Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-24
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-24

Blue Dart Express Ltd

BLUEDART
Logistics

Blue Dart Express Ltd is cheap for a reason. The P/E sits at the 12th percentile of its own range, and the quarters are still getting worse.

The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved −2.0% against a −28.1% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery.

The price is in a downtrend (81 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 12th percentile of its own 10-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read deteriorating — profit −10.9% year on year, and 299% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved.

Stage
Deteriorating
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
₹4,926
−28.1% 1Y
P/E
41.6×
12th pctile
of its own 10-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
₹1,533 Cr
+8.2% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
₹49.0 Cr
−10.9% YoY
Operating margin
14.0%
−1.0 pp YoY
ROCE
17%
FY26
ROIC
14.0%
vs WACC 12.0% → +2.0 pp
Cash conversion
299%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Blue Dart Express Ltd trades at ₹4,926, in a downtrend and 81 weeks into that stage. That is −8.4% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 12% of a 52-week range of ₹4,700 to ₹6,572. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (15 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 81 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹4,926 it trades −8.4% versus its 200-day average and sits at 12% of its 52-week range (₹4,700–₹6,572).

Jul 26: ₹4,926 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−8.4% versus the 200-day line, week 81 of stage 4
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4S2S4₹8,775₹7,681₹6,587₹5,492₹4,398₹4,926₹5,378Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Jul 26
S4S2S4₹8,775₹7,681₹6,587₹5,492₹4,398₹4,926₹5,378Jul 23Jan 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (544 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Mar 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.3 years the stock moved −14% while the NIFTY 500 moved +274% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (15 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-05-08) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 12th percentile of its own range.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Blue Dart Express Ltd trades at 41.6× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 12% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 54.8×, measured across 10.4 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 41.6× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 12% of the time, against a long-run median of 54.8× measured over 10.4 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 41.6× vs a 54.8× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 10.4-year window; loss-period spikes above 117× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 12% of the time
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
123.5×₹22599.0×₹16974.5×₹11349.9×₹56.425.4×₹0.0×41.50×₹118Feb 16Jul 18Oct 21Mar 24Jul 26
123.5×₹22599.0×₹16974.5×₹11349.9×₹56.425.4×₹0.0×41.50×₹118Feb 16Oct 21Jul 26
P/E
41.6×
12th percentile of 10y
PEG
1.92
derived from 3-year earnings growth

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −2.0% against a −28.1% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the −3.2%/yr price move, ~+19.4%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−22.6 pp from the multiple (compressing); over 10y, of the −2.0%/yr price move, ~+3.6%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−5.6 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

03 · Stage: Deteriorating

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Blue Dart Express Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −2.0% latest against −2.0% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE slipping at 17.3%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfitEPS
9.7%0.9%7.3%−9.6%4.9%−20%2.5%−31%0.1%−41%%%7.3%−2%−2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
9.7%0.9%7.3%−9.6%4.9%−20%2.5%−31%0.1%−41%%%7.3%−2%−2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
26%24%21%19%17%%17.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
26%24%21%19%17%%17.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Steady high
latest +7.3% · span +0.8% to +9.0%
Profit growth
Flat
latest −2.0% · span −38.3% to −2.0%
EPS growth
Flat
latest −2.0% · span −38.1% to −2.0%
ROCE
Rolling over
latest 17.3% · span 17.3%–25.3%

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

Growth, year by year: revenue +7.4% in FY26, profit −2.0% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
37%309%27%187%17%64%7.2%−58%−2.7%−180%%%7.4%−2%FY16FY21FY26
37%309%27%187%17%64%7.2%−58%−2.7%−180%%%7.4%−2%FY16FY21FY26
TTM growth by quarter Trailing-twelve-month growth versus the year-ago TTM, per quarter, %: revenue (left axis); profit and EPS (right axis). The acceleration read compares the last 4 quarters (+7.3%) with the last 8 annualized (+8.0%).
revenue stabilising, profit accelerating
Revenue TTM YoYProfit TTM YoYEPS TTM YoY
9.7%0.9%7.3%−9.6%4.9%−20%2.5%−31%0.1%−41%%%7.3%−2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
9.7%0.9%7.3%−9.6%4.9%−20%2.5%−31%0.1%−41%%%7.3%−2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+7.4%+5.9%+13.3%+9.1%
Profit−2.0%−12.7%+19.3%+2.3%
EPS−2.0%−12.6%+19.4%+2.3%
Share price−28.1%−12.7%−3.2%−2.0%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+8.2%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Mar 26)
−10.9%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
9.1%
long-run compound pace

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

43.4/100 — rank 12 of 18 in Logistics · 90% evidence confidence

Blue Dart Express Ltd scores 43.4 out of 100 against the 18 companies it is compared with in Logistics, ranking 12. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 14.1 + 16 + 6.6 + 6.7 = 43.4. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Blue Dart Express Ltd reported ₹1,533 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +8.2% year on year. That is the 10th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 9.1% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹6,141 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹6,140 Cr.

Blue Dart Express Ltd reported ₹1,533 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +8.2% year on year. That is the 10th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 9.1% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹6,141 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹6,140 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹6,141 Cr (+7.4% on the year), capping 10 years at 9.1% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹1,533 Cr, +8.2% year on year — the 10th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹6,141 Cr (+7.4% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
9.1% a year over 10 years
RevenueYoY growth
6.6k37%5.0k27%3.3k17%1.7k7.2%0−2.7%₹ Cr%₹6,1417.4%FY16FY21FY26
6.6k37%5.0k27%3.3k17%1.7k7.2%0−2.7%₹ Cr%₹6,1417.4%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹1,533 Cr (+8.2% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
10th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.7k10%1.3k6.5%8732.6%436−1.4%0−5.4%₹ Cr%₹1,5338.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.7k10%1.3k6.5%8732.6%436−1.4%0−5.4%₹ Cr%₹1,5338.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +7.4% growth against the decade's 9.1% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +7.3% over the last 4 quarters against +8.0%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit −2.0% vs −9.4%/yr — accelerating.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 14.0% this quarter (−1.0 pp YoY).

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Blue Dart Express Ltd's operating margin is 14.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −1.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 9.0% to 23.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Blue Dart Express Ltd's operating margin is 14.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −1.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 9.0% to 23.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 14.0%, −1.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 9.0%–23.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −0.6 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY26: 15.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 13-year window.
within a 9.0–23.0% band over 13 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
24%6.9%20%3.7%16%0.5%12%−2.7%7.9%−5.9%%%15%0%FY14FY20FY26
24%6.9%20%3.7%16%0.5%12%−2.7%7.9%−5.9%%%15%0%FY14FY20FY26
Mar 26: 14.0% operating margin (−1.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
17.2%1.2%16.4%0.4%15.5%−0.5%14.6%−1.4%13.8%−2.2%%%14%−1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
17.2%1.2%16.4%0.4%15.5%−0.5%14.6%−1.4%13.8%−2.2%%%14%−1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Margins slipped — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit −10.9% in the latest quarter.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Blue Dart Express Ltd earned ₹49.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −10.9% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹247 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 2.3%. That is 3.2% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹55.0 Cr.

Blue Dart Express Ltd earned ₹49.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −10.9% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹247 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 2.3%. That is 3.2% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹55.0 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹49.0 Cr, −10.9% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹247 Cr (−2.0%), and the 10-year compound rate is 2.3%.

FY26 profit ₹247 Cr (−2.0% YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
2.3% a year over 10 years
Net profitYoY growth
416308%293186%17064%47−58%−76−180%₹ Cr%₹247−2%FY16FY21FY26
416308%293186%17064%47−58%−76−180%₹ Cr%₹247−2%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹49.0 Cr (−10.9% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
9635%7212%48−10%24−32%0−55%₹ Cr%₹49−10.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
9635%7212%48−10%24−32%0−55%₹ Cr%₹49−10.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed +8.2% and the margin −1.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led, with the margin roughly flat.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −1.4% vs revenue +7.4%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 299% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 299% of Blue Dart Express Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹810 Cr of operating cash against ₹247 Cr of profit. After ₹707 Cr of capital spending, ₹103 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹810 Cr against reported profit of ₹247 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹103 Cr after ₹707 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 299% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹810 Cr vs profit ₹247 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 11-year window, annual resolution.
299% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
1.0k486−31−547−1.1k₹ Cr₹810₹247₹103FY16FY21FY26
1.0k486−31−547−1.1k₹ Cr₹810₹247₹103FY16FY21FY26
FY26: CFO = 328% of profit (three-year rate 299%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash; outlier years shown pinned.
Conversion100%
316%258%200%142%84%%300%FY16FY21FY26
316%258%200%142%84%%300%FY16FY21FY26

Why conversion sits at 299%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY21 and FY26 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: a 55-day cycle and ₹1,640 Cr of building.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Blue Dart Express Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 55 days in FY26, down from 57 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹1,640 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹6,141 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹16.8 Cr, so roughly ₹925 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 55 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 55 days, tighter than FY21's 57.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹6,141 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹16.8 Cr — so the 55-day loop keeps roughly ₹925 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a 55-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 13-year window.
−2 days vs FY21
Cash cycleDebtor days
6357514539days55d55dFY14FY17FY20FY23FY26
6357514539days55d55dFY14FY20FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹1,640 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹1,454 Cr of depreciation — building somewhat ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹27.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹707 Cr, work-in-progress ₹27.0 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
steady investment
CapexWork-in-progress
1.4k1.0k6943470₹ Cr₹707₹27FY16FY18FY21FY23FY26
1.4k1.0k6943470₹ Cr₹707₹27FY16FY21FY26

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 17% and the ROIC − WACC spread is +2.0 pp.

10 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Blue Dart Express Ltd earns a ROCE of 17% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 13% in FY20. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +2.0 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 4.0% net margin on 1.49× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 17%, recovered from a FY20 trough of 13% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 4.0% net margin × 1.49× asset turns × 2.32× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 13.8% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 14.0% − 12.0% = a +2.0 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Positive but thin — value creation with little room for error.

FY26: ROCE 17% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 13-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY20's 13%
ROCEROIC (annual)WACC
51%40%30%20%9.1%%17%14.7%FY14FY20FY26
51%40%30%20%9.1%%17%14.7%FY14FY20FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 17.0% (TTM) vs WACC 12.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROCE and ROIC, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)ROIC (TTM)WACC
23%20%17%14%11%%17%15.8%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26
23%20%17%14%11%%17%15.8%Q1 FY24Q2 FY25Q4 FY26

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.64.

11 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Blue Dart Express Ltd carries total debt of ₹1,142 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹1,777 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.64. On the annual view that ratio went from 1.22 in FY22 to 0.64 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹1,142 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹1,777 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.64. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 1.22 (FY22) to 0.64 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY26: debt ₹1,142 Cr at 0.64× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
1.2k1.3×9251.1×6170.9×3080.8×00.6×₹ Cr×₹1,1420.64×FY22FY24FY26
1.2k1.3×9251.1×6170.9×3080.8×00.6×₹ Cr×₹1,1420.64×FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: debt ₹1,142 Cr, debt-to-equity 0.64 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
1.2k1.0×9250.9×6170.8×3080.7×00.6×₹ Cr×₹1,1420.64×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.2k1.0×9250.9×6170.8×3080.7×00.6×₹ Cr×₹1,1420.64×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: Foreign institutions cut 2.0 points over 8 quarters.

12 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Foreign institutions cut 2.0 points of Blue Dart Express Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes foreign institutions to 3.4% of the company. Domestic institutions moved +1.8 points over the same window, to 14.5%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Foreign institutions: −2.0 points over 8 quarters to 3.4%; Domestic institutions: +1.8 points over 8 quarters to 14.5%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 75.0%.

Why the register moved: rotation — foreign institutions −2.0 points against domestic institutions +1.8 points over 8 quarters, with promoters holding steady — one class of institutions handing the register to the other, not a verdict change by the people closest to the numbers.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters +0.0 pts from Mar 24 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 3 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
81%60%39%18%−2.3%%75%3.4%14.5%7.0%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
81%60%39%18%−2.3%%75%3.4%14.5%7.0%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
Foreign institutions cut 2.0 points over 8 quarters Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 13 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
81%60%39%18%−2.4%%75%3.4%14.5%7.2%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
81%60%39%18%−2.4%%75%3.4%14.5%7.2%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

13 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Blue Dart Express Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

Related companies · same sector · Logistics Every company is compared on the shape of its own curves, not static ratios. The Revenue, EPS and ROCE columns each draw that company's last 12 quarters as a mini line of the ACTUAL level (trailing-twelve-month revenue and EPS, and the ROCE itself) — so a line that climbs is a business getting bigger, a line that sinks is one shrinking. The colour tracks the same line: green when it is rising or steadily healthy, amber when it is rolling over from a high (still elevated but turning down), red when it is falling, grey when flat or stuck. Colour and direction always agree — a green line never points down. The ROCE curve is the return on capital (annual readings for peers, so a slightly coarser line than the quarterly one at the top of this page). The Stage column then runs the same 12-quarter trajectory classifier used at the top of the page on each company and names where it sits. What lands a company in each bucket: CONSISTENT — growth stays positive across the window and returns are healthy (ROCE ≥ 15%, or ROE ≥ 12% for lenders); IMPROVING — profit or EPS fell into real decline, bottomed a few quarters back, and has climbed back to positive and held there; TURNING AROUND — the same kind of trough but more recent, with the latest quarters just lifting off it (an early, unconfirmed turn); TOPPING OUT — growth is still positive but decelerating hard from its own peak while returns have stopped rising; DETERIORATING — two or more growth curves are shrinking (latest below zero) and staying there, not one soft quarter; MIXED — the curves genuinely disagree, or no clean majority, so no single word fits; NO READ — fewer than eight usable quarters. It is a like-for-like read of every company against its own past, not a ranking against the group.
CompanyP/EMkt capRevenueEPSROCEStage
Blue Dart Express Ltd this page41.6×₹11,655 CrMixed
Aegis Logistics Ltd54.5×₹47,371 CrMixed
Container Corporation Of India Ltd29.3×₹36,371 CrDeteriorating
Shadowfax Technologies Ltd112.0×₹12,554 Cr
Blackbuck Ltd60.0×₹9,824 CrNo read
Transport Corporation of India Ltd15.5×₹7,051 CrConsistent
Sindhu Trade Links Ltd65.6×₹3,770 CrNo read
Gateway Distriparks Ltd10.9×₹2,817 CrMixed
Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Ltd90.8×₹1,102 CrDeteriorating
Allcargo Gati Ltd(Merged)97.5×₹971 CrNo read
JITF Infra Logistics Ltd₹939 CrNo read
Western Carriers (India) Ltd23.6×₹917 CrMixed
Ritco Logistics Ltd23.6×₹851 CrMixed
Tejas Cargo India Ltd39.7×₹830 Cr
Sical Logistics Ltd596.0×₹774 CrNo read
Allcargo Terminals Ltd13.6×₹609 CrTurning around
TransIndia Real Estate Ltd16.1×₹598 CrMixed
S J Logistics (India) Ltd6.2×₹469 CrNo read
12 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Blue Dart Express Ltd's share price today?

Blue Dart Express Ltd trades at ₹4,926, −28.1% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹11,655 Cr. The stock sits at 12% of its 52-week range of ₹4,700–₹6,572, −8.4% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 81 weeks in. — as of 24 July 2026.

What were Blue Dart Express Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Blue Dart Express Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,533 Cr and net profit of ₹49.0 Cr for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue rose 8.2% and profit fell 10.9% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹20.59. The operating margin was 14.0%, 1.0 pp lower than a year earlier. — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Blue Dart Express Ltd's revenue?

Blue Dart Express Ltd reported revenue of ₹1,533 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter, +8.2% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹6,141 Cr (+7.4%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at 9.1% a year. — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Blue Dart Express Ltd's profit?

Blue Dart Express Ltd earned ₹49.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −10.9% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹247 Cr. The operating margin ran 14.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Blue Dart Express Ltd's market cap?

Blue Dart Express Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹11,655 Cr at a share price of ₹4,926. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Blue Dart Express Ltd's P/E ratio?

Blue Dart Express Ltd trades at a P/E of 41.6×, at the 12th percentile of its own 10-year range, against a long-run median of 54.8×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 24 July 2026.

Does Blue Dart Express Ltd pay a dividend?

Yes — Blue Dart Express Ltd's dividend payout was 24% of profit in FY26, and it recorded a payout in 12 of its last 13 reported fiscal years. This page holds the payout ratio, not a per-share amount. — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Blue Dart Express Ltd overvalued?

On its own history, Blue Dart Express Ltd looks cheap against its own history: its P/E of 41.6× has been cheaper only 12% of the time in 10 years (long-run median 54.8×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Blue Dart Express Ltd growing?

Not right now — Blue Dart Express Ltd's latest numbers are shrinking: latest-quarter revenue +8.2% year on year, profit −10.9%, and the margin −1.0 pp at 14.0%. The 10-year compound rates are 9.1% (revenue) and 2.3% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: deteriorating — as of 24 July 2026.

How is Blue Dart Express Ltd performing?

Blue Dart Express Ltd is in a downtrend, 81 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 8.2% and profit fell 10.9% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 15 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 24 July 2026.

What stage is Blue Dart Express Ltd in?

Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −2.0% latest against −2.0% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE slipping at 17.3%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +7.3% latest, profit growth −2.0% latest, eps growth −2.0% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Blue Dart Express Ltd in an uptrend?

No — the price is in a downtrend (week 81 of stage 4), trading −8.4% versus its 200-day average and at 12% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Blue Dart Express Ltd beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Blue Dart Express Ltd is currently behind the NIFTY 500 (15 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-05-08), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.3 years the stock moved −14% against the NIFTY 500's +274% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 24 July 2026.

Will Blue Dart Express Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Blue Dart Express Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹4,926, the price is in a downtrend 81 weeks in. Its P/E of 41.6× sits at the 12th percentile of its own 10-year range. — as of 24 July 2026.

Who owns Blue Dart Express Ltd?

Promoters hold 75.0% of Blue Dart Express Ltd, foreign institutions 3.4%, domestic institutions 14.5% and the public 7.2% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Foreign institutions cut 2.0 points over 8 quarters. — as of 24 July 2026.

Does Blue Dart Express Ltd have too much debt?

It is moderate — Blue Dart Express Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.64, and operating profit covers the interest bill 11×. FY26 borrowings were ₹1,142 Cr against equity of ₹1,777 Cr. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Blue Dart Express Ltd's capex?

Blue Dart Express Ltd spent ₹1,640 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹707 Cr, with ₹27.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Blue Dart Express Ltd's cash flow?

Blue Dart Express Ltd generated ₹810 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹103 Cr of free cash flow after ₹707 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹247 Cr, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Blue Dart Express Ltd's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 299% of Blue Dart Express Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹810 Cr against reported profit of ₹247 Cr. The cash then goes into a mix of the working-capital cycle and capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 24 July 2026.

Where is Blue Dart Express Ltd in its business cycle?

Blue Dart Express Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 15.0%, against a 13-year band of 9.0%–23.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 14.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 24 July 2026.

What could break the Blue Dart Express Ltd story?

The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved −2.0% against a −28.1% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Blue Dart Express Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Blue Dart Express Ltd is cheap for a reason. The P/E sits at the 12th percentile of its own range, and the quarters are still getting worse. The sharpest open question: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 24 July 2026.

Chat with this pageChat with pageChatChatGPTClaudePerplexityGoogle AI