proves it keeps working: Flux-cored wire localization. It stops working if Production is delayed, certification does not support saleable output, or customers do not adopt the domestic line.

Lever 1 · Operating leverage — BUILDING. Utilization growth can improve fixed-cost absorption without a new plant build. What proves it keeps working: Existing-capacity operating leverage. It stops working if Revenue stalls before utilization improves or added volume requires margin concessions.

Sources: our stock research file (19 July 2026) · quarterly results through Jun 26 · the company’s own earnings calls. The story check is re-scored every results season; the record below never changes.

The whole page in one table — every row jumps to its section
SectionWhere it is nowVs a year agoThe one thing to watch nextRead
Revenue₹103 CrSpecialty approvals
Margin7.79%Existing-capacity operating leverage
03 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

GEE Ltd reported ₹103 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +29.9% year on year. That is the 4th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 6.9% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹369 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹393 Cr.

Why this happened. The approvals are specific commercial access points rather than broad end-market commentary. Defense revenue and nuclear order conversion are the co-movers that must show in reported mix.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹369 Cr (+10.5% on the year), capping 10 years at 6.9% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹103 Cr, +29.9% year on year — the 4th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹369 Cr (+10.5% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
6.9% a year over 10 years
RevenueYoY growth
42831%32120%2149.3%107−1.6%0−13%₹ Cr%₹36910.5%FY16FY21FY26
42831%32120%2149.3%107−1.6%0−13%₹ Cr%₹36910.5%FY16FY21FY26
Jun 26: ₹103 Cr (+29.9% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
4th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
12133%9120%617.4%30−5.6%0−19%₹ Cr%₹10329.9%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
12133%9120%617.4%30−5.6%0−19%₹ Cr%₹10329.9%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +18.7% growth against the decade's 6.9% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +18.7% over the last 4 quarters against +5.0%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating.

FY26-Q4. revenue ₹112 Cr and profit ₹4 Cr as reported.

FY27-Q1. revenue ₹103 Cr and profit ₹7 Cr as reported.

Why-sources: our stock research file (19 July 2026) and the company’s own results for those quarters.

Watch next
MetricSpecialty approvals
ThresholdApproved programmes do not turn into purchase orders or specialty mix remains too small to affect company economics.
Which resultthe next result
04 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

GEE Ltd's operating margin is 7.8% in the Jun 26 quarter, +2.1 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 0.2% to 10.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Why this happened. Management identifies unused capacity and limited ancillary spending as the route to scale. Reported revenue and operating margin must move together for the leverage claim to be credible.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 7.8%, +2.1 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 0.2%–10.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +2.1 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.4 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY26: 9.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 12-year window.
within a 0.2–10.0% band over 12 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
11%10%7.9%5.3%5.1%0.5%2.3%−4.3%−0.6%−9.1%%%9%8.8%FY15FY20FY26
11%10%7.9%5.3%5.1%0.5%2.3%−4.3%−0.6%−9.1%%%9%8.8%FY15FY20FY26
Jun 26: 7.8% operating margin (+2.1 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
13%32%4.5%18%−3.9%2.7%−12%−12%−21%−27%%%7.8%2.1%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
13%32%4.5%18%−3.9%2.7%−12%−12%−21%−27%%%7.8%2.1%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26

FY26-Q4. revenue ₹112 Cr and profit ₹4 Cr as reported.

FY27-Q1. revenue ₹103 Cr and profit ₹7 Cr as reported.

Why-sources: our stock research file (19 July 2026) and the company’s own results for those quarters.

Watch next
MetricExisting-capacity operating leverage
ThresholdRevenue stalls before utilization improves or added volume requires margin concessions.
Which resultthe next result
05 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

GEE Ltd earned ₹6.8 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +599.0% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹13.0 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 10.0%. That is 6.7% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹1.0 Cr. 1 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Jun 26 profit was ₹6.8 Cr, +599.0% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹13.0 Cr (null), and the 10-year compound rate is 10.0%.

FY26 profit ₹13.0 Cr (null YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
10.0% a year over 10 years
Net profitYoY growth
17266%10149%332%−4−85%−11−201%₹ Cr%₹13−169.2%FY16FY21FY26
17266%10149%332%−4−85%−11−201%₹ Cr%₹13−169.2%FY16FY21FY26
Jun 26: ₹6.8 Cr (+599.0% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
9799%275%−4−648%−10−1,371%−17−2,095%₹ Cr%₹7599%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
9799%275%−4−648%−10−1,371%−17−2,095%₹ Cr%₹7599%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +29.9% and the margin +2.1 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +316.8% vs revenue +18.7%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

FY26-Q4. revenue ₹112 Cr and profit ₹4 Cr as reported.

FY27-Q1. revenue ₹103 Cr and profit ₹7 Cr as reported.

Why-sources: our stock research file (19 July 2026) and the company’s own results for those quarters.

06 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 109% of GEE Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹−8.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹13.0 Cr of profit. After ₹−21.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹13.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹−8.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹13.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹13.0 Cr after ₹−21.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 109% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹−8.0 Cr vs profit ₹13.0 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 11-year window, annual resolution. FY17 reflects an acquisition year — point shown clipped.
109% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
4933182−14₹ Cr₹−8₹13₹13FY16FY21FY26
4933182−14₹ Cr₹−8₹13₹13FY16FY21FY26
FY26: CFO = −62% of profit (three-year rate 109%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash; outlier years shown pinned.
Conversion100%
329%224%119%14%−91%%−62%FY16FY21FY26
329%224%119%14%−91%%−62%FY16FY21FY26

Why conversion sits at 109%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY21 and FY26 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

07 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

GEE Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 149 days in FY26, up from 139 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹−1.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹369 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹1.0 Cr, so roughly ₹151 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 54 days, inventory at 127 days — roughly 4.2 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 149 days, looser than FY21's 139.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 127 days to sell; customers pay about 54 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 32 days — netting out to the 149-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹369 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹1.0 Cr — so the 149-day loop keeps roughly ₹151 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a 149-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 12-year window.
+10 days vs FY21
Cash cycleInventory daysDebtor daysPayable days
158124915723days149d127d54d32dFY15FY17FY20FY23FY26
158124915723days149d127d54d32dFY15FY20FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹−1.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹12.0 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹2.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹−21.0 Cr, work-in-progress ₹2.0 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
steady investment
CapexWork-in-progress
9363321−29₹ Cr₹−21₹2FY16FY18FY21FY23FY26
9363321−29₹ Cr₹−21₹2FY16FY21FY26

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

08 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

GEE Ltd earns a ROCE of 11% in FY26. That is up from a trough of −1% in FY25. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 3.5% net margin on 1.17× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 11%, recovered from a FY25 trough of −1% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 3.5% net margin × 1.17× asset turns × 1.47× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 6.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

FY26: ROCE 11% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line). 12-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY25's −1%
ROCEWACC
14%10%6.0%1.9%−2.1%%11%FY15FY17FY20FY23FY26
14%10%6.0%1.9%−2.1%%11%FY15FY20FY26
09 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

GEE Ltd carries ₹61.0 Cr of borrowings against ₹215 Cr of equity in FY26, a debt-to-equity of 0.28. Operating profit covers the interest bill 4×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹60.0 Cr to ₹61.0 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹−1.0 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY26: borrowings of ₹61.0 Cr against equity of ₹215 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.28. Operating profit covers the interest bill 4×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹60.0 Cr to ₹61.0 Cr while capital spending ran ₹−1.0 Cr in just the last 3 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

FY26: borrowings ₹61.0 Cr at 0.28× equity Borrowings by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 12-year window. Quarterly balance-sheet history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
the debt trajectory
BorrowingsDebt-to-equity
940.9×700.8×470.6×230.4×00.2×₹ Cr×₹610.28×FY15FY17FY20FY23FY26
940.9×700.8×470.6×230.4×00.2×₹ Cr×₹610.28×FY15FY20FY26
10 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of GEE Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Foreign institutions moved +0.0 points over the same window, to 1.1%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −0.4 points over 8 quarters to 63.6%; Foreign institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 1.1%; Domestic institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.0%.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters +0.0 pts from Mar 24 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 3 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
69%51%32%13%−5.1%%64.0%1.4%0%34.7%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
69%51%32%13%−5.1%%64.0%1.4%0%34.7%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
A quiet register: no holder moved a full point in two years Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 13 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
69%51%32%13%−5.1%%63.6%1.1%0%35.3%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
69%51%32%13%−5.1%%63.6%1.1%0%35.3%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
11 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

GEE Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

12 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

GEE Ltd trades at 38.2× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (77th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 18.1×, measured across 10.2 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 38.2× is at the pricey end of its own range (77th percentile), against a long-run median of 18.1× measured over 10.2 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 38.2× vs a 18.1× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 10.2-year window; loss-period spikes above 54× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
at the pricey end of its own range (77th percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
58.1×₹3.744.2×₹2.830.3×₹1.916.5×₹0.92.6×₹0.0×38.10×₹4Jul 16Dec 18Apr 21Jul 23Sep 26
58.1×₹3.744.2×₹2.830.3×₹1.916.5×₹0.92.6×₹0.0×38.10×₹4Jul 16Apr 21Sep 26
P/E
38.2×
77th percentile of 10y

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

13 · Stage: Turning around

Stage: Turning around Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

GEE Ltd reads as turning around on its fundamental arc. Turning around — profit growth swung from −64.6% at the trough to +599.0% off a 5-quarter-old trough (single-quarter readings), ROCE lifting at 11.0%. The read is built from 10 quarters across 3 curves, on partial evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +10.5% in FY26 Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
31%289%20%165%9.3%41%−1.6%−82%−13%−206%%%10.5%−169.2%FY16FY21FY26
31%289%20%165%9.3%41%−1.6%−82%−13%−206%%%10.5%−169.2%FY16FY21FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue accelerating
RevenueProfitEPS
33%348%20%174%7.4%0.0%−5.6%−174%−19%−348%%%29.9%300%−183.7%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
33%348%20%174%7.4%0.0%−5.6%−174%−19%−348%%%29.9%300%−183.7%Sep 23Dec 24Jun 26
ROCE Annual readings — the quarterly balance-sheet pieces this curve needs are not held for this stock, so the returns read moves once a year and carries less weight in the call.
the return curve, annual readings
ROCE
12%8.5%5.0%1.5%−2.0%%11%FY23FY24FY26
12%8.5%5.0%1.5%−2.0%%11%FY23FY24FY26
Revenue growth
Flat
latest +29.9% · span −15.0% to +29.9%
Profit growth
Flat
latest +599.0% · span −100.0% to +100.0%
ROCE
Rising
latest 11.0% · span −1.0%–11.0%

Why it matters: growth inflections are where re-ratings start — the curves say a turn is forming, so the question becomes whether the next quarters confirm it.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+10.5%−2.3%+7.8%+6.9%
Profit+13.0%+0.0%+10.0%
EPS+15.1%+0.6%+11.0%
Revenue YoY (Jun 26)
+29.9%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Jun 26)
+599.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
6.9%
long-run compound pace
14 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

63.3/100 — rank 1 of 3 in Electrodes - Welding Equipment · 57% evidence confidence

GEE Ltd scores 63.3 out of 100 against the 3 companies it is compared with in Electrodes - Welding Equipment, ranking 1. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 31.6 + 9.2 + 10 + 12.5 = 63.3. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

15 · Related companies · Electrodes - Welding Equipment
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1GEE Ltdthis page504028 63.3/100Thin evidence · provisional57% evidence BREAKING OUT 31.6/35 Revenue 18.7% · PAT 100% · OPM change 2.1 pp 95% evidence 9.2/25 ROCE 11.4% · OPM 7.8% 76% evidence 10.0/20 P/E 38.2× · PEG — 0% evidence 12.5/20 RS sector — · RS bench 52.9% · 1Y —6 of 6 weeks ahead 25% evidence
Exact sum: 31.6 + 9.2 + 10 + 12.5 = 63.3 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
2Graphite India LtdGRAPHITE 59.7/100Mixed-positive evidence90% evidence TURNING 18.7/35 Revenue 21.3% · PAT -41.1% · OPM change 11 pp 100% evidence 6.0/25 ROCE 4.6% · OPM 17% 100% evidence 15.0/20 P/E 73.6× · PEG 0.6 50% evidence 20.0/20 RS sector 17.9% · RS bench 30% · 1Y 59.9%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 18.7 + 6 + 15 + 20 = 59.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3HEG LtdHEG 56.4/100Mixed-positive evidence90% evidence BASING 28.9/35 Revenue 20.2% · PAT 82.7% · OPM change 5 pp 100% evidence 7.5/25 ROCE 8.3% · OPM 22% 100% evidence 15.0/20 P/E 12.9× · PEG 0.37 50% evidence 5.0/20 RS sector -57.2% · RS bench 14.8% · 1Y -51.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 28.9 + 7.5 + 15 + 5 = 56.4 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -57.2% and the one-year return is -51.8%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is GEE Ltd's share price today?

GEE Ltd trades at ₹132. The company is valued at ₹686 Cr. The stock sits at 92% of its 52-week range of ₹78–₹137, +37.1% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 14 weeks in. — as of 11 September 2026.

What were GEE Ltd's latest quarterly results?

GEE Ltd reported revenue of ₹103 Cr and net profit of ₹6.8 Cr for the Jun 26 quarter. Revenue rose 29.9% and profit rose 599.0% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹1.32. The operating margin was 7.8%, 2.1 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is GEE Ltd's revenue?

GEE Ltd reported revenue of ₹103 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter, +29.9% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹369 Cr (+10.5%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at 6.9% a year. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is GEE Ltd's profit?

GEE Ltd earned ₹6.8 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +599.0% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹13.0 Cr. The operating margin ran 7.8% in the latest quarter. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is GEE Ltd's market cap?

GEE Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹686 Cr at a share price of ₹132. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is GEE Ltd's P/E ratio?

GEE Ltd trades at a P/E of 38.2×, at the 77th percentile of its own 10-year range, against a long-run median of 18.1×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 11 September 2026.

Does GEE Ltd pay a dividend?

Not in its latest year — GEE Ltd's dividend payout was 0% of profit in FY26. It did record a payout in 3 of its last 12 reported fiscal years, so there is a history but no current dividend. This page holds the payout ratio, not a per-share amount. — as of 11 September 2026.

Is GEE Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, GEE Ltd looks expensive: its P/E of 38.2× sits at the 77th percentile of its 10-year range (long-run median 18.1×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 11 September 2026.

Is GEE Ltd growing?

Yes — GEE Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +29.9% year on year, profit +599.0%, and the margin +2.1 pp at 7.8%. The 10-year compound rates are 6.9% (revenue) and 10.0% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 11 September 2026.

How is GEE Ltd performing?

GEE Ltd is in a confirmed uptrend, 14 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 29.9% and profit rose 599.0% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 7 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 11 September 2026.

What stage is GEE Ltd in?

Turning around — profit growth swung from −64.6% at the trough to +599.0% off a 5-quarter-old trough (single-quarter readings), ROCE lifting at 11.0%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +29.9% latest, profit growth +599.0% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 11 September 2026.

Is GEE Ltd in an uptrend?

Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 14 of stage 2), trading +37.1% versus its 200-day average and at 92% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 11 September 2026.

Is GEE Ltd beating the market?

On recent form, yes — GEE Ltd has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 7 straight weeks, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 4 months the stock moved +56% against the NIFTY 500's +1% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 11 September 2026.

Will GEE Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for GEE Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹132, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 14 weeks in. Its P/E of 38.2× sits at the 77th percentile of its own 10-year range. — as of 11 September 2026.

Who owns GEE Ltd?

Promoters hold 63.6% of GEE Ltd, foreign institutions 1.1%, domestic institutions 0.0% and the public 35.3% (latest quarter). No holder moved a full point over the last two years — the register is quiet. — as of 11 September 2026.

Does GEE Ltd have too much debt?

No — GEE Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.28, and operating profit covers the interest bill 4×. FY26 borrowings were ₹61.0 Cr against equity of ₹215 Cr. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 11 September 2026.

What is GEE Ltd's capex?

GEE Ltd spent ₹−1.0 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹−21.0 Cr, with ₹2.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 11 September 2026.

What is GEE Ltd's cash flow?

GEE Ltd consumed ₹8.0 Cr of operating cash in FY26 — cash flowed out rather than in (free cash flow: ₹13.0 Cr). Operating cash was negative while the company reported a profit of ₹13.0 Cr. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 11 September 2026.

Is GEE Ltd's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 109% of GEE Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. Though the latest year ran at -62% — the trend is the thing to watch. In FY26, operating cash was ₹−8.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹13.0 Cr. The cash then goes into a mix of the working-capital cycle and capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 11 September 2026.

Where is GEE Ltd in its business cycle?

GEE Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 9.0%, against a 12-year band of 0.2%–10.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 7.8%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 11 September 2026.

What could break the GEE Ltd story?

Biggest watch item: the P/E sits at the 77th percentile of its own range — the multiple has already done part of the work. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 11 September 2026.

Is GEE Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: GEE Ltd's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 11 September 2026.

Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-09-11. Every chart on this page is drawn by deterministic code from the raw series — no forecasts, no price opinions, and nothing here is investment advice.

Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!

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