Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-31
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-31

Black Box Ltd

BBOX
Data Centre

Black Box Ltd's price has outrun its earnings. +49.8% in a year against EPS +1.3% — the market is paying now for delivery later.

The sharpest disagreement: profits are rising, but only 22% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as operating cash — the gap between the P&L and the bank account is the thing to watch.

The price is in a confirmed uptrend (14 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 86th percentile of its own 8-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +8.3% year on year, and 22% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the cash starts following the profit.

Stage
Topping out
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
₹756
+49.8% 1Y
P/E
48.9×
86th pctile
of its own 8-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
₹1,691 Cr
+9.4% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
₹65.0 Cr
+8.3% YoY
Operating margin
9.0%
flat YoY
ROCE
22%
FY26
ROIC
22.5%
vs WACC 12.0% → +10.5 pp
Cash conversion
22%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Black Box Ltd trades at ₹756, in a confirmed uptrend and 14 weeks into that stage. That is +8.2% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 48% of a 52-week range of ₹462 to ₹1,078. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (4 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 14 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹756 it trades +8.2% versus its 200-day average and sits at 48% of its 52-week range (₹462–₹1,078).

Jul 26: ₹756 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
+8.2% versus the 200-day line, week 14 of stage 2
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S2S4S2S2₹1,153₹882₹610₹339₹67.5₹756₹698Jul 23May 24Feb 25Nov 25Jul 26
S2S4S2S2₹1,153₹882₹610₹339₹67.5₹756₹698Jul 23Feb 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (549 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Mar 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +4,884% while the NIFTY 500 moved +276% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (4 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-03) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Black Box Ltd trades at 48.9× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (86th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 31.9×, measured across 8.2 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 48.9× is at the pricey end of its own range (86th percentile), against a long-run median of 31.9× measured over 8.2 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 48.9× vs a 31.9× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 8.2-year window; loss-period spikes above 66× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
at the pricey end of its own range (86th percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
70.8×₹17.553.7×₹13.136.5×₹8.719.4×₹4.42.3×₹0.0×48.80×₹16Jun 18Aug 20Aug 22Sep 24Jul 26
70.8×₹17.553.7×₹13.136.5×₹8.719.4×₹4.42.3×₹0.0×48.80×₹16Jun 18Aug 22Jul 26
PEG 9.29 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Computed here as quarter-end P/E ÷ trailing-twelve-month EPS growth (only quarters with positive growth), because a reported quarterly PEG is not held for this stock. Last 11 quarters; values above 6 pinned at the top.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
6.5×4.9×3.2×1.6×0.0××6.00×Q2 FY24Q4 FY24Q3 FY25Q1 FY26Q4 FY26
6.5×4.9×3.2×1.6×0.0××6.00×Q2 FY24Q3 FY25Q4 FY26
P/E
48.9×
86th percentile of 8y
PEG
1.53
derived from 3-year earnings growth

🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +1.3% against a +49.8% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +26.0%/yr price move, ~+17.3%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+8.7 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: Topping out

Stage: Topping out Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Black Box Ltd reads as topping out on its fundamental arc. Topping out — profit and EPS growth have decelerated hard (profit growth +500.0% at its peak → +6.9% latest) while ROCE still reads 18.7%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +5.9% in FY26, profit +6.3% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn. Turnaround-year spikes shown pinned (▲).
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
184%348%131%174%79%0.0%27%−174%−26%−348%%%5.9%6.3%FY16FY21FY26
184%348%131%174%79%0.0%27%−174%−26%−348%%%5.9%6.3%FY16FY21FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue accelerating, profit rolling over
RevenueProfitEPS
19%328%12%228%4.0%127%−3.5%27%−11%−73%%%6%6.9%4.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
19%328%12%228%4.0%127%−3.5%27%−11%−73%%%6%6.9%4.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
30%25%21%16%11%%18.7%Jun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
30%25%21%16%11%%18.7%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Recovering
latest +6.0% · span −8.9% to +17.0%
Profit growth
Rolling over
latest +6.9% · span −43.9% to +650.0%
EPS growth
Rolling over
latest +4.1% · span −45.1% to +619.8%
ROCE
Rolling over
latest 18.7% · span 12.3%–28.8%

Why it matters: decelerating from a peak is where good stories quietly end — the multiple usually notices late.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+5.9%+0.2%+6.2%+21.8%
Profit+6.3%+108.6%+22.8%
EPS+1.3%+105.6%+20.6%
Share price+49.8%+55.1%+26.0%+50.9%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+9.4%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Mar 26)
+8.3%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
21.8%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

40.4/100 — rank 5 of 5 in Data Centre · 96% evidence confidence

Black Box Ltd scores 40.4 out of 100 against the 5 companies it is compared with in Data Centre, ranking 5. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 8.7 + 15.9 + 4.9 + 10.9 = 40.4. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Black Box Ltd reported ₹1,691 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +9.4% year on year. That is the 3rd straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 21.8% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹6,322 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹6,323 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹6,322 Cr (+5.9% on the year), capping 10 years at 21.8% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹1,691 Cr, +9.4% year on year — the 3rd consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹6,322 Cr (+5.9% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
21.8% a year over 10 years
RevenueYoY growth
6.8k184%5.1k131%3.4k79%1.7k27%0−26%₹ Cr%₹6,3225.9%FY16FY21FY26
6.8k184%5.1k131%3.4k79%1.7k27%0−26%₹ Cr%₹6,3225.9%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹1,691 Cr (+9.4% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
3rd straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.8k17%1.4k8.9%9131.3%457−6.4%0−14%₹ Cr%₹1,6919.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.8k17%1.4k8.9%9131.3%457−6.4%0−14%₹ Cr%₹1,6919.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +5.8% growth against the decade's 21.8% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +6.0% over the last 4 quarters against +0.3%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit +6.9% vs +25.7%/yr — rolling over.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Black Box Ltd's operating margin is 9.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −25.0% to 9.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 9.0%, +0.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −25.0%–9.0%, and FY26's 9.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +0.1 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.5 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

FY26: 9.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 13-year window.
the widest a −25.0–9.0% band over 13 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
12%30%1.9%21%−8.0%12%−18%3.3%−28%−5.7%%%9%0%FY14FY20FY26
12%30%1.9%21%−8.0%12%−18%3.3%−28%−5.7%%%9%0%FY14FY20FY26
Mar 26: 9.0% operating margin (+0.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
9.2%3.2%8.4%2.4%7.5%1.5%6.6%0.6%5.8%−0.2%%%9%0%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
9.2%3.2%8.4%2.4%7.5%1.5%6.6%0.6%5.8%−0.2%%%9%0%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Black Box Ltd earned ₹65.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +8.3% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹218 Cr. That is 3.8% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹60.0 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹65.0 Cr, +8.3% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹218 Cr (+6.3%).

FY26 profit ₹218 Cr (+6.3% YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profitYoY growth
242563%155244%69−76%−17−395%−104−715%₹ Cr%₹2186.3%FY16FY21FY26
242563%155244%69−76%−17−395%−104−715%₹ Cr%₹2186.3%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹65.0 Cr (+8.3% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
70446%53324%35201%1878%0−45%₹ Cr%₹658.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
70446%53324%35201%1878%0−45%₹ Cr%₹658.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +9.4% and the margin +0.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +8.6% vs revenue +5.8%. Profit and revenue are moving roughly in step.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 22% of Black Box Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY26 that was ₹84.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹218 Cr of profit. After ₹230 Cr of capital spending, ₹−146 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹84.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹218 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−146 Cr after ₹230 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 22% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹84.0 Cr vs profit ₹218 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 11-year window, annual resolution. FY19/FY23 reflects an acquisition year — point shown clipped.
22% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
1.2k864488111−266₹ Cr₹84₹218₹−146FY16FY21FY26
1.2k864488111−266₹ Cr₹84₹218₹−146FY16FY21FY26
FY26: CFO = 39% of profit (three-year rate 22%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash; outlier years shown pinned.
Conversion100%
327%228%129%29%−70%%39%FY16FY21FY26
327%228%129%29%−70%%39%FY16FY21FY26

🚨 Why conversion sits at 22%: the cash cycle stretched 58 days between FY21 and FY26 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: conversion is below par and the cash cycle has stretched 58 days — the next section's job is to find where the cash is stuck.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Black Box Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs −10 days in FY26, up from −68 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹430 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹6,322 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹17.3 Cr, so roughly ₹−173 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 67 days, inventory at 53 days — roughly 1.7 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of −10 days, looser than FY21's −68.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 53 days to sell; customers pay about 67 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 129 days — netting out to the −10-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹6,322 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹17.3 Cr — so the −10-day loop keeps roughly ₹−173 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a −10-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 13-year window.
+58 days vs FY21
Cash cycleInventory daysDebtor daysPayable days
36122794−40−174days−10d53d67d129dFY14FY17FY20FY23FY26
36122794−40−174days−10d53d67d129dFY14FY20FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹430 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹343 Cr of depreciation — building somewhat ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹230 Cr, work-in-progress ₹0.0 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
steady investment
CapexWork-in-progress
324243162810₹ Cr₹230₹0FY16FY18FY21FY23FY26
324243162810₹ Cr₹230₹0FY16FY21FY26

The synthesis: the working-capital loop is the cash sink the router flagged — watch the cycle, not the P&L.

10 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Black Box Ltd earns a ROCE of 22% in FY26. That is up from a trough of −45% in FY14. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +10.5 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 3.4% net margin on 1.47× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 22%, recovered from a FY14 trough of −45% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 3.4% net margin × 1.47× asset turns × 3.34× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 16.7% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 22.5% − 12.0% = a +10.5 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

FY26: ROCE 22% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 13-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY14's −45%
ROCEROIC (annual)WACC
66%36%6.5%−23%−53%%22%23.7%FY14FY20FY26
66%36%6.5%−23%−53%%22%23.7%FY14FY20FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 17.4% (TTM) vs WACC 12.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROCE and ROIC, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)ROIC (TTM)WACC
40%32%25%17%10.0%%17.4%27.4%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
40%32%25%17%10.0%%17.4%27.4%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
11 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Black Box Ltd carries total debt of ₹1,153 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹1,287 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.90. On the annual view that ratio went from 1.85 in FY22 to 0.90 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹1,153 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹1,287 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.90. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 1.85 (FY22) to 0.90 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY26: debt ₹1,153 Cr at 0.90× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
1.2k2.2×9341.9×6231.5×3111.2×00.8×₹ Cr×₹1,1530.90×FY22FY24FY26
1.2k2.2×9341.9×6231.5×3111.2×00.8×₹ Cr×₹1,1530.90×FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: debt ₹1,153 Cr, debt-to-equity 0.90 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
1.2k2.2×9341.9×6231.5×3111.2×00.8×₹ Cr×₹1,1530.90×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.2k2.2×9341.9×6231.5×3111.2×00.8×₹ Cr×₹1,1530.90×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
12 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Domestic institutions added 3.4 points of Black Box Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes domestic institutions to 3.4% of the company. Promoters moved −1.1 points over the same window, to 70.0%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: +3.4 points over 8 quarters to 3.4%; Promoters: −1.1 points over 8 quarters to 70.0%; Foreign institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 4.7%.

Why the register moved: domestic institutions drove it (+3.4 points), absorbed on the other side by promoters (−1.1 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters −1.1 pts from Mar 24 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 3 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
77%56%36%15%−5.7%%70.0%3.3%3.0%23.6%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
77%56%36%15%−5.7%%70.0%3.3%3.0%23.6%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
Domestic institutions added 3.4 points over 8 quarters Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 13 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
77%56%36%15%−5.7%%70.0%4.7%3.4%21.8%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
77%56%36%15%−5.7%%70.0%4.7%3.4%21.8%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
13 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Black Box Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

14 · Related companies · Data Centre
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Netweb Technologies India LtdNETWEB 65.3/100Favorable setup93% evidence LEADER 30.2/35 Revenue 100% · PAT 100% · OPM change 0 pp 100% evidence 17.6/25 ROCE 37.5% · OPM 15% 100% evidence 4.3/20 P/E 98.8× · PEG 9.37 65% evidence 13.2/20 RS sector 13.6% · RS bench 24.2% · 1Y 134.8%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 30.2 + 17.6 + 4.3 + 13.2 = 65.3 · Decision use: Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence.
2Anant Raj LtdANANTRAJ 54.1/100Mixed-positive evidence83% evidence TURNING 21.8/35 Revenue 21.9% · PAT 30.8% · OPM change 0 pp 88% evidence 13.4/25 ROCE 12.1% · OPM 26% 100% evidence 11.9/20 P/E 40.5× · PEG 1.31 65% evidence 7.0/20 RS sector -15.5% · RS bench 11.5% · 1Y 8.9%6 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 21.8 + 13.4 + 11.9 + 7 = 54.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3Techno Electric & Engineering Company LtdTECHNOE 51.6/100Mixed-positive evidence90% evidence ASLEEP 17.3/35 Revenue 43.3% · PAT 12.1% · OPM change -3 pp 88% evidence 11.5/25 ROCE 14.8% · OPM 13% 100% evidence 16.9/20 P/E 25.4× · PEG 0.62 100% evidence 5.9/20 RS sector -13.3% · RS bench -18.3% · 1Y -32%2 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 17.3 + 11.5 + 16.9 + 5.9 = 51.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
4E2E Networks LtdE2E 49.5/100Mixed-negative evidence84% evidence TURNING 20.4/35 Revenue 100% · PAT -10.2% · OPM change 46 pp 74% evidence 7.0/25 ROCE 3.6% · OPM 75% 100% evidence 11.1/20 P/E 341× · PEG 1.15 65% evidence 11.0/20 RS sector -76.1% · RS bench 73.3% · 1Y -75.8%2 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.4 + 7 + 11.1 + 11 = 49.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
5Black Box Ltdthis pageBBOX 40.4/100Mixed-negative evidence96% evidence LEADER 8.7/35 Revenue 6% · PAT 6.9% · OPM change 0 pp 88% evidence 15.9/25 ROCE 22.2% · OPM 9% 100% evidence 4.9/20 P/E 48.9× · PEG 2.27 100% evidence 10.9/20 RS sector 10.1% · RS bench 20.1% · 1Y 52.7%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 8.7 + 15.9 + 4.9 + 10.9 = 40.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

15 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Black Box Ltd's share price today?

Black Box Ltd trades at ₹756, +49.8% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹13,418 Cr. The stock sits at 48% of its 52-week range of ₹462–₹1,078, +8.2% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 14 weeks in. — as of 31 July 2026.

What were Black Box Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Black Box Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,691 Cr and net profit of ₹65.0 Cr for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 9.4% and profit rose 8.3% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹3.65. The operating margin was 9.0%, 0.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Black Box Ltd's revenue?

Black Box Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,691 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter, +9.4% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹6,322 Cr (+5.9%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at 21.8% a year. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Black Box Ltd's profit?

Black Box Ltd earned ₹65.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +8.3% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹218 Cr. The operating margin ran 9.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Black Box Ltd's market cap?

Black Box Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹13,418 Cr at a share price of ₹756. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Black Box Ltd's P/E ratio?

Black Box Ltd trades at a P/E of 48.9×, at the 86th percentile of its own 8-year range, against a long-run median of 31.9×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Black Box Ltd pay a dividend?

Yes — Black Box Ltd's dividend payout was 8% of profit in FY26, and it recorded a payout in 2 of its last 13 reported fiscal years. This page holds the payout ratio, not a per-share amount. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Black Box Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, Black Box Ltd looks expensive against its own history: its P/E of 48.9× sits at the 86th percentile of its 8-year range (long-run median 31.9×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. One caveat: margins are the best this company has ever printed — cheap on record margins is not the same thing as cheap. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Black Box Ltd growing?

Yes — Black Box Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +9.4% year on year, profit +8.3%, and the margin +0.0 pp at 9.0%. The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 31 July 2026.

How is Black Box Ltd performing?

Black Box Ltd is in a confirmed uptrend, 14 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 9.4% and profit rose 8.3% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 4 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 31 July 2026.

What stage is Black Box Ltd in?

Topping out — profit and EPS growth have decelerated hard (profit growth +500.0% at its peak → +6.9% latest) while ROCE still reads 18.7%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +6.0% latest, profit growth +6.9% latest, eps growth +4.1% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Black Box Ltd in an uptrend?

Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 14 of stage 2), trading +8.2% versus its 200-day average and at 48% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Black Box Ltd beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Black Box Ltd is currently behind the NIFTY 500 (4 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-03), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +4,884% against the NIFTY 500's +276% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 31 July 2026.

Will Black Box Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Black Box Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹756, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 14 weeks in. Its P/E of 48.9× sits at the 86th percentile of its own 8-year range. — as of 31 July 2026.

Who owns Black Box Ltd?

Promoters hold 70.0% of Black Box Ltd, foreign institutions 4.7%, domestic institutions 3.4% and the public 21.8% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Domestic institutions added 3.4 points over 8 quarters. — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Black Box Ltd have too much debt?

It is moderate — Black Box Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.90, and operating profit covers the interest bill 4×. FY26 borrowings were ₹1,153 Cr against equity of ₹1,287 Cr. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Black Box Ltd's capex?

Black Box Ltd spent ₹430 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹230 Cr, with ₹0.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Black Box Ltd's cash flow?

Black Box Ltd generated ₹84.0 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹−146 Cr of free cash flow after ₹230 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹218 Cr, so operating cash ran behind profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Black Box Ltd's profit real cash?

Not fully — over the last 3 fiscal years, 22% of Black Box Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹84.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹218 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into the working-capital cycle. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 31 July 2026.

Where is Black Box Ltd in its business cycle?

Black Box Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 9.0%, against a 13-year band of −25.0%–9.0%: the top of the band — a record year. Record profitability is late-cycle territory: every ratio flatters at the top, and the story leans on margins holding. The latest quarter ran 9.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 31 July 2026.

What could break the Black Box Ltd story?

The sharpest disagreement: profits are rising, but only 22% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as operating cash — the gap between the P&L and the bank account is the thing to watch. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Black Box Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Black Box Ltd's price has outrun its earnings. +49.8% in a year against EPS +1.3% — the market is paying now for delivery later. The sharpest open question: whether the cash starts following the profit. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 31 July 2026.

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