Transport Corporation of India Ltd
TCITransport Corporation of India Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +10.4% in a year against a −25.6% price move.
The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved +10.4% against a −25.6% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery.
The price is in a downtrend (30 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 20th percentile of its own 10-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +7.8% year on year, and 90% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved.
Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd trades at ₹931, in a downtrend and 30 weeks into that stage. That is −7.1% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 12% of a 52-week range of ₹891 to ₹1,216. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (1 week and counting).
Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 30 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹931 it trades −7.1% versus its 200-day average and sits at 12% of its 52-week range (₹891–₹1,216).
Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.3 years the stock moved +475% while the NIFTY 500 moved +274% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (1 week and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-10) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.
What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.
→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 20th percentile of its own range.
Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd trades at 15.5× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 20% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 18.7×, measured across 10.4 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.
Today's P/E of 15.5× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 20% of the time, against a long-run median of 18.7× measured over 10.4 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.
Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +10.4% against a −25.6% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.
The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +18.4%/yr price move, ~+23.9%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−5.5 pp from the multiple (compressing); over 10y, of the +15.7%/yr price move, ~+18.7%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−3.0 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.
Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.
→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.
Stage: Consistent Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).
Transport Corporation of India Ltd reads as consistent on its fundamental arc. Consistent — revenue, profit and EPS growth have stayed positive through the window, with ROCE at 19.0% and holding. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on partial evidence.
Why it matters: steady curves with healthy returns are the compounding setup — the risk is the price, not the business.
Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.
A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.
| 1yr | 3yr | 5yr | 10yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +9.5% | +9.1% | +11.9% | +11.0% |
| Profit | +10.6% | +12.7% | +25.1% | +18.0% |
| EPS | +10.4% | +13.3% | +25.5% | +17.9% |
| Share price | −25.6% | +7.2% | +18.4% | +15.7% |
→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.
4-Factor Sector Score
51.7/100 — rank 7 of 18 in Logistics · 93% evidence confidence
Transport Corporation of India Ltd scores 51.7 out of 100 against the 18 companies it is compared with in Logistics, ranking 7. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.
The four contributions add to the total exactly: 17.5 + 17.4 + 13.5 + 3.3 = 51.7. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.
What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.
Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd reported ₹1,324 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +12.3% year on year. That is the 12th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 11.0% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹4,917 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹4,917 Cr.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd reported ₹1,324 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +12.3% year on year. That is the 12th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 11.0% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹4,917 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹4,917 Cr.
FY26 revenue came in at ₹4,917 Cr (+9.5% on the year), capping 10 years at 11.0% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹1,324 Cr, +12.3% year on year — the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.
Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +9.4% growth against the decade's 11.0% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.
Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +9.5% over the last 4 quarters against +10.5%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit +10.8% vs +14.1%/yr — rolling over.
→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 11.0% this quarter (+1.0 pp YoY).
Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd's operating margin is 11.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +1.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 5.0% to 13.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd's operating margin is 11.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +1.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 5.0% to 13.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.
The latest quarter's operating margin is 11.0%, +1.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 5.0%–13.0%.
Why the margin moved: operating margin went +0.4 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.
→ Margins held — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit +7.8% in the latest quarter.
Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd earned ₹124 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +7.8% year on year. It is the 9th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹460 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 18.0%. That is 9.4% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹115 Cr.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd earned ₹124 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +7.8% year on year. It is the 9th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹460 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 18.0%. That is 9.4% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹115 Cr.
Mar 26 profit was ₹124 Cr, +7.8% year on year — the 9th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹460 Cr (+10.6%), and the 10-year compound rate is 18.0%.
Why profit moved: revenue contributed +12.3% and the margin +1.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.
Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +11.1% vs revenue +9.4%. Profit and revenue are moving roughly in step.
→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 90% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.
Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.
Over the last 3 fiscal years 90% of Transport Corporation of India Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹444 Cr of operating cash against ₹460 Cr of profit. After ₹444 Cr of capital spending, ₹0.0 Cr was left as free cash.
FY26: operating cash of ₹444 Cr against reported profit of ₹460 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹0.0 Cr after ₹444 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 90% of profit.
Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.
Why conversion sits at 90%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY21 and FY26 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle.
Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.9× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.
→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: ₹1,092 Cr of building over 3 years.
Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).
Transport Corporation of India Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 61 days in FY26, down from 67 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹1,092 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹4,917 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹13.5 Cr, so roughly ₹822 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.
FY26: debtors at 61 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 61 days, tighter than FY21's 67.
In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹4,917 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹13.5 Cr — so the 61-day loop keeps roughly ₹822 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.
On the investment side: capital spending of ₹1,092 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹373 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹343 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.
The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.
→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 19% and the ROIC − WACC spread is +3.1 pp.
Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd earns a ROCE of 19% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 10% in FY16. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +3.1 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 9.4% net margin on 1.41× asset turns.
FY26 ROCE is 19%, recovered from a FY16 trough of 10% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.
Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 9.4% net margin × 1.41× asset turns × 1.36× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 18.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.
The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 15.1% − 12.0% = a +3.1 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Positive but thin — value creation with little room for error.
→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.12.
Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd carries total debt of ₹312 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹2,605 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.12 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.07 in FY22 to 0.12 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.
Mar 26: total debt of ₹312 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹2,605 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.12. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.07 (FY22) to 0.12 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.
→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: the register is quiet.
Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.
No holder of Transport Corporation of India Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Promoters moved −0.3 points over the same window, to 68.7%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.
The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: +0.5 points over 8 quarters to 12.7%; Promoters: −0.3 points over 8 quarters to 68.7%; Foreign institutions: +0.1 points over 8 quarters to 3.0%.
→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.
Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.
Transport Corporation of India Ltd: the Z-score reads 8.98. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.
Why it matters: a Z-score of 8.98 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.
The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 8.98.
| Company | P/E | Mkt cap | Revenue | EPS | ROCE | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport Corporation of India Ltd this page | 15.5× | ₹7,051 Cr | Consistent | |||
| Aegis Logistics Ltd | 54.5× | ₹47,371 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Container Corporation Of India Ltd | 29.3× | ₹36,371 Cr | Deteriorating | |||
| Shadowfax Technologies Ltd | 112.0× | ₹12,554 Cr | — | — | — | — |
| Blue Dart Express Ltd | 41.6× | ₹11,655 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Blackbuck Ltd | 60.0× | ₹9,824 Cr | No read | |||
| Sindhu Trade Links Ltd | 65.6× | ₹3,770 Cr | No read | |||
| Gateway Distriparks Ltd | 10.9× | ₹2,817 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Ltd | 90.8× | ₹1,102 Cr | Deteriorating | |||
| Allcargo Gati Ltd(Merged) | 97.5× | ₹971 Cr | No read | |||
| JITF Infra Logistics Ltd | — | ₹939 Cr | No read | |||
| Western Carriers (India) Ltd | 23.6× | ₹917 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Ritco Logistics Ltd | 23.6× | ₹851 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Tejas Cargo India Ltd | 39.7× | ₹830 Cr | — | — | — | — |
| Sical Logistics Ltd | 596.0× | ₹774 Cr | No read | |||
| Allcargo Terminals Ltd | 13.6× | ₹609 Cr | Turning around | |||
| TransIndia Real Estate Ltd | 16.1× | ₹598 Cr | Mixed | |||
| S J Logistics (India) Ltd | 6.2× | ₹469 Cr | No read |
Frequently asked questions
What is Transport Corporation of India Ltd's share price today?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd trades at ₹931, −25.6% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹7,051 Cr. The stock sits at 12% of its 52-week range of ₹891–₹1,216, −7.1% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 30 weeks in. — as of 24 July 2026.
What were Transport Corporation of India Ltd's latest quarterly results?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,324 Cr and net profit of ₹124 Cr for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 12.3% and profit rose 7.8% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹16.11. The operating margin was 11.0%, 1.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Transport Corporation of India Ltd's revenue?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,324 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter, +12.3% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹4,917 Cr (+9.5%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at 11.0% a year. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Transport Corporation of India Ltd's profit?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd earned ₹124 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +7.8% year on year — the 9th straight quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹460 Cr. The operating margin ran 11.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Transport Corporation of India Ltd's market cap?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹7,051 Cr at a share price of ₹931. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Transport Corporation of India Ltd's P/E ratio?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd trades at a P/E of 15.5×, at the 20th percentile of its own 10-year range, against a long-run median of 18.7×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 24 July 2026.
Does Transport Corporation of India Ltd pay a dividend?
Yes — Transport Corporation of India Ltd's dividend payout was 17% of profit in FY26, and it recorded a payout in each of its last 13 reported fiscal years. This page holds the payout ratio, not a per-share amount. — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Transport Corporation of India Ltd overvalued?
On its own history, Transport Corporation of India Ltd looks cheap against its own history: its P/E of 15.5× has been cheaper only 20% of the time in 10 years (long-run median 18.7×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Transport Corporation of India Ltd growing?
Yes — Transport Corporation of India Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +12.3% year on year, profit +7.8%, and the margin +1.0 pp at 11.0%. The 10-year compound rates are 11.0% (revenue) and 18.0% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 24 July 2026.
How is Transport Corporation of India Ltd performing?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd is in a downtrend, 30 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 12.3% and profit rose 7.8% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 1 week. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 24 July 2026.
What stage is Transport Corporation of India Ltd in?
Consistent — revenue, profit and EPS growth have stayed positive through the window, with ROCE at 19.0% and holding. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +9.5% latest, profit growth +10.8% latest, eps growth +11.1% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Transport Corporation of India Ltd in an uptrend?
No — the price is in a downtrend (week 30 of stage 4), trading −7.1% versus its 200-day average and at 12% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Transport Corporation of India Ltd beating the market?
Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Transport Corporation of India Ltd is currently behind the NIFTY 500 (1 week and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-07-10), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.3 years the stock moved +475% against the NIFTY 500's +274% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 24 July 2026.
Will Transport Corporation of India Ltd's share price go up?
This page publishes no price forecast for Transport Corporation of India Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹931, the price is in a downtrend 30 weeks in. Its P/E of 15.5× sits at the 20th percentile of its own 10-year range. — as of 24 July 2026.
Who owns Transport Corporation of India Ltd?
Promoters hold 68.7% of Transport Corporation of India Ltd, foreign institutions 3.0%, domestic institutions 12.7% and the public 15.6% (latest quarter). No holder moved a full point over the last two years — the register is quiet. — as of 24 July 2026.
Does Transport Corporation of India Ltd have too much debt?
No — Transport Corporation of India Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.12, and operating profit covers the interest bill 23×. FY26 borrowings were ₹312 Cr against equity of ₹2,566 Cr. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Transport Corporation of India Ltd's capex?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd spent ₹1,092 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹444 Cr, with ₹343 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Transport Corporation of India Ltd's cash flow?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd generated ₹444 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹0.0 Cr of free cash flow after ₹444 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹460 Cr, so operating cash ran behind profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Transport Corporation of India Ltd's profit real cash?
Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 90% of Transport Corporation of India Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹444 Cr against reported profit of ₹460 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 24 July 2026.
How financially safe is Transport Corporation of India Ltd?
On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 8.98 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That sits well clear of trouble. — as of 24 July 2026.
Where is Transport Corporation of India Ltd in its business cycle?
Transport Corporation of India Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 11.0%, against a 13-year band of 5.0%–13.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 11.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 24 July 2026.
What could break the Transport Corporation of India Ltd story?
The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved +10.4% against a −25.6% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Transport Corporation of India Ltd a stock worth studying right now?
This is not investment advice. The machine read: Transport Corporation of India Ltd's earnings have outrun its stock. EPS grew +10.4% in a year against a −25.6% price move. The sharpest open question: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 24 July 2026.