Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-31
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-31

Va Tech Wabag Ltd

WABAG
Water Treatment

Va Tech Wabag Ltd is strength at full price. The numbers are improving — and a P/E at the 87th percentile of its own range says the market knows.

The sharpest disagreement: the engine is strong, but at the 87th percentile of its own range you are paying full price for it.

The price is in a confirmed uptrend (11 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 87th percentile of its own 10-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +28.0% year on year, and 76% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the earnings grow into the multiple.

Stage
Consistent
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
₹1,977
+25.6% 1Y
P/E
33.0×
87th pctile
of its own 10-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
₹1,414 Cr
+22.3% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
₹128 Cr
+28.0% YoY
Operating margin
11.0%
−1.0 pp YoY
ROCE
21%
FY26
ROIC
20.3%
vs WACC 12.0% → +8.3 pp
Cash conversion
76%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Va Tech Wabag Ltd trades at ₹1,977, in a confirmed uptrend and 11 weeks into that stage. That is +26.3% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 79% of a 52-week range of ₹1,061 to ₹2,221. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 27 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 11 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹1,977 it trades +26.3% versus its 200-day average and sits at 79% of its 52-week range (₹1,061–₹2,221).

Jul 26: ₹1,977 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
+26.3% versus the 200-day line, week 11 of stage 2
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S2S3S2S4S2₹2,368₹1,837₹1,306₹776₹245₹1,977₹1,565Jul 23May 24Feb 25Nov 25Jul 26
S2S3S2S4S2₹2,368₹1,837₹1,306₹776₹245₹1,977₹1,565Jul 23Feb 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (549 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Mar 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +280% while the NIFTY 500 moved +276% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 27 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Va Tech Wabag Ltd trades at 33.0× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (87th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 17.0×, measured across 10.4 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 33.0× is at the pricey end of its own range (87th percentile), against a long-run median of 17.0× measured over 10.4 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 33.0× vs a 17.0× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 10.4-year window; loss-period spikes above 40× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
at the pricey end of its own range (87th percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
42.7×₹65.032.5×₹48.722.3×₹32.512.0×₹16.21.8×₹0.0×32.90×₹60Mar 16Oct 18Jun 21Jan 24Jul 26
42.7×₹65.032.5×₹48.722.3×₹32.512.0×₹16.21.8×₹0.0×32.90×₹60Mar 16Jun 21Jul 26
PEG 0.75 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 20 quarters.
below 1.0, the growth looks cheap against the multiple
PEGPEG = 1.0
1.6×1.4×1.2×0.9×0.7××0.75×Q1 FY22Q1 FY23Q2 FY24Q3 FY25Q4 FY26
1.6×1.4×1.2×0.9×0.7××0.75×Q1 FY22Q2 FY24Q4 FY26
P/E
33.0×
87th percentile of 10y
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +25.2% against a +25.6% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +39.8%/yr price move, ~+27.6%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+12.2 pp from the multiple (expanding); over 10y, of the +13.1%/yr price move, ~+12.2%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+0.9 pp from the multiple (roughly flat). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: Consistent

Stage: Consistent Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Va Tech Wabag Ltd reads as consistent on its fundamental arc. Consistent — profit and EPS growth have stayed positive through the window, with ROCE at 19.1% and holding. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Growth, year by year: revenue +19.7% in FY26, profit +25.4% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn. Turnaround-year spikes shown pinned (▲).
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
32%331%18%218%4.1%104%−9.6%−9.4%−23%−123%%%19.7%25.4%FY16FY21FY26
32%331%18%218%4.1%104%−9.6%−9.4%−23%−123%%%19.7%25.4%FY16FY21FY26
Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from · revenue stabilising, profit accelerating
RevenueProfitEPS
22%330%14%221%6.3%111%−1.6%0.0%−9.6%−108%%%19.7%25.4%25.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
22%330%14%221%6.3%111%−1.6%0.0%−9.6%−108%%%19.7%25.4%25.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
21%16%12%7.3%2.8%%19.1%Jun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
21%16%12%7.3%2.8%%19.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Flat
latest +19.7% · span −7.4% to +20.0%
Profit growth
Steady high
latest +25.4% · span −78.1% to +1,991.7%
EPS growth
Steady high
latest +25.3% · span −78.0% to +1,806.8%
ROCE
Steady high
latest 19.1% · span 4.0%–19.5%

Why it matters: steady curves with healthy returns are the compounding setup — the risk is the price, not the business.

Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+19.7%+10.0%+6.8%+4.6%
Profit+25.4%+222.8%+29.7%+15.2%
EPS+25.2%+205.3%+27.4%+13.8%
Share price+25.6%+55.7%+39.8%+13.1%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+22.3%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Mar 26)
+28.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
4.6%
long-run compound pace
04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

72.2/100 — rank 1 of 4 in Water Treatment · 97% evidence confidence

Va Tech Wabag Ltd scores 72.2 out of 100 against the 4 companies it is compared with in Water Treatment, ranking 1. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 21.7 + 20.6 + 10.4 + 19.5 = 72.2. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Va Tech Wabag Ltd reported ₹1,414 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +22.3% year on year. That is the 10th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 4.6% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹3,944 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹3,943 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹3,944 Cr (+19.7% on the year), capping 10 years at 4.6% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹1,414 Cr, +22.3% year on year — the 10th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹3,944 Cr (+19.7% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
4.6% a year over 10 years
RevenueYoY growth
4.3k32%3.2k18%2.1k4.1%1.1k−9.6%0−23%₹ Cr%₹3,94419.7%FY16FY21FY26
4.3k32%3.2k18%2.1k4.1%1.1k−9.6%0−23%₹ Cr%₹3,94419.7%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹1,414 Cr (+22.3% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
10th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.5k27%1.1k16%7645.6%382−4.9%0−15%₹ Cr%₹1,41422.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.5k27%1.1k16%7645.6%382−4.9%0−15%₹ Cr%₹1,41422.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +19.3% growth against the decade's 4.6% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +19.7% over the last 4 quarters against +17.5%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit +25.4% vs +21.4%/yr — accelerating.

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Va Tech Wabag Ltd's operating margin is 11.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −1.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 7.0% to 13.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 11.0%, −1.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 7.0%–13.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −1.1 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY26: 12.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 13-year window.
within a 7.0–13.0% band over 13 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
13%3.4%12%1.9%10%0.5%8.3%−0.9%6.5%−2.4%%%12%−1%FY14FY20FY26
13%3.4%12%1.9%10%0.5%8.3%−0.9%6.5%−2.4%%%12%−1%FY14FY20FY26
Mar 26: 11.0% operating margin (−1.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
14%3.4%13%1.9%12%0.5%11%−0.9%9.7%−2.4%%%11%−1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
14%3.4%13%1.9%12%0.5%11%−0.9%9.7%−2.4%%%11%−1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Va Tech Wabag Ltd earned ₹128 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +28.0% year on year. It is the 8th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹370 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 15.2%. That is 9.1% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹100 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹128 Cr, +28.0% year on year — the 8th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹370 Cr (+25.4%), and the 10-year compound rate is 15.2%.

FY26 profit ₹370 Cr (+25.4% YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
15.2% a year over 10 years
Net profitYoY growth
4002,354%3001,697%2001,041%100384%0−273%₹ Cr%₹37025.4%FY16FY21FY26
4002,354%3001,697%2001,041%100384%0−273%₹ Cr%₹37025.4%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹128 Cr (+28.0% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
8th straight quarter of growth
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
13871%10455%6938%3522%05.5%₹ Cr%₹12828%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
13871%10455%6938%3522%05.5%₹ Cr%₹12828%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +22.3% and the margin −1.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +24.9% vs revenue +19.3%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 76% of Va Tech Wabag Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — most of the profit is real cash. In FY26 that was ₹207 Cr of operating cash against ₹370 Cr of profit. After ₹5.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹202 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹207 Cr against reported profit of ₹370 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹202 Cr after ₹5.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 76% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹207 Cr vs profit ₹370 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 11-year window, annual resolution.
76% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
41824469−106−280₹ Cr₹207₹370₹202FY16FY21FY26
41824469−106−280₹ Cr₹207₹370₹202FY16FY21FY26
FY26: CFO = 56% of profit (three-year rate 76%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash; outlier years shown pinned.
Conversion100%
343%186%30%−127%−284%%56%FY16FY21FY26
343%186%30%−127%−284%%56%FY16FY21FY26

Why conversion sits at 76%: the cash cycle stretched 60 days between FY21 and FY26 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving.

Router verdict: conversion is below par and the cash cycle has stretched 60 days — the next section's job is to find where the cash is stuck.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Va Tech Wabag Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 234 days in FY26, up from 174 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹11.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹3,944 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹10.8 Cr, so roughly ₹2,528 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 234 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 234 days, looser than FY21's 174.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹3,944 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹10.8 Cr — so the 234-day loop keeps roughly ₹2,528 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a 234-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 13-year window.
+60 days vs FY21
Cash cycleDebtor days
263230196162129days234d234dFY14FY17FY20FY23FY26
263230196162129days234d234dFY14FY20FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹11.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹20.0 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹5.0 Cr, work-in-progress ₹0.0 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
steady investment
CapexWork-in-progress
213−16−35−53₹ Cr₹5₹0FY16FY18FY21FY23FY26
213−16−35−53₹ Cr₹5₹0FY16FY21FY26

The synthesis: the working-capital loop is the cash sink the router flagged — watch the cycle, not the P&L.

10 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Va Tech Wabag Ltd earns a ROCE of 21% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 11% in FY19. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +8.3 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 9.4% net margin on 0.64× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 21%, recovered from a FY19 trough of 11% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 9.4% net margin × 0.64× asset turns × 2.38× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 14.3% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 20.3% − 12.0% = a +8.3 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

FY26: ROCE 21% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 13-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY19's 11%
ROCEROIC (annual)WACC
22%19%16%13%10%%21%21.6%FY14FY20FY26
22%19%16%13%10%%21%21.6%FY14FY20FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 14.6% (TTM) vs WACC 12.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROCE and ROIC, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)ROIC (TTM)WACC
22%20%17%14%11%%14.6%20.3%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
22%20%17%14%11%%14.6%20.3%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
11 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Va Tech Wabag Ltd carries total debt of ₹228 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹2,574 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.09 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.29 in FY22 to 0.09 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹228 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹2,574 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.09. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.29 (FY22) to 0.09 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

FY26: debt ₹228 Cr at 0.09× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
4710.31×3530.25×2350.19×1180.13×00.07×₹ Cr×₹2280.09×FY22FY24FY26
4710.31×3530.25×2350.19×1180.13×00.07×₹ Cr×₹2280.09×FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: debt ₹228 Cr, debt-to-equity 0.09 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
4620.23×3470.19×2310.15×1160.12×00.08×₹ Cr×₹2280.09×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
4620.23×3470.19×2310.15×1160.12×00.08×₹ Cr×₹2280.09×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
12 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Foreign institutions added 6.7 points of Va Tech Wabag Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes foreign institutions to 18.3% of the company. Domestic institutions moved +1.3 points over the same window, to 6.3%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Foreign institutions: +6.7 points over 8 quarters to 18.3%; Domestic institutions: +1.3 points over 8 quarters to 6.3%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 19.1%. Note the structure: promoters hold under 20% — this is a widely-held company where institutions, not a family, set the direction.

Why the register moved: foreign institutions drove it (+6.7 points), alongside domestic institutions (+1.3 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters +0.0 pts from Mar 24 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 3 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
68%50%33%16%−1.8%%19.1%16.6%5.8%58.5%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
68%50%33%16%−1.8%%19.1%16.6%5.8%58.5%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
Foreign institutions added 6.7 points over 8 quarters Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 13 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
69%51%33%15%−3.0%%19.1%18.3%6.3%56.3%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
69%51%33%15%−3.0%%19.1%18.3%6.3%56.3%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
13 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Va Tech Wabag Ltd: the Z-score reads 3.19. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 3.19 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 3.19.

14 · Related companies · Water Treatment
CompanyScorePrice stageGrowth & earnings/35Capital efficiency/25Valuation/20Relative strength/20
1Va Tech Wabag Ltdthis pageWABAG 72.2/100Favorable setup97% evidence LEADER 21.7/35 Revenue 19.7% · PAT 25.4% · OPM change -1 pp 100% evidence 20.6/25 ROCE 21.3% · OPM 11% 100% evidence 10.4/20 P/E 33× · PEG 1.05 85% evidence 19.5/20 RS sector 16.7% · RS bench 32.9% · 1Y 21.7%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 21.7 + 20.6 + 10.4 + 19.5 = 72.2 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
2Welspun Enterprises LtdWELENT 50.1/100Mixed-positive evidence79% evidence LEADER 16.0/35 Revenue -2.2% · PAT 11% · OPM change 3 pp 95% evidence 17.8/25 ROCE 16.8% · OPM 20% 76% evidence 7.7/20 P/E 20.8× · PEG — 35% evidence 8.6/20 RS sector -1% · RS bench 13.7% · 1Y 19%11 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence
Exact sum: 16 + 17.8 + 7.7 + 8.6 = 50.1 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
3Jash Engineering LtdJASH 44.5/100Mixed-negative evidence91% evidence TURNING 8.3/35 Revenue 0.1% · PAT -12.6% · OPM change 4 pp 100% evidence 15.9/25 ROCE 17.7% · OPM 24% 100% evidence 12.3/20 P/E 41.8× · PEG 0.66 85% evidence 8.0/20 RS sector -14.1% · RS bench 10.5% · 1Y -12.1%8 of 11 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 8.3 + 15.9 + 12.3 + 8 = 44.5 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
4Ion Exchange (India) LtdIONEXCHANG 26.6/100Adverse evidence91% evidence TURNING 5.3/35 Revenue 6.4% · PAT -31.6% · OPM change -7.7 pp 100% evidence 9.2/25 ROCE 14.1% · OPM 2.3% 100% evidence 2.6/20 P/E 40× · PEG 6.32 85% evidence 9.5/20 RS sector -3.4% · RS bench 7.3% · 1Y -9.7%3 of 10 weeks ahead 70% evidence
Exact sum: 5.3 + 9.2 + 2.6 + 9.5 = 26.6 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.

15 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Va Tech Wabag Ltd's share price today?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd trades at ₹1,977, +25.6% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹12,341 Cr. The stock sits at 79% of its 52-week range of ₹1,061–₹2,221, +26.3% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 11 weeks in. — as of 31 July 2026.

What were Va Tech Wabag Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,414 Cr and net profit of ₹128 Cr for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 22.3% and profit rose 28.0% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹20.59. The operating margin was 11.0%, 1.0 pp lower than a year earlier. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Va Tech Wabag Ltd's revenue?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,414 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter, +22.3% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹3,944 Cr (+19.7%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at 4.6% a year. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Va Tech Wabag Ltd's profit?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd earned ₹128 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +28.0% year on year — the 8th straight quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹370 Cr. The operating margin ran 11.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Va Tech Wabag Ltd's market cap?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹12,341 Cr at a share price of ₹1,977. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Va Tech Wabag Ltd's P/E ratio?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd trades at a P/E of 33.0×, at the 87th percentile of its own 10-year range, against a long-run median of 17.0×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Va Tech Wabag Ltd pay a dividend?

Yes — Va Tech Wabag Ltd's dividend payout was 8% of profit in FY26, and it recorded a payout in 8 of its last 13 reported fiscal years. This page holds the payout ratio, not a per-share amount. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Va Tech Wabag Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, Va Tech Wabag Ltd looks expensive against its own history: its P/E of 33.0× sits at the 87th percentile of its 10-year range (long-run median 17.0×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Va Tech Wabag Ltd growing?

Yes — Va Tech Wabag Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +22.3% year on year, profit +28.0%, and the margin −1.0 pp at 11.0%. The 10-year compound rates are 4.6% (revenue) and 15.2% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 31 July 2026.

How is Va Tech Wabag Ltd performing?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd is in a confirmed uptrend, 11 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 22.3% and profit rose 28.0% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 27 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 31 July 2026.

What stage is Va Tech Wabag Ltd in?

Consistent — profit and EPS growth have stayed positive through the window, with ROCE at 19.1% and holding. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +19.7% latest, profit growth +25.4% latest, eps growth +25.3% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Va Tech Wabag Ltd in an uptrend?

Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 11 of stage 2), trading +26.3% versus its 200-day average and at 79% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Va Tech Wabag Ltd beating the market?

On recent form, yes — Va Tech Wabag Ltd has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 27 straight weeks, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +280% against the NIFTY 500's +276% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 31 July 2026.

Will Va Tech Wabag Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Va Tech Wabag Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹1,977, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 11 weeks in. Its P/E of 33.0× sits at the 87th percentile of its own 10-year range. — as of 31 July 2026.

Who owns Va Tech Wabag Ltd?

Promoters hold 19.1% of Va Tech Wabag Ltd, foreign institutions 18.3%, domestic institutions 6.3% and the public 56.3% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Foreign institutions added 6.7 points over 8 quarters. — as of 31 July 2026.

Does Va Tech Wabag Ltd have too much debt?

No — Va Tech Wabag Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.09, and operating profit covers the interest bill 7×. FY26 borrowings were ₹228 Cr against equity of ₹2,568 Cr. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Va Tech Wabag Ltd's capex?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd spent ₹11.0 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹5.0 Cr, with ₹0.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 31 July 2026.

What is Va Tech Wabag Ltd's cash flow?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd generated ₹207 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹202 Cr of free cash flow after ₹5.0 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹370 Cr, so operating cash ran behind profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Va Tech Wabag Ltd's profit real cash?

Mostly — over the last 3 fiscal years, 76% of Va Tech Wabag Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹207 Cr against reported profit of ₹370 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into the working-capital cycle. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 31 July 2026.

How financially safe is Va Tech Wabag Ltd?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 3.19 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That sits well clear of trouble. — as of 31 July 2026.

Where is Va Tech Wabag Ltd in its business cycle?

Va Tech Wabag Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 12.0%, against a 13-year band of 7.0%–13.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 11.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 31 July 2026.

What could break the Va Tech Wabag Ltd story?

The sharpest disagreement: the engine is strong, but at the 87th percentile of its own range you are paying full price for it. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 31 July 2026.

Is Va Tech Wabag Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Va Tech Wabag Ltd is strength at full price. The numbers are improving — and a P/E at the 87th percentile of its own range says the market knows. The sharpest open question: whether the earnings grow into the multiple. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 31 July 2026.

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