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Home›Stocks›Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd
MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India LtdExchanges
₹2,962+66.7% 1y

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (MCX) — share price & stock analysis

Profits have nearly tripled in two years, the market has pre-paid for the next leg.

STEADY GROWTH, FAIRLY PRICEDBeating NIFTY 500 for 154 weeks
STAGE 2 UPTRENDBEATING NIFTY 154W
COMPOUNDERMARGINS EXPANDINGNO REAL DEBTSALES MOMENTUM
DEEP CYCLICALAT PEAK
₹75,529 Cr
Market cap
56.7×
P/E
56.3%
ROE
70th pctile
vs own 10-yr valuation
By Sector Alpha Research · machine-compiled from Screener.in data · Updated 1 July 2026 · Sources: Screener.in company page, NSE quote · Not investment advice
The 30-second answer

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (MCX) trades at ₹2,962 as of 1 July 2026, up 67% over the past year — beating NIFTY 500 for 154 weeks. The machine reads this as steady growth, fairly priced: profits have nearly tripled in two years, the market has pre-paid for the next leg. It trades at a P/E of 56.7× (the 70th percentile of its own range); the price is in Stage 2 — advancing, 62 weeks in; the business cycle reads DEEP CYCLICAL / AT PEAK. Fundamentals-momentum score: 100/100 (all improving).

Data as of 1 July 2026 · every number traces to its Screener source column · not investment advice.

Key numbers
Market cap
₹75,529 Cr
P/E
56.7×
ROE
56.3%
vs own 10-yr valuation
70th pctile
Book value / share
₹112
EPS (TTM)
₹27.3
10-yr median P/E
43.5×
Revenue (FY26)
₹2,302 Cr
Profit after tax (FY26)
₹1,332 Cr
Weinstein stage
Stage 2 (62 weeks)
Data as of
1 July 2026
MOMENTUM OF THE FUNDAMENTALS
100/100
ALL IMPROVING
Levels: ROCE 71% — a high-quality engine · effectively no debt · margins at an all-time high
SalesUp 206% YoY — 10 straight growth quarters
MarginsOPM 55.0% → 74.8% in a year
ProfitUp 293% YoY
Cash generationOperating cash ₹950 Cr → ₹3,035 Cr
Balance sheetDebt is ₹0 per ₹100 of shareholders’ money
DEEP CYCLICAL
Trough
Recovery
Expansion
Peak

Profits swing violently in this business — margins swinging 62 points peak to trough. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.net_profit

Where the clock stands now: earnings sit at 100% of their historical range, margins are the best ever printed, and the market pays the expensive end of its range (70th percentile). That reads as AT PEAK — everything looks great at once — record earnings, top-of-band margins, a full price. That is exactly when cycles turn, and no one rings a bell.net_profit

5 of the 5 things we track are currently moving the right way — nearly everything is pulling in the same direction.

Where the levels actually stand: ROCE 71% — a high-quality engine; effectively no debt; margins at an all-time high. Momentum says which way things are moving; these say where they are.

Read this number for what it is: it measures the DIRECTION of change, not the quality of the business. A mediocre business getting better scores high here; a great one having a soft quarter scores low. Profit, sales and margins count double.

THE ONE CHART THAT MATTERS

The market has pre-paid for growth that hasn’t arrived yet

Since Jun 2016, the stock is up 1,368% while earnings per share grew 696%. The difference is re-rating — investors paying more for the same rupee of profit.pricettm_eps

That works until it doesn’t: from here, earnings have to do the lifting, because the multiple has already done its part.

Today’s P/E of 56.7× means the market is paying up — this is the expensive end of its own 10-year history (70th percentile).pe_ratio

Price, earnings per share, and the P/E the market pays₹ · ×valuation_history
01,0002,0003,000010.020.0₹ price₹ EPS₹2,962EPS ₹27P/E ×200med 44×57×Jun 16Nov 19Apr 23Jul 26
Data: Price, EPS and valuation (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodPrice (₹)EPS (TTM) (₹)P/E (×)
Jun 16192–56.0
Aug 161973.556.4
Oct 162593.574.0
Dec 162543.572.4
Mar 172233.563.7
May 172245.045.2
Jul 172184.746.5
Sep 172214.747.1
Nov 171934.444.2
Jan 181884.443.1
Mar 181623.842.9
May 181504.335.4
Jul 181604.336.9
Sep 181514.334.8
Nov 181404.630.4
Jan 191425.525.8
Mar 191615.529.3
May 191626.624.7
Aug 191617.222.5
Oct 191877.226.2
Dec 192288.626.6
Feb 202539.127.8
Apr 202009.121.9
Jun 202439.326.2
Aug 203329.833.9
Oct 203489.835.6
Dec 203419.336.8
Feb 213009.930.4
Apr 212929.929.5
Jun 213048.834.4
Aug 212988.236.5
Oct 213417.247.6
Dec 213177.244.2
Mar 222535.744.4
May 222545.744.5
Jul 222616.341.5
Sep 222536.340.0
Nov 223057.540.5
Jan 233217.542.6
Mar 232987.738.6
May 232705.835.1
Jul 233245.855.5
Sep 233575.071.5
Nov 23586––
Jan 24644––
Mar 24670––
May 24726–222.8
Aug 248666.8126.6
Oct 241,161–169.7
Dec 241,384–101.7
Feb 251,20020.159.7
Apr 251,08820.154.1
Jun 251,51222.068.8
Aug 251,630–63.7
Oct 251,86625.672.9
Dec 252,06127.375.5
Feb 262,341–63.7
Apr 262,542––
May 262,955–56.6
Jun 262,832–54.2
Jul 262,962–56.7

Price is the weekly close (₹). EPS is trailing-twelve-month profit per share, anchored on Screener's own snapshots; between snapshots it is filled from price ÷ P/E (an exact identity), and any fill straying more than 18% from the neighbouring snapshots is dropped rather than shown. The lower panel is the P/E — what the market pays per rupee of profit; the dotted line is its long-run median (43.5×).

WHERE THE PRICE IS IN ITS CYCLE

An uptrend that has held for 62 weeks

STAGE 2 · ADVANCING · 62 WEEKS

Every stock cycles through the same four seasons — a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Right now this one is in Stage 2: advancing, 62 weeks in, confirmed.stage

The price sits above its rising 200-day average (₹2,425 today) — trends like this persist more often than they reverse, which is why the system rides them instead of guessing the top.dma_200

Beating NIFTY 500 for 154 weeks — relative strength is the market’s live opinion, and right now it is on this stock’s side.rs_mansfield

What would end it: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the house exit rule — mechanical, no debates.dma_200

Weekly price with its 200-day and 50-day averages — stages shaded₹weinstein_stages
S4S201,0002,0003,000Price200-DMAStage 2 began · May 25Feb 16Aug 19Mar 23Jul 26
Data: Weekly price, moving averages and stage (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodPrice (₹)200-DMA (₹)50-DMA (₹)Stage
Feb 161541801644
May 161711761724
Aug 162011872012
Nov 162672072402
Jan 172402262472
Apr 172242282352
Jul 172192222174
Oct 172132202154
Dec 171822101964
Mar 181411881594
Jun 181621741594
Sep 181551691644
Nov 181471591464
Feb 191361521414
May 191661541592
Aug 191691591642
Nov 192371752002
Jan 202732052462
Apr 202222162242
Jul 202652272452
Oct 203492713232
Dec 203463003332
Mar 213213083152
Jun 213143083111
Sep 213193093093
Nov 213333293532
Feb 222803213084
May 222303002734
Aug 222582832664
Oct 223022732644
Jan 233152903062
Apr 232932912953
Jul 233192933021
Sep 234103143452
Dec 236334165632
Mar 246525366872
Jun 247266267422
Aug 241,0377218682
Nov 241,2399361,2012
Feb 251,0891,0581,1822
May 251,1341,0741,1343
Aug 251,5191,2901,5572
Oct 251,8011,4401,6692
Jan 262,4461,7152,0912
Apr 262,6692,0372,4462
Jun 262,8532,3692,8982
Jul 262,9622,4252,8852
THE LONG ARC

Profits are at an all-time high

Over 12 years, sales went from ₹341 Cr to ₹2,302 Cr (about 17% a year), and profit from ₹153 Cr to ₹1,332 Cr.revenuenet_profit

Margins widened 28.5 points along the way — growth with improving economics.operating_profit

Revenue by year₹ Crannual_results
01,0002,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Revenue by year
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)
FY14341
FY15222
FY16235
FY17259
FY18260
FY19300
FY20398
FY21391
FY22367
FY23514
FY24684
FY251,113
FY262,302
Profit by year₹ Crannual_results
05001,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Profit by year
PeriodProfit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY14153
FY15126
FY16115
FY17127
FY18108
FY19146
FY20236
FY21225
FY22143
FY23149
FY2483
FY25560
FY261,332
OPM % by year%annual_results
20.040.060.0FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: OPM % by year
PeriodOPM % (%)
FY1442.8
FY1539.6
FY1631.9
FY1730.9
FY1829.2
FY1931.3
FY2044.7
FY2147.3
FY2243.9
FY2328.2
FY249.2
FY2559.7
FY2671.3
CHAPTER 1 · THE ENGINE

Sales exploded 206% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years

Revenue — the money that comes in from customers, before any costs.

Mar 26 sales were ₹889 Cr, up 206% on the same quarter last year.revenue

That makes 10 quarters of growth in a row — this is a trend, not a blip.revenue

Quarterly sales₹ Crquarterly_results
0500YoY %+60+73+57+61+59+31+121+206Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly sales
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 23146–
Sep 23165–
Dec 23192–
Mar 24181–
Jun 2423460.3
Sep 2428673.3
Dec 2430156.8
Mar 2529160.8
Jun 2537359.4
Sep 2537430.8
Dec 25666121.3
Mar 26889205.5
WATCH →If quarterly growth slips below 103%, the story weakens.
CHAPTER 2 · THE TAKE

Margins are widening — 55% → 75% in a year

Margins — the share of every ₹100 of sales kept as profit. Gross (after raw materials), operating (after running costs), net (after everything).

Of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹74.8 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹55.0).opm_pct

Zoom out and this is the page's quiet hero: annual operating margin bottomed at 9.2% in FY24 and has been rebuilt to 71.3% — that recovery, not sales alone, is what powers the profit growth elsewhere on this page.operating_profit

The gross margin barely moved (100% → 100%), so the change came from running costs — the business is getting more efficient as it scales.gpm_pctopm_pct

Three margins, quarterly%margin_trends
0.050.0100.0GrossOperatingNetJun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Three margins, quarterly
PeriodGross (%)Operating (%)Net (%)
Jun 231006.513.5
Sep 23100-18.0-11.6
Dec 23100-10.9-2.8
Mar 2410056.348.5
Jun 2410056.647.3
Sep 2410062.853.8
Dec 2410064.153.1
Mar 2510055.046.5
Jun 2510064.654.4
Sep 2510064.752.8
Dec 2510074.260.3
Mar 2610074.859.6
WATCH →Two consecutive quarters of margin decline would break this trend.
CHAPTER 3 · THE BOTTOM LINE

Profit exploded 293% — mostly from selling more

PAT (profit after tax) — what is left for shareholders after every cost, interest and tax.

Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹530 Cr, up 293% year on year.net_profit

Quarterly profit after tax₹ Crquarterly_results
0200400YoY %+455+911+3,300+53+83+28+151+293Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly profit after tax
PeriodPAT (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 2320.0–
Sep 23-19.0–
Dec 23-5.0–
Mar 2488.0–
Jun 24111455.0
Sep 24154910.5
Dec 241603,300.0
Mar 2513553.4
Jun 2520382.9
Sep 2519727.9
Dec 25401150.6
Mar 26530292.6
Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)₹ Cr
135+329+176+6+3−119530PAT Mar 25More salesFattermarginsOther incomeDepreciationTaxPAT Mar 26

The single biggest driver was selling more.

Data: Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)
ComponentEffect (₹ Cr)
PAT Mar 25135
More sales+329
Fatter margins+176
Other income+6
Depreciation+3
Tax−119
PAT Mar 26530
CHAPTER 4 · THE ACID TEST

The profits are real — they turn into cash

Operating cash flow (CFO) — the cash that actually arrived, vs PAT, the profit accounting reports. Annual figures.

Over the last 5 profitable years, the business reported ₹2,267 Cr of profit and collected ₹4,959 Cr of operating cash — about 219% conversion.operating_cash_flownet_profit

When cash tracks profit this closely, the earnings need no asterisk.

Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)₹ Crcash_flow
01,0002,0003,000Operating cash flowProfit after taxFY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)
PeriodOperating cash flow (₹ Cr)Profit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY1438.0153
FY1570.0126
FY1678.0115
FY17-32.0127
FY1899.0108
FY19258146
FY20449236
FY21-184225
FY22391143
FY23141149
FY2444283.0
FY25950560
FY263,0351,332
CHAPTER 5 · THE PIPELINE

The cash cycle is stable

Working capital — days of sales locked up in inventory and unpaid bills. Screener reports this yearly, so this chart is annual.

One rupee now takes about 10 days to go out the door as materials and come back as collected cash.cash_conversion_cycle

Days of cash locked up (annual)daysratios
102030Customers owe (debtor days)FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Days of cash locked up (annual)
PeriodCustomers owe (debtor days) (days)
FY1410.0
FY1517.0
FY167.0
FY174.0
FY189.0
FY197.0
FY206.0
FY218.0
FY2211.0
FY2310.0
FY2433.0
FY259.0
FY2610.0
CHAPTER 6 · THE BUILD

The asset base keeps compounding — this company builds

Capex — money spent on plants, machines and buildings. Gross block is what exists; CWIP (capital work-in-progress) is what is being built. Annual.

The productive asset base has gone from ₹173 Cr (FY14) to ₹419 Cr, with another ₹28.0 Cr of capacity under construction right now.fixed_assetscwip

The build is self-funded: the last 3 years' investing outflow (₹3,496 Cr) fits inside the operating cash the business generated (₹4,427 Cr).investing_cash_flowoperating_cash_flow

Assets in place vs under construction (annual)₹ Crbalance_sheet
0200400Fixed assetsUnder construction (CWIP)FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Assets in place vs under construction (annual)
PeriodFixed assets (₹ Cr)Under construction (CWIP) (₹ Cr)
FY141730.0
FY151432.0
FY161373.0
FY171520.0
FY181566.0
FY1915819.0
FY2015824.0
FY2115926.0
FY2215695.0
FY23150169
FY2437916.0
FY2541218.0
FY2641928.0
CHAPTER 7 · SURVIVAL

Almost no debt — this company cannot be killed by a bad year

Debt-to-equity — borrowings against shareholders’ money. Computed from the balance sheet. Annual.

For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹0 — total borrowings have grown from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹5.0 Cr over the window.borrowings

Total borrowings (annual)₹ Crbalance_sheet
024FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Total borrowings (annual)
PeriodBorrowings (₹ Cr)
FY140.0
FY150.0
FY160.0
FY170.0
FY180.0
FY190.0
FY200.0
FY212.0
FY221.0
FY232.0
FY242.0
FY251.0
FY265.0
Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)xbalance_sheet
00.51FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)
PeriodDebt ÷ equity (x)
FY140.0
FY150.0
FY160.0
FY170.0
FY180.0
FY190.0
FY200.0
FY210.0
FY220.0
FY230.0
FY240.0
FY250.0
FY260.0
CHAPTER 8 · THE ENGINE ROOM

Every ₹100 kept in the business now earns ₹71 — and the number is rising

ROCE — profit earned per ₹100 of capital used. ROE — the same, per ₹100 of shareholders’ money alone. Annual.

Return on capital employed is 71.0% (a year ago: 43.0%). This is the single best test of business quality: what the company earns on the money it keeps.roce_pct

Rising returns on capital while growing is the rarest combination in investing — it means the new projects earn more than the old ones.roce_pct

Returns on capital (annual)%ratios
20.040.060.0ROCEFY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Returns on capital (annual)
PeriodROCE (%)
FY1414.0
FY1510.0
FY1610.0
FY1711.0
FY188.0
FY1913.0
FY2015.0
FY2116.0
FY2214.0
FY2313.0
FY247.0
FY2543.0
FY2671.0
THE VERDICT

The numbers earn a deeper study — and watch the one thing that matters

The numbers lean positive, and the price already assumes the good news continues.

Best thing in the data: profit rising (₹135 Cr → ₹530 Cr).net_profit

Biggest worry: domestic-fund holding falling (58.1% → 54.4%).diis_pct

The machine committee — 7 independent readsSTUDY DEEPER · 81%
Earnings patternPOSITIVE80% · w21
Valuation cyclePOSITIVE80% · w19
CatalystsPOSITIVE50% · w14
Quality & safetyPOSITIVE58% · w14
TechnicalsPOSITIVE39% · w12
ValuationPOSITIVE42% · w10
Growth at a pricePOSITIVE52% · w10
7-model research readSTUDY DEEPER · 81% confidence
WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEWTwo quarters of margins reversing would kill this story.

Machine-written research from Screener data — every number traces to its source column. Sector Alpha is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Not investment advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Straight answers from the data

What does Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd do?

The MCX) commenced operation in Nov,03 is India’s first listed, national-level, electronic exchange, and India’s leading commodity derivatives exchange which offers the benefits of fair price discovery and price risk management to the Indian commodity market ecosystem. The Exchange operates under SEBI. [1]. It is listed in the Exchanges sector with a market capitalisation of ₹75,529 Cr.

What is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd's share price?

As of 1 July 2026, Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd trades at ₹2,962, up 67% over the past year, with a market capitalisation of ₹75,529 Cr. Beating NIFTY 500 for 154 weeks. Prices are weekly closes from Screener data; this page refreshes with each weekly update.

What is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd's share price target?

Sector Alpha does not publish broker-style price targets. Our discounted-cash-flow model estimates Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd's intrinsic value at ₹3,824 per share under base assumptions (bear ₹1,118, bull ₹3,824), against the current price of ₹2,962 — a 39% margin of safety. The current price already implies roughly 27% annual earnings growth. These are model estimates, not forecasts — treat them as one input alongside the valuation history below, not as a target.

Is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued?

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd trades at a P/E of 56.7× — the 70th percentile of its own 10.0-year trading range (median 43.5×), which is above the middle of its own historical range. The market has pre-paid for growth that hasn’t arrived yet. Since Jun 2016, the stock is up 1,368% while earnings per share grew 696%. The difference is re-rating — investors paying more for the same rupee of profit.

What did Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd report in its latest quarterly results?

In its most recent reported quarter (Q4 FY26, quarter ended March 2026): Mar 26 sales were ₹889 Cr, up 206% on the same quarter last year. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹530 Cr, up 293% year on year. Figures are from Screener-scraped quarterly filings; the page updates when the next quarter is filed.

Is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd growing?

Sales exploded 206% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years. Mar 26 sales were ₹889 Cr, up 206% on the same quarter last year.

Are Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd's profits growing?

Profit exploded 293% — mostly from selling more. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹530 Cr, up 293% year on year.

What are Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd's operating margins?

Margins are widening — 55% → 75% in a year. In the most recent quarter, of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹74.8 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹55.0).

What is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd's long-term growth record?

Revenue grew from ₹341 Cr in FY14 to ₹2,302 Cr in FY26 — a 17.2% compound annual growth rate over 12 years. Profit after tax compounded at 19.8% over the same period (₹153 Cr → ₹1,332 Cr).

Is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd stock in an uptrend?

An uptrend that has held for 62 weeks. Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd is in Stage 2 — advancing, 62 weeks in (confirmed). Stages follow Stan Weinstein's four-phase read of weekly price against the 200-day average: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3), declining (4).

Why is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd stock rising?

The price is up 67% over the past year, in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend (62 weeks), and has beaten NIFTY 500 for 154 weeks. Since 2016, the price is up 1,368% while earnings per share moved 696%.

Is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd beating the NIFTY 500?

Yes — beating NIFTY 500 for 154 weeks, as of 1 July 2026. Relative strength is measured weekly against the NIFTY 500 (Mansfield RS): a positive reading means the stock has outperformed the index over the trailing window, week after week.

Where is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd in its business cycle?

The data reads Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd as a deep cyclical business currently in its at peak phase — earnings at an all-time high for this company, valuation at the 70th percentile. Profits swing violently in this business — margins swinging 62 points peak to trough. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.

Does Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd have too much debt?

Almost no debt — this company cannot be killed by a bad year. For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹0 — total borrowings have grown from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹5.0 Cr over the window.

What is the bull case for Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd?

Profits have nearly tripled in two years, the market has pre-paid for the next leg. Best thing in the data: profit rising (₹135 Cr → ₹530 Cr). Sales exploded 206% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years.

What is the bear case for Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd — what could break the story?

Biggest worry: domestic-fund holding falling (58.1% → 54.4%). Two quarters of margins reversing would kill this story. The nearest-term thing to watch: if quarterly growth slips below 103%, the story weakens. This falsification condition is stated up front so the thesis can be checked against incoming quarters, not defended after the fact.

Is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

Sector Alpha does not publish buy or sell recommendations — this is a research read, not advice. What the data says: the numbers earn a deeper study — and watch the one thing that matters. The numbers lean positive, and the price already assumes the good news continues. Across the 7-model scorecard the composite research signal is study deeper at 81% confidence. This is machine-written research compiled from Screener data — every number traces to its source — and it is not investment advice. Do your own diligence.

Generated from Screener data · 11 sources · why_traces/1.0 + story/1.2
details
generated 2026-07-03 11:21 · 9 material moves detected
sources: screener_company_info, screener_quarterly_results, screener_annual_results, screener_valuation_history, screener_shareholding, screener_cash_flow, screener_ratios, screener_balance_sheet, screener_margin_trends, weinstein_stages, agent_scores