Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation

HRZN
Financials · Asset Management

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is between stages while the P/BV sits at the 40th percentile of its own 1-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read mixed, with the the net margin at 200.0%. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$4.5
−40.8% 1Y
P/BV
0.7×
40th pctile
of its own 1-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
$−0.0 B
Profit (Mar 26)
$−0.0 B
Net margin
200.0%
+33.3 pp YoY
ROE
1%
FY25
ROA
6.08%
latest
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation trades at $4.5, between stages. That is −15.1% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 21% of a 52-week range of $4 to $7. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (2 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is between stages. At $4.5 it trades −15.1% versus its 200-day average and sits at 21% of its 52-week range ($4–$7).

Aug 26: $4.5 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
−15.1% versus the 200-day line, week — of stage —
Price50-day avg200-day avg
$8.6$7.4$6.1$4.8$3.5$$5$5Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
$8.6$7.4$6.1$4.8$3.5$$5$5Jul 25Jan 26Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (57 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 25Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −45% while the S&P 500 moved +24% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (2 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-24) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation For a bank we price the book, not the earnings: P/BV is what the market pays for each $1 of the bank's net worth. A bank below 1× book is priced below the value of what it owns, net of what it owes.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation trades at 0.7× P/BV, mid-range by its own standards (40th percentile). Its long-run median P/BV is 0.9×, measured across 1.1 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/BV of 0.7× is mid-range by its own standards (40th percentile), against a long-run median of 0.9× measured over 1.1 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

The honest context for that discount: a bank earning about 1% on its equity is worth less per dollar of book, and the market has priced that in rather than overlooked it. The discount closes only if the returns themselves improve.

P/BV 0.7× vs a 0.9× long-run median P/BV, weekly (left axis); book value per share, quarterly steps drawn weekly (right axis). 1.1-year window. The book value / share bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
mid-range by its own standards (40th percentile)
P/BVMedianBook value / share (quarterly)
1.3×$7.61.1×$5.70.9×$3.80.7×$1.90.5×$0.0×$0.64×$7Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
1.3×$7.61.1×$5.70.9×$3.80.7×$1.90.5×$0.0×$0.64×$7Jul 25Jan 26Aug 26
PEG 1.94 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 19 quarters.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
2.0×1.7×1.5×1.2×0.9××1.94×Sep 21Sep 22Dec 23Dec 24Mar 26
2.0×1.7×1.5×1.2×0.9××1.94×Sep 21Dec 23Mar 26
P/BV
0.7×
40th percentile of 1y
PEG
n/m
3-year earnings growth is negative

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the book-value line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 12 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

ROE Trailing-twelve-month net profit as a share of quarter-end equity, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROE
−22%−31%−41%−50%−60%%−24.2%Jun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
−22%−31%−41%−50%−60%%−24.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
EPS growth
Falling
latest −622.7% · span −622.7% to +13.3%
ROE
Rising
latest −24.2% · span −57.1%–−24.2%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

No sector-relative score — Horizon Technology Finance Corporation is not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison for Asset Management.

The score is a rank WITHIN a peer set: every metric is scored by percentile against the other members. Without the peer set there is no score to state, so none is invented here.

05 · Revenue

Revenue For a bank, revenue is everything the franchise earns — interest on the loan book plus fees from its businesses.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation reported $−0.0 B of income in the Mar 26 quarter. The last full year, FY25, came in at $−0.1 B. The last four reported quarters add to $−0.0 B. A multi-year compound rate is not shown because the annual history behind it is too short to compute one honestly.

FY25 revenue came in at $−0.1 B (null on the year). The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $−0.0 B, null year on year.

FY25 revenue $−0.1 B (null YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Revenue
0.01−0.02−0.04−0.06−0.09$ B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
0.01−0.02−0.04−0.06−0.09$ B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $−0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)
0.020.01−0.01−0.02−0.03$ B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.020.01−0.01−0.02−0.03$ B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
06 · Net margin

Net margin Net margin — what the bank keeps of every $100 of revenue after every cost, provision and tax. With big fee businesses in the mix, it is the cleanest margin we can read for this bank.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's net margin is 200.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +33.3 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 4 fiscal years the net margin has ranged 162.5% to 300.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's net margin is 200.0%, +33.3 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 4 fiscal years the net margin has ranged 162.5%–300.0%.

Why: the numbers show the net margin move clearly, but the cost lines behind it sit below what we hold — so we state the move without inventing its driver.

FY25: 200.0% Net margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 4-year window.
within a 162.5–300.0% band over 4 years
net marginYoY change (pp)
311%73%271%17%231%−40%191%−97%152%−153%%%200%−20%FY22FY23FY25
311%73%271%17%231%−40%191%−97%152%−153%%%200%−20%FY22FY23FY25
Mar 26: 200.0% net margin (+33.3 pp YoY) Quarterly net margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Net profit as a share of total revenue, per quarter.
Net marginYoY change (pp)
216%77%158%39%100%0.0%42%−39%−16%−77%%%200%33.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
216%77%158%39%100%0.0%42%−39%−16%−77%%%200%33.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation posted a net loss of $0.02 B in the Mar 26 quarter. The full FY25 year was a loss of $0.1 B. That loss is 200.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.1 B. 11 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was $−0.0 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $−0.1 B (null).

FY25 profit $−0.1 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profit
0.01−0.03−0.06−0.10−0.14$ B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
0.01−0.03−0.06−0.10−0.14$ B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $−0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)
0.00−0.01−0.03−0.04−0.05$ B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.00−0.01−0.03−0.04−0.05$ B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
08 · Asset quality — the ladder

Asset quality — the ladder Gross NPA is the slice of the loan book where repayments have stopped. Net NPA is what remains after the money already set aside against those loans. Falling is healing; rising is damage arriving.

Loan-book quality history is not available for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation, so this section names the gap rather than estimating a ratio. No gross or net non-performing-asset series is filed in a form this page can read, and none is inferred from the profit line. The income, margin and return sections above carry the evidence this business does report.

We do not hold quarterly loan-book quality numbers for this bank, so this section states that plainly rather than working around it.

Why: loan-book quality is the engine room of a bank, and its drivers — slippages, recoveries, provisioning — sit below what we hold for this name; the sections around it carry the reads we can stand behind.

09 · The loan book

The loan book We read the loan book through revenue — when the book and the businesses grow, revenue grows with them. It is a rough proxy, and we say so: rate moves and fee swings can shift it a few points in any one year.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's revenue grew null in FY25 to $−0.1 B, so the book is flat. The net margin on that income is 200.0%, +33.3 percentage points against a year ago. Interest income is a proxy for the book; rate moves can shift it a few points in any one year.

FY25 revenue was $−0.1 B, null on the year, and the latest quarter ran null year on year. The net margin on that revenue is 200.0% this quarter (+33.3 pp YoY) — growth with a widening margin on it.

FY25: revenue $−0.1 B (null YoY) with the net margin at 200.0% Revenue by fiscal year, $ B (bars, left); net margin, % (line, right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
RevenueNet margin
0.01311%−0.02271%−0.04231%−0.06191%−0.09152%$ B%$−0B200%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
0.01311%−0.02271%−0.04231%−0.06191%−0.09152%$ B%$−0B200%FY21FY23FY25

The synthesis: a lender compounds when the book grows while the margin holds and the loan book stays clean — with quarterly loan-quality numbers missing here, revenue growth and margin are the two we watch.

10 · Returns on equity and assets

Returns on equity and assets Two numbers rate a bank: ROE — what it earns on shareholder money — and ROA — what it earns on everything it deploys. ROE above ~13–15% earns its keep; below that, growth builds book slowly.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation earns a return on equity of −31% in FY25. Its trough over the ladder below was −41% in FY23. On the asset side every $100 of the balance sheet earned about $6.08, which is the return before leverage is applied.

FY25 ROE came in at −31%, recovered from a FY23 trough of −41%. On assets, the latest reading is about 6.08% — every $100 the bank deploys earns roughly $6.08 a year. That return is below the bar a bank must clear to compound book value quickly — which is also the honest reason the stock trades where it does.

FY25: ROE −31% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line, left). 5-year window. Latest return on assets: 6.08%. A lender is judged on ROE and ROA — return on invested capital does not apply to a bank.
up from a FY23 trough of −41%
ROE
−9.7%−18%−26%−35%−43%%−31.3%FY21FY23FY25
−9.7%−18%−26%−35%−43%%−31.3%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: ROE −23.8% (TTM) Trailing-twelve-month return on equity (left), per quarter, %. Last 12 quarters, anchored to the annual figure.
ROE (TTM)
−22%−28%−34%−41%−47%%−23.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
−22%−28%−34%−41%−47%%−23.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why: the ROE ladder shows the move; the deposit-cost and provisioning drivers behind it sit below what we hold.

11 · Dividend

Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation paid $1.27 per share over the last four reported quarters, down 15.2% on a year ago. The most recent declaration was $0.28 for Mar 26. Against the current price of $4.5 that is a trailing yield of 27.91%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation paid $1.27 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.28 for Mar 26. That is down 15.2% against the same quarter a year earlier. Against the current price of $4.5 the trailing twelve months work out to 27.91% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.

Dividend per share by quarter Declared dividend per share, $ B, per reported quarter. 12 quarters on file.
latest $0.28 (Mar 26)
Dividend per share
0.40.30.20.10.0$ B$0BJun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
0.40.30.20.10.0$ B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
12 · Debt

Debt

For a bank, borrowings are raw material, not a warning sign — solvency is read through the returns and the loan book. A manufacturer’s debt is a claim against its profits, so the debt-to-equity lens that works everywhere else misleads on a lender and is not applied here.

A manufacturer’s debt is a claim against its profits; a bank’s borrowings are its inventory — money taken in to be lent out. The debt lens that works everywhere else misleads here, so this page does not apply it. The solvency questions for a bank — is the loan book sound, is the equity earning — are read through the loan-book and returns sections above.

13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

No ownership or positioning reading is held for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation, so this section names the gap rather than filling it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 4.7 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

We hold no ownership or positioning reading for this stock, so this section says that plainly.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation: the Z-score is omitted — it was built for manufacturers, not banks, and applying it here would be theatre. The Z-score was built for manufacturers and is not applied to banks and lenders, so solvency here is read from the capital and asset-quality lines instead.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is omitted — it was built for manufacturers, not banks, and applying it here would be theatre.

15 · Related companies

No sector comparison is shown here — not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's stock price today?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation trades at $4.5, −40.8% over the past year. The company is valued at $0.0 B. The stock sits at 21% of its 52-week range of $4–$7, −15.1% versus its 200-day average. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 2 weeks. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's latest quarterly results?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation reported total income of $−0.0 B and a net loss of $0.0 B for the Mar 26 quarter. The net margin was 200.0%, 33.3 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's revenue?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation reported revenue of $−0.0 B in the Mar 26 quarter. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $−0.1 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's profit?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation earned $−0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $−0.1 B. The net margin ran 200.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's market cap?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's market capitalisation is $0.0 B at a stock price of $4.5. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's P/BV ratio?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation trades at a P/BV of 0.7×, at the 40th percentile of its own 1-year range, against a long-run median of 0.9×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Horizon Technology Finance Corporation pay a dividend?

Yes — Horizon Technology Finance Corporation declared $0.28 per share for Mar 26, and $1.27 per share across the last four reported quarters. The latest quarter is down 15.2% on the same quarter a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's dividend per share?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's most recently declared dividend is $0.28 per share for Mar 26, giving $1.27 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's dividend yield?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's trailing dividend yield is 27.91%: $1.27 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $4.5. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation overvalued?

On its own history, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation looks mid-range against its own history: its P/BV of 0.7× sits at the 40th percentile of its 1-year range (long-run median 0.9×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation performing?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's latest readings are below. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 2 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Horizon Technology Finance Corporation is currently behind the S&P 500 (2 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-24), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.1 years the stock moved −45% against the S&P 500's +24% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation. What it measures instead: the stock price is $4.5. Its P/BV of 0.7× sits at the 40th percentile of its own 1-year range. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's loan book healthy?

We do not hold quarterly loan-book quality numbers for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation, so this page says that plainly. The cleanest available reads are revenue growth and the net margin on it (200.0%) — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation in its business cycle?

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's FY25 net margin was 200.0%, against a 4-year band of 162.5%–300.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 200.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Horizon Technology Finance Corporation story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Horizon Technology Finance Corporation a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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