Steelcast Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Steelcast Ltd trades at ₹302, in a confirmed uptrend and 23 weeks into that stage. That is +19.2% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 91% of a 52-week range of ₹184 to ₹313. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 6 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 23 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹302 it trades +19.2% versus its 200-day average and sits at 91% of its 52-week range (₹184–₹313).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +2,416% while the NIFTY 500 moved +280% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 6 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 82nd percentile of its own range.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Steelcast Ltd trades at 35.9× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (82nd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 23.6×, measured across 10.1 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 35.9× is at the pricey end of its own range (82nd percentile), against a long-run median of 23.6× measured over 10.1 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +20.3% against a +28.2% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +52.6%/yr price move, ~+49.0%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+3.6 pp from the multiple (expanding); over 10y, of the +34.3%/yr price move, ~+51.9%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−17.6 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

Stage: Turning around Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Steelcast Ltd reads as turning around on its fundamental arc. Turning around — profit growth swung from −15.8% at the trough to +20.8% off a 5-quarter-old trough, ROCE slipping at 31.4%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Why it matters: growth inflections are where re-ratings start — the curves say a turn is forming, so the question becomes whether the next quarters confirm it.

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

4-Factor Sector Score

60.6/100 — rank 4 of 19 in Castings, Forgings & Fastners · 96% evidence confidence

Steelcast Ltd scores 60.6 out of 100 against the 19 companies it is compared with in Castings, Forgings & Fastners, ranking 4. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 16.4 + 20.8 + 13.5 + 9.9 = 60.6. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Steelcast Ltd reported ₹112 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −6.7% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at 11.9% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹423 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹423 Cr.

Steelcast Ltd reported ₹112 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −6.7% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at 11.9% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹423 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹423 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹423 Cr (+13.4% on the year), capping 10 years at 11.9% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹112 Cr, −6.7% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +17.5% growth against the decade's 11.9% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +13.1% over the last 4 quarters against +1.7%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit +20.8% vs +7.7%/yr — accelerating.

→ Revenue slipped — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 26.0% this quarter (−5.0 pp YoY).

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Steelcast Ltd's operating margin is 26.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −5.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −2.0% to 29.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Steelcast Ltd's operating margin is 26.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −5.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −2.0% to 29.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 26.0%, −5.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −2.0%–29.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −5.3 pp year on year while gross margin went −1.6 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

→ Margins slipped — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit −14.8% in the latest quarter.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Steelcast Ltd earned ₹23.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −14.8% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹87.0 Cr. That is 20.5% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹27.0 Cr.

Steelcast Ltd earned ₹23.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −14.8% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹87.0 Cr. That is 20.5% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹27.0 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹23.0 Cr, −14.8% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹87.0 Cr (+20.8%).

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed −6.7% and the margin −5.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +31.6% vs revenue +17.5%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 104% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 104% of Steelcast Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹86.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹87.0 Cr of profit. After ₹28.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹58.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹86.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹87.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹58.0 Cr after ₹28.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 104% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 104%: the cash cycle tightened 86 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: a 158-day cycle and ₹61.0 Cr of building.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Steelcast Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 158 days in FY26, down from 244 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹61.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹423 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹1.2 Cr, so roughly ₹183 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 93 days, inventory at 171 days — roughly 5.6 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 158 days, tighter than FY21's 244.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 171 days to sell; customers pay about 93 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 106 days — netting out to the 158-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹423 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹1.2 Cr — so the 158-day loop keeps roughly ₹183 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹61.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹44.0 Cr of depreciation — building somewhat ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹1.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 32% and the ROIC − WACC spread is +12.7 pp.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Steelcast Ltd earns a ROCE of 32% in FY26. That is up from a trough of −5% in FY15. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +12.7 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 20.6% net margin on 0.92× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 32%, recovered from a FY15 trough of −5% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 20.6% net margin × 0.92× asset turns × 1.16× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 22.0% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 24.7% − 12.0% = a +12.7 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.00.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Steelcast Ltd carries total debt of ₹0.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹326 Cr as of Jun 25, a debt-to-equity of 0.00 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.40 in FY22 to 0.00 in FY25. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Jun 25: total debt of ₹0.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹326 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.00. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.40 (FY22) to 0.00 (FY25). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: Domestic institutions added 2.3 points over 8 quarters.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Domestic institutions added 2.3 points of Steelcast Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes domestic institutions to 2.5% of the company. Foreign institutions moved +0.2 points over the same window, to 0.3%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Domestic institutions: +2.3 points over 8 quarters to 2.5%; Foreign institutions: +0.2 points over 8 quarters to 0.3%; Promoters: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 45.0%.

Why the register moved: domestic institutions drove it (+2.3 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Steelcast Ltd: the Z-score reads 23.21. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 23.21 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 23.21.

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