Sector Alpha Week of 2026-08-05
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-08-05

Black Hills Corporation

BKH
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Black Hills Corporation's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the P/E sits at the 79th percentile of its own range — the multiple has already done part of the work.

The price is in a confirmed uptrend (1 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 79th percentile of its own 4-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read deteriorating — profit −7.1% year on year, and 271% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Stage
Turning around
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
$72.2
+24.9% 1Y
P/E
18.6×
79th pctile
of its own 4-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.8 B
−3.7% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
$0.1 B
−7.1% YoY
Operating margin
25.6%
+0.9 pp YoY
ROE
8%
FY25
ROIC
4.0%
vs WACC 6.1% → −2.1 pp
Cash conversion
271%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Black Hills Corporation trades at $72.2, in a confirmed uptrend and 1 weeks into that stage. That is +0.5% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 78% of a 52-week range of $59 to $76. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (16 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 1 of stage 2. At $72.2 it trades +0.5% versus its 200-day average and sits at 78% of its 52-week range ($59–$76).

Aug 26: $72.2 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
+0.5% versus the 200-day line, week 1 of stage 2
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4S3S2S1S2$78.3$70.2$62.2$54.1$46.1$$72$72Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Aug 26
S4S3S2S1S2$78.3$70.2$62.2$54.1$46.1$$72$72Jul 23Jan 25Aug 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (527 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 16Aug 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +15% while the S&P 500 moved +263% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (16 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-04-17) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Black Hills Corporation trades at 18.6× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (79th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 17.1×, measured across 4.3 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 18.6× is at the pricey end of its own range (79th percentile), against a long-run median of 17.1× measured over 4.3 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 18.6× vs a 17.1× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 4.3-year window; loss-period spikes above 25× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
at the pricey end of its own range (79th percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
26.3×$5.022.3×$3.718.3×$2.514.2×$1.210.2×$0.0×$16.84×$4Apr 22Apr 23May 24Jul 25Aug 26
26.3×$5.022.3×$3.718.3×$2.514.2×$1.210.2×$0.0×$16.84×$4Apr 22May 24Aug 26
PEG 2.63 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 19 quarters; values above 6 pinned at the top.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
6.4×5.0×3.5×2.0×0.6××2.63×Sep 21Sep 22Dec 23Dec 24Mar 26
6.4×5.0×3.5×2.0×0.6××2.63×Sep 21Dec 23Mar 26
P/E
18.6×
79th percentile of 4y
PEG
2.38
as reported

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +1.8% against a +24.9% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +8.3%/yr price move, ~+4.8%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+3.5 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: Turning around

Stage: Turning around Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Black Hills Corporation reads as turning around on its fundamental arc. Turning around — EPS growth swung from −14.7% at the trough to +25.8% off a 1-quarter-old trough, ROCE holding at 6.0%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +8.5% in FY25, profit +7.1% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
34%23%23%13%11%3.6%0.0%−6.1%−12%−16%%%8.5%7.1%FY21FY23FY25
34%23%23%13%11%3.6%0.0%−6.1%−12%−16%%%8.5%7.1%FY21FY23FY25
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue accelerating, profit accelerating
RevenueProfitEPS
31%50%16%27%0.0%5.1%−15%−17%−30%−39%%%26.8%43.5%25.8%Sep 22Mar 24Mar 26
31%50%16%27%0.0%5.1%−15%−17%−30%−39%%%26.8%43.5%25.8%Sep 22Mar 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
6.4%6.0%5.5%5.0%4.6%%6%Sep 22Mar 23Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
6.4%6.0%5.5%5.0%4.6%%6%Sep 22Mar 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Rising
latest +26.8% · span −26.1% to +26.8%
Profit growth
Rising
latest +43.5% · span −33.3% to +43.5%
EPS growth
Recovering
latest +25.8% · span −33.1% to +25.8%
ROCE
Stuck low
latest 6.0% · span 4.7%–6.3%

Why it matters: growth inflections are where re-ratings start — the curves say a turn is forming, so the question becomes whether the next quarters confirm it.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+8.5%−3.2%
Profit+7.1%+3.6%
EPS+1.8%+7.0%
Stock price+24.9%+8.3%+0.6%+1.7%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
−3.7%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Mar 26)
−7.1%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
4.3%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

48.6/100 — rank 8 of 16 in Utilities - Regulated Gas · 72% evidence confidence

Black Hills Corporation scores 48.6 out of 100 against the 16 companies it is compared with in Utilities - Regulated Gas, ranking 8. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 14.4 + 10.3 + 12.8 + 11.1 = 48.6. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Black Hills Corporation reported $0.8 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −3.7% year on year. Over 4 years it has compounded at 4.3% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $2.3 B. The last four reported quarters add to $2.5 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $2.3 B (+8.5% on the year), capping 4 years at 4.3% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.8 B, −3.7% year on year.

FY25 revenue $2.3 B (+8.5% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
4.3% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
2.834%2.123%1.411%0.70.0%0.0−12%$ B%$2B8.5%FY21FY23FY25
2.834%2.123%1.411%0.70.0%0.0−12%$ B%$2B8.5%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.8 B (−3.7% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.046%0.728%0.510%0.2−7.7%0.0−26%$ B%$1B−3.7%Sep 22Mar 24Mar 26
1.046%0.728%0.510%0.2−7.7%0.0−26%$ B%$1B−3.7%Sep 22Mar 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +6.2% growth against the decade's 4.3% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +26.8% over the last 4 quarters against −2.4%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit +43.5% vs +10.6%/yr — accelerating.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Black Hills Corporation's operating margin is 25.6% in the Mar 26 quarter, +0.9 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across the last four quarters the operating margin has moved +5.6 percentage points. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 18.0% to 23.5%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 25.6%, +0.9 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 18.0%–23.5%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +5.6 pp year on year while gross margin went −2.8 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY25: 23.4% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a 18.0–23.5% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
24%3.8%22%2.0%21%0.1%19%−1.7%18%−3.5%%%23.4%−0.1%FY21FY23FY25
24%3.8%22%2.0%21%0.1%19%−1.7%18%−3.5%%%23.4%−0.1%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: 25.6% operating margin (+0.9 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
27%8.6%24%4.6%20%0.6%17%−3.4%14%−7.4%%%25.6%0.9%Sep 22Mar 24Mar 26
27%8.6%24%4.6%20%0.6%17%−3.4%14%−7.4%%%25.6%0.9%Sep 22Mar 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Black Hills Corporation earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −7.1% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.3 B. The 4-year compound rate is 4.7%. That is 16.7% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B.

Mar 26 profit was $0.1 B, −7.1% year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $0.3 B (+7.1%), and the 4-year compound rate is 4.7%.

FY25 profit $0.3 B (+7.1% YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
4.7% a year over 4 years
Net profitYoY growth
0.328.6%0.246.3%0.164.0%0.081.7%0.00−0.6%$ B%$0B7.1%FY21FY23FY25
0.328.6%0.246.3%0.164.0%0.081.7%0.00−0.6%$ B%$0B7.1%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.1 B (−7.1% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.1557%0.1131%0.085.0%0.04−21%0.00−47%$ B%$0B−7.1%Sep 22Mar 24Mar 26
0.1557%0.1131%0.085.0%0.04−21%0.00−47%$ B%$0B−7.1%Sep 22Mar 24Mar 26

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed −3.7% and the margin +0.9 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +12.7% vs revenue +6.2%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra dollar of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 271% of Black Hills Corporation's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was $0.7 B of operating cash against $0.3 B of profit. After $0.8 B of capital spending, $−0.1 B was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of $0.7 B against reported profit of $0.3 B, leaving free cash of $−0.1 B after $0.8 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 271% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $0.7 B vs profit $0.3 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
271% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
1.10.60.1−0.4−0.9$ B$1B$0B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
1.10.60.1−0.4−0.9$ B$1B$0B$−0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: operating cash $0.2 B = 138% of the quarter's profit Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.301,234%0.23930%0.15625%0.08321%0.0016%$ B%$0B138%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.301,234%0.23930%0.15625%0.08321%0.0016%$ B%$0B138%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Black Hills Corporation does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $2.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 28.9% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $2.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.8 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.90.70.40.20.0$ B$1BFY21FY23FY25
0.90.70.40.20.0$ B$1BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: capex $0.3 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.290.150.220.080.150.010.07−0.050.00−0.12$ B$ B$0B$−0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.290.150.220.080.150.010.07−0.050.00−0.12$ B$ B$0B$−0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Black Hills Corporation earns a ROE of 8% in FY25. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −2.1 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 13.0% net margin on 0.21× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is 8%.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 13.0% net margin × 0.21× asset turns × 2.78× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 7.6% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 4.0% − 6.1% = a −2.1 pp spread. The 6.1% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY25: ROE 8% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 6.1% cost of capital used on this page.
the full ladder
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
9.0%8.0%7.1%6.2%5.2%%7.7%5.7%FY21FY23FY25
9.0%8.0%7.1%6.2%5.2%%7.7%5.7%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: ROIC 5.6% (TTM) vs WACC 6.1% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
9.4%8.3%7.3%6.3%5.2%%5.6%7.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
9.4%8.3%7.3%6.3%5.2%%5.6%7.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
11 · Dividend

Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.

Black Hills Corporation paid $2.73 per share over the last four reported quarters, up 4.0% on a year ago. The most recent declaration was $0.70 for Mar 26. Against the current price of $72.2 that is a trailing yield of 3.78%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.

Black Hills Corporation paid $2.73 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.70 for Mar 26. That is up 4.0% against the same quarter a year earlier. Against the current price of $72.2 the trailing twelve months work out to 3.78% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.

Dividend per share by quarter Declared dividend per share, $ B, per reported quarter. 12 quarters on file.
latest $0.70 (Mar 26)
Dividend per share
0.80.60.40.20.0$ B$1BSep 22Mar 23Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
0.80.60.40.20.0$ B$1BSep 22Mar 24Mar 26
12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Black Hills Corporation carries total debt of $4.7 B against shareholder equity of $4.0 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 1.15. On the annual view that ratio went from 1.57 in FY21 to 1.20 in FY25. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of $4.7 B against shareholder equity of $4.0 B — a debt-to-equity of 1.15. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 1.57 (FY21) to 1.20 (FY25). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY25: debt $4.7 B at 1.20× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
5.11.6×3.81.5×2.51.4×1.31.3×0.01.2×$ B×$5B1.20×FY21FY23FY25
5.11.6×3.81.5×2.51.4×1.31.3×0.01.2×$ B×$5B1.20×FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: debt $4.7 B, debt-to-equity 1.15 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
5.31.5×4.01.4×2.71.3×1.31.2×0.01.1×$ B×$5B1.15×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
5.31.5×4.01.4×2.71.3×1.31.2×0.01.1×$ B×$5B1.15×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

12.5% of Black Hills Corporation's tradable float is currently sold short — a large bloc is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 10.7 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 12.5% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 10.7 days to buy those positions back. A large bloc is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
12.5%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
10.7
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Black Hills Corporation: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

15 · Related companies · Utilities - Regulated Gas
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1UGI CorporationUGI 60.8/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence TURNING 20.2/35 Revenue 0.6% · PAT 20.3% · OPM change 2 pp 95% evidence 12.7/25 ROCE 5.2% · OPM 26.8% 76% evidence 14.9/20 P/E 12.6× · PEG 0.75 65% evidence 13.0/20 RS sector -0.1% · RS bench -9.6% · 1Y 3.2%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.2 + 12.7 + 14.9 + 13 = 60.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
2Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.SWX 59.4/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence BASING 22.6/35 Revenue -11.9% · PAT 100% · OPM change 8.9 pp 95% evidence 10.3/25 ROCE 2.2% · OPM 37.5% 76% evidence 11.1/20 P/E 12.6× · PEG 1.47 65% evidence 15.4/20 RS sector 4.2% · RS bench -5.7% · 1Y 13.5%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 22.6 + 10.3 + 11.1 + 15.4 = 59.4 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3Chesapeake Utilities CorporationCPK 58.7/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence TURNING 20.6/35 Revenue 17.3% · PAT 19.4% · OPM change -0.9 pp 95% evidence 13.2/25 ROCE 2.9% · OPM 28.2% 76% evidence 10.3/20 P/E 20.3× · PEG 1.32 65% evidence 14.6/20 RS sector 2.1% · RS bench -7.5% · 1Y 7.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 20.6 + 13.2 + 10.3 + 14.6 = 58.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
4New Jersey Resources CorporationNJR 57.0/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence ASLEEP 11.7/35 Revenue 5.1% · PAT -17.6% · OPM change 1.3 pp 95% evidence 14.3/25 ROCE 4.4% · OPM 32% 76% evidence 12.8/20 P/E 16.3× · PEG 1.06 65% evidence 18.2/20 RS sector 10.5% · RS bench 0.1% · 1Y 22.2%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 11.7 + 14.3 + 12.8 + 18.2 = 57 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is 0.1%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
5Atmos Energy CorporationATO 53.1/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence BASING 24.1/35 Revenue 8.8% · PAT 18.3% · OPM change 6.8 pp 95% evidence 13.7/25 ROCE 2.8% · OPM 39% 76% evidence 8.1/20 P/E 22.7× · PEG 1.7 65% evidence 7.2/20 RS sector -2.1% · RS bench -11.4% · 1Y 5.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 24.1 + 13.7 + 8.1 + 7.2 = 53.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
6Northwest Natural Holding CompanyNWN 50.2/100Mixed-positive evidence85% evidence ASLEEP 16.1/35 Revenue 5.8% · PAT 18.4% · OPM change 2 pp 95% evidence 12.2/25 ROCE 3% · OPM 33.2% 76% evidence 11.8/20 P/E 18.2× · PEG 1.12 65% evidence 10.1/20 RS sector 0.1% · RS bench -9.5% · 1Y 21.9%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16.1 + 12.2 + 11.8 + 10.1 = 50.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
7Suburban Propane Partners, L.P.SPH 48.9/100Mixed-negative evidence79% evidence BASING 14.7/35 Revenue -2.3% · PAT 42.5% · OPM change 1.6 pp 95% evidence 12.8/25 ROCE 7.3% · OPM 28.6% 76% evidence 16.0/20 P/E 10.2× · PEG 0.27 65% evidence 5.4/20 RS sector -5% · RS bench -14% · 1Y 2.1%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 14.7 + 12.8 + 16 + 5.4 = 48.9 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
8Black Hills Corporationthis pageBKH 48.6/100Mixed-negative evidence72% evidence ASLEEP 14.4/35 Revenue — · PAT 3.1% · OPM change 0.4 pp 57% evidence 10.3/25 ROCE 2.2% · OPM 25.9% 76% evidence 12.8/20 P/E 18.2× · PEG 0.96 65% evidence 11.1/20 RS sector 2.6% · RS bench -7.1% · 1Y 18.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.4 + 10.3 + 12.8 + 11.1 = 48.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
9Spire Inc.SR 47.7/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence BASING 18.6/35 Revenue 7.9% · PAT 27.3% · OPM change 1.3 pp 95% evidence 11.0/25 ROCE 2.9% · OPM 29.8% 76% evidence 15.0/20 P/E 15.9× · PEG 0.4 65% evidence 3.1/20 RS sector -6.6% · RS bench -15.6% · 1Y 4.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 18.6 + 11 + 15 + 3.1 = 47.7 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
10Brookfield Infrastructure CorporationBIPC 45.8/100Thin evidence · provisional56% evidence BASING 14.4/35 Revenue -1.9% · PAT — · OPM change — 52% evidence 13.9/25 ROCE 13.5% · OPM — 61% evidence 11.5/20 P/E -31.4× · PEG — 15% evidence 6.0/20 RS sector -7% · RS bench -15.9% · 1Y 1.6%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.4 + 13.9 + 11.5 + 6 = 45.8 · Decision use: Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.
11RGC Resources, Inc.RGCO 45.0/100Mixed-negative evidence79% evidence ASLEEP 18.4/35 Revenue 17.8% · PAT 15.4% · OPM change -3.7 pp 95% evidence 12.2/25 ROCE 3.9% · OPM 24.8% 76% evidence 5.6/20 P/E 16.5× · PEG 2.87 65% evidence 8.8/20 RS sector -0.9% · RS bench -10.1% · 1Y 4.7%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 18.4 + 12.2 + 5.6 + 8.8 = 45 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
12MDU Resources Group, Inc.MDU 43.8/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence ASLEEP 14.2/35 Revenue -2.1% · PAT 0.5% · OPM change 2.4 pp 95% evidence 9.0/25 ROCE 1.7% · OPM 19.1% 76% evidence 14.3/20 P/E 22.5× · PEG 0.23 65% evidence 6.3/20 RS sector -0.8% · RS bench -10.2% · 1Y 21.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 14.2 + 9 + 14.3 + 6.3 = 43.8 · Decision use: Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
13NiSource Inc.NI 41.1/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence BASING 15.5/35 Revenue 15% · PAT 7.3% · OPM change -0.1 pp 95% evidence 12.8/25 ROCE 2.7% · OPM 34.7% 76% evidence 5.2/20 P/E 23.2× · PEG 2.68 65% evidence 7.6/20 RS sector -1.2% · RS bench -10.5% · 1Y 5.3%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 15.5 + 12.8 + 5.2 + 7.6 = 41.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
14OPAL Fuels Inc.OPAL 40.0/100Mixed-negative evidence69% evidence TURNING 13.7/35 Revenue 5% · PAT 93.3% · OPM change -4.3 pp 95% evidence 4.4/25 ROCE -0.6% · OPM -6.6% 76% evidence 8.5/20 P/E 252× · PEG — 15% evidence 13.4/20 RS sector 3% · RS bench -6.6% · 1Y 8.6%0 of 12 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 13.7 + 4.4 + 8.5 + 13.4 = 40 · Decision use: Price leads the evidence: RS versus the benchmark is -6.6%, but earnings trajectory is weak. Wait for revenue and profit confirmation.
15ONE Gas, Inc.OGS 36.3/100Mixed-negative evidence85% evidence BASING 17.4/35 Revenue 2.8% · PAT 12.8% · OPM change 3.5 pp 95% evidence 10.7/25 ROCE 2.6% · OPM 22.8% 76% evidence 5.5/20 P/E 19.4× · PEG 2.78 65% evidence 2.7/20 RS sector -5.4% · RS bench -14.5% · 1Y 2.8%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 17.4 + 10.7 + 5.5 + 2.7 = 36.3 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
16Centuri Holdings, Inc.CTRI 36.0/100Mixed-negative evidence67% evidence ASLEEP 23.1/35 Revenue 18.7% · PAT — · OPM change 1.6 pp 71% evidence 4.2/25 ROCE -0.3% · OPM -0.7% 76% evidence 8.7/20 P/E 86.4× · PEG — 15% evidence 0.0/20 RS sector -18.5% · RS bench -26.4% · 1Y 9.5%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 23.1 + 4.2 + 8.7 + 0 = 36 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -18.5% and the one-year return is 9.5%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led S&P 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led S&P 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

16 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Black Hills Corporation's stock price today?

Black Hills Corporation trades at $72.2, +24.9% over the past year. The company is valued at $5.0 B. The stock sits at 78% of its 52-week range of $59–$76, +0.5% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 1 weeks in. — as of 5 August 2026.

What were Black Hills Corporation's latest quarterly results?

Black Hills Corporation reported revenue of $0.8 B and net profit of $0.1 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue fell 3.7% and profit fell 7.1% year on year. Earnings per share were $1.73. The operating margin was 25.6%, 0.9 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Hills Corporation's revenue?

Black Hills Corporation reported revenue of $0.8 B in the Mar 26 quarter, −3.7% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $2.3 B (+8.5%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 4.3% a year. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Hills Corporation's profit?

Black Hills Corporation earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −7.1% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.3 B. The operating margin ran 25.6% in the latest quarter. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Hills Corporation's market cap?

Black Hills Corporation's market capitalisation is $5.0 B at a stock price of $72.2. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Hills Corporation's P/E ratio?

Black Hills Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.6×, at the 79th percentile of its own 4-year range, against a long-run median of 17.1×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Black Hills Corporation pay a dividend?

Yes — Black Hills Corporation declared $0.70 per share for Mar 26, and $2.73 per share across the last four reported quarters. The latest quarter is up 4.0% on the same quarter a year earlier. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Hills Corporation's dividend per share?

Black Hills Corporation's most recently declared dividend is $0.70 per share for Mar 26, giving $2.73 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Hills Corporation's dividend yield?

Black Hills Corporation's trailing dividend yield is 3.78%: $2.73 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $72.2. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Black Hills Corporation overvalued?

On its own history, Black Hills Corporation looks expensive against its own history: its P/E of 18.6× sits at the 79th percentile of its 4-year range (long-run median 17.1×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Black Hills Corporation growing?

Not right now — Black Hills Corporation's latest numbers are shrinking: latest-quarter revenue −3.7% year on year, profit −7.1%, and the margin +0.9 pp at 25.6%. The 4-year compound rates are 4.3% (revenue) and 4.7% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: deteriorating — as of 5 August 2026.

How is Black Hills Corporation performing?

Black Hills Corporation is in a confirmed uptrend, 1 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue fell 3.7% and profit fell 7.1% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 16 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 5 August 2026.

What stage is Black Hills Corporation in?

Turning around — EPS growth swung from −14.7% at the trough to +25.8% off a 1-quarter-old trough, ROCE holding at 6.0%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +26.8% latest, profit growth +43.5% latest, eps growth +25.8% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Black Hills Corporation in an uptrend?

Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 1 of stage 2), trading +0.5% versus its 200-day average and at 78% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Black Hills Corporation beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Black Hills Corporation is currently behind the S&P 500 (16 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-04-17), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +15% against the S&P 500's +263% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 5 August 2026.

Will Black Hills Corporation's stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Black Hills Corporation. What it measures instead: the stock price is $72.2, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 1 weeks in. Its P/E of 18.6× sits at the 79th percentile of its own 4-year range. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is the market betting against Black Hills Corporation?

Yes — short interest is 12.5% of Black Hills Corporation's tradable float, about 10.7 days to cover at typical volumes. A crowded short: a large bloc is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 5 August 2026.

Does Black Hills Corporation have too much debt?

It carries real leverage — Black Hills Corporation's debt-to-equity is 1.16. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Hills Corporation's capex?

Black Hills Corporation spent $2.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.8 B. — as of 5 August 2026.

What is Black Hills Corporation's cash flow?

Black Hills Corporation generated $0.7 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $−0.1 B of free cash flow after $0.8 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.3 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Black Hills Corporation's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 271% of Black Hills Corporation's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY25, operating cash was $0.7 B against reported profit of $0.3 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 5 August 2026.

Where is Black Hills Corporation in its business cycle?

Black Hills Corporation's FY25 operating margin was 23.4%, against a 5-year band of 18.0%–23.5%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 25.6%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 5 August 2026.

What could break the Black Hills Corporation story?

Biggest watch item: the P/E sits at the 79th percentile of its own range — the multiple has already done part of the work. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 5 August 2026.

Is Black Hills Corporation a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Black Hills Corporation's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 5 August 2026.

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