BSE Ltd
BSEBSE Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +87.5% in a year against a +56.2% price move.
The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved +87.5% against a +56.2% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery.
The price is in a confirmed uptrend (170 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 63rd percentile of its own 10-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +62.3% year on year, and 134% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved.
Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.
BSE Ltd trades at ₹3,192, in a confirmed uptrend and 170 weeks into that stage. That is −2.6% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 38% of a 52-week range of ₹2,578 to ₹4,194. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (14 weeks and counting).
Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 170 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹3,192 it trades −2.6% versus its 200-day average and sits at 38% of its 52-week range (₹2,578–₹4,194).
Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 9.6 years the stock moved +2,586% while the NIFTY 500 moved +197% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (14 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-25) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.
What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.
Story check
BSE Ltd's story is not scored yet against the markers our research file set on 22 August 2026. Where it sits in its own cycle: MID_CONTRACTION. Our fortnightly research layers last read it on 22 August 2026.
Our read, 22 August 2026. BSE is compounding on fixed infrastructure — fourteen consecutive record quarters, derivatives daily premium at an all-time high, and the closing auction session now live as a mandatory incremental volume catalyst.
From the numbers. The price-to-earnings cycle peaked at eighty-six-point-seven times in March 2024 and has been contracting since. At fifty-eight-point-one times and the seventy-second percentile of the ten-year range, the stock is above…
From the price. Price stage 2, week 170 — below its 200-day line, relative strength falling.
From the research. BSE is compounding on fixed infrastructure — fourteen consecutive record quarters, derivatives daily premium at an all-time high, and the closing auction session now live as a mandatory incremental volume catalyst.
🚨 Where they disagree. The price-to-earnings cycle peaked at eighty-six-point-seven times in March 2024 and has been contracting since. At fifty-eight-point-one times and the seventy-second percentile of the ten-year range, the stock is above its median but compressing through earnings growth rather than through price decline. This is the earnings disconnect pattern: earnings have grown faster than the multiple has re-rated, so the valuation is improving purely through the denominator. The median PE over the ten-year history is thirty-one-point-five times. FII shareholding has grown from eight-point-eight percent in June 2023 to eighteen-point-one percent in June 2025, showing institutional investors are…
What is proven. BSE is compounding on fixed infrastructure — fourteen consecutive record quarters, derivatives daily premium at an all-time high, and the closing auction session now live as a mandatory incremental volume catalyst.
What is not proven yet. If derivatives average daily premium turnover falls below fifteen thousand crore rupees for two consecutive quarters, the operating leverage argument breaks: the fixed-cost base cannot flex down as fast as derivatives revenue can fall, so earnings and the valuation multiple would compress at the same time. That scenario would require a rethink of the entire position.
🚨 What would change our mind. If derivatives average daily premium turnover falls below fifteen thousand crore rupees for two consecutive quarters, the operating leverage argument breaks: the fixed-cost base cannot flex down as fast as derivatives revenue can fall, so earnings and the valuation multiple would compress at the same time. That scenario would require a rethink of the entire position.
Layer 1 read, 22 August 2026 — KEEP. The best earnings engine here — but its margin and its trading volumes are both at all-time highs at once. BSE runs the exchange plumbing India's markets clear through, and over three years its quarterly revenue went from Rs 362 Cr to Rs 1,566 Cr and its per-share profit from Rs 2.97 to Rs 21.46 — fourteen record quarters in a row, with no down quarter. Because profits grew faster than the price, the share is actually cheaper against earnings than it was two years ago. The catch is that today's profit is earned on a 67% operating margin, the highest in the exchange's own forty-quarter record, on derivatives volumes that are themselves at an all-time high — so if trading activity cools, profit and the price multiple shrink together. There is real new fuel (the closing auction session went live on…
What would change Layer 1’s mind. Consuming the derivatives driver's own kill-switch and sharpening it: if average daily premium turnover falls below Rs 22,000 Cr in Q2 FY27 (the Timeline's M1 threshold) — never mind the Rs 15,000 Cr two-quarter floor in the thesis — the operating-leverage argument starts breaking, because the variable clearing-fee cost base cannot flex down as fast as derivatives revenue falls, so margin and multiple compress together. That flips this to DROP. Upward to P1: the Q2 FY27 call explaining the…
Layer 2 read, 22 August 2026 — BENCH. BSE's growth is real, but peak margins and a TOPPING sector make this a late entry. BSE has delivered repeated record quarters and record derivatives activity, while the external sector curve says the move is earnings-led. But model-grade normalisation shows peak-margin valuation risk, and the sector timeline is explicitly TOPPING with current capital data at CAPACITY_RISK. The extended-stock plus late-sector rule therefore requires BENCH.
What would change Layer 2’s mind. Advance if two consecutive quarters keep derivatives daily premium turnover above Rs 15,000 crore and operating margin above 55% while the sector exits TOPPING and capex_read no longer shows SUPPLY_FLOOD; DROP only if turnover falls below that level for two quarters and the operating-leverage thesis breaks.
The test written in advance. Peak-Cycle Margin — Low Trailing PE Masks a Normalised Multiple at the Eighty-Eighth Percentile — Peak-Cycle Margin — Low Trailing PE Masks a Normalised Multiple at the Eighty-Eighth Percentile by the next result.
The test written in advance. Management Guidance Precision — Six Cross-Call Contradictions Over Four Concalls — Management Guidance Precision — Six Cross-Call Contradictions Over Four Concalls by the next result.
| Dial | Now | Was | Why it matters | Watch line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Leverage on Fixed Infrastructure | in play | — | Each incremental rupee of derivatives or transaction volume adds near-pure margin because the exchange infrastructure… | Utilisation reaches the physical capacity ceiling of the current data-centre footprint before the planned capacity expansion at Lexington completes… |
| Derivatives Market Deepening — Weekly to… | in play | — | The derivatives platform hit an all-time quarterly high in premium turnover in Q1 FY27, and the pipeline of new monthly-tenor… | Derivatives daily premium turnover falls durably below fifteen thousand crore rupees for two consecutive quarters, signalling retail participation… |
| SGF Contribution Tailwind Already Executing | in play | — | BSE's voluntary settlement guarantee fund contribution rate halved to two-point-five percent of profits after the fund crossed… | SEBI mandates a materially higher SGF contribution rate, or the SGF balance falls below the one-hundred-and-fifty-percent threshold, which would… |
| Closing Auction Session — Now Live | in play | — | SEBI mandated a closing auction session from August 3, 2026 — it went live on schedule, adding incremental transaction volume at… | SEBI reverses or modifies the closing auction session requirement, or the incremental transaction volume generated by the CAS proves immaterial at… |
| Capital Formation — IPO and Primary Market… | in play | — | A pipeline of more than two hundred and fifty active IPO applications positions BSE to sustain its recent global ranking as the… | IPO activity dries up for two or more quarters — as it did during 2022 — reducing the new-underlying pipeline for derivatives and STAR MF… |
| Co-location Revenue Scaling | in play | — | Co-location revenue reached fifty-one crore rupees in Q1 FY27 on a five-hundred-rack footprint, with order-flow monetisation… | Rack utilisation stalls below seventy percent due to lack of new algorithmic participant onboarding, or SEBI introduces new co-location regulations… |
🚨 What the surface reading misses. The surface reading is: An operating margin of sixty-seven percent looks like exceptional profitability. The research reads it further: The margin is at the ninety-eighth percentile of BSE's own history. Exchange businesses do have structural operating leverage, but the current margin is also a function of peak derivatives participation — if market activity slows, clearing and settlement costs fall but revenue falls faster in a volume compression, compressing margins toward historical norms. The mid-cycle normalised margin is thirty-six-point-six percent — roughly half the current level.
🚨 What the surface reading misses. The surface reading is: PE at the seventy-second percentile looks elevated but not extreme. The research reads it further: The PE is contracting through earnings growth, not through price decline — this is the earnings disconnect pattern. Earnings have grown faster than the stock has re-rated, so the multiple is compressing organically. However, the trailing PE is itself inflated by peak margins. The normalised PE — computed at mid-cycle margins — is at the eighty-eighth percentile. The two readings bracket the true answer: at current margins, the valuation is at the seventy-second percentile; at mid-cycle margins, it is at the eighty-eighth percentile.
Lever 1 · Operating leverage — BUILDING. Each incremental rupee of derivatives or transaction volume adds near-pure margin because the exchange infrastructure — technology, clearing, and regulatory capacity — is already paid for. What proves it keeps working: Operating Leverage on Fixed Infrastructure.
Lever 2 · Value-added mix — BUILDING. The derivatives platform hit an all-time quarterly high in premium turnover in Q1 FY27, and the pipeline of new monthly-tenor products widens the franchise toward institutional participation. What proves it keeps working: Derivatives Market Deepening — Weekly to Monthly. It stops working if Derivatives daily premium turnover falls durably below fifteen thousand crore rupees for two consecutive quarters, signalling retail participation withdrawal in a sustained market downturn.
Lever 5 · Regulatory approval — BUILDING. BSE's voluntary settlement guarantee fund contribution rate halved to two-point-five percent of profits after the fund crossed its regulatory threshold — a direct, structural improvement to reported profit margins. What proves it keeps working: SGF Contribution Tailwind Already Executing. It stops working if SEBI mandates a materially higher SGF contribution rate, or the SGF balance falls below the one-hundred-and-fifty-percent threshold, which would restore the prior contribution burden.
Lever 12 · New product launch — BUILDING. A pipeline of more than two hundred and fifty active IPO applications positions BSE to sustain its recent global ranking as the leading exchange by listing count. What proves it keeps working: Capital Formation — IPO and Primary Market Leadership. It stops working if IPO activity dries up for two or more quarters — as it did during 2022 — reducing the new-underlying pipeline for derivatives and STAR MF distribution.
Sources: our stock research file (22 August 2026) · quarterly results through Jun 26 · the company’s own earnings calls. The story check is re-scored every results season; the record below never changes.
Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.
BSE Ltd reported ₹1,566 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +63.5% year on year. That is the 12th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 23.2% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹5,124 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹5,442 Cr.
Why this happened. The Deutsche Boerse arrangement has handled BSE's global market-data marketing. From January 1, 2027, BSE will engage international market-data clients directly. Management described this as enabling 'direct worldwide market-data distribution and licensing'. This transition carries execution risk — building direct sales capability with global clients from scratch — but if successful it improves margin on data revenue and strengthens BSE's international brand. Concurrent product development: sixty new indices created with two more approved for derivatives.
FY26 revenue came in at ₹5,124 Cr (+59.5% on the year), capping 10 years at 23.2% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹1,566 Cr, +63.5% year on year — the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.
Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +60.4% growth against the decade's 23.2% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.
Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +60.7% over the last 4 quarters against +68.0%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit +76.7% vs +117.8%/yr — rolling over.
FY26-Q4. revenue ₹1,564 Cr and profit ₹795 Cr as reported.
FY27-Q1. revenue ₹1,566 Cr and profit ₹873 Cr as reported.
Why-sources: our stock research file (22 August 2026) and the company’s own results for those quarters.
Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.
BSE Ltd's operating margin is 67.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +2.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 21.0% to 68.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.
Why this happened. BSE's core cost structure is fixed: technology amortisation, clearing system capacity, and regulatory fees that move with transaction counts but not at full volume proportionality. As derivatives volumes have grown from near-zero three years ago to an all-time high in Q1 FY27, the incremental revenue has dropped almost entirely to the operating profit line. Operating expenses in Q1 FY27 rose fifty-six percent but fifty-four percent of that increase was clearing and settlement costs that move directly with transaction volumes — the remaining administrative layer barely moved. This is the classic infrastructure catapult: the capital and fixed costs were installed to run a larger exchange than…
The latest quarter's operating margin is 67.0%, +2.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 21.0%–68.0%, and FY26's 68.0% is the top of that band — a record year.
Why the margin moved: operating margin went +1.5 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.
Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.
FY26-Q4. revenue ₹1,564 Cr and profit ₹795 Cr as reported.
FY27-Q1. revenue ₹1,566 Cr and profit ₹873 Cr as reported.
Why-sources: our stock research file (22 August 2026) and the company’s own results for those quarters.
Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.
BSE Ltd earned ₹873 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +62.3% year on year. It is the 8th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹2,487 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 30.2%. That is 55.7% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹538 Cr.
Jun 26 profit was ₹873 Cr, +62.3% year on year — the 8th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹2,487 Cr (+88.1%), and the 10-year compound rate is 30.2%.
Why profit moved: revenue contributed +63.5% and the margin +2.0 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.
Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +89.2% vs revenue +60.4%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.
FY26-Q4. revenue ₹1,564 Cr and profit ₹795 Cr as reported.
FY27-Q1. revenue ₹1,566 Cr and profit ₹873 Cr as reported.
Why-sources: our stock research file (22 August 2026) and the company’s own results for those quarters.
Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.
Over the last 3 fiscal years 134% of BSE Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹3,104 Cr of operating cash against ₹2,487 Cr of profit. After ₹524 Cr of capital spending, ₹2,580 Cr was left as free cash.
FY26: operating cash of ₹3,104 Cr against reported profit of ₹2,487 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹2,580 Cr after ₹524 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 134% of profit.
Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.
Why conversion sits at 134%: the cash cycle tightened 12 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner.
Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.3× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.
Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).
BSE Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 39 days in FY26, down from 51 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹832 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹5,124 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹14.0 Cr, so roughly ₹547 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.
FY26: debtors at 39 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 39 days, tighter than FY21's 51.
In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹5,124 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹14.0 Cr — so the 39-day loop keeps roughly ₹547 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.
On the investment side: capital spending of ₹832 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹367 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹77.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.
The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.
Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.
BSE Ltd earns a ROCE of 60% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 5% in FY20. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 48.5% net margin on 0.38× asset turns.
FY26 ROCE is 60%, recovered from a FY20 trough of 5% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.
Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 48.5% net margin × 0.38× asset turns × 2.01× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 37.0% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.
The quarterly return curves and the return-on-invested-capital overlay, which only the second data source carries, are not drawn on this page: its two data sources disagree by up to 39% on reported income across 14 comparable periods. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.
Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.
BSE Ltd carries ₹0.0 Cr of borrowings against ₹6,673 Cr of equity in FY26, a debt-to-equity of 0.00. Operating profit covers the interest bill north of 100×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹0.0 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹832 Cr across the last 3 of those years.
Why this happened. Co-location revenue reached fifty-one crore rupees in Q1 FY27 on a five-hundred-rack footprint, with order-flow monetisation still below market rates and scope to raise charges as product interest grows.
FY26: borrowings of ₹0.0 Cr against equity of ₹6,673 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.00. Operating profit covers the interest bill north of 100×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹0.0 Cr while capital spending ran ₹832 Cr in just the last 3 — the build-out is being paid for out of cash, not debt.
The total-debt and debt-to-equity series, which only the second data source carries, are not drawn on this page: its two data sources disagree by up to 39% on reported income across 14 comparable periods. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.
Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.
Domestic institutions added 12.5 points of BSE Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes domestic institutions to 24.1% of the company. Foreign institutions moved +10.2 points over the same window, to 21.3%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.
The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: +12.5 points over 8 quarters to 24.1%; Foreign institutions: +10.2 points over 8 quarters to 21.3%.
Why the register moved: domestic institutions drove it (+12.5 points), alongside foreign institutions (+10.2 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.
Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.
BSE Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.
The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.
Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.
BSE Ltd trades at 46.0× P/E, mid-range by its own standards (63rd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 32.4×, measured across 9.6 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.
Today's P/E of 46.0× is mid-range by its own standards (63rd percentile), against a long-run median of 32.4× measured over 9.6 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.
Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +87.5% against a +56.2% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.
The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +89.6%/yr price move, ~+73.4%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+16.2 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.
Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.
The PEG ratio and its quarterly curve, which only the second data source carries, are not drawn on this page: its two data sources disagree by up to 39% on reported income across 14 comparable periods. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.
What the price assumes This reading works the multiple backwards. It asks one question: what yearly rate of profit growth is a buyer at the market price already paying for? The number is the growth rate that makes eleven years of profit — six years growing, then five fading — add up to that day's market price, once each year is discounted at 11% a year.
Solved at its 24 August 2026 price, BSE Ltd was paying for profit growth of about 24.7% a year. Profit itself has compounded 30.2% a year over the past 10 years. Today the market pays 46.0× P/E, the 63rd percentile of its own 10-year range.
What the two numbers say together. The multiple is unremarkable against its own past, and the growth the price is paying for is below what this company has actually delivered.
How to hold this number: it is a reading of one day's price, taken on 24 August 2026, not a running figure — every other number on this page, the multiple included, is read off the live quote as of 25 September 2026. A higher price is paying for more growth and a lower price for less, so it moves whenever the price does, and this page does not restate it between measurements.
Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).
BSE Ltd reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — growth is normalizing off a hyper-growth base: profit growth has eased from +133.5% at its peak to +76.7% but is still expanding, ROCE lifting at 60.0%. The read is built from 9 quarters across 4 curves, on partial evidence.
Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.
Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.
A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.
| 1yr | 3yr | 5yr | 10yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +59.5% | +76.9% | +52.1% | +23.2% |
| Profit | +88.1% | +129.4% | +77.3% | +30.2% |
| EPS | +87.5% | +124.2% | +76.4% | +46.1% |
| Share price | +56.2% | +100.0% | +89.6% | — |
4-Factor Sector Score
68.0/100 — rank 2 of 3 in Exchanges · 79% evidence confidence
BSE Ltd scores 68.0 out of 100 against the 3 companies it is compared with in Exchanges, ranking 2. Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -4.7% and the one-year return is 46.2%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.
The four contributions add to the total exactly: 32.8 + 22 + 8.7 + 4.5 = 68. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.
What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.
Said versus delivered
What BSE Ltd's management promised, set against what actually arrived — 4 tracked promises on the record. Read straight from the company’s own earnings calls. A promise that slipped stays on this page after it is met.
Investor Awareness Activity Drops Sharply · 4 August 2026. The latest call reports only 23 investor awareness programs in Q1 FY27 versus 16,663 programs during FY26 in the May 2026 call, implying a substantial decline relative to the prior annual run rate. Management reiterates that investor awareness is a key pillar but provides no explanation for the sharp reduction or whether the figures use different definitions, creating a material execution question.
SGF Policy - Halt vs. Rate Reduction at the 150% Threshold · 7 May 2026. In the Nov 2025 call, management explicitly stated and confirmed in Q&A that upon reaching 150% of the minimum SGF requirement, voluntary contributions would be halted entirely until the excess was consumed. In the May 2026 call, management disclosed that upon crossing that threshold they instead reduced the contribution rate from 5% to 2.5% rather than halting, directly contradicting the stated policy. Analysts modeling BSE's forward P&L based on Nov 2025 guidance would have expected SGF charges to cease, not merely continue at half the prior rate.
SGF Contribution Base - Transaction Revenue vs. Profits · 7 May 2026. In the Nov 2025 call, management clearly defined the voluntary SGF contribution base as transaction-related revenue at 5% per month. In the May 2026 call, the CEO retroactively described the identical policy as applying 5% to profits rather than transaction revenue. These are materially different bases - in Q2 FY26, transaction revenues were Rs. 794 crores versus net profit of Rs. 558 crores - making analysts' prior calibration of expected SGF deductions unreliable and raising questions about management's precision in describing its own internal policies.
🚨 Smart Order Routing - Early Positive Traction Reversed to No Progress · 7 May 2026. In the Nov 2025 call, management reported that common contract note implementation and SOR engagement were yielding positive early results with BSE cash volumes rising among both DIIs and FIIs. Just six months later in the May 2026 call, management completely reversed this assessment, stating SOR had not taken off and attributing the failure entirely to the competitor exchange holding pending SOR applications for over six months. Management offered no explanation for why the positive momentum they described in Nov 2025 did not persist, nor why the competitor-related obstacle was not flagged to investors earlier.
Every quote above is taken word for word from the company’s own earnings calls.
| Company | Score | Price stage | Growth & earnings/35 | Capital efficiency/25 | Valuation/20 | Relative strength/20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Multi Commodity Exchange of India LtdMCX | 83.4/100Sector-leading setup79% evidence | BREAKING OUT | 33.4/35 Revenue 100% · PAT 100% · OPM change 5 pp 95% evidence | 21.0/25 ROCE 71.4% · OPM 70% 76% evidence | 9.0/20 P/E 54× · PEG — 35% evidence | 20.0/20 RS sector 23.1% · RS bench 33.2% · 1Y 106.5%5 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 33.4 + 21 + 9 + 20 = 83.4 · Decision use: Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence. | ||||||
| 2BSE Ltdthis pageBSE | 68.0/100Favorable setup79% evidence | ASLEEP | 32.8/35 Revenue 60.7% · PAT 76.7% · OPM change 2 pp 95% evidence | 22.0/25 ROCE 60% · OPM 67% 76% evidence | 8.7/20 P/E 46× · PEG — 35% evidence | 4.5/20 RS sector -4.7% · RS bench 3.4% · 1Y 46.2%1 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 32.8 + 22 + 8.7 + 4.5 = 68 · Decision use: Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -4.7% and the one-year return is 46.2%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth. | ||||||
| 3Indian Energy Exchange LtdIEX | 59.8/100Mixed-positive evidence79% evidence | BASING | 18.3/35 Revenue 13.9% · PAT 11.9% · OPM change 2 pp 95% evidence | 22.0/25 ROCE 51.4% · OPM 83% 76% evidence | 13.5/20 P/E 19.8× · PEG — 35% evidence | 6.0/20 RS sector -19.3% · RS bench -10.3% · 1Y -24.4%0 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 18.3 + 22 + 13.5 + 6 = 59.8 · Decision use: Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction. | ||||||
Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.
Frequently asked questions
What is BSE Ltd's share price today?
BSE Ltd trades at ₹3,192, +56.2% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹1,30,176 Cr. The stock sits at 38% of its 52-week range of ₹2,578–₹4,194, −2.6% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 170 weeks in. — as of 25 September 2026.
What were BSE Ltd's latest quarterly results?
BSE Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,566 Cr and net profit of ₹873 Cr for the Jun 26 quarter. Revenue rose 63.5% and profit rose 62.3% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹21.43. The operating margin was 67.0%, 2.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 25 September 2026.
What is BSE Ltd's revenue?
BSE Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,566 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter, +63.5% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹5,124 Cr (+59.5%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at 23.2% a year. — as of 25 September 2026.
What is BSE Ltd's profit?
BSE Ltd earned ₹873 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +62.3% year on year — the 8th straight quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹2,487 Cr. The operating margin ran 67.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 25 September 2026.
What is BSE Ltd's market cap?
BSE Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹1,30,176 Cr at a share price of ₹3,192. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 25 September 2026.
What is BSE Ltd's P/E ratio?
BSE Ltd trades at a P/E of 46.0×, at the 63rd percentile of its own 10-year range, against a long-run median of 32.4×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 25 September 2026.
Does BSE Ltd pay a dividend?
Yes — BSE Ltd's dividend payout was 16% of profit in FY26, and it recorded a payout in each of its last 13 reported fiscal years. This page holds the payout ratio, not a per-share amount. — as of 25 September 2026.
Is BSE Ltd overvalued?
On its own history, BSE Ltd looks mid-range: its P/E of 46.0× sits at the 63rd percentile of its 10-year range (long-run median 32.4×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. One caveat: margins are the best this company has ever printed — cheap on record margins is not the same thing as cheap. — as of 25 September 2026.
Is BSE Ltd growing?
Yes — BSE Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +63.5% year on year, profit +62.3%, and the margin +2.0 pp at 67.0%. The 10-year compound rates are 23.2% (revenue) and 30.2% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 25 September 2026.
How is BSE Ltd performing?
BSE Ltd is in a confirmed uptrend, 170 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 63.5% and profit rose 62.3% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 14 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 25 September 2026.
What stage is BSE Ltd in?
Mixed — growth is normalizing off a hyper-growth base: profit growth has eased from +133.5% at its peak to +76.7% but is still expanding, ROCE lifting at 60.0%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +60.7% latest, profit growth +76.7% latest, eps growth +76.5% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 25 September 2026.
Is BSE Ltd in an uptrend?
Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 170 of stage 2), trading −2.6% versus its 200-day average and at 38% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 25 September 2026.
Is BSE Ltd beating the market?
Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view BSE Ltd is currently behind the NIFTY 500 (14 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-25), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 9.6 years the stock moved +2,586% against the NIFTY 500's +197% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 25 September 2026.
Will BSE Ltd's share price go up?
This page publishes no price forecast for BSE Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹3,192, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 170 weeks in. Its P/E of 46.0× sits at the 63rd percentile of its own 10-year range. — as of 25 September 2026.
Does BSE Ltd have too much debt?
No — BSE Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.00, and operating profit covers the interest bill north of 100×. FY26 borrowings were ₹0.0 Cr against equity of ₹6,673 Cr. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 25 September 2026.
What is BSE Ltd's capex?
BSE Ltd spent ₹832 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹524 Cr, with ₹77.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 25 September 2026.
What is BSE Ltd's cash flow?
BSE Ltd generated ₹3,104 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹2,580 Cr of free cash flow after ₹524 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹2,487 Cr, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 25 September 2026.
Is BSE Ltd's profit real cash?
Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 134% of BSE Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹3,104 Cr against reported profit of ₹2,487 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 25 September 2026.
Where is BSE Ltd in its business cycle?
BSE Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 68.0%, against a 13-year band of 21.0%–68.0%: the top of the band — a record year. Record profitability is late-cycle territory: every ratio flatters at the top, and the story leans on margins holding. The latest quarter ran 67.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 25 September 2026.
What growth does BSE Ltd's price assume?
At its price on 24 August 2026, BSE Ltd was priced for profit growth of about 24.7% a year. Profit itself has compounded 30.2% a year over the past 10 years. The figure reads the multiple backwards: the growth a buyer at that price was already paying for. — as of 25 September 2026.
What could break the BSE Ltd story?
The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved +87.5% against a +56.2% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 25 September 2026.
Is BSE Ltd a stock worth studying right now?
This is not investment advice. The machine read: BSE Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +87.5% in a year against a +56.2% price move. The sharpest open question: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 25 September 2026.
Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!