C.E. Info Systems Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

C.E. Info Systems Ltd trades at ₹1,182, in a downtrend and 52 weeks into that stage. That is −0.9% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 35% of a 52-week range of ₹820 to ₹1,845. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 4 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 52 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹1,182 it trades −0.9% versus its 200-day average and sits at 35% of its 52-week range (₹820–₹1,845).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 4.6 years the stock moved −17% while the NIFTY 500 moved +58% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 4 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

C.E. Info Systems Ltd trades at 62.9× P/E, mid-range by its own standards (44th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 64.8×, measured across 4.6 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 62.9× is mid-range by its own standards (44th percentile), against a long-run median of 64.8× measured over 4.6 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −9.4% against a −32.8% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the −7.3%/yr price move, ~−2.2%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−5.1 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

C.E. Info Systems Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −8.2% latest against +36.7% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE slipping at 21.9%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

4-Factor Sector Score

40.7/100 — rank 2 of 3 in Geospatial · 91% evidence confidence

C.E. Info Systems Ltd scores 40.7 out of 100 against the 3 companies it is compared with in Geospatial, ranking 2. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 10.8 + 17.5 + 9.4 + 3 = 40.7. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

C.E. Info Systems Ltd reported ₹145 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.7% year on year. Over 7 years it has compounded at 19.7% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹474 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹475 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹474 Cr (+2.4% on the year), capping 7 years at 19.7% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹145 Cr, +0.7% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +3.2% growth against the decade's 19.7% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +2.4% over the last 4 quarters against +12.0%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit −8.2% vs +0.4%/yr — rolling over.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

C.E. Info Systems Ltd's operating margin is 44.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +6.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 8 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 19.0% to 43.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 44.0%, +6.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 8 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 19.0%–43.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +5.4 pp year on year while gross margin went −1.3 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

C.E. Info Systems Ltd earned ₹51.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +4.1% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹134 Cr. The 7-year compound rate is 21.6%. That is 35.2% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹49.0 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹51.0 Cr, +4.1% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹134 Cr (−9.5%), and the 7-year compound rate is 21.6%.

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +0.7% and the margin +6.0 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −11.3% vs revenue +3.2%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 69% of C.E. Info Systems Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — most of the profit is real cash. In FY26 that was ₹93.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹134 Cr of profit. After ₹45.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹48.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹93.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹134 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹48.0 Cr after ₹45.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 69% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

🚨 Why conversion sits at 69%: the cash cycle tightened 166 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 1.8× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

C.E. Info Systems Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs −123 days in FY26, down from 43 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹115 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹474 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹1.3 Cr, so roughly ₹−160 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 136 days, inventory at 119 days — roughly 3.9 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of −123 days, tighter than FY21's 43.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 119 days to sell; customers pay about 136 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 378 days — netting out to the −123-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹474 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹1.3 Cr — so the −123-day loop keeps roughly ₹−160 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹115 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹65.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹8.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

C.E. Info Systems Ltd earns a ROCE of 19% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 10% in FY20. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +6.2 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 28.3% net margin on 0.46× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 19%, recovered from a FY20 trough of 10% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 28.3% net margin × 0.46× asset turns × 1.15× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 15.0% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 18.2% − 12.0% = a +6.2 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

C.E. Info Systems Ltd carries total debt of ₹7.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹905 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.01 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.04 in FY22 to 0.01 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹7.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹905 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.01. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.04 (FY22) to 0.01 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Domestic institutions added 7.0 points of C.E. Info Systems Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes domestic institutions to 12.7% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −4.9 points over the same window, to 1.5%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: +7.0 points over 8 quarters to 12.7%; Foreign institutions: −4.9 points over 8 quarters to 1.5%; Promoters: −0.6 points over 8 quarters to 51.4%.

Why the register moved: rotation — foreign institutions −4.9 points against domestic institutions +7.0 points over 8 quarters, with promoters −0.6 points — one class of institutions handing the register to the other, not a verdict change by the people closest to the numbers.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

C.E. Info Systems Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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