Frontier Springs Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Frontier Springs Ltd trades at ₹1,240, in a downtrend and 4 weeks into that stage. That is −10.8% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 0% of a 52-week range of ₹1,240 to ₹4,483. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (16 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 4 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹1,240 it trades −10.8% versus its 200-day average and sits at 0% of its 52-week range (₹1,240–₹4,483).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.5 years the stock moved +5,278% while the NIFTY 500 moved +267% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (16 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-12) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Frontier Springs Ltd trades at 25.0× P/E, mid-range by its own standards (66th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 15.1×, measured across 10.5 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 25.0× is mid-range by its own standards (66th percentile), against a long-run median of 15.1× measured over 10.5 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +76.7% against a −72.8% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +34.4%/yr price move, ~+45.5%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−11.1 pp from the multiple (compressing); over 10y, of the +45.0%/yr price move, ~+49.0%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−4.0 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

A quarterly PEG curve, which only the second data source carries, is not drawn on this page: its two data sources do not share enough overlapping reported history to be compared. A figure nobody could check is not used to price growth — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

What the price assumes This reading works the multiple backwards. It asks one question: what yearly rate of profit growth is a buyer at the market price already paying for? The number is the growth rate that makes eleven years of profit — six years growing, then five fading — add up to that day's market price, once each year is discounted at 11% a year.

Solved at its 13 June 2026 price, Frontier Springs Ltd was paying for profit growth of about 19.6% a year. Profit itself has compounded 50.8% a year over the past 10 years. Today the market pays 25.0× P/E, the 66th percentile of its own 11-year range.

What the two numbers say together. The multiple is full against its own past, and the growth the price is paying for is below what this company has actually delivered.

How to hold this number: it is a reading of one day's price, taken on 13 June 2026, not a running figure — every other number on this page, the multiple included, is read off the live quote as of 11 September 2026. A higher price is paying for more growth and a lower price for less, so it moves whenever the price does, and this page does not restate it between measurements.

Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Frontier Springs Ltd reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — growth is normalizing off a hyper-growth base: revenue growth has eased from +97.6% at its peak to +27.5% but is still expanding, ROCE lifting at 51.0%. The read is built from 11 quarters across 4 curves, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

4-Factor Sector Score

67.9/100 — rank 3 of 4 in Railways - Kavach/Springs · 78% evidence confidence

Frontier Springs Ltd scores 67.9 out of 100 against the 4 companies it is compared with in Railways - Kavach/Springs, ranking 3. Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 27.5 + 19.6 + 8.8 + 12 = 67.9. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Frontier Springs Ltd reported ₹78.0 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +4.0% year on year. That is the 11th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 23.5% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹322 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹325 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹322 Cr (+39.4% on the year), capping 10 years at 23.5% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹78.0 Cr, +4.0% year on year — the 11th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +30.5% growth against the decade's 23.5% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +27.5% over the last 4 quarters against +42.1%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit +37.2% vs +81.0%/yr — rolling over.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Frontier Springs Ltd's operating margin is 25.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, −2.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 8.0% to 27.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 25.0%, −2.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 8.0%–27.0%, and FY26's 27.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −2.6 pp year on year while gross margin went +1.3 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Frontier Springs Ltd earned ₹12.0 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, −20.0% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹61.0 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 50.8%. That is 15.4% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹15.0 Cr.

Jun 26 profit was ₹12.0 Cr, −20.0% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹61.0 Cr (+74.3%), and the 10-year compound rate is 50.8%.

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed +4.0% and the margin −2.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +51.5% vs revenue +30.5%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 60% of Frontier Springs Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — most of the profit is real cash. In FY26 that was ₹31.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹61.0 Cr of profit. After ₹14.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹17.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹31.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹61.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹17.0 Cr after ₹14.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 60% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

🚨 Why conversion sits at 60%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY21 and FY26 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.8× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Frontier Springs Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 119 days in FY26, down from 121 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹36.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹322 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹0.9 Cr, so roughly ₹105 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 69 days, inventory at 83 days — roughly 2.7 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 119 days, tighter than FY21's 121.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 83 days to sell; customers pay about 69 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 33 days — netting out to the 119-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹322 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹0.9 Cr — so the 119-day loop keeps roughly ₹105 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹36.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹13.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹1.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.⚠ unverified

Frontier Springs Ltd earns a ROCE of 51% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 5% in FY15. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +18.4 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 18.9% net margin on 1.48× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 51%, recovered from a FY15 trough of 5% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 18.9% net margin × 1.48× asset turns × 1.18× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 33.0% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 30.4% − 12.0% = a +18.4 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.⚠ unverified

Frontier Springs Ltd carries total debt of ₹11.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹183 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.06 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.04 in FY22 to 0.06 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹11.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹183 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.06. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.04 (FY22) to 0.06 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of Frontier Springs Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Promoters moved +0.0 points over the same window, to 51.8%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: +0.4 points over 8 quarters to 0.4%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 51.8%.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Frontier Springs Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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